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COVID-19 fearmongering

MSM dirty dance around human mortality

In China already over 70% of its 80,000+ Coronavirus patients have made a full recovery

 

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It looks like healthy people younger then 60 have little to fear but fear itself. But fear is addictive and it looks like panic, including panic buying had spread in the USA, fueled by irresponsible and often evil MSM fearmongering.  For example, reporting deaths from the virus neoliberal MSM do not split it by age groups as this would decrease the level of fear in the population ( and their profits ). Also reporting just the number of death from the virus, not the deviation form the average number of deaths for a week or a month or so artificially increases panic.

Reporting  deaths from the virus neoliberal MSM do not split  it by age groups as this would decrease the level of fear in the population ( and their profits ).   Also reporting just the number of death from the virus, not the deviation form the average number of deaths for a week or a month or so artificially increases panic.

Panic and fear artificially incited by neoliberal MSM and cowardice to face the risks immanent in any epidemics (as well as driving the  car) is doing more damage than the disease itself.  They provoked the wave of panic hoarding in the USA which started in February with  isopropyl alcohol and hand sanitizer (which in early March reached $60 fro 8 ounces bottle on Amazon ;-)  but spread starting from March 10 to many other products categories including paper towels, bathroom tissue, all types of sanitizers and non perishable food.

Sometime media coverage looks like a complete 100% departure from reality.  More people will die in Yemen and Syria each day going forward, and no one cares. Many old people will serious chronic condition who are die from coronavirus induced pneumonia would die from flu induced bakterial pneumonia the same year as they are too weak to resist even flu.  Winter is a very bad season for such people in any case.

Of course, another extreme is fatalism as expressed by Paul Bogdanich in his post at moonofalabama.org (Mar 11 2020 )

I should have clarified, I'm an American living in the United States. That said, it bothers me. The absolute lack of any detectable level of courage or fortitude in the face of diversity (hard times) is just stunning. Old people die. Everyone dies over time. Viruses like the flu or SARS, or COVID-19 accelerate that process from time to time. It's just what viruses do. There is no cure for either death or viruses. If you want, the biblical "Ye shall surely die."

Even in advanced age life has meaning and is exciting when you're solving concrete problems heling your family or community, or humanity as a whole. Many outstanding achievements were made people over 70 year old (Verdi wrote Otello at 74  and Falstaff (1893) being 80) People over 70 now dominate presidential race in the USA ;-) And unlike fatalists thinking, we do not need to apply to our life the moral metrics which are appropriate only to communities who live on a verge of survival. Loosing some part of annual national income to save lives via quarantine is affordable. Mass testing is a sure way to improve cost efficiency of quarantines and similar measures during virus epidemics. Retired people can and should stay home and avoid situation where they can catch the infection. Reckless behaviour during  virus epidemics is a crime and need to be punished appropriately.

But it is true that the panic can do more damage than the virus itself. And that we need an objective perspective to access the level of threat inherent in this virus epidemics. In the USA a reasonable threshold for classifying the treat as serious  are probably events that exceed car fatalities. In 2016  National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) registered 37,461 killed, an average of 102 per day.

In the USA a reasonable threshold for classifying the treat as serious  are probably events that exceed car fatalities. Which means around 40K people killed per year with the average over 100 per day. The society accepts this level of fatalities as normal, so why this virus epidemics should be treated differently ? Nobody stops driving cars because of this level of risk.

We are still in single digits of victims per day with COVID-19. It did proved high infectious. But there is highly infectious and highly deadly pathogens are two distinct group that do not mix. It is as if viruses  need to make choice between high mortality and high transmission: viruses that kill their host, before the host infects others,  die with the host and this can't kill many hosts without eliminating themselves as well.

With this coronavirus, there seems to be a larger then usual window (aka incubation period) during which a person can be infected and transmitting the virus, without having symptoms. In a way this is a rather "clever" virus. But long incubation period does not eliminates biological reason why highly infectious viruses should evolve to become less deadly in order to succeed.

While the US government of Mar 13 declared  the coronavirus a US national emergency and offered $50 billion for support of state and local governments to fight the virus with FEMA,  additional measures will not have an immediate effect.  But they will definitely slow down the spread of virus "flattening" the epidemics curve and this allowing more paciet to survive.

The current dynamic of epidemic in the USA and the world so far is exponential growth of cases with most infections clustered in just  half-dozen countries. Which is typical for an early stage of virus epidemic. Excluding China which now is past its peak and is in decline, the other fastest growing  hotspots are Italy, Iran, Spain and France. As of Mar 10, 2020 in the USA -- only three states  --  Washington State, New York, and  California have over 100 cases: 

Confirmed cases for the past 10 days for countries and U.S. states with >100 new confirmed cases as of March 10:

Country/State   3/1   3/2   3/3   3/4   3/5   3/6   3/7   3/8   3/9  3/10

Italy           566   342   466   587   769   778  1247  1492  1797  1977
Iran            385   523   835   586   591  1234  1076   743   595   881
Spain            39    36    45    57    37   141   100   173   400   622
France           30    61    13    81    92   276   296   177    83   575
Germany          51    29    37    66   220   188   129   241   136   281
US, Washington                                                        267
Norway            4     6     7    24    31    21    39    29    29   195
US, New York                                                          173
Denmark           1     0     2     4     0    13     0    12    55   172
US, California                                                        144
Switzerland       9    15    14    34    24   100    54    69    37   117
Sweden            2     1     6    14    59     7    60    42    45   107

Posted by: S | Mar 11 2020 18:43 utc | 42 

A a typical flu epidemic in the USA infects tens of million people and cause approx 20-50K fatalities per year (somewhere between 0.1% and 1%)  but does not create any headlines in neoliberal MSM.  According to the CDC’s weekly US flu report of February 22, 2020,

“So far this season there have been at least 32 million flu illnesses, 310,000 hospitalizations and 18,000 deaths from flu.”

For comparison the mortality rate in South Korea, where more than 1,100 tests have been administered per million residents, comes out to just 0.6% and concentrated in the old and/or with chronic conditions. In view of USA media hysteria about Coronavirus COVID-19, we need to concentrate on facts, not fears.  Here is Craig Murray comparison with the Hong Kong flu pandemic of 1968/9:

The Hong Kong flu pandemic of 1968/9 was the last really serious flu pandemic to sweep the UK. They do seem extraordinarily regular – 1919, 1969 and 2020. Flu epidemics have much better punctuality than the trains (though I cheated a bit there and left out the 1958 “Asian flu”). Nowadays “Hong Kong flu” is known as H3N2. Estimates for deaths it caused worldwide vary from 1 to 4 million. In the UK it killed an estimated 80,000 people.

If the current coronavirus had appeared in 1968, it would simply have been called “flu”, probably “Wuhan flu”. COVID-19 may not be nowadays classified as such, but in my youth flu is definitely what we would have called it. The Hong Kong flu was very similar to the current outbreak in being extremely contagious but with a fairly low mortality rate. 30% of the UK population is estimated to have been infected in the Hong Kong flu pandemic. The death rate was about 0.5%, mostly elderly or with underlying health conditions.

But there was no massive panic, no second by second media hysteria, over Hong Kong flu. Let me start being unpopular. “Man in his 80’s already not very well from previous conditions, dies of flu” is not and should not be a news headline. The coverage is prurient, intrusive, unbalanced and designed to cause hysteria.

Diamond Princess liner  represents the perfect environment for the spread of the virus.  Thousands of people jammed in a small place serviced by a single ventilation system…..it’s virus heaven. Surely all on board are dead by now? Well no.

The reality is that most of the deceased presented with existing pathologies, for example, chronic lung disease (often due to smoking), impaired immune response, pre-existing age related illness and disability, latent infections (esp. TB), use of pharmaceutical product (whether prescribed or not), other infection types, poor nutrition (never, ever underestimate the deleterious effects of junk food), etc. Not all the patients were tested for the corona virus either - so how do we even begin to think we know what they had going on?

As Trump tweeted ‘So last year 37,000 Americans died from the common Flu. It averages between 27,000 and 70,000 per year. Nothing is shut down, life & the economy go on. At this moment there are 546 confirmed cases of CoronaVirus, with 22 deaths. Think about that!’

He made a fair point, but that does not excuse him sleeping for two months and not preparing to the  epidemics. Several factors determined the USA response:

All in all it is clear the that US administration do not have any plan and improvised as infection unfold. Here we can mention a highly negative, unprofessional  role of National Institute of Allergy and Infections Diseases (NIAID) Director Dr. Anthony Fauci. It looks like he is one trick poly, an advocate of vaccinations (does he hold stocks related to vaccination is unknown) . In context of this epidemic after sleeping two months, he started advocating taking drastic measure in order to "flatten the curve" without providing any data that can convince us that such a flattening is needed  (The Last Refuge ):

The concept of “flattening” the virus curve; the presumptive reason for social distancing; is based on a theory to extend the spread of COVID-19 to a lesser incident rate over a longer duration, thereby lessening the burden on the U.S. healthcare system.  Hence, ‘flatten’ the spike in infections.

Put another way: “Flattening” means the same number of people eventually contract the virus, only they do so over a longer period of time, and the healthcare system can treat everyone because the numbers do not rise to level where the system is overloaded.  In theory that seems to make sense.

However, no-one is asking: what is the current stress level on the healthcare system right now?  Where are we in that capacity?… and what is normal capacity level during a high-level flu outbreak?… and Where are we when compared against that baseline?

Again, Dr. Fauci slept like the rest of Trump administration for two months and suddenly in mid March started to give alarmist  interviews, several a day,  provoking overreaction.  Later he admitted that his based on zero facts fearmongering "worst case scenario" about several million victims was wrong and was exaggerated at least ten times, but it was too late. A SHOCKING CORRECTION Dr. Fauci Went from a Possible 1.7 Million US Deaths Due to Coronavirus to a Possible 200,000 US Deaths. In reality, there probably will be less then 60K deaths in the USA. The damage tot he economy was already done. Instead of establishing in January a mission in Korea and studying the disease,  he was caught without pants. 

The reaction of neoliberal MSM seems to be utterly and totally disproportionate to the risk. When  all official information sources march in lock-step you can reasonably assume some sort of mind-fuck is underway.

But how high risk and what kind of risk could COVID-19 represent? I can only speculate but a few possibilities present themselves. (Remember I’m referring to the reaction here, not the virus itself).

For a start the economic impact of the panic will be considerable. Stocks and bonds will crash precipitously. Millions of investors will be ruined. Nobody knows how far the drop can go.

Wealthy investors could end up buying assets for a fraction of their true worth. It’s happened before on multiple occasions. Then there’s Big Pharma which is sitting on a potential gold mine

MSM dirty dance around human mortality is very annoing.  Risk is clearly tolerated less these days, safety measures are everywhere. But life of ordinary people under neoliberalism is not valued. BS jobs, junk food, subprime and expensive healthcare, crude “entertainment”.

Also significant percentage of those who will die from COVID-19 would die from flu too.

  • utu says:Show Comment
    @Anonymous (n)
    60,000 people die every month in Italy. Many of them old. Now we have 1,000 reported dead due to the Covid-19. Most of them old. Many of them would have died anyway from some cold or flu that would further aggravate their poor state of health. This year Covid-19 got there first.

     

  • Monotonous Languor says:Show Comment
  • March 13, 2020 at 7:03 am GMT • 300 Words

    After sober analysis, extensive reading, and careful assessment of each and every fact either directly or indirectly related to COVID19, I am now fully convinced of the following:

    – The virus was deliberately created by aliens from the Betelgeuse solar system, who have been secretly spying on our planet for the last 200 years.
    – The Betelgeusians have developed a supremely accurate quantum computer model (“It’s Quantum!”) of our species, which predicts what various factions of humanity will do given any set of specific circumstances and inputs.
    – The Betelgeusians, in their infinite wisdom, have decided to re-balance various factions of humanity here on earth, depending on their projected threat to other populations and the planet in general.
    – After running various scenarios through their quantum computer (“It’s Quantum!”), the results for advancing an optimal future became obvious.
    – The COVID19 was created specifically to attack Italians, Iranians, and Han Chinese.
    – In their computer simulation (“It’s Quantum!”), those three groups were considered most egregiously able to perpetrate negative effects on the rest of humanity in the future.
    – Therefore, the Betelgeusians made the onerous decision to create and release the virus.
    – Various intended consequences were also the result of the simulation (“It’s Quantum!”); these include vituperation and blowback on the US Deep State embedded for lo! these many years.
    – A popular mass uprising will take effect against the Derp State, and leftism/progressivism will finally be tossed out on its collective ear all over Western Civilization. It will be so thoroughly maligned, that it will finally end up on the ash heap of history, never to return.
    – The Betelgeusians will surreptitiously introduce an antidote into the ecosphere, thereby eradicating all further related susceptibility and deaths.
    – The Betelgeusians will look down on their handiwork with benign satisfaction.
    – Western Civilization will again have a chance to flourish like never before, entering a new Renaissance, and everybody will live happily ever after.

    There… don’t you like my story much better than all the other nonsense you’ve been pummeled with lately? (You can thank me later.)


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    NEWS CONTENTS

    Old News ;-)

    [May 24, 2020] 'How Could the CDC Make That Mistake?' The government's disease-fighting agency is conflating viral and antibody tests, compromising a few crucial metrics that governors depend on to reopen their economies. Pennsylvania, Georgia, Texas, and other states are doing the same.

    Notable quotes:
    "... "According to CDC, the disease of obesity affects about 78 million Americans 1 and the ASMBS estimates about 24 million have severe or morbid obesity." ..."
    May 24, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Richard Steven Hack , May 24 2020 23:54 utc | 46

    And the government botching of this crisis continues...

    'How Could the CDC Make That Mistake?' The government's disease-fighting agency is conflating viral and antibody tests, compromising a few crucial metrics that governors depend on to reopen their economies. Pennsylvania, Georgia, Texas, and other states are doing the same.
    https://tinyurl.com/y92ea59f

    And overseas as well...

    'Politicised nature' of lockdown debate delays Imperial report
    https://tinyurl.com/y7csboom

    And of course, the effect of that...

    Nearly half of US states haven't contained their coronavirus outbreaks, a new study finds
    https://tinyurl.com/yc72pd8t

    And no, Sweden is not doing better...

    Just 7.3% of Stockholm had Covid-19 antibodies by end of April, study shows
    Official findings add to concerns about Sweden's laissez-faire strategy towards the pandemic
    https://tinyurl.com/yahnmb3a

    Finally, a large scale study on HCQ - 86,000 patients, with 15,000 receiving HCQ...

    Trump drug hydroxychloroquine raises death risk in Covid patients, study says
    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-52779309

    The color of coronavirus:
    COVID-19 deaths by race and ethnicity in the U.S.
    https://www.apmresearchlab.org/covid/deaths-by-race

    Blacks are *twice* as likely to get it as whites and Latinos. American Indians are *five times* more likely to get it. They conclude the best indicator is poverty.

    From The Lancet, a study of New York patients... Epidemiology, clinical course, and outcomes of critically ill adults with COVID-19 in New York City: a prospective cohort study https://tinyurl.com/yblmszsx

    Between March 2 and April 1, 2020, 1150 adults were admitted to both hospitals with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19, of which 257 (22%) were critically ill.

    The median age of patients was 62 years (IQR 51–72), 171 (67%) were men. 212 (82%) patients had at least one chronic illness, the most common of which were hypertension (162 [63%]) and diabetes (92 [36%]).

    119 (46%) patients had obesity.

    As of April 28, 2020, 101 (39%) patients had died and 94 (37%) remained hospitalised.

    203 (79%) patients received invasive mechanical ventilation for a median of 18 days (IQR 9–28), 170 (66%) of 257 patients received vasopressors and 79 (31%) received renal replacement therapy.

    The median time to in-hospital deterioration was 3 days (IQR 1–6).

    In the multivariable Cox model, older age (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1·31 [1·09–1·57] per 10-year increase), chronic cardiac disease (aHR 1·76 [1·08–2·86]), chronic pulmonary disease (aHR 2·94 [1·48–5·84]), higher concentrations of interleukin-6 (aHR 1·11 [95%CI 1·02–1·20] per decile increase), and higher concentrations of D-dimer (aHR 1·10 [1·01–1·19] per decile increase) were independently associated with in-hospital mortality.

    Note: 36% had diabetes; 46% were fat. Like I've said before, "diabetes" is a code word for "fat." And how many people in the US are fat and thus at risk? "According to CDC, the disease of obesity affects about 78 million Americans 1 and the ASMBS estimates about 24 million have severe or morbid obesity."

    So much for "let's just isolate the elderly"...so we can attend our baseball games this summer and stuff ourselves with crap food...

    [May 24, 2020] Preliminary Estimate of Excess Mortality During the COVID-19 Outbreak -- New York City, March 11 May 2, 2020 MMWR

    May 24, 2020 | www.cdc.gov

    During March 11–May 2, 2020, a total of 32,107 deaths were reported to DOHMH; of these deaths, 24,172 (95% confidence interval = 22,980–25,364) were found to be in excess of the seasonal expected baseline. Included in the 24,172 deaths were 13,831 (57%) laboratory-confirmed COVID-19–associated deaths and 5,048 (21%) probable COVID-19–associated deaths, leaving 5,293 (22%) excess deaths that were not identified as either laboratory-confirmed or probable COVID-19–associated deaths ( Figure ).

    [May 22, 2020] Washington officials admit to counting GUNSHOT DEATHS in Covid-19 tally, say virus death toll likely underreported despite lapses

    Yes, gunshot wounds are clearly the ffect of the new coronavirus.
    May 22, 2020 | www.rt.com

    Health officials in Washington state said they are reassessing their Covid-19 fatality data, warning of underreported deaths.

    Even after noting that five people who died of gunshot wounds were inexplicably included in the figures.

    [May 22, 2020] Mortality due to COVID-19 in the USA

    May 22, 2020 | www.unz.com

    TRM , says: Show Comment Next New Comment May 21, 2020 at 10:53 pm GMT

    Connecticut and North Carolina are missing some weeks in 2020 (5 weeks & 3 weeks respectively). Pennsylvania is also negative but not missing any weeks. Interesting, I'll have to look into that.

    The entire USA is about 4.5% higher than the 4 year average.

    In some online discussions some were suggesting using "excess deaths" to see what effect the covid-19 disease is having and I thought that would be a reasonable approach as it gets past the deaths "with/from" issue.

    State 2016-19-Av 2020 Diff
    -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -
    Entire USA 915946 956410 40464

    California 88731 91453 2722
    Florida 65372 68427 3055
    Georgia 26955 27649 694
    Illinois 35539 38088 2549
    Massachusetts 19074 21800 2726
    Michigan 31957 35598 3640
    New Jersey 24525 32600 8075
    New York State 33187 39267 6079
    New York City 17614 35524 17910
    Pennsylvania 44275 37383 -6892

    All the data is from this CDC page:
    https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/fluview/mortality.html

    The script and all related files are here if you want to kick the tires:
    https://www.dropbox.com/sh/fh9x5fngmfbeiiu/AAAH-OtOMqiY_R9qqG6YccCRa?dl=0

    The script generates data for all 50 states plus DC and New York City (CDC treats it separately from New York State).

    I follow the advice of Ken Thompson, "When in doubt use brute force". The script is nothing fancy and dumps to file a lot as that is how I like to debug.

    I will be doing up a Powershell script for this as well so the Windows folks can run it natively if they don't have WSL2 or a Linux system around.

    [May 21, 2020] The most recent CDC COVID-19 mortality data

    May 21, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Don Bacon , May 19 2020 18:05 utc | 134

    From the most recent CDC COVID-19 mortality data report, Feb 1 to May 16:
    > US deaths 62,515 [which are inflated, and yet comparable to annual flu deaths]
    > US deaths from all causes – 97% of expected deaths. [i.e. no 'excess' deaths] . . here
    > The media currently reports 90,694 deaths which they get from Johns Hopkins. That's an organization which ought to be examined. CDC data is not used by the media, but CDC doesn't have a great record either:
    > CDC estimates that, from October 1, 2019, through March 28, 2020, there have been 24,000 – 63,000 flu deaths . . here
    > For 2017-2018, the CDC first estimated 80,000 flu deaths, then later reduced the estimate (their word) to 61,000.
    > In the news now: San Diego County California public health first reported 194 Covid deaths out of a population of 3.3 million. After autopsies and testing of tissue, health department reported only 6 of the 194 actually died of Covid.
    > Meanwhile the lives of millions of people of all ages have been adversely affected.
    > But hey, the banks have more money.

    [May 20, 2020] Due to Coronavirus the Grim Reaper was deprived of his seasonally adjusted mortality quota missing 21K in 12 weeks by David Stockman

    Highly recommended!
    Apr 28, 2020 | ronpaulinstitute.org

    According to the CDC's long established mortality models, 687,000 Americans were supposed to die during the 12 weeks between February 1 and April 18.

    But only 666,000 actually complied. So the Grim Reaper was deprived of his seasonally adjusted mortality quota, even as 21,000 families were spared, at least temporarily, of the loss and grief which accompanies the passing of a loved one.

    Either way, how in the hell does that square with Lockdown Nation -- an unprecedented government ordered economic heart attack purportedly designed to prevent a Black Plague of illness and death?

    To be sure, a better than garden variety recession was already due after a record 129- month long business expansion. But it was the sudden, virulent eruption of the Covid Death Hysteria in the halls of government that turned a scheduled business cycle contraction into a monumental catastrophe.

    [May 18, 2020] Rages Listening To Virus Experts Has Led To Death Despair by Ron Paul

    Notable quotes:
    "... On April 21st the Washington Post savaged Georgia governor Brian Kemp's decision to begin opening his state after locking down for weeks. "Georgia leads the race to become America's No. 1 Death Destination," sneered the headline. ..."
    "... Milbank, who is obviously still getting paid while millions are out of work, sees his job as pushing the mainstream narrative that we must remain in fear and never question what "experts" like Dr. Fauci tell us. ..."
    "... in places that are opening, we're not seeing this spike in cases. ..."
    "... Shutting down the entire United States over a virus that looks to be less deadly than an average flu virus – particularly among those under 80 who are not already sick – has resulted in mass unemployment and economic destruction. More Americans may die from the wrong-headed efforts to fight the virus than from the virus itself. ..."
    "... Americans should pause and reflect on the lies they are being sold. Masks are just a form of psychological manipulation. Many reputable physicians and scientists have said they are worthless and potentially harmful. Lockdowns are meant to condition people to obey without question. ..."
    May 18, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com

    Authored by Ron Paul via The Ron Paul Institute for Peace & Prosperity,

    On April 21st the Washington Post savaged Georgia governor Brian Kemp's decision to begin opening his state after locking down for weeks. "Georgia leads the race to become America's No. 1 Death Destination," sneered the headline.

    The author, liberal pundit Dana Milbank, actually found the possibility of Georgians dying to be hilarious, suggesting that, "as a promotion, Georgia could offer ventilators to the first 100 hotel guests to register."

    Milbank, who is obviously still getting paid while millions are out of work, sees his job as pushing the mainstream narrative that we must remain in fear and never question what "experts" like Dr. Fauci tell us.

    Well it's been three weeks since Milbank's attack on Georgia and its governor, predicting widespread death which he found humorous. His predictions are about as worthless as his character. Not only has Georgia not seen "coronavirus burn through Georgia like nothing has since William Tecumseh Sherman," as Milbank laughed, but Covid cases, hospitalizations, and deaths have seen a steep decline since the governor began opening the state.

    Maybe getting out in the fresh air and sunshine should not have been prohibited in the first place!

    In fact, as we now have much more data, it is becoming increasingly clear that the US states and the countries that locked down the tightest also suffered the highest death rates. Ultra locked-down Italy suffered 495 Covid deaths per million while relatively non-locked down South Korea suffered only five deaths per million. The same is true in the US, where non lockdown states like South Dakota were relatively untouched by the virus while authoritarian-led Michigan, New York, and California have been hardest hit.

    In those hardest hit states, we are now seeing that most of the deaths occurred in senior care facilities – after the governors ordered patients sick with Covid to leave the hospitals and return to their facilities. There, they infected their fellow residents who were most likely to have the multiple co-morbidities and advanced age that turned the virus into a death sentence. Will these governors be made to answer for this callous disregard for life?

    Yesterday, Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar admitted the obvious:

    " We are seeing that in places that are opening, we're not seeing this spike in cases."

    So why not open everything? Because these petty tyrants cannot stand the idea of losing the ability to push people around.

    Shutting down the entire United States over a virus that looks to be less deadly than an average flu virus – particularly among those under 80 who are not already sick – has resulted in mass unemployment and economic destruction. More Americans may die from the wrong-headed efforts to fight the virus than from the virus itself.

    Americans should pause and reflect on the lies they are being sold. Masks are just a form of psychological manipulation. Many reputable physicians and scientists have said they are worthless and potentially harmful. Lockdowns are meant to condition people to obey without question.

    A nation of people who just do what they are told by the "experts" without question is a nation ripe for a descent into total tyranny.

    This is no empty warning – it's backed up by history. Time to stand up to all the petty tyrants from our hometowns to Washington DC. It is time to reclaim our freedom.

    [May 16, 2020] The obvious shortcomings of the USA government reaction: no distributions of free masks, no temperature checks, no oxymeter checks, no retrofitted busses and other transportation to have individual air supplies, no retrofitting air conditioners

    Highly recommended!
    Notable quotes:
    "... > How about we follow WHO's rule zero: test, test and test? ..."
    "... Why the USA did not implemented entry/exist temperature checks (even at airports) I do not understand. The richest nation in the world has the government which is probably the most inept and disfunctional ..."
    "... It looks like this is mainly the disease of megacities and industries with closely packed people (ships, meatpacking plants, Amazon warepuses) . And a large part of large cities infrastructure such as subways and air-conditioned building, hotels and shops are ideal environment for spreading of the virus. ..."
    "... Another interesting feature of this virus is that it simply revealed how unhealthy the USA population generally is. For example, the epidemic of obesity now is tightly intermixed with the epidemic of COVID-19. Within the limits of the neoliberal social system very little can be done about it: for profit medicine makes is more fragile and create multiple avenue of abusing people. ..."
    May 16, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    likbez , May 16, 2020 at 19:42

    @vk | May 16 2020 15:52 utc | 108

    > How about we follow WHO's rule zero: test, test and test?

    Do you understand the cost of each test? Some data suggest that it is between $50 and $100. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-15/coronavirus-tests-from-labcorp-quest-will-cost-50-to-100

    Do you understand that the current polymerase tests have 20-30% of false positives?

    So if everybody in the USA is tested around 60-80 million people in the USA would be deemed infected. I suspect that a very large percentage of "asymptomatics" are in reality false positives.

    We need to distinguish between the necessary measures and fearmongering. I suspect that in the case of polymerase test the mantra "test, test, test" is close to the latter. This is s rather expensive test and money probably can be better spend distributing masks to the population. That would instantly give a larger effect. The simple measure that in the USA was not done. Just for that Fauci should be fired and probably tried, IMHO.

    The same is probably true with the distribution of oxymeters too: people with lows reading need oxygen. As simple as that. That probably will cut hospitalizations in half.

    My impression is that temperature and oxymeter testing might be a proxy for polymerase testing and much cheaper: if oxygen saturation is less then 90% the person need to be isolated/treated with oxygen

    Why the USA did not implemented entry/exist temperature checks (even at airports) I do not understand. The richest nation in the world has the government which is probably the most inept and disfunctional

    It looks like this is mainly the disease of megacities and industries with closely packed people (ships, meatpacking plants, Amazon warepuses) . And a large part of large cities infrastructure such as subways and air-conditioned building, hotels and shops are ideal environment for spreading of the virus.

    Even reasonable prophylactic measures do not work that well in large cities. Slums and homeless are and will be hotspots.

    Even at work enforcing prophylactic measures is non trivial. You need to change mask each 2 hours when you are working inside. How many people will do that ?

    I think there is not way out other then clench your teeth and go forward adapting the behavior as new information about the virus emerge.

    For example individual supply of air in planes, trains and buses (which existed in old planes and some buses ) might be an important psychological (and with better filters medical) measure required.

    Also Cruise ships "experiments" suggest that only around 20% of population is susceptible to the virus. Even among Wuhan medics who started working with coronavirus patients without wearing protective equipment only around half got the disease. The simplistic assumption that 100% of people is susceptible is just a myth propagated by fearmongers for fun and profit.

    Another interesting feature of this virus is that it simply revealed how unhealthy the USA population generally is. For example, the epidemic of obesity now is tightly intermixed with the epidemic of COVID-19. Within the limits of the neoliberal social system very little can be done about it: for profit medicine makes is more fragile and create multiple avenue of abusing people.

    [May 16, 2020] Charlatans in US government is another hidden epidemic: meet Barbara Ferrer, The Social Justice Warrior With No Medical Background Leading LA's COVID Response

    This reminds be Bolsheviks in Soviet Russia
    May 16, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com
    she is truly sorry for the error, and the ensuing public furor she accidentally unleashed.

    ... ... ...

    As KABC's John Phillips shared on his radio show Wednesday, the good doctor's educational resume, according to a bio published at USC, where she was recently a panelist at a "Safe Schools" symposium, reveals she received her Ph.D. in Social Welfare from Brandeis University, a Master of Arts in Public Health from Boston University, a Master of Arts in Education from the University of Massachusetts, and a Bachelor of Arts in Community Studies from UC Santa Cruz.

    None of these disciplines are rooted in the sciences - rather, it appears the good doctor's "public health" background doesn't include any specialization in actual medical care, or epidemiology. This woman probably knows about as much as the discipline as the average Californian who has spent the last couple of months on Wikipedia.

    However, as the LA Times reports, Ferrer has somehow found her way into a role where she is the top public health officer in a county of 10 million people. Keep in mind, she has no actual medical background, but despite this, she's found herself in the middle of "every tough conversation about which businesses and institutions have to shut down, whether public and private hospitals are equipped and prepared to handle a possible surge" and what precautions individuals can take to protect their health.

    Her role for the county is essentially equivalent to that of Dr. Fauci at the White house. Except Dr. Ferrer isn't a doctor, she's a professional social justice warrior. However, as the LA Times reports, Ferrer has somehow found her way into a role where she is the top public health officer in a county of 10 million people. Keep in mind, she has no actual medical background, but despite this, she's found herself in the middle of "every tough conversation about which businesses and institutions have to shut down, whether public and private hospitals are equipped and prepared to handle a possible surge" and what precautions individuals can take to protect their health.

    Her role for the county is essentially equivalent to that of Dr. Fauci at the White house. Except Dr. Ferrer isn't a doctor, she's a professional social justice warrior.

    As Red State points out, when Dr. Ferrer was put in charge of solving the homelessness epidemic in LA County, her game plan 100% focused on "community outreach". "We need to start this work by speaking directly with those experiencing homelessness to better understand how to align our support," she said.

    That's right: Dr. Ferrer's one-size-fits-all plan for solving homelessness started with talking to a demographic group where those with severe mental health disorders and substance-abuse problems represent an overwhelming share of the population. Dr. Ferrer's approach to help improve the lives of the homeless was to talk to a bunch of schizophrenics and drug addicts about government policy, as Red State pointed out.

    Does this woman sound qualified to be one of a handful of people in the room making decisions that will impact the livelihoods and health of millions of people? If we lived in LA County, we certainly wouldn't be comfortable with that.

    [May 16, 2020] I know it does not fit the fear agenda but COVID-19 disruption present much higher threat to children then CODIV-19 itself.

    May 16, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    ted01 , May 16 2020 0:17 utc | 32

    Australia - deaths from Covid-19

    Total - 98 (15/05/2020)

    0-39 = 0
    40-49 = 1
    50-59 = 2
    60-69 = 11
    70-79 = 31
    80-89 = 34
    90+ = 19

    Australian Government Dept. of Health

    I know it does not fit the fear agenda.

    As the lockdown has been eased in most Australian states there have been zero announcements on additional protections for the elderly & infirm.

    Why are the Federal & state governments doing nothing but the most basic measures to ensure the safety of the elderly & infirm?

    fairleft , May 16 2020 2:37 utc | 37

    Yes, Ken Garoo @26, the fearmongers have blood on their hands, not just in the UK, and this is a massive life-and-death crisis. More evidence, from another unimpeachable source various MoA stalwarts will now have to claim is a hack:

    Unicef warns lockdown could kill more than Covid-19 as model predicts 1.2 million child deaths
    Subhead: 'Indiscriminate lockdowns' are an ineffective way to control Covid and could contribute to a 45 per cent rise in child mortality

    "...According to a stark report published in Lancet Global Health journal on Wednesday, almost 1.2 million children could die in the next six months due to the disruption to health services and food supplies caused by the coronavirus pandemic.

    "The modelling, by researchers at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Unicef, found that child mortality rates could rise by as much as 45 per cent due to coronavirus-related disruptions, while maternal deaths could increase by almost 39 per cent.

    "Dr [Stefan Peterson, chief of health at UNICEF] said these figures were in part a reflection of stringent restrictions in much of the world that prevent people leaving their homes without documentation, preventing them from accessing essential health care services. ...

    "...Covid is not a children's disease. Yes there are rare instances and we see them publicised across the media. But pneumonia, diarrhoea, measles, death in childbirth, these are the reasons we will see deaths rise."

    [May 16, 2020] Watch UK Chief Medic Confirms That COVID-19 Is Harmless To Vast Majority

    May 16, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com

    Authored by Catte Black via Off-Guardian.org,

    From the beginning of this crisis we have been pointing out that there are two mutually contradictory messages at the heart of the covid19 rollout , and, just as Orwell describes in 1984, a major point of the exercise seems to be to get people to believe both at the same time .

    1. 'BE AFRAID '

    The first message is that covid19 is terrifying, unique, an existential threat to the human race.

    This message is never sourced to much fact, because the facts about the virus don't really support it. If it cites anything solid it's the appallingly sloppy and discredited Imperial computer model, or some generic research into the pathology of severe infections or rare viral syndromes, which it tries to spin as being unique to covid19, even though it is not. But mostly it doesn't cite anything at all. Or really claim anything at all.

    It just tells people to be afraid. Very afraid. Of death, of uncertainty, of the 'virus', of other people, of 'fake news'.

    The fear being encouraged is not rooted in facts, and is therefore impervious to them.

    2. 'THERE IS NOTHING TO BE AFRAID OF '

    The second message is that covid19 is actually pretty harmless and no big deal.

    This message is rooted in a great deal of fact, because, as we have been pointing out since day one, pretty much all the data coming out about this virus supports exactly this conclusion.

    No official body has ever denied this, and most of them readily admit it. Regularly and unambiguously. Here and here and here and here .

    Chris Whitty above is only one of many and this is not even his first go (see here ) at explaining clearly that covid19 is only dangerous to a very very small minority of people, and that most who get it will be just fine.

    https://www.youtube.com/embed/adj8MCsZKlg

    Here's a slide from his talk on April 30th:

    Now, let's look at what he is saying in the above video, on May 11th [our emphasis]:

    [T]he great majority of people will not die from this and I'll just repeat something I said right at the beginning because I think it's worth reinforcing :

    Most people, a significant proportion of people, will not get this virus at all, at any point of the epidemic which is going to go on for a long period of time.

    Of those who do, some of them will get the virus without even knowing it, they will have the virus with no symptoms at all, asymptomatic carriage, and we know that happens.

    Of those who get symptoms, the great majority, probably 80%, will have a mild or moderate disease. Might be bad enough for them to have to go to bed for a few days, not bad enough for them to have to go to the doctor.

    An unfortunate minority will have to go as far as hospital, but the majority of those will just need oxygen and will then leave hospital.

    And then a minority of those will end up having to go to severe end critical care and some of those sadly will die.

    But that's a minority, it's 1% or possibly even less than 1% overall.

    And even in the highest risk group this is significantly less than 20%, ie. the great majority of people, even the very highest groups, if they catch this virus, will not die.

    And I really wanted to make that point really clearly

    It seems all the officials want 'to make that point really clearly', even while they behave as if it was not true.

    Why?

    There's plenty of room for speculation there, and we leave it to readers to get into that BTL.

    The motives, though, are less important than the basic and undeniable fact – the fear currently gripping the public mind is being simultaneously encouraged and acknowledged as unnecessary by the bodies overseeing the 'response'.

    And if enough people would wake up to the pea-and-thimble trick being pulled on them, then the most dangerous and far-reaching coup against human liberty we have ever seen would essentially be stopped in its tracks.

    [May 14, 2020] About the distinction "of COVID-19" and "with COVID-19"

    May 14, 2020 | crookedtimber.org

    Hidari 05.06.20 at 4:22 pm 9 ( 9 )

    @8

    The distinction between 'with' and 'of' is self-evident bullshit, if you just think about HIV and how it acts and what it does.

    You just need to think it through: how could you possibly tell the difference?

    Lots of semi-educated, semi-smart people are drawing this tenuous distinction vis a vis Covid-19 that they would not dare to do with any other disease ('Oh no the real cause of his illness was Kaposi sarcoma. It just happened to be an unfortunate coincidence that the patient was HIV positive as well'.)

    In any case, there was an actuary in a twitter thread I have now lost the addy for, who pointed out that actuaries make decisions about this 'distinction' all the time, it is literally their job. And the reality is that even for very old Covid-19 sufferers who die, they are still losing a non-trivial number of years in terms of their lifespan, maybe up to 8 or 9 years.

    hix 05.06.20 at 5:20 pm ( 10 )
    Just look at excess death rates – they are at least as bad as the covid numbers, there is no overcounting whatsoever going on in the UK. What is going on is very slow reporting of non hospital covid death.
    Anarcissie 05.06.20 at 5:37 pm ( 11 )
    @4 -- or more directly, https://existentialcomics.com/comic/259
    Jim Harrison 05.06.20 at 5:51 pm ( 12 )
    Just for the record, has the Department of Public Health ever taken the lead or even participated significantly in the establishment of a despotic regime? First they told us to eat more broccoli; and next thing you know, they're telling us we're going to be deloused.
    Alex 05.06.20 at 11:17 pm ( 13 )
    @Quentin The "dying with, not of" is pretty much moot given that all-cause mortality in England and Wales is twice normal. The Financial Times has a write up, but there's no way to explain that away as mislabeling existing deaths. There's a lot of people who live 50 years or more with high blood pressure or diabetes. They didn't just all die this month for no reason.
    Moz in Oz 05.07.20 at 12:04 am ( 14 )

    The UK is generous with its death figures

    But it does not test all deaths and only counts those who had a positive test result. I've seen more complaints about likely undercounting than overcounting.

    Vahid Friedrich 05.07.20 at 12:41 am ( 15 )
    Here is a great example of the freedom to work. https://www.10tv.com/article/reopened-restaurant-told-workers-dont-wear-face-masks-or-dont-work-2020-may
    Collin Street 05.07.20 at 2:13 am ( 16 )
    The UK is generous with its death figures: it counts those who die with Coronavirus, not those who die of it. That's a nice but important distinction.

    Not many car accidents in the respiratory ER, I thought.

    The distinction between "with" and "of" matters very much for chronic conditions. A lot of cancers are extremely slow-growing, for example; a 90-yo with early stage prostate cancer is statistically likely to die of something fast-acting -- a car accident, a lung infection -- years before the prostate cancer becomes a problem. The thing-that-kills-you has to be faster-acting than the thing-that-will-kill-you-if-you-live-long-enough. But COVID-19 is an acute condition, actually pretty fast-acting: there's not a huge lot that kills you faster than a lung infection. Major trauma? Septicemia, dehydration? If you're working at a meatworks and you have COVID-19 and you get decapitated, that's "with not of", but that looks to me like we're talking about tiny numbers, and you've just claimed that that's an important distinction.

    I don't think that that distinction is important. It's potentially non-zero, a source of error that might potentially be significant but on the face of it that potential is so small as to be ludicrous rather than important. You think otherwise, strongly enough to bother to write a comment: please, explain to me what lead you to think that. Show me I'm wrong.

    hix 05.07.20 at 9:18 am ( 17 )
    Regarding over/undercounting in general. There are just no standardiced rules for counting. Every nation, sometimes every region does it´s own thing, with a wild mix of aspects that under and overcount, or just delay reporting of some death. Overall overcounting (compared to excess death rates, there is no objective rule whom to count anyway) seems to be very rare, maybe Belgium?
    Here is a nice graphic tool with weekly excess mortality data, they sure look particular ugly in the UK:
    https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps#excess-mortality
    bianca steele 05.07.20 at 1:36 pm ( 18 )
    If the infection rate in big cities and institutions is as high as some studies have suggested (1/3 by some reports), counting "deaths by Covid-19" as "presumed deaths" + "positive tests at death" will obviously be inaccurate. There are other reasons to count asymptomatic infections.

    If people like the form of argument "basically P, but it's more complicated than that, for reason A, and B, and I think that's enough reasons, may as well just assert that P," I guess I'm not going to stop them. Maybe they're right and I'm wrong. It's not like anyone's willing to pay me to do it my way.

    Collin Street 05.07.20 at 2:40 pm ( 19 )
    If the infection rate in big cities and institutions is as high as some studies have suggested (1/3 by some reports), counting "deaths by Covid-19" as "presumed deaths" + "positive tests at death" will obviously be inaccurate

    I am forced to admit that I was approaching this problem with the perspective of the situation we have in australia, where the disease is still very rare.

    [which is to say much of what I said and implied is wrong, for which I apologise.]

    [May 14, 2020] The virus may mostly kill older people - but it's because of the co-morbidities which almost *half* of US adults suffer from it his most age groups

    May 14, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Richard Steven Hack , May 13 2020 9:14 utc | 216

    Here's Who's Dying From Covid-19 in the United States
    Data and new research reveal all age groups are at risk, from children to middle age and beyond
    https://tinyurl.com/y8ch67qk
    "We estimated that 45.4% of U.S. adults are at increased risk for complications from coronavirus disease because of cardiovascular disease, diabetes, respiratory disease, hypertension, or cancer," according to a new analysis from the CDC. Those at elevated risk include 19.8% of people age 18 to 29 and 80.7% for people over age 80.

    As I've pointed out before, the virus may mostly kill older people - but it's because of the co-morbidities which almost *half* of US adults suffer from. More than 25 million Americans have asthma. This is 7.7 percent of adults and 8.4 percent of children. Currently, there are about 6.2 million children under the age of 18 with asthma. Granted, most of them probably never will get this virus - but those who do...


    Separately, a new study of children with Covid-19 admitted to pediatric intensive care units in the United States and Canada concludes that while the overall severity of symptoms in the children was "far less than that documented in adults Covid-19 can result in a significant disease burden in children." According to the research, published in JAMA Pediatrics, 40 of the 48 children, ranging in age from four to 16, had underlying medical conditions. Two of them died, and three remain on ventilators. /BLOCKQUOTE> Assuming the three on ventilators die, that's five out of 48 - ten percent.

    So much for the "we can let the old people die" meme. No one wants to claim a willingness to let kids die to re-open the economy.

    [May 13, 2020] 92% Of Cook County COVID-19 Victims Had Pre-Existing Condition

    Notable quotes:
    "... The medical examiner's database showed COVID-19 as the primary cause of death for 2,303 people. Of those, 2,112 were shown to have at least one underlying condition as a secondary cause of death. Those conditions, also known as comorbidities, included hypertension, diabetes, obesity and heart disease. There were no secondary causes reported for 191 deaths. ..."
    "... For months, Illinois residents have lived in fear, a fear that has been exacerbated by a lack of transparency and open reporting from the state. ..."
    May 13, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com

    Authored by Ted Dabrowski and John Klingner via Wirepoints.org,

    A Wirepoints analysis of COVID-19 deaths from the Cook County Medical Examiner's office reveals that 92 percent of victims from the virus had pre-existing medical conditions.

    The medical examiner's database showed COVID-19 as the primary cause of death for 2,303 people. Of those, 2,112 were shown to have at least one underlying condition as a secondary cause of death. Those conditions, also known as comorbidities, included hypertension, diabetes, obesity and heart disease. There were no secondary causes reported for 191 deaths.

    ... ... ...

    Hypertension affected 1,070 victims, or more than 46 percent of all deaths. Diabetes impacted 973 victims, or 42 percent of the total. Pulmonary disease was part of 397 deaths, or 17 percent. And 215 of those deaths, about 9 percent, were accompanied by obesity or morbid obesity.

    Yet others had conditions including cancer and cardiovascular and kidney diseases. The numbers above add up to more than 100 percent because many victims had more than one pre-existing condition.

    ,,, ,,, ,,,

    What’s stark about the Cook comorbidity data is just how few young adults die from COVID-19 in the absence of some pre-existing condition. Just 3 of the 15 deaths in the 20-29 age bracket had no comorbidities. Same goes for the 30-39 and 40-49 age brackets, where just 26 of the 132 deaths were accompanied with no underlying causes.

    Even more, almost 50 percent of all Illinois deaths have been tied to long-term care facilities, the subject of an upcoming Wirepoints piece. That means nearly 1,600 deaths occurred outside the general public.

    For months, Illinois residents have lived in fear, a fear that has been exacerbated by a lack of transparency and open reporting from the state.

    [May 12, 2020] With politics (the November election), scapegoating, the economic depression and the fall of the Western Empire very much involved, finding impartial scientific COVID-19 information is near impossible

    May 12, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    VietnamVet , May 12 2020 0:29 utc | 56

    With politics (the November election), scapegoating, the economic depression and the fall of the Western Empire very much involved, finding impartial scientific COVID-19 information is near impossible. This site is the best you'll find but, no doubt, it and the comments are colored by our human biases.

    A factor never mentioned in corporate press is that healthcare in the USA is privatized. All that matters is profits. The only thing that would get any attention at all is a significant cluster of deaths. Three were reported in mid-2019 in a nursing home in Northern Virginia. The 68 Vaping deaths came and went when vitamin E acetate was identified as a possible culprit. With both, there was no exponential growth of illness and death like the coronavirus outbreak. In fact, clusters of deaths don't matter to the corporate elite. Boeing killed 346 people. The around 0.1% fatality rate of COVID-19 with a functional healthcare system is touted as justification for ending the lockdown. That will kill about a million and half Americans without mitigation. This is of no matter to the White House, Republicans and apparently corporate Democrats. Without spending the money and instituting national public health measures to test everyone, trace contacts and quarantine the infected in safe secure facilities; the pandemic will wax and wane and spread to every corner of North America. Lockdowns will keep popping up to prevent local hospitals from being overwhelmed by all the sick; rich, middle-class and mostly poor. America will be a very ill society for the foreseeable future.

    I wouldn't be surprised that a contagious former bat coronavirus made it into a human population earlier in 2019. A virulent form appeared in Wuhan China that swamped the city's hospitals and a third even more deadly mutation occurred in Lombardy, Italy. Any study that hinders the out of China propaganda will likely ignored by politicians and the media. They really want to hide the truth. To try keep things as they were.

    [May 10, 2020] Suspicion And Skepticism Are Vaccines For Deception

    May 10, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com

    Authored by Doug "Uncola" Lynn via TheBurningPlatform.com,

    "Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities. "

    - Voltaire

    I once read a definition of psychological depression as a result of anger and fatigue. That seems about right. Personally, I'm sick of COVID-19 dominating the headlines and I definitely have inner rage at the magic spell that's been cast over society. And it is a magic spell. Or an ill wind, if you prefer. Except tracking the source of a voodoo curse, or determining where a breeze began, might be easier than identifying the many variables of this planned-demic . Truly, the overwhelming information is difficult to process on any given day.

    Last week, I read an article describing how COVID-19 is a hoax propagandized by the media and, a few minutes later, I watched a video of a survival expert (whom I very much respect) chastise those who are not taking COVID-19 seriously as a genuine health threat.

    Then, I was informed of an acquaintance dying from coronavirus. I knew the man personally and the last time we spoke he was telling me about his new girlfriend. His death was deemed notable enough to have a write-up included into the COVID-19 series of a national newspaper; and that's how I learned he died – when someone sent me the link. I'll also say he was in his seventies and his blood pressure was so high his eyes were constantly bloodshot.

    So did he die with COVID-19 or from COVID-19? Yes, he did.

    Indeed, lots of variables to consider. And it's tricky because health policies are a matter of public concern AND private responsibility. It's why considering the variables requires balance and common sense. Yet, unsurprisingly, it's become obvious COVID-19 has been politicized by some and even commandeered by others for purposes of power consolidation and achieving authoritarian goals.

    Certainly, the virus doesn't need to be devastatingly lethal in order to accomplish the objectives of the globalists. At any given time, the ship of state progresses via (what I have designated as) the "Bulbous Bow of Confusion" , or, rather, competing narratives.

    Two physicians who own five urgent care locations in Kern County California recently posted a viral YouTube video citing their own COVID-19 data and calling for an end to the draconian lockdowns. Their names are Dr. Dan Erickson and Dr. Artin Massihi and the data they compiled acted as a "resistance wave" to countermand the official narrative put forth by ( as I've identified in past articles ) the likes of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), World Health Organization (WHO), The Gates Foundation, John Hopkins University, and UK's The Guardian.

    Yet, today, if you click on any previous articles where the doctors' viral videos were once posted you will see they've been taken down; and even their other videos queued in the threads of the articles have been transitioned into dead links by our benefactors at YouTube.

    Truly, censorship is the validation of ideas as the most powerful force on earth; because if you now search for the two doctors by name on YouTube, you will find a video stamped with the Washington Post logo describing "What Dan Erickson and Artin Massihi get wrong about coronavirus" .

    Meanwhile, The Guardian, whose entire Global Development section is underwritten by the Gates Foundation , describes how scientists have found more evidence that Coronavirus can travel on air pollution particles .

    Scary, huh?

    Especially, when considering how another Gates Foundation subsidiary , the World Health Organization (WHO), has warned the worst of the virus is still ahead and that "people will need to get used to a new way of living" .

    To be sure, the billionaires are committed. They can't go back now and this is why they are on full offense in the narrative war. It means no expense will be spared in the media onslaught until every person in the world fears COVID-19 being spread from cats and farts . It's also why various treatments are claimed to be ineffective and only the five innovations proposed by the New American King should be considered:

    [Bill Gates] said the innovations needed to come in five areas: treatments, vaccines, testing, contact tracing, and policies for reopening the economy.

    But what about Trump? He is still the U.S. President, right?

    In past postings, I've exhaustively considered Trump as a possible "movie" or "reality TV show". My article entitled "Personal Politics, Public Impeachment, Persuasion and Post-Apocalyptic Planning" also discussed how the Military Industrial Complex has NOT grown weaker in the decades since Eisenhower and Kennedy – and, in fact, cited the trend of its growing strength from Abe Lincoln through the creation of the Federal Reserve, and Woodrow Wilson, onward.

    I've additionally speculated in previous writings President Trump as one of the following:

    1.) The Real Deal – fighting the Dark Lords out of love of country

    2.) Being used by the Dark Powers unwittingly

    3.) A Judas Goat

    At this point in time, it appears the possibility of # 1 is fading, if not having been completely debunked as of this writing.

    So, given #'s 2 & 3 above, I've previously questioned if Trump was elected as a " bleeding of the brake lines " prior to the " big stop " (i.e. end of America).

    Therefore, what if the Trump Reality TV Show® was meant to demonstrate the sheer power of "The Controllers" and their ability to convert the globe into One World under Communism? And, furthermore, what if the 2016 Presidential Election was staged to illustrate to all nations the futility of resistance?

    Consider the waves that have crashed upon Trump's shores over the past four years: Russiagate/Mueller, Ukrainian Impeachment, and, now, COVID-19. Each of these consecutive waves were increasingly consequential from a historical perspective.

    Is the war to "drain-the-swamp" real? Because, if not, the battle lines have been made clear and the tech gods have cataloged our IP addresses.

    Which brings us back to Bill Gates: His digital fingerprints are all over the COVID-19 virus because, in the years prior, Gates worked to strategically monopolize global health including research , governance , and reporting . In addition, his dirty hands have reached into online data, U.S. intelligence, mainstream media, the GAVI Vaccine Alliance , and Microsoft's ID2020 digital ID initiative. Plus, the Gates Foundation has donated the most private money to the World Health Organization (WHO), subsidized the October 2019 "Event 201" pandemic exercise , and even sponsored an event that was labeled communist propaganda – the globally televised "Together at Home" elitist infomercial ;

    Since the United States recently suspended its payments to the WHO, the organization's biggest contributor is now the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. Another major contributor to the WHO is the GAVI Alliance (formerly the Global Alliance for Vaccines and Immunisation). Both of these organizations are also part of ID2020, an organization that is advocating for the use of vaccines to implement a global digital ID system using tattoos or microchips.

    And just as the company Gates founded (Microsoft) recently released, and then recalled, a "luciferian" advertisement starring "spirit-cooking" priestess Marina Abramović , the Gates' World Health Organization (WHO) mandates have allowed "heroes" to arrest mothers on playgrounds in front of their children .

    Honestly, it really does add an entirely fresh perspective on the words of Isaiah 5:20 :

    "Woe to those who call evil good, and good evil; Who put darkness for light, and light for darkness; Who put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!"

    Now, paradoxically, a new bioluminescent vaccine is making headlines. If you can believe this it's called "Luciferase" and it can store vaccination history through a new dye made available with MIT research funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation .

    Wow, that was fast, huh?

    Or was it planned? And for those who would say it was planned, would you call them "conspiracy theorists"? But, seriously, is it really conspiracy if it's all been published ?

    Because, over the decades, it has become quite evident that wealthy individuals, influential families, and powerful organizations and corporations have coopted nation-states in order to unite the globe. World War I delivered the League of Nations and World War II brought about the United Nations. Since then, the billionaire round-table groups have only grown more interconnected as Davos Men planned and the Bilderberg's conspired .

    The modern era has progressed by committee; and to the giant sucking sounds as predicted by former presidential candidate Ross Perot.

    In 2010, the Rockefeller Foundation and the Global Business Network drafted a document entitled " Scenarios for the Future of Technology and International Development " which outlined the following potential plans schemes through 2030: " Lock Step ", " Clever Together ", " Hack Attack ", and " Smart Scramble ".

    The first link below is a 54-page (2.29 MB sized) PDF file. Even if the Bill Gates' inspired MS Windows gives you a virus warning, just know the file can be viewed (or downloaded) with no issues. Or, if you would rather watch a one-hour, forty-two-minute video presentation, just click on link # 2 below:

    1.) PDF FILE: Scenarios for the Future of Technology and International Development

    2.) VIDEO (1:42:34): COVID – LOCKDOWN – GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY – the PLAN

    Note that on page 18 of the PDF (#1 above), the "Lock Step" scenario describes a 2012 pandemic leading to a global economic collapse followed by oppressive authoritarian controls:

    In 2012, the pandemic that the world had been anticipating for years finally hit. Unlike 2009's H1N1, this new influenza strain -- originating from wild geese -- was extremely virulent and deadly. Even the most pandemic-prepared nations were quickly overwhelmed when the virus streaked around the world The pandemic also had a deadly effect on economies: international mobility of both people and goods screeched to a halt, debilitating industries like tourism and breaking global supply chains. Even locally, normally bustling shops and office buildings sat empty for months, devoid of both employees and customers.

    . The United States' initial policy of "strongly discouraging" citizens from flying proved deadly in its leniency, accelerating the spread of the virus not just within the U.S. but across borders. However, a few countries did fare better -- China in particular. The Chinese government's quick imposition and enforcement of mandatory quarantine for all citizens, as well as its instant and near-hermetic sealing off of all borders, saved millions of lives, stopping the spread of the virus far earlier than in other countries and enabling a swifter post-pandemic recovery.

    China's government was not the only one that took extreme measures to protect its citizens from risk and exposure. During the pandemic, national leaders around the world flexed their authority and imposed airtight rules and restrictions, from the mandatory wearing of face masks to body-temperature checks at the entries to communal spaces like train stations and supermarkets. Even after the pandemic faded, this more authoritarian control and oversight of citizens and their activities stuck and even intensified. In order to protect themselves from the spread of increasingly global problems -- from pandemics and transnational terrorism to environmental crises and rising poverty -- leaders around the world took a firmer grip on power.

    At first, the notion of a more controlled world gained wide acceptance and approval. Citizens willingly gave up some of their sovereignty -- and their privacy -- to more paternalistic states in exchange for greater safety and stability. Citizens were more tolerant, and even eager, for top-down direction and oversight, and national leaders had more latitude to impose order in the ways they saw fit. In developed countries, this heightened oversight took many forms: biometric IDs for all citizens, for example, and tighter regulation of key industries whose stability was deemed vital to national interests.

    Sound familiar? Because this was the dialectic with which we were presented: " Herd Immunity® " (an Orwellian term befitting cattle) or " Continuous" COVID-19®. And what did American's chose? They picked " continuous ", Alex, for $1,200 per U.S. citizen. And as we Flattened the Curve ®, the CDC broadcasted concerns regarding second waves of coronaviruses as telescreens the world over warned of mutant strains of coronaviruses more contagious than the original .

    Yes. Both Coronavirus®, and Big Brother, Incorporated have marched forward unencumbered.

    But as people sheltered in their homes they saw "conservative" Never-Trumpers weaponize the ghost of Ronald Reagan against the Bad Orange Man® with a video entitled "Mourning in America" . It was too cute by half. Then, fortunately, as the world remained mystified by "covid toes" , the president tweeted back at the Never-Trump "losers" in the most ingenious and gratifying ways.

    And Trump is just getting warmed up. No doubt his Zoom® debates with Biden are bound to be hilarious. Unless Whistleblowergate Part Deux is the silver-bullet that will stop the Bad Orange Man® once and for all?

    (CNN) Dr. Rick Bright, the ousted director of the office involved in developing a coronavirus vaccine, formally filed an extensive whistleblower complaint Tuesday alleging his early warnings about the coronavirus were ignored and that his caution at a treatment favored by President Donald Trump led to his removal.

    For the Democrats, the future looks "Bright", no?

    In my previous article entitled "On Used Cars, Haircuts, and Buyers Beware" , I referenced "Hegelian Polemics" and therein linked an article entitled "Hegelian Dialectic: A Tool To Enslave Humanity" .

    What I found interesting in that article is how it identified "opposing sides" (i.e. opposites) as "capstones" on the bottom of the "pyramid" – with the top capstone (eye) as representative of the final action:

    The chess board is a well-known Masonic or Hegelian symbol, the black and white squares symbolize control through duality in the grand game of life in all aspects. Left or right, white or black people, conservative or liberal, democrat or republican, Christian or Muslim and so on. Through two opposing parties control is gained as both parties reach the same destination, which is order through guided conflict or chaos.

    Left (thesis) versus right (antithesis) equals middle ground or control (synthesis). The triangle and all seeing eye we see so often symbolizes the completion of the great work

    The pyramid is supported by the bottom opposing sides. The capstone at the top is established through controlled solution or middle ground.

    In my piece entitled "On Channel Surfing, Circus Acts, and Time Passages" , I discussed the 1927 movie "Metropolis" as a favorite of the occult. The words that appear on the screen at the end of that film are these:

    THE MEDIATOR BETWEEN THE HEAD AND HANDS MUST BE THE HEART!

    A 2010 article posted on TheVigilantCitizen.com speculated on the "mediator" as the electronic media which manipulates the plebes (workers) on behalf of the head (controllers).

    To be sure, the Modern Centralizers craft their new realities by means of the Orwellian Media. It's why they call it programming . And what better way to manipulate the emotions (hearts) of people than by fiction and fear?

    With that in mind, I now call your attention to the below video link of the opening ceremonies for the 2012 Olympics:

    The Complete London 2012 Opening Ceremony | London 2012 Olympic Games

    If one cares to click that link and view the segment shown between the 45 and 55 minute marks, they will see what appears to be a staged viral pandemic. The drama takes place beneath black pyramids malevolently towering over the stadium (and the crowd) and ends with the appearance of a giant, creepy-looking baby; or maybe a still-birth – it's hard to tell.

    At the 45 to 47 minute mark, we see kids in hospital beds surrounded by dancing nurses and doctors. At around the 47:30 mark, the medical staff/dancers put the kids to bed and with fingers over their months, urging silence. What appears to be a giant virus then appears center-stage at the around the 48 minute mark.

    Then, around the 49 minute mark, Harry Potter author J.K. Rowling reads from Peter Pan and says: "But in the two minutes before you go to sleep, it is real ". Next, shadowy virus-looking demons take the stage to chase the children, and dark horses towing a magician and a steel cage glide behind an oriental woman who is looking elsewhere as the pandemic commences.

    The 49:50 mark shows what appears to be a giant (British Prime Minister) Boris Johnson sick in bed.

    Finally, as the dark magicians cast their spells and the viruses dance, the nurses and doctors appear paralyzed and robotic – like puppets (50:45 to 51:45 mark) before Mary Poppins figures descend from the sky.

    In my research, I found another article by the Vigilant Citizen dated August 17, 2012 , and it had this to say back then regarding the opening ceremonies of the 2012 Olympics:

    The next important sequence of the ceremony paid tribute to the National Health Service (NHS) and Great Ormond Street Hospital (GOSH). The set combined sick kids on hospital beds with characters from English children's literature and had a very strange and dark undertone from the start, when it began with the theme from The Exorcist, which is, in case you don't know, a movie about a child possessed by the Devil. Odd choice.

    The sequence begins with children on hospital beds who get put to sleep by nurses. Then J.K. Rowling appears and reads a quote from Peter Pan alluding to Neverland, which becomes real in the "two minutes before you go to sleep". I couldn't say if that was done on purpose, but many elements of this set, mostly the mix of vulnerable children in a hospital with fairy tales and the concept of blurring the lines between reality and fiction, are all associated with mind control programming. Like the Wizard of Oz and Alice of Wonderland, the story of Peter Pan is heavily used in mind control programming as victims are told to escape to "Neverland" while inducing dissociation from reality.

    The same article also addressed the 2012 Olympic closing ceremonie s (video at this link) and showing a new world order rising like a phoenix; while referencing The Who, no less.

    At midnight, the Olympic cauldron and the petals representing each country are slowly extinguished, but the phoenix, representing the occult elite and the New World Order, stays lit above it. In other words, as the nations of the world slowly disappear, a New World Order will emerge. On that note, let's listen to The Who!

    Of course, listen to The Who rock band? Or the World Health Organization (WHO)? Coincidence or conspiracy? You're probably right.

    So, to summarize: 2012 was the same year the Rockefeller Foundation predicted the "Lock Step" pandemic scenario as the Olympic ceremonies that year showed opposing sides battling over children during the opening ceremonies and followed by the resolution in the closing ceremonies: A new phoenix rising from the ashes – like a new world order.

    Order out of chaos.

    Therefore, if COVID-19 was, indeed, a PLANdemic perpetrated by dark forces, was my aforementioned friend murdered by those who now want us to self-quarantine and wear masks for the safety of those being murdered? Most likely; because observing luciferian pedophiles through their symbols is like identifying hidden planets via the observed effects of gravitation, or studying game theory when the game is rigged.

    It's how we can identify who "they" are, but only for people willing to first acknowledge that "they" exist. Unfortunately, it's a wasted effort on most. One might as well don a tinfoil hat and chase shadows on a magic pony.

    Therefore, perhaps it's easier to digest the words of physician and former Presidential Candidate Ron Paul when it comes to explaining Coronavirus tyranny, forced vaccinations and 'Digital Certificates' :

    Proponents of mandatory vaccines and enhanced surveillance are trying to blackmail the American people by arguing that the lockdown cannot end unless we create a healthcare surveillance state and make vaccination mandatory. The growing number of Americans who are tired of not being able to go to work, school, or church, or even to take their children to a park because of government mandates should reject this "deal." Instead, they should demand an immediate end to the lockdowns and the restoration of individual responsibility for deciding how best to protect their health.

    Regrettably, it was supposed to be a season of graduation parties, weddings, and Fourth of July celebrations. But these have been displaced by lockdowns, social distancing, bodies in refrigerated trucks, fear, magic spells, and propaganda.

    Fox News Host Tucker Carlson has even recently bemoaned the New America's resemblance to communist China :

    Big companies partnering with the government to spy on you without your knowledge. Americans locked in their homes, banned from going to church, placated with sedatives like beer and weed. Anyone who speaks up is silenced. Political demonstrations are illegal. Organizers are arrested. Only opinions approved by unelected leaders are allowed on information platforms. Sound familiar? It sounds a lot like China. Of all the many ironies of this moment, so many of them bitter, the hardest to swallow is this: as we fight this virus, we are becoming far more like the country that spawned it. We're becoming more like China. It's horrifying.

    Those in power are the ones the our professional class seeks to protect, not the country. Freedom of conscience never endangers the public. It only threatens the powerful. It endangers their control. It hinders their ability to dictate election results, to loot the economy, to make policies based on whim for their own gain. No wonder our leaders have done such a poor job protecting us from China. They're on the same team.

    – Tucker Carlson Tonight: Tuesday, April 28, 2020

    Sadly, it appears Trump may be a crisis actor, like Anthony Fauci , and part of the plan from the start. The final details were solidified years ago – including the bioengineered PLANdemic.

    China is quite likely part of the plan, too, since One World Under Communism has become the desired destination of the billionaires; with millions dying along the way. For those who do survive, they'll be allowed to work , consume , and obey . Of course, many Americans will not cooperate with their planned demise and this is why The Central Planners will need a great big war.

    Both President Trump and his Secretary of State, Mike Pompeo, are tying Coronavirus to the "government laboratory in Wuhan" and now the Chinese are warning of possible armed conflict with the U.S. over the COVID-19 backlash ­.

    Most recently, in an Oval Office Press conference on May 6, 2020, Trump actually blamed China for Coronavirus while claiming it is the "worst attack we've ever had" :

    "This is worse than Pearl Harbor, this is worse than the World Trade Center. There's never been an attack like this.

    – President Donald Trump – May 6, 2020

    It means events could potentially occur as follows: As soon as rock-solid proof is revealed that China released the virus to take out Trump because our great president was winning the trade wars, then, the Orange-Haired Wonder will rally national support via sorrowful lamentations while standing tall on reality TV amidst the economic ruins.

    A bumbling first strike by the U.S. could allow a Sino-Russian alliance to seal America's fate once and for all; and most likely by nuclear means.

    Then any surviving sheeple will eagerly line up for the Bill Gates of Hell special: A free digital tattoo along with a bonus vaccination and bowl of soup.

    Welcome to the end of the rainbow. Orwell was right: we've always been at war with Eastasia and jackboots will stomp on human faces forever. Unless, that is, the digital drip-drops from Q-anon and our online commentaries change the future.

    Conclusion

    Those gathering at the round tables have been tremendously successful in our societal programming . Yet most of them are mere puppets to the inner rings of concentric power. The monsters that once lurked under our beds were set loose years ago and, today, they dress in drag and read to kids in libraries while others wear blue uniforms and arrest mothers for taking kids to playgrounds.

    And where are the men of action? Where are the lovers of liberty? In my area, they've been fishing. And grilling. And why not? Trump is in the White House while Nancy Pelosi is locked in her gourmet kitchen eating fancy ice cream. The stimulus checks are in the bank, the grocery stores are still open, and if the fish aren't biting, those who would stand up to tyranny can always grab a bucket of chicken through the KFC drive-thru on the way home. At least for now.

    As far as national lockdowns go, this has been the best one ever. So far.

    For obvious reasons, I've been thinking of the autistic livestock guru Temple Grandin and how she pioneered more humane methods of leading animals to slaughter. One of the methods was to have cattle march to their demise single file via tall shutes. That sort of isolation seems reminiscent of what's occurring in America now – with people staring at walls, muzzled by masks, and numbly following orders while remaining six-feet apart.

    How can people resist when they've been fooled? How can they fight back when they're frightened? And why have they placed their hope in safety instead of liberty ?

    Good questions.

    Real hope remains in the smart choices, right actions, and the prepping and survival decisions made every day by those awake and aware. But no matter what the future holds, may all reading this be surrounded by friends and loved ones who know Epstein didn't kill himself.

    [May 05, 2020] The real blame China has is not coverup but that the opposite: Overreaction When China ordered a province-wide Lockdown, it persuaded enough people that this was uniquely terrifying a virus as to merit extreme measures, setting stage for worldwide panic.

    May 05, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Hail , May 4 2020 19:14 utc | 10

    The real blame China has is not "coverup" but that the opposite: Overreaction When China ordered a province-wide Lockdown, it persuaded enough people that this was uniquely terrifying a virus as to merit extreme measures, setting stage for worldwide panic.

    What if they were wrong?

    We now know large declines in the transmission rate occurred BEFORE the lockdowns, meaning simple voluntary measures under a Swedish-style Stay Open scenario were enough:

    The coronavirus transmission rate ("R0") fell long before the Lockdown orders; What caused the decline?

    The other finding is that, one way or another, this flu-epidemic passes as all others have. It's actually good news, because it means the worst fears were wrong and we can re-open.

    [May 04, 2020] Fauci vs Atlas and Ioannides. Who will wear the dunce cap

    Notable quotes:
    "... Mnuchin said today that it is too early to say whether international travel will open back up before the end of the year ..."
    May 04, 2020 | turcopolier.typepad.com

    "The basis of reassuring the public about re-entry is repeating the facts about the threat and who it targets . By now, studies from Europe and the U.S . all suggest that the overall fatality rate is far lower than early estimates. And we know who to protect, because this disease – by the evidence – is not equally dangerous across the population. In Michigan's Oakland County , 75 percent of deaths were in those over 70 years old; 91 percent were in people over 60, similar to what was noted in New York . And younger, healthier people have virtually zero risk of death and little risk of serious disease; as I have noted before, under one percent of New York City's hospitalizations have been patients under 18 years of age, and less than one percent of deaths at any age are in the absence of underlying conditions.

    Here are specific and logical steps to end the lockdown and safely restore normal life:

    First , let's finally focus on protection for the most vulnerable -- that means nursing home patients, who are already living under controlled access. This would include strictly regulating all who enter and care for nursing home members by requiring testing and protective masks for all who interact with these highly vulnerable people. Specifically, nursing home workers should be tested for COVID-19 antibodies, and if negative, for virus to exclude infection, to ensure safety of senior residents. No COVID-19-positive patient can resume residence until definitively cleared by testing.

    We should continue to inform the public about what they have already successfully learned regarding the at-risk group. That means issuing rational guidelines advising the highest standards of hygiene and appropriate social distancing while interacting with elderly friends and family members at risk, including those with diabetes, obesity and other chronic conditions.

    Second , those with mild symptoms of the illness should strictly self-isolate for two weeks. It's not urgent to test them -- simply assume they have the infection. That includes confinement at home, having the highest concern for sanitization and wearing protective masks when others in their homes enter the same room." Dr. Scott Atlas in The Hill

    ---------------

    It should be mentioned that Dr. John Ioannides, a leading epidemiologist at Stanford agrees with Dr. Atlas.

    I saw Atlas on a news program a day or so ago. The anchor looked frightened by what Atlas was saying. This is understandable. The COVID panic is now so deeply embedded and pervasive that to question the rationale for the shut-down of the economy is equivalent to heresy in a theocratic state.

    IMO the road back economically is going to be slow and difficult. I hope I am wrong. pl

    https://thehill.com/opinion/healthcare/495833-how-to-open-society-using-medical-science-and-logic?fbclid=IwAR2nEYTdayVhhU47mmrIZ9FawIw9M6I2yTtOAyKhNvv0wLdSv_R4Xw6vhFI


    Diana Croissant , 04 May 2020 at 09:38 AM

    I hope you are wrong, too. I am tired of the drama and hysteria.

    Still, I do want the investigations into China's culpability for the
    result of their "accident" or of their planned upheaval of the rest of the world.

    I just want to trust some designated "expert" to tell us when when we can put away the masks and can take up hugging our friends and shaking hands while smiling and meeting new acquaintances. What is a church service without that and all the stories of Christs care and concern for the "untouchables" of the world?

    J , 04 May 2020 at 10:40 AM
    Colonel,

    Beijing is getting very nervous. Take a look at Reuter's report:

    Exclusive: Internal Chinese report warns Beijing faces Tiananmen-like global backlash over virus

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-china-sentiment-ex/exclusive-internal-chinese-report-warns-beijing-faces-tiananmen-like-global-backlash-over-virus-idUSKBN22G19C

    Seems the CCP's MSS's think-tank CICR compiled an Intelligence Report of their own warning of possible armed conflict with U.S..

    IMO it's hoped that our IC will realize that this virus doesn't jump ship into the human sphere on its own naturally without 'human tweaking in a lab' which then provides a bridge from which the virus could go from bats to the human sphere. And why would the CCP/MSS play such a dangerous game? -- Bio-weapons R&D.

    Eric Newhill , 04 May 2020 at 10:59 AM
    There can be little doubt that the fascist/socialist/anti-Trump elements in this country have seized upon the presence of the virus to attempt to destroy Trump's chances in November and to bring about greater state control of citizens. This immediately after the lame impeachment plot failed to remove Trump; which was right after the lame Russian collusion plot failed to remove Trump.

    I don't think it's paranoid to consider that China released the virus on the US at a time when President Trump is engaging in a major trade war with the Chinese, as a tactic in fighting that war.

    The Ionides/Atlas clinical perspective has been known to be correct - based on data - since March, yet the Democrat controlled states continue to double down on state control of their populations and destruction of their economies.

    The Left has become a collection of kamikazes. The elites can ride this out. They have money. They are hoping that when the economy is in ashes, all of the starving little people will come into their open arms.

    In 1968 another Asian virus, known as the Hong Kong flu, arrived in the US. It began killing Americans noticeably in 1969. As this was occurring, the Woodstock music festival was planned. The festival went off with now famous record crowd numbers during the peak of the virus. No one seemed to care. That virus ultimately killed 100,000 Americans (not Woodstock attendees); more than covid, even if you believe the artificially inflated covid figures. That was at a time when the population of the US was far less. So a far greater % died than covid.

    We've been here before folks. It's the reaction that is different this time. The reaction is driven by internal and external political objectives of massive importance for our future as a free society.

    Free people need to be able to make these decisions on their own. Give them clear information and let them decide their next move. Keep the government "experts" out of the decision making process. I believe that as the weather improves and the economic hardship increases, Americans will turn on the fascist/socialist elites and take their lives back. The vulnerable and the cowards will self-isolate. I further believe Americans will do what they need to to get the economy going again, buying American made only, patronizing small businesses beyond what they normally would and voting for pro-American candidates (i.e. the Democrats lose big time).

    Deap , 04 May 2020 at 11:11 AM
    What should we be doing every "flu season"?

    What have we done every flu season that has resulted in very similar numbers and population groups affected. How, in fact, is this one materially different.

    Barbara Ann , 04 May 2020 at 11:13 AM
    Mnuchin said today that it is too early to say whether international travel will open back up before the end of the year . Coincidentally, I also came across a Twitter poll of 15,000 people with the the following question & results:

    "Hypothetically, if everything opens up tomorrow when would you fly again?"

    - Immediately 25%
    - 2-3 months 20%
    - 3-6 months 26%
    - 1 year or more 29%

    Hardly scientific and I've no idea of the demographic or geographic spread of respondents, but it seems pretty clear many people remain fearful.

    https://twitter.com/chigrl/status/1257097868919406594

    David Solomon , 04 May 2020 at 11:18 AM
    Colonel Lang, As to economic recovery I suggest listening to this podcast with Nouriel Roubini.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/audio/2020-05-03/nouriel-roubini-sees-a-bad-recovery-and-a-depression-podcast

    TV , 04 May 2020 at 11:20 AM
    The Democrat-media hysteria HAS been deeply ingrained.
    The mass of people have - not surprisingly - turned out to be lambs (baby sheep).
    Each person is responsible for managing their own life - which includes risk.
    Unfortunately, the population of lambs has been trained over the years to look for mommy government to manage their risk - mandatory seat belt laws come to mind.
    Ben Franklin said it succinctly:
    "Those who would give up essential Liberty, to purchase a little temporary Safety, deserve neither Liberty nor Safety."
    PJ20 , 04 May 2020 at 11:30 AM
    There is widespread criticism of Ioannides two Covid studies, including the use of an unapproved antibody tests which is known to give false positives; statistical flaws, and recruiting volunteers for the sampling via Facebook, as well as the wife of a study co-author to call and recruit parents from her kids school.

    Here is an excerpt from an article on the controversy.

    ""My quick take is that something really odd is going on with Ioannidis," wrote Alexander Rubinsteyn, a geneticist and computational biologist at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, in an email to Undark. Rubinsteyn suggested that Ioannidis may simply be "so attached to being the iconoclast that defies conventional wisdom that he's unintentionally doing horrible science."

    He added: "Pretty much no one with statistical acumen believes these studies.""https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/23/coronavirus-antibody-studies-california-stanford

    Patrick Armstrong , 04 May 2020 at 11:48 AM
    Here's who Ioannidis is https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2010/11/lies-damned-lies-and-medical-science/308269/
    JJackson , 04 May 2020 at 11:57 AM
    In areas where the health system is not under stress this makes perfect sense. I would give the hugging, handshaking and church services a miss and maintain the social distancing at work and when out of the house as far as is practical. It needs to be done with lots of testing, contact tracing and case isolation. Knowledge and common sense on everyone's part will work. Limited local shutdown may be needed if cases start climbing in some areas.
    BillWade , 04 May 2020 at 12:22 PM
    Our restaurants open today in most of Florida. In spite of needing our hair attended to, we will eat out both lunch and dinner. Sadly, some of our restaurants are closing for good. My wife tells me that local Facebook is about evenly divided about going out now. I don't get it as these folks have been gathering in the supermarkets the whole time.
    turcopolier , 04 May 2020 at 12:40 PM
    All

    Explain to me what anti-body testing does for us as a population other than allow mapping the extent of infection.

    Eric Newhill , 04 May 2020 at 12:42 PM
    PJ20,
    Except the results of the Ionides study have been replicated several times now elsewhere in the country, including NYC.
    AK , 04 May 2020 at 12:46 PM
    Diana Croissant,

    "I just want to trust some designated 'expert' to tell us when when we can put away the masks and can take up hugging our friends and shaking hands while smiling and meeting new acquaintances. What is a church service without that and all the stories of Christs care and concern for the 'untouchables' of the world?"

    I think that "expert" you seek is going to have to be the person you see in the mirror every morning. The "designated experts" have no interest in encouraging you to go back to living a life you love. As Eric Newhill stated, it's going to be up to free-thinking adults to make those decisions for themselves. If you expect or hope for "experts" to protect you from yourself, then you have too much faith in "experts" and in government. Take sensible precautions as they relate to your own risk demographic and respect other people making those choices for themselves. Otherwise let's all get on living like Americans.

    ST Harris , 04 May 2020 at 12:55 PM
    Even in blissful 'pre rona' December the Fed's repo market had been sounding the alarms that a serious bubble recession was coming. Nothing apparently was fixed from the last wall street megadooshbaggery meltdown. See:

    https://www.housingwire.com/articles/wells-fargo-joins-chase-in-halting-helocs/

    This means that even those who built up real estate equity will have a difficult time short term liquifying that equity, which means that Chase, Wells Fargo, et al have a lot of pessimism about the US real estate market, the thing they have made so much money on last few years, and which they were supposed to have fixed.

    well pilgrims ;) not only is the economy enduring sudden searing pandemic pain, it is also feeling the beginning of a big bubble popping recession, which everybody in the financial world was already freaking about well before the rona arrived. Perhaps endless Fed QE can prop up equities markets through November, perhaps, but then it's all bets off into 2021 as numerous wall street debts scams will have to be deleveraged.

    Eric Newhill , 04 May 2020 at 01:21 PM
    Sir,
    In the spirit of fairness, anti-body testing would allow scientists to identify who has the anti-bodies and then track them to see if they become re-infected and, if so, at what level of severity. That would shed light on the "herd immunity" theory (i.e. is there such a thing and, if so, to what extent?).

    Otherwise, calls for "universal testing" are just sound bites born of confusion and panic, at best; another means of violating the rights of Americans at worst (e.g. making people wear yellow stars, carrying papers that allow them to enjoy full or truncated societal "privelges").

    The Twisted Genius , 04 May 2020 at 01:25 PM
    pl,

    Widespread antibody testing will show covid-19 is more contagious than a lot of diseases, but not not near as deadly as most people think. People will see they had it, didn't even know it and are now immune to it at least in the near term. Fear will be deflated. We will then have a known large segment of the population known to not capable of further spreading the virus and a ready supply of antibody serum as an effective treatment for those who do get infected. That will also diminish fear.

    Covid-19 and our response to it is as much a political issue as it is a public health issue. Trump was going to run on a booming economy. If he wants to get back to that strategy, he has to banish the fear of the virus. That will get everyone back to work so they can eat and pay rent, as well as continue to piss away their money on crap they don't need. Our economy depends on all that. If Trump is smart, he best get to stepping and institute a nationwide antibody testing program.

    Eric Newhill , 04 May 2020 at 01:26 PM
    And Fauci has already been awarded the dunce cap with his 1980s assertion that HIV was going kill us all. So I guess for his most recent action he gets the dunce cap with slide rule cluster.
    Deap , 04 May 2020 at 01:29 PM
    A cruise passenger interests website offered another informal poll - are you willing to cruise again: 64% said as much as in the past; 10% said they would cruise even more to help get the industry back on its feet. Therefore, in this obviously interested sample, 75% want the cruise industry to start up again. Yesterday. 25% will choose to wait or not cruise again.

    The cruise industry passenger base remains willing and loyal. In fact they are probably better trained in personal hygiene habits than most having had to deal with noro (aka tourista ) in the past and a typical URI complaint commonly called" cruise crud" that was most likely picked up on the air flight to get to the cruise port. The real numbers of disease and mortality overall within this industry do not support the screaming head llnes and lurid reporting.

    turcopolier , 04 May 2020 at 01:40 PM
    TTG

    It remains to be seen if one infection makes an individual immune for some time. IMO we should follow the Atlas/Ioannides formula. I noticed in re-reading "Sharpsburg," that Hunter McGuire appears therein.

    Deap , 04 May 2020 at 01:44 PM
    What does an anti-body test do? I just had one last week and awaiting the results - was a cruise passenger and international air passenger during the month of January in a later suspected area. (not Asia).

    Here is why I did the anti-body test: (Quest Labs - fee service, no RX- 99% accuracy - drawn blood vial test)

    1. Helps substantiate dates and areas of transmission that may not yet be in the data pool.

    2. Tracks the rates of asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic cases occurring among the "elderly", in order to see if there is an enhanced risk of not in this age group, if there are no underlying co-morbidities.

    3. Adds demographic data specific for the travel industry.

    4. Allows possible donation of anti-body serum for research and perhaps mitigation of those who are affected.

    5. Personal peace of mind -been there and done that. Freedom to move about.

    6. Provides baseline for duration of immunity; resilience of immunity or data showing re-infection can be possible.

    Primarily it is for data gathering to help stop the hysteria. That was worth the time, money and blood donation for me. We will never know the true extent of this virus, its impacts, its initial modeling accuracy until we start plugging facts into the "expert" hypotheticals.

    Taking one for the team is the way I see it. Will I now become a local Typhoid Mary and our house burned down if this data becomes known? Or will people stop walking out into the roadway in faux deference to my advanced age as I pass by, from our deliciously virtue signaling "progressive" population in blue state California.

    turcopolier , 04 May 2020 at 01:44 PM
    All

    Am I right or wrong in thinking that when the injected liquidity plus existing cash exceeds the amount of money that would haven been in the economy at this point then the currency will begin to inflate?

    turcopolier , 04 May 2020 at 01:47 PM
    Deap

    "Provides baseline for duration of immunity; resilience of immunity or data showing re-infection can be possible. Primarily it is for data gathering to help stop the hysteria." Yes

    Oilman2 , 04 May 2020 at 01:54 PM
    Colonel, you are NOT wrong. The oil business in America is going to take a very long time to recover. There are complete shutterings of businesses, bankruptcies and more - all while we were in the middle of a downturn. Personally, I just folded up my tent because my my active client list went from 21 to zero over this last month (and that includes intl clients).

    As the number one buyer of US steel, the oilpatch represents much more than people realize. We have also been the number one buyer of many other items - where sales have disappeared as company quietly and reluctantly face the reality of the current induced glut.

    I'm being forced to change livelihoods - interesting for me, as I am short of the age to get my SS check and too old to employ by most corporate masters....

    The Twisted Genius , 04 May 2020 at 02:06 PM
    pl,

    Yes, I noticed Hunter Holmes when I reread Chancellorsville this time. I knew nothing about him until you mentioned him a while back. He also founded what is now the VCU Medical Center and was president of the AMA for a time. There is a statue of him on the State Capitol grounds, but i haven't seen it yet.

    [May 04, 2020] Who and why spreads ridiculous rumors about coronavirus

    Highly recommended!
    Notable quotes:
    "... during such catastrophes, a large number of people find themselves in a state where they realize that they cannot control their lives. They don't know what will happen in the near future. The state of complete uncertainty makes people much more susceptible to conspiracy theories, and also makes them repost information that they doubt is true. People think: "What if it's true" - and try to warn others about the "impending danger". ..."
    "... Fake information is mostly launched because of a sense of concern. During a period of turmoil and uncertainty, the need to exchange texts increases at times ..."
    May 02, 2020 | vz.ru

    Fakes about coronavirus turn into modern folklore

    "During such disasters, a large number of people find themselves in a state where they realize that they cannot control their lives. They don't know what will happen in the near future. The state of complete uncertainty makes people much more susceptible to conspiracy theories," social anthropologist Anna Kirzyuk told VZGLYAD newspaper. She explained why the Internet is flooded with the most unthinkable fakes dedicated to COVID-19.

    This week, the Supreme court of Russia clarified the use of articles of the criminal code for spreading fake news and rumors about coronavirus. Criminal liability starts when dissemination of information create circumstances which pose a threat to the life and health of people. It occurs if the author knew about the falsity of the reports, but gave them credibility.

    A wave of false reports about coronavirus in Russia appeared in mid-March, and this flow continues to this day. On Thursday, the Prosecutor General's office recognized fake and demanded to block access to reports that the new coronavirus was allegedly created in the Novosibirsk scientific center "Vector" and later brought to China. Earlier, the prosecutors discovered the websites that sell fake medicines and remedies. Another vicious rumor that should entail criminal responsibility is that the patients was forced to pay for treatment. And the Moscow health Department recently denied information that patients with suspected coronavirus are allegedly forced to pay for treatment themselves if they were not hospitalized by an ambulance.

    On Tuesday, the Chairman of the Media Commission of the Public Chamber, Alexander Malkevich, launched the website CoronaFake to combat false information about COVID-19. Also, the "encyclopedia of coronavirus rumors and fakes" has been created and updated on the Internet, which is being developed by professional folklorists and anthropologists. Which might help to fight the rumors. But in a way number of rumors are inverse indicator of the trust to the government.

    About the nature of the appearance of fakes and their impact on daily life newspaper LOOK told one of the authors of the encyclopedia, social anthropologist, PhD, research fellow, school of modern Humanities research, Ranepa Anna Kiresuk.

    VIEW: Anna Andreyevna, at the beginning of the pandemic, there were many fakes about the coronavirus. Now the flow of these fakes is decreasing?

    Anna Kiresuk: The number of fake news about coronavirus probably is not becoming larger or smaller. small number of rumors always exist locally and surface spontaneously nationwide: the appeared periodically in the past and will appear periodically in the future. This probably will continue until the end of the pandemic, or at least the the and of the regime of self-isolation.

    VIEW: Why does the flow of fake news and rumors increase during various social disasters?

    A. K.: during such catastrophes, a large number of people find themselves in a state where they realize that they cannot control their lives. They don't know what will happen in the near future. The state of complete uncertainty makes people much more susceptible to conspiracy theories, and also makes them repost information that they doubt is true. People think: "What if it's true" - and try to warn others about the "impending danger".

    VIEW: Who is the main source of fakes?

    AK: There is no center, no malicious group of people who compose and launch fakes in social networks. It is also impossible to say that a specific person is to blame for the appearance of a fake. Let's say a person leaves a text or a post on a social network. Then this text can be transformed in the process of transmission, become overgrown with new details, and lose its authorship. For example, a person heard two women talking at a bus stop about hundreds of dead people in the local regional hospital, and the authorities allegedly hushed it up. Then he writes about it in some social network message, it begins to "walk" and acquire new details. Who is the author of this message? Women who spoke at the bus stop, the author of the first post in the social network, or those people who repost fake and add comments? It is impossible to talk about authorship here.

    VIEW: in other words, it is common for people, especially in crisis conditions, to exchange unreliable information?

    AK: Of course. There are no people who RUB their hands and think: "But I'm going to start a panic." Fake information is mostly launched because of a sense of concern. During a period of turmoil and uncertainty, the need to exchange texts increases at times .

    When there is a sense of the presence of an indefinite danger outside, whether it is a virus or possible harsh measures by the state, people have an urgent need to be a member of some circle of people who think in the same way, the cicle which provide some kind of mutual cocial support. Fake news are just perverted way to create such a circle.

    OPINION: But how fake rumors help to create such a circle?

    A. K.: Texts that circulate in groups of acquaintances, friends, and relatives somewhat strengthen the feeling that "we are together", "I am not alone", and "others think the same as me". This is a very important function of fake rumors and folklore in General. Launching a text in the public, a person virtually create a check of the correlation of his underanding of the situation and feelings with the understadnng and feelings of the group.

    For example, a person who calls on all citizens to lock their windows at night, because government helicopters will start spraying the virus disinfectant in Moscow. This rumor was popular in mid-March. The author of the message may doubt the reality of this news, but he wants to to get confirmation that he is wrong from his social circle (is somewhat perverted way), to make sure of his suspicions and understanding is right or wrong. He is interested in what his friends in Vkontakte or his colleagues from the work chat in WhatsApp will say about the rumor that he/she spreads. If other people swallow the fake line hook and thinker, he begin to believe that this news is real and his suspicions were not in vain.

    VIEW: In Addition to the "disinfection of the city using helicopters" are are any there other prominent. widespread rumors?

    A. K.: Yes there are. One example, is the rumor about bananas infected with coronavirus. In some regions of Russia, thanks to this rumor, the sales of bananas were reduced. Because many people believed in the validity of such a path infection with the coronavirus.

    There are also a lot of widely circulating rumors with pseudo-medical advice about the usefulness of drinking hot water, applying ginger or eating alkaline foods – there is a market for fake prophylactic methods and fake cures for the coronavirus becuase the danger of infection is real. So some believe that particular stupid actions can be a means of treating and preventing coronavirus. Thanks to the popularity of such pseudo-medical advice, the price of ginger in many cities has soared at times. People rushed to buy ginger, thinking that it protects against the coronavirus by boosting one's immune system.

    The distribution of such texts performs several very important psychological functions at once.

    1. First, it gives people the illusion of control: I know where the danger is coming from, and I can warn others.
    2. Secondly, the distribution of such texts allows a person to feel that he is not alone in feeling anxiety and anxiety. And, third, by distributing such texts, a person can increase their status in this group. The one who warned about the danger, the one-well done. He shares with others the knowledge that is available only to him, but vital for all.

    VIEW: Can we disitinushe beweem fake news about coronavirus and rumors? What is the difference, if any?

    AK: Rumors and fake news or "imporvized news" are identical social phenomena. For example, in some cities there are rumors about the imminent introduction of internal troops and the announcement of a curfew. People tell this rumor to each other in stores, at bus stops, and to their neighbors. At some point, one of the "carriers" infected with this rumor creates and posts a fake document that troops are being drawn to Moscow. He/she may do it as a joke, but at this point, the rumor becomes fake news and the person should face legal responsibility.

    VIEW: What is meant by a fake document? The this a post itself in the social network?

    AK: No. Fake document is a document printed on official letterhead with seals, signatures and other formal attributes, information about the imminent introduction of a curfew is set out. Links to the Ministry of internal Affairs and the mayor's office may be provided. This text may be drawn up on behalf of the Moscow government. Forged seal, signature, outgoing number, coat of arms of the Russian Federation. This is a fake news based on a rumor.

    VIEW: Which category of people are more susceptible to fake information?

    AK: Generally this is difficult to predict. We don't have the tools to predict how different social and educational strata would react. But there rumors and fake news which contains references to scientific and medical authorities or authorities make the text more reliable even for an educated audience.

    In the late 80's, French folklorist Jean-Noel Kapferer investigated the distribution of so-called Villejuif leaflets, which warned that a certain set of food additives (they were designated by numeric letter codes such as E221) is life-threatening and causes cancer. The document was allegedly drawn up on behalf of a clinic in the city of Villejuif, which specialized in the treatment of cancer. These leaflets were dropped into mailboxes and scattered in stores.

    Kapferer found out that thanks to the link to the Villejuif clinic, these leaflets were distributed even by educated people-doctors, teachers. A reference to authority makes the text more reliable.

    [May 03, 2020] The Inevitable Coronavirus Censorship Crisis is Here - Reporting by Matt Taibbi

    Notable quotes:
    "... There's a concerted effort on the part of influential people at the network that we at All In call Trump TV right now to peddle dangerous misinformation about the coronavirus Call it coronavirus trutherism. ..."
    "... Who needs to win elections when you can personally reestablish the social order every day on Twitter and Facebook? When you can scold, and scold, and scold. That's their future, and it's a satisfying one: a finger wagging in some vulgar proletarian's face, forever. ..."
    "... Get a Grippe, America: The flu is a much bigger threat than coronavirus, for now : Washington Post ..."
    "... Coronavirus is scary, but the flu is deadlier, more widespread : USA Today ..."
    "... Want to Protect Yourself From Coronavirus? Do the Same Things You Do Every Winter : Time ..."
    "... We should de-escalate the war on coronavirus ..."
    "... "Good hand-washing helps. Staying healthy and eating healthy will also help," says Dr. Sharon Nachman, a pediatric infectious disease specialist at New York's Stony Brook Children's Hospital. "The things we take for granted actually do work. It doesn't matter what the virus is. The routine things work ." ..."
    May 03, 2020 | taibbi.substack.com

    YouTube took down a widely-circulated video about coronavirus, citing a violation of "community guidelines ."

    The offenders were Drs. Dan Erickson and Artin Massahi, co-owners of an "Urgent Care" clinic in Bakersfield, California. They'd held a presentation in which they argued that widespread lockdowns were perhaps not necessary, according to data they were collecting and analyzing.

    "Millions of cases, small amounts of deaths," said Erickson , a vigorous, cheery-looking Norwegian-American who argued the numbers showed Covid-19 was similar to flu in mortality rate. "Does [that] necessitate shutdown, loss of jobs, destruction of oil companies, furloughing doctors ? I think the answer is going to be increasingly clear."

    The reaction of the medical community was severe. It was pointed out that the two men owned a clinic that was losing business thanks to the lockdown. The message boards of real E.R. doctors lit up with angry comments, scoffing at the doctors' dubious data collection methods and even their somewhat dramatic choice to dress in scrubs for their video presentation.

    The American Academy of Emergency Medicine (AAEM) and American College of Emergency Physicians (ACEP) scrambled to issue a joint statement to "emphatically condemn" the two doctors, who "do not speak for medical society" and had released "biased, non-peer reviewed data to advance their personal financial interests."

    As is now almost automatically the case in the media treatment of any controversy, the story was immediately packaged for "left" and "right" audiences by TV networks. Tucker Carlson on Fox backed up the doctors' claims, saying "these are serious people who've done this for a living for decades," and YouTube and Google have " officially banned dissent ."

    Meanwhile, over on Carlson's opposite-number channel, MSNBC, anchor Chris Hayes of the All In program reacted with fury to Carlson's monologue:

    There's a concerted effort on the part of influential people at the network that we at All In call Trump TV right now to peddle dangerous misinformation about the coronavirus Call it coronavirus trutherism.

    Hayes, an old acquaintance of mine, seethed at what he characterized as the gross indifference of Trump Republicans to the dangers of coronavirus. "At the beginning of this horrible period, the president, along with his lackeys, and propagandists, they all minimized what was coming," he said, sneering. "They said it was just like a cold or the flu."

    He angrily demanded that if Fox acolytes like Carlson believed so strongly that society should be reopened, they should go work in a meat processing plant. "Get in there if you think it's that bad. Go chop up some pork."

    The tone of the many media reactions to Erickson, Carlson, Trump, Georgia governor Brian Kemp, and others who've suggested lockdowns and strict shelter-in-place laws are either unnecessary or do more harm than good, fits with what writer Thomas Frank describes as a new " Utopia of Scolding ":

    Who needs to win elections when you can personally reestablish the social order every day on Twitter and Facebook? When you can scold, and scold, and scold. That's their future, and it's a satisfying one: a finger wagging in some vulgar proletarian's face, forever.

    In the Trump years the sector of society we used to describe as liberal America became a giant finger-wagging machine. The news media, academia, the Democratic Party, show-business celebrities and masses of blue-checked Twitter virtuosos became a kind of umbrella agreement society, united by loathing of Trump and fury toward anyone who dissented with their preoccupations.

    Because this Conventional Wisdom viewed itself as being solely concerned with the Only Important Thing, i.e. removing Trump, there was no longer any legitimate excuse for disagreeing with its takes on Russia, Julian Assange, Jill Stein, Joe Rogan, the 25th amendment, Ukraine, the use of the word "treason," the removal of Alex Jones, the movie Joker, or whatever else happened to be the #Resistance fixation of the day.

    When the Covid-19 crisis struck, the scolding utopia was no longer abstraction. The dream was reality! Pure communism had arrived! Failure to take elite advice was no longer just a deplorable faux pas . Not heeding experts was now murder. It could not be tolerated. Media coverage quickly became a single, floridly-written tirade against " expertise-deniers ." For instance, the Atlantic headline on Kemp's decision to end some shutdowns was, " Georgia's Experiment in Human Sacrifice ."

    At the outset of the crisis, America's biggest internet platforms – Facebook, Twitter, Google, LinkedIn, and Reddit – took an unprecedented step to combat "fraud and misinformation " by promising extensive cooperation in elevating "authoritative" news over less reputable sources.

    H.L. Mencken once said that in America, "the general average of intelligence, of knowledge, of competence, of integrity, of self-respect, of honor is so low that any man who knows his trade, does not fear ghosts, has read fifty good books, and practices the common decencies stands out as brilliantly as a wart on a bald head."

    We have a lot of dumb people in this country. But the difference between the stupidities cherished by the Idiocracy set ingesting fish cleaner, and the ones pushed in places like the Atlantic, is that the jackasses among the "expert" class compound their wrongness by being so sure of themselves that they force others to go along. In other words, to combat "ignorance," the scolders create a new and more virulent species of it: exclusive ignorance, forced ignorance, ignorance with staying power.

    The people who want to add a censorship regime to a health crisis are more dangerous and more stupid by leaps and bounds than a president who tells people to inject disinfectant . It's astonishing that they don't see this.


    Journalists are professional test-crammers. Our job is to get an assignment on Monday morning and by Tuesday evening act like we're authorities on intellectual piracy, the civil war in Yemen, Iowa caucus procedure, the coronavirus, whatever. We actually know jack: we speed-read, make a few phone calls, and in a snap people are inviting us on television to tell millions of people what to think about the complex issues of the world.

    When we come to a subject cold, the job is about consulting as many people who really know their stuff as quickly as possible and sussing out – often based on nothing more than hunches or impressions of the personalities involved – which set of explanations is most believable. Sportswriters who covered the Deflategate football scandal had to do this in order to explain the Ideal Gas Law , I had to do it to cover the subprime mortgage scandal, and reporters this past January and February had to do it when assigned to assess the coming coronavirus threat.

    It does not take that much work to go back and find that a significant portion of the medical and epidemiological establishment called this disaster wrong when they were polled by reporters back in the beginning of the year. Right-wingers are having a blast collecting the headlines , and they should, given the chest-pounding at places like MSNBC about others who "minimized the risk." Here's a brief sample:

    Get a Grippe, America: The flu is a much bigger threat than coronavirus, for now : Washington Post

    Coronavirus is scary, but the flu is deadlier, more widespread : USA Today

    Want to Protect Yourself From Coronavirus? Do the Same Things You Do Every Winter : Time

    Here's my personal favorite, from Wired on January 29 :

    We should de-escalate the war on coronavirus

    There are dozens of these stories and they nearly all contain the same elements, including an inevitable quote or series of quotes from experts telling us to calm the hell down. This is from the Time piece:

    "Good hand-washing helps. Staying healthy and eating healthy will also help," says Dr. Sharon Nachman, a pediatric infectious disease specialist at New York's Stony Brook Children's Hospital. "The things we take for granted actually do work. It doesn't matter what the virus is. The routine things work ."

    There's a reason why journalists should always keep their distance from priesthoods in any field. It's particularly in the nature of insular communities of subject matter experts to coalesce around orthodoxies that blind the very people in the loop who should be the most knowledgeable.

    "Experts" get things wrong for reasons that are innocent (they've all been taught the same incorrect thing in school) and less so (they have a financial or professional interest in denying the truth).

    On the less nefarious side, the entire community of pollsters in 2016 denounced as infamous the idea that Donald Trump could win the Republican nomination, let alone the general election. They believed that because they weren't paying attention to voters (their ostensible jobs), but also because they'd never seen anything similar. In a more suspicious example, if you asked a hundred Wall Street analysts in September 2008 what caused the financial crisis, probably no more than a handful would have mentioned fraud or malfeasance.

    Both of the above examples point out a central problem with trying to automate the fact-checking process the way the Internet platforms have of late, with their emphasis on "authoritative" opinions.

    "Authorities " by their nature are untrustworthy. Sometimes they have an interest in denying truths, and sometimes they actually try to define truth as being whatever they say it is. " Elevating authoritative content " over independent or less well-known sources is an algorithmic take on the journalistic obsession with credentialing that has been slowly destroying our business for decades.

    The WMD fiasco happened because journalists listened to people with military ranks and titles instead of demanding evidence and listening to their own instincts. The same thing happened with Russiagate, a story fueled by intelligence "experts" with grand titles who are now proven to have been wrong to a spectacular degree , if not actually criminally liable in pushing a fraud.

    We've become incapable of talking calmly about possible solutions because we've lost the ability to decouple scientific or policy discussions, or simple issues of fact, from a political argument. Reporting on the Covid-19 crisis has become the latest in a line of moral manias with Donald Trump in the middle.

    Instead of asking calmly if hydroxychloroquine works, or if the less restrictive Swedish crisis response has merit, or questioning why certain statistical assumptions about the seriousness of the crisis might have been off, we're denouncing the questions themselves as infamous. Or we're politicizing the framing of stories in a way that signals to readers what their take should be before they even digest the material. " Conservative Americans see coronavirus hope in Progressive Sweden ," reads a Politico headline, as if only conservatives should feel optimism in the possibility that a non-lockdown approach might have merit! Are we rooting for such an approach to not work?

    From everything I've heard, talking to doctors and reading the background material, the Bakersfield doctors are probably not the best sources. But the functional impact of removing their videos (in addition to giving them press they wouldn't otherwise have had) is to stamp out discussion of things that do actually need to be discussed, like when the damage to the economy and the effects of other crisis-related problems – domestic abuse, substance abuse, suicide, stroke, abuse of children, etc. – become as significant a threat to the public as the pandemic. We do actually have to talk about this. We can't not talk about it out of fear of being censored, or because we're confusing real harm with political harm.

    Turning ourselves into China for any reason is the definition of a cure being worse than the disease. The scolders who are being seduced by such thinking have to wake up, before we end up adding another disaster on top of the terrible one we're already facing.

    Patrick Lovell Apr 30 Like always, I agree and am moved deeply by most of your positions. I do however find the argument not entirely convincing. I've seen you down on Russiagate from the beginning and I've never felt like I understood why. I get the barrage without the evidence and what that means for the broader context but seriously, Washington's entire currency is lying. So too is Wall Street. But Putin's isn't? Trump's? Is it really that complicated?

    Trump was laundering real estate for bad guys for decades. It's his business model. Deutsche Bank was involved with fraud in every dimension and direction and Trump was a relatively small play all things considered, but the SOB knew what he was involved with and doing. He went so far as to claim the "Act of God" defense based on deuschbag Greenspan's insane lie that no one saw 2008 coming.

    Trump went so far as to sue DM for being a victim of predatory lending. Trump? Victim of Predatory Lending??!?!?! WTF?!?!? Given all of that and then some (Mercers, Bannon, etc.) are we to pretend it wasn't exactly what it looks like? Why wouldn't we? Because Clinton was on the other side? I really don't get that part at all.

    Matt Taibbi Apr 30 I'm sorry, but Russiagate wasn't about whether or not Trump or Putin were liars or bad people. It was a very specific set of allegations that have been proven now to be false: that Trump was being blackmailed by the Russian state, that the Russians coordinated with the Trump campaign in an election interference plot, that the Trump campaign traded sanctions for election aid, that Trump himself committed treason and was a compromised foreign agent, etc. This has all been investigated and discounted. In fact it appears now, from the investigation of IG Michael Horowitz, that the FBI knew relatively early on -- by late 2016 -- that there was no coordination or collusion going on between Russia and the Trump campaign. Yet smears and innuendo flowed for years from intelligence sources anyway. You don't have to be a Trump fan to be pissed that there was such an elaborate effort at spreading this false tale.
    Larry May 1 Matt, I disagree, perhaps, with your reference to Kemp and the other governors who opened their states. Don't you agree that their effort seems to be an attempt to prevent workers from claiming unemployment benefit and that, as such, their efforts should not be seen as motivated by a simple, freely determined skepticism about the merits of the science or even the biased journalism?

    I do applaud your general thesis, and would add for my part that one of the most interesting phenomena regarding the media response to coronavirus and scientific material in general is a seeming mass desire to settle matters once and for all rather than fostering an attitude that scientific activity is more than anything else a manifestly long-drawn out, labor intensive pursuit, that requires much time, almost always, before actionable insights can be formulated, much less acted upon.

    It is odd that, as you have noted so many times, a media so addicted to manufacturing themes that must be continually resuscitated, like Russia, do the exact opposite with science: as you note, pundits and reporters, when confronted with science, tend to cram and swot maniacally (under deadline, assuredly) in order to get as close to a definitive statement as possible as fast as possible, when the entire process is designed (though increasingly commercialized and siloed privatized science mitigates against this in important ways, whilst reinforcing it in others) only to provide "answers" of any sort extremely tentatively.

    This is perhaps one of the most annoying things about many Americans' expectations of scientific activity, which you see in medicine (and weather forecasting!) perhaps most of all: people frustrated with the underlying uncertainty of medical prognoses seem to expect cookie-cutter specific formulations virtually on the spot, and are angered when these are not forthcoming.

    I even know people who have taught philosophy of science who have never stepped foot in a lab or have the vaguest notion of how "knowledge" is produced there. This sort of thing adds fertile ground for themes development of potential misunderstandings amongst lay-people that raises the deleterious effects to another level. But I am digressing.

    My main question is about Kemp and the others, but if you could speak a little to flesh out your interesting comments on reporters and scientific subject matter, I would be most grateful. I love your work, Matt, keep up the good job!

    [May 01, 2020] the Imperial College Covid-19 Research Team, issued a report on March 16th that predicted up to 500,000 deaths in the UK and 2.2 million deaths in the US unless strict government measures were put in place

    May 01, 2020 | www.corbettreport.com

    . The work of two research groups was crucial in shaping the decision of the UK and US governments to implement wide-ranging lockdowns, and, in turn, governments around the world. The first group, the Imperial College Covid-19 Research Team, issued a report on March 16th that predicted up to 500,000 deaths in the UK and 2.2 million deaths in the US unless strict government measures were put in place.

    The second group, the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation in Bill Gates' home state of Washington, helped provide data that corroborated the White House's initial estimates of the virus' effects, estimates that have been repeatedly downgraded as the situation has progressed.

    Unsurprisingly, the Gates Foundation has injected substantial sums of money into both groups. This year alone, the Gates Foundation has already given $79 million to Imperial College, and in 2017 the Foundation announced a $279 million investment into the IHME to expand its work collecting health data and creating models.

    Anthony Fauci, meanwhile, has become the face of the US government's coronavirus response, echoing Bill Gates' assertion that the country will not "get back to normal" until "a good vaccine" can be found to insure the public's safety.

    ANTHONY FAUCI : If you want to get to pre-coronavirus . . . You know, that might not ever happen, in the sense of the fact that the threat is there. But I believe with the therapies that will be coming online, and with the fact that I feel confident that over a period of time we will get a good vaccine, that we will never have to get back to where we are right back now.

    SOURCE: Dr. Anthony Fauci on return to normalcy from pandemic

    [May 01, 2020] Where has the regular flu gone? The CDC reports unprecedented crash in non-COVID flu-positives, raising questions

    May 01, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Allen , Apr 30 2020 3:08 utc | 102

    Here's another point to ponder:

    Against the Corona Panic, Pt. VI: Where has the regular flu gone? The CDC reports unprecedented crash in non-COVID flu-positives, raising questions

    ...

    As the story of COVID 19 unfolds and demands every ounce of our attention another unique health event, anomalous and perhaps connected goes ignored. An event unprecedented in at least the last 20 years since these things have been detailed by the CDC, coinciding with the C19 event, the CDC quietly informed any who were paying attention that the common flu- both scourge and money-maker – has been disappeared from the United States.

    As the trend towards the usual gradual tapering began all of a sudden by Week 12 (March 21st) the 'flu positive' numbers dropped off a cliff. When one looks at the numbers from Week 10, 21.5%, to Week 12, 6.9%, we see an incredible drop off of 14.6% occurred. By Week 14 the 'flu positives' dropped to nearly non-existent – 0.8%. A quick glance to Week 9, 24.3%, and then down to Week 14's all time record low of 0.8% shows a drop off of 23.5%.

    It's important to note that while the 22,324 tests done in Week 14 represent a significant drop in tests done compared to earlier weeks in 2020 those numbers still represented the 2nd highest overall Week 14 test numbers done in the history of the CDC. Yet only 0.8% 'flu positives' this season when the average for the preceding 7 years was 12.5% for Week 14. Even given the circumstances this is a statistical anomaly that begs many questions.

    Questions that demand answers:

    How did such a terrible flu season suddenly disappear?

    In what column have those 'flu positives' been placed?

    What happened to all the other seasonal virii that afflict humans this time of the year?

    Where did they all go?

    After a 20 year run the CDC has stated that Flu View, it's flagship offering, will no longer be offering such meticulous reports as they shift their focus to Covid. It would seem that the CDC has decided after all these years the flu has finally run its course


    https://hailtoyou.wordpress.com/2020/04/29/against-the-corona-panic-pt-vi-where-has-the-regular-flu-gone-the-cdc-reports-unprecedented-crash-in-non-covid-flu-positives-raising-questions/

    Ric G , Apr 30 2020 3:28 utc | 105

    @Allen 102

    Exactly! Anyone who announces Covid deaths should also have to announce an adjacent column called normal flu/influenza/pneumonia, to see how these two columns flow together and to compare total figures.

    Otherwise, at best, they are disingenuous, and more probably, fraudsters and liars!

    [Apr 30, 2020] Tricky issues with mortality

    Apr 30, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Hmpf , Apr 30 2020 16:40 utc | 162

    @ vk | Apr 30 2020 16:22 utc | 160

    So, if a HIV patient suffers from and dies of a bacterial pneumonia (pneumococcus and others) because his immune system is down due his HIV infection, then he's said to have died of HIV. Correct?

    If another HIV patient acquires Covid-19 and suffers from a virological pneumonia and subsequently succumbs to it, then he has died of Covid-19? Did I get that right?

    How about a Covid-19 positive person getting killed in a fatal car accident? Covid-19 then? What about cancer patients in their terminal phase, which in most cases ends by some fatal organ failure?

    Why don't you stop making sh*t up just so it fits your narrative?

    [Apr 30, 2020] Dirty political games around coronavirus mortality

    Apr 30, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Allen , Apr 29 2020 16:41 utc | 1

    Let's take a quick look at how CNN (Cuomo New Network) propaganda works. For but one example:

    Here we get the apocalyptic, fear headline:

    Deaths spiked as Covid-19 spread in March and April, new analysis finds

    And then the story- on the side of your screen you will see a short interview with the ever-reliable and now regularly featured "expert" Dr. Gupta to lend even more credibility to this new "report."

    https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/27/health/deaths-spike-covid-spread/index.html

    And what does the report actually say? The essence of the report is found in the following comment by Dan Weinberger, the lead epidemiologist(?), (or does he just study infectious disease?) in the report:

    "Using data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the team found about 15,000 excess deaths from March 1 to April 4. During the same time, states reported 8,000 deaths from Covid-19. "That is close to double," Dan Weinberger, who studies the epidemiology of infectious diseases at Yale, told CNN.

    The team could not show whether the increased deaths were due to coronavirus, Weinberger said. But there are strong indications that they were. For instance, the team also looked at data on doctor visits.

    "What we see is that in many states, you see an increase in influenza-like illnesses, and then a week or two later, you see an increase in deaths due to pneumonia and influenza," Weinberger said. "It provides some confirmation that what we are seeing is related to coronavirus."

    The first thing that stands out is that while the headline is worded so as to suggest (yet elusively) a spike in deaths to Covid (meant to increase hysteria in the viewers- and improve ratings) the report clearly states- "that it could not show whether the increased deaths were due to coronavirus." Based on anecdotal evidence though, the report's author itself then goes on to assert that as they have seen more "influenza like" illnesses that these "must be" Covid cases- and why is that? Let's also keep in mind in the vast majority of these cases no testing is being done to confirm or deny Covid.

    Oddly deaths attributed to influenza (even as the CDC warned us in December we were in for a bad flu season) have completely stalled and deaths from pneumonia have dropped off significantly as well. Makes one wonder how all the flu and pneumonia deaths are being categorized.

    But the deceptions get even worse – as you can see there is an embedded link to the study itself- and when you click that link you will be directed here:

    https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.15.20066431v1.full.pdf

    The first item of note is who these authors get their funding from. As you can see the authors are awash in money from medical organizations that have deep ties to pharmaceutical companies. They are paid to do such studies.

    Let's also keep in mind that this is a pre-print study that is not peer-reviewed yet CNN (and WaPo) featured it and represented this as if the study was factual and beyond reproach.

    FUNDING:

    (Dan Weinberger) DMW acknowledges support from grants R01AI123208 and R01AI137093 from the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases/National Institutes of Health. VEP acknowledges support from grants R01AI112970 and R01AI137093 from the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases/National Institutes of Health. NGR acknowledges support from grant R35GM119582 from the National Institute of General Medical Sciences/National Institutes of Health and 1U01IP001122 from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). TC acknowledges support from R01AI146555 from the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases/National Institutes of Health. LS acknowledges support from the Carlsberg Foundation grant # CF20-0046. FWC acknowledges support from NICHD grant 1DP2HD091799-01.

    But it gets worse as stated in the next paragraph which precedes the study we can see the lead author of the study has direct conflicts of interest here through his connections to pharmaceutical companies that stand to profit handsomely from the entirety of the Covid business model:

    CONFLICTS OF INTEREST:

    DMW has received consulting fees from Pfizer, Merck, GSK, and Affinivax for topics unrelated to this manuscript and is Principal Investigator on a research grant from Pfizer on an unrelated topic. VEP has received reimbursement from Merck and Pfizer for travel expenses to Scientific Input Engagements unrelated to the topic of this manuscript.

    An intrepid reporter certainly should ask each of the authors to disclose their stock holdings and also examine the financial contributions received by The Yale School of Public Health where these authors work.

    So we are to trust a pre-print, non peer reviewed study by authors who have direct ties to the very companies that will profit from this? CNN believes we should- so are we to believe CNN?

    [Apr 29, 2020] It is possible to conclude that there is evidence of excess mortality in Portugal between March 1 and April 22, 2020 during the COVID-19 lockdown even using the usual baselines (mean, median).

    Apr 29, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Vasco da Gama , Apr 29 2020 20:26 utc | 40

    Just sharing a study made on Excess Mortality Estimation During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Preliminary Data from Portugal , it's conclusion:
    It is possible to conclude that there is evidence of excess mortality in Portugal between March 1 and April 22, 2020 during the COVID-19 lockdown even using the usual baselines (mean, median).

    By adopting baselines more consistent with the lockdown, the excess mortality becomes more evident, with estimated 2400 to 4000 potential excess deaths during this period.

    The observed excess of mortality is associated with older age groups (over age 65). The reduction of more than 191,000 daily hospital ED visits occurred between March 1 - April 22 may potentially be associated with 1291 or more deaths .

    Overall, these results point towards an excess mortality that is associated with and that is 3 to 5-fold higher than the official COVID-19 mortality.

    (my emphasis, Acta Médica Portuguesa, direct pdf link )

    It is interesting that the study chose to compare all-cause mortality but also against a different period of the year in an attempt to reflect the reduced movement under the lockdown more akin to the holiday period. The resulting increased excess-mortality give way for the authors hypothesis that this is explained by the reduction in visits to hospital.

    I will comment though that the authors' estimating method could never be made official for the purposes that those are used, and their assessment of "3 to 5-fold higher than the official COVID-19 mortality" is being on the side of the sensationalistic if they are suggesting that we could replace one with the other. Despite this it is a welcome study.

    [Apr 29, 2020] Now compare that to the worldwide death toll from coronavirus: 220,000. Let me say that again. Western aggressive wars to coronavirus: 5,000,000 : 220,000."

    Apr 29, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Blue Dotterel , Apr 29 2020 18:02 utc | 14

    Maybe some Craig Murray will provide a little perspective on COVid 19 and the ongoing genocide taking place in the ME https://www.craigmurray.org.uk/archives/2020/04/backing-the-wrong-horseman/#respond

    "For the purposes of argument, I am going to put an extremely conservative figure of 5 million on the number of people who died as a result of Western military intervention, direct or proxy, in the Middle East.

    Now compare that to the worldwide death toll from coronavirus: 220,000. Let me say that again.
    Western aggressive wars to coronavirus: 5,000,000 : 220,000."

    [Apr 29, 2020] Any death labeled cornivirus has been monetized.

    Apr 29, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Othello , Apr 29 2020 19:20 utc | 27

    This is one time I have to respectful disagree. The virus is certainly real but the hysteria is totally unjustified. I live in the city and state with supposedly the highest number of cornivirus death but yet you have hospitals and facilitysb designated for infected person are empty.....we have doctors and nurses being forced to label any death as cornivirus death..... and also any death labeled cornivirus has been monetized....

    [Apr 28, 2020] The Meditations, by a Roman emperor who died in a plague named after him, has much to say about how to face fear, pain, anxiety and loss by Donald Robertson

    Notable quotes:
    "... First of all, because Stoics believe that our true good resides in our own character and actions, they would frequently remind themselves to distinguish between what's "up to us" and what isn't. Modern Stoics tend to call this "the dichotomy of control" and many people find this distinction alone helpful in alleviating stress. What happens to me is never directly under my control, never completely ..."
    "... Marcus likes to ask himself, "What virtue has nature given me to deal with this situation?" That naturally leads to the question: "How do other people cope with similar challenges?" Stoics reflect on character strengths such as wisdom, patience and self-discipline, which potentially make them more resilient in the face of adversity. They try to exemplify these virtues and bring them to bear on the challenges they face in daily life, during a crisis like the pandemic. They learn from how other people cope. Even historical figures or fictional characters can serve as role models. ..."
    "... fear does us more harm than the things of which we're afraid. ..."
    "... Finally, during a pandemic, you may have to confront the risk, the possibility, of your own death. Since the day you were born, that's always been on the cards. Most of us find it easier to bury our heads in the sand. Avoidance is the No1 most popular coping strategy in the world. We live in denial of the self-evident fact that we all die eventually. ..."
    "... "All that comes to pass", he tells himself, even illness and death, should be as "familiar as the rose in spring and the fruit in autumn". Marcus Aurelius, through decades of training in Stoicism, in other words, had taught himself to face death with the steady calm of someone who has done so countless times already in the past. ..."
    Apr 25, 2020 | www.theguardian.com
    T he Roman emperor Marcus Aurelius Antoninus was the last famous Stoic philosopher of antiquity. During the last 14 years of his life he faced one of the worst plagues in European history. The Antonine Plague, named after him, was probably caused by a strain of the smallpox virus. It's estimated to have killed up to 5 million people, possibly including Marcus himself.

    ss="rich-link tone-feature--item rich-link--pillar-arts">

    ="rich-link__link u-faux-block-link__overlay" aria-label="'What it means to be an American': Abraham Lincoln and a nation divided" href="https://www.theguardian.com/books/2020/apr/11/abraham-lincoln-verge-book-ted-widmer-interview">

    From AD166 to around AD180, repeated outbreaks occurred throughout the known world. Roman historians describe the legions being devastated, and entire towns and villages being depopulated and going to ruin. Rome itself was particularly badly affected, carts leaving the city each day piled high with dead bodies.

    In the middle of this plague, Marcus wrote a book, known as The Meditations, which records the moral and psychological advice he gave himself at this time. He frequently applies Stoic philosophy to the challenges of coping with pain, illness, anxiety and loss. It's no stretch of the imagination to view The Meditations as a manual for developing precisely the mental resilience skills required to cope with a pandemic.

    First of all, because Stoics believe that our true good resides in our own character and actions, they would frequently remind themselves to distinguish between what's "up to us" and what isn't. Modern Stoics tend to call this "the dichotomy of control" and many people find this distinction alone helpful in alleviating stress. What happens to me is never directly under my control, never completely up to me, but my own thoughts and actions are – at least the voluntary ones. The pandemic isn't really under my control but the way I behave in response to it is.

    Much, if not all, of our thinking is also up to us. Hence, "It's not events that upset us but rather our opinions about them." More specifically, our judgment that something is really bad, awful or even catastrophic, causes our distress.

    This is one of the basic psychological principles of Stoicism. It's also the basic premise of modern cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT), the leading evidence-based form of psychotherapy. The pioneers of CBT, Albert Ellis and Aaron T Beck, both describe Stoicism as the philosophical inspiration for their approach. It's not the virus that makes us afraid but rather our opinions about it. Nor is it the inconsiderate actions of others, those ignoring social distancing recommendations, that make us angry so much as our opinions about them.

    Many people are struck, on reading The Meditations, by the fact that it opens with a chapter in which Marcus lists the qualities he most admires in other individuals, about 17 friends, members of his family and teachers. This is an extended example of one of the central practices of Stoicism.

    Marcus likes to ask himself, "What virtue has nature given me to deal with this situation?" That naturally leads to the question: "How do other people cope with similar challenges?" Stoics reflect on character strengths such as wisdom, patience and self-discipline, which potentially make them more resilient in the face of adversity. They try to exemplify these virtues and bring them to bear on the challenges they face in daily life, during a crisis like the pandemic. They learn from how other people cope. Even historical figures or fictional characters can serve as role models.

    With all of this in mind, it's easier to understand another common slogan of Stoicism: fear does us more harm than the things of which we're afraid. This applies to unhealthy emotions in general, which the Stoics term "passions" – from pathos , the source of our word "pathological". It's true, first of all, in a superficial sense. Even if you have a 99% chance, or more, of surviving the pandemic, worry and anxiety may be ruining your life and driving you crazy. In extreme cases some people may even take their own lives.

    In that respect, it's easy to see how fear can do us more harm than the things of which we're afraid because it can impinge on our physical health and quality of life. However, this saying also has a deeper meaning for Stoics. The virus can only harm your body – the worst it can do is kill you. However, fear penetrates into the moral core of our being. It can destroy your humanity if you let it. For the Stoics that's a fate worse than death.

    Finally, during a pandemic, you may have to confront the risk, the possibility, of your own death. Since the day you were born, that's always been on the cards. Most of us find it easier to bury our heads in the sand. Avoidance is the No1 most popular coping strategy in the world. We live in denial of the self-evident fact that we all die eventually. The Stoics believed that when we're confronted with our own mortality, and grasp its implications, that can change our perspective on life quite dramatically. Any one of us could die at any moment. Life doesn't go on forever.

    We're told this was what Marcus was thinking about on his deathbed. According to one historian, his circle of friends were distraught. Marcus calmly asked why they were weeping for him when, in fact, they should accept both sickness and death as inevitable, part of nature and the common lot of mankind. He returns to this theme many times throughout The Meditations.

    "All that comes to pass", he tells himself, even illness and death, should be as "familiar as the rose in spring and the fruit in autumn". Marcus Aurelius, through decades of training in Stoicism, in other words, had taught himself to face death with the steady calm of someone who has done so countless times already in the past.

    Donald Robertson is cognitive behavioural therapist and the author of several books on philosophy and psychotherapy, including Stoicism and the Art of Happiness and How to Think Like a Roman Emperor: The Stoic Philosophy of Marcus Aurelius

    [Apr 28, 2020] Dr. Erickson COVID-19 FULL Briefing (Bakersfield doctors dispute need for stay at home order)

    I recommend to watch this video in full.
    Some conclusions from those two doctors: Do we need "shelter in place" the answer is emphatical NO. Do no need business shut down -- the answer is emphatical NO.
    The virus has been proved to be significantly similar to seasonal flue epidemic of which we experience each year. Quarantining the sick is what should be done. Not healthy people.
    Apr 28, 2020 | www.youtube.com

    Audio Fixed Version: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sfiFo...
    THIS VIDEO IS BEING TAKEN DOWN FROM YOUTUBE! DOWNLOAD AN OFFLINE COPY & SHARE WHILE YOU STILL CAN! Download Link: https://mega.nz/file/v1pSHYzB#BS1cGFu...


    watto watson , 2 days ago

    How long is it going to take for people to realize that media reporters only job is to manipulate the truth to suit their own agenda !

    Matt Morris , 2 days ago

    These journalists are arguing with them! The so called "reporters" don't want to report the truth, they WANT to spread fear and chaos and drama. The media is complicit in the coup! The media IS the deep state coup!

    Karen Marshall , 3 days ago (edited)

    Finally light in the middle of pandemic darkness! High spread and low fatality. Thank you for paying attention to the SCIENTIFIC DATA Dr. Erickson and speaking the truth. Someone needed to say this in light of the twilight zone that is now our government leadership AND MEDIA HYPE! Dr. Faulci flat out ignored the biology of herd immunity in his recommendations to Donald Trump. He also ignored the fact that more than 97% recover from Covid without medical assistance let alone need a ventilator! He is culpable for a bankrupt America. We were never at risk for overwhelming our hospitals because most people recovered on their own at home. Thousands got Covid and recovered that the media never talked about. They are corrupt and complicit in a bankrupt America. Instead of saying 'better safe than sorry' and driving our country into bankruptcy how about saying 'better to have money than not' because now 26 million people have lost their jobs and have filed for unemployment. The ignorant ill informed fear mongers have damaged America which we will be feeling for a long time to come. Remember this--- and don't ever let them ever do that to you again. Karen Marshall RN BSN

    [Apr 28, 2020] The hospitals and ICUs are not full of people sick with COVID,

    Apr 28, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Perimetr , Apr 26 2020 15:54 utc | 7

    Dr. Dan Erickson of Accelerated Health Care talks about the impact of the coronavirus on Kern County , California (Bakersfield is 113 miles north of LA)

    The hospitals and ICUs are not full of people sick with COVID, although the models that predicted the healthcare system would be overwhelmed by now. The doctors don't feel the shutdown is justified by what they are seeing.

    [Apr 27, 2020] May I suggest you try drinking bleach to defeat the virus?

    Apr 27, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    b , Apr 25 2020 20:33 utc | 18

    @Hausmeister

    "All patients with Lupus (an autoimmune illness) get hydroxychloroquine as a preventive medical treatment and take it all the time. There is no single case known yet that such a person got covid-19."

    Only some 0.05% of people have Lupus. There is NO statistic available that shows that Lupus cases do not acquire Covid-19. None!

    "HCQ has to be given as early as possible. And it works in different and important ways:

    prevents the virus from replicating (in conjunction with Zinc); and

    protects hemoglobin."

    None of those alleged protections has a scientifically explained causation chain nor have there been any serious studies that prove what you claim.

    May I suggest you try drinking bleach to defeat the virus?

    Trump advertised that too.

    This selling of snake oil is dangerous.

    [Apr 26, 2020] Against the Corona Panic Pt. IV: What about New York City? A Case Study in Hysteria Pandemic vs. Virus Pandemic by Hail

    Apr 23, 2020 | hailtoyou.wordpress.com
    The "CoronaPanic" marches on. It consists of, is driven by, and/or is propped up by a combination of: Fiasco, farce, fascism, failure, fantasy, fanaticism, and a ferocious fit of feeling-over-thinking.

    While there is a flu pandemic going on, we now know it is a minor and rather unremarkable one. (Opinions differ on just how unremarkable; Dr. Knut Wittkowski, a hero of the hour, has recently suggested it looks a lot like the Swine Flu pandemic strain of 2009-10 in its true 'hit' potential.) The virus' impact is dwarfed by a parallel force which I will capitalize for effect. Think of it as: the flu pandemic vs. The Hysteria Pandemic. An abbreviated way to refer to the latter is "the CoronaPanic."

    The CoronaPanic is as a demonic entity that has forced its way into our reality. In this post, I want to show the difference of the immediate effects of the flu pandemic vs. The Hysteria Pandemic, as observable in New York City ( jump to the section on New York ).

    ____________

    A brief word on why I am writing this series of posts .

    Preceding this post in the series "Against the Corona Panic," are: Pt. I , and Pt. II , and Part III , all dealing with something a little different. There will be more.

    I believe the fight against the CoronaPanic is a duty for "those of us who can see." There remain cynics who continue to believe that the best thing to do is "beg the demonic force of the CoronaPanic for table scraps as it feasts on our national soul." I deal with this in Part II ("Say 'No' to jockeying for political advantage on the coattails of Corona Hysteria").

    The evidence we have continues to be against the pro-CoronaPanic side's alarmist predictions and apocalyptic views, as is observed reality everywhere, including/especially in the case of Sweden , the greatest hero of the hour we have. The continuous stream of good news never seems to actually make its way into discourse, which is well and truly surreal to observe.

    As one of the editors of OffGuardian , Kit Knightly, recently said :

    "The most peculiar thing about COVID19 so far has been that they are not hiding the data [ ] The data is right there, and yet it is separate from the narrative, which never references the data; the data never references the narrative. What you have to do is basically ignore everything the media says, and just look at the numbers, and where the numbers come from."

    Many of us realized this at about the height of the Panic, but the initiative had totally been lost to the Corona-extremists, who were enabled, if not led outright, by the media.

    Why is the media ignoring the data and pushing a largely-data-detached narrative of cherry-picked, " scary-looking, big, contexless numbers "? Maybe it's out of garden-variety ignorance; maybe it's that they know better but have caved into the group-hysteria and group-think; maybe it's out of a very cynical desire for the crisis to be as bad as possible so that they look good, even heroic, for reporting on it. I believe all of the above are true, and they partly explain the media's disgraceful role in promoting CoronaPanic, which is nicely depicted in this image:

    US Media during CoronaPanic of 2020 - Centers for the Spread of Mass Hysteria

    One way or another, to entrust the media with your Corona news is to entrust the henhouse to a team of foxes.

    If the media "throws a number at you," the simple act of asking basic, critical questions is often enough for the narrative to unravel in front of you. Which is what follows about New York City.

    The surprise . In the search for answers, you can/will find hidden stories, such as the one I am going to try to tell below, in which we can tentatively quantify the impact of the Panic vs. the impact of the virus. The surprise is that even in terms of immediate-term body count, the Panic is much worse than the virus, the cure much worse than the disease for the body-politic; the net-losers, almost everyone.

    _____________

    The Coronavirus in New York: Piercing the Numbers-Fog

    A commenter on the previous post (" 'Just the Flu' Vindicated ") asks:

    [W]hat do you make of the New York news release claiming 24000 deaths since March 1, which supposedly is 4 times normal. Is this true?
    (– MattinLA )

    Good question. Given the sensationalist way the media has covered the US hotspot of New York City, there is no better opportunity to look for context, to practice the art of critical inquiry, to ask basic questions.

    In an introductory section to the "Just the Flu Vindicated" post, I wrote about the media and the pro-CoronaPanic side (but I repeat myself!)'s " Scary-looking, Big, Contextless Numbers " tactic. The alarming-seeming numbers out of New York City are a good case study of this phenomenon. Twenty-four thousand!

    MattinLA asks whether it is "true" that there were 24,000 deaths up to April 22. I don't doubt that the 24,000 coronavirus-positive-deaths figure is true, in the sense that they have counted 24,000 bodies since March 1 which were positive for the virus. But this is not the same as 24,000 coronavirus- caused deaths, and in any case the number 24,000 itself needs context to have any real meaning.

    What does the "24,000 deaths" figure mean?

    As a first-off, bird's-eye-view, one-line response, I'd offer this:

    What a number like that (24,000) more likely shows is that the virus was/is widespread in the population at a given time that those 'positives' were logged on the death rolls.

    In statistics we run what is called a Null Hypothesis test. If we assume the virus has a <0.15% fatality rate in New York, can we use the data we have to definitely reject that "null hypothesis"? It looks unlikely. (cf.: Austrian researchers have found that in their country's case, the null-hypothesis that coronavirus-positives have been dying at the same rate as coronavirus-negatives in Austria could not be rejected; in other words, at the time of that study there was no firm statistical evidence for the virus being uniquely dangerous at all, in Austria at least.)

    Put another way: Given that we have data out of a lot of places now that all suggests a fatality-rate between 0.02% and 0.2% (which is, embarrassingly for the Panic-pushers, within the normal range for flu viruses), which of the following is more likely on why we have seen a high number of deaths in New York City (although a fairly counted true toll is not 24,000; see below). Is it:

    (a) that the virus in highly urban New York City spread more fully and sooner than it did in other places, and therefore has yielded more virus-positive deaths in roughly proportional terms to its spread, or

    (b) that the virus is much more deadly in New York City than the same strain of flu virus is in other places, including neighboring localities, or

    (c) that the data in NYC is right and the data most everywhere else is wrong; that only New York's (seeming, at-first-glance) death figures are "true." Most other countries, regions, cities, and testing authorities have either bungled their data, or are covering it up.

    One of those three must be true. To immediately assume (c), to run with (c), brooking no dissent on (c), is the mark of the true "Doomer," or CoronaCultist. The latter is someone so obsessed with the Panic that that they have effectively converted to a religion centered around it.

    I believe the media's default position is effectively a soft version of (c). They don't say this directly. It is implied.

    Few of the assumers of (c) stop to ask whether they have made a reasonable assumption. They start to love Corona in a perverse way. They start to their chains. Maybe it's useful to think of it in terms of a "Corona Stockholm Syndrome" (ironically, the Stockholmers themselves proved 'immune' from this syndrome; see also Sweden Vindicated ).

    ________________

    Now on to analyzing the "24,000 deaths" number itself. First we should establish the base population. Reports are that it applies to the NYC metro area, not to NYC proper. I assume they are using the NYC Metropolitan Statistical Area measure, population 20.3 million.

    The first question to ask is:

    How many deaths are normal for the same time period?

    This is to say, how many deaths are statistically expected for the period March 1 to April 22, for the NYC metro area, in a regular year (53 days of late winter, into early spring), absent a peak-flu-event? (and what about with a peak flu event?)

    The number of normal-expected deaths for the NYC-MSA is probably in the vicinity of 25,000 to 27,000 , if their death rate is in line with the national average. (If someone has the exact numbers of deaths for the same period in 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, and 2019, those would be useful. I can't imagine it will be far off 26,000.)

    If, in February and March, this flu virus achieved the level of penetration in NYC that it appears to have done, a lot of the normal/expected deaths in March and April would have been "corona-positive" at death. They would have died imminently anyway, in many cases on exactly the same day and the presence of the flu virus is coincidental and did not contribute to death.

    In other words, there is going to be overlap between the categories "normal deaths" and "coronavirus-positive deaths." How much overlap is hard to say, but we know from elsewhere that it is high. It could easily be half (as it was in Hamburg, Germany, when they started dividing between "deaths with" and "deaths from" this much-hyped virus), plausibly even more than half (as seen in early reports in Sweden, which estimated up to two-thirds were "deaths with"). For simplicity of calculation, let's say half.

    Deaths could, therefore, not have risen 4x above normal because of the virus. If total deaths did rise 4x above normal, putting total deaths for the period at 100,000+, something else caused most of the excess deaths, because there aren't nearly enough coronavirus-positive deaths to account for it . Epecially not when measuring deaths fairly (see paragraph above). This is the first hint that something dark may be going on here, the big surprise we find when we tug on the numbers: That the Panic has killed more people already than the virus.

    I haven't yet seen any official, all-cause-mortality data for NYC metro area for the CoronaPanic period. The New York Times published some graphs that appear to have been made by their staffers, manually adding all reported corona-positive deaths as marginal deaths onto a graph plotting a supposed historical-running-average; if so, that is dishonest but alas unsurprising for the way Corona discourse goes.

    _________________

    Conceptual categories for deaths during a peak-flu-event (and a Panic)

    Useful would be thinking in terms of four categories of deaths , conceptually, all of which we can theoretically calculate when the smoke clears, and as for now make estimates:

    1. Corona-positive Normal Deaths;
    2. Corona-negative Normal Deaths;
    3. Corona-positive Excess Deaths .sub-dividable into: (3a.) those dying of a respiratory disease (some very large share of which may be attributed to "COVID19" during the epidemic); (3b.) those dying of, or primarily of, other causes, with the virus playing an ambiguous role at most;
    4. Corona-negative Excess Deaths.

    The "24,000 corona-positive deaths" figure is distributed between categories (1) and (3). (1)+(2) must add to 26,000 (or whatever the exact number is of normal deaths absent a peak-flu-event temporary spike in deaths).

    The deaths in "(3a.)" are true victims of the viral flu epidemic. In this case, because there was a Panic, the theoretically fully calculable figure of (3) must be treated with caution. The less-calculable figure (3a.) is what we are really after.

    The deaths in "(4)" are unambiguous victims of the Panic. Reports are that hospitals in NYC have had record-low intakes, especially heart attack victims have dropped off. These deaths would not have occurred had a Panic been averted in mid-March. The Panic-pushers are responsible for these deaths.

    The weeks-long, pro-CoronaPanic stranglehold on the media (looking set to last months more), and the successful pushing of the hysteria ( see image above for an artistic reproduction) made many tens of thousands too scared to seek treatment when they needed urgent care.

    Some thousands of these unlucky, frightened people will have died of (treatable) ailments like heart attacks. These are clear cases of "4."

    [ Update (April 24):] Here is a graphical representation, found online, of the rise in "at-home deaths" in New York City. We know from much data elsewhere that coronavirus-attributable deaths very seldom occur at home, but are slow onset and victims are hospitalized first. It's likely that the entirety of this excess is to people in category "4," running hundreds a day for over a month:

    NYC - Deaths at Home

    The funny thing is, if someone dies in such circumstances -- the heart attack victim who doesn't seek help -- and ends up positive for the virus at death, he still goes up onto the bloodthirsty media's "Big Board of Corona Deaths." This is a kind of 'scam' and bogus data that led some on the anti-CoronaPanic side to use the the term "Scamdemic."

    The practice of over-counting corona victims is satirically shown here, a jab at the pro-CoronaPanic side, circulating by early-mid April:

    The Coronavirus Hysteria Pandemic - 2019 vs 2020 diagnoses

    Some nursing homes have also been abandoned by cowardly, panicking staff (ultimately driven to the Panic by the media), and in such places there have been cases of elderly residents dying from lack of care. These deaths, at least some of them, are attributable to the Panic, not the Virus, mostly sortable into category 3b or 4.

    What are best-guesses for the number of deaths in each category? If we have a known figure of 24,000 total Corona-Positive Deaths, and a figure of 26,000 Normal Deaths (recalling that these are overlapping), and if we have significant virus penetration/spread in the population which especially hit places like nursing homes where many are close to death in any case, the split may look something close to this:

    Total Deaths in New York City metro area for the period (est.) (proposed):

    1. Corona-positive Normal Deaths: 12,000
    2. Corona-negative Normal Deaths: 14,000
    3. Corona-positive Excess Deaths: 12,000 (some unnecessary and caused by the Panic; 5,000-10,000 true coronavirus-induced deaths?)
    4. Corona-negative Excess Deaths: ? (all unnecessary, collateral victims of the Panic)

    The (1)+(2) figure is 26,000 (the normal death rate), and here it is proposed 45% of normal-deaths were positive at death during the height of the epidemic, which may or may not run slightly ahead of the total-population penetration rate. It is reasonable to assume it runs ahead of the full-population rate because of spread within hospitals and other long-term care facilities with terminal patients whose time had come in March/April and would have come absent a flu-virus epidemic.

    As for (3) and (4). If a Panic is ongoing, or there is some other non-virus-related mechanism causing excess deaths (in other words, if "(4)" is above zero), "(3)" must be subdivided. The force driving "(4)" will also be spilling over into "(3)," hence the proposed (3a.) and (3b.), which are harder to calculate. Just because you are positive does not mean you get a serious disease; very few do. But you might well still die of something else (like those heart attack victims who stay hunkered down at home) while incidentally positive and be an excess death.

    To get a better handle on this problem, death certificate information would be useful. How many deaths were classified as "primary cause: respiratory disease"?

    [ MAJOR UPDATE (April 25): See a comment below . The numbers now released for deaths occurring through April 18, including average age for corona-positive vs. corona-negative deaths, place of death for corona-positive deaths, and deaths in New York City through April 18, corona-positive vs. corona-negative) offer strong corroboration for the contents of this post.]

    ______________

    New York City at the cusp of Herd Immunity

    If the number I propose there for "(1)" is correct, and such a large portion of corona-positive NYC metro area deaths have been in "people who were dying anyway" (suggested by, e.g., the report that half of corona-positive deaths have been to nursing home patients), this would mean the virus has reached a large share of the total population, something like 30% to 40% population penetration this writing. (= 6 to 8 million people in the metro area having had current or past contact with the virus), with terminal patients running ahead of that rate. If this is the case, we are once again down to the 0.1% fatality rate range for the virus itself.

    Here is the calculation derived from the above:

    <10,000 deaths in the NYC metro area fairly attributable to the direct effect of the virus
    divided by
    7 million people in the region whose bodies have had contact with the virus (@ 35% of metro area population of 20.3 million being either a past- or present-positive)
    _______________
    = ca. 0.1% fatality rate

    which is in line with the numbers out of just about every other large-area study since early April), and we are back to Just The Flu .

    If the virus penetration rate is that high, it is good news, as it means New York City's epidemic is already over , or very soon over, as they are at the cusp of Herd Immunity. It also suggests that the lockdowns were unnecessary and created a Panic that killed more than the virus ever could. A complete failure of policy, driven by a hostile media and cowardly or demagogic political leaders. If there are any responsible people left in charge, they need to take action to end the deadly and destructive Panic.

    ______________

    Just how deadly might the Great Hysteria Pandemic (as against the lesser virus pandemic) have been?

    On non-coronavirus- attributable excess deaths

    Recalling the four categories of deaths again:

    1. Corona-positive Normal Deaths;
    2. Corona-negative Normal Deaths;
    3. Corona-positive Excess Deaths sub-dividable into: (3a.) those dying of a respiratory disease (some very large share of which may be attributed to "COVID19" during the epidemic); (3b.) those dying of, or primarily of, other causes, with the virus playing an ambiguous role at most;
    4. Corona-negative Excess Deaths.

    What might be the totals for (4), corona-negative excess deaths, and (3b.), corona-positive excess deaths not caused by a respiratory disease? Put more directly: How many people have the lockdowns already killed in NYC?

    When we get final and confirmed total-mortality data for the NYC metro area, which may not be soon ( if someone has this, please leave a comment ), we can calculate (4) as follows:

    [Total Reported Deaths] minus (1) minus (2) minus (3) = (4).

    [ Update (April 24):] Recall this graph from above:

    NYC - Deaths at Home

    [ Update (April 24), cont.:] We see that excess deaths at home may have pushed up to 7,500, cumulative, by April 22, for NYC proper alone; this may need to be up to doubled for the NYC metro as a whole. Therefore 15,000 may be a ballpark-estimate for for "(4)," plus thousands more in (3b.), adding up to Panic-caused deaths at twice or three times the number of true, coronavirus-attributable deaths (or "3a" above). The lesson here is: It turns out that when a Panic is created, people take it seriously, and the outcomes can cause increased mortality in the immediate term .

    [ Update (April 25): See also how the above estimates all compare to the latest CDC data for all deaths through April 18. The latest data corroborates each of the findings of this post.

    ______________

    The same phenomenon of Panic-caused excess deaths, documented in the UK

    Figures out of the UK suggest "(4)+(3b.)" are at least as high as "(3a.)" in a high-panic place like New York City, and potentially pushing three times as high.

    Health authorities in the UK estimate there have been more than 2,500 excess heart attack deaths in London so far, "excess" meaning those that would normally be treatable and make full recoveries but have instead died. (That is, since the bizarre about-face by the UK government, in which the government caved in totally to the Doomers and pro-'Lockdown' extremists [see also: UK Imperial College study shown to be laughably wrong ]. In the words of anti-CoronaPanic expert Knut Wittkowski, the UK's cave-in was based on " one person's guesstimate " as other experts were sidelined or not consulted; a surreal episode and a disgrace to the Western tradition.)

    London's spike in total mortality, which drives the UK's excess-mortality spike, is therefore largely explained by people too afraid to to the hospital when they needed to and dying easily preventable deaths, a fact now admitted in the Guardian (a sign that the pro-Panic coalition is fraying at the seams?).

    The same holds true in New York.

    Possible demographic factors in non-coronavirus-attributable excess deaths

    A higher figure for "(4)" could partly indicate a low-trust population in the given area affected, one much less able to withstand any kind of stressor, less able to "come together," one that may have little in common with each other, perhaps mutually suspicious of one another.

    This general description certainly fits today's metro NYC. A large portion of New York, especially in the outer boroughs, is all but completely devoid of Americans; it was here that the Panic may have struck hard and the people least ready for how to deal with the e social stressor thereof, and hunkered down, distrusting all and easy victims of the media-driven Panic. This produced bodies for the media in their bid to appease their new god; an evil self-fulfilling prophecy.

    We also hear that as much as half of Stockholm's corona-positive deaths at one point were to Somali immigrants, and a fair portion to other immigrants, putting ethnic Swedes' total-fatality rate in Stockholm during the current flu epidemic at a very low level indeed, with deaths probably rounding to 0.0% based on the latest studies there. There may be something of an international pattern here.

    The No-Lockdown Swedes have avoided much of a "(4)," as have other populations of higher social trust and regimes that blunted the impact of the evil-beast of CoronaPanic.

    ______________

    The non-corona- attributable excess deaths: Whose fault?

    What causes a man to refuse to go to the hospital when he has a heart attack? What causes an immediate-term death of despair?

    It is no cosmic mystery that the cause here is the Panic itself, and so we must ask: Who caused the Panic?

    The CoronaPanic-pushers, large and small, in the media and elsewhere. The Corona opportunists, large and small, especially what I call the the Corona Coup d'Etat faction, which is to say many political leaders. (A great case has been made in OffGuardian today for the Corona Coup d'Etat Hypothesis ).

    (I wrote previously on the "Who is Responsible for the Corona Panic" question , March 26.)

    The surprising finding that has emerged, in clear view by mid-April, and clear in the New York City data, is that the Panic-pushers have already killed more people than the unremarkable flu virus ever will, at least in certain hotspots . This is humbling, and enough to make the anti-CoronaPanic side redouble its efforts that we may be liberated from this "mind virus," as each day it does more damage.

    The hard times for us the living are yet to come, and will tower over the short-term hit in Panic-caused deaths (The Mass Hysteria Pandemic) that was a focus of this post. More and more are seeing this as among the most extreme cases of "burning down the village in order to save it" in our times. Aggregate life-years and life-year-equivalents lost due to the the effects of the Panic will exceed those lost to the virus by hundreds fold , and plausibly even thousands fold. A complete defeat for the pro-CoronaPanic holdouts. May they see the light.

    None of this needed to be. May the guilty be disempowered and live out their days in shame; may the rest of us learn the right lessons that this never happen again.

    [Apr 26, 2020] Detlev Kr ger, who was the professor at Drosten at the Charit (Berlin Top Hospital) for 27 years: He says COVID-19 is comparable with a flu, regarding the danger.

    Apr 26, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    mk , Apr 25 2020 19:49 utc | 7

    Detlev Krüger, who was the professor at Drosten at the Charité (Berlin Top Hospital) for 27 years, has taken a stand (interesting that the German MSM seem not to be interested in his opinion):

    https://de.sputniknews.com/interviews/20200425326953541-corona-gefahr-virologe/

    He says COVID-19 is comparable with a flu, regarding the danger.

    ////- Und dieses Virus ist nicht gefährlicher als die anderen?

    - Ich sehe bisher keine höhere Gefährlichkeit zumindest im Vergleich mit solchen Killerviren wie Ebola oder dem Humanen Immundefizienzvirus.

    Ich halte es bisher noch nicht einmal für gefährlicher als bestimmte Varianten des Grippevirus.///

    He also advises people against masks.

    ///Das jetzt plötzlich von der Politik entdeckte Tragen von „Mund-Nasen-Schutz" halte ich dagegen für Aktionismus. Es sollte klar sein, dass man sich damit nicht schützen kann, weil man weiter die Umgebungsluft ungefiltert atmet. Es gibt hierbei lediglich einen gewissen Effekt, wenn man selbst infiziert und damit Virusausscheider ist. Der „Mund-Nasen-Schutz" gaukelt eine Sicherheit vor, die nicht existiert und er ist eher eine „Keimschleuder" für verschiedenste Krankheitserreger, wenn er unsauber wird. ///

    [Apr 25, 2020] The Data Is In... Stop The Panic End The Total Isolation by Scott Atlas

    Apr 24, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com
    Authored by Scott Atlas, M.D., op-ed via The Hill,

    The tragedy of the COVID-19 pandemic appears to be entering the containment phase. Tens of thousands of Americans have died , and Americans are now desperate for sensible policymakers who have the courage to ignore the panic and rely on facts. Leaders must examine accumulated data to see what has actually happened, rather than keep emphasizing hypothetical projections; combine that empirical evidence with fundamental principles of biology established for decades; and then thoughtfully restore the country to function.

    Five key facts are being ignored by those calling for continuing the near-total lockdown.

    Fact 1: The overwhelming majority of people do not have any significant risk of dying from COVID-19.

    The recent Stanford University antibody study now estimates that the fatality rate if infected is likely 0.1 to 0.2 percent, a risk far lower than previous World Health Organization estimates that were 20 to 30 times higher and that motivated isolation policies.

    In New York City, an epicenter of the pandemic with more than one-third of all U.S. deaths, the rate of death for people 18 to 45 years old is 0.01 percent, or 11 per 100,000 in the population. On the other hand, people aged 75 and over have a death rate 80 times that. For people under 18 years old, the rate of death is zero per 100,000.

    Of all fatal cases in New York state , two-thirds were in patients over 70 years of age; more than 95 percent were over 50 years of age; and about 90 percent of all fatal cases had an underlying illness. Of 6,570 confirmed COVID-19 deaths fully investigated for underlying conditions to date, 6,520, or 99.2 percent , had an underlying illness. If you do not already have an underlying chronic condition, your chances of dying are small, regardless of age. And young adults and children in normal health have almost no risk of any serious illness from COVID-19.

    Fact 2: Protecting older, at-risk people eliminates hospital overcrowding.

    We can learn about hospital utilization from data from New York City , the hotbed of COVID-19 with more than 34,600 hospitalizations to date. For those under 18 years of age, hospitalization from the virus is 0.01 percent per 100,000 people; for those 18 to 44 years old, hospitalization is 0.1 percent per 100,000. Even for people ages 65 to 74, only 1.7 percent were hospitalized. Of 4,103 confirmed COVID-19 patients with symptoms bad enough to seek medical care, Dr. Leora Horwitz of NYU Medical Center concluded "age is far and away the strongest risk factor for hospitalization." Even early WHO reports noted that 80 percent of all cases were mild, and more recent studies show a far more widespread rate of infection and lower rate of serious illness. Half of all people testing positive for infection have no symptoms at all. The vast majority of younger, otherwise healthy people do not need significant medical care if they catch this infection.

    Fact 3: Vital population immunity is prevented by total isolation policies, prolonging the problem.

    We know from decades of medical science that infection itself allows people to generate an immune response -- antibodies -- so that the infection is controlled throughout the population by " herd immunity ." Indeed, that is the main purpose of widespread immunization in other viral diseases -- to assist with population immunity. In this virus, we know that medical care is not even necessary for the vast majority of people who are infected. It is so mild that half of infected people are asymptomatic, shown in early data from the Diamond Princess ship, and then in Iceland and Italy . That has been falsely portrayed as a problem requiring mass isolation. In fact, infected people without severe illness are the immediately available vehicle for establishing widespread immunity. By transmitting the virus to others in the low-risk group who then generate antibodies, they block the network of pathways toward the most vulnerable people, ultimately ending the threat. Extending whole-population isolation would directly prevent that widespread immunity from developing.

    Fact 4: People are dying because other medical care is not getting done due to hypothetical projections.

    Critical health care for millions of Americans is being ignored and people are dying to accommodate "potential" COVID-19 patients and for fear of spreading the disease. Most states and many hospitals abruptly stopped "nonessential" procedures and surgery . That prevented diagnoses of life-threatening diseases, like cancer screening, biopsies of tumors now undiscovered and potentially deadly brain aneurysms. Treatments, including emergency care, for the most serious illnesses were also missed. Cancer patients deferred chemotherapy . An estimated 80 percent of brain surgery cases were skipped. Acute stroke and heart attack patients missed their only chances for treatment, some dying and many now facing permanent disability.

    Fact 5: We have a clearly defined population at risk who can be protected with targeted measures.

    The overwhelming evidence all over the world consistently shows that a clearly defined group -- older people and others with underlying conditions -- is more likely to have a serious illness requiring hospitalization and more likely to die from COVID-19. Knowing that, it is a commonsense, achievable goal to target isolation policy to that group, including strictly monitoring those who interact with them. Nursing home residents, the highest risk, should be the most straightforward to systematically protect from infected people, given that they already live in confined places with highly restricted entry.

    The appropriate policy, based on fundamental biology and the evidence already in hand, is to institute a more focused strategy like some outlined in the first place:

    This would allow the essential socializing to generate immunity among those with minimal risk of serious consequence, while saving lives, preventing overcrowding of hospitals and limiting the enormous harms compounded by continued total isolation. Let's stop underemphasizing empirical evidence while instead doubling down on hypothetical models. Facts matter.

    * * *

    Scott W. Atlas, MD, is the David and Joan Traitel Senior Fellow at Stanford University's Hoover Institution and the former chief of neuroradiology at Stanford University Medical Center.


    xxx

    You can lift the lockdown, but the psychological damage has already been done and it is irreversible. Our economy will never return to the free-wheeling, go for broke mentality of 4 months ago. That spirit is gone with the wind.

    xxx

    With all due respect to the MD author......answer this question.

    How many would be dead/dying WITHOUT any isolation at all?

    The Herd immunity concept is a cop out.......it was called Euthanasia back in the NAZI Germany day.

    Comparing Spanish Flu statistics to today is asinine. Your average MD in 1918 new nothing about virology and or public health....I will say it again....nothing.

    In orders of magnitude;

    Reinstate levels of all of the above to 1918 levels and Covid-19 would be absolutely savaging the world population.

    **** off back to the bar diner if that is your wish but dont come crying down the road because your alveoli are full of puss and you cant breathe just find a dark corner somewhere and die quietly in it.

    xxx

    Status of COVID-19

    As of 19 March 2020, COVID-19 is no longer considered to be a high consequence infectious disease (HCID) in the UK:

    https://www.gov.uk/guidance/high-consequence-infectious-diseases-hcid

    Guidance

    High consequence infectious diseases (HCID)

    Guidance and information about high consequence infectious diseases and their management in England.

    Contents

    1. Status of COVID-19
    2. Definition of HCID
    3. Classification of HCIDs
    4. List of high consequence infectious diseases
    5. HCIDs in the UK
    6. HCID risks by country
    7. Monthly summaries of global HCID events
    8. Infection prevention and control in healthcare settings
    9. Specialist advice for healthcare professionals
    10. Hospital management of confirmed HCID cases
    11. Travel health advice for HCIDs

    Status of COVID-19

    As of 19 March 2020, COVID-19 is no longer considered to be a high consequence infectious diseases (HCID) in the UK.

    The 4 nations public health HCID group made an interim recommendation in January 2020 to classify COVID-19 as an HCID. This was based on consideration of the UK HCID criteria about the virus and the disease with information available during the early stages of the outbreak. Now that more is known about COVID-19, the public health bodies in the UK have reviewed the most up to date information about COVID-19 against the UK HCID criteria. They have determined that several features have now changed; in particular, more information is available about mortality rates (low overall), and there is now greater clinical awareness and a specific and sensitive laboratory test, the availability of which continues to increase.

    The Advisory Committee on Dangerous Pathogens (ACDP) is also of the opinion that COVID-19 should no longer be classified as an HCID.

    The need to have a national, coordinated response remains, but this is being met by the government's COVID-19 response .

    Cases of COVID-19 are no longer managed by HCID treatment centres only. All healthcare workers managing possible and confirmed cases should follow the updated national infection and prevention (IPC) guidance for COVID-19 , which supersedes all previous IPC guidance for COVID-19. This guidance includes instructions about different personal protective equipment (PPE) ensembles that are appropriate for different clinical scenarios.

    Definition of HCID

    In the UK, a high consequence infectious disease (HCID) is defined according to the following criteria:

    • acute infectious disease
    • typically has a high case-fatality rate
    • may not have effective prophylaxis or treatment
    • often difficult to recognise and detect rapidly
    • ability to spread in the community and within healthcare settings
    • requires an enhanced individual, population and system response to ensure it is managed effectively, efficiently and safely

    Classification of HCIDs

    HCIDs are further divided into contact and airborne groups:

    • contact HCIDs are usually spread by direct contact with an infected patient or infected fluids, tissues and other materials, or by indirect contact with contaminated materials and fomites
    • airborne HCIDs are spread by respiratory droplets or aerosol transmission, in addition to contact routes of transmission

    List of high consequence infectious diseases

    A list of HCIDs has been agreed by a joint Public Health England (PHE) and NHS England HCID Programme:

    Contact HCID
    Airborne HCID

    Argentine haemorrhagic fever (Junin virus)
    Andes virus infection (hantavirus)

    Bolivian haemorrhagic fever (Machupo virus)
    Avian influenza A H7N9 and H5N1

    Crimean Congo haemorrhagic fever (CCHF)
    Avian influenza A H5N6 and H7N7

    Ebola virus disease (EVD)
    Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS)

    Lassa fever
    Monkeypox

    Lujo virus disease
    Nipah virus infection

    Marburg virus disease (MVD)
    Pneumonic plague (Yersinia pestis)

    Severe fever with thrombocytopaenia syndrome (SFTS)
    Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS)*

    *No cases reported since 2004, but SARS remains a notifiable disease under the International Health Regulations (2005), hence its inclusion here

    **Human to human transmission has not been described to date for avian influenza A(H5N6). Human to human transmission has been described for avian influenza A(H5N1), although this was not apparent until more than 30 human cases had been reported. Both A(H5N6) and A(H5N1) often cause severe illness and fatalities. Therefore, A(H5N6) has been included in the airborne HCID list despite not meeting all of the HCID criteria.

    The list of HCIDs will be kept under review and updated by PHE if new HCIDs emerge that are of relevance to the UK.

    HCIDs in the UK

    HCIDs, including viral haemorrhagic fevers (VHFs), are rare in the UK. When cases do occur, they tend to be sporadic and are typically associated with recent travel to an area where the infection is known to be endemic or where an outbreak is occurring. None of the HCIDs listed above are endemic in the UK, and the known animal reservoirs are not found in the UK.

    As of February 2020, 2019, the UK has experience of managing confirmed cases of Lassa fever, EVD, CCHF, MERS and monkeypox. The vast majority of these patients acquired their infections overseas, but rare incidents of secondary transmission of MERS and monkeypox have occurred in the UK.

    xxx

    Dumbest comment in the history of ZH, and that's saying a lot.

    In 1918, people weren't flying all over the world 24 hours a day, going to work on crowded trains, riding to their offices in crowded elevators, etc. Also, doctors were not as dumb as you suppose.

    Also, if hygiene is such a big factor, why is Bangladesh largely unaffected? Why is Belarus not dying en masse even though they've taken a "don't give a ****" stance since Day 1?

    The Flu of 1918 was far more deadly than this little cold. It had killed 10 million four months in.

    So go hide in your closet. I'll be outside playing and building up my immune system.

    xxx

    How many would be dead/dying WITHOUT any isolation at all?

    Much much less.

    Btw covid isn't the Spanish flu, get it out of your head.

    xxx

    What do you call ravaging? 2 million? Do we destroy the planet for 2 million?

    9 million died of hunger last year and we find that completely acceptable even though it's the most preventable cause of death out there.

    if we were truly concerned about people not dying we could fix that for less money and lively hoods than we have spent this year already and we're just getting started.

    I don't think you see what's coming in the form of global unrest, wars, famine, complete marshal law, ect. I reply to you respectfully and will listen to anything you have to say with an open mind.

    [Apr 24, 2020] 'Floating petri dishes of disease': How on earth are cruise liners STILL at sea, MONTHS after Covid-19 struck, killing dozens?

    Apr 24, 2020 | on.rt.com

    20 Apr, 2020 13:01 Get short URL 'Floating petri dishes of disease': How on earth are cruise liners STILL at sea, MONTHS after Covid-19 struck, killing dozens? The Ruby Princess cruise ship docked at Port Kembla in Wollongong, Australia, April 6, 2020 © AAP Image/Dean Lewins via REUTERS Follow RT on RT Stephen Corby is an Australian journalist who has written news, features and columns for major national newspapers there, and edited magazines including Top Gear Australia. More than 6,000 people are stuck at sea on ships, some of which set off as late as last month. Now there are criminal investigations and lawsuits underway, accusing blundering cruise firms of corporate manslaughter. Back in 2017, when humour was still a thing, American comedian Bill Burr made a caustic suggestion as to how we could prevent global environmental collapse, by "thinning out the herd" of humanity.

    "I would randomly sink cruise ships," he insisted, straight-faced. "You get 2,500 to 3,000 people to whack, and I think it's a good mix of people to get rid of."

    No-one is laughing about cruise ship passengers dying now, of course – at one stage a quarter of all coronavirus deaths in Australia, for example, came from a single ship, the Ruby Princess – but there is definitely something funny-peculiar about the fact that so many people were still ambling onto these giant, floating virus buffets in March, even after the Diamond Princess debacle in Japan.

    On February 1, this ship, owned by Carnival Cruises, was advised that a passenger who had recently disembarked in Hong Kong was being treated for Covid-19. It was almost two full days before the passengers and crew were informed of the danger, and two more days until they were quarantined in their cabins.

    While it is impossible to know how much the disease spread during that hiatus, as guests hung out in saunas and ate cheek by jowl, what we do know is that more than 700 people ended up infected. At one stage, the Diamond Princess accounted for more than half the world's cases outside of China.

    Read more Tourist on board coronavirus cruise ship 'Diamond Princess' becomes 1st British death from outbreak Tourist on board coronavirus cruise ship 'Diamond Princess' becomes 1st British death from outbreak

    Terrified passengers and staff were trapped on the ship – many in windowless cabins – as it remained docked in Yokohama for weeks, and 12 people eventually died.

    Then on March 5th, just four days after the final crew member was evacuated from the Diamond Princess, coronavirus tests were being dropped by helicopter onto its sister ship the Grand Princess, off the coast of California.

    Frighteningly, 21 of the first 46 people tested were positive, and President Trump was soon suggesting the entire ship should be prevented from disembarking. "I don't need to have the numbers double because of one ship," he said – and nearly 2,000 passengers were eventually quarantined on US military bases.

    And yet, despite a tidal wave of ominous stories about cruise ships becoming petri dishes for the virus, 2,647 people piled onto another Carnival ship, the Ruby Princess, in Sydney Harbour on March 8th, for what would become the most ill-fated voyage since the Titanic.

    That same day, the Centers for Disease Control in Atlanta issued a public advisory to "defer all cruise ship travel, worldwide." Carnival Cruise Line spokesman Roger Frizzell later pointed out that the company was under no legal obligation to follow that recommendation. "The advisory is not an edict," he said.

    Despite how aware the world was of the virus's infectiousness, Ruby's crew had just 12 hours to properly clean a vessel that would be as tall as a 70-storey building if parked vertically.

    Let's all do the corona conga

    One passenger, Stacie Hunt, 36, says she realised "things were serious" before they even got on the boat. "At the end of the day, we knew what was going on around the world. We knew how quickly it spread in ships," she said. "People just didn't care."

    The Ruby Princess sailed to New Zealand (one of its stops there, in Napier, left behind a cluster of 19 virus cases) and then raced back to Sydney three days ahead of schedule as global authorities began to crack down on ship arrivals.

    Despite the fact that doctors on board had already reported sick passengers to authorities, video later emerged of a conga line of kitchen staff dancing through a packed dining room on the last night of the voyage. Authorities would later announce that it was likely a "crew member working in the galley" had started the spread of the virus.

    Read more France launches probe into Covid-19 outbreak on its only aircraft carrier as 20 sailors remain in hospital, 1 in intensive care France launches probe into Covid-19 outbreak on its only aircraft carrier as 20 sailors remain in hospital, 1 in intensive care

    Cruise ships always arrive in Sydney Harbour at dawn, to make the most of its majesty, but the Ruby Princess docked at 2am on March 19th. Three ambulances were waiting on the dock to collect stricken passengers.

    The circumstances surrounding exactly how the rest of those on board were allowed to waltz off and board domestic and international flights – rather than being quarantined – is now the subject of a criminal investigation by the Australian police, alongside a Special Commission of Inquiry.

    More than 600 of the voyage's passengers have since been diagnosed with coronavirus, making it the biggest individual contributor to Australia's Covid-19 numbers, and 19 people have died.

    Passengers from the ship have also taken the virus to Canada, America and the UK, and lawsuits have been lodged in the US against the operator of the Ruby Princess, alleging officials took a "lackadaisical approach" to safety.

    Graeme Lake and his wife Karla took the cruise to celebrate her 75th birthday, but both contracted the virus during the trip and she later died. Graeme says passengers were never told they were at risk, and has vowed to seek justice for his beloved partner.

    "They made a point of not letting anyone know at all that anyone was sick," he told Australia's Seven Television. "Good as gold, we thought, it's fine."

    RT NSW Police personnel in personal protective equipment board the Ruby Princess during the Strike Force Bast raid of the cruise ship at Port Kembla, New South Wales, Australia, April 8, 2020, in this still image from video © Reuters Armageddon out of here

    Incredibly this week, while the boat – effectively a crime scene – is still quarantined off the coast of Australia, with more than 1,000 crew on board, including 140 active coronavirus cases, American Jan Swartz, the president of Carnival Cruises – which has seen its share price fall 75 percent this year – appeared in a video to announce that the company "remains optimistic that Emerald and Ruby Princess will still be able to offer roundtrip cruises from Seattle to Alaska in the late summer."

    Carnival has now finally cancelled all of its cruises through late June, and some through the end of the year. The company's chief experience officer declared: "The cruise space is as bad as it gets. It's armageddon."

    What does seem alarming is how long the company had known that armageddon was approaching, and the fact that it continued to put both its customers and its staff in harm's way. Aside from the Ruby, Diamond and Grand Princesses, at least seven more of the Carnival Line's ships have become virus hot spots, resulting in more than 1,500 positive infections and at least 39 fatalities.

    As of April 9, there were still more than 6,000 passengers at sea on various ships, and some of them may not be able to disembark until the end of April. Clearly, the death toll is yet to be finalised.

    Carnival's innovation chief, John Padgett, had been dealing with a manufacturer based in Wuhan and has said that he was made aware of the scale of the coronavirus outbreak in late January. "The biggest thing about that, it's a learning I don't think I'll ever forget is that we actually had insight into the global situation much earlier than most," Padgett revealed.

    And yet so little was done, not just by Carnival but the entire industry, as University of Chicago epidemiologist Katelyn Gostic points out: "The cruise ship response was definitely lagging behind expert opinion on how big the risks are," she told Washington Post. "It was sluggish decision-making, and they should have responded earlier."

    Also on rt.com Cruise ships ordered by US Coast Guard to remain at sea & prepare to treat coronavirus-stricken passengers themselves Carry on cruising?

    Cruising has sailed through tumultuous PR waters before, most notably with the capsizing of the Costa Concordia in Italy in 2012, which killed 32 people. A year later, passengers endured the so-called 'Poop Cruise' on the Carnival Triumph, after a fire on board led to the ship being stuck at sea for a week with overflowing toilets and hallways flooded with human waste.

    Despite the lingering stench, Carnival was offering cruises on the same ship just two months later.

    No-one died, then, of course, so surely the tsunami of bad publicity that has washed over cruise ships globally will prove more damaging this time around?

    The industry, which normally carries 30 million people a year, clearly does not think so, with Carnival offering bookings on cruises to Asia on its Diamond Princess as soon as October this year.

    Despite a Yahoo poll finding that 83 percent of Australians would not travel on a cruise ship again for fear of catching an infection, 17 percent still said they would. Another poll, on Cruise Critic, found that 75 percent of respondents planned to cruise "as much as" or "even more," as soon as ships start sailing again.

    Incredibly, future cruise sales have surged over the past month, with online portal CruiseCompete.com reporting a 40 percent increase in 2021 bookings compared to 2019.

    And even those people who have had to cancel cruises that would possibly have seen them infected are keen to get back on board, with as many as three quarters of cancellations taking a future credit of 125 percent of their cruise value rather than a 100 percent refund.

    Perhaps sinking a few ships, as Burr suggested, might be the only way to save people from themselves.

    Think your friends would be interested? Share this story!

    The statements, views and opinions expressed in this column are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of RT.

    oped

    [Apr 24, 2020] The public panic that abounds is not of natural origin. It is manufactured by the media and the deep state. The question arises, for what purpose.

    Apr 24, 2020 | www.unz.com

    James Robinson , says: Show Comment April 23, 2020 at 11:59 am GMT

    The public panic that abounds is not of natural origin. It is manufactured by the media and the deep state. The question arises, for what purpose. I suspect that that the US economy is undergoing a designed, controlled demolition in order to produce an uncontrolled demolition of the Chinese economy and thus forestall Chinese ascendancy.

    The little people in the US, as Leona Helmsly would have dubbed them, purchase mountains of Chinese manufactured goods and are really the cornerstone of the Chinese economy.

    The little people in the US will no longer be purchasing anything but absolute necessities like food as the engineered depression will leave them with pockets too empty for anything else.

    [Apr 24, 2020] This virus, the social distancing and all that hocus pocus is getting more and more bizarre by the day.

    Apr 24, 2020 | www.unz.com

    The Grim Joker , says: Show Comment April 23, 2020 at 6:52 pm GMT

    ... ... ...

    Yesterday's Action

    My bank now has traffic pylons outside the door. They ask the following questions if you want to enter:
    -Have you been out of the country ? Answer; How am I going to be out of the country when the airport is closed?
    -Do you have any symptoms ? Answer: If I had I would be at the hospital
    -Have you associated with anyone who has the symptoms? Answer: If I thought they did I would ask them to go to the hospital and so would I.
    -Sir! There is no need to be rude. Answer: Far from it. You are asking questions parrot fashion. Questions that do not make any sense.

    After getting MY money out of THEIR pockets I proceeded to the auto mechanic for front brakes.

    Joker: Am I allowed to come inside ?

    70 Year old Mechanic Unmasked : Sure, you are the only customer today. You can keep me company while I do the work. I cannot afford to lose customers.

    [Apr 23, 2020] Changes in United States Data following the new CDC guidelines on "Case" and "Death" definition

    Apr 23, 2020 | www.worldometers.info

    Following new CDC guidelines : " As of April 14, 2020, CDC case counts and death counts include both confirmed and probable cases and deaths . This change was made to reflect an interim COVID-19 position statement issued by the Council for State and Territorial Epidemiologists on April 5, 2020. The position statement included a case definition and made COVID-19 a nationally notifiable disease.

    A confirmed case or death is defined by meeting confirmatory laboratory evidence for COVID-19. A probable case or death is defined by i) meeting clinical criteria AND epidemiologic evidence with no confirmatory laboratory testing performed for COVID-19; or ii) meeting presumptive laboratory evidence AND either clinical criteria OR epidemiologic evidence; or iii) meeting vital records criteria with no confirmatory laboratory testing performed for COVID19" [ source ]

    [Apr 23, 2020] Almost 50% of CoVid deaths in Europe are as a result of the practice in richer Euro countries of confining the elderly to nursing homes

    Apr 23, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    LOL , Apr 23 2020 15:40 utc | 4

    Almost 50% of CoVid deaths in Europe are as a result of the practice in richer Euro countries of confining the elderly to nursing homes

    Bachman
    @ElonBachman
    Half of Europe's COVID-19 deaths are from nursing homes

    https://mobile.twitter.com/ElonBachman/status/1250745852202749954

    -----

    Branko Milanovic
    @BrankoMilan
    Why is nobody discussing truly staggering differences in death rates between Eastern and Western Europe? In the @FT graphs none of Eastern European countries is even included. The gap is just striking. (Worldometer, 22 April)

    https://mobile.twitter.com/BrankoMilan/status/1252812420357083137

    [Apr 23, 2020] The efficiency of lockdown in different circumstances

    Apr 23, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Alaric , Apr 22 2020 19:28 utc | 49

    I tend to think both B and some opponents of the lockdown are massively oversimplifying.

    It's dangerous to a small demographic and we mostly know who that is. The binary lockdown vs not lockdown mindset ignores the enormous specificity of the disease and variables in actions taken. A lockdown that poor people can't follow won't be effective and a lockdown that fails to protect elderly and especiallly nursing homes will see high deaths. An open approach that does these things might be more efficaous.

    The premise that the anti lockdown position is a bunch of ignorant, right wings nuts is readily dispelled by the large number of scientists who have spoken out against it.

    Again, the problem here is the various shades of grey and large number of variables. Some containment acts might not work and do more harm than good. Different places will have different results based on weather, density (spread rate), demographics, etc

    Then there is the changing narrative. Flatten the curve was about reducing strain on hospitals with only modest (at best) gains in lives. Now we compare Sweden and Norway say on deaths and not strain on hospital resources.

    The lockdown is doing a lot of economic, social, psychological harm especially in the US where we have no safety net, no healthcare and many poor. Closing schools will seriously hurt children. EG: 50% of NYC kids get assistance for breakfast and 72% get it for lunch. Those schools fulfill important social and care functions beyond schooling.

    There are many variables in this equation. Stop pretending otherwise.

    c1ue , Apr 22 2020 19:32 utc | 50

    Cheers, b, for standing up to the libertarian nonsense.

    I would still note that - at least in the US - the federal and state plan for nCOV management is unquestionably very poorly thought out.

    A few questions:

    1) While lockdowns in breakout areas like New York, New Jersey, Louisiana make sense - what is the plan for the rest of the country?

    In particular - Singapore has demonstrated that controlling initial nCOV penetration (travellers from Wuhan) - even subsequent secondary infection from other countries (Students returning home from Europe) is still not enough to prevent resurgence. Singapore is now headed for the worst results in Asia due to its 200K cheap offshore laborers in barracks.
    The same (actually, probably worse) conditions exist for fruit and produce harvesters and meat workers in the US, as well as Amazon and other delivery warehouses. Dark kitchens are likely to add to the mix.

    So - is the solution to lock down until there is a vaccine? For at least 7 months from now? Is it to have flareups and more lockdowns later? The uncertainty causes as much economic damage as anything else.

    2) The mortality data is also quite clear: the vast majority of affected are the 65+. What about having state and federal government planning - via say, Medicare - to provide food and support services and to quarantine/protect via isolation those vulnerable demographics? They're already widely financially supported via their Social Security paychecks; they're the least vulnerable to needing paychecks to eat - unlike a huge percentage of the rest of the population.

    3) The economic disruption is ginormous. Unemployment helps some - but it maxes out at 30 weeks.
    There are still huge numbers of business owners and others who are not eligible for unemployment.
    Are those people just having to lump it for the duration of nCOV protective measures? Which, as I noted above, is likely to be many months - not just 1 or 2?

    4) Testing. Why is testing not being heavily subsidized and/or price controlled? Both PCR for active and antibody?

    Lastly, even if the lockdowns were to magically end tomorrow - entire sectors are still going to be severely disrupted.
    The entire travel sector is toast for 2020.
    The sports and concert scene is also toast for 2020.
    Bars and nightclubs? Highly problematic.
    Restaurants? Also very problematic.
    Schools? We're going into summer now, but nCOV will still be a problem in September - and we won't have a vaccine then.
    The entire commercial/restaurant/school supply chain is hosed - how is that situation going to get resolved?

    The real problem the libertarians have isn't just that their rabid aversion to government is wrong headed - it is that the only way to try and get out of this nCOV situation without maximum economic and public health impact is via smart government policy.

    But at the same time, there is very little evidence of smart government policies - at any level - in the US.

    [Apr 23, 2020] It is entirely erroneous and risible to view any action of the state as "authoritarian"

    There is one size fits all measure. Quarantine is necessary in some places like NYC (and many other large cities). As well as for people over 65, and other who continue the high risk group (extremely obese, diabetics, with immune system problems, with cardiovascular problems, etc) It is less nessesary and justified in area will low population density. In those places mass gathering (say more then 10 people) can be prohibited and obligatory wearing of masks inside buildings and transports as well as places with high density outside like lines, but life can continue as usual
    Apr 23, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org
    Prof K , Apr 22 2020 19:04 utc | 34

    Yesterday James Corbett of The Corbett Report interviewed Kit Knightly of Off-Guardian about the corona crisis. At 18:30 minutes in Corbett finds it "disturbing" that some of the blogs who usually criticize governments, like Moon of Alabama, support the measures governments have taken to lower the speed of the novel coronavirus epidemic.

    Corbett then highlights a discussion on Twitter between me and the Off-Guardian account.

    It started with this:

    vanessa beeley @VanessaBeeley - 5:33 UTC · Apr 9, 2020

    #BillGates funded World Health Organisation advocate forced removal of family members fm homes if "tested" positive for #COVID19 even tho test is not proven reliable. So, govts hve corralled us in homes & will now unlawfully raid & extract citizens under poss. false pretext.

    I retweeted that and remarked:

    Moon of Alabama @MoonofA - 22:30 UTC · Apr 9, 2020
    China did this in phase 2 of the Wuhan quarantine because it was the only way to protect the families from their infected members. Without that policy Wuhan would not have ended the epidemic.
    Current test reliability is relativ high if test is immediate used when symptoms appear.

    OffGuardian retweeted my tweet and launched the discussion:

    ... ... ...

    Now back to the Off-Guardian and Corbett critique. My view on the epidemic was always based on science. You can follow how it developed through the list of posts attached to this one. As I watched how China defeated its outbreak I had hoped that other governments would take similar measures. With globally concerted action we could have completely erased this disease!

    But one slips into a pandemic with the governments one has, not with the ones one wishes for.

    Will our 'elites' use the crisis to further enrich themselves. Sure . Will they abuse some of the control measures? That is practically guaranteed. And it does not change a damned thing with regards to the pandemic.

    It is now too late to defeat it by eradicating its source. Social distancing measures like lock-downs are needed to keep the epidemic under control and to not overload our health care systems. Should the next outbreak wave be worse than the current one we will need even harsher measures than we currently have. I will support those because I know that they will save lives.

    If that makes me an 'authoritarian' in the view of some then let it be so.

    I for one find it more useful to tell people to make and wear masks than to post 'expert opinions' (scroll down) from PR-company sites which disagree with the scientific mainstream while their estimates of the total death toll have already been exceeded.

    --- It is entirely erroneous and risible to view any action of the state as "authoritarian."

    This infantile disorder is derivative of all liberal thought, which rests on a methodological individualism, the idea that society is nothing beyond the individuals which allegedly constitute it. Incidentally, left-wing anarchism shares the same theory of
    the state, regardless of its ostensibly social objectives. The state in both views is just an exogenous, evil "thing," which interferes unjustifiably in civil society and markets. Of course, this theory has no connection to reality at all if you are sane enough to accept the merits of public libraries, roads, water treatment, schools, healthcare, environmental protections, etc.

    The Marxist theory of the state is the correct one. The state emerges from class relationships, and enforces them through a variety of means. But, it is also a terrain of class struggle and a resume of the balance of class forces in society.

    The historical evolution of the state clearly expresses these realities, and working-class movements and left-wing parties have shaped the state and its institutions in important ways. Public health care systems are inextricable from the success of working-class struggles. The power of the coercive branches of the state are an expression of the weakness of the left. And so on.

    It follows that a working-class demand for stronger lockdown and quarantine measures in the interest of protecting lives and the very public institutions we need has nothing in common with "authoritarianism."

    Only an asshole capitalist who truly thinks, as the Governor of Texas put it, that "there are more important things than life," would say so.

    Let's be clear: the call for more meaningful and stronger directives and rules in the present is only coming from the left because it alone cares for the health and well being of fellow human beings. It is the right-wing assholes and capitalists who want to "return to normal" as soon as possible.

    Those warning of the authoritarianism of any lockdown measures are regurgitating the heart and soul of reactionary right-wing thought and capitalist interests.


    DontBelieveEitherPr. , Apr 22 2020 19:07 utc | 37

    Thanks again Bernhard.

    This whole charade exposes how many in the so called Alternative Media are unable to differentiate, to base their thinking on scientific methods, and just live and think in a bi-polar borderline black and white world.

    I applaud you for your stace, even more seeing the onslaught of hysterics you face.

    Most of the Alternative media are just as bad as MSM. Only mirrored.
    Only a differentiated, scientific, and neutral analytic stance like yours can be a solution. Neither the likes of Off-Guardian, nor CNN.

    IMO this divide stems from this:

    Our European (and German) stance of social democracy of freedom for the individual, as long as it does not harm others or the society as a whole
    vs.
    the anglo ideology of total freedom for the individual, not matter the costs for others.

    Many so called "progressives" from the likes of Off-Guardian are foreigners to the concept, that individual liberty has limits, when the well being of higher values (like the society as a whole, harm to others) is at risk.
    They are libertarians who put themselves over all others, but claim to be "progressive".

    In the context of an aglo-american society they well be "progressive" But only compared to the likes of Trump or Biden or Clinton.

    Russ , Apr 22 2020 18:58 utc | 30
    @JohnH | Apr 22 2020 18:47 utc | 20

    Mostly the protests are being instigated by the usual anti-government oligarchs who are terrorized that people might actually conclude that government has an important role to play in addressing problems.

    As far as public opposition to the police state lockdown coming almost only from MAGA types, this is yet another example of the complete abdication and worthlessness of "the left" which leaves a vacuum that's filled by right-populism.

    Just like with Brexit, just like with the American opportunity for a populist movement truly against Wall Street, corporate rule, the Pentagon, the police state.

    As we saw with Brexit, erstwhile "anti-globalists" ran home to globalist mama the moment the chips were down. Today we see the vastly more profound phenomenon of almost all self-alleged "anti-authoritarians" running home to police state mama.

    When everyone who ever claimed to hold human principles and who filled most of the ideological leadership space among the "alternative" set then not only abdicates but flips 180 degrees to embrace the very system they'd always claimed to oppose, that can do nothing but throw the whole space wide open to fascism.

    And if the people do embrace classical fascism, a major cause will be this revelation of the fraudulence of almost all who ever claimed to fight for an alternative.

    IMO we should just label them the pro-COVID crowd in any discussion of the matter.

    You're the one exulting in how the bug allegedly promises total apocalypse. The pro-COVID crowd are those propagating this mass terror campaign and those like you who have joyously embraced it.

    DontBelieveEitherPr. , Apr 22 2020 19:07 utc | 37
    Thanks again Bernhard.

    This whole charade exposes how many in the so called Alternative Media are unable to differentiate, to base their thinking on scientific methods, and just live and think in a bi-polar borderline black and white world.

    I applaud you for your stace, even more seeing the onslaught of hysterics you face.

    Most of the Alternative media are just as bad as MSM. Only mirrored.
    Only a differentiated, scientific, and neutral analytic stance like yours can be a solution. Neither the likes of Off-Guardian, nor CNN.

    IMO this divide stems from this:

    Our European (and German) stance of social democracy of freedom for the individual, as long as it does not harm others or the society as a whole
    vs.
    the anglo ideology of total freedom for the individual, not matter the costs for others.

    Many so called "progressives" from the likes of Off-Guardian are foreigners to the concept, that individual liberty has limits, when the well being of higher values (like the society as a whole, harm to others) is at risk.
    They are libertarians who put themselves over all others, but claim to be "progressive".

    In the context of an aglo-american society they well be "progressive" But only compared to the likes of Trump or Biden or Clinton.

    Kadath , Apr 22 2020 19:09 utc | 38
    With respect to your statement "Will they abuse some of the control measures? That is practically guaranteed", I feel I must point out when Bush brought in targeted killings he insisted that it would only be done against selected individuals and now, 18 years later the US has a committee of unelected military and intelligence officials rubber stamping secret kill lists that have resulted in at least 100,000 deaths, 80% of which were "collateral damage" of bystanders, no legal defense against inclusion on the list, no appeal, not even a public declaration of who is being pursued. I simply can not imagine a more irrespirable group to grant the power to seize and hold individuals, especially since the US is in the middle of a political/economic crisis before the pandemic. My specific concerns are.

    1. how long can an individual be held, what is the process for being released (do Doctor's have the power to release the patient? do Judges, military officers?) - I suspect it will be a long drawn out process taking at least 6-10 weeks requiring several different doctors and multiple tests, since the US has NO infrastructure setup for this process currently it will be subject to overloading and delays and rather than balancing the safety of society vs the rights of the individual it will simply crush the individual

    2. What facilities does the government even have for the internment of seized individuals? - The government has none, meaning it will be forced to construct WW-2 Japanese-style internment camps in isolated areas with minimum health care services and probably outbreaks of other diseases

    3. What treatment for the disease will individuals receive? (will they receive any?) - The US public doesn't have universal health care or even enough medical supplies for the public at large, the detainees will in all likelihood receive only nominal healthcare services, making them at high risk of other diseases. I suspect any camp setup by the US government to specifically treat sick individuals will have excessively high death rates

    4. What support will be provided for the family members or dependants of the detainees? - I think we all know the answer is zero, the US has gone to war against social services in the US for last 30 years and unlike all of the other wars the US has launched they've been hugely successful in destroying the safety net of society. What do you think will happened when previously detained individuals are released back into society to discover that their family lost their house or apartment or their children were taken into foster care


    You may claim that giving the government this power is the only way to defeat the Pandemic, but the simply truth is the government will not use it to defeat the Pandemic , rather they will use that power to enrich themselves and create only the barest façade of an effort to fight the pandemic and it will be so weak, so incompetently designed and ineffectively managed that it will make the Pandemic worse. Why should I believe that a government that has a bipartisan history of corruption, incompetency and failure going back 30 years will now unexpectedly succeed. They will fail.


    Blue Dotterel , Apr 22 2020 19:10 utc | 39
    Unfortunately, the science says there is not a vaccine for this corona virus or any other corona virus or even the common cold virus. The science says there are not even any perfectly effective vaccines for the flu. Developing one every year is something of a crap shoot.

    However, the science also says that this virus is unusually highly infective, even if the death toll is low relative to infected persons - possibly 0.1%. This is why I suggest an effective vaccine is highly unlikely to ever be developed for this virus

    There is really no evidence that the virus will ever be eradicated, unless mother nature helps us as it had done with the first SARS virus and the MERS virus. The way Sars Cov2 infects us suggests this will not be the case.

    So the argument between OFF Guard and Moon is moot. People are going suffer and occasionally die from the virus' infections if and until we develop a balanced "relationship" with it similar to the other four human corona viruses. The difference between the two arguments is the OG set up will kill more now, and b approach will kill more later. The advantage to b's point of view is that evolution might tame the virus into a less virulent strain through mutation of the virus and/or built up immunity in humans.

    The best approach is a holding pattern, not a complete futile lockdown, but not a do nothing herd immunity approach. Testing, learning more of the virus' nature, social distancing, wearing masks, developing/discovering drugs to mitigate the effects of the virus, research possible vaccines, open the economy in a measured manner, and develop politcal-economic policies that will equalize the distribution of wealth to defend against the high death toll and missery that mass unemployment will produce.

    Musburger , Apr 22 2020 19:22 utc | 43
    @28
    Russia detected 5,236 new coronavirus carriers yesterday. That is substantially less than yesterday. But this is not the story. It really should not matter that much how many new cases the Russians are able to dig up, because the big story is that according to Russia's own statistics upwards of 60% of those infected don't get sick and are asymptomatic:

    The 60% asymptomatic figure is pretty consistent with the Diamond Princess (46% I think) and Roosevelt numbers (something around 60%). The Stanford study of a 50 to 1 ratio of asymptomatic (98%) doesn't jibe with this. I believe the study was very flawed. Either the testing and/or the sample group.

    [Apr 23, 2020] 'Americans won't stand for it' Outrage and protests as mother arrested for letting children play in park

    Apr 23, 2020 | www.rt.com

    The case of a mother in Meridian, Idaho, who was arrested after police say she violated a city order by letting her children play in a playground has sparked a furious backlash and protests against Covid-19 restrictions. Sara Brady was arrested and charged with one count of misdemeanor trespassing, following the incident at Kleiner Park in Meridian on Tuesday.

    Video footage shows Brady being led away from the scene in handcuffs as several other women with young children plead with the police officers for an explanation for the arrest.

    "As a person, does this make sense to you? As a person, not as a police officer," one can be heard asking as the mother is perp-walked out of the park on the sunny afternoon.

    🚨 BREAKING 🚨 Mother arrested in Meridian, Idaho for letting kids play in parkThis has gotten out of controlStop arresting free Americans for being outside with their familiesRT!! pic.twitter.com/TUsbgat0D2

    -- Rogan O'Handley 🇺🇸 (@DC_Draino) April 22, 2020

    Meridian police say they made several attempts to encourage Brady to adhere to the rules and she did not comply with their requests. She was part of a group of families that was taking part in a "playdate protest" over Idaho's stay-at-home orders. She is now facing up to six months in jail and/or a US$1,000 fine.

    The arrest prompted a protest outside Meridian City Hall on Tuesday evening, where demonstrators voiced their concerns about how the incident was handled by the police and expressed their opposition to Idaho's Covid-19 measures.

    Restrictive lockdown measures limiting people's freedom of movement and sending unemployment rates to record highs have created tensions in many US states.

    Footage of Brady's arrest went viral on Twitter on Wednesday, with one video of the incident racking up more than one million views in two hours.

    "This has gotten out of control," activist Rogan O'Handley writes in one viral message. "Stop arresting free Americans for being outside with their families."

    [Apr 21, 2020] What will this do to the COVID death count? What will this also do to the excess mortality rate as people are fearful of getting immediate treatment for very serious life or death conditions?

    Apr 21, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Allen , Apr 20 2020 2:42 utc | 176

    Now over the last two weeks, the city's fire officials said more than 2,192 New York City residents died in their homes, compared to 453 during the same time period last year.

    On average there are 25 deaths in home per week in NYC- Tuesday, April 7th for example, there was 256. The reason? People are afraid to go to the hospitals, cardiologists are confirming this, lest they get infected with the "killer virus." This means when they are in the early stages of cardiac arrest, for example, they stay at home and some don't make it.

    NYC officials stated that they WILL NOT be conducting tests on these at home deaths nor will they be doing any diagnostics on the cadavers.

    NYC officials also confirmed that they will begin to count suspected COVID-19 deaths in addition to cases confirmed by a laboratory.

    Stephanie Buhle, a spokeswoman for the New York City's Health Department, confirmed the change in protocol.

    "The Office of the Chief Medical Examiner (OCME) and the NYC Health Department are working together to include into their reports deaths that may be linked to COVID but not lab confirmed that occur at home."

    NYC Mayor Bill de Blasio in his infinite wisdom acknowledged that the vast majority of deaths taking place at home were likely also due to COVID-19. No tests, no diagnosis but the mayor with his crystal ball stated:

    "We do want to know the truth about every death at home, but it's safe to assume that the vast majority are coronavirus related."

    That's his exact quote.

    What will this do to the COVID death count? What will this also do to the excess mortality rate as people are fearful of getting immediate treatment for very serious life or death conditions?

    [Apr 21, 2020] Barr Says DoJ Might Join Lawsuits Against States That Don't Reopen Fast Enough

    Apr 21, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com

    Now, AG Barr has taken Trump's embrace of the 'reopen now' movement to the next level by claiming the DoJ might join lawsuits filed by businesses and citizens against various states over the shutdown orders.

    "We have to give businesses more freedom to operate in a way that's reasonably safe," Barr said. "To the extent that governors don't and impinge on either civil rights or on the national commerce - our common market that we have here - then we'll have to address that."

    The move comes as more conservative groups reportedly heap pressure on the administration to do more to stop governors like Gavin Newsom from keeping their states closed until the summer, according to BBG.

    But the last thing states need right now is another reason to blame the White House for meddling in their reopening planning...

    One way the Justice Department might act against state or local officials is by joining lawsuits brought by citizens or businesses over restrictions, Barr said. He acknowledged that state governments are at "a sensitive stage," as they try to balance health and safety against pressure to reopen.But he said that "as lawsuits develop, as specific cases emerge in the states, we'll take a look at them."

    "We're looking carefully at a number of these rules that are being put into place," Barr said. "And if we think one goes too far, we initially try to jawbone the governors into rolling them back or adjusting them. And if they're not and people bring lawsuits, we file statement of interest and side with the plaintiffs."

    ...and Barr just gave it to them on a silver platter.

    Attorney General William Barr and Hugh Hewitt discussing the recent crisis. - YouTube

    [Apr 21, 2020] The Road Not Taken by Robert Frost

    One could say there are generally 2 honest standpoints on what is happening (ignoring the dishonest ones). On the surface these 2 groups appear to have diverging opinions based on essentially the same fear: What happens to the economy.
    One group fears the extreme actions taken by governments and institutions are causing far more damage to society and individuals in terms of economic damage, unemployment, eradication of democratic and personal rights and ultimately also deaths. These actions are seen as real and deliberate attacks on individuals and modern society.
    The other group senses the same fear, but the fear is so strong that cognitive dissonance kicks in to deny reality. One is simply not able to accept the implication of governments and institutions willingly crushing society. So the official virus doomsday line is internalized as the truth, instead of causing a revision of one's world view, even though the numbers show that it is an irrational standpoint.
    Apr 21, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org
    juliania , Apr 21 2020 15:46 utc | 62
    The Road Not Taken by Robert Frost

    Two roads diverged in a yellow wood,
    And sorry I could not travel both
    And be one traveler, long I stood
    And looked down one as far as I could
    To where it bent in the undergrowth;

    Then took the other, as just as fair,
    And having perhaps the better claim,
    Because it was grassy and wanted wear;
    Though as for that the passing there
    Had worn them really about the same,

    And both that morning equally lay
    In leaves no step had trodden black.
    Oh, I kept the first for another day!
    Yet knowing how way leads on to way,
    I doubted if I should ever come back.

    I shall be telling this with a sigh
    Somewhere ages and ages hence:
    Two roads diverged in a wood, and I -
    I took the one less traveled by,
    And that has made all the difference.

    [Apr 21, 2020] Warship has probably ~ 27 year old mean age, and higher health level (its the army after all) which has distorted mortality in the sample.

    Apr 21, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Passer by , Apr 20 2020 6:01 utc | 221

    Posted by: guidoamm | Apr 20 2020 5:46 utc | 218

    >>We now have very solid infection and mortality data from a sample of in excess of 15,000 individuals that were/are aboard 4 cruise ships and 1 war ship.

    Warship has probably ~ 27 year old mean age, and higher health level (its the army after all) which has distorted mortality in the sample.

    Criuse ships report closer to 1 percent.


    Passer by , Apr 20 2020 6:16 utc | 224

    Posted by: guidoamm | Apr 20 2020 5:46 utc | 218

    Now that i checked -

    Diamond Princess + Grand Princess + MS Zaandam cruise ships death rate is 2 %, far higher than 0,1 %.

    I don't remember countries building 10 new hospitals in a city due to flu. So it looks like death rate is higher than the flu, even when estimated via the cruise ship data.

    guidoamm , Apr 20 2020 6:23 utc | 225
    Diamond princess 4 fatalities
    Grand Princess 1 fatality
    Zaandam 4 fatalities
    Ruby Princess 4 fatalities
    Theodore Roosevelt 1 fatality

    Total 15 dead over 5 ships

    Out of more than 15000 passengers, crew and sailors, how do you work out a mortality of 1%?

    Passer by , Apr 20 2020 6:59 utc | 231
    Posted by: guidoamm | Apr 20 2020 6:23 utc | 225

    Mortality is estimated per population infected.

    US AirCraft Carrier Rusvelt has ~ 28 year old sailors mean age, mostly young and strong military people, i would not take that sample seriously.

    According to Worldometers - Cruise Ships:

    Diamond Princess infected 712 dead 13

    Grand Princess infected 103 dead 3

    MS Zaandam infected 9 dead 2

    Per Wiki:
    Ruby Princess Infected 662 Dead 19

    Total: 1486 infected, 37 dead

    Death Rate Cruise Ships 2,5 (way higher that flu - which is 0,1)

    Peter AU1 , Apr 20 2020 7:15 utc | 236
    Diamond Princess 13 fatalities.

    Grand Princess Crius " cruise from San Francisco to Mexico and back on Grand Princess between 11 and 21 February" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_on_cruise_ships#Grand_Princess

    Ruby Princess. Left on 8th cut short on 15th due to several cases appeareing.

    Military ships hardly a cross section of a population.

    Diamond Princess though is a reasonable model Passengers all kept on the ship for some time.
    approx 20% infection rate. 2% death rate amongst those that contacted it.

    [Apr 21, 2020] Stanford University epidemiologist John Ioannidis calls out media for panicking the public over COVID-1

    Apr 21, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    fairleft , Apr 20 2020 0:46 utc | 144

    Read Ioannidis, everyone, and calm down:
    Stanford University epidemiologist John Ioannidis calls out media for panicking the public over COVID-19

    fairleft , Apr 20 2020 4:37 utc | 203

    There's a descent into hysteria and anger here. You all _really_ need to read that John Ioannidis article I posted above. He's not an "Off-Guardian nut job." He's a professor of epidemiology at Stanford University. He and other experts reviewed all the currently available data (with some common-sense restrictions) and made a report I've also linked to. The report indicates that Covid-19 is not very dangerous to under-65s in good health, with possible exception of people in a horrible health care situation.

    As for dying 'from' rather than 'with', that's also not some wacky theory pushed by some "Off-Guardian nut job." No, it's promoted by Oxford University, _that_ Oxford University, and I've cited their report repeatedly. Global Covid-19 Case Fatality Rates , is from the The Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine at the University of Oxford. The report states, emphasis in original:

    "Recording the numbers of those who die with Coronavirus will inflate the CFR as opposed to those that died from Coronavirus, which will deflate the CFR."

    The report later adds: "It is now essential to understand whether individuals are dying with or from the disease. Understanding this issue is critical. If, for instance, 80% of those over 80 die with the disease then the CFR would be near 3% in this age group as opposed to 15%. Cause of death information from death certificates is often inaccurate and incomplete, particularly for conditions such as pneumonia. These factors would act to lower the IFR."

    Now, these Stanford and Oxford University epidemiologists might be wrong. Or they might be right. Still much uncertainty. But treating the people you disagree with in _this_ context as conspiracy-addled nut cases tells me that you have an excessive commitment to 'winning' and not to getting this thing right.

    fairleft , Apr 20 2020 0:59 utc | 148
    by: Jackrabbit | Apr 20 2020 0:20 utc | 139

    What do you mean by "minimizing"? It's simply a fact, based on the increasingly strong statistical data, that Covid-19 is not very dangerous for under-65s in good health. But no one should deny (I'm not) that the US disaster capitalism health care system puts millions in danger. This is clear in the stats. There's a huge difference in Covid mortality rates in the US and Western Europe:

    "Individuals with age <65 account for 5%-9% of all COVID-19 deaths in the 8 European epicenters, and approach 30% in three US hotbed locations. People <65 years old had 34- to 73-fold lower risk than those ≥65 years old in the European countries and 13- to 15-fold lower risk in New York City, Louisiana and Michigan. The absolute risk of COVID-19 death ranged from 1.7 per million for people <65 years old in Germany to 79 per million in New York City. The absolute risk of COVID-19 death for people ≥80 years old ranged from approximately 1/6,000 in Germany to 1/420 in Spain."

    Source: https://t.co/32FiNJo9Vc?amp=1

    And, compared to Europe, there are (many?) more Americans with poor diets and health, greatly raising the % of vulnerable in the under-65s. But the world is not the US. Maybe the Covid-19 response should be nuanced. One size probably does not fit all.

    David F , Apr 20 2020 1:26 utc | 154
    fairleft @144

    I read the link. I think his information is a little dated.

    It was written april 10th, there were 100,000 deaths at that time, 9 days later there are 165,000 deaths.

    His selection of areas to study seems odd at best.

    (Belgium, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, and Switzerland), three states (Louisiana, Michigan, and Washington), and one city (New York)

    "Flattening the curve to avoid overwhelming the health system is conceptually sound -- in theory," he wrote in a paper in March."

    Again, a paper he wrote in march, before shit hit the fan.

    He seems pretty dismissive of anything that doesn't align with his perception. All in all not very convincing.

    uncle tungsten , Apr 20 2020 3:40 utc | 187
    Richard Steven Hack #146
    Posted by: fairleft | Apr 20 2020 0:46 utc | 144 Read Ioannidis, everyone, and calm down:

    As I said before, he needs to get out of his office and talk to the doctors on the front lines. If he doesn't, he's an idiot talking from an ivory tower - or he has an agenda. Do you know what his agenda is?

    Maybe his agenda is encapsulated here:

    #FireFauci Should be the Rallying Cry for a Generation

    But then maybe not. Ioannidis could be a fine scientist with a clear comprehension of the trajectory of viral outbreaks. Perhaps there is room for the meeting of minds of the risk assessment science and the epidemiologists but I believe they have been in collaboration for many decades and have a sense of each others methodologies.

    There is always the possibility that the political sense of risk management is dramatically different from the sense that Risk scientists and Epidemiological scientists possess.

    I note this is a Presidential election year where the choice might be driven by any one of the following each with a weighting that a political machine might attribute:
    Get the deaths over with asap
    Get the economy up and running asap
    Blame the 'other' country (it worked for the dems and Clinton)
    Blame Fauci / epidemiology / WHO / DHHS / Bill Gates
    Reinstate TR Captain who 'saved' his crew in defiance of the Navy Brass (as metaphore for self)
    What could Biden do or say that would be of any comprehensible value to anyone but Trump
    Smash the DNC as they already look like imbeciles
    Go for a majority in both houses and to hell with the human cost
    Do nothing and keep up the shutdown gives the democrazies more scope to attack

    Supposedly someone in the DNC machinery has a strategy but I see it isn't Bernie Sanders.

    [Apr 21, 2020] Overreaction: local police could fine people sitting with fishing rods on lake/river banks at their discretion

    Apr 21, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Piotr Berman , Apr 20 2020 1:07 utc | 151

    Decent news from Poland: government "relaxed" lockdown, entry to forests and parks is allowed again. Covering of mouth and nose in public is obligatory, except for those working in agriculture. At least there will be no collapse there. No word if fishing is allowed again... that was very messy -- local police could fine people sitting with fishing rods on lake/river banks at their discretion. Presidential elections scheduled for May are not rescheduled, but it seems that it will be a postal vote. Will they microwave the ballots or cook the results?

    [Apr 21, 2020] Biting critique of Fauci and other experts who insisted on full scale "containment measures" without any discrimination between vulnerable groups and vulnerable states

    Apr 21, 2020 | www.lewrockwell.com

    It is becoming clearer with each passing day that the death toll from the Wuhan virus is not rising exponentially as the "experts" predicted but only modestly in some places while levelling off or even declining almost everywhere else in the country -- as well as the world . The incidence of infection borders on nil in the hot and humid countries, where the number of deaths remains in the double or very low triple digits four months after the virus emerged from the Wuhan province of China.

    Common sense alone indicates that the number of deaths will ultimately be nowhere near the 2 million without "mitigation" or a best case 100,000 to 240,000 with "mitigation" as predicted by "Tony and Deborah" at the White House press briefings that have fueled nationwide panic. Tony and Deb have since revised their "models" downward to predict 40,000 to 178,000 deaths. And that prediction has already been lowered again as the IMHE model Tony and Deb have been touting during the briefings now "predicts" 81,766 deaths by August 4. That prediction would require some 18,000 people to die every month between now and then, even though at 10,000 deaths since February 29 -- a number consistent with a heavy flu season -- we appear to have reached the peak and a decline is already evident .

    At some point, Tony and Deb will be "predicting" precisely what has already happened, as we saw with the "models" that first predicted Hillary Clinton was certain to win the Presidency. And when the final death toll fails even to approach what they first predicted in order to panic the whole country into a nationwide lockdown never before seen in human history, they will make the unprovable, non-falsifiable, junk science claim that "mitigation worked."

    But it is becoming increasingly clear that "mitigation" has done nothing but cause a pointless, catastrophic disruption of social and economic life. This seems to delight the lying media and their Democrat partners, who are striving to keep fear alive, avoid or minimize any good news about the numbers, overstate the burden on local hospitals (without any unedited video or other reliable evidence), argue against curative treatment by hydroxychloroquine or otherwise, get everybody into masks after months of "expert" advice that masks are ineffective, and generally prolong the economic damage and loss of civil liberties for months to come.

    As the actual numbers belie the pseudo-scientific prophecies of doom, however, the lockdown of America that began with Democrat governors and mayors now exhibits a curious and hardly coincidental fissure along party lines. As of today, nine states, all headed by Republican governors, refuse to join the lockdown regime and now provide embarrassing counterfactuals demonstrating that officially mandated lockdowns were never necessary and have probably made the situation worse by preventing the development of "herd immunity" to this virus, like all the others, from the normal interaction of large populations.

    https://www.youtube.com/embed/lGC5sGdz4kg?wmode=transparent

    The following are the nine states that have refused to impose lockdowns. All of them have minimal death tolls from the Wuhan virus, including the populous South Carolina, and five of them have not enacted even local lockdowns:

    [Data as of this writing on April 6 at 9 p.m.]

    Gov. Asa Hutchinson of Arkansas told the Fake News New York Times what we have been saying on these pages since the stupid lockdowns began: "the typical stay-at-home order was a misleading 'illusion' because it includes so many exemptions allowing people to go out in public, such as for groceries or exercise ordering people to stay at home would simply leave thousands jobless."

    The Times demands to know why these nine states have seceded from the United States of Mitigation: "Holdout States Resist Calls for Stay-at-Home Orders: 'What Are You Waiting For?' screams the indignant headline. Editorial desperation leaps from the page, for the Fake News combine as a whole knows that these nine Republican-led holdout states are all counterfactual to the panic narrative, and that what they are waiting for is the rest of the country to discover that they have been had by the cheerleaders of "mitigation," who live in luxury and job security while the masses suffer. First and foremost, Deb and Tony, intimate associates of Bill Gates, whose "models" keep lowering predictions to catch up with the growing embarrassment of the real numbers.

    Another embarrassing counterfactual is the Commonwealth of Virginia, now being suffocated by Democrat Governor Ralph ("Infanticide") Northam's absurd executive orders, which have ruined the state's economy while attempting to place its entire population under a fake quarantine that does nothing but create instant unemployment and bankruptcy. The Northam lockdown will remain in effect until June 10 unless Northam calculates he cannot get away with prolonging his virus-themed dictatorship past Trump's new control date of April 30. Yet, as of the week of March 28, the Virginia Department of Health "has received report of 1,352 pneumonia and influenza-associated deaths," including five pediatric deaths, during the 2019-20 flu season, while purported deaths from the Wuhan virus and related pneumonia stand at 54 as of today at 9 p.m., with no pediatric deaths.

    Based on the example of Virginia alone, which provides an all-but-irrefutable counterfactual, it is time to call this fiasco what it is: Coronagate. In my view, Coronagate will go down as the single biggest fraud in the fraud-ridden history of American politics -- outside of the fraudulent inducement of America's belated entry into World War I, which sacrificed 116,000 American lives to an epochal disaster that destroyed the last remnants of Christendom, guaranteed World War II, and led to the rise of the Third Reich and the Soviet Union.

    Meanwhile, the White House press briefings have devolved into a black comedy with the same script every day: Trump recites a litany of statistics on the number of COVID-19 tests performed, the mass production and distribution of ventilators and N95 respirators, surgical masks, surgical gowns and surgical gloves; praises the captains of industry for pitching in with massive contributions of product; and lauds the branches of the military for their massive logistical operations, including the building of entire hospitals that remain almost empty.

    Pence then delivers another sermon on how to "slow the spread in 30 days." Then Deb drones on about her ever-evolving models, followed by a very hoarse Tony, who croaks the same statements he made the day before about "the curve" and "mitigation, mitigation, mitigation" while assiduously avoiding any suggestion that the "pandemic" could be over any time soon or that there could be any proven effective treatment.

    Then it's the media jackals' turn. Day after day these morons jabber at Trump with accusations disguised as questions: Why has governor so-and-so or such-and-such hospital not received enough test kits/ventilators/masks/gowns/gloves/breath mints?

    ... ... ...

    At today's briefing, one reporter attempted to elicit from Fauci a declaration that, no matter what Trump might think, America cannot "return to normal" without a vaccine whose development is, conveniently enough for the media-DNC complex, at least a year away. Fauci's meandering response was a dog whistle that, if he has anything to say about it, the country will remain under some level of lockdown until there is a largely ineffective or even harmful vaccine, like the one he advocated for the swine flu of 2009.

    The Fake News media are laboring to elevate Fauci, a star in the Leftist galaxy whose center is Bill Gates, to the status of Recovery Czar whose "medical opinion" will determine the fate of the nation

    [Apr 21, 2020] Why The Shutdown Must End by David Denning

    Apr 20, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com
    Authored by David Denning via LewRockwell.com,

    The shutdown of the American economy should end as soon as possible. We have reached the point where fear and panic have precluded logic and facts. The damage from our overreaction to the Covid-19 pandemic is likely to prove greater than the death toll from the disease itself. The virus is not containable, and our attempt to achieve the unachievable grows more costly every day.

    Covid-19 is not proving as deadly as first imagined. Last March 16, a group of researchers at Imperial College in London predicted 510,000 deaths in the UK and 2.2 million in the US. Within ten days, these early estimates were revised downward by more than an order of magnitude. As I write, the best estimate of ultimate deaths from Covid-19 in the US is about 60,000, the same as the 61,000 people who died from influenza during the winter of 2017-2018. Yet we continue to suffer from a shutdown whose imposition was justified by a fallacious model prediction.

    The spread of the coronavirus is both inevitable and necessary. It is necessary because, in the absence of a vaccine, the only way to counteract the disease is to build immunity in the population. A person who contracts the infection and recovers is immune. They can no longer become ill or spread the disease. Infection and recovery is the most effective vaccination possible.

    Last March 3, the World Health Organization estimated the mortality rate from Covid-19 to be 3.4 percent. We now know that this early estimate was much too high because testing was limited to individuals exhibiting severe symptoms. Subsequently, more extensive testing has found that half the infected population is entirely asymptomatic, and that the corresponding mortality rate is in the neighborhood of 0.1 percent. Thus 99.9 percent of the people who get the disease further the goal of building immunity in the population. Although this is an inconvenience for those who are affected, these infections accomplish an ultimate good.

    The whole idea behind shutdowns and quarantines is not to reduce cumulative mortality, but to "flatten the curve" so that our health care facilities are not overwhelmed. Individuals who need intensive care may be saved by this strategy but the net mortality reduction is likely to be small. Shutdowns and quarantines will prolong the course of the pandemic. When social distancing ends, as it must eventually, the disease will simply resume its inevitable course through the population. Flattening the curve does not reduce the area under the curve.

    Where did we get the idea that some businesses and occupations are "non-essential?"

    In a market economy, every job is essential. And every job is certainly essential to the person who depends on it for their livelihood. In the midst of a pandemic it's sensible to ban mass gatherings of hundreds and thousands of people. But local governments are now imposing restrictions that make little sense. Parks and golf courses have been closed. The imposition of evening curfews is baffling. Every government official with totalitarian instincts now has the moral justification to impose arbitrary and senseless curtailments on freedom of movement and association.

    Ironically, in the midst of a supposed epidemic, hospitals all over the nation are closing down for a lack of patients. Why? Because government officials ordered them to cancel all elective medical procedures so they could be prepared to receive a crush of Covid-19 patients that never arrived. In the last four weeks, we've lost 22 million jobs . In our panic over the Covid-19 pandemic, we seem to have forgotten that a robust economy supports health care, education, fire and police protection, and the construction and maintenance of critical infrastructure that maintains human civilization. The toll from the artificial induction of poverty may ultimately exceed lives lost to the disease.

    In 2011, researchers at Columbia University found that poverty contributes to 133,000 premature deaths annually in the US. Our stop-gap solution, massive government spending, is no panacea. Prosperity comes from production, not spending, borrowing, and taxing. If we don't reverse course in a matter of days, we're on our way to national suicide.

    [Apr 21, 2020] Two important results in Switzerland and Germany show that it is the elimination of large gatherings together with mask wearing and social distancing that have had the main impact on reducing the infectivity of covid-19, not the lockdowns

    Apr 21, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    BM , Apr 20 2020 11:09 utc | 263

    Two important results in Switzerland and Germany show that it is the elimination of large gatherings together with mask wearing and social distancing that have had the main impact on reducing the infectivity of covid-19, not the lockdowns (which appear to have had relatively minor effects so far, according to these two results). Any measures have a built-in delay of 8 to 10 days before their effects, due to the incubation periods of successive infections.

    (in German)

    [Apr 20, 2020] The Unseen Death Toll of Covid-19 Measures

    Apr 20, 2020 | ronpaulinstitute.org

    The accumulating death toll from Covid-19 can be seen minute-by-minute on cable news channels. But there's another death toll few seem to care much about: the number of poverty-related deaths being set in motion by deliberately plunging millions of Americans into poverty and despair.

    In the first three weeks since governors began shutting down commerce in their states, 17 million Americans filed for unemployment, and according to one survey , one quarter of Americans have lost their jobs or watched their paychecks cut. Goldman Sachs predicts that the economy will shrink 34 percent in the second quarter, with unemployment leaping to 15 percent.

    Until the Covid-19 economic shut-down, the poverty rate in the United States had dropped to its lowest in 17 years. What does that mean for public health? A 2011 Columbia University study funded by the National Institutes of Health estimated that 4.5 percent of all deaths in the United States are related to poverty. Over the last four years, 2.47 million Americans had been lifted out of that condition, meaning 7,700 fewer poverty-related deaths each year.

    It's a good bet these gains have been completely wiped out, and it's anyone's guess how many tens of millions of Americans will have been pushed below the poverty line as governments destroy their livelihoods. It's also a good bet the resulting deaths won't get the same attention.

    And that doesn't count an unknown number of Americans whose medical appointments have been postponed indefinitely while hospitals keep beds open for Covid-19 patients. How many of the 1.8 million new cancers each year in the United States will go undetected for months because routine screenings and appointments have been postponed? How many heart, kidney, liver, and pulmonary illnesses will fester while people's lives are on hold? How many suicides or domestic homicides will occur as families watch their livelihoods evaporate before their eyes? How many drug and alcohol deaths can we expect as Americans stew in their homes under police-enforced indefinite home detention orders? How many new cases of obesity-related diabetes and heart disease will emerge as Americans are banished from outdoor recreation and instead spend their idle days within a few steps of the refrigerator?

    I have participated in many discussions among top policymakers in Congress and the Administration over the last few weeks. Such considerations are rarely raised and always ignored. Instead, policymakers fixate on epidemiological models that have already been dramatically disproven by actual data.

    On March 30, Drs. Deborah Birx and Anthony Fauci gave their best-case projection that between 100,000 and 200,000 Americans will perish of Covid-19 "if we do things almost perfectly." As appalling as their prediction seems, it is a far cry from the 200,000 to 1.7 million deaths the CDC projected in the United States just a few weeks before. And even their down-sized predictions look increasingly exaggerated as we see actual data.

    Sometimes the experts are just wrong. In 2014, the CDC projected up to 1.4 million infections from African Ebola. There were 28,000 .

    Life is precious and every death is a tragedy. Yet last year, 38,800 Americans died in automobile accidents and no one has suggested saving all those lives by forbidding people from driving – though surely we could.

    In 1957, the Asian flu pandemic killed 116,000 Americans, the equivalent of 220,000 in today's population. The Eisenhower generation didn't strip grocery shelves of toilet paper, confine the entire population to their homes or lay waste to the economy. They coped and got through. Today we remember Sputnik – but not the Asian flu.

    It's fair to ask how many of those lives might have been saved then by the extreme measures taken today. The fact that the Covid-19 mortality curves show little difference between the governments that have ravaged their economies and those that haven't, suggests not many.

    The medical experts who are advising us are doing their jobs – to warn us of possible dangers and what actions we can take to mitigate and manage them. The job of policymakers is to weigh those recommendations against the costs and benefits they impose. Medicine's highest maxim offers good advice to policymakers: Primum non nocere -- first, do no harm.

    Reprinted from Congressman McClintock's website .

    [Apr 20, 2020] What If the Lockdown Was All A Big Mistake by Ron Paul

    Goldman Sachs predicts that the economy will shrink 34 percent in the second quarter, with unemployment leaping to 15 percent.
    Notable quotes:
    "... Across the US, millions of businesses have been shut down by "executive order" and the unemployment rate has skyrocketed to levels not seen since the Great Depression. ..."
    "... What if the "cure" is worse than the disease? ..."
    Apr 20, 2020 | ronpaulinstitute.org

    From California to New Jersey, Americans are protesting in the streets. They are demanding an end to house arrest orders given by government officials over a virus outbreak that even according to the latest US government numbers will claim fewer lives than the seasonal flu outbreak of 2017-2018.

    Across the US, millions of businesses have been shut down by "executive order" and the unemployment rate has skyrocketed to levels not seen since the Great Depression. Americans, who have seen their real wages decline thanks to Federal Reserve monetary malpractice, are finding themselves thrust into poverty and standing in breadlines. It is like a horror movie, but it's real.

    Last week the UN Secretary General warned that a global recession resulting from the worldwide coronavirus lockdown could cause "hundreds of thousands of additional child deaths per year." As of this writing, less than 170,000 have been reported to have died from the coronavirus worldwide.

    Many Americans have also died this past month because they were not able to get the medical care they needed. Cancer treatments have been indefinitely postponed. Life-saving surgeries have been put off to make room for coronavirus cases. Meanwhile hospitals are laying off thousands because the expected coronavirus cases have not come and the hospitals are partially empty.

    What if the "cure" is worse than the disease?

    [Apr 20, 2020] I have never heard of a pandemic which leaves the children untouched, most infected with no symptoms, and kills mainly those above eighty years of age.

    Apr 20, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Ric G , Apr 19 2020 15:21 utc | 4

    My concept of a pandemic is smallpox when it reached the Indian tribes on Vancouver Island and had a death rate of about 92%, including all ages and all states of health.

    I have never heard of a pandemic which leaves the children untouched, most infected with no symptoms, and kills mainly those above eighty years of age. I call that a virulent 'flu'!

    In Western Australia we have had six deaths, with an average age of probably 75 years. I have seen more people, in the local park, on a Saturday afternoon, choking to death on cucumber sandwiches!

    I smell a '9-11' rat. I smell the contrived Banking panic of 1907, the dark footsteps of J P Morgan and Jacob Schiff, leading to the setup of the US Fed and six months later the start of WW1, leading to the decapitation of half a dozen empires.

    Now that we have destroyed our economies, allowing the debt bankers to swoop in and buy the ruins of the small businesses, for 'pennies' in the pound, beware of the dark footsteps and the webs of dark design!

    [Apr 19, 2020] Changes in all-cause mortality will be the ONLY reliable way to judge the death toll.

    Apr 19, 2020 | twitter.com

    Alex Berenson ‏ 6:16 AM - 17 Apr 2020

    Reminder: because of the aggressive way in which we code # COVID deaths - and because the virus mostly kills elderly people with pre-existing conditions (who may be dying WITH and not OF it), changes in all-cause mortality will be the ONLY reliable way to judge the death toll.

    Gene Epstein ‏ 8:47 AM - 17 Apr 2020

    I suggest we look at all-cause mortality EXCLUDING: --all transport-related deaths (which should be way down), ---suicides & deaths from drug overdose (should be up) --all crime-related deaths (should be down).

    [Apr 19, 2020] Coronavirus Bondage by Linh Dinh

    Notable quotes:
    "... Many Americans believe their government is using this crisis to preempt restlessness, riots or even revolution, for the American economic house of cards is overdue for collapse anyway, thanks to decades of mismanagement. With a rising China making Uncle Sam increasingly irrelevant and annoying, the US has to unleash this bioweapon to zap its nemesis and decouple from it. So what if a few shiploads of its own citizens keel over. They're just useless eaters anyway. ..."
    "... The self-image of Americans as freedom-loving renegades is a long way from reality. There's a reason those guys were allowed to run around Richmond, Virginia armed to the teeth a couple of months back: everyone – including the gun lovers themselves – knew it was all for show. ..."
    Apr 19, 2020 | www.unz.com

    After China, South Korea was hit hardest by the coronavirus, yet it never locked itself down. By comprehensively testing people, regularly disinfecting places, contact tracing and having nearly everyone wear a face mask while in public, it has managed to suffer only 211 deaths in 11 weeks. On just April 8th, 799 people died from it in New York State.

    Why hasn't the Korean model been emulated worldwide, instead of China's much more restrictive measures? If you want to explore your totalitarian playbook, however, this is the perfect window.

    Many Americans believe their government is using this crisis to preempt restlessness, riots or even revolution, for the American economic house of cards is overdue for collapse anyway, thanks to decades of mismanagement. With a rising China making Uncle Sam increasingly irrelevant and annoying, the US has to unleash this bioweapon to zap its nemesis and decouple from it. So what if a few shiploads of its own citizens keel over. They're just useless eaters anyway.

    Nodwink , says: Show Comment April 11, 2020 at 3:04 pm GMT

    I think you'll find that the 1981 edition of Koontz's novel called the bioweapon "Gorki-400," and this was changed to "Wuhan-400" in an edition published in 2008.

    The self-image of Americans as freedom-loving renegades is a long way from reality. There's a reason those guys were allowed to run around Richmond, Virginia armed to the teeth a couple of months back: everyone – including the gun lovers themselves – knew it was all for show.

    ChuckOrloski , says: Show Comment April 11, 2020 at 3:33 pm GMT
    Linh Dinh asked: " don't you sometimes get the feeling we're just being toyed with?"

    Answer: Absolutely, yes, Linh!

    Linked below is some evidence. Event 201, a weird global pandemic exercise which included "players," for example, global business, government, & public health leaders.

    http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/about

    To date, Event 201's implemented Psy-Op plan works, & the fearful & divided "Sheeple" are obediently performing their part. * Almost all Americans welcome protection & free money from The Blue & White House occupant, The Big Bad Orange Wolf..

    * "Sheeple," credit Paul Craig Roberts.

    [Apr 19, 2020] Fire Fauci, let us work

    Notable quotes:
    "... "fascist Fauci," ..."
    "... "Do you think Anthony Fauci should be fired?" ..."
    "... "Fire Fauci." ..."
    Apr 19, 2020 | www.rt.com

    Texans flocked to the state's Capitol in Austin to protest Covid-19 lockdown measures, refusing to practice social distancing and cheering for Dr. Anthony Fauci to be fired by President Donald Trump. In attendance at Saturday's 'You Can't Close America' Rally were InfoWars founder Alex Jones and host Owen Shroyer, who led the crowd of some 200 people in chants against the mainstream media and officials like Fauci.

    Shroyer, who referred to the doctor as "fascist Fauci," asked the crowd: "Do you think Anthony Fauci should be fired?" , before leading them in chants of "Fire Fauci."

    [Apr 19, 2020] Sweden Is Right. i-iThe economy should be left open by Mike Whitney

    Apr 19, 2020 | www.unz.com

    Sometimes, the best thing to do, is to do nothing at all. Take Sweden, for example, where the government decided not to shut down the economy, but to take a more thoughtful and balanced approach. Sweden has kept its primary schools, restaurants, shops and gyms open for business even though fewer people are out in public or carrying on as they normally would. At the same time, the government has kept the Swedish people well-informed so they understand the risks the virus poses to their health and the health of others. This is how the Swedes have minimized their chances of getting the infection while avoiding more extreme measures like shelter-in-place which is de facto house arrest.

    What the Swedish experiment demonstrates, is that there's a way to navigate these unprecedented public health challenges without recklessly imposing police state policies and without doing irreparable harm to the economy. And, yes, the results of this experiment are not yet known, but what we do know is that most nations cannot simply print-up trillions of dollars to counter the knock-on effects of bringing the economy to a screeching halt. These countries must dip into their reserves or take out loans from the IMF in order to recover from the lack of production and activity. That means they're going to face years of slow growth and high unemployment to dig out from the mess their leaders created for them.

    And that rule applies to the US too, even though the government has been recklessly printing money to pay the bills. The unforeseen cost to the US will come in the form of long-term unemployment triggered by millions of failed small and mid-sized businesses. That grim scenario is all but certain now. And just as the USG "disappeared" millions of workers from the unemployment rolls following the 2008 Financial Crisis– forcing them to find low-paying, part-time, no-benefits work in the "gig" economy– so too, millions of more working people will fall through the cracks and wind up homeless, jobless and destitute following this crisis. One $1,200 check from Uncle Sam and a few weeks of unemployment compensation is not going to not be enough to prevent the fundamental restructuring of the US labor force that will be impossible to avoid if the economy isn't restarted pronto.

    That's why we should look to countries like Sweden that have taken a more measured approach that allow parts of the economy to continue to function during the epidemic, so other parts can gear-up quickly and return to full capacity with minimal disruption. This should not be a "liberal vs conservative" issue as it's become in the United States. One should not oppose restarting the economy just because Trump is 'for it', but because millions of working people are facing an uncertain future in an economy which– most economists believe– is headed for a severe and protracted recession. Liberals should be looking for ways to avoid that dismal outcome instead of wasting all their time criticizing Trump. (Of course, now that the idiot Trump has appointed Ivanka, Jared, Kudlow and Wilbur Ross to lead his Council to Re-Open America" it will be impossible to extricate the issue from partisan politics.) This is a clip from an article by Donald Jeffries at Lew Rockwell:

    "The shutdown of businesses now has been going on for more than a month. How many of the dwindling small businesses left in our casino economy have already closed down forever? How many mid-sized ones will ever be able to reopen? How many millions will be furloughed, laid off, fired- however they word it- because of this draconian reaction? How can an economy based on commerce exist without commerce?" ("The Locked Down World", Donald Jeffries, Lew Rockwell)

    Indeed. This isn't a question of putting profits before people. The economy IS our life. Try to make a living without an economy. Try to feed your family or pay the rent or buy a car or do anything without an economy. We need the economy. Working people need the economy, and we need to find a way to do two things at the same time: Keep the economy running and save as many lives as possible. The idea that we can just do one of these things and not the other, is not only blatantly false, it is destructive to our own best interests. We have to do both, there is no other way. Here's more background on Sweden from an article at Haaretz:

    "The truth is that we have a policy similar to that of other countries," says Anders Tegnell, Sweden's state epidemiologist, "Like everyone, we are trying to slow down the rate of infection The differences derive from a different tradition and from a different culture that prevail in Sweden. We prefer voluntary measures, and there is a high level of trust here between the population and the authorities, so we are able to avoid coercive restrictions"

    It's still too early to say whether Stockholm's policy will turn out to be a success story or a blueprint for disaster. But, when the microbes settle, following the global crisis, Sweden may be able to constitute a kind of control group: Did other countries go too far in the restrictions they have been imposing on their populations? Was the economic catastrophe spawned globally by the crisis really unavoidable? Or will the Swedish case turn out to be an example of governmental complacency that cost human lives unnecessarily?" ("Why Sweden Isn't Forcing Its Citizens to Stay Home Due to the Coronaviru", Haaretz)

    Tegnell, is no long-haired, fist-waving radical, he's Sweden's chief epidemiologist and has worked for mainstream organizations like the WHO and the European Commission. Where he differs from so many of his peers is simply in his approach, which empowers ordinary people to use their own common sense regarding their health, their safety and the safety of others. It's simple, if you develop symptoms, stay home. Tegnell believes that its easier to get people to do the right thing by trusting their judgement then by ordering them to do so.

    That said, Sweden's objectives are the same as every other country impacted by the pandemic. The emphasis is on "flattening the curve", slowing the rate of infection, testing as many people as possible, and protecting the vulnerable and older populations. It's just their methods are different. They've taken a more nuanced approach that relies on level-headed people conforming to the guidelines that help to minimize contagion until some better remedy is found. "Social distancing" is practiced in Sweden, but the population has not had their civil liberties suspended nor have they been put under house arrest until the threat has passed. Sweden has not compromised its core values in a frenzied attempt to stave off sickness or death. Can the U.S. say the same? Here's more from an article at the Washington Times:

    "As government leaders in the UK and the United States are grappling with how to revive dormant economies, Dr. Tegnell said the Swedish approach will allow the country to maintain social distancing measures in the long term without putting the economic system at risk. Dr. Tegnell said he believes certain regions in Sweden are already very close to a state where so many in the population have built up resistance to the virus that it is no longer a pandemic threat

    "We do believe the main difference between our policies and many other countries' policies is that we could easily keep these kinds of policies in place for months, maybe even years, without any real damage to society or our economy," Dr. Tegnell said. Although the government has not issued a stay-at-home order, many Swedes have decided to quarantine and practice social distancing on their own volition, Dr. Tegnell said." ("Top Swedish official: Virus rates easing up despite loose rules", The Washington Times)

    The threat of pandemic is new to most countries, so it's not entirely fair to criticize their response. But, at this point, reasonable people should be able agree that implementing sweeping policies that inflict incalculable damage to the economy and on people's personal liberties is a gross overreaction that poses as big a threat as the pandemic itself. Leaders must be able to walk and chew gum at the same time. That's all we should expect of them: Just restart the damn economy while minimizing the risks of infection as much as possible. Is that too much to ask? Here's an excerpt from an article at MedicineNet:

    "The financial ruin this pandemic has caused for many will almost certainly lead to increased suicide, mental illness, and physical health problems exacerbated by a loss of health insurance in countries without socialized medicine, according to the World Economic Forum. That's partly why both Sweden and Singapore have tried to keep life in their countries as normal as possible for as long as possible during the response. It does not explain the drastically different death tolls between the two countries, however .

    Anders Tengall, the country's chief epidemiologist, is making a grim wager. The hypothesis is there will not be significantly more Swedes dead at the end of the pandemic than if the country had initiated stricter distancing protocols, but the looser approach will keep the number of cases from spiking when lockdowns are lifted.

    Tengall's and the rest of the Swedish government's bet is this approach is more sustainable, and can help prevent some of those other bad health outcomes that accompany economic depression." ("Sweden and Singapore: The COVID-19 'Soft' Approach vs. Techno-Surveillance", MedicineNet)

    So, yes, the number of deaths per thousand in Sweden do not compare favorably to nearby Denmark, but the final results of the experiment might not be known for years. With a population of 5.8 million, Denmark's death-toll is currently 336, while Sweden's is 1,400 for a population of 10.2 million. (as of 4-17-20) So, as a practical matter, the Swedish method looks vastly inferior. (Interestingly, Sweden's population is similar to NY City's 8.4 million, but coronavirus deaths in NYC have now reached a horrific 12,822.)

    [Apr 19, 2020] The crime against humanity is not the virus but the response to what hindsight will demonstrate to be no more worrisome than seasonal flu.

    Apr 19, 2020 | turcopolier.typepad.com

    tedrichard , 17 April 2020 at 01:21 PM

    at the end of the day it does not matter where or how the virus originated and first became public. that's all in the rear view mirror. throwing stones or getting lawyers solve nothing.

    the crime against humanity is not the virus but the response to what hindsight will demonstrate to be no more worrisome than seasonal flu.

    only a nation bent on suicide shuts down their entire economy for a virus with a death rate in the 1% range and even that is predicated largely on age and pre existing conditions.

    in other words the old and the already quite sick.

    i am 71 and so have no axe to grind against us old folks.

    [Apr 19, 2020] Coronavirus Crisis Ventilator Shortages Have Not Come to Pass National Review

    Apr 19, 2020 | www.nationalreview.com

    The ventilator shortages of which we were all gravely warned have not yet come to pass.

    I n March, one of the most feared aspects of the pandemic was the widely reported coming shortage of ventilators. One well-publicized estimate, repeated by the New York Times , the New Yorker and CNN, was that the U.S. would need roughly one million ventilators, or more than five times as many as we had. Gulp. Ventilators are expensive, they're complex machines, and they can't be churned out in the thousands overnight.

    Advertisement

    In the state that (as of today) has one-third of the country's confirmed COVID-19 cases, New York governor Andrew Cuomo sounded the alarm for ventilators repeatedly. On March 27, he acknowledged "I don't have a crystal ball" but said his state desperately needed 30,000 ventilators, maybe 40,000, but had only 12,000. When President Trump noted that Cuomo's state had thousands of unused ventilators it hadn't even placed yet, Cuomo admitted this was true but said he still needed more: "Yes, they're in a stockpile because that's where they're supposed to be because we don't need them yet. We need them for the apex," Cuomo said at the time. On April 2, Cuomo predicted the state would run out of ventilators in six days "at the current burn rate." But on April 6, Cuomo noted, "We're ok, and we have some in reserve."

    [Apr 19, 2020] When it comes to COVID-19 suppression policies, one size doesn't fit all.

    Apr 19, 2020 | www.nakedcapitalism.com

    Grumpy Engineer , April 16, 2020 at 11:21 pm

    Cool map for the day: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/PMesx/2/

    Rockland County, NY has more than 2700 infections per 100000 residents.
    In my little portion of Appalachia, we have less than 20 infections per 100000 residents.

    When it comes to COVID-19 suppression policies, one size doesn't fit all.

    [Apr 19, 2020] We have children to feed, businesses to run, employees to pay, and Ohio must end this shutdown now. Those with high-risk categories and compromised immune systems can shelter safely at home while the rest of us can exercise our constitutional liberties to work and take care of our businesses and children

    States are clearly not equal in the scope of epidemic and density of population. And even in composition of population, including the number of elderly and homeless: it is difficult to survive for homeless in Northern states. What is good from NY or NJ is not good for Ohio.
    Apr 19, 2020 | www.nakedcapitalism.com

    "Ohio Senate candidate attacks DeWine's 'tyranny' in coronavirus response" [ Columbus Dispatch ]. "Republican Melissa Ackison was among about 100 protesters outside the Statehouse during DeWine's appearance inside on Monday . "'The original model, along with the president's condemnation of the World Health Organization's handling this pandemic inappropriately, is all that the public needs to know," she said. 'We have children to feed, businesses to run, employees to pay, and Ohio must end this shutdown now. Those with high-risk categories and compromised immune systems can shelter safely at home while the rest of us can exercise our constitutional liberties to work and take care of our businesses and children.'"

    UPDATE "The very American conflict between liberty and lockdown" [ The Week ]. "To recap: Demonstrators have hit the streets this week in Ohio , Kentucky , and North Carolina . On Wednesday, a protest in Michigan was dubbed " Operation Gridlock. " Despite the firearms and Confederate battle flags, the protesters' demands might seem familiar, even sympathetic to most Americans. They want freedom -- freedom to go shopping, freedom to open up their businesses, freedom to go sit in a restaurant and have dinner with friends, freedom merely to do what they were doing unencumbered two months ago. Don't we all? 'Quarantine is when you restrict movement of sick people,' one of the Michigan organizers told Fox News. 'Tyranny is when you restrict the movement of healthy people.'" • Wrong on the merits. Federalist 47 : "The accumulation of all powers, legislative, executive, and judiciary, in the same hands, whether of one, a few, or many, and whether hereditary, selfappointed, or elective, may justly be pronounced the very definition of tyranny." That said, this gentleman doesn't seem to understand that the sick/healthy binary breaks down in the absence of testing and with asymptomatic transmission. And that's before we get to the "Not us, me" mentality. Naturally, the press is treating these putatively spontaneous demonstrations as very serious and important, much as they treated Santelli's rant against foreclosure relief in 2009.

    [Apr 18, 2020] Carnival Executives Knew They Had a Virus Problem, But Kept the Party Going

    As of early April, Carnival still had passengers at sea , nearly a month after the CDC issued a March 8 public advisory to "defer all cruise ship travel worldwide."
    Since 2016 the company has failed 3% of CDC ship health inspections -- three times worse than rival Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. , which fails 1% of inspections.
    Apr 18, 2020 | www.bloomberg.com
    Grand Princess early on March 4, barely registered at first. In a letter slipped under passenger cabin doors, Grant Tarling, Carnival Corp.'s chief medical officer, announced that the U.S. Centers for Disease Control had begun "investigating a small cluster" of Covid-19 cases in California that might have been linked to the ship. Thirteen days after leaving San Francisco for Hawaii, the vessel would be skipping a scheduled stop in Mexico on its return voyage and sailing back early to its Bay Area port. That day, passengers noticed new hand sanitizer stations and crew members wearing gloves, but life on the Grand Princess , which advertises 1,301 cabins, 20 restaurants and lounges, about a dozen shops, and four freshwater swimming pools, otherwise went on as normal. Guests prepared for a ukulele concert, played bridge at shared tables, and took line-dancing classes. That night, Laurie Miller and her husband, John, attended True or Moo , a show featuring an emcee in a cow costume; the following morning, John joined about 200 other passengers in the ship's Broadway-style theater for a lecture on Clint Eastwood movies. "I'm surprised they're even letting this event happen," he whispered to a nearby friend. "This is a big crowd."
    <img className="css--image" loading="lazy" src=https://assets.bwbx.io/images/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/i9HWOxaMBafk/v0/640x-1.jpg />
    ▲ Featured in Bloomberg Businessweek , April 20, 2020. Subscribe now . Photographer: Sam Hall/Bloomberg
    Around lunchtime on March 5, the ship's captain, John Smith, announced a quarantine over the ship's public address system. All 2,422 passengers needed to go to their cabins to shelter in place. But this wasn't Carnival's first outbreak, nor its last. In February, another of its ocean liners, the Diamond Princess , accounted for more confirmed Covid-19 infections than any nation except for China. Since then no cruise operator has been hit harder than Carnival. At least seven more of the company's ships at sea have become virus hot spots, resulting in more than 1,500 positive infections and at least 39 fatalities. Carnival notes that "other cruise companies have been impacted." Carnival's ships have become a floating testament to the viciousness of the new coronavirus and raised questions about corporate negligence and fleet safety. President and Chief Executive Officer Arnold Donald says his company's response was reasonable under the circumstances. "This is a generational global event -- it's unprecedented," he says. "Nothing's perfect, OK? They will say, 'Wow, these things Carnival did great. These things, 20/20 hindsight, they could've done better.' " Donald says that if his company failed to prepare for the pandemic, it failed in the same way that many national and local governments failed, and should be judged accordingly. "Each ship is a mini-city," he says, and Carnival's response shouldn't be condemned before "analyzing what New York did to deal with the crisis, what the vice president's task force did, what the Italians, Chinese, South Koreans, and Japanese did. We're a small part of the real story. We're being pulled along by it."
    <img className="css--image" loading="lazy" src=https://assets.bwbx.io/images/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/in_2b3gNDXlQ/v0/640x-1.jpg /> CEO Arnold Donald
    ▲ CEO Arnold Donald Photographer: rick wilking/reuters
    In the view of the CDC, however, Carnival helped fuel the crisis. "Maybe that excuse flies after the Diamond Princess , or maybe after the Grand Princess ," says Cindy Friedman, the experienced epidemiologist who leads the CDC's cruise ship task force. "I have a hard time believing they're just a victim of happenstance." While it would have been tough to get everyone aboard the ships back to their home ports without infecting more people, Friedman says several of the plagued Carnival ships didn't even begin their voyages until well after the company knew it was risky to do so. She says its actions created a "huge strain" on the country. "Nobody should be going on cruise ships during this pandemic, full stop," she says.

    [Apr 18, 2020] The CNN-Cuomo Brothers Inquisition, CovidGate And The Folly Of Lockdown Nation by David Stockman

    Notable quotes:
    "... By every measure, New York is the aberrant epicenter of the Covid-19 outbreak. So what you find in the New York stats has got to be definitive, but what they're conclusive about is the very opposite of the hysteria being propagated by the Cuomos & friends. ..."
    "... The New York data, in fact, show that Covid-19 almost pinpointedly attacks the old, the frail, and the medically vulnerable, not the general population. ..."
    Apr 18, 2020 | ronpaulinstitute.org

    We are getting sick and tired of the CNN/Cuomo Brothers inquisition and the Coviddeath Cavalcade. Their relentless, morose, partisan coverage of the coronavirus pandemic is the single greatest campaign of misinformation, disinformation, propaganda, scaremongering and elitist prattle we can recall in our entire lifetime.

    Indeed, Joe McCarthy's Red Scare was a Sunday School picnic compared to CovidGate. And just as there were no commies secretly subverting America 66 years ago, there is no deathly contagion stalking the American people today and no public health emergency that remotely justifies the Lockdown Nation regime that the CNN/Cuomo Brothers and infectious disease lobby have foisted on the country with virtually no public debate or democratic accountability.

    By every measure, New York is the aberrant epicenter of the Covid-19 outbreak. So what you find in the New York stats has got to be definitive, but what they're conclusive about is the very opposite of the hysteria being propagated by the Cuomos & friends.

    The New York data, in fact, show that Covid-19 almost pinpointedly attacks the old, the frail, and the medically vulnerable, not the general population.

    In turn, that means that public health measures should be focused on identifying, isolating, protecting, treating and supporting the very small sub-population that is bearing the brunt of the illness and deaths, while allowing the vast bulk of the population to get back to normal social and economic life forthwith.

    As we document below, the peak of new cases and deaths is now in the rear-view mirror. So what we can glean from the New York stats through April 13th reporting is definitive and will only get even more definitive in the weeks ahead.

    As of 1PM today, the nationwide death count "WITH" Covid-19 was 23,529. And we go full monte with CAPs, quotes, bolds and italics for the reason that it is self-evident the virus per se didn't kill many or most of these people: It triggered organ and function failures that were already embedded in pre-existing morbidities. And that truth is validated in spades by the New York data. As of this afternoon, New York had reported 10,834 corona deaths or 45% of the national total.

    But when you look at the break-out by age categories and rates relative to population, the numbers are simply stunning:

    In short, 18% of all the Covid-19 nationwide deaths crawling across the CNN screen today have been among New Yorkers 80 years and older; and 7,018 or 30% of national deaths and 65% of New York Covid-19 deaths have been among those 70 years and older.

    To be sure, as a member of the 70+ class of New York residents, we don't begrudge anyone the longest and happiest life possible. But we are here talking about the appropriate public policy response to a bad winter flu and suggest that when the mortality ratio for the over 80 population is 222 times higher than for those under 50 years old, then one size surely does not fit all.

    Indeed, when it comes to quarantines and contact tracing, the Cuomo brigade has it assbackwards. To wit, leave the general population alone where quarantine is unnecessary and contact tracing is a ridiculous needle-in-the-haystack waste of time, and target protection measures on the vulnerable, instead.

    After all, in the entire state of New York there are only 382,000 souls age 80 or over. Would it not have been far more rational for Governor Cuomo's health department minions to track down these 382,000 vulnerable elderly rather than to shutdown the entire economy of the state in order protect 13.05 million folks under 50 years from a death risk which amounts to a minuscule 4.9 per 100,000?

    In all honesty, that latter figure is a rounding error in the scheme of things. Every year in New York state, 11,760 persons under 50 years or 91.3 per 100,000 suffer an untimely death -- including 3,428 from auto and other accidents and 917 from suicides.

    Since the infection wave, hospitalizations and death numbers have now clearly peaked and will be falling sharply in the weeks ahead (see above), we can say with some considerable confidence that when the Covid is gone, it is doubtful whether more than 917 New Yorkers under 50 -- the normal year suicide population -- will have died WITH the coronavirus.

    That's 7.0 souls per 100,000 -- and its just plain insane to got into plenary Lockdown on their account -- especially because the predominant share of under 50 year-olds who have succumbed WITH the coronavirus were also suffering from one or more morbidities, especially hypertension, diabetes and COPD (see below).

    Indeed, that gets us to the even more damning stats in the New York data. To wit, only 1,242 or 11% of New York's 10,834 Covid-deaths (as of April 13) were not accompanied by at least one of the top 10 co-morbidities.

    By contrast, of the 9,592 cases with these conditions, the total co-morbidities were 19,280. That means the New Yorkers among this group died with an average of 2.01 comorbidities, and some with three or four.

    Again, when you stratify by age, the injunction to identify, trace, isolate and treat by indicated vulnerability could not be more dispositive. Among the 4,130 persons aged 80 or older who have died in New York,

    · 2,489 or 60% had hypertension;

    · 1,264 or 31% had diabetes;

    · 845 had hyperlipidemia (blood disorder);

    · 605 had coronary artery disease;

    · 819 had dementia;

    · 425 had renal disease;

    · 534 had COPD;

    · 366 had cancer;

    · 386 had congestive heart failure.

    So Governor Cuomo, riddle us this. In lieu of your daily reality TV show and presidential campaign audition, way didn't you mobilize the doctors and health authorities to identify these 10,834 medically imperiled among the thousands more with like and similar conditions among the 382,000 octogenarians in your state in order that every possible precaution could have been taken weeks ago?

    Compared to the needle-in-the-haystack idiocy of contact tracing among the general population, the state's doctors and health agencies do actually know the names, addresses and social security number of nearly every one of these medically vulnerable cases. That's where the resources should have gone -- not into a mindless Lockdown of the entire economy.

    Indeed, when you look at the next most vulnerable category, the 1.26 million state residents aged 70-79, the story becomes even more compelling. In this age bracket, there have been 2,888 deaths WITH Covid reported as of April 13th, which, as indicated above, represents 272 per 100,000.

    But, not surprisingly, 62%, 45%, 23% and 14% also had hypertension, diabetes, hyperlipidemia and coronary artery disease, respectively. In all, this group had 5,695 comorbidities among the to 10 diseases, which amounts to 2.0 per deceased.

    In sum, 7,018 or 65% of the WITH Covid deaths in New York were 70 years and older and suffered from 13,800 instances of these major underlying illnesses that could have been readily identified by the doctors and health care professionals who treat them.

    Likewise, even the 3,174 deaths among aged 50-69 overwhelmingly involved 4,848 comorbidities, including 2,930 cases of hypertension and diabetes alone.

    Finally, among the 642 deaths under 50 years, there were fully 634 cases of the top 10 morbidities.

    That is to say, there have been virtually no deaths among the disease free population under 50. Yet hundreds of thousands have been infected and tens of thousands have become symptomatic or sick, but recovered from this novel flu in the normal fashion.

    Here's the thing. The US economy was so weakened by 30 years of debt, speculation and money-printing that its own economic "immune" system was at ultra low ebb.

    So the Lockdown Folly will prove to be far more destructive than would have otherwise been the case. So now is the time for the Donald to do something constructive for once, and face-down the CNN/Cuomo Brothers and infectious disease lobby and stop cold the economic bleeding cure they have foisted on the US economy in the name of public health.

    And now is the moment. During the last few days, the death rates have plunged in most of the nation, and clearly even New York has turned the corner as this chart makes abundantly clear.

    But for want of doubt, here is the the nationwide gain in new cases WITH Covid-19. It is now down nearly 26% from its Good Friday peak, after accelerating in early April:

    April 5-April 14 trend: 25,974, 28,752, 30,437, 30,130, 34,346, 34,617, 29,591, 28,983, 24,948, 25,699

    So let us repeat: The New York Covid epicenter has provided the pretext for the present nationwide hysteria and insensible acts of economic suicide.

    But its actual data show why the Lockdown should be ended now. To wit, the 1.64 million residents of New York over 69 years old account for just 0.5% of the US population, but have suffered 30% of the nation's deaths WITH Covid.

    It is therefore time to tell the economy-wreaking Cuomo Brothers and their political cohorts and media megaphones to stand down and let America get back to work, and the doctors and health professionals refocused on the real victims of this nasty virus.

    Reprinted with permission from David Stockman's Contra Corner .

    [Apr 17, 2020] On Wednesday, the French Ministry of Armed Forces announced that 668 of the 1,767 sailors on board the vessel had tested positive for Covid-19.

    Apr 17, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Mina , Apr 16 2020 14:12 utc | 149

    Another French achievement (or a Syrian curse?). One third of the sailors of the vessel that was stationed in support for the operations in Syria are positive. An enquiry is ordered after people complain that a month ago, when they were docked in Brest, they already had cases for which they asked to be quarantine but faced a refusal from the ministry.

    from cnn live:
    The French navy has launched inquiries into the cluster of Covid-19 cases onboard the Charles de Gaulle aircraft carrier, navy prefecture Christine Ribb said during a Thursday press conference in Toulon.

    On Wednesday, the French Ministry of Armed Forces announced that 668 of the 1,767 sailors on board the vessel had tested positive for Covid-19.

    "We have two inquiries underway: an epidemiological enquiry headed by the army health service and the chief of state of the navy ordered an inquiry so that light can be shed on the facts as calmly as possible," Ribb said.

    [Apr 17, 2020] Great resource for corona facts and analysis

    Apr 17, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    L. Tim , Apr 15 2020 21:22 utc | 55

    Great resource for corona facts and analysis: https://swprs.org/a-swiss-doctor-on-covid-19/

    Looks like the death rate has substantially decreased during recent weeks, as many more people have had the virus but didn't show any symptoms than was previously known. 80% without symptoms really makes you wonder. Also up to 60% of all deaths in nursing homes. Sad we coulnd't protect these places any better?!

    [Apr 15, 2020] The curve in Sweden pretty much mimics the curve in countries that instead opted for economic suicide. Econonmic suicide I remind you, that not only brings a whole constellation of social and medical issues that will be longer lasting than this pandemic ever could, but that will also mean a much slower immunisation of society thereby virtually guaranteeing a relapse

    Apr 15, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    guidoamm , Apr 15 2020 8:48 utc | 136

    Premising that most people understand that the virus is real, something is, nonetheless, up.

    In a first instance.

    We have Sweden. You will notice that the curve in Sweden pretty much mimics the curve in countries that instead opted for economic suicide. Econonmic suicide I remind you, that not only brings a whole constellation of social and medical issues that will be longer lasting than this pandemic ever could, but that will also mean a much slower immunisation of society thereby virtually guaranteeing a relapse.

    Too, Corona virus vaccines have been in the works for the past 40 years with little success to show for it. So now Bill Gates is magically going to produce a vaccine in 18 months?

    We then have the models that have been peddled by the great and the good that are showing to be wildly off reality in terms of hospital bed occupancy or ICU use.

    Finally, we have the ships. Oh the ships!

    Today we have the following:

    Diamond Princess 3000 passengers and crew
    Grand Princess 3000 passengers and crew
    Zaandam 3000 passengers and crew
    Ruby Princess 4000 passengers and crew

    Now we also have the Theodore Roosevelt nuclear powered war ship carrying 4000+ crew

    So now we have a closed sample of in excess of 15000 individuals that have been exposed to Covid19 good and hard over entire days.

    Yet, we have fewer than 2000 infections and fewer than 20 fatalities.

    Of 2 things therefore, 1 must be true.

    1 The Covid19 numbers being thrown out by various state, regional and city authorities are skewed (and there is plenty evidence they are)

    or

    2 ships offer a peculiar environment that somehow inhibits the infection and mortality rate of this virus.

    Now, if 2 should turn out to be true (and data from all ships combined as well as Sweden says it is) then what we are doing is, at best, counterproductive.

    Also, if 2 is true, then the US$1T that is being bandied about in the US to somehow compensate business and society for their losses, would be better spent buying every single man, woman and child a cruise. This would come to a fraction of the cost of the entire boondoggle.

    The evidence is stark.

    [Apr 15, 2020] The graphs and other data from governmental and other bodies constitute some form of propaganda

    Apr 15, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Johan Meyer (2) , Apr 15 2020 12:32 utc | 176

    With regards to the idea repeatedly suggested, that the graphs and other data from governmental and other bodies constitute some form of propaganda, it is certainly possible to willfully present a fake world with such data, if one has a very refined mathematical (random variables on say Papoulis and Pillai level, that much and more for epidemic growth etc.) understanding of the evolution of e.g. (in this instance) epidemics. Instead one sees little shit lies and occasionally embarrassing mathematical inadequacy in propagandistic media. It is orders of magnitude more difficult to fake that, and doing so to undermine oneself, as the propagandistic media is doing from time to time suggests actual inadequacy rather than feigned inadequacy. It is orders of magnitude more probable that the propagandists believe their own idiotic propaganda (successful propagandists need to convince themselves of their own lies) and mix in such data that they can find, with a gloss to somehow in their minds have the data fit their propaganda narratives, than to make a much broader fake. The actual results from statistics makes it often quite easy (for the mathematically adequate) to discover when data is implausible.

    If the people who want to claim that any data from propagandistic media should automatically be discarded want to become mathematically adequate, they should at least have a grasp equivalent to chapter 6 of Papoulis and Pillai to make the necessary arguments. Prerequisite to such study is a solid background in math (multivariable calculus including some partial differential equations) and natural science---what kind of fluctuations may one expect in a given process? As the people who tend to make such broad claims tend not to have the requisite background, I shall specify---one should be able to solve the problems at the end of the chapter using the methods in the chapter.

    [Apr 15, 2020] 'We scared the hell out of the American people' over 'flu,' says Fox News guest -- RT USA News

    Notable quotes:
    "... "For this, we scared the hell out of the American people, we lost 17 million jobs, we put a major dent in the economy, we closed down the schools... shut down the churches," ..."
    "... "You know, this was not, and is not a pandemic. But we do have panic and pandemonium as a result of the hype of this." ..."
    "... "aggressively stupid" ..."
    "... "Bill Bennett may be a self-proclaimed ethics expert, but he obviously knows very little about logic and cause-and-effect," ..."
    "... "It is deeply irresponsible to air this view on national television," ..."
    "... "the hell out of the American people." ..."
    "... " crucial" ..."
    "... "no need to change anything you're doing on a day-to-day basis." ..."
    "... "could have saved lives" ..."
    "... "the virus decides" ..."
    Apr 15, 2020 | www.rt.com

    Former education secretary Bill Bennett has been savaged online for suggesting that the coronavirus is "not a pandemic," calling for the lifting of lockdown measures, as the debate rages over reopening the shuttered US economy. More than half a million Americans have caught the coronavirus, with just over 22,000 deaths. While the numbers are dire, the University of Washington's forecasters revised their total predicted Covid-19 deaths down to 60,000 last week, a number comparable to deaths from influenza in 2017-2018, and significantly lower than the six-figure death toll floated by President Donald Trump's top medical adviser, Dr Anthony Fauci, last month.

    "For this, we scared the hell out of the American people, we lost 17 million jobs, we put a major dent in the economy, we closed down the schools... shut down the churches," Bennett said on Monday's edition of Fox and Friends. "You know, this was not, and is not a pandemic. But we do have panic and pandemonium as a result of the hype of this."

    Fox News contributor Bill Bennett compares coronavirus to the flu, claiming that "this was not and is not a pandemic." pic.twitter.com/Q4oBcXKISV

    -- Bobby Lewis (@revrrlewis) April 13, 2020

    The World Health Organization declared the coronavirus a pandemic on March 11 and it has been reported in almost every country around the world. Bennett was flayed online for his "aggressively stupid" statement.

    "Bill Bennett may be a self-proclaimed ethics expert, but he obviously knows very little about logic and cause-and-effect," wrote author Ward Carroll.

    Aggressively stupid Bill Bennett may be a self-professed ethics expert, but he obviously knows little about logic or cause-and-effect.Hey, Billy Boy, do you think there's any relationship between actions taken and the number of #COVID19 fatalities?And get a haircut, old man.

    -- Ward Carroll (@wardcarroll) April 13, 2020

    "It is deeply irresponsible to air this view on national television," tweeted CNN's Chris Cillizza, while neoconservative pundit Bill Kristol suggested the low death toll was a direct result of the government scaring "the hell out of the American people."

    Needless to say, if we have "only" 60,000 deaths, it's BECAUSE "we scared the hell out of the American people," and they radically changed behavior. Or rather: "We" didn't scare anyone. People were alarmed by the facts and adjusted -- despite dangerous happy talk from our president. https://t.co/yTeivjA82F

    -- Bill Kristol (@BillKristol) April 13, 2020

    My doctor told me he presumes I had #COVID19 and then related #coronavirus pneumonia. I can assure Bill Bennett that even though I exercised and ate well, covid kicked my ass. It was terrifying. I couldn't breathe and thought I was dying.It was nothing like the flu, fool. https://t.co/9BjQvC2yyU

    -- Sarah Reese Jones (@PoliticusSarah) April 13, 2020

    Bill Bennett doesn't understand that the only reason my "only" 60,000 people will die is because we're all stuck at home.I've said before. If the GOP thinks this is a hoax then go throw a huge party and invite yours entire family and Trump, and see how it goes. https://t.co/6TR3I0MyXC

    -- John Aravosis 🇺🇸 (@aravosis) April 13, 2020

    Modeling the spread of infectious diseases is an imprecise science. While the University of Washington's researchers attribute their revised predictions to " crucial" social distancing measures and recommend they remain in place until the end of May, many initial predictions about the virus were wrong. When it first entered the US in January, media outlets urged Americans not to panic, warning them that the flu was a more imminent threat. These same outlets now tell a different story .

    Likewise, Fauci himself said in February that there was "no need to change anything you're doing on a day-to-day basis." On Sunday, he told CNN's Jake Tapper that the government "could have saved lives" if social distancing started earlier.

    With commentators on the right demanding a relaxation of lockdown rules, and Trump's advisers telling the president – to quote Fauci – that "the virus decides" when things return to normal, no clear path forward is obvious.

    [Apr 15, 2020] Note on virus panic porn

    Notable quotes:
    "... As soon as you see the real data released by the ONS you will immediately see that the cited twitter is blatant fake news! ..."
    Apr 15, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    BM , Apr 15 2020 11:08 utc | 163

    The graphs show the normal mortality rates in the England and Wales and in New York City and the current deviations from it. The flu does not create such graphs. Nor do the lock-downs.

    I've got a nice bridge for sale, B, 2000 miles long and entirely made of NYT articles and twitter tweets.

    The Twitter chart leaves the impression that the number of deaths suddenly soared up almost vertically by around 5500 just in the last few days ...

    Good panic porn stuff that. Also take note of what sort of people appear in that thread - it is not a list of nobodies!

    But wait - look more closely! That upturn is for week 14 - the week ending 3rd April, already 12 days ago. You can see the release of the data by the Office for National Statistics here (there is no more recent data released by ONS)

    As soon as you see the real data released by the ONS you will immediately see that the cited twitter is blatant fake news!

    That chart is specifically constructed to deceive. No actual cited figures, no actual dates, no links to the real data - just pure panic porn. Why not cite the specific dates covered? Because that would raise immediate suspicion with that sudden spurt, because it does not correspond to previously available figures. Why not cite the specific figures in the tweet? Because then it would be immediately obvious that this is fake news. Why not explain the cause of the strange shape of the graph? Because that would give the whole game away.

    So what do you see when you look at the real data released by ONS, instead of the fake news in that twitter?

    1) Total deaths registered in week 14 16387
    2) Increase over week 13 5246
    3) Increase over 5-year average for week 14 6082
    *** BUT ***
    4) Note that these figures are not the deaths which occurred in week 14, they are the deaths which were registered in week 14, irrespective of when the deaths actually occurred (registration is often delayed)
    5) Note the warning given on that page: "Please note, where Easter falls in previous years will have an impact on the five-year average used for comparison"
    6) 3475 deaths in week 14 " mentioned novel coronavirus (COVID-19)" on the death certificate - NOTE - this is not the cause of death specified on the death certificate!!!
    7) 539 deaths in week 13 " mentioned novel coronavirus (COVID-19)" on the death certificate
    8) But wait - 3475 is only about half the alleged excess deaths, and these are not even the deaths caused by covid-19 (see below) these are only the deaths where covid-19 "happens" to have been tested positive (car accident, for example!)

    Look further!

    9) Look at the row "Deaths where the underlying cause was respiratory disease (ICD-10 J00-J99)" under official WHO standards, that is the broad category under which the covid-19 deaths are to be listed, if it is considered by the doctor to be the cause of death. The row gives figures for each week of 2020 as follows (from weeks 1 to 14 in sequence):
    2141 2477 2188 1893 1746 1572 1602 1619 1546 1581 1492 1515 1534 2106

    VOILA!

    This category - which is the actual recorded cause of death - includes covid-19 deaths, but it is a broad category of respiratory-related deaths which also includes many deaths which have nothing whatsoever to do with covid-19. Those 2141, 2477 and 2188 deaths registered in each of the first 3 weeks of 2020 were before there was even a single death from covid-19 in the UK! The average of the first 13 weeks is 1762, and the value for week 14 (2106) is only 344 more than that!

    Also note that the deaths which "mention" covid-19 are 1369 greater (including car accidents, unrelated illness, etc) than the number of deaths caused by respiratory illnesses (including Covid-19), which already includes another 1500 to 1700 deaths not caused by covid-19!

    This spurt of extra deaths registered in week 14 most certainly does not represent a sudden spurt of genuine covid-19 deaths - that is conclusively proven by the row of figures giving the underlying cause of death for each week's registrations.

    If anything, the data may show a sudden spurt of deaths from other causes such as stress caused by the lockdown, food shortages, money shortages, unexpected homelessness, non-covid-19 illnesses not treated because the hospitals cancelled appointments and operations, stress, fear etc.

    Such causes probably underlie at least a few of the unaccounted for excess deaths (conceaveably even most, perhaps), but it is also possible it is simply a statistical aberration and/or related to delays in registering deaths, including the unspecified effect of the Easter holidays on death registration. The aberration may also have been deliberate, to cover up government mishandling of the crisis, or it may result from staff shortages, or perhaps completely irrelevant reasons - we cannot know without detailed investigation of how the data were prepared and the patterns of death registration.

    What is absolutely certain is that that twitter chart is unmitigated fake news deliberately designed to deceive .

    The NYT is no better - completely non-sensical presentation of the data with no explanation of the meaning of the non-sensical presentation, deliberately designed to misrepresent.

    Comments, B? Time to reconsider what you are doing?

    I've been urging people to look more closely at what is happening, because the magicians have been very successful with their acts, recently. Things are not as they seem on the surface - you need to look more carefully at the small print.

    That includes the details of lockdowns. Lockdowns kill, when they are done in the irresponsible and brutal and dishonest way they have been done in the UK and the USA.

    China did NOT rely on lockdowns - they relied on an integrated combination of social distancing (including, where necessary, lockdowns, but mostly not , except in Hubei Province), tracing, and isolation of those infected or at risk.

    Lockdowns as imposed by the UK and the USA are just suicide pacts, as described by Professor Sucharit Bhakdi, and are ineffective in dealing with covid-19.

    [Apr 15, 2020] The Ron Paul Institute for Peace and Prosperity Look at How Ridiculously Wrong All the Covid-19 Models Were

    Apr 15, 2020 | ronpaulinstitute.org

    Look at How Ridiculously Wrong All the Covid-19 Models Were Written by Robert Wenzel Friday April 10, 2020
    undefined

    The dotted line on the above map indicates the current trend of beds needed for COVID-19 in New York.

    At present, only 18,279 are in use.

    The professional forecasters all projected that beds would be a multiple of the beds actually needed.

    Notice not one model came in under the actual number. These are all professional fearmongers who alarmed the country about a virus that appears to be in line with a severe flu season.

    Can they really be that incompetent?

    Some may be but I called the evil Tony Fauci out a month ago on his phony projections: Why is Dr. Anthony Fauci, Director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Lying to Congress and the American People?

    He knows better.

    Reprinted with permission from Target Liberty .

    [Apr 15, 2020] Almost all oppression via propaganda is based upon scaring people, and then presenting a false choice, where the people can choose either to do what you want them to do, or face some unknown, often purely fictional horror.

    Apr 15, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    AlainJ , Apr 14 2020 19:07 utc | 17

    Philosopher Larken Rose, in his ''manual'' on ''How to be a Successful Tyrant'', written 15 years ago: "Chapter 2 Exploiting fear. Almost all oppression via propaganda is based upon scaring people, and then presenting a false choice, where the people can choose either to do what you want them to do, or face some unknown, often purely fictional horror. This is not the method of the common thug, which can be summarized as ''do this or I will hurt you''. A successful modern tyrant never presents himself as the thing to be afraid of, as doing so would obviously create resentment and hatred in the peasantry, and that leads to resistance. Every ''thing to be feared'', with which you terrorize your peasants, must be presented as some separate, outside evil, that only you can save them from.

    You must present the simple choice between obedience to you, and the threat of some unpleasant happening, which does not appear to be of your doing, and which you pretend to lament the existence of. In short, you must deceive and scare the citizens into voluntarily giving up their freedom. ''The people never give up their liberty but under some delusion.'' - Edmund Burke

    A simple example would be making up a plague of some sort ;) , assuring people that millions are doomed to die, and then claiming that giving you a lot of money and control is the only hope of averting disaster. Or perhaps, instead of making up a disease, you can pick a real disease, grossly exaggerate the risk it poses to the peasants ;) , whip them into a frenzy, and then present yourself as their only hope for salvation. Which, of course, will require you to be given much wealth and power. Even the common flu ;) , can be used to spread alarm and panic in the peasantry.''
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z4LtEciQUF8

    [Apr 15, 2020] Yes and No, or how dense the US population is.

    Apr 15, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Mark2 , Apr 14 2020 19:37 utc | 25

    Do I believe that Iraq had weapons of mass distruction -- no
    Do I beleave that Russia used novachoc on the Skripals -- - no
    Do I beleave the Syrian army used chlorine on the rebels -- -- no
    Do I beleave Trump and U.K. Tory's would press the bio- button -- -yes
    Do I beleave that US @UK lie about Russia, Iran, China and the Middle East -- - yes
    Do I beleave the US @ U.K. want to reduce the world population by 50% -- -yes
    Ditto their own populations -- -- -yes
    We're dealing with three viruses here -- - coronavirus, internet/MSM misinformation and worse of all psychological denial.
    The last of those is what is destroying society.
    Two things spread this virus -- -- -- -
    (1) How dense the population is.
    And
    (2) How dense the population is.

    [Apr 12, 2020] When total morbidity statistics are sorted out we qill find that there is no excess morbidity, no pandemic, just reclassification of causes of death

    Apr 12, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    skeptic23 , Apr 11 2020 17:25 utc | 191

    will see about this "pandemic" when total morbidity statistics are sorted out...no excess morbidity, no pandemic, just reclassification of causes of death, viz. https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=207&v=V0lIWZpiRU0&feature=emb_logo There is no reliable data on Covid19, but everybody "knows" what is going on https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-fiasco-in-the-making-as-the-coronavirus-pandemic-takes-hold-we-are-making-decisions-without-reliable-data/

    [Apr 12, 2020] Dramatic increase of number of medical professional on You Tube

    Apr 12, 2020 | www.youtube.com

    Joe Cooksey , 22 hours ago

    Two months ago 2 out of every 100 YouTube users were actual medical professionals. Today, we have 97 pseudo medical professionals for every 100 users... especially the wacko group that thinks 5G causes COVID-19.

    [Apr 11, 2020] There is no doubt that corporate media distributes fake news. Before the pandemic, it was to line the owner's pockets and get rid of the nationalist oligarch, Donald Trump

    Apr 11, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    VietnamVet , Apr 11 2020 1:42 utc | 105

    There is no doubt that corporate media distributes fake news. Before the pandemic, it was to line the owner's pockets and get rid of the nationalist oligarch, Donald Trump. Now the world is turned upside down and the pandemic is out of their control.

    Markets rule, profits first, dying empire reluctantly and haphazardly sheltered its population in place crashing the economy. Donald Trump was a useless bystander. 15% to 20% of the coronavirus infected must be hospitalized. This would crash the healthcare system for the wealthy not just everyone else. The super-rich's Hamptons on Long Island are just as adversely impacted as NY City.

    The nations that conduct contact tracing and quarantine the infected have lower numbers of dead than nations like the USA that don't. The riff-raff still don't matter. The Oligarchs will open up the USA on May 1st if they see no risk dying themselves. The basic problem is that with the stupid inept national governments left over from the fall of the Western Empire; the outcome, opened up or not, will be a continued economic depression and new waves of coronavirus breakouts and more lockdowns until a vaccine is developed or civil society is restored.

    [Apr 11, 2020] It is a myth that lockdowns lower life expectancy

    Apr 11, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    vk , Apr 10 2020 16:20 utc | 6

    Even at 1%, the COVID-19 is still ten times deadlier than the common flu, so I never understood the "it's just a strong flu" argument.

    Here's a quick explanation on how risk analysis approach this pandemic:

    Lives or livelihoods?

    Here is that view: "if funds are not limitless – then we should focus on doing things whereby we can do the most good (save the most lives) for the least possible amount of money. Or use the money we have, to save the most lives." Health economics measures the cost per QALY. A QALY is a Quality Adjusted Life Year. One added year of the highest quality life would be one QALY. "How much are we willing to pay for one QALY? The current answer, in the UK, is that the NHS will recommend funding medical interventions if they cost less than £30,000/QALY. Anything more than this is considered too expensive and yet the UK's virus package is £350bn, almost three times the current yearly budget for the entire NHS. Is this a price worth paying?" This expert reckoned that "the cost of saving a COVID victim was more than eleven times the maximum cost that the NHS will approve." At the same time cancer patients are not being treated, hip replacements are being postponed, heart and diabetes sufferers are not being dealt with.

    Tim Harford in the FT took a different view. He points out that the US Environmental Protection Agency values a statistical life at $10m in today's money, or $10 per micromort (one in a million risk of death) averted. "If we presume that 1 per cent of infections are fatal, then it is a 10,000 micromort condition. On that measure, being infected is 100 times more dangerous than giving birth, or as perilous as travelling two and a half times around the world on a motorbike. For an elderly or vulnerable person, it is much more risky than that. At the EPA's $10 per micromort, it would be worth spending $100,000 to prevent a single infection with Covid-19. You don't need a complex epidemiological model to predict that if we take no serious steps to halt the spread of the virus, more than half the world is likely to contract it. That suggests 2m US deaths and 500,000 in Britain -- assuming, again, a 1 per cent fatality rate. If an economic lockdown in the US saves most of these lives, and costs less than $20tn, then it would seem to be value for money." The key point for me here is that this dilemma of 'costing' a life would be reduced if there had been proper funding of health systems, sufficient to provide 'spare capacity' in case of crises.

    It is also a myth that lockdowns lower life expectancy. This is pure money fetishism. Besides the fact that almost nobody dies of hunger in one month, you have to take into account that mortality by violent causes (car accidents, workplace accidents in dangerous jobs, etc.) also fall:

    But the Bristol study is just a risk assessment. Proper health studies show that recessions do not increase mortality at all. A recession – a short-term, temporary fall in GDP – need not, and indeed normally does not, reduce life expectancy. Indeed, counterintuitively, the weight of the evidence is that recessions actually lead to people living longer. Suicides do indeed go up, but other causes of death, such as road accidents and alcohol-related disease, fall.

    Marxist health economist Dr Jose Tapia (also an author of one of the chapters in our book World in Crisis) has done several studies on the impact of recessions on health. He found that mortality rates in industrial countries tend to rise in economic expansions and fall in economic recessions. Deaths attributed to heart disease, pneumonia, accidents, liver disease, and senility -- making up about 41% of total mortality -- tend to fluctuate procyclically, increasing in expansions. Suicides, as well as deaths attributable to diabetes and hypertensive disease, make up about 4% of total mortality and fluctuate countercyclically, increasing in recessions. Deaths attributed to other causes, making up about half of total deaths, don't show a clearly defined relationship with the fluctuations of the economy. "All these effects of economic expansions or recessions on mortality that can be seen, e.g., during the Great Depression or the Great Recession, are tiny if compared with the mortality effects of a pandemic," said Tapia in an interview.

    The food problem (for those who can't afford, because production was never the problem) can be easily solved by a simple scheme of food banks.

    They key, thus, is to avoid healthcare systems collapses. As long as the healthcare system stands, mortality in general should lower - but that's obviously not the case in many countries, as decades of neoliberalism had a deteriorating effect on them.

    The economic impact (fall in GDPs) has a merely geopolitical effect: yes, the West will emerge smaller from this pandemic. But then, it was already degenerating since 2008.

    [Apr 09, 2020] Dr. Fauci Says US COVID-19 US Deaths Could Be As Low As 60K After Warning Millions Could Die

    This guy is really a fearmonger who after sleeting for two months greatly contributed with his idiotic interviews to the botched reaction of the US government to this crisis. He should go
    Notable quotes:
    "... And now, after the Trump Administration scrambled to ramp up testing capacity and the states worked with the Feds, private entities, and others (including in some cases foreign nations) to distribute ventilators as Gov. Andrew Cuomo painted a horrifying portrait of sickened New Yorkers suffocating to death in hospital hallways because there were no ventilators available. ..."
    "... Well, yesterday, NYC Mayor de Blasio said that, after a few days of near capacity numbers, hospitalizations have dropped by such a steep degree that the city believes it has enough ventilators on hand, and won't need any more. ..."
    Apr 09, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com

    And now, after the Trump Administration scrambled to ramp up testing capacity and the states worked with the Feds, private entities, and others (including in some cases foreign nations) to distribute ventilators as Gov. Andrew Cuomo painted a horrifying portrait of sickened New Yorkers suffocating to death in hospital hallways because there were no ventilators available.

    Well, yesterday, NYC Mayor de Blasio said that, after a few days of near capacity numbers, hospitalizations have dropped by such a steep degree that the city believes it has enough ventilators on hand, and won't need any more.

    Now on Thursday, Dr. Fauci is taking to cable news to spread the message of optimism that has lifted US stocks over the past few days: Instead of the 240k figure used by President Trump as recently as two weeks ago, Dr. Fauci told NBC News that if the public continued to stick to the "mitigation efforts", that the death toll might be as low as 60k.

    [Apr 08, 2020] Mortality in UK does not support the hypothesis about pandemic

    Apr 08, 2020 | off-guardian.org

    In strict meaning the pandemic is when the the particular infection increases mortality in all affected countries... It did not happened.

    Doctortrinate ,

    Latest figures Gov uk. Deaths registered in the year-to-date, Week 1 to 13. Looking at the year-to-date (using refreshed data to get the most accurate estimates), the number of deaths is currently lower than the five-year average. The current number of deaths is 150,047, which is 3,350 fewer than the five-year average. Of the deaths registered by 27 March 2020, 647 mentioned the coronavirus (COVID-19) on the death certificate; this is 0.4% of all deaths.

    https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/deathsregisteredweeklyinenglandandwalesprovisional/weekending27march2020

    U.K Lockdown – evening of the 23'rd March – Deaths, of 'or' with Covid ? Tests, false positive / incorrect diagnosis = ? ? %

    [Apr 08, 2020] In March, US Deaths From COVID-19 Totaled Less Than 2% Of All Deaths

    Apr 08, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com

    Authored by Ryan McMaken via The Mises Institute,

    About 2.9 million people die in the United States each year from all causes. Monthly this total ranges from around 220,000 in the summertime to more than 280,000 in winter .

    In recent decades, flu season has often peaked sometime from January to March, and this is a major driver in total deaths. The average daily number of deaths from December through March is over eight thousand .

    So far, total death data is too preliminary to know if there has been any significant increase in total deaths as a result of COVID-19, and this is an important metric, because it gives us some insight into whether or not COVID-19 is driving total death numbers well above what would otherwise be expected.

    Indeed, according to some sources, it is not clear that total deaths have increased significantly as a result of COVID-19. In a March 30 article for The Spectator , former UK National Health Service pathologist John Lee noted that the current number of deaths from COVID-19 does not indicate that the UK is experiencing " excess deaths ." Lee writes :

    The simplest way to judge whether we have an exceptionally lethal disease is to look at the death rates. Are more people dying than we would expect to die anyway in a given week or month? Statistically, we would expect about 51,000 to die in Britain this month. At the time of writing, 422 deaths are linked to Covid-19 -- so 0.8 per cent of that expected total. On a global basis, we'd expect 14 million to die over the first three months of the year. The world's 18,944 coronavirus deaths represent 0.14 per cent of that total. These figures might shoot up but they are, right now, lower than other infectious diseases that we live with (such as flu). Not figures that would, in and of themselves, cause drastic global reactions.

    How do these numbers look in the United States? During March of 2020, there were 4,053 COVID-19 deaths according to Worldometer. That is 1.6 percent of total deaths in March 2019 (total data on March 2020 deaths is still too preliminary to offer a comparison). For context, we could note that total deaths increased by about four thousand from March 2018 to March 2019. So for March, the increase in total deaths is about equal to what we already saw as a pre-COVID increase from March 2018 to March 2019.

    As Lee notes, total COVID-19 deaths could still increase significantly this season, but even then we must ask what percentage of total deaths warrants an international panic. Is it 5 percent? Ten percent? The question has never been addressed, and so far, a figure of 1 percent of total deaths in some places is being treated as a reason to forcibly shut down the global economy.

    Yet, as a CDC report recently noted , pneumonia deaths have often been far more common than COVID-19 deaths are right now: "Based on National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) mortality surveillance data available on March 26, 2020, 8.2 percent of the deaths occurring during the week ending on March 21, 2020 (week 12), were due to [pneumonia and influenza]."

    Meanwhile there is a trend toward to attributing more of those pneumonia deaths to COVID-19 rather than influenza, although this doesn't actually mean the total mortality rate has increased. The CDC report continues: "the percent of all deaths with Influenza listed as a cause have decreased (from 1.0% to 0.8%) over this same time period. The increase in pneumonia deaths during this time period are likely associated with COVID-19 rather than influenza." This doesn't represent a total increase in pneumonia deaths, just a change in how they are recorded.

    This reflects an increased focus on attributing deaths to COVID-19, as noted by Lee:

    In the current climate, anyone with a positive test for Covid-19 will certainly be known to clinical staff looking after them: if any of these patients dies, staff will have to record the Covid-19 designation on the death certificate -- contrary to usual practice for most infections of this kind. There is a big difference between Covid-19 causing death, and Covid-19 being found in someone who died of other causes. Making Covid-19 notifiable might give the appearance of it causing increasing numbers of deaths, whether this is true or not. It might appear far more of a killer than flu, simply because of the way deaths are recorded.

    Given this rush to maximize the number of deaths attributable to COVID-19, what will April's data look like? It may be that COVID-19 deaths could then indeed number 10 or 20 percent of all deaths.

    But the question remains: will total deaths increase substantially compared to April 2019 or April 2018? If they don't, this will call into question whether or not COVID-19 is the engine of mortality that many government bureaucrats insist it is. After all, if April's mortality remains "about the same" as the usual total and comes in around 230,000–235,000, then obsessive concern over COVID-19 would be justified only if it can be proven April 2020 deaths would have plummeted year-over-year had it not been for COVID-19.

    Update:

    Meanwhile the CDC is instructing medical staff to report deaths as COVID-19 deaths even when no test has confirmed the presence of the disease. In a Q and A on death certificates published by the CDC on March 24, the agency advises:

    COVID-19 should be reported on the death certificate for all decedents where the disease caused or is assumed to have caused or contributed to death . Certifiers should include as much detail as possible based on their knowledge of the case, medical records, laboratory testing, etc. If the decedent had other chronic conditions such as COPD or asthma that may have also contributed, these conditions can be reported in Part II. [emphasis in original.]

    This is extremely likely to inflate the number of deaths attributed to COVID-19 while pulling down deaths attributed to other influenza-like illnesses and to deaths caused by pneumonia with unspecified origins. This is especially problematic since we know the overwhelming majority of COVID-19 deaths occur in patients that are already suffering from a number of other conditions. In Italy, for example, data shows 99 percent of COVID-19 deaths occurred in patients who had at least one other condition. More than 48 percent had three other conditions. Similar cases in the US are now likely to be routinely reported simply as COVID-19 cases.

    Source: Total death and flu/pneumonia death data via National Center for Health Statistics ( www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weeklyarchives2019-2020/data/nchsData12.csv ). COVID-19 totals via Worldometer COVID stats.

    Unfortunately, because total death data is not reported immediately, we have yet to see how this plays out.

    We do know historically, however, that deaths attributed to flu and pneumonia over the past decade have tended to make up around five to ten percent of all deaths, depending on the severity of the "season." Last week (week 14, the week ending April 4) was the first week during which COVID-19 deaths exceeded flu and pneumonia deaths, coming in at 11 percent of all death for that week. The prior week, (week 13, the week ending Mar 28) COVID-19 deaths made up 3.3 percent of all deaths.

    Until we have reliable numbers on all deaths in coming weeks, it will be impossible to know the extent to which COVID-19 are "cannibalizing" flu and pneumonia deaths overall. That is, if the COVID-19 totals skyrocket, but total deaths remain relatively stable, than we might guess that many deaths formerly attributed simply to pneumonia, or to flu, are now being labeled as COVID-19 deaths. Potentially, this could also be the case for other patients, such as those with advanced cases of diabetes.

    [Apr 08, 2020] The books are being cooked, not only in this way, but also by "lying with statistics" through not having a reliable means of understanding the overall infection rate, nor the mechanisms of infection

    Apr 08, 2020 | turcopolier.typepad.com

    JerseyJeffersonian , 06 April 2020 at 12:03 PM

    To add to the discussion of how the CDC's rules on assigning primary causation to coronavirus for deaths (and analogously, how other nations medical Grey Eminences also handle this issue), regardless of the presence of underlying co-morbidities, I drop this link here. It is a quite well written comment from the poster, The Right Doctor, an older, senior physician who explains the "cause of death" assignment process, and discusses past practices, and what has changed in this with the advent of CoVID-19. Very illuminating.

    http://thezman.com/wordpress/?p=20188#comment-157790

    The books are being cooked, not only in this way, but also by "lying with statistics" through not having a reliable means of understanding the overall infection rate, nor the mechanisms of infection. W

    Without a handle on the overall infection rate in the population, it is child's play to exaggerate the lethality by focusing solely on the death rate among those groups with co-morbidities, the significance of which is itself a moving, anecdotal target absent focused study.

    Here is a report of a study to address those issues being implemented in Germany. Sorry, the link is from The Guardian (I brandish a crucifix in one hand, and fondle my necklace of heads of garlic with the other...), but it is still valuable in increasing understanding of what we don't know, but should in order to make optimal policy choices.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/31/virologists-to-turn-germany-worst-hit-district-into-coronavirus-laboratory

    [Apr 08, 2020] Something did not compute: Mortality in the USA from Influenza and Pneumonia was much higher two years ago.

    Apr 08, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Alfred (Cairns) , Apr 6 2020 19:07 utc | 17

    Here is the latest chart from the CDC. As can be seen mortality in the USA from Influenza and Pneumonia was much higher two years ago.

    http://alongchat.com/stuff/influenzausa.jpg

    The original report is here: https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/index.htm

    It is panic for fake reasons.

    [Apr 08, 2020] Opinion - How To Tell Real News From Useless Narrative Fluff by Caitlin Johnstone

    Apr 06, 2020 | www.informationclearinghouse.info

    When Zen teacher Issan Dorsey was asked to describe the essence of Zen art, he answered, "Nothing extra."

    "Nothing extra" is also of course the essence of Zen living itself: perceiving life as it actually is, as opposed to perceiving it through a bunch of believed narrative filters about yourself, about others, about reality, and so on. These narrative filters are an extra pile of layers that are added on top of the actual experience of life, and they give a distorted view which causes a lot of confusion and suffering. Relinquishing belief in them brings clarity and peace.

    This is also the essence of clearly understanding what's really going on in the world. Like so much else, the approach to the large is the same as the approach to the small, which is to say the approach to seeing clearly in the big picture is the same as the approach to seeing clearly as an individual: you need to learn to look at it without the extra narrative overlay.

    Because the news media are controlled by plutocrats who have a vested interest in protecting the status quo upon which their kingdoms are built, almost everything in the news is useless narrative fluff. It doesn't tell you what's really going on, it rather tries to influence what's going on by manipulating the perceptions of the audience. It does this by either (A) distracting from what really matters by focusing on what doesn't matter, or (B) actively working to manipulate how the audience thinks about a given issue.

    When you strip away all the empty fluff and manipulative spin, there are basically only four often-overlapping pieces of information that really matter in the big picture: (1) where the money is going, (2) where the resources are going, (3) where the weapons are going, and (4) where the people are going. When it comes to understanding world dynamics, accurate information about these four things is the only real news you'll ever encounter. Everything else is empty narrative spin meant to justify, distort, or distract from information about these things.

    If you ignore everything else and only focus on finding the most accurate information possible about these four items, you will have an infinitely clearer understanding of what's really going on in the world than someone who trusts news reporters to walk them through it.

    Watch where the money is going because you can trust the raw numbers of financial transactions a lot more than you can trust the stories people are telling. A massive percentage of daily news coverage goes toward analyzing the latest foam-brained gibberish that came out of Donald Trump's mouth even though we all know he's going to contradict himself two days later, but the fact that he's been heavily funded by an oligarch who happens to have been a longtime proponent of the Iran policies this administration has been advancing is much more solid.

    Zoom out and watch where the money is going in the big picture and you'll see that a grossly disproportionate amount of it is moving away from the general public and toward a very small group of people, which we just saw illustrated in the historically unprecedented multitrillion-dollar wealth transfer in the US corporate bailout. If you watch this small group and pay attention to the projects, candidates, think tanks and media outlets they pour their wealth into, you will notice that they exert an incredible amount of influence on all four crucial factors: where the money goes, where the resources go, where the weapons go, and where the people go.

    Watching where the resources are going gives you an even clearer image of what's going on because resources, unlike money, are completely independent of narrative. There is no such thing as "money" without the thoughts that humans agree to collectively think about it, but oil would still be oil even if all humans were wiped off the face of the earth. When you see the US ramping up escalations against Venezuela , ignore the narratives about "drug trafficking" and what a bad, bad man Nicolás Maduro is, and look at what resources lie beneath the ground in that nation to find out what this is really about. Mentally "mute" the soundtracks the political/media class spout about who's doing what to whom and just watch where the resources are going, and who's controlling them. That way you'll be able to discern the powerful from the disempowered and the takers from their victims.

    Watch where the weapons are going because those are another non-narrative factor which exerts a huge influence on the world; a bullet will stop a beating heart regardless of what the mind thinks about it. Ignore the irrelevant narrative fluff about where the coronavirus originated and whether or not it's racist to say "Wuhan virus", and look at the ring of US military bases encircling China and the way the Marine Corps is shifting its attention onto that nation . Ignore Trump's gibberish about ending wars and note that he's been expanding them and increasing foreign troop presence . Ignore the Democratic Party's nonsense about Trump having loyalties to Russia and watch his administration's many dangerous nuclear escalations against that nation . Ignore international finger-wagging at humanitarian abuses by Israel and Saudi Arabia and look at who's still selling them weapons and supporting them militarily.

    Watch where the people are going for another important piece of real information that isn't dependent on narrative. Where are the prisoners? Where are the refugees, where are they going, and what are they fleeing? Where are people moving to, and what do they want?

    With each of these four items you can simply watch raw data and ignore all the stories the establishment spinmeisters tell about that data. As long as you make sure you're getting the most accurate data possible, it's like you're looking at a globe and watching lines in four different colors moving around in it from place to place and person to person. And without anyone's stories tainting your view.

    You will notice that there's a heavy degree of overlap between these four items. You see the weapons moving toward China and you notice that's the nation with the US hegemony-threatening Belt and Road Initiative (where the resources are moving) and the key player in the US dollar-threatening Shanghai Cooperation Organization (where the money is moving). You see Julian Assange locked in prison (where the people are going) for exposing US war crimes (where the weapons are going). You see US troops illegally occupying Syrian oil fields (where the weapons and resources are going) to prevent the Syrian government from using it to rebuild the nation (where the money is going). And so on.

    Nearly everything that makes it to the top of the daily news churn is either propaganda distortion or distracting drivel, and either way you can safely ignore it. Just watch where the money is going, where the resources are going, where the weapons are going and where the people are going, and ignore all the narrative chatter.

    Nothing extra.

    Caitlin's articles are entirely reader-supported, so if you enjoyed this piece please consider sharing it around, liking her on Facebook , following her antics on Twitter , checking out her podcast , throwing some money into her hat on Patreon or Paypal , or buying her book Woke: A Field Guide for Utopia Preppers . https://caitlinjohnstone.com

    Do you agree or disagree? Post your comment here

    What is the Greatest Evil on this Planet?

    Sadhguru reminds us that time is running out for all of us, and that what really matters at the end of our life is whether we lived an enhanced life.

    https://www.youtube.com/embed/-EQO6YMIzqg?list=WL

    U.S. Debt Clock

    http://www.usadebtclock.com/us-debt-clock-widget.php

    [Apr 08, 2020] What Virus? Military Asks Whopping $20B to 'Deter Chinese Aggression'

    Notable quotes:
    "... " ​T​ he operational dilemmas faced by Indo-Pacific Command demand urgent attention. In order to make American investments in advanced fighters, attack submarines, or breakthroughs in military technology meaningful (in other words, to deter or win a conflict), there must be urgent investment in runways, fuel and munitions storage, theater missile defenses, and command and control architecture to enable U.S. forces in a fight across the Pacific's vast exterior lines. ​"​ ..."
    Apr 08, 2020 | www.theamericanconservative.com

    'Number one priority' is a $1.5 billion, 360-degree persistent and integrated air defense ring around Guam​.

    ... ... ...

    ​Arguing in favor of the PDI i n a recent op-ed , ​former Pacific policy official for the DoD ​ Randall Schriver ​ ​ and Eric Sayers, ​former​ special assistant to the commander of INDOPACOM, ​wrote:

    " ​T​ he operational dilemmas faced by Indo-Pacific Command demand urgent attention. In order to make American investments in advanced fighters, attack submarines, or breakthroughs in military technology meaningful (in other words, to deter or win a conflict), there must be urgent investment in runways, fuel and munitions storage, theater missile defenses, and command and control architecture to enable U.S. forces in a fight across the Pacific's vast exterior lines. ​"​

    john a day ago

    Well the Pentagon sees that the checkbooks are open, Look if those pencil necked doctors can get 2trillion for a case of the sniffles, we ought to be able to get 2 billion to face down the Chicoms!

    [Apr 08, 2020] While the virus is real and caused some additional death among old people that necessitates taking certain precautions, the most important thing about this pandemic is the huge propaganda wage accompanying it which exaggerated it to the level of Spanish flu epidemic

    Apr 08, 2020 | off-guardian.org

    Petra Liverani ,

    Similarities between the COVID-19 pandemic and 9/11 Trauma-based Mind Control Psychological Operations (psyops).

    Two main streams of propaganda:
    One aimed at the masses
    One aimed at the skeptics

    Stream aimed at skeptics
    9/11
    -- Focus everyone on the cause of the building collapses and the science involved , maintain ambivalence with regard to the science of the plane crashes – all to distract from the pivotal truth: staged death and injury and thus that the event is a complete psyop.

    -- Some scientists involved in the psyop are pushing out fake stuff, eg, molten metal at Ground Zero. There may well be other fake stuff that could rear its head in whatever results from the sham Lawyers' Committee for 9/11 Inquiry (similar to the sham 9/11 Commission).

    COVID-19 pandemic
    -- Focus everyone on the anomalies in the figures and the science of viruses and pandemics , all to distract from the simple fact that there is no virus, that this is a complete psyop and perhaps to keep us distracted from the implications of this psyop until it's too late. As some scientists will be involved in the psyop they will no doubt push out stuff that is fake and/or confuses.

    It's all about distraction and confusion folks. This is so very clearly a psyop and the science and numbers are a deliberate distraction leading us absolutely nowhere. We have right now all the science and numbers we need to know that this is a psyop – as well as, of course, all the deliberate nonsense they push at us, just as we had all the science we needed of controlled demolition and the fakery of the planes yonks and yonks ago.

    Both the COVID-19 pandemic and 9/11 are psychological operations and need to be called out as such . Do not let them lead you along the neverending science and numbers path and keep you tied up with all the other distractions.

    This event can be called out right here right now. No further evidence is required. There is no doubt whatsoever that it is a Trauma-based Mind Control Psychological Operation.

    John Ervin ,

    Petra, I like your style. Really. You are rigorously deconstructive, peeling away each layer of the onion. That approach of course is what is required for all these Moriarty-esque psyops, where they are piled high with distractions as involved as some ancient mystery religion, only to disguise a simple objective: $$$. Or Power (to wit, more money).

    Why wage the war to "win the hearts and minds" when it's oh so easy to simply control them, with techniques and "high" tech of "coercive hypnotism": all new versions of Dr. Mengele's Mind Control thru trauma-based assaults upon the media-managed world public, now linked everywhere by this gadget we engage here: the sticky and sneaky WorldWideWeb patrolled by their very own WorldWideSpiders?

    I don't know if you ever saw "Young Sherlock Holmes" – a movie out about 30 years ago. It seems at the end roll of the credits that the wily Moriarty escaped yet again, and these current psyops seem as though his current incarnation.

    What's interesting about the film is the use of many ploys that are still in use in these days, age old stage magic and sleight of hand and other standard tricks of deception that are constants in spycraft and go back seemingly to the dawn of society.

    The key difference in our age, is that they have a whole Novelty Shoppe of new gadgetry to daze and confuse.

    I'm grateful that I began to study it more in earnest about 15 years ago, and digging deeper, like discovering my own father was attorney to the client one old military character told me in 2016 was the director of one of the main mind control projects (I get the vibe that it's fraught with just too much trouble to get too specific, for now. His name pops up in CIA ROGUES by Patrick Nolan, the chapters about Sirhan.)

    I had no idea, no connection of those dots, though I'd got my first hints about 30 years ago, and bought Norman Mailer's "Harlot's Ghost: a Novel of the CIA". I was intrigued to have read he had been writing it for over 20 years and people said he talked about nothing else at parties in NYC. He had promised a finale, "Harlot's Grave" but died in a fall before that "and so on."

    Also "Bobby" de Niro made a film, "The Good Shepherd" about Angleton, loosely based, but that promised sequel seems also now to be a mirage.

    In short, all these studies have only served to illuminate the landscape of my life like a bolt, and gave me a schemata visibly to see incursions into my own life, just for starters. They do it to various degrees to everybody.

    I'm a bit of an extreme case, I would suspect, but I try to suggest to thoughtful people all the time, to study these things. We are all in their sites now.

    Every time we are being diverted from who we really are, you may bet a lot of what you got, on that "component" of Intel being not too far in the "background,".

    I respect the fact that they have a job to do, of sorts, every nation that's ever been has had ops, but not with such criminal abandon, and we are venturing into crazier and crazier territory that every Prez since Truman, at the dawn of the CIA, has totally despised, or at least stated so.

    Truman: "I would have never agreed to the formulation of CIA, back in '47, if I had known then it would become the American Gestapo."

    Too little too late, Harry!

    Eisenhower: "I have nothing to offer the incoming President but a legacy of ashes." -His last big meeting with Intel officials, January '61.

    JFK: "I want to break CIA into a thousand pieces and scatter them to the winds." And then shortly after CIA scattered his life to the winds of history.

    Since then, other presidents have been more choosy in their language.

    CIA deformations and their deforming of US society, and the world, has been the greatest tragedy of our times, which they cannot disavow.

    But I digress. I simply meant to thank you for presenting your results of your strict deconstruction of their psyops. It speaks volumes that so few in the field take that rigorous approach.

    Did ANY of it really happen? You certainly raise real doubts, and that is a real service to readers, how you do that. Perhaps some if it did happen, but that is the wrong starting point. Yours seems to be the correct one, from what I know.

    Meanwhile I'm preparing my screenplay sequel, 65 years after, to the classic Terry Southern script "Dr. Strangelove: How I Stopped Worrying and Learned to Love the Bomb" update 2020

    "Dr. StrangeCoVid: or How I Stopped Worrying and Learned to Love the Virus"

    I think there will be seen many benefits in hindsight, after all the fallout.

    You know, they delayed the release of the original because it was set tight at the time of JFK Dallas.

    Meanwhile, "the game is afoot, Watson.". Lol

    -- -- -- -

    Have you studied the work of the late Steve Kangas? He seems remarkably rigorous. If you look up "Timeline of CIA Atrocities" it leads you to all his work. I read many of the links. Revelatory. That's the feel I get.

    He seems to be an avatar, to the best of my knowledge. Inspiring anyway, and that's plenty these days

    Petra Liverani ,

    My goodness can they distract us with the science and the figures.

    But there is a simpler approach – the checklist test for Trauma-based Mind Control Psychological Operation (psyop) in the form of a "live exercise".

    As the Donald says of the coronavirus:

    It's going to disappear. One day it's like a miracle, it will disappear.

    It's amazing the words of truth that can come out of that man's mouth – admittedly, sometimes they're delivered cryptically such as for the crash of PS-752 where he says the following nonsensical words in relation to a plane while the man standing next to him ostentatiously hides a smile:

    It was flying in a pretty rough neighbourhood.

    https://youtu.be/vYFAeJDEE8k

    We know it will disappear as the Donald says because because the virus – let alone any pandemic – never appeared in the first place and they will only test our patience for so long before they "make" it disappear.

    1. Pre-pandemic indications including exercises. TICK.
    -- Event 201, a tabletop pandemic exercise, held in October 2019, partnered by the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, the World Economic Forum and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation
    -- Positions advertised by the CDC for Quarantine Advisors as early as November 15 2019 and
    -- Netflix docuseries on preventing pandemics
    -- The film, Contagion
    -- The Simpsons, S22 E6, The Fool Monty, which speaks of a phoney-baloney crisis of a public health scare

    2. As psyop rules state we will be told nonsense, check Wikipedia, media and other sources. TICK.
    Wikipedia told us (all changed now) about Chinese cobras and many-banded kraits being reservoirs and then we see people falling flat on their faces, laid out on the pavement, nonsense about empty buildings being converted into hospitals within 48 hours with extremely unconvincing visual evidence provided of this amazing feat and so much more nonsense.

    3. As psyop rules state that nothing should be faked so well it can be used to support their story, check that no patients show symptoms. TICK.
    Yep! All alleged patients interviewed in hospitals do not show symptoms or there are anomalies in that they are filmed in an ICU and say strange things such as, "They had to sew that into my artery."

    4. As a typical hallmark of psyops (where applicable) is ludicrous "miracle survivors" stories, check for those stories. TICK.
    Yep! Yes, we have the 90 year-old looking fit as a fiddle being pulled back from the brink of death with potato soup, and the 82 year-old who miraculously recovered with a course of antibiotics and the 52 year-old who was "gaspin'" and thought "his days were done" who, at the suggestion of a friend, took anti-malarials and hey presto!

    Thus we know – nonsense pushed at us without a single skerrick of evidence of the presence of this virus.

    In psyops the ONLY things they do for real are the things they want for real. They don't want or need a virus or a pandemic for their psyop and a real virus would never behave remotely the way they want it to for their story in any case, just as they didn't want real planes for 9/11 and they wouldn't have worked anyway, nor did they want people to die or be injured – that wouldn't have gone down at all well with the loved ones of the 3,000 dead and 6,000 injured (not to mention the 6,000 injured themselves) and nor would it have been accepted very readily by the numerous agency, media, government, corporation and other people necessarily involved in the operation. 9/11 was a Trauma-based Mind Control Psychological Operation just like this one.

    The alleged COVID-19 pandemic is, in reality, a Trauma-based Mind Control Psychological Operation in the form of a "live pandemic exercise" and there is no novel virus.

    QED
    For links to above and more:
    https://occamsrazorterrorevents.weebly.com/blog/coronavirus-hoax-jan-2020

    They can't make it last too long, however, otherwise we'll all go nuts. As the Donald says, it will disappear like magic.

    If anyone thinks that this virus pandemic will not disappear like magic, please say what you predict.

    John ErvIn ,

    Yes, that's SOP: distraction by a hyperabundance of mirrors: it was really first given its rollout with JFK DALLAS. Endless deadends or deadweights are integral to all the psyops, but especially that one. I'm of the opinion JFK was hit there, but that may be force of long habit. Why 1000 books about it? Probably 937 are red herrings, right?

    Here's a fascinating thing though, you will admit: I had a friend at work in 1982 at Reunion Tower, Dealey Plaza. It overlooked the Grassy Knoll, believe it or not. The day after my 30th birthday, they told me that that friend, John (Sullivan) had been shot coming out of a bar around midnight 4.14.82 in Downtown Dallas, clean through the chest, and was in stable condition. I went to the hospital where he was recovering, next evening, with flowers, and left them on his nightstand. He was sedated and asleep with all kinds of bandages and tubes coming out of his chest, no shirt. I offered a few words up, and had to be at our job in the 600 ft. Tower, and left. On the way out of the seedy parking lot, I saw the Marquee sign and ran it back and forth on my tongue. "Parkland Hospital, why do I feel like I'm missing something, here?"

    It wasn't till I got on the freeway and had to go soon to punch a clock that it hit me like a shot, "Holy good night, that is THE Parkland Hospital!" I would have turned back but I was late.

    Two nights later I get the call at home, from my sister, that my father had just been found a few hours earlier, dead, in a locked Lincoln, gun in his hand and hole in his head.

    I'm not making this up, all the papers for all of that can be verified, across the board. The question is, did it all actually happen, or was I the center of their own little mob-generated psyop?

    They have littered the landscape with so many doppelgangers and "simulacra' that can be proven, also, so we know that much.

    If JFK and/or LHO actually DID die at Parkland, I was standing within a few feet of their bays.

    But you do cast some serious doubts.

    And one other thing, they ran an actual staged psyop on me a few years ago, it was all choreographed with actors. It seemed real, but "after further review" it was staged. They were amazed I could put it all together, but they staged a rather involved skit, to see if I'd bite. I took some deep breaths and realized it was ALL rigged. And they knew I'd seen the moving parts of their metaphorical"magician's box" such as in magic shows. It was quite elaborate. The proof it was real is that once I figured it out, they suddenly discontinued it a week later.

    Here's one clue: for about 15 years every so often, one of their mob crosses my path and tries to suggest we're being run from afar by space aliens and they keep steering me to a video at YouTube. Or other trumped up info.

    This is a favorite ploy. I tell them, no thanks, but I have enough on my plate just here on Earth.

    It's seemingly just a huge diversion, and I studiously ignore it.

    They haven't done much lately. About a year and a half ago an Armenian guy named Apollo (sounds like a stage magician, eh?) ran some crafty things past me, very sleight of hand. I caught enough wind of it, I found a way to dodge it. It could have killed me, or worse.

    Anyway, might seem off topic, but it's all just to add context and color to your comments.

    I am confirming that I have seen with my own eyes some of their psyops hocus pocus and it IS real.

    Two of the people in contact with SIRHAN were listed at bios at Wikipedia (which did not mention Sirhan) as two of the most prominent hypnotists in US History. The Harvard hypnotist who has been treating and shrinking for 10 years, Dr. Daniel Brown seems off, to me, when I see him in "The Real Manchurian Candidate."

    Sirhan DOES, categorically, strike me as a *real* trauma based mind control victim, not an actor. He had a history of PTSD as a boy, all the way back in Palestine, when he watched as his brother was run over by a Jeep.

    I knew a woman who taught at USC (where my old man taught at the law school) who swore to me in an email in 2006 that one of the hypnotists, my father's client, could put a whole class "under", simultaneously, when she went to his Sunday lectures. Gives me the creeps. I don't mention his name, no free publicity for a "brujo" of his ilk.

    This all may sound too colorful to not be scripted, but this IS Hollywood we're talking here. The Client used to hypnotize Bela Lugosi before he did coffin scenes, because the eponymous (there's that word again) Dracula had claustrophia!

    But it is significant here, in Anglo-American exchanges, that The Client founded in '30s Hollywood the "Philosophical Research Society". I mention that, because it is a curious echo, fifty years after the founding in London of the Society for Psychical Research, where both Conan Doyle and Mark Twain were early members. (I think Twain was an intel agent. He bonded with Tesla for many years, #1 early U.S. Intel target.)

    PRS and SPR. (I can remember my fabulous late mother, even when I was 2 or 3, calling it invariably "Pew" RS, pew being American slang for "stinks".)

    One of the hypnotists who knew Sirhan (who grew up in Taybeh, Ephraim in Gospels, the last stop of Jesus before Jerusalem and Golgotha) was technical advisor to the first version of Manchurian Candidate, with Sinatra. William Joseph Bryant. He died several years after RFK, in Las Vegas, rather young. My father's client, subject of the book, "Master of the Mysteries" was murdered on his ranch in Fallbrook, about an hour's drive from here. So they SAY: I've come across several versions of the forensics over the last 30 years, since he purportedly died there in '90.

    My sister told me his corpse was found with worms crawling out of every orifice of his body, like Herod in the New Testament, "Acts of the Apostles".

    But more authoritative sources say black ants. And I read another version too.

    All which tends to argue your premise: ops.

    And I told you, the Unabomber storyline seems silly with staged events.

    One fact I can vouch, though: many a time I have found myself in the penumbra of these events, if not closer! But still in the dark. Duped? Not entirely .

    Mme. Blavatsky was a key figure in SPR in late 1800s London. Gandhi visited her there. She was exposed as at least semi-fraudulent: she was not above using early audio technology at her seances, for audible spookinesses! Wooooo . Hahaha

    They called "The Client" of my dad's, "the American Blavatsky". Even Ronald Reagan consulted him. Huxley knew him. I had dinner with Huxkey's wife once, when I was a callow 15 year old, but I never was introduced to The Client. Thank God! The old man insulated me from some things, for some reason.

    Angleton used a phrase from "Gerontion" about "mirrors".

    We're seeing a helluva lot of mirrors, this month!

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~

    "The CIA doesn't care what you do, as long as it's something they want you to do."

    That is, something irrelevant & unmeaningful.

    (Some of the above might sound rambling, but it is all unbelievably pertinent. Believe it!)

    Petra Liverani ,

    I'm sorry your dad died in such a way, John. Interesting about the hypnosis and Sirhan.

    Paul Vonharnish ,

    I'm sure you've lived an interesting life, but does any of your rhetoric inform readers as to practical solutions?
    "Modern" society is now living under the boot of a militarized police state. Yet no one is married to such persons, no one is related to such persons, no niece or nephew, aunt, uncle, or cousin. No one knows them as a neighbor or as a person who is seen at the local bar. Hmmmm Strange
    The sleaze balls you allude to have names and addresses, and need to be hunted down and culled. Jus' sayin'

    John ErvIn ,

    Petra: I was on radio at Goddard College in VT 15 years ago, 7.15.05, reporting and analyzing with the host, Jim HOGUE, the 7.7 London Tube and bus bombings. So very clearly a "terrorist training exercise." Peter Power, formerly of Scotland Yard, spoke later that evening how they had been doing a training exercise at the very moment for Visor, a private company, when he said, on BBC Channel 4, "You can imagine how the hair stood up on our necks when we realized the drill had suddenly gone 'live'".

    There were many other stories like that.

    I found out around then in a nice "find" of my own that a CIA agent, Art Riley, I believe had been in charge of Port of NYC during 9/11, and was also head of London Transport during 7.7.

    C'mon. Serious? So obvious.

    This was the idea crystallizing in my mind the last few days, that the whole flu op was just a new training exercise like those, for a variety of Intel purposes.

    A to Z.

    Great minds think alike!

    But no fooling, it's got all those same fingerprints.

    Hear, hear.

    But garishly, tastelessly, wide in scope. If it's not "class war", I wonder how we categorize it.

    Petra Liverani ,

    The 7/7 9/11 connection is interesting, John. And they're so brazen, no? "Hair stood up on our necks." Yes, where their nature is applicable, psyops are "live" drills of themselves and are preceded by at least one other drill, sometimes more and sometimes other drills run concurrently. The greatest number of drills and exercises ever to occur on US soil probably occurred on 9/11 which was, in effect, a massive Full-Scale Anti-Terrorist Exercise pushed out as a real event.

    John ErvIn ,

    The way I have come to see it, after ten years of having sporadic "chance," (yeah, right?) interactions with Intel agents out in the field (they – a few retired one's have- almost never identify themselves as such, but you get a workable certainty, and though the working ones are saturated with sheepdip as being regular folk with regular jobs) is that they see the world strictly as insiders versus outsiders. Us v. Them. They don't say that, it's just so manifest.

    Anyone who is not in the loop is essentially an adversary, and should mind their own business if they're smart: "pay no attention to the wizard behind the curtain!" Etc.

    Their own business: According to pretty dammed strict fish bowl like rules.

    Oh, they don't mind if you act up or "carry on" but as the tagline of the Denzel remake of Manchurian Candidate was given us by the late great Jonathan Demme: "Everything is under control."

    Pretty sick, but what now can they do. It is a bestial dialectic of the beast, that has broken it's chains, really, and a roving rogue everywhere in the world. At least in its most dangerous aspects.

    Which are not few!

    Only God and our own very good judgement, itself a gift, can save US.

    Two have told me, "Be careful, it's NOT a free country."

    That can put quite a nasty cramp in good judgement, but that comes with the territory .

    Might as well really reconnoiter that territory, eh, because we ALL share it now.

    The Age of SPOOKOCRACY.

    Exhibit A: all the many lockdowned nations. Switzerland, characteristically, is proud of it's neutrality and one of the lightest loads now. That speaks volumes about what's really going on?

    Like Jews during WW II, I'm scanning their borders. I'm pricing jet tickets.

    No, after all, I'll share this grief

    wardropper ,

    They can't make it last too long, however, otherwise we'll all go nuts. As the Donald says, it will disappear like magic.

    One has to consider, however, the possibility that they would rather like us all to go nuts
    Then we get the great civil military confrontation which some in Washington are just dying to see, because their new devices for crowd control desperately need a thorough try-out.
    If that seems far-fetched, we might consider that little Iceland, a country which had no crime to speak of thirty years ago, ordered, after the banking crash of 2008, a crapload of AK-74s for its police force (it has no army)

    Doctortrinate ,

    Latest figures Gov uk. Deaths registered in the year-to-date, Week 1 to 13. Looking at the year-to-date (using refreshed data to get the most accurate estimates), the number of deaths is currently lower than the five-year average. The current number of deaths is 150,047, which is 3,350 fewer than the five-year average. Of the deaths registered by 27 March 2020, 647 mentioned the coronavirus (COVID-19) on the death certificate; this is 0.4% of all deaths.

    https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/deathsregisteredweeklyinenglandandwalesprovisional/weekending27march2020

    U.K Lockdown – evening of the 23'rd March – Deaths, of 'or' with Covid ? Tests, false positive / incorrect diagnosis = ? ? %

    Gordo ,

    Excellent article. It is apparent that the 'bone-pointers' generating individual panic and general hysteria are first the MSM. Thus, this article should be sent to every editor and every journalist involved making it clear that they are potential murderers.

    Ben ,

    If no one knew what Corona Virus was and it wasn't on the news no one would know or care about it. Unlike Spanish flu. You would know and care very quickly. With or without MSM bullshit.
    That should tell you something.

    [Apr 08, 2020] Resisting fearmongering by trying to establish facts

    FEAR and PANIC fueled by IGNORANCE is very difficult to fight especially for someone who does not have college degree.
    Apr 08, 2020 | newsaf.cgtn.com

    John ErvIn ,

    All of it demonstrates our underlying quandary: we have a very real practical problem in establishing the truth or validity of ALL the info we get, let alone really challenging Intel.

    The only confidence I can have personally in doing thar, over years of these things, is by a process of triangulation.

    THAT IS: Comparing, and contrasting, certain alleged facts with other alleged facts.

    One of those clear facts is that they flood the field with psyops from actors and fakes to try to erode our knowledge base and disorient and isolate us from real knowledge, and allies.

    And simply distract us. (Franz Kafka: "Evil is distraction." So, if their shoe fits Lol)

    Triangulation . is the reason I included some of my own stories. I was raised in various circles around some of these people, and at least I know thus that certain things really happen. So I set them down here, and elsewhere, to 1) document them as such, and 2) as reference for people, later, since they can connect with some very important stories. Later. Archived here.

    Obviously we are too busy with the tasks at hand and this mess, to do "legwork" with them now, but they will register at a later date, or even now, if they interconnect with some of these other facts. There are patterns embedded in my testimony that parallel patterns in these other psyops. Some times that can give unimaginable weight to a clue or two, from personal storylines. Especially ones such as those I gave some details.

    Which is why I give them. Granted, there are tonnages of facts involved, but there is a peculiar phenomenon here of many similar patterns, and when they connect it can be quite illuminating.

    But proof? I loved first reading the opening of GK Chesterton's Autobiography almost a half century ago, so much that I learned some sections of it by heart.

    He calls the first chapter, opening pages, "Hearsay Evidence" about his own birth, "Bowing down in blind credulity before tradition and the testimony of my elders, I confess that I was born May 29, 1872 . etc. etc."

    I got the point, that it's hard to say exactly what's true.

    Later on he says, "For all the evidence, there still exists the real possibility that I could have been the lost heir of the Holy Roman Empire, or some infant left on my parent's back doorstep by ruffians from Soho, later to develop traits of a hideous criminal heredity."

    In a word, he was showing us some of the pitfalls of personal revelations, or just acquired knowledge in general. That book is available online at the Project Gutenberg Archives, as well as most, if not all of his 100+ titles oeuvre.

    Certainly America today, and its viral infections of knowledge bases everywhere, speaks volumes about these "epistemological problems".

    (GKC had a really big advantage that so very few have: many of his works were dictated without reference to notes. He said offhand, shortly before he died unexpectedly of heart failure at 62, that he could remember the plot details of all 10,000 books he had reviewed for the London press! Wow: most Franciscan and Thomist scholars say that the small books he dictated on their saints were the best single volumes about them.

    Just think of what he could do today toward conspiracy crime solutions. Probably why he died in 1936. Things were heating up and they had to get him out of the way!

    Sometimes I find, though, just knowing and practicing some of the intellectual tools he developed, and mastered, are of great use in our epistemological pursuits of

    TRIANGULATION.

    I listen a lot to Alan Watts broadcasts and he mentions in one that his training as an Anglican priest and his parallel wide studies in Eastern religions and practices was very useful in "triangulating his true position."

    The Trappist Thomas Merton – also most likely a anti-war 2968 martyr through the handiwork of the CIA, whose more roguish members are the real fly in our global ointment, as current events indicate – was one of the most "devout" of Catholics (Pope Francis singled him out for special mention when he came here 5 years ago, along with Dorothy Day, who was a good friend).

    And Merton said, interestingly, "By the time I die, I want to have become the best Buddhist I can possibly be."

    He clearly had a good grasp of the blessings of triangulation.

    Not that it is not without it's pitfalls, and I still am learning it's fascinating ways, how to use it, hopefully, more correctly.

    Meanwhile, we carry on with tasks close at hand. I am not trying to distract but inform that process.

    My own "way" that I preach. State Intel will do all they can to recruit and assimilate us. The one Golden Rule I know is to do all I can to remain independent, separate, and a complete ABSOLUTE non-collaborator.

    Basically, they only want to control, totally contain, or kill you. And/or your message.

    We are under their virtual house arrest now, facts seem to show.

    But resistance is by no means futile.

    [Apr 08, 2020] Opinion - How To Tell Real News From Useless Narrative Fluff

    Apr 06, 2020 | www.informationclearinghouse.info

    When Zen teacher Issan Dorsey was asked to describe the essence of Zen art, he answered, "Nothing extra."

    "Nothing extra" is also of course the essence of Zen living itself: perceiving life as it actually is, as opposed to perceiving it through a bunch of believed narrative filters about yourself, about others, about reality, and so on. These narrative filters are an extra pile of layers that are added on top of the actual experience of life, and they give a distorted view which causes a lot of confusion and suffering. Relinquishing belief in them brings clarity and peace.

    This is also the essence of clearly understanding what's really going on in the world. Like so much else, the approach to the large is the same as the approach to the small, which is to say the approach to seeing clearly in the big picture is the same as the approach to seeing clearly as an individual: you need to learn to look at it without the extra narrative overlay.

    Because the news media are controlled by plutocrats who have a vested interest in protecting the status quo upon which their kingdoms are built, almost everything in the news is useless narrative fluff. It doesn't tell you what's really going on, it rather tries to influence what's going on by manipulating the perceptions of the audience. It does this by either (A) distracting from what really matters by focusing on what doesn't matter, or (B) actively working to manipulate how the audience thinks about a given issue.

    When you strip away all the empty fluff and manipulative spin, there are basically only four often-overlapping pieces of information that really matter in the big picture: (1) where the money is going, (2) where the resources are going, (3) where the weapons are going, and (4) where the people are going. When it comes to understanding world dynamics, accurate information about these four things is the only real news you'll ever encounter. Everything else is empty narrative spin meant to justify, distort, or distract from information about these things.

    If you ignore everything else and only focus on finding the most accurate information possible about these four items, you will have an infinitely clearer understanding of what's really going on in the world than someone who trusts news reporters to walk them through it.

    Watch where the money is going because you can trust the raw numbers of financial transactions a lot more than you can trust the stories people are telling. A massive percentage of daily news coverage goes toward analyzing the latest foam-brained gibberish that came out of Donald Trump's mouth even though we all know he's going to contradict himself two days later, but the fact that he's been heavily funded by an oligarch who happens to have been a longtime proponent of the Iran policies this administration has been advancing is much more solid.

    Zoom out and watch where the money is going in the big picture and you'll see that a grossly disproportionate amount of it is moving away from the general public and toward a very small group of people, which we just saw illustrated in the historically unprecedented multitrillion-dollar wealth transfer in the US corporate bailout. If you watch this small group and pay attention to the projects, candidates, think tanks and media outlets they pour their wealth into, you will notice that they exert an incredible amount of influence on all four crucial factors: where the money goes, where the resources go, where the weapons go, and where the people go.

    Watching where the resources are going gives you an even clearer image of what's going on because resources, unlike money, are completely independent of narrative. There is no such thing as "money" without the thoughts that humans agree to collectively think about it, but oil would still be oil even if all humans were wiped off the face of the earth. When you see the US ramping up escalations against Venezuela , ignore the narratives about "drug trafficking" and what a bad, bad man Nicolás Maduro is, and look at what resources lie beneath the ground in that nation to find out what this is really about. Mentally "mute" the soundtracks the political/media class spout about who's doing what to whom and just watch where the resources are going, and who's controlling them. That way you'll be able to discern the powerful from the disempowered and the takers from their victims.

    Watch where the weapons are going because those are another non-narrative factor which exerts a huge influence on the world; a bullet will stop a beating heart regardless of what the mind thinks about it. Ignore the irrelevant narrative fluff about where the coronavirus originated and whether or not it's racist to say "Wuhan virus", and look at the ring of US military bases encircling China and the way the Marine Corps is shifting its attention onto that nation . Ignore Trump's gibberish about ending wars and note that he's been expanding them and increasing foreign troop presence . Ignore the Democratic Party's nonsense about Trump having loyalties to Russia and watch his administration's many dangerous nuclear escalations against that nation . Ignore international finger-wagging at humanitarian abuses by Israel and Saudi Arabia and look at who's still selling them weapons and supporting them militarily.

    Watch where the people are going for another important piece of real information that isn't dependent on narrative. Where are the prisoners? Where are the refugees, where are they going, and what are they fleeing? Where are people moving to, and what do they want?

    With each of these four items you can simply watch raw data and ignore all the stories the establishment spinmeisters tell about that data. As long as you make sure you're getting the most accurate data possible, it's like you're looking at a globe and watching lines in four different colors moving around in it from place to place and person to person. And without anyone's stories tainting your view.

    You will notice that there's a heavy degree of overlap between these four items. You see the weapons moving toward China and you notice that's the nation with the US hegemony-threatening Belt and Road Initiative (where the resources are moving) and the key player in the US dollar-threatening Shanghai Cooperation Organization (where the money is moving). You see Julian Assange locked in prison (where the people are going) for exposing US war crimes (where the weapons are going). You see US troops illegally occupying Syrian oil fields (where the weapons and resources are going) to prevent the Syrian government from using it to rebuild the nation (where the money is going). And so on.

    Nearly everything that makes it to the top of the daily news churn is either propaganda distortion or distracting drivel, and either way you can safely ignore it. Just watch where the money is going, where the resources are going, where the weapons are going and where the people are going, and ignore all the narrative chatter.

    Nothing extra.

    Caitlin's articles are entirely reader-supported, so if you enjoyed this piece please consider sharing it around, liking her on Facebook , following her antics on Twitter , checking out her podcast , throwing some money into her hat on Patreon or Paypal , or buying her book Woke: A Field Guide for Utopia Preppers . https://caitlinjohnstone.com

    Do you agree or disagree? Post your comment here

    What is the Greatest Evil on this Planet?

    Sadhguru reminds us that time is running out for all of us, and that what really matters at the end of our life is whether we lived an enhanced life.

    https://www.youtube.com/embed/-EQO6YMIzqg?list=WL

    U.S. Debt Clock

    http://www.usadebtclock.com/us-debt-clock-widget.php

    [Apr 08, 2020] "Think deep, do good science and do not panic!" by Kit Knightly Daniel Jeanmonod MD, Roxanne Jeanmonod & Francis Neirynck

    Notable quotes:
    "... A dominant characteristic of fear is to always favor informations that maintain or amplify it and repress the ones which do not. Could it be the reason why the Scandinavian experience is rarely mentioned and if yes, qualified as being nonethical, without discussion of the pros and cons and the risk/benefit ratio of the confinement approach (see below). Fear does not allow good science to be performed, and we badly need good science, now and tomorrow. ..."
    "... Lockdown and isolation practices have been taken by many with an amazing amount of ethics, patience, courage, adaptability, inventiveness and humor. As they block the young and active part of society, they may produce along time significant psychosocial and economic harm, risking to destabilize society in a worldwide manner. Rather sooner than later, they will have to be cancelled by governments. ..."
    Apr 07, 2020 | off-guardian.org

    A few considerations on the corona crisisThe monumental importance of the measures taken around the world in the fight for control of the current COVID-19 pandemic during the past few weeks motivated us to express through this text a few considerations and comments on this hugely important topic.

    Dr. Joel Kettner [ 1 ], professor of Community Health Science at Manitoba University and Medical Director of the International Centre for Infectious Diseases declared recently:

    I have never seen anything like this I am not talking about the pandemic, because I have seen 30 of them, one every year But I have never seen this reaction, and I am trying to understand why "

    We do too, and wish to share our thoughts through these lines. Dr. David Jones[ 2 ] declared recently, concerning the corona crisis, in the New England Journal of Medicine:

    History suggests that we are actually at much greater risk of exaggerated fears and misplaced priorities"

    Corona and other common Cold viruses

    The common cold, as its name indicates, is the most common human infectious disease and affects people all over the globe. Adults have typically two to three infections per year, and children even more. Rates of symptomatic infections increase in the elderly due to reduced defense mechanisms. Over 200 virus types are implicated, the main ones being rhino-, corona-, adeno- and enteroviruses as well as influenza, parainfluenza, human respiratory syncytial and metapneumoviruses.

    Studies out of different countries were reviewed by Wodarg[ 3 ] (see among others Nicholson et al.[ 4 ]), showing that coronaviruses are present year after year in 7-15% of winter respiratory tract infections (RTI). Every year indeed, these common cold viruses invade the planet in wintertime of the northern hemisphere and mutate to get entry into our organisms, and reproduction inside our cells.

    We are thus dealing with a cyclic viral planetary invasion with high contagious capacity, in this sense a pandemic, which, because it is so well known and most of the time benign, activates no significant fears in the population and most of the time low interest from microbiologists.

    Like the SARS-CoV-1 of 2002-2003 and the MERS virus of 2012, the SARS-CoV-2 is a corona virus which is thought to have mutated from an animal. The next essential characteristic of a virus, after its contagiousness, is its lethality for the human population. Roussel et al.[ 5 ] have just published that common (i.e. pre-SARS-CoV-2 mutation) coronaviruses had in France an estimated mortality of 0.8% in 2016.

    They analyzed, in addition, 4 common coronavirus strains between 2013 and 2020, which had mortalities between 0.36 and 2.7% (381 other corona strains diagnosed before 2017 were not assigned to this study). Data from the OECD and from France (Roussel et al.[ 5 ]) show a SARS-CoV-2 mortality of 1.3% and 1.6%, respectively.

    These data are fundamental to demonstrate the following: SARS-CoV-2 displays no higher mortality than its older companions. It must be realized, however, that viral RTIs can be threatening to old, sick and weakened human beings. The mortality rate of the common cold can go indeed as high as 8% in elderly nursing homes (Ioannidis[ 6 ]).

    Diagnostic tests

    We have at the time no idea of the presence (prevalence) of the SARS-CoV-2 in the human population. The journal Le Monde [ 7 ] published a detailed review of 26 countries showing an average 10% of tests being positive, and Capek[ 8 ] cites values staying between 10 and 15%. Interestingly, the presence of common cold coronaviruses in yearly RTIs worldwide is 7-15% (see above).

    These data speak for a usual presence of the SARS-CoV-2 this year as compared with the one, each year, of older corona strains. They contradict the existence of a progression of the SARS-CoV-2 infections beyond the usual yearly rate.

    Common cold viruses display a high contagiousness level, due among other factors to the fact that a large majority of their infections, estimated between 80 and 99.5%, are non or mildly symptomatic.

    As around 20-40% of the population get an RTI in winter, we are led to the conclusion that a very large proportion of the population must harbor common cold viruses including the SARS-CoV-2 corona strain. Confirming this line of thought, Gupta et al.[ 9 ] from Oxford University have drafted a model suggesting that a large part of the population has already been infected by the SARS-CoV-2 virus, going through a mild or an asymptomatic infection.

    Testing its presence in the population just confirms this reality, and the (obviously!) growing number of positive tests should in no way be interpreted as a sign of an unusual propagation of the virus. This interpretation is one of the two main panic activation factors at the source of the current worldwide panic wave. The only useful side of a progressively larger testing of the whole population would be to bring the mortality rate down by including more mild (rhinitis, coughing, no fever) or asymptomatic infection forms.

    Mortality

    The World Health Organization and numerous experts have communicated to the world a crude mortality rate for COVID-19 of 3.4%, causing panic: this indicates (erroneously) a danger for the population around 30 times higher than with the influenza virus, which is estimated at 0.1%.

    In addition to the idea (not the evidence, as discussed above) of an exceptional pandemic, this statement represents the second essential panic activation factor. The approach here is to count the number of deaths over the number of positive tests performed.

    As tests are in general not performed on persons affected mildly or without symptoms, this approach ignores their high presence, estimations for it, going for COVID-19 from 82-90% in China (Li et al.[ 10 ]) up to 99.5% in Germany (Bhakdi[ 11 ]).

    Such a crude mortality rate is thus inadequately high, not providing the centrally relevant information: the number of deaths calculated over the total of infections by a given virus, including all clinical forms, from asymptomatic to fatal ones. This mortality rate is the one representing the real danger the human population is exposed to when getting infected: it is the infection mortality rate.

    It is to be noted that the type of calculation followed by Roussel et al. ([[ 5 ]] mentioned above) was considering the death percentage on the positive tests performed, with high crude mortality values. The usefulness of this study resides however, as discussed above, in the comparison between the mortality of the older and the current SARS-CoV-2 corona strains.

    Ioannidis[ 6 ] estimates an infection mortality rate for COVID-19 between 0.05 and 1%. Assuming a mid-range mortality value of 0.3% and a 1% infection rate, it would correspond to 10'000 deaths for the USA. This surely is an impressive number, it would however stay buried within the noise of the estimate of deaths from usual seasonal RTIs.

    The European Monitoring of Excess Mortality for Public Health Action[ 12 ] reveals that, till year week 13, no global European excess mortality can be seen as compared with earlier years, the death toll trend for 2019-2020 is in fact slightly lower than for earlier years.

    Confirming this, the German Robert Koch Institute[ 13 ] documented end of March a nationwide decrease in the activity of acute RTIs, with the number of hospital stays caused by them being below the level of previous years and currently continuing to decline.

    Roussel et al.5 remind us that every year around the world 2.6 million people die of RTIs. Today, at the end of March and of the RTI season, we may really hope that the SARS-CoV-2 strain will not be the "killer virus" which was profiled and which produced such an intense and worldwide reaction. A revealing comparison can be made with the yearly mortality of influenza infections, estimated between 0.5 and 1 million worldwide.

    In Switzerland where the death toll of the flu is estimated at an average of 2'000 deaths per season, we live, like all other countries around the world, with this cyclic reality, and have integrated it fully in our personal, social and national lives (Osterloh and Frey[ 14 ]). With the COVID-19, Switzerland remains, end of March, with a lower death toll.

    As of today, we have not yet a final estimation of the infection mortality rate of the COVID-19. The data described above indicate a value at or below the one of the flu. Bendavid and Bhattacharya[ 15 ] proposed indeed estimations of the infection mortality rate of the COVID-19 between 0.01 for the US and 0.06% for Italy (based on the testing of the whole population of the town of Vò), values close to the ones proposed by Ioannidis[ 6 ], and below the 0.1% rate of the flu.

    If the monitoring of the global (e.g. European) death toll does not show any excess mortality during the 2019-2020 season, it is nevertheless true that a local increase is present in northern Italy. In the city of Bergamo for example, 652 deaths (all causes of death included) were reported between January 1st and March 21st of this year versus 386 in the same period of 2017, during the last bigger flu wave.

    An interesting fact is that in the same period the city of Milano has recorded 3,283 deaths this year versus 3,792 in 2017[ 16 ]. Obviously, further analysis of the demographic data and of local factors will be needed.

    The detailed Italian official data[ 17 ] demonstrate a very high relevance for mortality of pre-existing morbidities: the average age of deceased patients was 78.5 years old. On a study on 481 deaths, 6 patients (1.2%) had no pre-existing morbidities, 23.5 % had one, 26.6% two and 48.6% three or more pre-morbidities. Nine patients were younger than 40 years old, but at least seven of them had serious pre-existing pathologies. In 84% of Italian therapeutic programs, antibiotics were applied, indicating a high rate of bacterial co-infections.

    It must also be kept in mind that the SARS-CoV-2 is often accompanied, in an average of 24% of infections according to Shah et al.[ 18 ], by other common cold viruses, so that it cannot always be held primarily responsible for the disease and its consequences.

    Following these lines and according to Prof. Ricciardi[ 19 ], an analysis of Italian death certificates showed that only 12% of them displayed a direct causality from the COVID-19 virus. This leads to a most significant reduction of the deaths attributable to it. One ends up with a few dozen deaths per day, compared to 20'000 flu deaths per year in Italy.

    The Italian Civil Protection Service underline in this context the necessity to differentiate between death with and death from corona virus[ 20 ]. This analysis is absolutely essential, should be considered by all countries counting their deaths, and will contribute to get a final correct estimation of the COVID-19 death toll worldwide.

    Finally, two additional factors add to the Italian mortality rate: the high average age of the population (with 633'133 deaths[ 21 ] for all reasons in 2018, estimated 2,000 deaths per day in wintertime) and high air pollution levels. One gets hence the addition of 3 factors reducing strongly the death causality of COVID-19:

    other viruses because they often come together bacterial secondary infections pre-existing morbidities

    In conclusion, a very invasive virus with a high death toll is the basis for the development of fear and panic in the human population. The statistical considerations above allow us to hope that the SARS-CoV-2 will not be the "killer virus" that we expected. Local factors, like in Italy, may play a significant role. That fear and panic may in themselves cause and increase locally human losses is discussed below.

    The alveolar and interstitial pneumopathy (AIP) and the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS)

    The AIP[ 22 ] affects around 2 million people worldwide and is due to the triggering of an ill-understood abnormal healing response. This response is delayed over around a week in the case of the SARS.

    Two-thirds of AIP are idiopathic, i.e. have no known cause. For the ones with a known etiology, the causes are autoimmune, allergic or infectious. Infectious agents are the coronavirus, but also the respiratory syncytial virus and tuberculosis. There is evidence that the autoimmune and allergic dynamics point to the relevance of psycho-neuro-immunological mechanisms, which, in the presence of an associated genetic predisposition, may trigger overactive deleterious inflammatory responses.

    Thus, in the AIP, the virus is only the environmental trigger of a process which needs other factors, genetic and psycho-emotional, to develop.

    In accordance with the presence of an autoimmune response in SARS, Chinese and Italian doctors have applied with success to serious SARS patients a treatment of Tocilizumab[ 23 ], a medication useful in the treatment of the rheumatoid arthritis, a well-known auto-immune disorder. We thus propose that emotional factors play a role through the development of the SARS and AIP, in COVID-19 morbidity and mortality.

    Everybody's life experiences and growing scientific evidence speak for a direct influence of our emotional state on immunity and inflammation processes.

    This will determine, at the moment of viral invasion, the activation level of our defense mechanisms, closing, or in stress alas opening up a breach allowing a full-blown respiratory infection (including lungs). In the case of an AIP, an overactivation of the organism's immune and inflammation responses can also be induced (named "cytokine storm or release syndrome"[ 23 ]).

    The role of stress and panic

    Stress has been shown to be at the source of cell losses in the limbic (behavioral) brain of animals. It is in position to activate excitotoxic, oxidative, immunological, inflammatory, endocrine and vegetative mechanisms, and to cause in certain conditions the potentially fatal failure of multiple organs.

    One such situation has been described by ethnologists in the context of a ritual performed by the kurdaitcha man, or shaman of the aborigenic society. It is called "pointing the bone" and causes the so-called "self-willed death", or "bone-pointing syndrome"[ 24 ][ 25 ]. It consists in the pointing onto a victim of a ritual bone which activates the effect of a "spear of thought" and kills the cursed person over days to weeks, without great suffering.

    This ritual may have served kurdaitcha men along the millennia when a member of their community would become dangerous. The power of an idea and its related emotion, i.e. fear, is exemplified here in a most impressive and definitive way.

    We propose to consider the possibility, in the context of the corona crisis, that a planetary "spear of thought" loaded with fear and capable to kill is active now and threatens the whole of mankind, inducing among other things the development of the AIP and provoking fear-based chain reactions all over the world.

    Pre-existing and facilitating factors may be the threat of human extinction by a killer virus as shown impressively in disaster movies, and a current feeling of doomed and dismal planetary state due to pollution.

    Images have been displayed all over the world of bad science fiction scenes, with human silhouettes installed in beds surrounded by alien-looking fully masked and dressed-up doctors and nurses, dead streets swept with gross disinfectant systems, the close-up picture of the initiating Chinese doctor with panicky eyes over a ventilation device, "state of war" declarations to the virus by politicians, faked Italian messages as the one from a mother wanting to convince her child to stay home, emergency military tents filled with persons waiting for the verdict of their test, etc

    In addition, it is interesting to consider that both the SARS-CoV-1 in 2003 and the MERS-CoV in 2012 were coronaviruses: they may have paved the way toward a sensitivity of the human environment to a respiratory threat. They were rated as dangerous because they had a high mortality, although their propagation was very limited with a death toll of 770 (SARS-CoV-1) and 850 (MERS-CoV) patients worldwide[ 26 ].

    The elements for panic generation were in place: death by a killer virus, economic failure and chaos, loss of familial and social support, loss of freedom and isolation due to lockdown measures, helplessness, uncertain future for the human civilization, and the overwhelming fear of losing a loved one without being able to say goodbye.

    Like the man cursed by the pointing of the bone of the kurdaitcha, the current corona "spear of thought" seems well to be able to hit different body targets and induce multiple organ failure: for example, cardiomyopathy is described in the high percentage of 33% of Italian patients[ 27 ]. Fear and anxiety are felt indeed typically at the cardio-respiratory level, with dyspnea (choking feeling) and heart palpitations.

    Let us imagine a person, for example in the north of Italy in February 2020, coughing and unwell from an RTI. An immediate fear of getting infected by the COVID-19 virus arises and dominates his mind (I take here the example of a man, as the infection risk is higher for males!).

    He heard, announced the day before by the WHO, that this virus kills more than the flu (against which he is vaccinated, being 70 years old). He knows that policemen closed the village where he lives, forbidding entry and exit. Being a good citizen, he announces that he suspects a corona infection and is taken in an emergency to the local hospital.

    By arrival, he is placed in a probably uncomfortable and cold tent, in the middle of other fearful citizens, and his SARS-CoV-2 test is performed. Other people cough around him, and he waits for the sentence. His heart beats hard and it seems that he cannot breathe well.

    His test being positive, he is taken into the hospital by an efficient but stressed medical team, and gets surrounded by masked nurses. He realizes that he is now no longer free to leave this whole nightmare, to get back home. Panic raises its dreadful head, and his defense mechanisms fall down, opening the way to a full-blown, at his age threatening viral infection. In this state, our patient may experience one of the three following scenarios:

    At best: he keeps an upper RTI, with a bit of fever, a solid cough through bronchitis, some difficulty to swallow and a full nose. He is kept isolated in the hospital, the staff remains efficient but stressed, very busy and distant, and he stays alone with his fears to get full-blown choking feelings leading so many to the intensive care unit and ventilator. He cannot get the visit of his family and he stays sick with a solid RTI for the next two weeks. Most probably, this experience will stay imprinted for ever in his emotional brain. At worst, first scenario: his age, his long standing suboptimal pulmonary function, his significant overweight precipitate a bronchopneumonia, with combined viral development and bacterial secondary infection by nosocomial germs, leading to death in a few days. He dies without a last contact with his wife and children. At worst again, second scenario: the viral attack on his pulmonary system is moderate and the tissues there begin to recover in proper manner over a week. He keeps a deep feeling of fear and doom, dyspnea arises, a scan is performed showing the presence of an AIP, and he is taken to the intensive care unit. Over the next few days, the "spear of thought" proceeds flying, his pre-existing suboptimal health state limits his resources to overcome the reanimation phase, secondary infections arise, heart failure and failure of other organs develop and he dies, again far away from his family

    Around him and at home, other patients suffering from other health problems are treated suboptimally, all energy, material and staff being concentrated on the corona crisis.

    It is easy to understand how hospital staffs will be submitted to a huge overload:

    1. worried people flow into hospitals, increasing the workload of the medical and nursing teams,
    2. teams are reduced by the absence of burned-out collaborators, by the quarantine of others and in some situations by the ones kept away by the closing of borders. Again stress and panic develop and create the pervasive impression of exceptional and uncontrollable chaos

    The existence of the SARS-CoV-1 and MERS-CoV corona episodes in 2003 and 2012 could point to the possibility of mutations of the coronavirus toward a particular pulmonary affinity.

    Three same or similar, allegedly random mutations are however not likely, and we favor in this context the hypothesis mentioned above of sensitivity of the human environment to a respiratory threat, a "spear of thought" loaded with fear and threatening the whole human planet

    There are, currently end of March, very significant differences of mortality rates between countries. The respective crude mortality rates (deaths on the number of positive tests performed) are around 0.3% for Germany, 3.6% for France and 7.8% for Italy.

    For the same countries, the number of deaths per million inhabitants is respectively 7, 40 and 178. We propose that the three following factors, in addition to local factors (see discussion above about Italy), co-influence the amount of critical cases and deaths:

    the baseline level of anxiety in a given human population, the suppression of basic human social interactions through isolation, and the suppression of democratic freedom by limitation of civil rights.

    The difference is fundamental between a recommendation to the people in the name of the safety for all or an order enforced by state-given punishments (including emprisonment).

    The Swiss government, for example, has managed in such tensed times to pass measures mainly as recommendations and not as orders, counting on the goodwill and adequation of the Swiss people. Concerning point 2), it is to be noted that the disruption of social bonds is indeed a severe issue for all primate societies, and in non-human primates, isolation can lead to death.

    A surely premature review of some national mortality rates worldwide may provide insights favoring this proposition: as an example, Scandinavian countries have mostly respected the freedom of the people, and classical safety measures have been recommended as usually against the flu, without confinement of the whole population. They have among the lowest mortality rates in Europe.

    A dominant characteristic of fear is to always favor informations that maintain or amplify it and repress the ones which do not. Could it be the reason why the Scandinavian experience is rarely mentioned and if yes, qualified as being nonethical, without discussion of the pros and cons and the risk/benefit ratio of the confinement approach (see below). Fear does not allow good science to be performed, and we badly need good science, now and tomorrow.

    Confinement and isolation measures

    The rapid adoption in most countries of the strategy to control viral spread with confinement measures has developed, as far as we are aware, without an in-depth, open and balanced analysis of all pros and cons concerning this approach.

    As cited by Ioannidis and other experts, there exists only a weak evidence for the efficiency of confinement measures (see Cochrane Database). Evident however are their negative psychosocial effects we have discussed above, and deleterious effects on the world economy are already present and cannot be underrated.

    Of course, classical measures of decontamination/isolation to reduce viral transmission between individuals are to be recommended, but can be limited around the sensitive members of the population, that is old, sick and weakened individuals. This has been the approach of Scandinavian countries. A general lockdown approach does not seem to make sense from many aspects.

    Firstly, the rapidity with which European countries lost track of the chain from patients 1 onward underlines a well-known extreme contagiousness, questioning even the possibility to stop the propagation by tracking the virus and its carriers in the whole human population.

    This happened in Italy in a matter of a day or two, and in spite of very fast and extensive isolation measures. Common cold viruses have probably developed a great experience through their yearly planetary invasions, and tracking them as well as establishing lockdown measures does not seem to be the proper thing to do when one realizes that, as discussed above, they distribute themselves worldwide over millions of individuals (see the Oxford model above) during the whole winter season.

    The next argument is centered on the regularly proposed necessity to flatten the epidemy distribution curve to reduce the death toll. This approach does not consider the existence and relevance of the "herd or population immunity". With it, the larger the amount of immunized people in the human population, the less dangerous the viral epidemy can be.

    The application of general distancing and confinement measures leads unavoidably to all sorts of questionable decisions. Even worse, different measures, which make minimal or even no sense, may be imposed by states and implemented/increased by fearful individuals.

    In any case, in the name of the safety of all, states appeal to the duty of all individuals to accept limitations of their civil rights and freedom. This move should be limited to recommendations, and not orders accompanied by punishment: the readiness of the people must remain the dominant factor, and the people should not be threatened by a government they have themselves chosen.

    The subject of the adoption of more or less strict measures creates unavoidably fractures inside the social group. Movements come up proposing different ways, mainly through electronic media, to increase the penetration into the private sphere of individuals in the name of epidemic control, notwithstanding the fact that any population control is a danger to democracy.

    When a discussion arises on this theme, anybody demanding for a maintenance of her/his private sphere is opposed by the arguments 1) that the fact that one has nothing to hide should bring no problem, and 2) that in the case of epidemic prevention, one surely does not mean to limit safety measures to protect everybody.

    In the case of our country, the Swiss federal council has shown a most solid position and insisted to maintain as low as possible the temporary limitation of the Swiss people's freedom and civil rights, resisting firmly journalistic pressures.

    As examples of questionable lockdown measures, let us mention first the school stop, which backfires onto grandparents induced to provide child care. This measure is not evidence-based, i.e. there is no available scientific study demonstrating its efficiency, it has been introduced from country to country because another country had done it before. Population immunity mentioned above has to be addressed here.

    Leaving children to interact at school and playground and leaving the young (below 65) adult group work and also interact can be seen as the best way to advance herd immunity and thus protect the whole population, knowing in addition that these two age groups have an absolutely minimal risk to be endangered by the SARS-CoV-2. There are thus sound reasons to doubt the usefulness of the introduction of this measure, and we may even envisage that it could be counterproductive.

    The closing of public and natural spaces, particularly parks in cities, makes no sense: if people are demanded or obliged to keep distance in the streets, are they going not to do so in parks, whereby the way more place is there for them to keep distance?
    The contact with nature and fresh air, as mentioned by the Danish government, will be of utmost importance for the well-being of inhabitants of large cities, before or after they go out for food, work or other primordial activities. With this measure, they are unjustly limited in comparison with people living in the country.

    Among other highly questionable measures, the suppression/limitation of the access to the medical and spiritual domains is fully inappropriate, deleterious and inhumane. Not only COVID-19 patients but also all the other patients hospitalized for other reasons cannot get their visits.

    In general, but particularly now in the middle of the crisis, the support by dear ones is part of social and spiritual functions which should never be touched or withdrawn, taking the risk to alienate human beings from their vital psychosocial and spiritual environment. Why couldn't a close visiting family member apply the same safety precautions in the hospital as the medical staff do? And religious services could be performed with the same distance recommendations as for other civil sessions, which have been maintained because they are considered indispensable.

    Lockdown and isolation practices have been taken by many with an amazing amount of ethics, patience, courage, adaptability, inventiveness and humor. As they block the young and active part of society, they may produce along time significant psychosocial and economic harm, risking to destabilize society in a worldwide manner. Rather sooner than later, they will have to be cancelled by governments.

    Experts, politicians and media

    In the domain of biology, and particularly studies of large biological structures and dynamics, detailed analyses considering all sides of a phenomenon are essential, to avoid biased views and inappropriate conclusions and decisions. Biology is not mathematics, physics or chemistry, its complexity requires the integration of multiple dimensions and the adoption of a hopefully well-based interpretation. In the intensive and extensive, worldwide field of the corona crisis, an open, deep, careful, multidimensional and thus unbiased study of the whole situation with presentation of pros and cons and risk/benefit balance analyses is fundamental. Medical experts, mainly microbiologists and epidemiologists, are the ones to provide these informations to politicians. They have to realize that they hold in their hands the power to modulate the state of mind of the whole human planet, and that they have to carefully avoid to activate a worldwide powerful chain reaction of fear and panic. In the aftermath of the corona crisis, an open, deep and constructive analysis will have to be performed, with the goal to avoid the future repetition of current errors.

    Politicians represent their people and, in this function, have the difficult role to protect them when necessary. They have the right and the duty to ask from their experts the open, detailed and unbiased analysis just mentioned. Governments should make at best propositions which are the product of their sound and balanced analysis. These propositions will often be compromises between extremes (a tradition in our country!), and being thus moderate, they will be more readily accepted by the people. And, as discussed above, this approach may take away one of the three panic activation factors we propose, i.e. the reduction/suppression of democratic freedom. The public must be informed in an open and reassuring way, and negative informations should be balanced by positive ones, maintaining hope in the population. There is nothing questionable to provide hope in a balanced information context. In addition, a government would make something deeply constructive by congratulating its people for its courage and adequacy

    Media have a role to relay informations from all possible environments and tendencies. As exemplified particularly clearly in the current situation, they should avoid to exert pressures on politicians, and be deeply aware that they can contribute to the worldwide activation of powerful anxiogenic mechanisms if they do not provide balanced informations from controlled sources.

    The very fast and overwhelming distribution of the current panic has as one facilitating factor the spreading efficiency of social media, which have been instrumental in profiling, through biased and even fake news, a situation in Italy as more chaotic than it really is. Of course, positive news are also distributed by social media, but an anxious environment tends, as discussed above, to maintain itself by the relay of dominantly anxiogenic informations.

    Conclusion

    As of today (end of March 2020), a death toll of around 35'000 worldwide is being attributed to COVID-19. This is of course a high number but still much less than the flu, which kills every season between half a million and a million people. There are 2.6 million deaths worldwide every year due to RTIs.

    The world is, in the middle of the corona crisis, mesmerized by one mutated corona virus like hundreds of other ones spreading over the whole world every year. It presents no evidence of higher mortality than its earlier yearly mutations. Diagnostic testing is being interpreted as a way to follow the epidemic propagation, whereas it only reveals (partially) the ubiquitous and collaborative presence of common cold viruses worldwide.

    The mortality rate of COVID-19 has been calculated as the percentage of performed tests coming out positive, not integrating the strong mortality reduction allowed by the presence of a high percentage of mild or asymptomatic disease forms. Fear and panic were kindled by these two inaccurate scientific communications and spread over the whole planet like a bushfire, causing the chaos we observe every day on the News.

    Scientific experts, politicians and media people will have to deeply realize the importance of providing well-based unbiased information and recommendations. The corona crisis has brought to light that the human planet has currently a high anxiety level and must be treated gently, just like a human patient in a sensitive phase of her life!

    There is no way for us to conceive life without viruses. They are everywhere, around 50% of our own genome is of viral origin, and the virologist Prof. Moelling brought documented arguments in her book that viruses are "more friends than foes"[ 28 ].

    Our main foe is fear activated by a biased and heartless science. We are with most viruses in a win/win and need/need interaction: we cannot live without each other. No party has advantage to eradicate the other. Older pandemics, which are at the source of deep atavic plague memories, were in most cases due to bacterias and related closely to precarious human life conditions.

    The only catastrophic viral pandemic was the 1918 H1N1 flu, which killed millions, but developed in the chaotic and unhealthy aftermath of the first world war. Panic seems to be no appropriate, even no feasible way to integrate our interaction with viruses, it would guarantee us a future filled with fear for the next pandemic and repeated panic states and destabilizations of the worldwide human environment.

    A bleak future, indeed not desirable at all. Avoidable though if we apply this: to think deep, to do good science, and not to panic

    Daniel Jeanmonod MD , Professor Emeritus of Neurosurgery at Zürich University and Physiology & Neuroscience at New York University. Roxanne Jeanmonod , Physical Therapist. Francis Neirynck , Civil Engineer References:-

    [1] Dr Joel Kettner on CBC Radio – Cross Country Checkup, March 15, 2020.

    [2] Jones D. History in a Crisis – Lessons for Covid-19. New England Journal of Medicine (2020).

    [3] Dr. Wolfgang Wodarg. Review on https://www.wodarg.com.

    [4] Nicholson K.G. et al. Respiratory viruses and exacerbations of asthma in adults. British Medical Journal 307 (1993).

    [5] Roussel Y. et al. SARS-CoV-2: fear versus data, International Journal of Antimicrobial Agents (2020).

    [6] Dr. Ioannidis J.P.A. A fiasco in the making? As the coronavirus pandemic takes hold, we are making decisions without reliable data. www.statnews.com, March 17, 2020.

    [7] Dagorn G. Coronavirus : la France pratique-t-elle assez de tests ? Le Monde. March 20, 2020.

    [8] Kapek R. https://coronadaten.wordpress.com.

    [9] Gupta S. Fundamental principles of epidemic spread highlight the immediate need for large-scale serological surveys to assess the stage of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic. Link to download the draft in the following article: Cookson C. Coronavirus may have infected half of UK population -- Oxford study. Financial Times, March 24, 2020. https://www.ft.com/content/5ff6469a-6dd8-11ea-89df-41bea055720b

    [10] Li R. et al. Substancial undocumented infection facilitates the rapid dissemination of novel coronavirus (SARS-Co2). Science (2020).

    [11] Bhakdi S. Corona-Krise: Prof. Sucharit Bhakdi erklärt warum die Maßnahmen sinnlos und selbstzerstörerisch sind. YouTube Video. March 24, 2020. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JBB9bA-gXL4&feature=emb_logo

    [12] European Monitoring of Excess Mortality for Public Health Action https://www.euromomo.eu/outputs/number.html

    [13] Buda s. et al. Influenza Wochenbericht Kalenderwoche 13/2020. Robert Koch Institut. March 27, 2020.

    [14] Osterloh M. and Frey B. Coronavirus: Vergleiche sind wichtig. Gastkommentar Neue Zürcher Zeitung, March 12, 2020.

    [15] Bendavid E. and Bhattacharya J. Is the Coronavirus as Deadly as They Say? Wall Street Journal Editorial, March 24, 2020.

    [16] Istituto Nazionale di Statistica. Dataset sintetico con i decessi per settimana. https://www.istat.it/it/archivio/240401

    [17] EpiCentro. Characteristics of COVID-19 patients dying in Italy Report based on available data on March 20th, 2020. Istituto Superiore di Sanità.

    [18] Shah N. Higher co-infection rates in COVID19. Data shared at the request of the California Department of Public Health. Medium. March 18, 2020.

    [19] Newey S. Why have so many coronavirus patients died in Italy? The Telegraph, March 23, 2020.

    [20] Borrelli A. Dipartimento Protezione Civile. Conferenza stampa 20 marzo 2020 ore 18.00 – Coronavirus. YouTube Video (at 3.30 minutes), March 20, 2020. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0M4kbPDHGR0&feature=youtu.be&t=210

    [21] Istituto Nazionale di Statistica. I.Stat. Popolazione e famiglie – Mortalità – Decessi – Morti. http://dati.istat.it/Index.aspx?QueryId=19670

    [22] Synthesis on Interstitial lung disease on Wikipedia including detailed references. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Interstitial_lung_disease

    [23] Zhang C. et al. The cytokine release syndrome (CRS) of severe COVID-19 and Interleukin-6 receptor (IL-6R) antagonist Tocilizumab may be the key to reduce the mortality. International Journal of Antimicrobial Agents (2020).

    [24] Cannon W.B. „Voodoo" Death. American Anthropologist (1942)

    [25] Milton G.W. Self-willed death or the bone-pointing syndrome. The Lancet (1973)

    [26] Synthesis on Coronavirus on Wikipedia including detailed references. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coronavirus

    [27] Arentz M. Characteristics and outcomes of 21 critically ill patients with COVID-19 in Washington State. Journal of the American Medical Association (2020).

    [28] Moelling K. Viruses, more friends than foes. World Scientific Publishing, New Jersey London Singapore (2017).


    Rhisiart Gwilym ,

    Take a look at this cry from frontline medical staff at a Bergamo hospital. Does this sound like a psyop to you? Something pretty desperate seems to be happening in Lombardy, whatever the ultimate explanation may be. Can't just discount testimony like this:

    https://catalyst.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/CAT.20.0080

    Henriette ,

    https://www.youtube.com/embed/5CCVUc5ZMZo?version=3&rel=1&fs=1&autohide=2&showsearch=0&showinfo=1&iv_load_policy=1&wmode=transparent
    film done by 2 americans called Quarantiranny
    re : Imperial College of Medicine
    re : who or whats behind it

    John ErvIn ,

    WEDNESDAY OF HOLY WEEK UPDATE:

    The counties where I work or live most of the time, Orange and San Diego, contiguous and 120 miles of coastline, with a combined GDP of almost exactly a half trillion dollars, and each with almost identical populations, 3 million each, each of which is larger than over 20 U. S. States out of 50, released this fearsome figure of DEATH counts from (?) this killer flu:

    15 in Orange County

    31 in San Diego.

    (They think.)

    STOP THE PRESSES!!!!!!

    Find the Mega-Font for the global headlines.

    Would it be "QUARANTINES WORKING!!!"

    We should be so lucky.

    I have been quizzing a lot of people in my travels, and roughly 4 out of 5, or higher, think this whole thing is just a tragi-musical. A Soap Opera Psyop. A very police- styled security guard kicked me out of a parking lot at my high school yesterday. I told him I was parked under the solar panels to get shelter so I could use my portable stair stepper, as it was raining everywhere and I had no other access to exercise. He said, "District Orders, sorry. But I agree with you completely." Given that opening, I gave him a short paragraph pitch that this was an international Ponzi Scheme to crash the global economy, precisely like ENRON 2000, only worldwide. Suddenly the rain kicked up with a driving wind and he was getting drenched, but fascinated, not going anywhere. I took pity on him after 30 seconds of torrent, he said he was only 24 when I asked, but knew some about Enron. He wanted to keep listening, we were alone at my deserted HS of 1970 class, but he was standing outside my car getting soaked, so I overruled him, and he said, "Let me open the gate for you." It had been locked after I entered!

    A dyed-in-the-wool future Police Aademy graduate, if we last that long.

    It may be the wake-up call that's needed, or at least more advantageous. Only the born germaphobes seem to be holdouts to a California statewide citizen quorum .

    And even the faces that strike me as born ijjits are spouting a lot of sense ?!?!! What, The Flock?

    And *hearing* sense, like, for one featured example of mine: "Governmental Psyops".

    That SUDDENLY,

    SUDDENLY, I SAY

    Is not tinfoil hat public pity.

    Waking up, World?

    Now, just hoping we all don't wake up dead .

    San Francisco County was the first to totally shut down almost a month ago, or less. Or at least it enacted the first draconians of rules .

    9 deaths now, 25 days in . Scary. It's almost like death is becoming a regular terrorist event, some kind of serial killing.

    9 people were murdered here at a beauty salon ten years ago. It ruled the headlines for months, Worst crime in Seal Beach history".

    And now this! FIFTEEN KILLER FLU DEATHS.

    I was shouting (not very loudly) at the gerrymandered line at Walmart yesterday, "HOAX, HOAX". This petite debutante comes alongside saying "You are SO sick. People are DYING."

    I burst out laughing uncontrollably, and spluttered, "Wait! That just doesn't happen! You're trying to tell me that people DIE! I tell you the real problem here. The millions of your crowd are the biggest part of our problem. Silence of the SHEEPLE! Baaaasasahhh."

    She continued to glare at me steely-eyed like my Commanding Officer, and I said, "Call the cops! I'd rather die or be tortured than this! Call the cops! Turn me in!"

    She was still on her high horse, or cart, pushing into the store, but I saw her getting wipes later, and she looked seriously conflicted. But chastened.

    I felt bad, but like maybe she was at least searching for that other brain cell to rub together!

    We can use all of them, now.

    Meanwhile, we can't attend Holy Thursday tomorrow, at any church, for the first time in my lifetime.

    Days of Obligation, cancelled.

    Maybe that's one big prong of their multi-pronged global attack .

    Worldwide denial of the Eucharist

    That thought struck me Day 1.

    Pawel ,

    The authors don't know the difference between Mortality Rate and Case Fatality Rate (CFR) and on top of that seem to think that 'C' in CFR stands for crude and the words like 'mortality' and 'fatality' are exchangeable :). Maybe in everyday language but not in statistics and serious medical literature. The piece is overall ok, but their lack of understanding these basic differences makes the entire article look very amateurish.

    In general they should switch from Mortality Rate to Fatality Rate throughout the entire article but not everywhere! Yes, they got that confused.

    The editor or whoever allowed this piece to be published here should familiarize himself with those terms.

    Helpful link here: https://www.britannica.com/science/case-fatality-rate

    MICHELE K. FIRTH ,

    This well-argued article is such a breath of fresh air. Here in Spain the results of the lockdown are awful – fearful, isolated people, violence against those who go outside, and completely bewildering official figures which, if true, only show how useless it is to lock people indoors, often in tiny flats.

    And where is the quantification of the suffering that the complete destruction of our economies will produce? Not to mention the horrendous treatment of old people who, when they are dying, should have kind, palliative care, not be scared witless with Star Wars-type masks and intubation.

    Shaking My Head ,

    Have you seen any doctors/scientists/etc. publicly dissenting?

    Voz ZeroBel ,

    In Spain I don't know, but in Portugal ZERO.

    Petra Liverani ,

    I'm a little dubious about various aspects of this article including the authors. While Daniel Jeanmonod is a highly-esteemed neurosurgeon, coronaviruses would not seem to be in his field.

    According to her staff bio on Polarstern, a communication agency supporting companies and organisations committed to ecological, social and economic sustainability, Roxanne Jeanmonod, presumably Daniel's daughter, was a physiotherapist and is now in charge of administration at Polarstern and Coworking Space Loreto. She's also listed on the company site of her father as a Financial Consultant.

    Francis Neirynck is a Civil Engineer so it is difficult to see any reason at all he would be a contributor to this article.

    A feature of psychological operations is "controlled opposition" often in the form of experts and another feature is conflicting information. Two seeming experts who comment on this site, Tony and VirusGuy, say that a specific coronavirus cannot be isolated while this article speaks of SARS-CoV-2 as if it can be isolated and tested for.

    It's a psyop folks. In psyops, they don't do things for real unless they want them for real. They don't want or need a virus and couldn't make it behave in the way they wanted it to anyway. There is no virus out of the ordinary and there is certainly no pandemic.

    Best guess is that all they can test for is "coronavirus" and they are presumptively labelling anything "coronavirus" as COVID-19. I very much doubt the existence of SARS-CoV-1 (the SARS pandemic) or SARS-CoV-2 – I'd say just like this alleged pandemic the SARS pandemic was a psyop too, as were MERS, Zika and Ebola.

    wardropper ,

    On the other hand, the common cold is not in the specialist field of most of us, yet we know a heck of a lot about it, simply through personal experience. Similarly, the fact that I don't know a single person who has CoVid19 – (nor does my wife) tells its own story, and it puts a lot of what we hear into perspective.

    Portonchok ,

    While Daniel Jeanmonod is a highly-esteemed neurosurgeon, coronaviruses would not seem to be in his field.

    I'd prefer this version:
    While Petra Liverani is allegedly a highly-esteemed PSYOPS disinfo agent, coronaviruses would not seem to be in her field.

    Voz ZeroBel ,

    Hello Unfortunately to me, your article doesn't offer nothing new!

    I've been writing and saying that for months now. I wrote to the politicians to the president (of Portugal!) but FEAR and PANIC fueled by IGNORANCE is very difficult to fight especially for someone like me that doesn't carry a college title.

    Even you guys are probably in the same situation, because they don't care about what you write and say, even though you guys carry a college title!

    I've made a picture describing the Reality of what we are .

    Just like with SARS-CoV-1 in about 2 years time NO ONE WILL CARE about the deaths it causes.

    Keep up the good work. Watch out for the Herd in Panic Mode!

    Best Regards

    Estaugh ,

    >> https://153news.net/watch_video.php?v=WNK8D9658NBX <>

    https://player.vimeo.com/video/403629258

    <<

    Grafter ,

    All politician's wages should be reduced by 75%. The "health experts" who are advising them should follow a similar fate whether "working from home" or not. They are the ringleaders of this fear campaign of misinformation over a virus which is being publicised as something similar to the Black Death.

    wardropper ,

    Needless to say, nobody has the courage to reduce any politician's wages, and the most corrupt of them will continue to receive the highest wages.
    Oops double posted

    different frank ,

    https://www.youtube.com/embed/bIiCjhCBDaM?version=3&rel=1&fs=1&autohide=2&showsearch=0&showinfo=1&iv_load_policy=1&wmode=transparent

    wardropper ,

    I know, Petra, but
    Here we are, "calling out" this event, as you encourage us to do.
    The response: Silence.
    We need an effective outlet, however much OffG cheers us up with real information.

    Gall ,

    The writers over at Anti-Empire are calling it a "mind virus" which seems appropriate.

    John ErvIn ,

    There is a very seminal documentary at YouTube which rocked my world and reconfigured my entire perspective about 9 years ago, PSYWAR, by Zeitgeist Films, with the tagline: "The Real Battlefield is the Mind."

    It has must-know info for everyone who knows a bit about the Age of the Mind Virus.

    As I shall now call it.

    (The co-producer of the film is a real keeper name: "I Am the Mob")

    John ,

    Population of the USA 332,000,000
    Annual normal death rate 2,712,000
    Monthly death rate 226,000
    Daily rate 7,500

    Source: CIA World Fact book

    [Apr 08, 2020] 06 April 2020 at 05:10 PM

    Apr 08, 2020 | turcopolier.typepad.com
    div The hysteria about a "health ID card" or whatever people call it is overblown. Vaccines don't make money for anyone. Four general points.

    1. The hysteria about a "health ID card" or whatever people call it is overblown. International travelers used to carry exactly that - a yellow health certificate that listed all your immunizations - which used (circa 1956) to be compulsory for international travel (typhoid, cholera, smallpox and perhaps yellow fever). We carried them with our passports. They are nothing new. We could easily roll out an App, like China has, that indicates your health status and use it to control the winding back of the lockdown.

    2. The use of social distancing is 500 years old. The idea that it's something dreamed by leftist globalists is BS.

    3. The rules and practices for ship quarantine are also at least 200 years old and the word itself comes from the fourteenth century Venetian word for forty days - the quarantine period they observed back then. So the hoohaa we are getting from the likes of Carnival lines (who could have known, etc.) is BS.

    4. Vaccines don't make money for anyone. That is because they are cheap to produce and most doses will be administered for free by public health agencies to poor people in third world countries for diseases such as typhoid, Cholera, TB, etc. The result of that situation is that worldwide there are relatively few manufacturers. It's not a sexy, high margin business at all. From memory, tests are similarly not a high margin business. The bulk of pharmaceutical investment goes into treatments for diseases and conditions of rich western lifestyles. That is where the money is. That is also why you suddenly find yourself dependent on Chinese and Indian suppliers for stuff such as Chloroquine.

    My conclusion is that the idea that Bill Gates or anyone else would see vaccine development as an attractive investment is ludicrous.

    [Apr 08, 2020] COVID-19 The Bigger Picture Hiding Behind the Virus by JonathanCook

    Apr 06, 2020 | consortiumnews.com

    Agents outside our control with their own vested interests – politicians, the media, business – construct reality, much as a film-maker designs a movie, says Jonathan Cook.

    Is it possible that only a few weeks ago our priorities were just a little divorced from a bigger reality? That what appeared to be the big picture was not actually big enough? That maybe we should have been thinking about even more important, pressing matters – systemic ones like the threat of a pandemic of the very kind we are currently enduring?

    Because while we were all thinking about Russiagate or Trump or Brexit, there were lots of experts – even the Pentagon , it seems – warning of just such a terrible calamity and urging that preparations be made to avoid it. We are in the current mess precisely because those warnings were ignored or given no attention – not because the science was doubted, but because there was no will to do something to avert the threat.

    https://www.youtube.com/embed/E3URhJx0NSw

    If we reflect, it is possible to get a sense of two things. First, that our attention rarely belongs to us; it is the plaything of others. And second, that the "real world", as it is presented to us, rarely reflects anything we might usefully be able to label as objective reality. It is a set of political, economic and social priorities that have been manufactured for us.

    Agents outside our control with their own vested interests – politicians, the media, business – construct reality, much as a film-maker designs a movie. They guide our gaze in certain directions and not others.

    A Critical Perspective

    At a moment like this of real crisis, one that overshadows all else, we have a chance – though only a chance – to recognize this truth and develop our own critical perspective. A perspective that truly belongs to us, and not to others.

    Think back to the old you, the pre-coronavirus you. Were your priorities the same as your current ones?

    This is not to say that the things you prioritize now – in this crisis – are necessarily any more "yours" than the old set of priorities.

    If you're watching the TV or reading newspapers – and who isn't – you're probably feeling scared, either for yourself or for your loved ones. All you can think about is the coronavirus. Nothing else really seems that important by comparison. And all you can hope for is the moment when the lockdowns are over and life returns to normal.

    "Paradoxically, a craving for the old-normal may mean we are prepared to submit to a new-normal that could permanently deny us any chance of returning to the old-normal."

    But that's not objectively the "real world" either. Terrible as the coronavirus is, and as right as anyone is to be afraid of the threat it poses, those "agents of authority" are again directing and controlling our gaze, though at least this time those in authority include doctors and scientists. And they are guiding our attention in ways that serve their interests – for good or bad.

    Endless tallies of infections and deaths, rocketing graphs, stories of young people, along with the elderly, battling for survival serve a purpose: to make sure we stick to the lockdown, that we maintain social distancing, that we don't get complacent and spread the disease.

    Here our interests – survival, preventing hospitals from being overwhelmed – coincide with those of the establishment, the "agents of authority." We want to live and prosper, and they need to maintain order, to demonstrate their competence, to prevent dissatisfaction bubbling up into anger or open revolt.

    Crowded Out By Detail

    But again the object of our attention is not as much ours as we may believe. While we focus on graphs, while we twitch the curtains to see if neighbors are going for a second run or whether families are out in the garden celebrating a birthday distant from an elderly parent, we are much less likely to be thinking about how well the crisis is being handled. The detail, the mundane is again crowding out the important, the big picture.

    Our current fear is an enemy to our developing and maintaining a critical perspective. The more we are frightened by graphs, by deaths, the more we are likely to submit to whatever we are told will keep us safe.

    Under cover of the public's fear, and of justified concerns about the state of the economy and future employment, countries like the U.S. are transferring huge sums of public money to the biggest corporations. Politicians controlled by big business and media owned by big business are pushing through this corporate robbery without scrutiny – and for reasons that should be self-explanatory. They know our attention is too overwhelmed by the virus for us to assess intentionally mystifying arguments about the supposed economic benefits, about yet more illusory trickle-down.

    https://www.youtube.com/embed/_UVqWxAOXaE

    There are many other dramatic changes being introduced, almost too many and too rapidly for us to follow them properly. Bans on movement . Intensified surveillance . Censorship . The transfer of draconian powers to the police, and preparations for the deployment of soldiers on streets. Detention without trial . Martial law . Measures that might have terrified us when Trump was our main worry, or Brexit, or Russia, may now seem a price worth paying for a "return to normality".

    Paradoxically, a craving for the old-normal may mean we are prepared to submit to a new-normal that could permanently deny us any chance of returning to the old-normal.

    The point is not just that things are far more provisional than most of us are ready to contemplate; it's that our window on what we think of as "the real world", as "normal", is almost entirely manufactured for us.

    Distracted By the Virus

    Strange as this may sound right now, in the midst of our fear and suffering, the pandemic is not really the big picture either. Our attention is consumed by the virus, but it is, in a truly awful sense, a distraction too.

    In a few more years, maybe sooner than we imagine, we will look back on the virus – with the benefit of distance and hindsight – and feel the same way about it we do now about Putin, or Trump, or Brexit.

    It will feel part of our old selves, our old priorities, a small part of a much bigger picture, a clue to where we were heading, a portent we did not pay attention to when it mattered most.

    The virus is one small warning – one among many – that we have been living out of sync with the natural world we share with other life. Our need to control and dominate, our need to acquire, our need for security, our need to conquer death – they have crowded out all else. We have followed those who promised quick, easy solutions, those who refused to compromise, those who conveyed authority, those who spread fear, those who hated.

    If only we could redirect our gaze, if we could seize back control of our attention for a moment, we might understand that we are being plagued not just by a virus but by our fear, our hate, our hunger, our selfishness. The evidence is there in the fires, the floods and the disease, in the insects that have disappeared, in the polluted seas, in the stripping of the planet's ancient lungs, its forests, in the melting ice-caps.

    The big picture is hiding in plain sight, no longer obscured by issues like Russia and Brexit but now only by the most microscopic germ, marking the thin boundary between life and death.

    Jonathan Cook is a freelance journalist based in Nazareth.

    This article is from his blog Jonathan Cook.net .

    The views expressed are solely those of the author and may or may not reflect those of Consortium News.

    [Apr 08, 2020] WATCH Perspectives on the Pandemic #2

    Notable quotes:
    "... We were moved to tears and ready to go to war when they told us about those non-existent "Kuwaiti incubator babies" that Iraqi soldiers were throwing on the cold hard ground to die – but weren't! ..."
    "... "I'm not paid by the [corporation] government, so I'm entitled to actually do science." Says it all. ..."
    Apr 08, 2020 | off-guardian.org

    The Interviewer : John Kirby is the director of FOUR DIED TRYING, a feature documentary and series on the major assassinations of the 1960's and their calamitous impact on the country. To join the struggle for justice for Dr. King, Malcolm X, and John and Robert Kennedy.

    The Interviewee: Professor Knut Wittkowski was head of The Rockefeller University's Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Research Design for 20 years.

    https://www.youtube.com/embed/lGC5sGdz4kg

    Journeyman Pictures sits down with Prof Knut Wittkowski to discuss lockdowns, social-distancing and the best way to handle the spread of a new disease.


    Dennis Brown ,

    Another superb contribution by Off Guardian.

    In Canada, according to the Covid-19 Daily E.P.I Update of April 7th there have been 17,046 confirmed cases out of a total population in Canada of 37.6M.

    344 have died.

    62% of all reported hospitalizations, 62% reported I.C.U. admissions , and 92% of deaths occurred among individuals 60-79 years of age. 73% of hospitalized cases reported having one or more pre-existing conditions.

    The data in Canada , at least, seems to conform very closely to Prof. Knut Wittkowski's hypothesis in this video. What a outrage that this information is being deliberately ignored by the mainstream media!

    Thank you again Off Guardian for providing this vitally needed information.

    Fair dinkum ,

    Oligarchs and their underlings (politicians and corporate types) love to hold court, particularly over a banquet at their preferred eating establishments. With most of these establishments closed due to lockdowns, where are the parasites dining?

    Do they have five star glutton rooms hidden away? Will they tire of take away meals? How can they strut their stuff without the requisite surroundings? It's a problem that must keep them awake at night.

    Gary Weglarz ,

    We were moved to tears and ready to go to war when they told us about those non-existent "Kuwaiti incubator babies" that Iraqi soldiers were throwing on the cold hard ground to die – but weren't!

    We were paralyzed and terrified when they told us that steel and concrete buildings can simply vaporize into billowing dust clouds in mid- air – so we in America gladly became in effect a surveillance police state complete with torture chambers.

    We were filled with anger and fear when they told us about those non-existent Iraqi weapons of mass destruction about to obliterate us at any moment but, uhh, it appears in retrospect they didn't happen to exist in this particular universe that we currently inhabit! Perhaps in another dimension?

    We were revolted and filled with outrage when they told us about Gaddafi's non-existent "viagra fueled rape camps" – just before we turned Libya into rubble and an open slave market – "in order to save the women" – who weren't being raped in non-existent viagra fueled rape camps. Many admire Hillary because she valiantly stood with those women, who weren't being raped, in those non-existent rape camps – and Hillary of course could not contain her glee when publicly discussing the murder of a head of state and the destruction of an entire nation – cackling like the psychopath that she is.

    We were repulsed when they told us about Assad's deranged non-existent gas attacks on his own people done for "kicks" no less – as the valiant White Helmeted jihadist crazies we in the West supported fearlessly slaughtered innocent civilians – well, let's not talk about that right now – let's focus on something upbeat, like those film awards the White Helmets got for their feature length – "documentary" – entered in the "complete freaking fantasy" category – always a Hollywood favorite.

    And we were no doubt all moved to loathing and contempt and to deranged Cold War deja vu fervor when they told us for three straight years that – "Russia hacked American democracy" – installing in office an orange haired, gonad grabbing, "Putin Puppet!" Surely there is a good reason they then gave said "Putin Puppet" renewed "Patriot Act" powers and more military spending money than he asked for – all in such defiance of rational thought and argument that it should make one's head hurt. Alas, here in America the ability to experience cognitive dissonance appears to have evaporated among the masses simultaneously with the loss of critical thinking abilities.

    So buoyed by this brief trip down memory lane we should quite naturally all credulously believe Western MSM and our political class now as they tell us that "they" – (err, uhh, I mean "the virus") – crashed the global economy – leading them to then have no choice but to bail out our wealthiest corporations and our biggest banks – "for our own good" – of course, well, it goes without saying doesn't it?

    And unfortunately they now will have to keep us all under house arrest until this all blows over – "for our own good!" I mean it is certainly only "for our own good" that they don't want to risk another Occupy Wall Street insurrection, or want to take the risk that the Yellow Vests might start building working guillotines in every village and every neighborhood in Paris.

    I mean and sure it may kind of look bad that American elites have continued to use amoral sanctions to brutalize, starve and kill the poor in Iran, Venezuela, Nicaragua, Yemen and elsewhere – WHILE they are showing their vast concern for the rest of us by placing us under house arrest, but let's face it – "it is for those poor people's own good," I mean their starvation and dying of course, because we have to regime-change those folks governments "in order to save them." Or something like that.

    I mean think about it, what have our elites ever done to cause us to so much as question their humanitarian values and actions? Ok, ok, that half million dead Iraqi children "are worth it" shtick wasn't their best PR moment, but hey, they obviously "meant well" by killing a half a million kids -- right? I mean I'm sure they had their "reasons." Just like they have their reasons for killing poor people all around the world every day.

    – I must confess that I am absolutely stunned and disheartened by how few people I know who are so much as registering even a faint whiff of skepticism about what is happening globally, and the narratives being spun by MSM and the political class. I know so few who are asking even the most basic and fundamental questions about our so called "pandemic," our lock down, and our collective loss of liberties – even among those who didn't swallow the propaganda narratives on Russiagate or Syria. Instead we appear to have a massive segment of the American population simply willing to allow the same amoral always lying war-criminal media and political class – (which ALWAYS serve elite interests) – to "tell them how to think" and "what to think" and "how high" to jump – and now even "when they can leave their own home." An absolutely stunning level of obedience – to say the least.

    Maxwell ,

    "I'm not paid by the [corporation] government, so I'm entitled to actually do science." Says it all.

    Shaking My Head ,

    I am not some kind of anti-government conservative at all, but I do think the dependencies academics, doctors, and scientists have on what can be very uncertain government funding is the reason why I haven't seen any loud critical voices from them in Canada. All the scholars whether of humanities or law, where are they in denouncing an obvious transformation into a police state? All the talk about 'civil liberties' over the years and how they must be protected, where did all of that go? Not one peep these last weeks! And as for doctors and scientists, why aren't there are any like the Germans such as Sucharit Bhakdi or Wolfgang Wodarg or Knut Wittkowski, or Americans such as John Ioannidis, Jay Bhattacharya, Michael Levitt, (John/Jay/Michael all at Stanford), Shiva Ayyadurai (I'm a bit suspicious of his political aspirations though). And there are other Germans I saw mentioned in the experts article on Off-Guardian or Swiss Propaganda Research article. Yet in Canada, it's total silence. But if you look on Twitter, there are a number of everyday people from the US and UK who are criticizing the phoniness and deception as they see it. So if the common people can call things out, where are the others with more status and reach? It's sickening.

    Sam ,

    I've been thinking this since this all blew up. Bhattacharya said (in this interview) that he got a deal of backlash from colleagues over his WSJ article raising questions about the fatality estimates: he was told to "get with the program". Groupthink is very powerful today, more powerful than I remember in my lifetime, and few will buck the party line. It's indeed sickening and disturbing.

    Ken ,

    But as self-appointed lord and emperor of the world, Bill Gates, has said we can't have herd immunity.

    Shaking My Head ,

    Bill Gates has recently been granted some very accommodating interviews all of a sudden. Here he is with Trevor Noah operating as a good PR rep: https://twitter.com/21WIRE/status/1246577506309857280 And here he was on PBS News Hour today: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/bill-gates-on-outlook-for-a-covid-19-vaccine-and-where-pandemic-will-hurt-most Not a single tough question about anything towards him. Maybe he funds PBS directly or indirectly. This is so fishy.

    Shaking My Head ,

    Bill Gates has also donated to Imperial College (I saw a comment stating he was the biggest donor but I didn't have time to research that): https://philanthropynewsdigest.org/news/gates-foundation-awards-35-million-for-mosquito-research "With its latest award of $35 million, the foundation has now invested a total of $75 million in the Target Malaria project, which is based at Imperial College, London"

    [Apr 07, 2020] Flu Season That's Sickened 26 Million May Be at Its Peak

    Apr 07, 2020 | www.usnews.com

    At least 14,000 people have died and 250,000 have already been hospitalized during the 2019-2020 flu season, according to estimates from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. More than 26 million Americans have fallen ill with flu-like symptoms.

    "There is a deadly respiratory virus that is circulating throughout the United States, and it is at its peak. It is not novel coronavirus," said Dr. Pritish Tosh, an infectious disease specialist with the Mayo Clinic, in Rochester, Minn.

    This flu season has come in two waves and has been particularly hard on children, the experts said.

    The season started early, in October, with an unusual wave of influenza B virus.

    Influenza B is less likely than other strains to mutate and become more virulent. That means it poses a greater threat to young people than to older folks, who may have gained immunity because they encountered the strain before.

    The percentage of deaths attributed to flu and pneumonia currently is 6.8%, which is below the epidemic threshold of 7.3% , according to the CDC.

    [Apr 06, 2020] Difficulties of computing real COVID-19 mortality

    Apr 06, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Leser , Apr 6 2020 8:07 utc | 158

    C1ue @91: why the exponential growth observed now if the virus has been around for months? The numbers you see reported is cased discovered by testing. Testing is what ramps up exponentially now. The % of tested people showing the virus is only very mildly growing. In other words, the underlying base of infected is large and relatively stable as part of the total population. The more you test, the more you find.

    Tom @151: "covid causing nerve damage" . That's conjecture stemming from the fact that all test-positive deceased are declared covid victims, including those without symptoms. Rather than state the correct cause of death for almost all those deaths (old age - average age 81 of corona deaths in Italy, 99% with one or multiple chronic diseases, dehydration of care patients whose staff ran back to their Eastern European homes under the panic of border closures, hospitals overwhelmed like every flu winter and now compounded by panic, doctors stuck at home looking after their children), new unseen ways of covid killing are invented.

    [Apr 06, 2020] Statistically COVID-19 is just blip on the screen

    Apr 06, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    frances , Apr 5 2020 17:46 utc | 31

    Of 200,000 people die in the US with COVID-19 out of a population of 330 million people that is 0.06% of the population. That is to say a six hundredths of a percent chance of dying from the virus. Destroying the economy and losing our rights for a 0.06% chance of dying is not reasonable.

    And worldwide, Covid-19 Worldwide deaths as of April 4th, 64,518 divided by 7,000,000,000 world population. = 9.21 millionths of one percent. Corona virus, Covid-19, is IMO an orchestrated hysteria.

    Consider:
    World Health Organization: Yearly Death Rate Comparisons
    • Influenza (Various): 290 000 to 650 000 respiratory deaths
    • Cholera: 21 000 to 143 000 deaths
    • Malaria: 405 000 deaths (2018)
    • Typhoid: 128 000 and 161 000 deaths.
    • HIV-related causes: 770 000 deaths (2018)
    • Measles: 140 000 people died (2018) – mostly children under the age of 5
    • Pneumonia: 808 694 children deaths under 5 years in 2017.
    • Drowning: 320 000 deaths
    • Road Traffic Crashes: 1.35 million deaths

    This is EVERY year.

    [Apr 06, 2020] Covid19 Death Figures "A Substantial Over-Estimate" by Kit Knightly

    Notable quotes:
    "... What has happened to the British working class ethos of never believing the authorities? Where I live they're more likely to grass you up than question anything. ..."
    "... Also if someone has to go to emergency for other reasons: heart attack, stroke, even a broken leg, if the conditions there are worsened by excess patients who should not be there, they too being weak, may catch some infection, which could in their case due to the secondary issues make them worse, and give them severe breathing issues and so on, which in a normal year they would avoid, because excess contagious patients are not crowded in hospitals when they dont need to be in hospital. ..."
    Apr 05, 2020 | off-guardian.org

    Covid19 Death Figures "A Substantial Over-Estimate" Bizarre guidelines from health authorities around the world are potentially including thousands of deceased patients who were never even tested Kit Knightly

    A few weeks ago we reported that, according to the Italian Institute of Health (ISS), only 12% of Italy's reported Covid19 deaths actually listed Covid19 as the cause of death .

    Given that 99% of them had at least one serious co-morbidity (and that 80% of them had two such diseases) this raised serious questions as to the reliability of Italy's reported statistics.

    Prof Walter Ricciardi, advisor to Italy's health minister, explained this was caused by the "generous" way the Italian government handles death certificates:

    The way in which we code deaths in our country is very generous in the sense that all the people who die in hospitals with the coronavirus are deemed to be dying of the coronavirus.

    Essentially, Italy's death registration process does not differentiate between those who simply have the virus in their body , and those who are actually killed by it .

    Given the amount of fear and panic Italy's comparatively alarming numbers caused around the world, you would think other nations would be eager to avoid these same mistakes.

    Surely all the other countries of the world are employing rigorous standards for delineating who has, and has not, fallen victim to the pandemic, right?

    Wrong.

    In fact, rather than learning from Italy's example, other countries are not only repeating these mistakes but going even further.

    In Germany, for example, though overall deaths and case-fatality ratio are far lower than Italy's, their public health agency is still engaging in similar practice.

    On March 20th the President of Germany's Robert Koch Institute confirmed that Germany counts any deceased person who was infected with coronavirus as a Covid19 death, whether or not it actually caused death.

    This totally ignores what Dr Sucharit Bhakdi calls the vital distinction between "infection" and "disease", leading to stories such as this, shared by Dr Hendrik Streeck :

    In Heinsberg, for example, a 78-year-old man with previous illnesses died of heart failure, and that was without Sars-2 lung involvement. Since he was infected, he naturally appears in the Covid 19 statistics.

    How many "Covid19 deaths" in Germany, fall into this bracket? We don't know, and will likely never know.

    But at least Germany is actually limiting itself to test positive cases.

    In the United States, a briefing note from the CDC's National Vital Statistics Service read as follows [our emphasis]:

    It is important to emphasise that Coronavirus Disease 19, or Covid-19, should be reported for all decedents where the disease caused or is presumed to have caused or contributed to death.

    "Presumed to have caused"? "Contributed"? That's incredibly soft language, which could easily lead to over-reporting.

    The referenced detailed "guidance" was released April 3rd , and is no better [again, our emphasis]:

    In cases where a definite diagnosis of COVID–19 cannot be made, but it is suspected or likely (e.g., the circumstances are compelling within a reasonable degree of certainty), it is acceptable to report COVID–19 on a death certificate as "probable" or "presumed." In these instances, certifiers should use their best clinical judgement in determining if a COVID–19 infection was likely.

    Are careful records being kept to separate "Covid-19" from "presumed Covid-19"? Are the media making sure they respect the distinction in their reporting?

    Absolutely not.

    Whenever the alleged casualties are referenced we are fed one large all-inclusive number, without context or explanation, which – thanks to lax reporting guidelines – could be entirely false.

    Government agencies all across the UK are doing the same thing.

    Northern Ireland's HSC Public Health Agency is releasing weekly surveillance bulletins on the pandemic, in those reports they define a "Covid19 death" as :

    individuals who have died within 28 days of first positive result, whether or not COVID-19 was the cause of death

    NHS England's Office of National Statistics releases weekly reports on nation-wide mortality. Its latest report (Week 12 – March 14th-20th) was released on March 31st and made special mention of Covid19, explaining they were going to c hange the way they report the numbers in future .

    The ONS system is predicated on the registration of deaths. Meaning they count, not the number of people who die every week, but the number of deaths registered per week. This, naturally, leads to slight delays in the recording of numbers as the registration process can take a few days.

    However, with coronavirus deaths, since its a "national emergency", they are now including "provisional figures" which will be "included in the dataset in subsequent weeks". This leaves them wide open to – either accidentally or deliberately – reporting the same deaths twice . Once "provisionally", and then once "officially" a week later.

    That's just one peculiar policy decision. There are many others.

    Up until now, the ONS reported those Covid19 numbers collated by the Department of Health and Social Care (DHSC). The DHSC records only those who died in hospital and have tested positive for the coronavirus as Covid19 deaths.

    BUT, from now on, the ONS will also include Covid19 deaths "in the community" in their statistics. That "includes those not tested for Covid19" and where " suspected Covid19″ [our emphasis] is presumed to be a "contributory factor".

    Here are some screencaps of the relevant sections :

    The official NHS guidance for doctors filling out death certificates is just as vague [our emphasis]:

    if before death the patient had symptoms typical of COVID19 infection, but the test result has not been received, it would be satisfactory to give 'COVID-19' as the cause of death, and then share the test result when it becomes available. In the circumstances of there being no swab, it is satisfactory to apply clinical judgement .

    The government is telling doctors it is OK to list "Covid-19" as a cause of death when there is literally no evidence the deceased was infected . That means there are potentially huge numbers of "Covid19 deaths" that were never even tested for the disease.

    Further, any possible mistakes will never be noticed or rectified, thanks to recent changes to the law.

    Usually, any death attributed to a "notifiable disease" had to be referred to a coroner for a jury hearing.

    Under UK law Covid19 is a "notifiable disease", but the new Coronavirus Bill alters the Coroners and Justice Act 2009 , to specifically exempt alleged Covid19 deaths from jury inquests .

    Further, according to the office of the Chief Coroner , the Coronavirus Bill means that these deaths don't have to be referred to a coroner at all , and that medical practitioners can sign off a cause of death for a body they have never even seen :

    Any registered medical practitioner can sign an MCCD [Medical Certificate for Cause of Death], even if the deceased was not attended during their last illness and not seen after death, provided that they are able to state the cause of death to the best of their knowledge and belief.

    Deaths "in the community" can be listed as Covid19 deaths without being tested for the disease, or even seen by a doctor at all . These deaths will not necessarily be referred to a coroner, and certainly not heard by a jury.

    By enacting this legislation the UK government has not only made false reporting of Covid19 deaths more likely , they actively removed the safeguards designed to correct it. Recording accurate fatality numbers in this situation is borderline impossible.

    This is, at best, totally irresponsible and at worst incredibly sinister.

    Now, before you roll your eyes at the whacky alternate media and their crazy paranoia, the idea deaths are being over-estimated is not a fringe concept or a "conspiracy theory". It is actually addressed in the mainstream frequently, people just seem to not hear it, drowned out as it is by the fear-inducing headlines.

    Dr John Lee, a professor of pathology and retired consulting pathologist with the NHS, wrote in a column for the Spectator :

    Why Covid-19 deaths are a substantial over-estimate

    Many UK health spokespersons have been careful to repeatedly say that the numbers quoted in the UK indicate death with the virus, not death due to the virus – this matters.
    [ ]
    This nuance is crucial ­– not just in understanding the disease, but for understanding the burden it might place on the health service in coming days. Unfortunately, nuance tends to be lost in the numbers quoted from the database being used to track Covid-19
    [ ]
    This data is not standardised and so probably not comparable, yet this important caveat is seldom expressed by the (many) graphs we see. It risks exaggerating the quality of data that we have.

    In fact, Dr Lee goes out of his way to emphasise:

    The distinction between dying 'with' Covid-19 and dying 'due to' Covid-19 is not just splitting hairs.

    The BBC dealt with the same issue in an article on April 1st [again, emphasis ours]:

    The death figures being reported daily are hospital cases where a person dies with the coronavirus infection in their body – because it is a notifiable disease cases have to be reported.

    But what the figures do not tell us is to what extent the virus is causing the death.

    It could be the major cause, a contributory factor or simply present when they are dying of something else.

    These absurd rules contributed to this recent example, referenced in the BBC article, but not widely reported at the time:

    An 18-year-old in Coventry tested positive for coronavirus the day before he died and was reported as its youngest victim at the time. But the hospital subsequently released a statement saying his death had been due to a separate "significant" health condition and not connected to the virus.

    This story is completely true. The boy was widely reported as the UK's "youngest coronavirus victim" on March 24th , before the hospital issued a statement saying:

    [The hospital] had tested for COVID-19 on the day before he died, but this was not linked to his reason for dying.

    Despite the hospital correcting the press, the case was still being reported in the tabloids a week later on March 31st .

    However, the important detail here is being lost: Going by the current NHS rules, despite the hospital officially saying it was not his cause of death, this boy is still part of the official coronavirus fatality statistics.

    How many more people fit that profile? We will never know.

    *

    Italy, Germany, the United States, Northern Ireland and England.

    That's five different governments, across four countries, all essentially saying it's OK to just assume a patient died of Covid19, and then add that to the official statistics.

    Is that really responsible practice during a potential pandemic?

    Are any other countries doing the same?

    To what extent can we trust any official death statistics at all, at this point?

    As Dr Lee points out, Covid19 is not a disease that presents with a unique – or even rare – collection of symptoms. The range of severity and type of presentation is in line with literally dozens of extremely common respiratory infections.

    You cannot see "fever" and "cough" and then diagnose "probable covid19" with even the slightest chance of accuracy.

    This has become one of those nuggets of information we all know by heart, but between 290000 and 650000 people die of flu, or "flu like illness", every year. If just 10% of those cases are incorrectly assumed to be "probable" coronavirus infections, then the fatality numbers are totally useless.

    At a time when good, reliable information is key to saving lives and preventing mass-panic, global governments are pursuing policies which make it near-impossible to collect that data, whilst stoking public fear.

    Due to these policies, the simple fact is we have no reliable way of knowing how many people have died from this coronavirus . We have no hard data at all. And governments and international organisations are going out of their way to keep it that way.

    It's time we started asking why.


    Grafter ,

    A must see on what is about to happen. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5CCVUc5ZMZo

    lundiel ,

    What has happened to the British working class ethos of never believing the authorities? Where I live they're more likely to grass you up than question anything.

    Seamus Padraig ,

    You know what I think? You know how economist John Williams has that website shadowstats.com , where he shows you what the real unemployment and inflation figures would be if the government and the media didn't lie? Well, I think there should a shadowstats for Corona virus infection figures, too.

    tonyopmoc ,

    "It's time we started asking why."

    The answer is quite simple. The "Authorities" are doing the exact reverse of what they are claiming to do. I don't necessarily blame them, because they are brainwashed too, as are the vast majority across most of the world.

    They are trying to kill most of us off, and I think they are highly likely to succeed.

    This used to be a crazy conspiracy theory – which even I didn't take seriously.

    The Georgia Guidestones (1980) are hardly Stonehenge "Maintain humanity under 500,000,000 in perpetual balance with nature.", and have always been dismissed on the basis, that the USA contains some very rich and powerful religious nutters, but it seems we completely underestimated how powerful they are. The "elite" Malthusians are almost certainly of British origin.

    I never thought they could pull this off on a world wide basis, but they have. They have succeeded in terrorising almost everyone.

    It's not COVID – The Coronavirus that will do it, but the panic reaction to it, and the total crashing of the world wide economy. Supply lines are certain to break down, and in fact already have done for the most vulnerable.

    Not only do I see little if any resistance to this madness, most people are fully engaged and a part of it.

    The only response I have to it, is to become as self sufficient as possible, by digging up my garden to grow food. Most people think I am nuts, and think everything will be back to normal in a few weeks time, but the people in control, would not have crashed the entire world economy in pursuit of their Malthusian Agenda, to give up after a few weeks, when their well designed plans, all based on the most powerful psychological techniques are working so well, just as they envisaged, and game tested starting of course with 9/11 – where most people still believe the official story, which is literally impossible, because it does not conform with the most basic laws of physics and maths.

    Tony

    Willem ,

    Here is an idea

    1) Test everyone who according to the triage system should be tested on covid19 with PCR

    2) distinguish pcr+ vs pcr- negative and follow both groups over time (for example 28 days)

    3) then see which group dies more often: the pcr positive group or the positive negative group

    4) the relative risk will then show the excess risk of pcr positive Covid 19 vs Covid 19 negative cases

    I am surprised that this research has not been done yet. It is plain and simple but apparantly nobody cares about a comparison group. And that is weird, as in normal circumstances you always compare with your competing neighbor, football club, fellow student, etc. But for Covid19 comparisons don't matter. The mortality rate is just high (compared to what?)

    Mucho ,

    Last night on Steven Nolan, quite early on in the show, a genuine NHS worker called in to relay his experience. He said that where they suspect Covid19 in a patient, sometimes they have to do up to four tests to get back the Covid positive result they are looking for. Utterly insane. They get three negatives on the bounce, but when the fourth one rolls in positive, it's all good and Covid19 is established. (are the tests for Coronavirus Normal or specifically Covid19?) No need to take into account the potential for a false positive, because they already know what the patient has. This is barmy. Gotta start raising the alarm people. This is not a drill. (Well maybe it is, but a drill for something much effing worse so alarm bells still totally necessary).

    I am very concerned about the building of these "Nightingale" hospitals. What have they got lined up for us to make sure these places are full of patients on ventilators? Because we have firmly established that this current pandemic is a fake. If it were half as bad as they were predicting, people would be dropping like flies in the UK by now, but we all know that they're not. They have rigged the legal system and all kinds of checks and balances have been nullified to enable them to give the appearance of a pandemic, but what is the endgame here?

    "We're not gonna have a war, we're gonna the appearance of a war." From Wag The Dog, Brendon O Connell fave. Best case scenario is that the new hospitals are there for window dressing to give the scam crisis authenticity through the visual action being taken, photo opportunities and emotional manipulation of the public becoming invested when they see "our boys" and the NHS "pulling together" in the crisis and doing everything they can. It psychologically consolidates the slave/master relationship very nicely too. Worst case scenario, genocide incoming. That we can legitimately raise these issues is symptomatic of a very real disease that is controlling our world.

    fritzi cohen ,

    We need to expose industrial agriculture's possible contribution. Rob Wallace wrote a book about this in 2016. Of course no one paid attention even if they knew about his research.

    The American Scholar: How Global Agriculture Grew a theamericanscholar.org/who-should-we-blame-for-coronavirus

    Evolutionary biologist Rob Wallace, of the Institute for Global Studies at the University of Minnesota, has some answers. For the past 25 years, he's been studying the evolution and spread of influenzas and other pathogens.

    Hail ,

    The latest expert to emerge slamming CoronaPanic is Dr. Knut Wittkowski, who attacks head-on at the very premise, less on the margins over numbers (which is also important work).

    Wittkowski says long-term social distancing for the vast majority, low-risk people, does more harm than good, even from a strictly disease-control standpoint (will cause more death, not less) and also repeatedly questions the wild projections. He says the coronavirus small spike in flu is totally unremarkable and behaves like every other observed flu pandemic does, not a second-rate-movie-like World-Shattering Mass Killer.

    Valuable:

    https://www.youtube.com/embed/lGC5sGdz4kg

    Alan Tench ,

    Just finished listening to the government press conference here in the UK (Lt Gruber hosting it). Two mildly challenging questions, both sidestepped. The final question from The Scotsman newspaper was much more challenging, about the status of the Scottish Chief Medical Officer. This question was completely evaded by Hancock, and he didn't even allow the Deputy Chief Medical Officer to say what she thought, or confirm whether she's visited her second home, if indeed she has one. What a bloody shower they are!

    Bettynho Zirigdum ,

    Here in Brazil the Minister of Health authorized burials without a death certificate. When the death cause is not known, the death "may" be recorded as a Covid-19 death.

    https://veja.abril.com.br/saude/por-covid-19-mandetta-e-cnj-autorizam-sepultamentos-sem-atestado-de-obito/

    Thom ,

    It's only a mistake if you think their main objectives are to tell the public the truth and protect public health. Given that the lockdowns, discouragement of exercise, putting millions out of work and torpedoeing health budgets will kill far more than the virus, then there are plainly other agendas here.

    Look at how nervous the politicians get when the public aren't scared 'enough' of the virus. And this evening, in the UK, we even have Queen drafted in to frighten people and stir up panic. How low can they go?

    MrChops ,

    Forgot to join in with the clap-a-thon for the health workers

    Why not join Peekay for some 'Effin n jeffin' for the NWO ..

    https://www.youtube.com/embed/cAekgQ1ziZk?version=3&rel=1&fs=1&autohide=2&showsearch=0&showinfo=1&iv_load_policy=1&wmode=transparent

    elsewhere ,

    Again good stuff at

    https://swprs.org/a-swiss-doctor-on-covid-19/

    (April 5 entry)

    A sample: "The medical specialist portal Rxisk points out that various drugs can increase the risk of infection with corona viruses by up to 200% in some cases. It is also known that vaccination against influenza viruses may increase the risk of coronavirus disease."

    stonecircle ,

    Interesting about the possible increase in susceptibility to severe C-19 due to having the flu jab. Tragically many nurses and doctors are dying from C-19 even though they are comparatively young. Medical staff are put under a lot of pressure to have the flu jab each winter. It would be very interesting to see some hard data investigating this issue.

    Anecdotally: I had C-19 in mild form last week – high temperature, headache – but was almost better in two days. I am aged 70 and never have the flu jab as I worry it might weaken my immune system. All my peers have the jab and have had more persistent illnesses this winter than I have.

    MLS ,

    We have no idea how many health workers are dying of COVID19. All we know is how many of them have it on their death certificate.

    Not the same thing. As this article should have made clear to you.

    And let's also remember the euromomo statistics show that excess deaths are not happening. The pandemic is a lie created by reclassifying ordinary flu deaths as COVID19

    crank ,

    Seeing as the daily (total) death rate in the UK averages about 1600 per day, then I would like to think that 'COVID deaths' might top out at that. However, the effects of lockdown will push the death rate up considerably, I would predict, so who knows, maybe Trump is actually right in saying there will be 'lots of death' ? In the statistical mobius strip/ self re-inforcing/ feedback loop so clearly described by Kit, all these deaths could, in the end, be classified as 'COVID deaths'. In theory at least, to take the idea to the extreme, the virus could be completely harmless and no more than a marker – a new means of counting death.
    Kafka could not have devised anything so insane.

    Steve Hayes ,

    "To what extent can we trust any official death statistics at all, at this point?" By focusing on all cause mortality. These are reliable numbers. Presently, they do not show any cause for concern. Yet the government and parliament have seen fit to introduce the Coronavirus Act 2020, which gives the government the power to do anything, forever.

    It is of some interest to note that Jeremy Hunt on LBC stated that the government had prepared for a pandemic after an exercise in 2016 (when he was Health Secretary) by drafting legislation to give the government emergency powers: which explains how they were able to produce the three hundred and twenty page Coronavirus Bill so quickly.

    Harry Stotle ,

    Off-G has opened a really important conduit to talk about the Corona outbreak in term of its wider economic and geopolitical context – this is to be applauded. However I can promise you that in living memory there has never been a higher number of patients suffering with ARDS (acute respiratory distress syndrome) presenting to hospital services, in such concentrated numbers over a relatively short time interval.

    > 95% of those who died in Italy, died of ARDS https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/bollettino/Report-COVID-2019_20_marzo_eng.pdf

    Ventilator use in London has risen 12-fold because people can hardly breath (the lungs fill with interstitial fluid impairing normal gaseous exchange) – once the lungs fail other organs follow the same fate downstream: heart, kidneys, liver, etc.
    https://www.icnarc.org/About/Latest-News/2020/03/27/Report-On-775-Patients-Critically-Ill-With-Covid-19

    At the moment there is no way to stop COVID-19 related ARDS from developing, while survival rates post-ventilation may be no better than 50/50 for vulnerable groups (older patients with co-morbidities) – the jury is still out on this question.

    Getting on for 5,000 deaths have been reported over a period of 4 weeks in the UK – it is likely most are COVID-19 related because they exhibit the typical cluster of finding (bilateral infiltrates on chest x/ray, hyperferritinaemia, lymphocytopaenia, elevated d-dimer, elevated troponin and profound hypoxia on arterial blood gas despite hi-flow oxygen). [citation requested -ed]

    From conversations I have been privy to the approach of China has been held up as the key strategy to control the spread (because of the difference in death rates pre and post lockdown).

    We will probably get a better idea of how things look once countries that find it difficult to follow the Chinese model (because of things like poverty or over-crowding) experience higher numbers of infections, and thus a growing numbers who develop ARDS – India, Brazil and Palestine come to mind (I know the death toll is low at the moment).

    None of this addresses the collateral damage bound to arise from lack of access to medical services (because of the selective focus on COBID-19) or the economic time-bomb that will explode once the size of the debt mushrooms out of control.

    I am the first to admit I simply do not have any answers to these questions – I am simply reporting what I have experienced on the shop floor.

    anita ,

    Usually if you have pneumonia, you stay at home and a doctor prescribes some basic antibiotic as precaution. Even in severe cases among already fragile people, usually you then slowly recover. Today if you have pneumonia, either you will have no doctor you can see in town, or else they will send you to hospital because of the scare created, or else you yourself will go to hospital because of the scare. This is just with pneumonia, there are plenty of other illnesses like a very bad flu and so on that can be as bad.

    Hence hospitals will get overloaded with patients which they dont usually get. And I can tell you, having nursed my mother after her stroke, and having had to take her a few times to emergency over a number of years, that emergency was each time overcrowded, and you are left for hours in corridors. So hospitals are getting more people because of above than a normal already overcrowded year.

    As for the patients, those that would normally be cured at home, they are in hospital surrounded by a whole lot of other people also with contagious diseases, apart from the nosocomial disease you may anyhow catch in a hospital nowadays, and in conditions which because of above have overwhelmed the hospital staff. So these patients being already weakened get worse, possibly die.

    Also if someone has to go to emergency for other reasons: heart attack, stroke, even a broken leg, if the conditions there are worsened by excess patients who should not be there, they too being weak, may catch some infection, which could in their case due to the secondary issues make them worse, and give them severe breathing issues and so on, which in a normal year they would avoid, because excess contagious patients are not crowded in hospitals when they dont need to be in hospital.

    On top of this there is a shortage of staff from other years for multiple reasons. I can think of 2 without any effort: In no other year staff with a virus but not ill (first they in that case would not know that had a virus) are not put on quarantine.

    Secondly, at least in West Europe, a major proportion of the medical staff at all level is from outside West Europe. Many, when the confinement measures and closures of borders were made, have returned to the home countries, to be with their families, especially those coming from countries that have not taken from such draconian measures.

    Hence what you are actually seeing needs to be analysed to be understood. By merely saying what you are seeing without analysing the cause is only likely to give a wrong justification for the measures and increase the panic among people. As a result, the entire
    thing is going to go worse.

    Harry Stotle ,

    We are talking about are two different conditions with different pathologies and different outcomes – ARDS is a hyperinflammatory response, that in the context of COVID-19 is not amenable to antibiotics.

    Pneumonia is generally caused by a more localised lung infection although in some cases pneumonia can lead to ARDS as a secondary complication.

    In the case of COVID I am unaware of any therapy that presents ARDS ftom developing – ARDS is what kills you.

    Croach ,

    The icnarc report raises a question.
    If we have close to 5000 deaths but few hospitals are breaching ICU capacity (London and the West Midlands, the two biggest disease clusters have reported they're within capacity, nightingale hospital not needed yet etc.) why is icnarc reporting only 346 deaths in ICU/Critical care beds?
    Where are all the rest dying?
    If there is spare capacity in ICU why weren't they in ICU beds when they died?

    Also, do you know why the percentages in table 5 regarding the presence or not of severe comorbidities (yes,no) add up to more than 100% in the covid-19 column and less than 100% in the pneumonia comparison column?

    Rhys Jaggar ,

    This is precisely why everyone is so cynical. A propaganda narrative was written long ago and the data is crafted around that narrative, rather than a true narraitve emerging from whatever data happens to present itself.

    The narrative is that CoVid19 is so dangerous that we will all have to be locked down unless we all have a vaccination, testing and can be digitally tracked.

    Now if that were even to be half acceptable, the digital certificates would be owned and issued by the people, not by TNC billionaires. The data generated through tracking and testing would never be owned privately and any public official disclosing such information to corporations would be issued with the metaphorical Black Spot.

    What this is all about is billionaires owning everyone lock stock and barrel: their movements, their medical history, their private actions, their travel, their purchases etc etc.

    If Bill Gates thinks he can afford to buy all that data he is living in cloud cuckoo land. I would value my lifetime private data at £100,000 minimum, so for 5 billion humans (just for round figures), that might come to £500 trillion.

    I think that is about 5,000 times Bill Gates' net worth ..

    I have not signed away my private data to anyone, will not do so and consider it illegal for anyone to nick it, pass it on, hand it over, sell it on etc etc etc.

    bob ,

    If people in the uk don't address the issue of organ donation then the state will claim it owns their bodies – the law changed in April to make it important that people who do not wish to donate their organs they have to opt out – at a time like this when family/friends cannot be with a person dying who knows what's happening – does anybody still trust the british state?? Get it sorted is my advice and don't let the state steel the bodies

    Mucho ,

    The concept of policy decision being made and then a mad dash to find evidence to support that policy decision was highlighted in this excellent report, which I think every reader here will find interesting.

    https://www.youtube.com/embed/afIW8P_CNLA

    madness ,

    ".. provided that they are able to state the cause of death to the best of their knowledge and belief"

    Surely, in Australia, many the death of many people will be the result of their sins, especially if the conservatives continue to engineer health policies. This is the best of their belief.

    Shaking My Head ,

    This circus is maddening. Is anyone else in Canada? There is a complete lack of dissent here. The first Canadian I've seen online with any critical perspective is Rosemary Frei's article here on Off-Guardian. Are there any other Canadians speaking out? It seems like people are openly welcoming more of the police state rather than questioning anything.

    AlexCanadianJones ,

    Also in Canada. You aren't alone.

    We have to keep in mind that everyone is at home isolated, everyone that feels and is thinking the way do, feels they are alone and that other Canadians. The Media has unprecedented influence during this crisis and they are cherry picking 'socially accepted responses' to the virus to make us think we are in the minority, it is mind games to keep us all feeling powerless.

    Keep spreading your opinions, while we still have freedom of speech. Make sure all of those in your life to you know are getting the information you are getting.

    Shaking My Head ,

    I hope you are right but it seems like Canadians are so much more acquiescent than the French who have had mass protests. Here it seems you will get snitched out for walking in the park. I saw a photo of several police in an empty park and the comments were all supportive of these measures to 'keep us safe'. I suppose there could be a small but loud segment of the population who are generally quite terrified of life, who feel powerless, and now are enabled to exercise their inner authoritarian to grasp at some semblance of importance by self-policing and policing others.

    [Apr 06, 2020] An 8 min. interview with Dr. Claus K hnlein, speculating if the harsh treatment with antibiotics is part of the problem in Italy

    Apr 06, 2020 | off-guardian.org

    Terje Maloy ,

    Two new videos with English subtitles:

    An 8 min. interview with Dr. Claus Köhnlein, speculating if the harsh treatment with antibiotics is part of the problem in Italy.

    https://player.vimeo.com/video/404203138

    And a longer, (56 min) German documentary from 2009, about the profiteering and WHO/national government mismanagement concerning the swine flu panic.

    https://player.vimeo.com/video/403175258

    Terje Maloy ,

    Hmmm .weird link to the first one..I'll try again:

    Or on Vimeo "Interview with Dr. med. Claus Köhnlein"

    https://player.vimeo.com/video/404203138

    [Apr 06, 2020] German scientist casts doubt on how coronavirus is spread

    Apr 06, 2020 | www.unz.com

    utu , says: Show Comment April 3, 2020 at 4:41 am GMT

    @The Big Red Scary German scientist casts doubt on how coronavirus is spread
    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8182767/Scientist-casts-doubt-coronavirus-spread.html

    'We know it's not a smear infection that is transmitted by touching objects, but that close dancing and exuberant celebrations have led to infections.'

    [Apr 06, 2020] Covid tears 'No masks nurse' story shows how pandemic is newfound opportunity for MSM to peddle emotionally-charged fake news

    Notable quotes:
    "... In a clip aired on Sunday but filmed a week earlier, nurse Imaris Vera bursts into tears and describes how she quit her job after "none of the nurses" ..."
    "... "America is not prepared," she sobbed, "and nurses are not being protected." ..."
    "... But dig a little deeper and the story begins to collapse. Vera admitted in a tweet on Saturday that she had actually been assigned an N95 respirator to wear, despite claiming in the video that "none of the nurses" ..."
    "... Furthermore, the nurse didn't quit her job after a long and tireless struggle against the coronavirus. Her social media posts revealed that she quit on her first day on the job. According to her Facebook page, the woman had taken a year off, during which time she had built a career as a blogger and Instagram model. Since the virus hit US shores, she's used her Instagram page to promote boutique hand sanitizer and designer nurse's scrubs. ..."
    "... "fake news media" ..."
    Apr 06, 2020 | www.rt.com
    Stories of human tragedy abound during the Covid-19 pandemic, but in its hunger for tearjerking moments, CBS has thrown the rulebook out the window and spread some viral "fake news." In a clip aired on Sunday but filmed a week earlier, nurse Imaris Vera bursts into tears and describes how she quit her job after "none of the nurses" in a dedicated coronavirus unit were wearing masks. Furthermore, she called out her Chicago hospital for banning nurses from using their own protective equipment in the facility.

    "America is not prepared," she sobbed, "and nurses are not being protected."

    In tears, a nurse says she quit her job after she was asked to work in a coronavirus ICU without a face mask: "America is not prepared, and nurses are not being protected" https://t.co/ywoSuLOPYP pic.twitter.com/S5BsnlO5nt

    -- CBS News (@CBSNews) April 5, 2020

    On its surface, the video is a damning indictment of the US government's response to the pandemic. Indeed, the media have frequently lambasted President Donald Trump for failing to act quick enough to contain the spread of the virus.

    But dig a little deeper and the story begins to collapse. Vera admitted in a tweet on Saturday that she had actually been assigned an N95 respirator to wear, despite claiming in the video that "none of the nurses" in her ICU unit were wearing masks. Whether her hospital banned the wearing of masks in hallways and corridors to preserve supplies is still unclear.

    Furthermore, the nurse didn't quit her job after a long and tireless struggle against the coronavirus. Her social media posts revealed that she quit on her first day on the job. According to her Facebook page, the woman had taken a year off, during which time she had built a career as a blogger and Instagram model. Since the virus hit US shores, she's used her Instagram page to promote boutique hand sanitizer and designer nurse's scrubs.

    ... ... ...

    Whether its aim is to mislead viewers or to tug on heartstrings, the media hasn't missed an opportunity to rush dodgy footage in front of viewers. Such videos may generate clicks, but they also lend credence to President Trump's oft-repeated assertion that the "fake news media" doesn't care about the truth.

    [Apr 06, 2020] The average 24/7 viewer of CNN/FOX or BBC is not aware of this hence swallows the "news" without questioning anything

    Apr 06, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Tom_LX , Apr 6 2020 14:58 utc | 184

    Posted by: BM | Apr 6 2020 13:02 utc | 174

    The points you raise in your comment are addressed in this video.

    Questioning Conventional Wisdom in the COVID-19 Crisis, with Dr. Jay Bhattacharya

    The average 24/7 viewer of CNN/FOX or BBC is not aware of this hence swallows the "news" without questioning anything.

    [Apr 06, 2020] https://www.instagram.com/p/B-oKQhpARAZ/?igshid=1x8tiyahao6rv fbclid=IwAR05pGvYrqPv4kXX3UTU5D0xFj7akUplT_mPA-b1NkAng_ZP2tP3gT36fME

    Apr 06, 2020 | www.instagram.com

    Clashfan, 2 hours ago ...Read this! CDC guidelines for reporting. Everything is Covid19. Coded.

    Read it, spread it. Silence is consent.

    https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvss/coronavirus/Alert-2-New-ICD-code-introduced-for-COVID-19-deaths.pdf?fbclid=IwAR30-Hn5msuEePevKS2RISNRBH_AzQT7WcEGnB19Pec8RWRNSEZXY85EKD4

    "COVID-19 should be reported on the death certificate for all decedents where the disease caused or is assumed to have caused or contributed to death."

    [Apr 05, 2020] Case of substitution: Pneumonia deaths down. Covid-19 deaths up.

    Apr 05, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    dltravers , Apr 5 2020 15:12 utc | 6

    Not sure what to make of this one..

    Pneumonia deaths down.

    Covid-19 deaths up.

    Pneumonia and influenza survey from the CDC

    Anyone in a position to plot this?

    Data in csv format format CDC


    Norwegian , Apr 5 2020 16:56 utc | 21

    @dltravers | Apr 5 2020 15:12 utc | 6
    Not sure what to make of this one..

    Pneumonia deaths down.

    Covid-19 deaths up.


    Reallocations. The numbers are manipulated.

    [Apr 05, 2020] Mortality by age group

    Apr 05, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    S , Apr 2 2020 16:23 utc | 5

    Verity et al. (March 30, 2020) have estimated the (adjusted) case fatality ratio, infection fatality ratio, and proportion of infections requiring hospitalization:

                 Crude    Adjusted           Hospitalization
                 CFR (%)  CFR (%)   IFR (%)  Rate (%)
    
        0-9       0.000   0.00260   0.00161   0.00
        10-19     0.182   0.0148    0.00695   0.0408
        20-29     0.193   0.0600    0.0309    1.04
        30-39     0.237   0.146     0.0844    3.43
        40-49     0.443   0.295     0.161     4.25
        50-59     1.30    1.25      0.595     8.16
        60-69     3.60    3.99      1.93     11.8
        70-79     7.96    8.61      4.28     16.6
        80+      14.8    13.4       7.80     18.4
    
        Total     2.29    1.38      0.657
    

    [Apr 05, 2020] The percentage of deaths by Covid19 in the USA is 17.8 per million citizens, which corresponds to the usual percentage of seasonal influenza.

    Apr 05, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Luc GUTHRIE , Apr 3 2020 15:13 utc | 279

    Message from France :

    First premise: This year, the percentage of influenza patients in relation to the total population is the same as in previous years.

    Second premise: In previous years, seasonal influenza had a percentage of certain coronaviruses. This year the percentage is similar.

    Third premise: The percentage of deaths among people who are infected is no different from other years.

    Fourth premise: The media falsifies the percentage of deaths among those who are infected. The only serious study concerning the real mortality in the country where according to the media there are the most deaths (Italy) is the one carried out by the Italian Ministry of Health. It reveals that it is not 12% but 1.2% of sick patients, which corresponds to the usual mortality of influenza.

    Fifth premise: this study reveals that the average age of the deceased is 80 years.

    Additional information: The percentage of deaths by Covid19 in the USA is 17.8 per million citizens, which corresponds to the usual percentage of seasonal influenza.

    Be careful, don't be an accomplice in the panic they want to create: This is essentially a media attack to disguise the economic meltdown they've created.

    https://www.mediterranee-infection.com/covid-19/

    Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)

    [Apr 05, 2020] Today 4-3-20, Covid is the third cause of death in USA

    Apr 05, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    DFC , Apr 2 2020 22:11 utc | 103

    Today 4-3-20, Covid is the third cause of death in USA, with around 1.100 deaths per day is only behind heart disease (1.774/day) and cancer (1.641/day), but in two weeks is expected to be clearly the leading cause of death in USA as it is now in Italy and Spain. It is a matter of when start to decrease the number of deaths to see if will be, or not, the leading cause of deaths in absolute terms (I expected and I think it will not)

    https://www.sacbee.com/news/coronavirus/article241677891.html

    https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/deaths.htm

    A lot of people are still saying it is a hoax, I think they will continue saying this even if connected to a ventilator (/sarc)

    [Apr 05, 2020] Social distancing and lockdown is the absolutely worst way to deal with an airborne respiratory virus.

    Apr 05, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Michael Droy , Apr 6 2020 0:47 utc | 120

    Perspectives on the Pandemic Episode 2: In this explosive second edition of Perspectives on the Pandemic, Professor Knut Wittkowski, for twenty years head of The Rockefeller University's Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Research Design, says that social distancing and lockdown is the absolutely worst way to deal with an airborne respiratory virus.

    https://youtu.be/lGC5sGdz4kg

    Totally agree with this - he says best get it done with quick and open up schools.

    [Apr 05, 2020] Coronavirus statistics and information

    Apr 05, 2020 | corona.help

    What is interesting how different in this epidemic countries are is

    [Apr 05, 2020] A link to an interview with Italian nano-pathologist Dr Stefano Montanari

    Apr 05, 2020 | off-guardian.org

    Jane ,

    A comment on Peter Hitchens' article in today's Mail on Sunday (5th April) provided a link to an interview with Italian nano-pathologist Dr Stefano Montanari. Since he doesn't appear in OffG among the first twelve or subsequent ten scientists questioning the official Covid-19 narrative I am providing the link here in case anyone is interested. The site itself seems to have a save white identity bias, but in these strange times, politics makes strange bedfellows. https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2020/04/04/the-coronavirus-and-galileo-an-interview-with-a-italian-nano-pathologist-dr-stefano-montanari/

    George Mc ,

    Interesting interview. This bit especially:

    There is one point we did not touch -- the economic, which is not part of my competence. We are now blocking the world and, as for Italy, the economy was already at a low point. What do they do? They freeze all activities but keep the stock exchange open. Stocks reach a low bottom. What does it mean? The ultra billionaire can easily purchase companies that are now worth pennies.

    When eventually it will be decided that the (coronavirus) farce is ended -- and nothing will end because this virus will continue undaunted to do what it's doing now (or its evolving strains will do), the ultra-billionaires will own everything. The rich (a degree below the billionaires) will have bought, say, 3–4 restaurants and/or 10 stores that had to close. In summary, all who were rich will be infinitely richer, But we will also have a flood-tide of people who will always be poorer. This will be another consequence of this fake epidemic, perhaps, who knows, created on purpose.

    [Apr 03, 2020] The problem of distinguishing "from coronavirus deaths and "with coronavirus" deaths

    Apr 03, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    PokeTheTruth , Apr 2 2020 19:52 utc | 61

    A postmortem by a competent pathologist is the only way to confirm cause of death.

    Americans must not be led like lemmings over the cliff of disease paranoia chased by an invisible bug unless there is irrefutable proof that COVID-19 and ONLY COVID-19 was the principle reason attributed to a person's demise.

    Investigative journalists ( b?) must dig into the facts and interview some of the hundreds of ME's (medical examiners) who performed autopsies on these people and ask these questions:

    1. Did the autopsy reveal the presence of other chronic diseases pulmonary or otherwise, that could have contributed to the death of the person (e.g., influenza, COPD, emphysema, tuberculosis, heart disease, cancers, etc.?

    2. Was the deceased taking medication that suppressed the immune system such as for rheumatoid arthritis?

    3. Did the autopsy reveal the presence of disease of the respiratory system due to harmful inhalants (smoking tobacco, vaping)?

    4. Did the autopsy show the patient had heart or vascular problems and had surgeries to correct them such as stent implants, pace maker or other medical devices?

    5. Did the deceased receive chemotherapy treatment for cancer related illness?

    Unless every answer to the above questions is an affirmative 'No", the public must not believe that only COVID-19 caused the death of these people. This calls into question the number of reported COVID-19 deaths has been deliberately inflated to cause panic in America as well as around the world.

    The next question is, for what other purpose are governments doing this?

    David F , Apr 2 2020 20:19 utc | 67

    PokeTheTruth | Apr 2 2020 19:52 utc | 61

    Can you not see the il-logic in your criteria? Suppose a person has an underlying illness, that will eventually prove fatal. If I shoot that person in the head are we going to say that the cause of death was the underlying illness, or are we going to say it was the bullet to the head?

    Many people live with underlying illnesses for years. The criteria that should be used is: why did that person die right now? If what killed them right now is a viral infection, then the fact that the underlying illness would have killed them eventually is meaningless, the cause of death is the viral infection.

    I think that some people are adamant that they will not believe there is a deadly virus in our midst. Nothing said to them is going to make them believe this, they will keep changing their reasons for the denial. This is somewhat understandable to a point. Yes our government lies about everything, and yes they take every opportunity to enrich themselves and increase their power. My initial reaction was dismissive, I too thought it was a case of overblown hype, but as the days and weeks passed, and the facts changed, so did my opinion.

    The overwhelming evidence is pointing to a serious, deadly virus in our midst, and it is time people start acting appropriately. Even the people who understandably ignored the boy who cried wolf, eventually came to the realization that there was indeed a wolf in their midst.

    [Apr 03, 2020] After six to eight weeks, the loss caused by the shutdown would become critical. And that must be avoided.

    Notable quotes:
    "... The number of advertisements for short-time work has skyrocketed to an unprecedented level, and the number of unemployed is also increasing: The Federal Employment Agency expects an increase of up to 200,000 unemployed in April. ..."
    "... The virologists had not succeeded in breeding Sars-Cov-2 in initial tests after swabbing various objects in apartments of highly infectious residents, sinks, doorknobs, but also pets such as cats. "For me it looks like the first results that a door handle can only be infectious if someone has coughed in the hand beforehand and then grabs the handle immediately." This suggests that there is no smear infection. Keeping a distance and washing hands is therefore a very effective tool. ..."
    "... "We talk a lot about speculation and model calculations. With these, however, only one factor has to be wrong and the whole thing collapses like a house of cards. "That is why facts are so important to make effective decisions. He was therefore surprised that the Robert Koch Institute, as the highest federal authority for infectious diseases, had not previously carried out such an investigation. He sees such tests as a duty for virologists "to find answers for the citizens." ..."
    Apr 03, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    mk , Apr 3 2020 8:26 utc | 223

    And here's the article:

    Bonn / Hamburg -

    The Corona crisis hits the global economy with great violence: In Germany, too, restaurants and companies have to pause for weeks, tourism stands still, nothing works in public life anymore.

    The number of advertisements for short-time work has skyrocketed to an unprecedented level, and the number of unemployed is also increasing: The Federal Employment Agency expects an increase of up to 200,000 unemployed in April.

    And despite the government's aid measures, one thing is certain: the German economy will not be the same for the foreseeable future once the crisis is over. The existence of many citizens is under threat.

    Hardly anyone had questioned these tough government measures, as it is about saving lives. But on Tuesday evening a well-known virologist for the first time openly raised doubts about the need for the shutdown at "Markus Lanz" (ZDF). Did our entrepreneurs have to shut down unnecessarily?

    The virologist Hendrik Streeck from the University Hospital Bonn is currently carrying out a unique examination in the district of Heinsberg - the epicenter of the coronavirus. There, the expert collects both the number of infected people and the infection routes in a representative sample. The study is intended to provide answers to questions such as where the greatest sources of danger are. How exactly the virus is transmitted. How high the unreported number of infected people is. The research group around Streeck wants to publish the first results as early as next week.

    The virologists had not succeeded in breeding Sars-Cov-2 in initial tests after swabbing various objects in apartments of highly infectious residents, sinks, doorknobs, but also pets such as cats. "For me it looks like the first results that a door handle can only be infectious if someone has coughed in the hand beforehand and then grabs the handle immediately." This suggests that there is no smear infection. Keeping a distance and washing hands is therefore a very effective tool.

    However, the risk of infecting someone else while shopping is considered to be low. "We see how the infections took place. That was not in the supermarket or in the restaurant or at the butcher's. That was at the parties at the après ski in Ischgl, in the Berlin club, trumpet ', at the carnival in Gangelt and at the exuberant football games in Bergamo.

    In the current discussion about the "shutdown" and the "exit" strategies, which lead again from a standstill, such reliable facts are important. So that public life doesn't stand still for too long.

    "We talk a lot about speculation and model calculations. With these, however, only one factor has to be wrong and the whole thing collapses like a house of cards. "That is why facts are so important to make effective decisions. He was therefore surprised that the Robert Koch Institute, as the highest federal authority for infectious diseases, had not previously carried out such an investigation. He sees such tests as a duty for virologists "to find answers for the citizens."

    Did the shutdown come too quickly?

    Streeck looks back at the various measures taken by the federal government, which have gradually restricted life: Larger events have been canceled, schools have been closed down to exit restrictions. "But I had already said in advance: We want to wait and see what happens. The virus doesn't obey any politician. "

    Measures that are now decided would only be visible in the statistics in two weeks at the earliest. "You have to give this virus time so that we can see and classify the results of the measures in the long term."

    He had never heard of infections in hairdressing salons, said Streeck. But now they are closed. It is the same with supermarkets or the like. "We just don't know that infections have taken place there. I think it's important that we focus on what we really know - and what we don't. "You have to find the nuances of when exactly an infection occurs. And this must also be the guideline for reducing certain measures.

    A very good way to contain the virus effectively: do a lot of tests like South Korea did. "If they tested people positively and found a cluster, then they contained the area there," says Streeck. A nationwide curfew was not necessary there. "In my eyes, this is a very good strategy and also a strategy that is feasible in Germany. Because we have the options. "

    The virus is really dangerous for the risk groups, so "when it comes to the hospital, nursing home and old people's home," said the doctor. It is therefore very important to effectively protect particularly vulnerable people, with weekly corona tests for medical and nursing staff, for example. Such pool procedures are already used in transfusion medicine to test blood. So you are not new.

    "It is therefore important to develop exactly such ideas. However, many experts are involved in this development, and not just individual ones. "It is a shame that the government approached the crisis" rather monothematically ". Unfortunately, there is no round table with a large number of virologists, in which China is also involved.
    Streeck criticizes the lack of objectives in the fight against Corona

    "I see what such a curfew does to people," explains the virologist. He himself has friends who wonder if they still have a job after the crisis. "In relation to other epidemics and viruses, I find these restrictions to be very drastic." Before taking such measures, Streeck would have liked to think carefully: "Where do we actually want to go?" He would lack the precise definition of the objective.

    "Our limit is the capacity of the hospitals. Not the number of people infected. But we never heard where our guideline was. What is our goal? Are 1000 infections a day too much? Or 100? We have to listen to the intensive care physicians who tell us where their limits are. "They could best assess which measures are the right ones.
    Marcel Fratzscher: "A good health system needs a functioning economy"

    Streeck therefore supports the fastest possible discussion about an exit strategy. Marcel Fratzscher, President of the German Institute for Economic Research, explains how great the danger for the economy is at "Lanz". He speaks of a "catastrophe" with a "rat tail of problems". Small businesses and the self-employed could only last a few weeks despite government aid.

    Anyone who receives a salary of 60 or 70 percent in short-time work can hardly stay afloat in the long term. At the same time, the economist feels uncomfortable weighing human lives against the financial damage - as many in the discussion about an exit strategy do. "Because a good health system also needs a functioning economy."

    One should not play both sides against each other, but rather find a solution that is acceptable to everyone. After six to eight weeks, the loss caused by the shutdown would become critical. And that must be avoided.

    [Apr 02, 2020] Why Cuomo is claiming that NY need 40K ICU beds?

    Currently the total hospital admissions in the USA are less then 30K and the virus considerably slowed down (from 32$ a day to 24% a day and this percentage will go down further) .
    Apr 02, 2020 | twitter.com
    the United States
    New York Governor Cuomo Daily Briefing :
    Everything we do now (procure ventilators etc) is in preparation for possible apex (when curve hits the highest point) Apex in New York is estimated in 14-21 days from now We'll keep COVID-19 patients separated from the other patients in hospitals We can now test for antibodies to determine whether a person had COVID-19. This is a blood test 172 new ICU admission in the last day, vs. 374 in the preceding day, may indicate a decline in the growth rate 155,934 people tested in New York State We need a faster testing process. Can't wait 5 days as it is now. Other countries now also have home tests. We should do the same

    NEW YORK (from New York Governor Cuomo daily briefing ):

    An additional 37,000 ICU beds are needed Will use college dormitories , hotels , nursing homes, and all possible space by converting it to hospitals if needed in April 138,376 people have been tested Schools will stay closed for an additional 2 weeks after April 1, to then reassess the situation and extend again if needed. 180 days requirement has been waived "This is not going to be a short deployment [...] This is going to be weeks, and weeks, and weeks [...] This is a rescue mission you are on, to save lives. [...] You are living a moment in history that will change and forge character"

    [Apr 01, 2020] Does COVID-19 produce excessive mortality in comparison with seasonal flu epidemic?

    Apr 01, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Lev Ke , Apr 1 2020 15:57 utc | 247

    Here, b. The Swiss Propaganda Research did the work for you and brought us via its Dutch sister website the official mortality numbers of Holland over the past years up until 18/3/20.
    It's a huge pity that I can't paste a picture here, because this graph really says it all.

    It's a graph of numbers recorded by the same official source that simply collects the weekly death rates in Holland. Numbers that up until now were totally apolitical and neutral. Nobody cared.

    Two years ago, due to a heavy flu season, a whopping 9,444 excess deaths were counted. The present corona mortality is nowhere near such numbers and will probably never get there.
    But two years ago there was no panic, no lockdown, no nothing. Just an unfortunate heavy flu season.

    Not a good enough reason to question anything? No need to get this truth out? No need for rationality and a woke population? No need for whatever MoA is meant to be?

    https://www.rivm.nl/monitoring-sterftecijfers-nederland

    [Apr 01, 2020] The "excess deaths" and the number of hospitalized people are two important metrics for the sizing the epidemic

    Apr 01, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    BM , Apr 1 2020 11:07 utc | 206

    Add to the above from the link Yerige kindly posted

    The Covid-19 death toll is for abusing the deranged masses; it's the other data that's important
    Posted by: Yerige | Apr 1 2020 9:44 utc | 194

    As from today the daily "Covid-19" death toll will include data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) regarding deaths that occur external to hospital. Basically, anyone who dies and is not being treated in a hospital at the time, but nevertheless has "Covid-19" registered on the associated death certificate, will be counted in the official toll. Those of us who are not prone to become unhinged at the slightest nudging towards it by Government psychological manipulation will have the sense to realise that this development will not be wholly unrelated to the arrival of the Coronavirus Bill, and how it has created an environment where there is potential for a good deal of abuse in order to create the impression of copious amounts of death by "Covid-19"

    ...

    The reason why excess death is a crucial way of getting a handle on the issue should be well understood by a FBEL reader, but to explain briefly: it has been the tendency by the medical establishment to attribute death by other causes to so-called Covid-19 (and now, if the reader examines the corporate-media reportage carefully, coronavirus)†. As such, we should expect to see no great deal of excess death (or more death than usual), but instead numbers under one column on a ledger shifted across to another headed "Covid-19".

    ...

    Even so, when the Chief Executive says that [nine] thousand people are hospitalised, it might sound scary to the psychologically damaged masses that would be intensely following the "war reports" of the sort that Stevens was holding. However, one should consider how there are 100,000 "general and acute" beds in NHS England, and how, in the year 2018-19, the institution saw 626,000 admissions for "influenza, pneumonia". The source for this data is the House of Commons briefing paper, Number 7281, 20 February 2020, "NHS Key Statistics: England, February 2020", which is online for anyone who isn't deranged to find.

    Peter AU1 , Apr 1 2020 11:25 utc | 210

    BM 206

    If somebody dies of pneumonia and lung biopsy turns up coronavirus then it likely coronavirus caused the death. It would be interesting though to see how officialdom does actually determine if a death outside hospital is determined but I take it that would be done by autopsy. Something the writer at your link didn't look into or mention.

    [Apr 01, 2020] Media is the problem. Globalist Media firms hate Trump, the Constitution, and America.

    Apr 01, 2020 | www.unz.com

    A123 , says: Show Comment March 30, 2020 at 4:48 am GMT

    Our mainstream media was equally oblivious, and even if they had sounded the alarm, they had hysterically cried wolf so many times about so many ridiculous things that nobody would have taken them seriously.

    100% Correct -- Media is the problem. Globalist Media firms hate Trump, the Constitution, and America.

    Trump stated true fact. There are promising results from chloroquine, but it may or may not work. The dishonest Globalist Media such as CNN, MSNBC, NYT, WaPo . tried (and failed) to blame Trump for the death of someone who ingested an aquarium cleaner with a similar name. (1)

    Trump stated an optimistic hope. He hoped that it would be possible to begin lifting restrictions by Easter. That hope has not come to pass, and the Trump administration has extended restrictions. Optimism is an unwritten part of the President's duties, keeping and building hope among U.S. Citizens.

    The Globalist Media propaganda machine repudiates the concepts of hope, optimism, integrity, and honesty. The *Media Lied* , when they intentionally changed "Trump's hope" to "would" and further on to "must". Then with the bogus straw man set, the Globalist hoax about a non-existent "restrictions must end" policy was launched. Again, the Globalist Media tried (and failed) to undermine the Constitution with their hoax.

    When will the Media start telling the truth instead of pushing the DNC's anti-American, Globalist, Elite 1% agenda?

    [Apr 01, 2020] Caution is advisable but panic is unacceptable

    Apr 01, 2020 | www.unz.com

    America1st , says: Show Comment March 30, 2020 at 12:19 pm GMT

    https://covidtracking.com/us-daily/ I use this page as I find the one from John Hopkins suspect. I think some numbers should be looked at and people should decide just how serious the Coronavirus is:

    % US Population tested as of 29 March 2020 – .25% (831,351)
    % tested who test positive – 16.73%
    % tested who test negative – 83.27%
    % tested who get Hospitalized – 2.37%
    % Infected who get Hospitalized – 14.19%
    % Infected who die – 1.75%

    Percentage of those Tested who dies – .288%

    Worst case sceanario as of 3/29/20 is 957,374 people could die from this virus if the % of 3/29/20 remain constant, but our death rate has dropped from a high of 2.73% (occured on 3/12/20).

    Per the CDC webpage the N1H1 (swine flu) Pandemic infected 61 million Americans of which 12,469 died in 09. President Obama declared it an emergency in Oct 09 (7 months into the Pandemic's season 04/09 – 04/10)

    8,234 had died before he declared.

    Bear in mind the H1N1 DR for 09-10 was .021% substantially lower than the DR rate of Coronavirus, we are only in week 13 of the Coronavirus discovery (January through March)

    Remember, from 03/12 to 03/28 the death rate has dropped 35.9% (2.73 to 1.75)

    Caution is advisable but panic is unacceptable.

    [Apr 01, 2020] The normies, i.e. the uninformed masses who follow received opinion, have been well-trained to 'trust' the word of their masters, who want them panicking while the final looting of the treasury by the banksters takes place right in front of their noses.

    Virus is a real threat, but greed of banksters is even bigger threat
    Apr 01, 2020 | www.unz.com

    Maple Curtain , says: Show Comment March 31, 2020 at 2:27 pm GMT

    @anastasia The normies, i.e. the uninformed masses who follow received opinion, have been well-trained to 'trust' the word of their masters, who want them panicking while the final looting of the treasury by the banksters takes place right in front of their noses.

    But, once it becomes evident that the economic collapse has occurred and society has been looted, even the normies will begin to understand that the finance capitalists running their world were not doing so in the best interests of the people.

    [Apr 01, 2020] We are not hearing any statistics about flus, how many are hospitalized each year, and how many die from flu each year. This basis of comparison is not pertinent, is not newsworthy? The public has no interest in these things?

    Apr 01, 2020 | www.unz.com

    anastasia , says: Show Comment March 31, 2020 at 3:38 pm GMT

    ... ... ...

    What are they NOT hearing: We are not hearing any statistics about flus, how many are hospitalized each year, and how many die from flu each year. This basis of comparison is not pertinent, is not newsworthy? The public has no interest in these things?

    We are not hearing how many corona victims have been hospitalized in each area, in each hospital in NYC, how many are in regular rooms; how many are on ventilators or receiving oxygen. They are not filming in hospitals where the patients are. We are not seeing full emergency rooms.. We are not seeing people in those tents they are putting up everywhere. We are not seeing any people in the make-shift hospitals. We are not seeing any victims of this disease on ventilators in any hospitals. (unlike China that had every reporter in the middle of that contagion of the hospitals).

    Instead, whenever they talk about a hospital in New York, they show the same line at Elmhurst Hospital, which is the hospital where all Riker's Island prisoners go, where they ORDINARILY treat 200 patients per day, where they may have afree clinic, where they may be dispensing "methodone".

    We are not being told how many people over 80 die every few seconds in this country, as a basis for comparison. They are not giving us anything to compare these deaths they are posting every day, like stock market statistics, on every media station.

    ... ... ...

    [Apr 01, 2020] COVID-19 epidemic and the fairy tale about the emperor's new clothes.

    Apr 01, 2020 | www.unz.com

    German pulmonologist Dr. Wolfgang Wodarg favors the latter explanation, describing the epidemic as "hype" (his word in German) which has taken on a life of its own in spite of the facts and therefore merits further consideration:

    Every year we have new types of virus in the world. When tests were done in Glasgow coronaviruses were always present. In each year, coronaviruses were always part of the mix at a rate of 7 to 15 percent. In Wuhan they discovered a new strain of virus. Is this virus dangerous. . . .

    How can we know? It's important to compare the current data with data from previous years. But even if we look at the 7 to 15 percent who have the virus, we can't say that they died from it. The big question about mortality rates in Italy is where were the tests taken? If they were administered to severely ill people in hospitals, the death rate would naturally increase. The normal mortality rate for the seasonal flu is 0.1 percent. That means that one person out of a thousand dies every winter.

    It's obvious that the virologists have created something very sensational here which impressed the Chinese government. The Chinese government made a big deal out of it. It was suddenly very important politically in a way that had nothing to do with virology, prompting face recognition in airports, spot temperature checks to see if people had fever.

    And those measures had international consequences. Politicians suddenly had to take a stand. Something was fabricated. A network of information and opinions developed in these groups of experts, and the politicians turned to these groups of experts and they internalized their information network and began operation within its parameters.

    The politicians have instrumentalized this network of information in order to determine what measures need to be taken. All of these decisions have been derived from these arguments. That means it's going to be very difficult for a critic to say, "Stop, there's nothing going on."

    It reminds me of the fairy tale about the emperor's new clothes. Only a small child was able to say he was naked. The politicians are playing along with the scientists who want to seem important because they need money to support their operations. We want to be important; we want to earn money. Didn't the same thing happen last year? Is anything new going on here? [23] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p_AyuhbnPOI&fea...utu.be My translation from the German.

    Reports from Italy confirmed Wodarg's suspicions. On March 18, Italy's national health authority released a statement which showed that more than 99 percent of Italy's coronavirus fatalities have been people who suffered from previous medical conditions. The overwhelming majority of those who died while infected with the coronavirus were either old or had pre-existing conditions which made the virus worse. The average age of patients who succumbed to COVID-2019 was 81 years of age, about 20 years higher than the age of all patients who contracted the infection. The average age of women who died was 28 years higher. The greatest percentage of deaths (or 42.2 percent) occurred in the age group between 80 and 89 years, while 32.4 percent were between 70 and 79, 8.4 percent between 60 and 69, 2.8 percent between 50 and 59 and 14.1 percent over 90 years. Women who died after contracting COVI_D-2019 infection are older than men (median age women 83.4 – median age men 79.9). The average number of pathologies observed in this population is 3.4 (median 3, Standard Deviation 2.1). Overall, 15.5 percent of the sample had 0 or 1 pathologies, 18.3 percent had 2 pathologies and 67.2 percent had 3 or more pathologies. The most represented comorbidity is hypertension (present in 74.6 percent of the sample), followed by ischemic heart disease (70.4 percent) and diabetes mellitus (33.8 percent). [24] http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1_1_1.js...d=4163 My translation from the Italian. Silvio Brusaferro, head of the Italian health service confirmed the fact that senior citizens and those with pre-existing conditions are more at risk. "We are talking about people who are very fragile and who live in close contact with others and the need to protect them as much as possible." [25] http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1_1_1.js...d=4163 My translation from the Italian.


    anonymous [400] Disclaimer , says: Show Comment March 25, 2020 at 4:34 pm GMT

    Seems like government meddling often just makes things worse. In response to the disease airports shut down and thousands of people were herded into cramped, crowded areas of the airport. That's a good way of dealing with a highly communicable disease, get frightened and cram thousands of people together so they really will get it. This to prevent it, you see.
    Anon [548] Disclaimer , says: Show Comment March 26, 2020 at 12:50 am GMT
    I wish we could shut down all Billionaires foundations and phony charities, fire all their employees and sieze the trust-funds that pay into them to pay down the national debt.

    Its giving inherited gazillionaires too much money to play with. Honestly, piddling around with weaponized viruses via private foundation grant money thrown at foreign scientists with dual loyalties and dual passports. When one of them decides he resents one country or the other, what is to stop him from releasing the viruses he has been researching?

    The Alarmist , says: Show Comment March 26, 2020 at 11:13 am GMT
    Coronavirus and COVID-19 won't stop globalism; in fact, the global war on this virus makes globalism essential. Locking us down and force-feeding us the Left's Holy Trinity (Drugs, Porn, and Abortion) while depriving us any alternative viewpoints and sanity checks with other living, breathing human beings in an environment that fosters trust, e.g. in person and face to face, is how they'll grind us down to willing mind-numbed robots serving the New World Order in petty fiefdoms with imaginary borders designed to make it easier for the Criminal Elite to divvy up the loot they are at this very moment picking from our pockets in this Holy War against the pandemic.
    peter mcloughlin , says: Show Comment March 26, 2020 at 2:03 pm GMT
    Power and self-interest are as old as pestilence. They are the cause of continued war; they are the cause of the coming nuclear Armageddon. It is not the coronavirus that will destroy us – we will.
    https://www.ghostsofhistory.wordpress.com/
    John Burns, Gettysburg Partisan , says: Show Comment March 27, 2020 at 10:20 am GMT
    Just learned that Andrew Cuomo of all people is saying the same thing E. Michael Jones said about the error of quarantining sick old people with fit young people!

    https://nypost.com/2020/03/26/cuomo-admits-that-quarantine-may-have-backfired-in-some-cases/

    [Apr 01, 2020] PM of Pakistan: I believe extreme poverty is the biggest disease and virus of the world.

    Apr 01, 2020 | www.unz.com

    Assad al-islam , says: Show Comment March 31, 2020 at 5:32 pm GMT

    The population in lockdown.

    Below is today's complete speech of PM of Pakistan. It is 17:13 minutes long and it is in Urdu addressed to his nation and people. What I understand he is saying due to extreme poverty in Pakistan, they cannot have complete lock down as they don't have the resources, and people will die of extreme hunger. Think about it how will it effect the entire world. I believe extreme poverty is the biggest disease and virus of the world. God has given us so many resources and only Israel is destroying these resources.

    We could ask our resident Pakistani Talha to probably help translate the speech of Pakistani PM!

    https://www.youtube.com/embed/5zKBtf7poJw?feature=oembed

    [Apr 01, 2020] I say why not "lock down" those age 70 and older, like no airline or bus travel? Let younger get back to work at places like restaurants, but use the posted fire code capacity and say only half as many people can come inside and chairs must be six feet from other tables

    Apr 01, 2020 | www.unz.com

    Carlton Meyer , says: Website Show Comment March 30, 2020 at 4:11 am GMT

    343 GIs Have Coronavirus, None Died

    There are no elderly or persons with serious health problems in the US military. So most are told to stay home for two weeks and they are fine.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/27/coronavirus-update-pentagon-reports-more-than-600-cases-and-2-deaths.html

    I was watching a video from Dr. Stephen Greer MD. He said that nearly everyone will eventually get this virus, it will float around for years. The current effort is to spread out the infection rate over a year so hospitals can treat sickly people who contract the disease. Otherwise they may be overwhelmed and lack the needed ventilators to save lives. He does say this is one of the most deadly stains so those vulnerable must be careful.

    I say why not "lock down" those age 70 and older, like no airline or bus travel? Let younger get back to work at places like restaurants, but use the posted fire code capacity and say only half as many people can come inside and chairs must be six feet from other tables. Reopen the schools, except for sickly children and teachers, and with no recess but staggered lunch times.

    https://www.youtube.com/embed/2UbMNE0eZwk?feature=oembed

    TomSchmidt , says: Show Comment March 30, 2020 at 4:33 am GMT
    How will you know if the decision to lock down was wrong? What would you accept as evidence?

    Sweden has not chosen the lockdown. They have restricted large public gatherings, but kept schools open. If Sweden does not suffer a disaster, does that invalidate the lockdown?
    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-52076293

    [Mar 30, 2020] Now, just imagine if Western governments invested a (sizeable) fraction of their warfare budgets into planning and prepping for civil emergencies, along with discussing and gaining the social buy-in to prepare their populations to respond positively in a non-military emergency.

    Mar 30, 2020 | www.unz.com

    Huskynut , says: Show Comment March 30, 2020 at 4:27 am GMT

    Nice column, Ron.

    Now, just imagine if Western governments invested a (sizeable) fraction of their warfare budgets into planning and prepping for civil emergencies, along with discussing and gaining the social buy-in to prepare their populations to respond positively in a non-military emergency.

    I'm certainly struggling to my core to believe any of the official channels and MSM around Covid. The virologists may be right this time, but the last 20 years of BS from 9/11 through Russiagate, the Skripals, the MH17 shootdown etc etc ad nauseum makes my intellectual immune system automatically reject the mainstream "truth" (hence looking to non-MSM sites for alternate perspectives).

    I realised today that my personal social compact with the (NZ) government was basically dead – I no longer trust them to represent my best interests. A vast change in perspective over a few short years.

    Regardless of how Covid turns out, I suspect the next few months may be the nail in the Western political coffin. Some relationships are so broken they can't be repaired..

    [Mar 30, 2020] An excellent resource for fighting the coronavirus panic

    Mar 30, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Jane , Mar 29 2020 17:46 utc | 17

    An excellent resource for the coronavirus panic is https://swprs.org/a-swiss-doctor-on-covid-19/#latest compiled by Swiss Propaganda Research. "According to the latest data published by the Italian Ministry of Health, overall mortality is now significantly higher in all age groups over 65 years of age, after having been below average due to the mild winter. Until March 14, overall mortality was still below the flu season of 2016/2017, but may have already exceeded it in the meantime. Most of this excess mortality currently comes from northern Italy. However, the exact role of Covid19, compared to other factors such as panic, healthcare collapse and the lockdown itself, is not yet clear." These points were also made by Dr John Ionnadis in a recent interview. It should be mentioned that the statistics for deaths from flu and pneumonia are usually lumped together. So for example, the US had 80,463 deaths from "flu and pneumonia" in 2017; the UK 32,120. Pneumonia does a lot of killing, even in a year that doesn't put the whole world on lockdown. https://www.worldlifeexpectancy.com/united-kingdom-influenza-pneumonia

    Nathan Mulcahy , Mar 30 2020 2:21 utc | 127

    So what's the deal with Stanford Prof. John Ioannidis's take? He makes very good points.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d6MZy-2fcBw Dr John Ioannidis

    Similarly, lots of supporting information from Europe: https://swprs.org/a-swiss-doctor-on-covid-19/

    And here, two more Stanford professors
    https://web.archive.org/web/20200325103650/https://www.wsj.com/articles/is-the-coronavirus-as-deadly-as-they-say-11585088464 ">https://www.wsj.com/articles/is-the-coronavirus-as-deadly-as-they-say-11585088464">https://web.archive.org/web/20200325103650/https://www.wsj.com/articles/is-the-coronavirus-as-deadly-as-they-say-11585088464

    Then I see MSM's 24/7 coverage. Am I missing something?

    Peter AU1 , Mar 30 2020 3:04 utc | 131
    Nathan Mulcahy "Am I missing something?"

    The matching half of what is happening in Italy for starters. What those on the front lines are saying. Only trying to save those under sixty or sixty five due to lack of ventilators and so forth would have the effect of pushing the average age of the deceased up.

    There is much about large numbers of undiagnosed cases. This requires pulling numbers out of arses.

    Part the reason for the thinking on large numbers of undiagnosed cases is the belief that everyone will catch this disease. Spanish flue only hit about 20 - 25% of the population.

    Coronavirus cruise ships showing similar percentage. Possibly only 20 - 25% of the population will contract the virus resulting in various levels of illness.

    If this is the case, then deaths as a percentage of the population will be less, but mortality amongst those susceptible to the disease is higher.

    There is also percent damage amongst survivors to consider. Many critical cases that survive will suffer permanent lung damage. It will be some time before we have a good idea of how much permanent damage has been done to how many people, but this needs to be right up alongside deaths when looking at the human cost of the virus.

    [Mar 29, 2020] During the "War on Death" (see at Off-Guardian), the first two casualties, entirely wiped out the media, were actually the two actors that occupied most of it in the preceding weeks: migrants and demonstrators

    Mar 29, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Mina , Mar 28 2020 16:42 utc | 14

    During the "War on Death" (see at Off-Guardian), the first two casualties, entirely wiped out the media, were actually the two actors that occupied most of it in the preceding weeks: migrants and demonstrators. no need to ask cui bono?

    [Mar 29, 2020] COVID-19 The Craziest Things About America Highlighted by this Virus

    Mar 29, 2020 | consortiumnews.com

    ... ... ...

    The insanity of America's war machine has been highlighted as awareness grows during a global health emergency that government military spending negatively impacts government healthcare spending and the U.S. has the most bloated military budget on the planet. Now as journalist Max Blumenthal explains this war machine's escalating hostility toward China is causing Americans to needlessly die of the virus.

    America's fake political system has been highlighted as the Democratic Party's presumptive nominee completely vanished for a week and then returned to deliver an embarrassing string of befuddled interviews upon his return, reminding the nation once again that the Democrats are running an actual, literal dementia patient for the most powerful elected office in the world. Biden will of course be running against an incoherent reality TV star who only last week decided that the virus is indeed a real problem which needs to be seriously addressed, and who now already wants to begin rolling back the inadequate measures his administration implemented far too late. The debates between two men who don't understand what they're doing and can't string a sentence together between them will soon be broadcast around the world for all of civilization to behold.

    America's lying mass media are being highlighted with propagandistic lines that would make Kim Jong Un blush, like The New York Times describing the American medical system as "unsurpassed." We can safely expect U.S. media to get even more demented as they expand their hysteria-inducing new cold war propaganda campaign against Russia to China as well.

    America's murderous sanctions machine has been highlighted as the U.S. continues ramping up its economic warfare against Iranian civilians, with thousands already dead and potentially millions to follow due to Tehran's inability to access necessary equipment, medicine and resources during the pandemic. The Trump administration has not eased the sanctions during the outbreak, and has in fact added to them , because killing Iranian civilians has always been the goal. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo has gone on record to say that the objective is to make Iranian civilians so miserable and desperate that they overthrow their own government.

    So basically everything crazy about America is being amplified to absurd caricatures of its own insanity and highlighted for everyone to see. There's a lot of ugliness coming out into the light as a result of this virus, which may end up being one of its few perks for everyone. As they say of both viruses and governments, sunlight is the best disinfectant.

    Caitlin Johnstone is a rogue journalist, poet, and utopia prepper who publishes regularly at Medium . Follow her work on Facebook , Twitter , or her website . She has a podcast and a book, " Woke: A Field Guide for Utopia Preppers ."

    This article was re-published with permission.

    [Mar 29, 2020] The Propaganda Of Terror And Fear A Lesson From Recent History

    Mar 29, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com

    by Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2020 - 23:45 Authored by Dr Piers Robinson, Co-Director Organisation for Propaganda Studies, via Off-Guardian.org ,

    The ongoing and unfolding reactions to the Coronavirus look set to have wide-ranging and long-lasting effect on politics, society and economics. The drive to close down all activities is extraordinary as are the measures being promoted to isolate people from each other.

    The deep-rooted fear of contagious disease, hardwired into the collective consciousness by historical events such as the 'Black/Bubonic Plague' and maintained through popular culture (e.g. the Hollywood movies Outbreak and Contagion ), means that people are without question highly susceptible to accepting extreme emergency measures whether or not such measures are rational or justified. The New York Times called for America to be put on a war footing in order to deal with Corona whilst former Army General Stanley McChrystal has been invoking his 9/11 experience in order to prescribe lessons for today's leaders.

    At the same time, political actors are fully aware that these conditions of fear and panic provide a critical opportunity that can be exploited in order to pursue political, economic and societal objectives. It is very likely, however, that the dangers posed by the potential exploitation of Corona for broader political, economic and societal objectives latter far outweigh the immediate threat to life and health from the virus. A lesson from recent history is instructive here.

    9/11 AND THE GLOBAL 'WAR ON TERROR'

    The events of September 11 2001 represent a key moment in contemporary history. The destruction of three skyscrapers in New York after the impact of two airliners and an attack on the Pentagon, killing around 3000 civilians, shocked both American and global publics. The horror of seeing aircraft being flown into buildings, followed by the total destruction of three high rise buildings within a matter of seconds, and the spectre of a shadowy band of Islamic fundamentalists (Al Qaeda) having pulled off such devastating attacks, gripped the imagination of many in the Western world.

    It was in this climate of paranoia and fear that extraordinary policies were implemented. The USA Patriot Act led to significant civil liberty restrictions whilst the mass surveillance of the digital environment became normalized.

    In the United States torture was authorized in the name of preventing terrorism whilst the Guantanamo Bay facility in Cuba became a site in which accused individuals have been held without any adequate legal protection or due process.

    Remarkably, the individual accused of leading the alleged 9/11 plot, Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, who 'confessed' to CIA interrogators after being 'waterboarded' 183 times, has recently received his trial date , set for January 11 2021 and 20 years after 9/11. Civil liberty restrictions, mass surveillance and torture were only a sub-strand of the major war-fighting-policy that was enabled by 9/11.

    Presented at the time as America's 'New Pearl Harbour', 9/11 provided the conditions for a series of major regime-change wars which persist until today.

    Critically, these wars have not been primarily about combatting 'Islamic fundamentalist terrorism'/Al Qaeda, but rather attacking 'enemy' states. Indeed, the evidence that the 9/11 event and the alleged threat of 'Islamic fundamentalist' was then exploited in order to pursue a geo-politically motivated set of regime-change wars which had little connection to the purported Al Qaeda threat is well established.

    Former Supreme Allied Commander of NATO, Wesley Clark, famously went public in 2006/7 stating that immediately after 9/11 he had been informed that the US was intending to attack seven countries within five years including Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Somalia, Sudan and Iran. Clark stated:

    He [the Joint Staff officer] picked up a piece of paper, he said I just got this down from upstairs, from the Secretary of Defence's office today, and he said this is a memo that describes how we are gonna take out seven countries in five years, starting with Iraq and then Syria, Lebanon, Libya, Somalia, Sudan, and finishing off Iran.

    Clark's claims have recently been corroborated by retired Colonel Lawrence Wilkerson (chief of staff to Colin Powell and Iraq War planner) who stated that he had actually seen the same plans Clark was referring to many months prior to 9/11:

    My first briefing in the Pentagon from an Air Force three-star general in February of 2001 I almost fell of my chair because their briefing included on the one hand the Air Force's ability to take out 80 to 90% of the targets in North Korea in the first few hours of an aerial strike on that country to hey when we do Iraq we're gonna do Syria and Lebanon and we're going to do Iran and maybe Egypt but this was more than that [just contingency planning] Wes Clark is right they had these plans they were going to go right through all these countries that they felt threatened Israel all through those countries that they felt threatened 25-30% of the world's oil passing through the Strait of Hormuz.

    Documentary evidence for these claims has come by way of the UK Chilcot Inquiry into the 2003 Iraq War. For example, a report quoted a British embassy cable, dated 15 September 2001, explained that '[t]he "regime-change hawks" in Washington are arguing that a coalition put together for one purpose [against international terrorism] could be used to clear up other problems in the region.' Another document released by Chilcot shows British Prime Minister Tony Blair and US President George Bush discussing phases one and two of the 'war on terror' and when to hit particular countries. Blair writes:

    If toppling Saddam is a prime objective, it is far easier to do it with Syria and Iran in favour or acquiescing rather than hitting all three at once.

    The regime-change wars that have flowed directly and indirectly from 9/11 continue to this day. War and conflict continues in Afghanistan and Iraq whilst the nine-year-long war in Syria has borne witness to extensive and illegal policies pursued by Western governments including the funding and arming of extremist groups coupled with support for groups actually aligned with Al Qaeda . Iran continues to be subjected to US hybrid warfare tactics including sanctions and covert operations whilst the threat of military action is very clear and present.

    The human cost of these wars, built upon the ruthless exploitation of public fear of terrorism in order to pursue multiple 'regime-change' wars, has been huge. According to the Brown University 'Costs of War Project', the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq have killed a combined 480,000 to 507,000 civilians , coalition military members, and foreign fighters, with an untold number having been maimed and disfigured. IPPNW estimated that the first ten years of the 'war on terror' in Afghanistan, Iraq and Pakistan killed 1.3 million people.

    Since 2011, in Syria alone, over 400,000 people have died as a result of war. The numbers of people displaced as a result of these conflicts are also extremely high; wars in Afghanistan, Iraq, Pakistan, and Syria have wrought a combined 9.39 million refugees, 10.78 million internally displaced peoples, and 830,000 asylum seekers. In addition, there are persisting and very serious concerns with respect to the possible involvement of state actors with the event of 9/11.

    Recent and critical developments regarding the events of 9/11 include the publication this week of the University of Alaska study of the WTC7 Collapse which confirms that the official US government investigation was wrong if not plain fraudulent. Other important developments include publication last year of the 9/11 Consensus Panel evidence and increasing scrutiny of the official narrative from mainstream academics .

    Overall, the 9/11 global 'war on terror' is increasingly coming to be understood particularly across the world as, first and foremost, a remarkable propaganda campaign designed to enable violent conflict in the international system and with its effects and objectives being far wider and deeper than had been suggested by official narratives regarding the need to combat Al Qaeda.

    CORONA VIRUS: A NEW 9/11?

    The lesson of 9/11 is that major events can become what scholar Peter Dale Scott describes as deep events which are exploited by political actors in order to precipitate and manage major political, economic and social shifts. 9/11 became, in effect, the deep event that enabled 20 years of unfettered Western warfare abroad and severe civil liberty restrictions and extensive surveillance at home.

    At the time of 9/11 many people in the West were terrified of terrorism. Public opposition to the invasion of Afghanistan (the first regime war to flow within months of 9/11) was almost impossible without being accused of being reckless in the 'fight against terrorism' or of being an 'Al Qaeda' sympathizer. Muslims throughout the West were widely despised. US President George Bush declared that 'you are either with us or against us'. The parallels with what is happening today are obvious.

    Is the Coronavirus a new 9/11, a new deep event? We cannot yet be sure, as of this writing. Perhaps the current strategy of suspending basic liberties will work to effectively eliminate all threats posed by the virus. Governments will then restore the civil liberties currently being suspended and all will fairly quickly return to the way things were before. Perhaps the economy will confidently weather the fallout from the 'lockdowns' and everything will return to business as usual.

    And perhaps a sober 'lessons learned' review will lead to public health officials developing reasonable and balanced plans, such as developing sufficient capacity for rapid testing and tracing, which can be deployed the next time a sufficiently dangerous virus starts to spread thus avoiding terrifying publics and implementing draconian measures that inflict significant damage to the social and economic fabric of society.

    Or perhaps not. It may be that, as British journalist Peter Hitchens has been warning , the loss of liberty and basic rights will continue indefinitely as governments greedily hold on to their increased powers of control over their citizenry.

    Similarly, Italian journalist Stefania Maurizi has warned about the risks in Italy of state authorities, hostile to open societies and the political left, exploiting Corona in order to increase their control.

    An obvious concern here is whether there will be a permanent impact on mass gatherings and protests. James Corbett warns of a permanent state of 'medical martial law' and there is certainly the very real possibility of the normalization of government-imposed quarantine and other freedom of movement restrictions.

    Margaret Kimberley of the US-based Black Agenda Report warns that Corona may be used as a way of covering up both economic crisis and collapse . She notes that the Federal Reserve 'recently threw Wall Street a $1.5 trillion lifeline which only kicked the can down the road. The can has been kicked ever since the Great Recession of 2008'. The likely destruction of small businesses might allow for ever greater corporate choke-hold on the economy with more people forced into the corporate workforce.

    There is certainly the danger that COVID-19 will be exploited in order to distract from severe economic problems whilst also enabling the pursuit of new economic strategies which worsen rather than mitigate the social inequalities that already tarnish Western countries.

    And, of course those actors behind the regime-change wars that flowed from 9/11 may use the Coronavirus to increase pressure on the countries they have been targeting for the last 20 years and those they wish to target in the future.

    Already we have seen the regime-change advocate John Bolton blaming China for the Corona Virus whilst the New York Times reported that US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and national security adviser Robert C. O'Brien were 'arguing that tough action while Iran's leaders were battling the corona virus ravaging the country could finally push then into direct negotiations'.

    ABC news report that, despite the Coronavirus, US and UAE troops have held a major military exercise 'that saw forces seize a sprawling model Mideast city'. It is also worth nothing here the recent US assassination of Iranian General Solemeni and the on-going proxy battles between US forces and Iranian-backed groups in Iraq. The possibility of Corona being exploited in order to further the regime change wars we have seen over the last 20 years is extremely likely and it would be naïve in the extreme to think otherwise.

    Whatever the COVID-19 event may or may not be, the fundamental lesson of the last 20 years is that governments can and do exploit, even manipulate, events in order to pursue political, social, military and economic objectives. Fearful populations are frequently irrational ones, vulnerable and malleable. Now is not the time for deference to authority and reluctance to speak out.

    It is time for publics to get informed, think calmly and rationally, and to robustly scrutinize and challenge what their governments are doing. The dangers of failing to do this likely far surpass the immediate threat posed by the Coronavirus.

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    [Mar 28, 2020] Looks like in Italy Coronavirus mostly speed up the demise of already severely sick and very old persons.

    Mar 28, 2020 | www.unz.com

    Brabantian , says: Show Comment March 27, 2020 at 4:31 pm GMT

    Extensive details from medical professionals, on just what an exaggerated scam this coronavirus Covid-19 panic is

    In reality, what we have is a somewhat worse flu season 99% affecting the elderly and chronically ill, e.g., a young person dying turned out to have hidden leukemia

    'A Swiss Doctor on Covid-19'
    published by Swiss Propaganda Research
    https://swprs.org/a-swiss-doctor-on-covid-19/
    also here
    https://www.globalresearch.ca/swiss-doctor-covid-19/5707642
    (Much material is below the original article and footnotes, in the daily updates toward the bottom)

    [Hide MORE]

    Most major media falsely report that Italy has up to 800 deaths per day from the coronavirus. In reality, the president of the Italian Civil Protection Service stresses that these are deaths WITH the coronavirus and not FROM the coronavirus. In other words, these persons died while also testing positive [not nececessarily causal]

    Between those who died *from* the coronavirus and those who died *with* the coronavirus, it is not clear whether the person died from the pre-existing chronic diseases

    Renowned Italian virologist Giulio Tarro argues that the mortality rate of Covid19 is below 1% even in Italy and is therefore comparable to influenza. The higher values only arise because no distinction is made between deaths with and by Covid19 and because the number of (symptom-free) infected persons is greatly underestimated.

    Stanford Professor John Ioannidis showed that the age-corrected lethality of Covid19 is between 0.025% and 0.625%, i.e. in the range of a strong cold or the flu

    A Japanese study showed that of all the test-positive cruise passengers, and despite high average age, 48% remained completely symptom-free; even among the 80-89 year olds 48% remained symptom-free, while among 70 to 79 year olds it was an astounding 60% that developed no symptoms at all.

    The Italian example has shown that 99% of test-positive deaths had one or more pre-existing conditions, and even among these, only 12% of the death certificates mentioned Covid19 as a causal factor.

    Average age of the positively-tested deceased in Italy is currently about 81 years. 10% of the deceased are over 90 years old. 90% of the deceased are over 70 years old.

    80% of the deceased had suffered from two or more chronic diseases. 50% of the deceased had suffered from three or more chronic diseases.

    Less than 1% of deceased were healthy persons

    Northern Italy has one of the oldest populations and the worst air quality in Europe, which had already led to an increased number of respiratory diseases and deaths in the past

    Italian newspaper Corriere della Sera points out that Italian intensive care units already collapsed under the marked flu wave in 2017/2018.

    Argentinean virologist and biochemist Pablo Goldschmidt explains that Covid19 is no more dangerous than a bad cold or the flu.

    Dr. Goldschmidt speaks of a „global terror" created by the media and politics. Every year, he says, three million newborns worldwide and 50,000 adults in the US alone die of pneumonia.

    German Professor Karin Moelling, former Chair of Medical Virology at the University of Zurich, stated in an interview that Covid19 is „no killer virus" and that „panic must end".

    Countries like South Korea and Japan that introduced no lockdown measures have experienced near-zero excess mortality in connection with Covid-19

    Swiss deaths so far were also high-risk patients with chronic diseases, an average age of more than 80 years and a maximum age of 97 years

    According to all current data, for the healthy general population of school and working age, a mild to moderate course of Covid-19 can be expected.

    Official data on deaths from pneumonia in the US. There are usually between 3000 and 5500 deaths per week and thus significantly more than the current figures for Covid19

    [Mar 28, 2020] NYT bad habit of falling for falling for frauds and making them famous

    Highly recommended!
    Mar 26, 2020 | www.unz.com

    Stephen Paul Foster , says: Website Show Comment March 25, 2020 at 11:17 am GMT

    @niteranger "For example, New York Times Columnist Nicholas Kristof on Sunday reported the disheartening analysis of Dr. Neil Ferguson of Britain, one of the world's leading epidemiologists."

    Nicholas Kristoff has the bad habit of falling for falling for frauds and making them famous. "Three cups of tea" for starters. He's got a long track record of peddling fake stuff.

    [Mar 28, 2020] May be the virus is the Nature s immune system, and we are the virus.

    Mar 23, 2020 | www.youtube.com

    Kurt D. , 8 hours ago

    It's Nature's immune system, we are the virus.

    [Mar 28, 2020] No one of normal intelligence can avoid being a skeptic. We are all skeptics these days. The MSM is nothing but a lie-box, the blaring loudspeakers on every corner pouring out disinformation 24/7

    Mar 28, 2020 | www.unz.com

    anonymous [400] Disclaimer , says: Show Comment March 26, 2020 at 10:13 pm GMT

    There are inevitably skeptics

    No one of normal intelligence can avoid being a skeptic. We are all skeptics these days. The MSM is nothing but a lie-box, the blaring loudspeakers on every corner pouring out disinformation 24/7. So if the story is that this is a killer virus many people assume just the opposite. It's clearly a golden opportunity for a massive power grab as well as tapping into the public till. Can't blame people for having become reflexive cynics. When the music stops we'll see who ends up with the chairs.

    [Mar 28, 2020] It is irresponsible to spread panic

    Mar 28, 2020 | angrybearblog.com

    Angry Bear " Mobile morgues in preparation

    Dan Crawford | March 27, 2020 8:48 pm

    Healthcare I just received this as a text from an ICU worker in a medium size hospital not in NY, CA, Washington, Illinois, nor Louisiana.
    1. Ken Houghton , March 27, 2020 11:20 pm

      Posting pictures from NJ , eh, Dan?

    2. likbez , March 28, 2020 1:04 am

      > Posting pictures from NJ, eh, Dan?

      It is irresponsible to spread panic in such cases.

      From what I see the spread of the virus is slightly slowing in the USA starting from March 21.

      It is still exponential but with lower base. So Trump assertion that in the second half of April the epidemic might subside is not completely out of touch with reality.

      Also effects from the measures which were put in place since March 11 only now start coming into play.

      I notices more and more people are wearing masks in public places.

      In some countries (Czech Republic is one example) appearance without a mask in public places now is a punishable offence.

      In Russia breaking mandatory 14 day quarantine for those who arrives from abroad is a punishable offence.

      Human societies are highly adaptable. Also losses so far did not lead to increased morality. Actually it is the first pandemic in history in which average weekly morality in certain countries either stayed the same or dropped. GB in February is one example.

      To provide you a proper perspective, the number of victims from COVID-19 for three month of the epidemic existence is slightly less than the number of births in three hours

      The UNICEF estimates that an average of 353,000 babies are born each day around the world.

    [Mar 27, 2020] Fauci backtracking on the severity of COVID started

    Mar 27, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Allen , Mar 27 2020 13:43 utc | 197

    It appears that Oz himself is backtracking a bit on the severity of COVID:

    On the basis of a case definition requiring a diagnosis of pneumonia, the currently reported case fatality rate is approximately 2%.4 In another article in the Journal, Guan et al.5 report mortality of 1.4% among 1099 patients with laboratory-confirmed Covid-19; these patients had a wide spectrum of disease severity.

    If one assumes that the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases, the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%. This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%) or a pandemic influenza (similar to those in 1957 and 1968) rather than a disease similar to SARS or MERS, which have had case fatality rates of 9 to 10% and 36%, respectively.

    - Anthony Fauci

    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe2002387

    [Mar 27, 2020] As of 19 March 2020, COVID-19 is no longer considered to be a high consequence infectious diseases (HCID) in the UK

    Mar 27, 2020 | www.theamericanconservative.com

    robt Ossian the Bard 11 hours ago

    From the UK Government: Status of COVID-19

    As of 19 March 2020, COVID-19 is no longer considered to be a high consequence infectious diseases (HCID) in the UK....They have determined that several features have now changed; in particular, more information is available about mortality rates (low overall), and there is now greater clinical awareness and a specific and sensitive laboratory test, the availability of which continues to increase.

    The Advisory Committee on Dangerous Pathogens (ACDP) is also of the opinion that COVID-19 should no longer be classified as an HCID.
    https://www.gov.uk/guidance...