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COVID-19 fearmongering

MSM dirty dance around human mortality

In China already over 70% of its 80,000+ Coronavirus patients have made a full recovery

 

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It looks like healthy people younger then 60 have little to fear but fear itself. But fear is addictive and it looks like panic, including panic buying had spread in the USA, fueled by irresponsible and often evil MSM fearmongering.  For example, reporting deaths from the virus neoliberal MSM do not split it by age groups as this would decrease the level of fear in the population ( and their profits ). Also reporting just the number of death from the virus, not the deviation form the average number of deaths for a week or a month or so artificially increases panic.

Reporting  deaths from the virus neoliberal MSM do not split  it by age groups as this would decrease the level of fear in the population ( and their profits ).   Also reporting just the number of death from the virus, not the deviation form the average number of deaths for a week or a month or so artificially increases panic.

Panic and fear artificially incited by neoliberal MSM and cowardice to face the risks immanent in any epidemics (as well as driving the  car) is doing more damage than the disease itself.  They provoked the wave of panic hoarding in the USA which started in February with  isopropyl alcohol and hand sanitizer (which in early March reached $60 fro 8 ounces bottle on Amazon ;-)  but spread starting from March 10 to many other products categories including paper towels, bathroom tissue, all types of sanitizers and non perishable food.

Sometime media coverage looks like a complete 100% departure from reality.  More people will die in Yemen and Syria each day going forward, and no one cares. Many old people will serious chronic condition who are die from coronavirus induced pneumonia would die from flu induced bakterial pneumonia the same year as they are too weak to resist even flu.  Winter is a very bad season for such people in any case.

Of course, another extreme is fatalism as expressed by Paul Bogdanich in his post at moonofalabama.org (Mar 11 2020 )

I should have clarified, I'm an American living in the United States. That said, it bothers me. The absolute lack of any detectable level of courage or fortitude in the face of diversity (hard times) is just stunning. Old people die. Everyone dies over time. Viruses like the flu or SARS, or COVID-19 accelerate that process from time to time. It's just what viruses do. There is no cure for either death or viruses. If you want, the biblical "Ye shall surely die."

Even in advanced age life has meaning and is exciting when you're solving concrete problems heling your family or community, or humanity as a whole. Many outstanding achievements were made people over 70 year old (Verdi wrote Otello at 74  and Falstaff (1893) being 80) People over 70 now dominate presidential race in the USA ;-) And unlike fatalists thinking, we do not need to apply to our life the moral metrics which are appropriate only to communities who live on a verge of survival. Loosing some part of annual national income to save lives via quarantine is affordable. Mass testing is a sure way to improve cost efficiency of quarantines and similar measures during virus epidemics. Retired people can and should stay home and avoid situation where they can catch the infection. Reckless behaviour during  virus epidemics is a crime and need to be punished appropriately.

But it is true that the panic can do more damage than the virus itself. And that we need an objective perspective to access the level of threat inherent in this virus epidemics. In the USA a reasonable threshold for classifying the treat as serious  are probably events that exceed car fatalities. In 2016  National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) registered 37,461 killed, an average of 102 per day.

In the USA a reasonable threshold for classifying the treat as serious  are probably events that exceed car fatalities. Which means around 40K people killed per year with the average over 100 per day. The society accepts this level of fatalities as normal, so why this virus epidemics should be treated differently ? Nobody stops driving cars because of this level of risk.

We are still in single digits of victims per day with COVID-19. It did proved high infectious. But there is highly infectious and highly deadly pathogens are two distinct group that do not mix. It is as if viruses  need to make choice between high mortality and high transmission: viruses that kill their host, before the host infects others,  die with the host and this can't kill many hosts without eliminating themselves as well.

With this coronavirus, there seems to be a larger then usual window (aka incubation period) during which a person can be infected and transmitting the virus, without having symptoms. In a way this is a rather "clever" virus. But long incubation period does not eliminates biological reason why highly infectious viruses should evolve to become less deadly in order to succeed.

While the US government of Mar 13 declared  the coronavirus a US national emergency and offered $50 billion for support of state and local governments to fight the virus with FEMA,  additional measures will not have an immediate effect.  But they will definitely slow down the spread of virus "flattening" the epidemics curve and this allowing more paciet to survive.

The current dynamic of epidemic in the USA and the world so far is exponential growth of cases with most infections clustered in just  half-dozen countries. Which is typical for an early stage of virus epidemic. Excluding China which now is past its peak and is in decline, the other fastest growing  hotspots are Italy, Iran, Spain and France. As of Mar 10, 2020 in the USA -- only three states  --  Washington State, New York, and  California have over 100 cases: 

Confirmed cases for the past 10 days for countries and U.S. states with >100 new confirmed cases as of March 10:

Country/State   3/1   3/2   3/3   3/4   3/5   3/6   3/7   3/8   3/9  3/10

Italy           566   342   466   587   769   778  1247  1492  1797  1977
Iran            385   523   835   586   591  1234  1076   743   595   881
Spain            39    36    45    57    37   141   100   173   400   622
France           30    61    13    81    92   276   296   177    83   575
Germany          51    29    37    66   220   188   129   241   136   281
US, Washington                                                        267
Norway            4     6     7    24    31    21    39    29    29   195
US, New York                                                          173
Denmark           1     0     2     4     0    13     0    12    55   172
US, California                                                        144
Switzerland       9    15    14    34    24   100    54    69    37   117
Sweden            2     1     6    14    59     7    60    42    45   107

Posted by: S | Mar 11 2020 18:43 utc | 42 

A a typical flu epidemic in the USA infects tens of million people and cause approx 20-50K fatalities per year (somewhere between 0.1% and 1%)  but does not create any headlines in neoliberal MSM.  According to the CDC’s weekly US flu report of February 22, 2020,

“So far this season there have been at least 32 million flu illnesses, 310,000 hospitalizations and 18,000 deaths from flu.”

For comparison the mortality rate in South Korea, where more than 1,100 tests have been administered per million residents, comes out to just 0.6% and concentrated in the old and/or with chronic conditions. In view of USA media hysteria about Coronavirus COVID-19, we need to concentrate on facts, not fears.  Here is Craig Murray comparison with the Hong Kong flu pandemic of 1968/9:

The Hong Kong flu pandemic of 1968/9 was the last really serious flu pandemic to sweep the UK. They do seem extraordinarily regular – 1919, 1969 and 2020. Flu epidemics have much better punctuality than the trains (though I cheated a bit there and left out the 1958 “Asian flu”). Nowadays “Hong Kong flu” is known as H3N2. Estimates for deaths it caused worldwide vary from 1 to 4 million. In the UK it killed an estimated 80,000 people.

If the current coronavirus had appeared in 1968, it would simply have been called “flu”, probably “Wuhan flu”. COVID-19 may not be nowadays classified as such, but in my youth flu is definitely what we would have called it. The Hong Kong flu was very similar to the current outbreak in being extremely contagious but with a fairly low mortality rate. 30% of the UK population is estimated to have been infected in the Hong Kong flu pandemic. The death rate was about 0.5%, mostly elderly or with underlying health conditions.

But there was no massive panic, no second by second media hysteria, over Hong Kong flu. Let me start being unpopular. “Man in his 80’s already not very well from previous conditions, dies of flu” is not and should not be a news headline. The coverage is prurient, intrusive, unbalanced and designed to cause hysteria.

Diamond Princess liner  represents the perfect environment for the spread of the virus.  Thousands of people jammed in a small place serviced by a single ventilation system…..it’s virus heaven. Surely all on board are dead by now? Well no.

The reality is that most of the deceased presented with existing pathologies, for example, chronic lung disease (often due to smoking), impaired immune response, pre-existing age related illness and disability, latent infections (esp. TB), use of pharmaceutical product (whether prescribed or not), other infection types, poor nutrition (never, ever underestimate the deleterious effects of junk food), etc. Not all the patients were tested for the corona virus either - so how do we even begin to think we know what they had going on?

As Trump tweeted ‘So last year 37,000 Americans died from the common Flu. It averages between 27,000 and 70,000 per year. Nothing is shut down, life & the economy go on. At this moment there are 546 confirmed cases of CoronaVirus, with 22 deaths. Think about that!’

He made a fair point, but that does not excuse him sleeping for two months and not preparing to the  epidemics. Several factors determined the USA response:

All in all it is clear the that US administration do not have any plan and improvised as infection unfold. Here we can mention a highly negative, unprofessional  role of National Institute of Allergy and Infections Diseases (NIAID) Director Dr. Anthony Fauci. It looks like he is one trick poly, an advocate of vaccinations (does he hold stocks related to vaccination is unknown) . In context of this epidemic after sleeping two months, he started advocating taking drastic measure in order to "flatten the curve" without providing any data that can convince us that such a flattening is needed  (The Last Refuge ):

The concept of “flattening” the virus curve; the presumptive reason for social distancing; is based on a theory to extend the spread of COVID-19 to a lesser incident rate over a longer duration, thereby lessening the burden on the U.S. healthcare system.  Hence, ‘flatten’ the spike in infections.

Put another way: “Flattening” means the same number of people eventually contract the virus, only they do so over a longer period of time, and the healthcare system can treat everyone because the numbers do not rise to level where the system is overloaded.  In theory that seems to make sense.

However, no-one is asking: what is the current stress level on the healthcare system right now?  Where are we in that capacity?… and what is normal capacity level during a high-level flu outbreak?… and Where are we when compared against that baseline?

Again, Dr. Fauci slept like the rest of Trump administration for two months and suddenly in mid March started to give alarmist  interviews, several a day,  provoking overreaction.  Later he admitted that his based on zero facts fearmongering "worst case scenario" about several million victims was wrong and was exaggerated at least ten times, but it was too late. A SHOCKING CORRECTION Dr. Fauci Went from a Possible 1.7 Million US Deaths Due to Coronavirus to a Possible 200,000 US Deaths. In reality, there probably will be less then 60K deaths in the USA. The damage tot he economy was already done. Instead of establishing in January a mission in Korea and studying the disease,  he was caught without pants. 

The reaction of neoliberal MSM seems to be utterly and totally disproportionate to the risk. When  all official information sources march in lock-step you can reasonably assume some sort of mind-fuck is underway.

But how high risk and what kind of risk could COVID-19 represent? I can only speculate but a few possibilities present themselves. (Remember I’m referring to the reaction here, not the virus itself).

For a start the economic impact of the panic will be considerable. Stocks and bonds will crash precipitously. Millions of investors will be ruined. Nobody knows how far the drop can go.

Wealthy investors could end up buying assets for a fraction of their true worth. It’s happened before on multiple occasions. Then there’s Big Pharma which is sitting on a potential gold mine

MSM dirty dance around human mortality is very annoing.  Risk is clearly tolerated less these days, safety measures are everywhere. But life of ordinary people under neoliberalism is not valued. BS jobs, junk food, subprime and expensive healthcare, crude “entertainment”.

Also significant percentage of those who will die from COVID-19 would die from flu too.

  • utu says:Show Comment
    @Anonymous (n)
    60,000 people die every month in Italy. Many of them old. Now we have 1,000 reported dead due to the Covid-19. Most of them old. Many of them would have died anyway from some cold or flu that would further aggravate their poor state of health. This year Covid-19 got there first.

     

  • Monotonous Languor says:Show Comment
  • March 13, 2020 at 7:03 am GMT • 300 Words

    After sober analysis, extensive reading, and careful assessment of each and every fact either directly or indirectly related to COVID19, I am now fully convinced of the following:

    – The virus was deliberately created by aliens from the Betelgeuse solar system, who have been secretly spying on our planet for the last 200 years.
    – The Betelgeusians have developed a supremely accurate quantum computer model (“It’s Quantum!”) of our species, which predicts what various factions of humanity will do given any set of specific circumstances and inputs.
    – The Betelgeusians, in their infinite wisdom, have decided to re-balance various factions of humanity here on earth, depending on their projected threat to other populations and the planet in general.
    – After running various scenarios through their quantum computer (“It’s Quantum!”), the results for advancing an optimal future became obvious.
    – The COVID19 was created specifically to attack Italians, Iranians, and Han Chinese.
    – In their computer simulation (“It’s Quantum!”), those three groups were considered most egregiously able to perpetrate negative effects on the rest of humanity in the future.
    – Therefore, the Betelgeusians made the onerous decision to create and release the virus.
    – Various intended consequences were also the result of the simulation (“It’s Quantum!”); these include vituperation and blowback on the US Deep State embedded for lo! these many years.
    – A popular mass uprising will take effect against the Derp State, and leftism/progressivism will finally be tossed out on its collective ear all over Western Civilization. It will be so thoroughly maligned, that it will finally end up on the ash heap of history, never to return.
    – The Betelgeusians will surreptitiously introduce an antidote into the ecosphere, thereby eradicating all further related susceptibility and deaths.
    – The Betelgeusians will look down on their handiwork with benign satisfaction.
    – Western Civilization will again have a chance to flourish like never before, entering a new Renaissance, and everybody will live happily ever after.

    There… don’t you like my story much better than all the other nonsense you’ve been pummeled with lately? (You can thank me later.)


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    [Aug 02, 2020] Dems will keep their knee on the throat of small businesses for as long as they possibly can for the sole purpose of crippling the economy to defeat Trump in November

    Aug 02, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com


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    Old White Guy , 3 hours ago

    Democrat politicians will keep their knee on the throat of small businesses for as long as they possibly can for the sole purpose of crippling the economy to defeat Trump in November. They don't care about the damage this causes. Keeping schools closed in the fall will result in single parents staying home from work to care for their kids. At very least it stifles the economy.

    Send kids back to school, the majority wants this.

    Vote in person November 3rd, make your vote count.

    kaiserhoffredux , 3 hours ago

    Exactly. There is no logic, reason, or precedent for quarantining healthy people.

    To stop a virus, of all things? Ridiculous.

    Ignatius , 2 hours ago

    They've perverted the language as regards "cases."

    A person could test positive and it might well be the most healthy situation: his body encountered the virus, fought it off, and now though asymptomatic, retains antibodies from a successful body response. The irony is that what I've described is the very response the vaxx pushers expect from their vaccines.

    Shameless political posturing.

    coletrickle45 , 2 hours ago

    So if you have 99 - 99.8% chance of surviving this faux virus

    But a 100% chance of destroying lives through poverty, bankruptcy, small business collapse, job losses, domestic abuse, depression, anxiety, fear.

    What would you choose? Cost benefit analysis seems pretty obvious.

    Gold Banit , 2 hours ago

    Most people just regurgitate things they hear, they have lost the ability of creative and free thought.They have been deliberately dumbed down. The entire system has created a mutant society which is easy to control and manipulate.

    "The media's the most powerful entity on earth. They have the power to make the innocent guilty and to make the guilty innocent, and that's power. Because they control the minds of the masses." ― Malcolm X ay_arrow

    sensibility , 2 hours ago

    The COVID-19 Hoax has "Nothing" to do with "Real" Science, It's 100% about "Political" Science.

    Therefore, No Matter What, Politicians will Bend and Manipulate this for "Political" Gain.

    Who Stirred and Exposed the Swamp?

    The Swamp Inhabitants Desperately Want & Intend to do Whatever it Takes to Return to the Old Pre Trump Days of Operating Above the Law Without Exposure and Impunity.

    Consequently, Those who Support the COVID-19 Hoax are Swamp Members & Supporters.

    Know your Adversary!

    monty42 , 2 hours ago

    Trump didn't drain, stir, or expose the swamp, sorry that dog don't hunt. He has appointed recycled establishment swamp creatures his entire term. He appointed Fauci to the Covidian Taskforce. He says wearing masks is patriotic.

    The promises he made his followers did not manifest. Another 4 years after being lied to is just the same old routine, nothing new.

    Until you people are honest about the reality of the situation, you'll never stop the cycle of D/R destruction.

    [Aug 02, 2020] Politics, Not Science, Is Keeping Schools Closed -

    Aug 02, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com


    Politics, Not Science, Is Keeping Schools Closed


    by Tyler Durden Sat, 08/01/2020 - 09:20 Twitter Facebook Reddit Email Print

    Authored by Yinon Weiss via RealClearPolitics.com,

    Politicians speak about following the science to set COVID-19 policy, but their decisions are more about political objectives than they are about medical efficacy.

    Why else did California Gov. Gavin Newsom shut down retail businesses in March when the state had under 300 cases per day but allow them to be open in July when the state clocked in at over 10,000 cases per day?

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    Why else would Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear allow liquor stores to stay open but close down churches? Why did Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer insist that buying lottery tickets remain legal but made it illegal to buy garden supplies ? And how did New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo use "science" to prohibit outdoor funerals but allow outdoor protests?

    But as badly as our lockdowns have damaged local businesses, a potentially even bigger problem is created by the physical closure of schools. One of the most important functions of a civil society is to protect and educate its children, and the cancellation of in-person education stands to become one of the most detrimental acts of collateral damage during this pandemic.

    California currently expects its 5-year-olds to complete kindergarten exclusively through online distance learning. For this dubious undertaking, the politicians are given passionate political cover. The Los Angeles Teachers Union maintains that "the only people guaranteed to benefit from the premature reopening of schools amidst a rapidly accelerating pandemic are billionaires and the politicians they've purchased" -- as if billionaires typically send their kids to L.A. public schools. The wealthy will send their children to in-person private schools or hire additional tutors, while most American families will suffer from a widening education gap that could set their kids back years. Worst of all, none of this is medically substantiated.

    Children Are Safe

    There is a great deal of fear generated in the media about risk to children, but the truth is that children are incredibly resistant to coronavirus. So much so that children are far more likely to die from the flu , or even just from driving to school, than from COVID-19.

    The CDC has recorded a total of 20 COVID-19 deaths in children ages 5-14 compared to almost 2,000 deaths from non-COVID causes in the same time period for the same age group. It means children have been 100 times more likely to die from non-COVID causes during the pandemic than from COVID. This puts the risk of COVID death for children 5 to 14 in the same ballpark as deaths by lightning .

    Claims of long-term damage or mystery illnesses have not been backed by any definitive evidence and they therefore serve more as a scare and intimidation tactic than as a medical guide. The truth is that children so far have had around a 1 in 20,000 rate of COVID-19 hospitalizations, according to the CDC. While controversial to some, Sweden's policy of keeping primary schools open even at the height of the pandemic serves as an excellent counterpoint. With over 1 million children, Sweden did not have a single death of a school-aged child despite full attendance and no masks.

    Sweden is not alone in sending kids to school. Denmark opened its schools back up in April. Finland kept normal class sizes when it reopened. Parts of Montana opened schools back in May, as did parts of Canada and Germany. The Netherlands announced that Dutch students didn't even need to socially distance anymore as they experienced very low transmission rates. Schools all across Europe have reopened successfully, both with and without masks. The risk to the children themselves therefore cannot be used as a justification for the massive damage created by ceasing in-person education. But what about the teachers?

    Transmission From Children to Adults Is Rare

    Science magazine, a preeminent journal that dates to 1880, recently published a comprehensive analysis studying school reopenings around the world and concluded that " younger children rarely spread the virus to one another or bring it home. "

    A study in Switzerland, including a review of World Health Organization contact tracing, failed to find evidence of a single case of a child passing coronavirus to an adult . A comprehensive study in Iceland isolated SARS-CoV-2 samples from every positive case, sequenced the virus genome, and tracked the mutation patterns. This analysis, along with contact tracing, allowed researchers to identify definitively who passed the virus to whom. The study concluded "[E]ven if children do get infected, they are less likely to transmit the disease to others than adults. We have not found a single instance of a child infecting parents." A study of schools in Ireland found " no evidence of secondary transmission of COVID-19 from children attending school. "

    New Zealand conducted a study across 15 schools in which 18 individuals with COVID-19 were in close contact with 735 other students and 128 staff members, yet no teacher or staff member contacted COVID-19 from any of the initial 18 cases and only two students out of the 735 would later test positive. The New Zealand study concluded: "Our investigation found no evidence of children infecting teachers."

    Cases and close contacts among teachers and students in 10 New Zealand high schools showing one secondary case in a student. Source: "COVID-19 in Schools – the Experience in NSW"

    Denmark, The Netherlands, Finland, Belgium, and Austria all opened schools and " found no evidence of increased spread of the novel coronavirus after schools reopened. " The same was found in scientific studies in France , Sweden , and Germany . A leading British epidemiologist goes even further to claim there is not a single known case of a teacher being infected of coronavirus from a student anywhere in the world.

    Since there could still be a rare school outbreak, such as experienced in Israel, students with high-risk household members should be given a distance education option, and teachers who believe themselves or their households to be at high risk should be allowed to teach remotely, balancing the risk for all parties. This way healthy students can be be educated by healthy teachers. With science overwhelmingly pointing to reopening schools, why do so many schools intend to remain closed?

    The Politics of Teaching

    If children are at minimal risk, transmission to adults is rare, and both can be accommodated with optional distance learning, why are some schools suspending all in-person education? It's certainly not because of the parents, who would be the last people to send their children into a dangerous situation. The vast majority of parents support reopening schools with modifications, perhaps because they best understand the cost-benefit of depriving their children of a full education.

    The reason many schools won't open, just like why so many places originally locked down, comes back to fear and politics. The Los Angeles' teachers union, for example, recently came out with a list of demands before returning to teach in person. These included defunding the police, ending charter schools, "Medicare for All," and a new wealth tax . It was not until the union came out with these demands that Newsom announced closure of nearly all schools in California -- overriding individual school districts that had planned to open.

    In a brazen announcement, the union put in bold words the conclusion of their argument: "Normal wasn't working for us before. We can't go back" – openly conveying that this negotiation was more about changing what they didn't like about American education and society before the pandemic, and certainly not about what is best for children. Despite overwhelming scientific evidence pointing to the safety of school reopenings, union President Cecily Myart-Cruz labeled doing so " anti-science ." Yet, it's also no wonder that so many teachers have concern for their safety now, as media outlets like CNN continue to run sensationalized stories building up school reopenings as dangerous while downplaying the actual science and evidence.

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    Day Care at School Gives the Game Away

    Cities left with little choice due to their political environment are trying to mitigate the situation for parents. New York City will offer day care for 100,000 students attending schools that are only partially reopening, though this largely defeats the point of keeping children from being at school in the first place. If school closing advocates are correct, this would only expose children to a broader cohort of peers and would make teachers, children, and their caretakers less safe.

    Some districts in California are offering day care right on school campus for half and full day programs , at a cost. So parents can pay to send their kids to school to be watched but not to be taught. Ironically, a student might be physically at a school under the watch of paid day care while simultaneously "attending" the very same school online.

    It is clear that science is not the driving principle behind any of these policies, which helps explain why both the CDC and American Academy of Pediatrics have advocated for opening on-campus education .

    Teachers Are Essential Workers

    There are few functions in society more essential than educating our children. "Education of our children is an essential Texas value," Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton recently wrote in a letter directing that health officials cannot completely close schools, and they certainly cannot preemptively close schools with no evidence of local school spread.

    The CDC recently concluded that "in-person schooling is in the best interest of students, particularly in the context of appropriate mitigation measures similar to those implemented at essential workplaces."

    The education of our children is too essential to be used as a political bargaining chip.

    If nurses can come to work every day and treat the sick and infected, then certainly teachers can be expected to come to work and teach the young and healthy. _arrow 3 Macho Latte , 2 hours ago

    WuFlu Hysteria Ends Nov. 4

    More than 55.3 million tests confirm:
    ✓ Deaths from WuFlu = Flat Line
    ✓ Hospitalization from WuFlu = Flat Line


    The Virus Charts thru 7/31/20 https://ibb.co/QF2ZBLK

    DemonRats = an Existential Threat to America & Humanity

    WuFlu Lies Matter

    Question_Mark , 47 minutes ago

    "The Virology Journal" - the official publication of Dr. Fauci's National Institutes of Health - published what is now a blockbuster article on August 22, 2005, under the heading - get ready for this - "Chloroquine is a potent inhibitor of SARS coronavirus infection and spread." Write the researchers, "We report...that chloroquine has strong antiviral effects on SARS-CoV infection of primate cells. These inhibitory effects are observed when the cells are treated with the drug either before of after exposure to the virus, suggesting both prophylactic and therapeutic advantage."

    This means, of course, that Dr. Fauci has known for 15 years that chloroquine and its even milder derivative hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) will not only treat a current case of coronavirus ("therapeutic") but prevent future cases ("prophylactic"). So HCQ functions as both a cure and a vaccine. In other worlds, it's a wonder drug for coronavirus. Said Dr. Fauci's NIH in 2005, "concentrations of 10 um completely abolished SARS-CoV infection." Fauci's researchers add, "chloroquine can effectively reduce the establishment of infection and spread of SARS-CoV.

    When one thinks of all the destruction brought about by the so-called lockdown, it hurts to know we are being defrauded. Ouch.

    Indelible Scars , 3 hours ago

    Wife taught for 32 years. She is a badass teacher and the kids obviously loved her. I urged her to get out while the getting was good and now she's happy she did. Her district is a complete mess and almost all of the good teachers have retired or moved to another district. She hates what has happened to education.

    hllnwlz , 1 hour ago

    Teacher here. Agree 100%. The sooner this butch is dead, the freeer we all will be.

    The complete and abject failure of public education is is 100% at the Feds door.

    1) The poor academic performers who become ed/liberal arts majors never could've gone to college without the printed loan money.

    2) the system could not support a 9 month work year, insurance, and pensions not to mention support staff and admin pay and bennies without the fed bc schooling doesnt add enough value to the economy; very few kids leave school able to move directly into a role in the economy productive enough to offset the insane cost of their education.

    3) inflation made moms have to go to work. No one to support the kud and hold them accountable table but, MORE IMPORTANTLY, theres no one to call the school to account when Johnny cant read.

    The Fed is the root of all evil.

    (Okay, I'm oversimplifying, but I'm pissed off.)

    Vince Clortho , 3 hours ago

    The longer students are away from the cultural marxist "education" system the better.

    Schools are now Bolshevik programming mills and the teachers are the willing puppets spreading marxism.

    Defund the schools. Defund the universities, Defund the student loan program.

    Local communities with limited dollars can do a far better job of providing real education.

    A mind is a terrible thing to waste.

    Old White Guy , 3 hours ago

    Democrat politicians will keep their knee on the throat of small businesses for as long as they possibly can for the sole purpose of crippling the economy to defeat Trump in November. They don't care about the damage this causes. Keeping schools closed in the fall will result in single parents staying home from work to care for their kids. At very least it stifles the economy.

    Send kids back to school, the majority wants this.

    Vote in person November 3rd, make your vote count.

    [Jul 31, 2020] If this is indeed the "Fort Detrick flu", as many people here (including me) have speculated upon, do you really believe that "western governments might be persuaded to seek and/or spread truthful data."

    Jul 31, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Lurk , Jul 30 2020 22:35 utc | 31

    @ John Iacovelli | Jul 30 2020 22:03 utc | 25

    If this is indeed the "Fort Detrick flu", as many people here (including me) have speculated upon, do you really believe that "western governments might be persuaded to seek and/or spread truthful data."

    I would rather expect these governments (and the lackey media) to cover up all traces of the initial outbreak, classify all high level government briefings about the subject and drown any rational and fact-based discourse in a swamp of hysterical projections and divisive diversions.

    John Iacovelli , Jul 30 2020 23:28 utc | 37

    @Lurk

    "persuaded" is more rhetorical than realistic, certainly. But it doesn't hurt to try. In the case of the tobacco industry and cancer, for example, it took decades, but eventually when 90%+ of the general public saw the link, even the industry had to admit it. And governments, corporations and the powerful spend an awful lot of money to keep the truths of many of their horrible actions from the media... yet some of that information seeps through. We must hope and do what we can.

    May your "Fort Detrick Flu" be mild!

    [Jul 30, 2020] U.S. Officials Disseminate Disinformation About 'Virus Disinformation'

    Notable quotes:
    "... Associated Press ..."
    "... OneWorld.press ..."
    "... Washington Post ..."
    Jul 30, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    U.S. Officials Disseminate Disinformation About 'Virus Disinformation' Getald , Jul 29 2020 17:44 utc | 1

    In another round of their anti-Russian disinformation campaign 'U.S. government officials' claim that some websites loosely connected to Russia are spreading 'virus disinformation'.

    However, no 'virus disinformation' can be found on those sites.

    The Associated Press as well as the New York Times were briefed by the 'officials' and provided write ups.

    AP : US officials: Russia behind spread of virus disinformation

    Two Russians who have held senior roles in Moscow's military intelligence service known as the GRU have been identified as responsible for a disinformation effort meant to reach American and Western audiences, U.S. government officials said. They spoke to The Associated Press on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak publicly.

    The information had previously been classified, but officials said it had been downgraded so they could more freely discuss it. Officials said they were doing so now to sound the alarm about the particular websites and to expose what they say is a clear link between the sites and Russian intelligence.

    Between late May and early July, one of the officials said, the websites singled out Tuesday published about 150 articles about the pandemic response, including coverage aimed either at propping up Russia or denigrating the U.S.

    Among the headlines that caught the attention of U.S. officials were "Russia's Counter COVID-19 Aid to America Advances Case for Détente," which suggested that Russia had given urgent and substantial aid to the U.S. to fight the pandemic, and "Beijing Believes COVID-19 is a Biological Weapon," which amplified statements by the Chinese.

    The first mentioned piece, Russia's Counter-COVID Aid To America Advances The Case For A New Detente , is by the well known author Andrew Korybko, a U.S. political analyst living in Moscow. It was published at OneWorld.press . The essay discussed the Russian Coronavirus aid flown in early April from Russia to the U.S. The analyst concludes that such aid can be seen as the beginning of a new détente between the U.S. and Russia.

    There is zero 'virus disinformation' in the Korybko piece. The aid flight did happen and was widely reported. In a response to the allegations the proprietors of O neWorld point out that Secretary of State Mike Pompeo in a recent Q&A also alluded to a new détente with Russia. Was that also 'virus disinformation'?

    The second piece the 'officials' pointed out, Beijing believes COVID-19 is a biological weapon , was written In March by Lucas Leiroz, a "research fellow in international law at the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro". It is an exaggerating analysis of the comments and questions a spokesperson of the Chinese Foreign Ministry had made about the possible sources of the Coronavirus.

    The original spokesperson quote is in the piece. Referring to additional sources the author's interpretation may go a bit beyond the quote's meaning. But it is certainly not 'virus disinformation' to raise the same speculative question about the potential sources of the virus which at that time many others were also asking.

    The piece was published by InfoBRICS.org, a "BRICS information portal" which publishes in the languages of the BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa). It is presumably financed by some or all of those countries.

    Another website the 'U.S. officials' have pointed out is InfoRos.ru which publishes in Russian and English. The AP notes of it:

    A headline Tuesday on InfoRos.ru about the unrest roiling American cities read "Chaos in the Blue Cities," accompanying a story that lamented how New Yorkers who grew up under the tough-on-crime approach of former Mayors Rudy Giuliani and Michael Bloomberg "and have zero street smarts" must now "adapt to life in high-crime urban areas."

    Another story carried the headline of "Ukrainian Trap for Biden," and claimed that "Ukrainegate" -- a reference to stories surrounding Biden's son Hunter's former ties to a Ukraine gas company -- "keeps unfolding with renewed vigor."

    U.S. officials have identified two of the people believed to be behind the sites' operations. The men, Denis Valeryevich Tyurin and Aleksandr Gennadyevich Starunskiy, have previously held leadership roles at InfoRos but have also served in a GRU unit specializing in military psychological intelligence and maintain deep contacts there, the officials said.

    InfoRos calls itself a 'news agency' and has some rather boring general interest stuff on its site. But how is its writing in FOX News style about unrest in U.S. cities and about Biden's escapades in the Ukraine 'virus disinformation'? I fail to find any on that site.

    In 2018 some "western intelligence agency" told the Washington Post , without providing any evidence, that InfoRos is related to the Russian military intelligence service GU (formerly GRU):

    Unit 54777 has several front organizations that are financed through government grants as public diplomacy organizations but are covertly run by the GRU and aimed at Russian expatriates, the intelligence officer said. Two of the most significant are InfoRos and the Institute of the Russian Diaspora.

    So InfoRos is getting some public grants and was allegedly previously run by two people who before that worked for the GU. What does that say about the current state and the content it provides? Nothing.

    The NYT adds that hardly anyone is reading the websites the 'U.S. officials' pointed out but that their content is at times copied by more prominent aggregator sites:

    "What we have seen from G.R.U. operations is oftentimes the social media component is a flop, but the narrative content that they write is shared more broadly through the niche media ecosystem," said Renee DiResta, a research manager at the Stanford Internet Observatory, who has studied the G.R.U. and InfoRos ties and propaganda work.

    There are plenty of sites who copy content from various outlets and reproduce it under their name. But that does not turn whatever they publish into disinformation.

    All the pieces mentioned by AP and NYT and attributed to the 'Russian' sites are basically factual and carry no 'virus disinformation'. That makes the 'U.S.officials' claims that they do such the real disinformation campaign.

    And the AP and NYT are willingly falling for it.

    People being prepared for Russia having the worlds first covid19 vaccine, the US will of course say it was stolen from them. Infantile politicians create infantile press to feed infantile articles to adult children. Critical thinking skills do not exist in the US population.

    vk , Jul 29 2020 17:44 utc | 2

    There's a corporativist aspect to all of this.

    The development of propagation of information/disinformation through the internet eroded the power of the old newspapers/news agencies. It's not that this or that particular website is getting more views, but that the web of communications - the the imperialistic blunders + decline of capitalism post-2008 -, as a whole, weakened what seemed to be an unshakeable trust on the MSM (the very fact that this term exists already is historical evidence of their loss of power).

    And this process manifests itself not only in loss of power, but also loss of money: this is particularly evident in the social media, where Facebook (Whatsapp + Facebook proper) and Google are beginning to siphon advertisement money from both TV and the traditional newspapers (printed press). When those traditional printed newspapers went digital, they behaved badly, by using paywalls - this marketing blunder only accelerated their decline in readership and thus further advertisement money, generating a vicious cycle for them.

    The loss of influence of public opinion for the MSM also inaugurated another very important societal shift: the middle class' loss of monopoly over opinion and formation of opinion. Historically, it was the role of the middle class to be highly educated, to go to academia (college) and, most importantly, to daily read the newspapers while eating the breakfast. The middle class was the class of the intellectuals by definition, thus served as the clerical class of the capitalist class, the priests of capitalism. With the popularization of the internet, the smartphone and social media, this sanctity was broken or, at least, begun to deteriorate. We can attest this class conflict phenomenon by studying the rise of the term "expert" as a pejorative one. In the West's case, this shift begun through the far-right side of the political spectrum, but the shift is there.

    The popularization of what was once a privilege is nothing new in capitalism. The problem here is that capitalism depends on infinite growth to merely exist (i.e. it can't survive on zero growth, it is mathematically impossible), so it has to "monetize" what still isn't monetize in order to find/create more vital space (Lebensraum - a term coined by the hyper-capitalist Nazis) for its expansion and thus survival. Hence the popularization of college education in the USA (then in Europe). Hence the popularization of daily news through the internet/social media. This process, of course, has its positives and negatives (as is the case with every dialectical process) - the fall of the MSM is one of the positives.

    So, in fact, when the likes of AP, Reuters, NYT, WaPo, Guardian, Fox, CNN spread disinformation against "alt-media", they are really just protecting their market share - the fact that it implies in suppression of freedom of speech and to mass disinformation and, ultimately, to war and destruction, is merely collateral damage of the business they operate in. They are, after all, capitalist enterprises above all.

    bevin , Jul 29 2020 18:16 utc | 3
    Excellent analysis, as always, by b. And vk's points are very pertinent too. One tiny quibble: I doubt that the Nazis coined, though they certainly popularised, the term lebensraum.
    There is an air of desperation about these campaigns against "Russian" "disinformation" massive changes are occurring, and, because they are so vast, they are moving relatively slowly.
    The old media model, now totally outdated, was the first thing to fall. Now capitalism itself is collapsing as a result of the primary contradiction that, left to itself, the marketplace will solve all problems.
    As Washington, where magical thinking is sovereign, is demonstrating, left to itself the hidden hand will bring only misery, famine, death and the Apocalypse. This was once very well understood, as a brief look at the history of the founding of the UN will show, now it is the subject of frantic denial by capitalism's priesthood who have grown to enjoy the glitter and sensuality of life in a brothel. It is a sign of their mental decay that they can do no better than to blame Russians.
    jayc , Jul 29 2020 18:23 utc | 4
    One should presume the anonymous officials responsible for this ground-breaking report (sarc) are close to the various "combatting Russian disinformation" NGOs. They are merely living up to the mission statements of their benefactors. AP and NYTimes are being unprofessional and spreading fake news by failing to reveal their sources. It's mind-numbing - the BS one must wade through.
    donkeytale , Jul 29 2020 18:42 utc | 5
    VK @ 2

    Good point however with one glaring contradiction in your thinking.

    You make valid a very criticism of capitalism yet you tend to applaud Chinese capitalist growth (although you tend to deny Chinese capitalist growth is capitalist, a feat of breathtaking magical thinking).

    The great Chinese wealth is fully 75% invested in bubblicious real estate valuations of non-commercial real estate built on a mountain of construction debt. Sound familiar?

    The irony is Chinese growth since 2008 has been goosed along entirely by the very same financialized hyper capitalist traits as US: great gobs of debt creating supply-side "growth", huge amounts of middle wealth tied to asset inflated bubbles, and of course the resulting income and wealth inequality that rivals US inequality and continues to increase over time.

    I snorted coffee out my nose when Gruff tried to totally excuse Chinese income inequality for being only slightly less than US level....how about the truth? Chinese inequality is heinous, only slightly less than the also heinous US level.

    The diseased working class in China only has an an arm and two legs hacked off while the diseased US working class is fully quadriplegic. Much, much better to be a fucked over by globalization Chinese citizen! Lmao

    psychohistorian , Jul 29 2020 19:19 utc | 6
    @ b who ended his posting with
    "
    And the AP and NYT are willingly falling for it.
    "

    Sorry b, but AP and NYT are active participants in the disinformation campaign of failing empire and are not falling for anything

    The folks that are falling for it are the American public that has lost its ability to discriminate with the fire hose volume of lies told to them on a daily basis.

    Empire is in the process of defeating itself which is the only safe way of ending the tyranny of global private finance. I commend China and Russia for having the patience and fortitude to hold the safe space for the dysfunctional social contract having private control of the lifeblood of human commerce to self destruct.

    JohnH , Jul 29 2020 19:21 utc | 7
    This is SO hilarious! The propagandists are worried about Russian virus dis-information when most dis-information has come from the US government in the person of Trump and from the CDC, which spent months discrediting the effectiveness of face masks!!!

    Theses propagandists need to get real jobs dealing with real world problems.

    JohnH , Jul 29 2020 19:21 utc | 8
    This is SO hilarious! The propagandists are worried about Russian virus dis-information when most dis-information has come from the US government in the person of Trump and from the CDC, which spent months discrediting the effectiveness of face masks!!!

    Theses propagandists need to get real jobs dealing with real world problems.

    jason , Jul 29 2020 19:25 utc | 9
    there has been no national response to coronavirus but there must be a national acceptance that this national non-response is China's fault. and any sources reporting truthfully about the US or disseminating statements easily found elsewhere, as long as they are Russian, Chinese, Venezuelan, Cuban, Iranian, etc., is pure disinformation. How brittle and weak the US is. Where's the Pericles to say to the Spartans, "enter our city and inspect our defenses"? The US is a nation of heavily-armed mice and sheep.

    btw, the China love on display around here is pretty funny. in that the Chinese government has mounted a national response to a very serious threat, China is a nation in a way that the US is not. There is no US or we would not have 50 states doing different things in response to the corona outbreak. the US is already dead. But China is a thoroughly authoritarian capitalist state. they are who they are in a dialectic competition with the US and other capitalist powers, not because of some Maoist-Confucian amalgam that inspires such wisdom in their brilliant leaders, who are just as quick to destroy their environment for capitalist gain as anyone on this planet is. The decline of the US will not make China or Russia or any "emerging" power less authoritarian or violent. au quite the contraire. They are Shylocks who will try to better instruction.

    However, none of this is of concern to people in the US, whose only concern is the Nazi spawn who've been running "the West" for much longer than the last 75 years. but it's time to kill the bitch, not let it keep screwing us and breeding.

    div> Russia's rush to have the first COVID vaccine will be viewed by the propagandists as just another evil attempt by Putin to embarrass the US. Should it prove safe and effective, you can bet that it will be banned in USA, because anything Russian is by definition bad.
    https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/russia-hopes-register-worlds-first-covid-19-vaccine-aug-12

    Posted by: JohnH , Jul 29 2020 19:30 utc | 10

    Russia's rush to have the first COVID vaccine will be viewed by the propagandists as just another evil attempt by Putin to embarrass the US. Should it prove safe and effective, you can bet that it will be banned in USA, because anything Russian is by definition bad.
    https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/russia-hopes-register-worlds-first-covid-19-vaccine-aug-12

    Posted by: JohnH | Jul 29 2020 19:30 utc | 10

    Clueless Joe , Jul 29 2020 19:46 utc | 11
    As others already said, this is a bit rich, considering that virus disinformation comes from Trump himself, both live and on Twitter, quoting genuine hacks and megalomaniac doctors, depending on the week.
    Reality check: Russians will be able to travel across the world way before Americans, for obvious healthcare reasons.
    dh , Jul 29 2020 19:50 utc | 12
    @2 I would think adblocking has a lot to do with it too. I'm always surprised that it has been allowed to continue.
    moon , Jul 29 2020 20:13 utc | 13
    Posted by: bevin | Jul 29 2020 18:16 utc | 3

    Bevin, I agree, I once had a short exchange on Mondoweiss about the term Lebensraum, it had been used in some type of marketing by my favorite Swizz supermarket. Which then, apparently caused an uproar. The term Lebensraum on its own is rather innocent. Leben (life) Raum (space), a noun compound. Context matters. And I am sure I checked it, and Micros definitively did not use it in any type of world conquering settler context. I haven't stumbled yet across a Micros supermarket anywhere outside Switzerland, ;)

    Here is link to the German Wiki entry via Google translate:
    https://tinyurl.com/Wikipedia-Lebensraum

    vk , Jul 29 2020 20:24 utc | 14
    @ Posted by: donkeytale | Jul 29 2020 18:42 utc | 5; Posted by: jason | Jul 29 2020 19:25 utc | 9

    Err... this post is not about China.

    I think you are the rabid ideologues seeing ghosts, not me.

    Perimetr , Jul 29 2020 20:34 utc | 15
    AGREE with psychohistorian @ 6

    The NTT no longer qualifies as "the paper of record". More like toilet paper if nothing better can be found.

    Perimetr , Jul 29 2020 20:35 utc | 16
    apologies, meant NYT, i.e. New York Times
    barovsky , Jul 29 2020 20:38 utc | 17
    I'm under the impression that Info Ros is a Russian government-funded, supported, backed, site, it certainly looks like it and its reportage is decidedly 'neutral'.
    donkeytale , Jul 29 2020 20:40 utc | 18
    VK @ 14

    Actually my comment illustrated the inconsistency of your critique of capitalism post-2008 but nice slide away. Two thumbs up. Way up.

    blum , Jul 29 2020 20:41 utc | 19
    This is SO hilarious! The propagandists are worried about Russian virus dis-information when most dis-information has come from the US government in the person of Trump and from the CDC, which spent months discrediting ...
    Posted by: JohnH | Jul 29 2020 19:21 utc | 8

    This is close to my overall take on matters. But I wouldn't put so much emphasis on face masks but on something along the lines of Covid is notthing but a flu. Face masks were initially discussed quite controversially everywhere.

    For Georgio Agamben too, strictly a favorite of mine, it was simply another State of Exception too. Suppressive biopolitics:
    https://www.journal-psychoanalysis.eu/coronavirus-and-philosophers/

    ************

    Were it gets interesting is here:
    A report published last month by a second, nongovernmental organization, Brussels-based EU DisinfoLab, examined links between InfoRos and One World to Russian military intelligence. The researchers identified technical clues tying their websites to Russia and identified some financial connections between InfoRos and the government.

    Gotta add that institution to my link list collection on matters.
    EU disinfo Lab
    https://www.disinfo.eu/publications/how-two-information-portals-hide-their-ties-to-the-russian-news-agency-inforos

    They have a competitor which seems Bruxelles based too, Patrick Armstrong alerted me to a while ago:
    https://euvsdisinfo.eu/
    EUvsDisinfo is the flagship project of the European External Action Service's East StratCom Task Force

    ************

    But yes, on first sight InfoRos seems to be neatly aligned with US alt-Right-Media in basic outlook. More than with the US MSM.

    And now I first have to read what has been on Andrew Korybko's mind lately. ;)

    blum , Jul 29 2020 20:42 utc | 20

    sorry didn't close html tag.
    uncle tungsten , Jul 29 2020 21:20 utc | 21
    Integrity Initiative strikes again. AP and NYT rush faithfully to print. Journalist gets an extra dime.
    Rutherford82 , Jul 29 2020 22:13 utc | 22
    Many Americans of all walks of life do not trust their own government, yet most people here seem to have faith that their media outlets are telling the truth. How do you break through to the public that has utter faith in whatever newspaper or television channel they prefer and highlight the lies in a way which gains real traction?

    I believe it takes leadership, which, for Americans, mean celebrities have to endorse the idea or it likely won't be taken seriously. This cult of celebrity is mirrored on social media platforms, where millions flock to be a part of some beautiful person's beautiful photograph or some known personalities acceptable opinion du jour.

    There is a great bond gripping the minds of American media consumers. They have trained their entire lives to worship at the cult of celebrity and this is the key to breaking the entire media landscape down for them.

    This also is the key to unlocking the voices of those who know better with regards to media lies, but keep silent out of fear.

    Will a Joe Rogan or Tucker Carlson be able to break the spell? I think it will never happen based on how Hollywood gatekeeps celebrity and based on how hopelessly apathetic most are to Julian Assange.

    Ben Barbour , Jul 29 2020 22:36 utc | 23
    Lol I write for One World. I'm an American who has never had a piece edited or been told what to write. I was allowed to write a piece about Russia where I was critical of their policy of backing the STC in Yemen (I thought it was bad to divide Yemen). No one makes anybody tow any specific line. I decided not to publish my piece on Russia and the STC in Yemen because I didn't find the topic interesting enough, but I was 100% allowed to be critical of Russia.

    If it's a GRU outfit then it's a bad one.

    Hoarsewhisperer , Jul 29 2020 23:14 utc | 24
    Lol I write for One World. I'm an American who has never had a piece edited or been told what to write.
    ...
    Posted by: Ben Barbour | Jul 29 2020 22:36 utc | 23

    Is it possible that you're just the in-house joke at OW?
    If they don't care that you'd write "tow" instead of "toe" or that you're too lazy/thoughtless to reproduce the full name of the entity for which STC is an acronym, before using the acronym, then it suggests that One World's Editorial Standards are as lax as your own :-)

    Jen , Jul 29 2020 23:29 utc | 25
    "... Two Russians who have held senior roles in Moscow's military intelligence service known as the GRU have been identified as responsible for a disinformation effort meant to reach American and Western audiences, U.S. government officials said. They spoke to The Associated Press on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak publicly ..."

    Of course GRU agents always work in pairs, guided only by the mysterious telepathic powers of the Russian President and no-one or nothing else, as Alexander Petrov and Ruslan Boshirov did in Salisbury in March 2018 when they supposedly tried to assassinate or send a warning to Sergei Skripal, and as Dmitri Kovtun and Andrei Lugovoy did in London in November 2006 when they apparently put polonium in a pot of tea served to Alexander Litvinenko in full view of patrons and staff at a hotel restaurant. It's as if each agent carries only half a brain and each half is connected to its complement by the corpus callosum that is Lord Vlademort Putin's thoughts beaming oing-yoing-yoing-like through the atmosphere until they find their targets.

    And of course US government officials always speak on condition of anonymity.

    As Agence Presse News puts it:

    "... The information had previously been classified, but officials said it had been downgraded so they could more freely discuss it. Officials said they were doing so now to sound the alarm about the particular websites and to expose what they say is a clear link between the sites and Russian intelligence ..."

    So if US government officials can now freely discuss declassified news, why do they insist on being anonymous? This would be the sort of news announced at a US national press club meeting with Matt Lee in the front row asking awkward and discomfiting questions.

    norecovery , Jul 29 2020 23:35 utc | 26
    The malicious cultivation (including Gain of Function research) and implantation of this biowarfare agent (and other ones such as Swine Fever) by the U.S. Intelligence services in various places around the world (especially in China and Iran), the intentional faulty responses and deceptive statistics administered by the monopoly-controlled medical establishment, the feigned inability to provide adequate testing, care, and treatment, along with planned economic destruction as a means of restoring investor losses and control of populations through stifling of dissent, are at the heart of the deflection and projection of blame. That broadly-based subject is barely discussed in alternative media and is totally obfuscated in MSM, because the "denier-debunkers" dispute the possibility of such extreme malice existing in our institutions, in spite of previous experience with events such as 9/11 and the '08 financial crisis.
    Hoarsewhisperer , Jul 29 2020 23:48 utc | 27
    ...
    So if US government officials can now freely discuss declassified news, why do they insist on being anonymous?
    ...
    Posted by: Jen | Jul 29 2020 23:29 utc | 25

    Precisely.
    My guess is that they don't know when to quit.
    and/or
    They embrace the Mythbusters motto...
    "If a thing's worth doing, it's worth overdoing."

    Benson Barbour , Jul 29 2020 23:54 utc | 28
    "Is it possible that you're just the in-house joke at OW?
    If they don't care that you'd write "tow" instead of "toe" or that you're too lazy/thoughtless to reproduce the full name of the entity for which STC is an acronym, before using the acronym, then it suggests that One World's Editorial Standards are as lax as your own :-)"

    Posted by: Hoarsewhisperer | Jul 29 2020 23:14 utc | 24

    Fair point on tow vs toe. That's why editing exists when writing articles. As for the STC part, that is common knowledge if you follow basic geopolitics. When making a post in a comment thread, should I write out "Islamic State of Iraq and Syria" before using the acronym ISIS? If I am posting in a comment thread about Iran, do I need to write out "Mujahedin-e Khalq" instead of just using MEK?

    It just displays a massive level of ignorance on your part. Nice try though.

    Hoarsewhisperer , Jul 30 2020 0:29 utc | 29
    ...
    It just displays a massive level of ignorance on your part. Nice try though.
    Posted by: Benson Barbour | Jul 29 2020 23:54 utc | 28

    Thanks. Do you realise that you've just wasted 50+ words explaining why BB didn't bother writing the 3 words that STC stands for?

    VietnamVet , Jul 30 2020 0:59 utc | 30
    Global media moguls are blaming the 1,000 American deaths per day from the Wuhan coronavirus on Donald Trump to finally get him out of the way. But they are silent on their and the Democrats complicity in the death toll due to the lack of a national public health system or the funding to pay for it.

    The USA is going to hell. A scapegoat is needed. For the media and Democrats, Russia is to blame. Anybody else rather than themselves, the true culprits. Donald Trump blames China for the pandemic if he acknowledges it at all but that is where all of Tim Cook's iPhones are made. Blaming China is globalist heresy.

    Jackrabbit , Jul 30 2020 1:03 utc | 31
    norecovery @Jul29 23:35 #26

    I think there's a reasonable case to be made that this is what has occurred.

    And, if true, it is covered up by sly suggestions that nCov-19 was man-made with hints or a smug attitude that convey the message that China created the virus. As well as a virtual black-out in Western media of Chinese suggestions that the virus may have started in USA or been planted in Wuhan.

    But then, I already stand accused of attributing magical powers of self-interested foresight and boldness to US Deep-State due to my belief that Trump was their choice to lead USA in 2016. And so I expect you're theory will receive the same derision. Yet Empires have not been shy about killing millions when it was in their interest to do so.

    In any case, I've written many times that USA/West's unwillingness to fight the virus has been dressed up as innocent mistakes. Even if the West wasn't the source of the virus they have much to answer for. Yet very few have taken note of the way that USA/West have played the pandemic to advance their interests - from lining the pockets of Big Pharma to blaming China for their own "incompetence" (a misnomer: the power-elite are very competent at advancing their interests!).

    Inconvenient Truths:


    !!
    Kay Fabe , Jul 30 2020 1:29 utc | 32
    It seems disinformation has been redefined to mean information that counters someone else's (yours) belief. We pretend to be in an Age of Reason but really, we have just replaced religious beliefs with secular beliefs. Science has been taken over by pseudoscientists that have replaced priests. The conflict of interest by the science/priests who profit from their deceptions is beyond criminal.

    To know what is the truth you just have to look at whats being censored. Nobody being censored for supporting mask mandates, claiming vaccines are safe, and not questioning the blatant data manipulation of COVID cases that anyone with an open mind and IQ of 100 , and who reads the data, definitions and studies can see through.

    It seems people on both sides of the fence have replaced their brains with their chosen ideology. Its like watching a Christian, Jew and Muslim arguing which is the best or true religion. No point in it.

    james , Jul 30 2020 1:33 utc | 33
    thanks b!

    so, lets say GRU agents are feeding russian propaganda sites... how does that compare to all the CIA-FBI agents and has been hacks working for the western msm?? seems a bit rich for the pot to be calling a kettle black, even if they are lying thru their teeth! i am sure if someone did a story on how many CIA - m16 people are presently working with the western msm, they would have a story with some legs... this shite from anonymous usa gov't officials is just that - shite..

    @ Ben, or Benson Barbour .. thanks for your comments!

    Prof K , Jul 30 2020 1:50 utc | 34
    Anyone notice that the Democrats still haven't presented any plan whatsoever to flatten the curve in the US? They are just as bad as Trump.
    Seer , Jul 30 2020 1:55 utc | 35
    Ben Barbou @ 23
    Lol I write for One World. I'm an American who has never had a piece edited or been told what to write. I was allowed to write a piece about Russia where I was critical of their policy of backing the STC in Yemen (I thought it was bad to divide Yemen). No one makes anybody tow any specific line. I decided not to publish my piece on Russia and the STC in Yemen because I didn't find the topic interesting enough, but I was 100% allowed to be critical of Russia.

    There's such a thing as self-censorship. Mainstream US news has effectively brought up folks to be this way: stay in line or become unemployed- doesn't need to be stated. Not aimed at you, but it needs to be said (und understood).

    Ben Barbour , Jul 30 2020 3:14 utc | 36
    @35 That's a very good point. I completely agree. Self-censorship and group think are two of the biggest problems in modern journalism/analysis. One World consistently publishes pro-Pakistan and pro-China articles. When I was first sending them submissions, I did a piece on US vs China in Sudan and South Sudan. I considered omitting China's culpability in escalating the conflicts, and instead focus on laying the blame squarely at the feet of the US. In the end I told the truth about both countries' imperialist escalations (to the best of my ability).

    There is a lot of incentive to self-censor at just about any outlet. It's more comfortable to fit in with a site's brand.

    In the case of the Russia-STC article, I really just found the subject matter to be thin. Russia's support of the STC is mostly just diplomatic. Not a lot to write about.

    AntiSpin , Jul 30 2020 3:55 utc | 37
    Think you can't possibly be more outraged than you already are?

    Try this --
    The Government's Weapon Against Reality Winner: COVID-19
    By John Kiriakou, Reader Supported News
    27 July 20
    https://readersupportednews.org/opinion2/277-75/64239-the-governments-weapon-against-reality-winner-covid-19

    One Too Many , Jul 30 2020 4:09 utc | 38
    Posted by: Hoarsewhisperer | Jul 30 2020 0:29 utc | 29

    Google or duckduckgo "STC in Yemen". First hit, it's not that hard.

    J W , Jul 30 2020 5:39 utc | 39
    Posted by: james | Jul 30 2020 1:33 utc | 33

    Small wonder that food from Anglozionists is so bad, they love being in the kitchen but they can't stand the heat.

    ak74 , Jul 30 2020 5:40 utc | 40
    The Americans are increasingly unhinged in their spittle-flecked accusations against not only Russia, but also China, Iran, Venezuela, etc.

    It's so pathetic as to be humorous.

    Underlying the USA's Two Minutes of Hate campaigns, however, is a deeper disease that defines Americans as a nation and as a people.

    Namely, Americans have an inbred fundamentalist belief in their own Moral Superiority as the Beacon of Liberty, Land of the Free, blah, blah, blah--no matter how many nations they have bombed back to the Stone Age, invaded, colonized, regime changed, sanctioned, or economically raped in the name of Freedom and Democracy™.

    Donald Trump is half correct.

    The United States of America is truly a great nation alright--but great only in terms of its deceit, great in terms of its delusions, and great in terms of the horrors that it has inflicted on much of the world.

    Comparing America to the Nazis would be a high insult ... to Nazi Germany, as the Third Reich only lasted about 12 years, while the American Reich has unfortunately lasted well over 200 years and gotten away with its crimes against humanity by possessing what are likely the greatest propaganda machine and political deception in human history: the American Free Press and the world historic lie called "American Freedom."

    Harold Pinter in his 2005 Nobel Literature Prize speech briefly but powerfully exposes this heart of American darkness:

    "The crimes of the United States have been systematic, constant, vicious, remorseless, but very few people have actually talked about them. You have to hand it to America. It has exercised a quite clinical manipulation of power worldwide while masquerading as a force for universal good. It's a brilliant, even witty, highly successful act of hypnosis.

    I put to you that the United States is without doubt the greatest show on the road. Brutal, indifferent, scornful and ruthless it may be but it is also very clever. As a salesman it is out on its own and its most saleable commodity is self love. It's a winner."

    https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/literature/2005/pinter/25621-harold-pinter-nobel-lecture-2005/

    Blue Dotterel , Jul 30 2020 6:23 utc | 41
    And the disinformation in the USA continues.
    https://www.rt.com/usa/496578-fauci-coronavirus-eye-protection/

    "Top US immunologist Dr Anthony Fauci is now saying citizens are not "complete" in protecting themselves from the Covid-19 pandemic unless they go beyond wearing a mask and add in eye protection like goggles, too."

    More provocation from the oligarchy. Now, that masks are becoming less controversial, time to step up the provocation, division and control.

    Fauci is also behind the anti-hydroxychloroquine propaganda, as well, that even b has swallowed. This, despite it being used effectively in other countries. All of this simply because Trump supports it (ergo, it must be bad) and Big Pharma (who control Fauci,
    CDC abd WHO) can't profit significantly from its use.

    Of course vacines are still an issue:
    https://www.globalresearch.ca/kennedy-jr-warns-parents-about-danger-using-largely-untested-covid-vaccines-kids/5719566

    "During the course of the debate, Kennedy also talked about the regular vaccines most people take, from Hepatitis B to the flu shot, emphasizing that no proper testing had ever been done, which is mandatory for any other medication. Vaccines "are the only medical product that does not have to be safety-tested against a placebo," he explained."

    Kennedy said

    "it's not hypothetical that vaccines cause injury, and that injuries are not rare. The vaccine courts have paid out four billion dollars" over the past three decades, "and the threshold for getting back into a vaccine court and getting a judgment – [the Department of Health and Human Services] admits that fewer than one percent of people who are injured ever even get to court."

    So, how well has the Russian vaccine been tested? Does anyone know?


    Blue Dotterel , Jul 30 2020 6:40 utc | 42
    It is interesting how USAians are being played by the oligarchy.

    On foreign policy, the dems and reps are in basic agreement and the propaganda is to bring the masses together to hate Russia, Chaina and anyone else who the Western (US) oligarchy has targeted.

    Domestically, unity is the enemy of the oligarchy. The masses must be controlled through division and diversion, so the dems and reps play good cop, bad cop (bad and good being relative to the supporter) to ensure the masses are diverted from important oligarch issues to issues of irrelevance to the oligarchs, but easily manipulated emotionnally by the oligarchs for the beast.

    It seems so obvious, and yet, works so well.

    vato , Jul 30 2020 7:31 utc | 43
    Posted by: VietnamVet | Jul 30 2020 0:59 utc | 30

    "[...]Donald Trump blames China for the pandemic if he acknowledges it at all but that is where all of Tim Cook's iPhones are made. Blaming China is globalist heresy."


    Then why do you phrase it the "Wuhan coronavius" yourself?

    Jams O'Donnell , Jul 30 2020 7:59 utc | 44
    Posted by: ak74 | Jul 30 2020 5:40 utc | 40

    Thanks for that link.

    Mark2 , Jul 30 2020 9:32 utc | 45
    For those interested in corona virus truth,
    I am interested in the question -- - was it spread by negligence or deliberately?
    That question must be relivant to this debate on MOA.
    I ask this now becouse -- --
    Tonight on bbc 'panorama' there investigating the spread of the virus from Hospital to care homes !! I'm told there is some pretty shocking information exposed.
    Some may wish to catch that prog. Heads up.

    I just add an obversation. -- western psychopathic disinformation and projection has led to a confused public. A public deciding to disengage with politics. To the gain of the psychopaths.

    H.Schmatz , Jul 30 2020 10:41 utc | 46
    A new candidate to the demonization and disinfo operations has been added...Germany...which has been labeled "delinquent" by the POTUS...in a clear exercise of projection...

    https://www.rt.com/news/496584-germany-withdrawl-troops-gas/

    Of course, to not be insulted or labeled delinquent, you must act as these other countries enumerated by Southcom commander, to work for the US ( not your country...) and moreover pay for it....Typical mafia extortion, isn´t it?

    https://twitter.com/kopamaros/status/1285292016885215237

    uncle tungsten , Jul 30 2020 10:49 utc | 47
    norecovery #26
    That broadly-based subject is barely discussed in alternative media and is totally obfuscated in MSM, because the "denier-debunkers" dispute the possibility of such extreme malice existing in our institutions, in spite of previous experience with events such as 9/11 and the '08 financial crisis.

    YES to that and thank you for that post. That the institutions of state and private sectors are the incubators and propagators of extreme malice is axiomatic in the UKUSAI and its five eyed running dogs is beyond doubt. They attack and scorn any critic or unbeliever. They assault and pillory truth speakers and those who might question 'their narrative'.

    Then if all that fails the hunt them down and make preposterous claims about them being anti semitic of anti religion or anti their nation.

    Mendacity is the currency of the permanent state and its minions and they need to be outed and shamed and challenged at every opportunity.

    uncle tungsten , Jul 30 2020 11:00 utc | 48
    VietnamVet #30

    Wuhan coronavirus you say?

    Fort Detrick coronavirus would be on the mark and as you most likely know, you cannot trust the USA lying eyes once you have served them in their killing fields.

    Even that right wing ex special forces advocate Steve Pieczenic testifies to the fact of a deadly virus in USA in November/December plus his beloved bloggers say way earlier than that around Maryland etc. Then there is the small problem of the 'vaping' illness that generated lots of pneumonia like fatalities in June/July. And then the instant closure of Fort Detrick due to its leaking all over the place through a totally inadequate waste water treatment plant that couldn't scrub a turd let alone a virus.

    Fort Detrick Virus is closer to the reality imo.

    William Gruff , Jul 30 2020 11:00 utc | 49
    The problem with presstitutes, possibly including Ben Barbour , (disclaimer: I've never read any media products that particular individual generated) goes beyond the point made by Seer @35 . To be sure, there is no chance that a presstitute would bite the hand that feeds it, but there is more depth to the problem of why they all suck so badly, at least the ones in the US. While journalism degrees are the university equivalent of Special Education (nowadays referred to as "Exceptional Student Education" , which is very fitting for students from such an "exceptional" nation), they still prepare the future presstitute to understand that their capitalist employers have interests beyond their immediately apparent ones. That is, more important to a capitalist employer than tomorrow's sales and profits is the preservation of capitalism itself.

    But the problem is deeper still. The presstitute that is successfully employed by a capitalist enterprise will invariably be one that knows not to criticize the employer's business, the capitalist system it depends upon, and the empire that improves that employer's profitability. More importantly, that successful hireling will additionally have been brainwashed from infancy that all of these things are good and necessary aspects of the modern world that need to be ideologically defended. The prospective presstitute will be one that not only voluntarily, but eagerly serves its capitalist masters varied interests. After all, when there are plenty of whores to choose from, would you hire one that requires explicit instructions on every last thing you expect from them and just follows those instructions mechanically or the the one that puts effort into figuring out what would please you and delivers that with enthusiasm? Keeping this dynamic in mind will allow one to better understand the capitalist mass media's products.

    Steve , Jul 30 2020 11:24 utc | 50
    The contempt at which the American ruling class hold their citizens is galling. The US corporate media operates as if their targeted audience are all morons.
    moon , Jul 30 2020 11:37 utc | 51
    you cannot trust the USA lying eyes once you have served them in their killing fields. ...
    Posted by: uncle tungsten | Jul 30 2020 11:00 utc | 48

    that's not a good argument, uncle t. But yes I wondered to to what extent VV or good old VietnamVet has been won over to the Trump diction.

    blum , Jul 30 2020 11:39 utc | 52
    I wondered to to
    I wondered too to what extent VV seemingly has been ...
    William Gruff , Jul 30 2020 12:00 utc | 53
    Mark2 @45: "...was it [ novel coronavirus] spread by negligence or deliberately?"

    Most likely both.

    There is evidence to suggest that the virus was circulating in the US prior to it being discovered in China. While it is possible this could have been the results of testing the transmissibility of the virus, it seems more probable that it was an accidental release from Fort Detrick. This would explain the facility being shut down last year. Military facilities are never shut down simply for breaking a few rules but because those rule violations led to something unpleasant.

    An accidental release, coupled with the fact that the synthetic origin of the virus would become apparent to scientists worldwide, resulted in a need to quickly establish an alternate explanation for the virus. Since the US was losing its trade war with China, and use of a bioweapon to turn the tide was already gamed out and on the table anyway, the virus (or possibly a very similar strain that had been pre-selected for the attack) was deliberately sprayed around a market in Wuhan.

    The CDC and CIA probably thought that the virus was contained in the West and that since it was a surprise to the Chinese it would run rampant there and result in their economy shutting down and their borders being closed, decoupling China from the world. With the Chinese treating the virus as a bio attack and defeating its spread, followed by the virus rampaging through the West, the dynamic changed. Now in order for the virus to decouple China it must become endemic in the West. The Chinese must be made to close their borders in fear of becoming infected from the rest of the world. To make this backup plan a reality, and to get the economies moving again as fast as possible, some western leaders have decided to accelerate the spread in the hopes of quickly developing "herd immunity" . Taking out some retirees whom the capitalists view as a burden on the economy is just some nice icing on the cake.

    Mark2 , Jul 30 2020 12:04 utc | 54
    @ 51 & @ 52
    I'd say not ! I'm confided Vietnam Vet is doing 'balenced' Reporting ! The subject of this post. Take another look at both this post and his comment. A lesson in how to be unbiased but truthfull.
    Soooo any one got a definition of fake news.
    Mine would be Truth before personal agenda.
    oldhippie , Jul 30 2020 12:18 utc | 55
    Self censorship works well.

    Straight cash payoffs work well too.

    CIA has had total control of media for 70 years now. It was a priority when they set up shop.

    Mark2 , Jul 30 2020 12:19 utc | 56
    William Gruff @ 53
    I think yours is just about the most clear and concise summary of this whole virus catastrophe that I have seen so far. And that's a hell of a statement !
    Unrelated I wonder what would have happened if the Chinese whistle blower had not blown the whistle ? Now that's one to ponder ? As bad as this all is world wide, where would be right now ? Dose not bare thinking about.
    vig , Jul 30 2020 12:21 utc | 57
    Posted by: Mark2 | Jul 30 2020 12:04 utc | 54

    What are you trying to tell me? Anyone that does not acknowledge the virus originated in China and that China didn't respond as fast as it could have? And more polemically: there is some kind of African Marxist heading WHO who obfuscated China's late information to the WHO?

    There is a dot of truth in everything. There is also a dot of truth in the fact that Trump or his relevant admin was informed early enough.

    Mark2 , Jul 30 2020 12:27 utc | 58
    Big @ 57
    What ?
    jadan , Jul 30 2020 12:35 utc | 59
    We've been acquainted with this virus about 7 months or so and it is difficult to separate reliable information from disinformation. We know very little about it, eg, we don't know whether those who recover can be reinfected. Is it like the common cold, against which there is no immunity? We just have to assume that the Trump virus has infected every level of the administration so that there is ignorance and unadulterated stupidity from the lowest level in the ministry of propaganda to the secretary of state and, of course, the president himself currently celebrating the wisdom of an animist/Christian hybrid doctor from Africa spewing the foulest disinformation one can imagine.
    vig , Jul 30 2020 12:46 utc | 60
    Big @ 57
    What ?
    Posted by: Mark2 | Jul 30 2020 12:27 utc | 58

    babbling: look if this is the good old VV from SST, I wouldn't want to nail him on the usage of Wuhan virus. But on the larger content of his comment, I am wondering.

    Full discovery: I entered the US conspiracy universe shortly after 9/11. I'll probably never forget there was this one commenter that completely out of then current preoccupations within the diverse theories, you recall?, suggested that the Chinese were approaching via the Southern borders.

    There surely should be a way how the US and Russia

    vig , Jul 30 2020 12:48 utc | 61
    There surely should be a way how the US and Russia

    There surely should be a way how the US and Russia repartition their claims. After all historically the Russian had some type of partly real Yellow threat too ... :)

    Mark2 , Jul 30 2020 12:54 utc | 62
    Vig @ 60
    Thanks for clearing that up. Cheers
    Hannibal , Jul 30 2020 12:56 utc | 63
    Can probably trace this back to the "integrity initiative" and/ or the Atlantic Council. That's a web worth untangling with transparency.

    Spot on James @ 33

    One Too Many , Jul 30 2020 13:05 utc | 64
    Posted by: Mark2 | Jul 30 2020 12:19 utc | 56

    Except the "whistle blower" was not a whistle blower since local, provincial, and nations institutions were already advised or in the process of being advised. Dr Wenliang posted his information in a private chatroom with other medical professionals on December 30th. Timeline of events:

    Dec 27 -- Dr. Zhang Jixian, director of the respiratory and critical care medicine department of Hubei Provincial Hospital, files a report to the hospital stating that an unknown pneumonia has developed in three patients and they are not responding to influenza treatment.

    Dec 29 -- Hubei Provincial Hospital convened a panel of 10 experts to discuss the now seven cases. Their conclusion that the situation was extraordinary, plus information of two similar cases in other hospitals, prompted the hospital to report directly to the municipal and provincial health authorities.

    Dec 30 -- The Wuhan Municipal Health Commission issued an urgent notification to medical institutions under its jurisdiction, ordering efforts to appropriately treat patients with pneumonia of unknown cause.

    Dec 31 -- The National Health Commission (NHC) made arrangements in the wee hours, sending a working group and an expert team to Wuhan to guide epidemic response and conduct on-site investigations. The Wuhan Municipal Health Commission released a briefing on its website about the pneumonia outbreak in the city, confirming 27 cases and telling the public not to go to enclosed public places or gather. It suggested wearing face masks when going out. The Wuhan Municipal Health Commission released briefings on the pneumonia outbreak in accordance with the law. WHO's Country Office in the PRC relayed the information to the WHO Western Pacific Regional Office, then to the international level headquarters.

    Jan 1 -- The NHC set up a leading group to determine the emergency response to the epidemic. The group convened meetings on a daily basis since then.

    Jan 2 -- The Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (China CDC) and the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences (CAMS) received the first batch of samples of four patients from Hubei Province and began pathogen identification. The NHC came up with a set of guidelines on early discovery, early diagnosis and early quarantine for the prevention and control of the viral pneumonia of unknown cause.

    Jan 3 -- Dr. Wenliang signs a statement not to post unsubstantiated rumors.

    There's no "whistle blowing" as the information of the cases were already going up the chain of command. These are facts that can be sourced by multiple media outlets. I can't believe this fallacy keeps floating and doesn't flush.

    Lurk , Jul 30 2020 13:52 utc | 65
    In retrospective analyses, SARS-COV-2 was found in routinely collected samples of European sewage water dating back to at least december 2019. A french doctor reviewed archived medical samples and imagery from patients who had fallen mysteriously ill in the latter half of 2019 and also found that some had been early cases of COVID-19.

    The real coronavirus whistle-blower is a doctor in Washington state USA who tested for the virus in Januari 2020 and was silenced by USA medical and federal authorities.

    I am afraid that there will never be a sincere investigation into the real cause of the "vaping disease" that caused many deaths from sudden respiratory failure in the USA in the summer of 2019. Tell me again when Ft. Detrick labs was shut down exactly?

    Lurk , Jul 30 2020 13:59 utc | 66
    @ Hannibal | Jul 30 2020 12:56 utc | 63

    Don't forget to mention Mark2's employer, the 77th brigade . We're in an information war , after all.

    Piotr Berman , Jul 30 2020 14:00 utc | 67
    What are you trying to tell me? Anyone that does not acknowledge the virus originated in China and that China didn't respond as fast as it could have? And more polemically: there is some kind of African Marxist heading WHO who obfuscated China's late information to the WHO?

    There is a dot of truth in everything. There is also a dot of truth in the fact that Trump or his relevant admin was informed early enough.

    Posted by: vig | Jul 30 2020 12:21 utc | 57

    vig repeats widely spread arguments, basically, the "official propaganda" from offices related to an orange-American (excessive time spend on golf courses changes skin color, perhaps in combination with sunscreen, without sunscreen you would get a "redneck look").

    1. Origin: somewhat debatable, but any virus has to originate somewhere. Every country was on receiving end of pathogens from other countries.

    2. China did not respond as fast as it could have. Now, how fast and effective was USA? One has to note that clusters of fatal lung infections happen regularly, but this is because of mutations that increase impact on health, while separate mutations increase (or decrease) the transmission. Draconian measures are necessary if you get both, but you do not lock cities, provinces, introduce massive quarantine programs until you know that they are necessary. For the same reasons, the response in Western Europe and USA was not as fast as it could have.

    3. "African Marxist heading WHO mislead poor naive Americans". What is the budget of American intelligence, and American disease control? Do they collect information, do they have experts? In particular, American authorities knew pretty much what Chinese authorities knew, and they had benefit of several weeks of extra time to devise wise strategy. Giving this benefit to people with limited mental capacities has a limited value. Perhaps China is at fault here too, Pompeo reported about pernicious impact of Chinese Communist Party on PPT meeting in USA, that could have deleterious impact on education and thus on mental capacities.

    Pompeo himself may be a victim. He excelled as a West Point student, but if the content of education was crappy, diligence impacted his brain deeper and not for the better. But nobody attempts to blame CCP for that.

    vk , Jul 30 2020 14:17 utc | 68
    @ Posted by: Mark2 | Jul 30 2020 12:19 utc | 56

    It would've changed nothing.

    For starters, the "whistleblower" wasn't a whistleblower at all: he thought he had found a resurgence of SARS, not a new pandemic. Secondly, the head of respiratory diseases at the region already was investigating some cases of a "mysterious pneumonia" since end of November or mid-December - so the investigation already was well under way.

    Discovering a new disease is not magic: a doctor cannot simply go the market, see a random person, and claim he/she discovered a new virus. Doctors are not gods: they can only diagnose the patients under their care.

    The point of discord that the Western MSM capitalized upon was the fact that some random officer from the local police intercepted his private social media and made him sign a letter of reprimand. No Law is ever perfect, and these episodes of false triggers do happen even in Western Democracies.

    Little known fact (one which the Western MSM censored) is that the so-called "whistleblower" was a member of the CCP. After knowing the details of the situation (including that the disease was already being investigated), he quickly realized the state-of-the-art and went to the frontlines to fight the pandemic - as any member of the CCP would've done. Revolutionary communist parties have this tradition that comes since the Bolshevik Party, where the leadership always leads by example. The Bolsheviks themselves lost the vast majority of their elite in the Civil War, as they always led in the front (vanguard). Fidel Castro himself led his army in the front when the invasion of the Bay of Pigs begun. So, it is not surprising this doctor, once having the facts on the field, quickly shut up and went to the frontline as a vanguard soldier.

    After the whole truth came to the forefront, the Western MSM quickly begun to meltdown over the fake story they fantasized, and the Taiwanese MSM invented a story of some another whistleblower who had discovered the virus "at the end of November". That one never truly gained traction, and silently died out.

    But all of this is moot point for the West, because Trump and the other European liberal powers refused to believe either that the virus was real or that it could reach them until February the next year.

    But all of this

    Den lille abe , Jul 30 2020 14:17 utc | 69
    I think it is OK that b nails the US makes yet another display of stupidity.... on the other hand I presume that b also has other things to care about, I mean exposing the US as a "fake" nation is a full time job!
    Americans have at least the last 50 years been known for fails, even Churchill commented something like "the Americans will fail numerous times, but eventually they will get it right" well that was back then! Today it is fail upon fail. I know that there must be bright people over there, but it is my sincere impression, that they are a very small minority. Maybe their schooling system has all gone bonkers ?
    "3% of all Americans believe the Earth is flat! WTF!!!
    America is on a steep slope downward.
    Den lille abe , Jul 30 2020 14:31 utc | 70
    I am personally not worried much about Covid 19, although I am 63 and live in Sweden, the "black Sheep" in Europe because of our rather lax restrictions, the Swedes themselves are rather good at keeping distance and using common sense.
    I am much more worried that the American culture of ignorance, brain farts, stupidity and low IQ media will infest my country further and maybe completely ruin it.
    Especially by the junk that comes out of Hollywood, pure Sh*t served nice and hot!
    I am happy I know, I have not got to endure further 30 years of this.
    Prof K , Jul 30 2020 14:52 utc | 71
    A few months ago, b posted a link to a Canadian vlogger who lives in Nanning, China. The vlogger took us on a tour of a so called Wet Market. Here, the vlogger takes us to another Wet Market tour. He does a good job dispelling racist stereotypes and showing real life in China.

    https://youtu.be/ppIbzX8JfEw

    Mark2 , Jul 30 2020 14:56 utc | 72
    One to many @ 64
    Thanks ! So there was a group of whistle blowers then. It's down to definitions again. Perhaps mine is a little more loose. But it's of no concern.
    For the sake of this excellent thread, perhaps we could all be a little less pedantic. VK ?
    cirsium , Jul 30 2020 15:19 utc | 73
    @uncle tungsten, 11:00 Jul 30

    Also relevant - Crimson Contagion - the pandemic simulation run by the US government from January to August 2019 and was based on an infectious coronavirus coming from a food market in China

    PleaseBeleafMe , Jul 30 2020 15:23 utc | 74
    @Dla 69,70

    Everywhere u go in this world you'll find some version or an "murican" in every country. Even a country like modern first world Switzerland has its "mountain folk".
    In my personal experience with Americans I'm most often pleasantly surprised at their levels of sophistication and introspection over their American experiences. An enjoyable and as pleasant a people as anywhere. This may be clouded by mostly meeting these people outside of the US where unless tourists are well educated and travelled and by default more aware of a negative view of their homeland that exists outside of the US. For some reason most of these Americans I've met abroad are decidedly non republican in nature and are mostly
    from California and North and North Eastern States. Fellow future Canadians I would call them.
    The other side of the coin is when I've travelled to the states. Texas, Florida, Arizona. Whew! What a difference. I've learned that talking politics is impossible and the natives are almost entirely ignorant of anything outside their bubble. Outside of talking points there is no information behind their arguments. Their knowledge of the outside world is incredibly lacking and the view of the US in it is overwhelmingly positive.
    It isn't Americans its America and its leadership, its influences, systems and all the other shit that make the US the salad it is. The people r redeemable.

    William Gruff , Jul 30 2020 15:34 utc | 75
    Calling the professionals doing their jobs in China "whistleblowers" is inaccurate. "Whistleblower" implies revealing information that others are trying to hide. In this case the suggestion is that the Chinese government was trying to hide the outbreak. This is nonsense as the Chinese government was unaware of an outbreak until after the relevant professionals had determined that there was an outbreak. There is no way the Chinese government could have known about an outbreak before the outbreak was identified by the professionals tasked with identifying outbreaks. The only ones who knew about the outbreak before the outbreak occurred were the US "intelligence community" .

    [Jul 30, 2020] What Will Happen to Neoliberalism after the COVID-19 Crisis -- Will It Survive by Prof. Joseph H. Chung

    Notable quotes:
    "... Some of the neoliberal countries may be at the stage of the collusion; some of them may find themselves at the stage of oligarchy; some of them may be at the stage of corruption culture. ..."
    "... In Japan, since 1957, there were twenty-one prime ministers of whom 75% were one-year or two-year prime ministers despite the four-year term of prime ministers. The short life span of Japanese prime ministers is essentially due to the short term interest pursued by the corrupted golden triangle composed of big business, bureaucrats and politicians. Unless, Japan uproots the corruption culture, it will be difficult to save the Japanese economy from perpetual stagnation. ..."
    "... In the U.S. the big companies are spending a year no less than $2.6 billion lobbying money for the promotion of their interests, while the Congress spends $ 2.9 billion and the Senate, $860 million for their respective annual operation. Some of the big companies deploy as many as 100 lobbyists. ..."
    "... It is unbelievable that the amount of lobbying is as much as 70% of the annual budget of the whole legislative of the U.S. ..."
    "... Under such lobbying system, each group should deploy lobbyists to promote their interests. The immigrants, the native Indians, the Afro Americans, the alienated white people and other marginal groups cannot afford lobbyists and they are often excluded from fair treatment in the process of making laws and policies ..."
    "... In the case of the U.S. its rank increased from 18 in 2016 to 22 in 2019. Thus in three years, the degree of corruption increase by 22.2% ..."
    "... The U.S. is the richest country in the world, but it is also a country where income inequality is the most pronounced. I will come back to this issue in the next section. In relation to the corona virus crisis, income inequality means an army of those who are most likely to be infected and who are unable to follow CDC guidelines of testing, self quarantine and social distancing. Finally, the privatization of public health services has made the whole country unprepared for the onslaught of the virus. ..."
    "... The experience of Japan shows how this can happen. The economic depression after the bubble burst of 1989, Japan had to endure 30-year deflation. The government of Japan has flooded the country with money to restore the economy, but the money was used for the bail-out of big corporations neglecting the healthy development of the SMEs and impoverishing the ordinary Japanese people. South Korea could have experienced the Japanese-type economic stagnation, if the conservative government ruled the country ten more years. ..."
    "... The neoliberal pro-big company policy of Washington has greatly depleted consumer demand and SMEs even before the onslaught of the coronavirus. ..."
    "... Fourth, the U.S. economy is shaken up so much that the neoliberal regime will not able to recover the economy. Thus, the survival of neo-liberalism looks uncertain. But, if the coronavirus crisis continues and destroys SMEs and if only the big corporations survive owing to bailout money, neo-liberalism may survive and we may end up with authoritarian governance ruled by the business-politics oligarchy. ..."
    Jul 27, 2020 | www.globalresearch.ca

    For the last forty years, neo-liberalism has dominated economic thinking and the formulation of economic policies Worldwide.

    But the corona virus crisis has exposed, in a dramatic way, its internal contradictions, its incapacity to deal with the corona crisis and its incompetence to restore the real economy ruined by the crisis.

    In this article, we will focus on the relationship between Neoliberalism and the Corona Crisis:

    To save democracy and the global economy, We need a new economic model which supports the future of humanity, which sustains human livelihood Worldwide.

    1. Neoliberalism and the initial Outbreak of the Corona Virus

    The most important part of neoliberalism is the relation -often of a corrupt nature- between the government and large corporations. By corruption, we mean illegal or immoral human activities designed to maximize profit at the expense of people's welfare. In this relation, the government may not be able to control and govern the large corporations. In fact, in the present context, the corporations govern and oversee national governments.

    Hence, when the corona virus broke out, it was difficult for the government to take immediate actions to control the virus break-out to save human lives; It was quite possible that the price of stocks and large corporations' profit had the priority.

    The theory known as neoliberalism distinguishes itself from the old liberalism prevailing before the Great Depression.

    It became widely accepted mainly because of its adoption, in the 1970s and 1980s, by Ronald Reagan , president of the U.S. and Margaret Thatcher , prime minister of Great Britain as an economic policy agenda applied nationally and internationally.

    The justification of neoliberalism is the belief that the best way to ensure economic growth is to encourage "supply activities" of private sector enterprises.

    Now, the proponents of neoliberalism argue that public goods (including health and education) can be produced with greater efficiency by private companies than by the State. Therefore, "it is better" to let the private enterprises produce public goods.

    In other words, the production of public goods should be "privatized". Neoliberals put profit as the best measure of efficiency and success. And profit can be sustained with government support. In turn, the private companies' policy is that of reducing the labour costs of production.

    Government assistance includes reduction of corporate taxes, subsidies and anti-labour policies such as the prohibition of labour unionization and the abolition of the minimum wage.

    Reduction of labour cost can be obtained by the automation of the production of goods

    Under such circumstances, close cooperation between the government and the private corporations is inevitable; even it may be necessary.

    But, such cooperation is bound to lead to government-business collusion in which the business receives legal and illegal government support in exchange of illicit money such as kick-backs and bribes given to influential politicians and the people close to the power.

    As the collusion becomes wider and deeper, an oligarchy is formed; it is composed of corporations, politicians and civil servants. This oligarchy's raison d'être is to make money even at the expense of the interests of the people.

    Now, in order to protect its vested interests, the oligarchy expands its network and creates tight-knit political community which shares the wealth and privileges obtained.

    In this way, the government-business cooperation can be evolved by stage to give birth to the corruption culture.

    Some of the neoliberal countries may be at the stage of the collusion; some of them may find themselves at the stage of oligarchy; some of them may be at the stage of corruption culture.

    South Korea

    When the progressive government of Moon Jae-in took over power in 2017, South Korea under the 60-year neo-liberal rule by the conservatives was at the stage of corruption culture.

    The progressive government of Moon Jae-in has declared a total war against the corruption culture, but it is a very long way to go before eliminating corruption.

    In South Korea, of six presidents of the conservative government, four presidents were or are in prison for corruption and abuse of power. This shows how deeply the corruption has penetrated into the fabrics of the Korea society

    In Japan, since 1957, there were twenty-one prime ministers of whom 75% were one-year or two-year prime ministers despite the four-year term of prime ministers. The short life span of Japanese prime ministers is essentially due to the short term interest pursued by the corrupted golden triangle composed of big business, bureaucrats and politicians. Unless, Japan uproots the corruption culture, it will be difficult to save the Japanese economy from perpetual stagnation.

    Lobbying and "Corruption Culture"

    Many of the developed countries in the West are also the victims of corruption culture. In the U.K. the City (London's Wall Street) is the global center of money laundry.

    In the U.S. the big companies are spending a year no less than $2.6 billion lobbying money for the promotion of their interests, while the Congress spends $ 2.9 billion and the Senate, $860 million for their respective annual operation. Some of the big companies deploy as many as 100 lobbyists.

    It is unbelievable that the amount of lobbying is as much as 70% of the annual budget of the whole legislative of the U.S.

    True, in the U.S., lobbying is not illegal, but it may not be morally justified. It is a system where the law makers give privileges to those who spend more money, which can be considered as bribes

    Under such lobbying system, each group should deploy lobbyists to promote their interests. The immigrants, the native Indians, the Afro Americans, the alienated white people and other marginal groups cannot afford lobbyists and they are often excluded from fair treatment in the process of making laws and policies

    Some of the developed European countries are also very corrupted. The international Transparency Index rank, in 2019, was 23 for France, 30 for Spain and 51 for Italy.

    In the case of the U.S. its rank increased from 18 in 2016 to 22 in 2019. Thus in three years, the degree of corruption increase by 22.2%

    What is alarming is that, in the corruption culture, national policies are liable to be dictated by big businesses.

    In South Korea, under the conservative government, it was suspected that the national policies were determined by the Chaebols (large industrial conglomerates), not by the government.

    As matter of fact, during the MERS crisis in 2015, the anti-virus policy was dictated by the Samsung Group. In order to save its profit, Samsung Hospital in Seoul hid the infected so that the number of non-MERS patients would not decrease.

    In Japan, the Abe government made the declaration of public health emergency as late as April 6, 2020 despite the fact that the infections were detected as early as January, 2020.

    This decision was, most likely, dictated by Keiretsu members (grouping of large enterprises) in order to save investments in the July Olympics. Nobody knows how many Japanese had been infected for more than three months.

    Similarly, Trump was well aware of the sure propagation of the virus right form January, but he waited until March 13, 2020 before he declared the state of effective public health emergency. The obvious reason was the possible fear of free fall of stock price and the possible loss of big companies' profits.

    The interesting question is: "The delayed declaration of public health emergency, was it Trump's decision or that of his corporate friends?" It doesn't matter whose decision it was, because the government under neoliberal system is controlled the big businesses.

    So, as in Japan, Italy, Spain, France and especially, the U.K, Trump lost the golden time to save human lives to keep profit of enterprises.

    God knows how many American lives were sacrificed to save stock price and company profit!

    Thus, the neoliberal governments have lost the golden chance to prevent the initial outbreak of the dreadful virus.

    2. Neo-liberalism and the Propagation of Corona-Virus

    We saw that the initial outbreak of the virus was not properly controlled leading to the loss to golden time of saving human lives, most likely because of the priority given to business and political interests.

    The initial outbreak of the virus was transformed into never-ending propagation and, even now, in many states in the U.S. the wave of the virus is getting higher and wider.

    This tragic reality can be explained by four factors:

    1. people's mistrust in the government,
    2. unbounded competition,
    3. inequitable income distribution,
    4. the absence of public health system.

    These four factors (above) are all the legacies of neoliberalism.

    The people know well that the corrupted neoliberal government's concern is not the welfare of the people but the interest of a few powerful and the rich. The inevitable outcome is the loss of people's trust in the unreliable government.

    This is demonstrated by Trump's indecision, his efforts of ignoring the warning of the professionals, his fabricates stories and above all, his perception of who should be given the right to receive life-saving medical care at the hospital.

    Under such circumstances, Americans do not trust the government directives and guidelines, allegedly implemented to protect people from the virus.

    The guideline of the CDC (Centers for Disease Control) for self quarantine, social distancing and wearing face masks has little effect. There is another product of neoliberalism which is troublesome. I mean its credo of unbounded competition.

    It is true that competition promotes efficiency and better quality of products. However, as competition continues, the number of winners decreases, while that of losers rises. The economy ends up being ruled by a handful of powerful winners. This leads to the segregation of losers and leads to the discrimination of people by income level, religion, race and colour of skin.

    In the present context, largely as a result of government policy, there is little to no social solidarity; each individual has to solve his or her own problems. I was sad when I saw on TV a young lady in California saying:

    "To be killed by the COVID-19 or starve to death is the same to me. I open my shop to eat!"

    This shows how American citizens are left alone to fight the coronavirus. Furthermore, neoliberalism has another unhappy legacy; it is the widening and deepening income inequality.

    The U.S. is the richest country in the world, but it is also a country where income inequality is the most pronounced. I will come back to this issue in the next section. In relation to the corona virus crisis, income inequality means an army of those who are most likely to be infected and who are unable to follow CDC guidelines of testing, self quarantine and social distancing. Finally, the privatization of public health services has made the whole country unprepared for the onslaught of the virus.

    In fact, in the U.S. there is no public health system. For three months after the first breakout of the virus, the country lacked everything needed to fight the virus.

    Thus, neoliberalism has made the U.S not only to lose the golden time to prevent the initial breakout but also it has let the wave of virus to continue. Nobody knows when it will calm down. As a matter of fact, on July 4, there were 2.9 million infected and 132,000 deaths; this gives a death rate of 4.6%. Given U.S. population of 328 million, we have 402.44 deaths per million inhabitants which is one of highest among the developed countries. The trouble is that the wave of virus is still going higher and wider. On July 4, the confirmed cases increased by 50% in two weeks in 12 states and increased 10% to 50% in 22 states.

    3. Neo-liberalism and the very Foundation of the U.S. Economy

    The message of this section is this. The foundation of the American economy is the purchasing power of the consumers and the job creation by small-and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). The consumer demand is 70% of the GDP, the SMEs create 66% of jobs. Unfortunately, because of neoliberalism, the consumers have become very poorer and the SMEs have been neglected in the pro-big-company government policies. The COVID-19 has destroyed the SMEs and impoverished the consumers. Nobody would deny the contribution of neo-liberalism to globalization of finance, the creation of the global value chain and, especially the free trade agreement.

    All these activities have allowed GDP to grow in developed countries and some of new industrial countries. However, the wealth created by the growth of GDP has gone to countries already developed, some developing countries and a small number of multinational enterprises (MNE). The rich produced by GDP growth has led to the concentration of wealth in the hands of a few privileged. What is more serious is this. If the skewed income distribution in favour of a decreasing number of people continues for long, the GDP will stop growing and decades-long deflation is quite possible, as it has happened in Japan.

    According to the OECD data, in the period, 1975-2011, the GDP share of labour income in OECD countries fell by 13.8% from 65% to 56%. In the case of the U.S., in the same period, 1970-2014, it fell by 11%. The falling labour-income share is necessarily translated into unequal household income distribution. There are two popular ways of measuring income distribution: the decile ratio and the Gini coefficient.

    The decile ratio is obtained by dividing the income earned by the top 10% income earners by the income earned by the bottom 10% income earners . The decile ratio in 2019 was 18.5 in the U.S. as compared to 5.6 in Finland. The decile ratio of the U.S. was the highest among the developed countries. Thus, in the U.S. the top 10 % has an income 19 times more than the bottom 10%, while, in Finland, the corresponding ratio is only 6 times. This shows how serious the income gap is in the country of Uncle Sam.

    The Gini coefficient varies from zero to 100. As the value of the Gini increases, the income distribution becomes favourable to the high-income households. Conversely, as the value of the Gini decreases, the income distribution becomes favourable to low-income households. There are two types of Gini: the gross Gini and the net Gini. The former refers to Gini before taxes and transfer payment, while the latter refers to Gini after taxes and transfer payment. The difference between the gross and the net Gini shows the government efforts to improve the equality and fairness of income distribution The gross U.S.- Gini coefficient in 2019 was 48.6, one of the highest among the developed countries.

    Its net Gini was 38.0 so that the difference between the gross and the net Gini was 12.3%. In other words, the U.S. income distribution improved only by 12.3% by government efforts as against, for example, an improvement of 42.9% in the case of Germany, where the gross Gini was 49.9 while the net Gini was 28.5 The net Gini of the U.S. was the highest among the developed countries. The implication is clear. The income distribution in the U.S. was the most unequal. To make the matter worse, the government's effort to improve the unequal income distribution was the poorest among the developed countries. There are countless signs of unfortunate impacts of the inequitable income distribution in the country called the U.S. which Koreans used to admire describing it as "mi-gook- 美國미국 – Beautiful Country". Now, one wonders if it is still a "mi-gook".

    The following data indicates the seriousness of poverty in the U.S. (data below prior to the Coronavirus crisis).

    These data give us an idea on how so many people have to suffer from poverty in a country where per capita GDP is $65,000 (2019 estimate), the richest country in the world. Most of the Americans work for small- and medium-sized companies (SMEs). In the U.S., there are 30 million SMEs. They create 66% of jobs in the private sector. The SMEs are more severely hit than big companies by the coronavirus.

    In fact, 66% of SMEs are adversely affected by the virus against 40% for big firms. As much as 20% of SMEs may be shut down for good within three months, because of the virus. Under the forty years of neoliberal pro-big corporation policies, available financial resources and the best human resources have been allocated to big firms at the expense of the development of SMEs.

    The most damaging by-product of neoliberalism is no doubt the widening and deepening unequal income distribution for the benefit of the big corporations and the uprooting of SMEs. This trend means the shrinking domestic demand and the disappearance of jobs for ordinary people.

    The destruction of the domestic market caused by the shrinking consumer demand and the disappearance of SMEs can mean the uprooting of the very foundation of the economy.

    The experience of Japan shows how this can happen. The economic depression after the bubble burst of 1989, Japan had to endure 30-year deflation. The government of Japan has flooded the country with money to restore the economy, but the money was used for the bail-out of big corporations neglecting the healthy development of the SMEs and impoverishing the ordinary Japanese people. South Korea could have experienced the Japanese-type economic stagnation, if the conservative government ruled the country ten more years.

    The neoliberal pro-big company policy of Washington has greatly depleted consumer demand and SMEs even before the onslaught of the coronavirus. But, the COVID-19 has given a coup de grâce to consumer demand and SMEs To better understand the issue, let us go back to the ABC of economics. Looking at the national economy from the demand side, the economy consists of private consumer demand (C), the private investment demand (I), the government demand (G) and Foreign demand represented by exports of domestic products (X) minus domestic demand for imported foreign products (M).

    GDP=C + I + G + (X-M)

    In 2019, the consumer expenditure (C) in the U.S. was 70% of GDP, whereas the government's spending (G) was 17%. The investments demand (I) was 18%. The net exports demand (X-M) was -5%.

    In 2019 the composition of Canadian GDP was: C=57%; I=23 %; G=21 %; X-M=-1%.

    Thus, we see that the U.S. economy heavily depends on the private domestic consumption, which represents as much as 70% of GDP compared to 57% in Canada. The government's contribution to the national demand is 17% as against 21% in Canada. In the U.S. a small government is a virtue according to neoliberals. In the U.S. the private investments account for only 18% of GDP as compared to as much as 23% in Canada. In the U.S., off-shoring of manufacturing jobs and the global value chain under neo-liberalism have decreased the need for business investments at home. It is obvious then that to save the American economy, we have to boost the consumers' income. But, the consumer income comes mainly from SMEs. We must remember that the SMEs create 66% of all jobs in the U.S. Therefore, if consumer demand falls and if SMEs do not create jobs, the US economy may have to face the same destiny as the Japanese economy. This is happening in the U.S. The corona virus crisis is destroying SMEs and taking away the income of the people.

    The coronavirus crisis is about to demolish the very foundation of the American economy.

    4. Corona Virus Crisis and the Survival of Neoliberalism

    The interesting question is this. Will neo-liberalism as economic system survive the corona virus crisis in the U.S.?

    There are at least four indications suggesting that it will not survive.

    1. First, to overcome major crisis such as the corona virus invasion, we need strong central government and people-loving leader. One of the reasons for the successful anti-virus policy in South Korea, Taiwan and Singapore was the strong central government's role of determining and coordinating the anti-virus policies. As we saw, the gospel of neo-liberalism is the minimization of the central government's role. Having little role in economic policies, the U.S. federal government has proved itself as the most incompetent entity to fight the crisis. It is more than possible that the U.S. and all the neoliberal countries will try to get away from the traditional neoliberal governance in which the government is almost a simple errand boy of big business.
    2. Second, the people's trust in the neoliberal leaders has fallen on the ground. It will be difficult for the neoliberal leaders to be able to lead the country in the post-corona virus era.
    3. Third, the corona virus crisis has made the people aware of the abuse of power by the big companies; the people now know that these companies are interested only in making money. So, it may be more difficult for them to exploit the people in the era of post-COVID-19.
    4. Fourth, the U.S. economy is shaken up so much that the neoliberal regime will not able to recover the economy. Thus, the survival of neo-liberalism looks uncertain. But, if the coronavirus crisis continues and destroys SMEs and if only the big corporations survive owing to bailout money, neo-liberalism may survive and we may end up with authoritarian governance ruled by the business-politics oligarchy.

    5. Search for a New Economic Regime: Just-Liberalism

    One thing which the corona-virus crisis has demonstrated is the fact that the American neo-liberalism has failed as sustainable regime capable of stopping the virus crisis, restore the economy and save the democracy. Hence, we have to look for a new regime capable of saving the U.S. economy and democracy. We would call this new regime as "Just-liberalism " mission of which is the sustainable economic development and, at the same time, the just distribution of the benefits of economic development. Before we get into the discussion of the main feature of the new regime, there is one thing we should discuss. It is the popular perception of large corporation. Many believe that they make GDP grow and create jobs. It is also the popular view that the success of these large corporations is due to the innovative managing skills of their founders or their CEOs. Therefore, they deserve annual salary of millions of dollars. This is the popular perception of Chaebols in South Korea.

    But, a great part of Chaebols income is attributable to the public goods such as national defence, police protection, social infrastructures, the education system, enormous sacrifice of workers and, especially tax allowances, subsidies and privileges. In other words, a great part of the Chaebols' income belongs to the society, not the Chaebols. Many believe that the Chaebols create jobs, but, in reality, they crate less than 10% of jobs in Korea. We may say the same thing about large corporations in the U.S. In other words, much of the company's income is due to public goods. Hence, the company should equitably share its income with the rest of the society. But do they?

    The high ranking managers get astronomical salaries; some of them are hiding billions of dollars in tax haven islands.

    We ask. Are large corporations sharing equitably their income with the society? Are the corporate tax allowances they get too much? Is the wage they pay too low? Is CEO's income is too high?

    It is difficult to answer these questions.

    But we should throw away the mysticism surrounding the merits of large corporations; we should closely watch them so that they do not misuse their power and wealth to dictate national policies for their own benefit at the expense of the welfare of the people. The new regime, just-liberalism, should have the following eight features.

    First, we need a strong government which is autonomous from big businesses; there should be no business-politics collusion; there should be no self-interest oligarchy of corruption.

    Second, it is the time we should reconsider the notion of human right violation. There are several types of human right violation in developed countries including the U.S. For example, the racial discrimination, the inequality before the law, the violation of the right of social security and the violation of the right of social service are some cases of violation of human rights defined by the U.N. The Western media have been criticizing human right violation in "non-democratic countries", but, in the future, they should pay more attention to human right violation in "democratic countries."

    Third, the criterion of successful economy should not be limited to the GDP growth; the equitable distribution of the benefits of GDP growth should also be a criterion; proper balance between the growth and the distribution of growth fruits should be maintained.

    Fourth, market should not be governed by "efficiency" alone; it must be also "equitable". Efficiency may lead to the concentration of resources and power in the hands of the few at the expense of social benefit; it must be also equitable. As an example, we may refer to the Chaebols (big Korean industrial conglomerates) which kill the traditional village markets which provide livelihood to a great number of poor people. The Chaebols may make the market efficient but not equitable. The Korean government has limited Chaebols' penetration into these markets to make them more equitable.

    Fifth, we need a partial direct democracy. The legislative translates people's wish into laws and the executive makes policies on the basis of laws. But, in reality, the legislative and the executive may pass laws and policies for the benefit of big companies or specific group of individuals and institutions close to the power. Therefore, it is important to provide a mechanism through which the people – the real master of the country – should be allowed to intervene all times. In South Korea, if more than 200,000 people send a request to the Blue house (Korean White House) to intervene in matters judged unfair or unjust, the government must intervene.

    Sixth, those goods and services which are essential for every citizen must be nationalized. For example, social infrastructure such as parks, roads, railways, harbours, supply of electricity should not be privatized. Education including higher education should be made public goods so that low income people should get higher education as do high income group.

    This is the best way to maximize the mass of innovative minds and creative energy to develop the society. Above all, the health service should be nationalized. It is just unbelievable to see that, in a country where the per capita GDP is $63,000, more than 30 million citizens have no medical insurance, just because it is too expensive. Politicians know quite well that big companies related to insurance, pharmaceutical products and medical professions are preventing the nationalization of medical service in the U.S. But, the politicians don't seem to dare go over these vested interests groups and nationalize the public health system. Remember this. There are countries which are much poorer than the U.S. But, they have accessible universal health care insurance system.

    Seventh, the economy should allow the system of multi- generational technologies in which not only high-level technologies but also mid-level technologies should be promoted in such a way that both high- tech large corporations and middle-tech SMEs can grow. This is perhaps only way to insure GDP growth and create jobs.

    Eighth, in the area of international relations, it is about the time to stop wasteful ideological conflict. The difference among ideologies is narrowing; the number of countries which have abandoned the U.S. imposed democracy has been rising; the ideological basis of socialism is weakening. According to the Economist Intelligence Unit, 48% of countries are democratic, while 52% are not. According to Freedom House, in 2005, 83 countries had net gain in democracy, while 52 countries had net loss in democracy.

    But in 2019, only 37 countries had net gain while 64 countries had net loss. Between 2005 and 2018, the number of countries which were not free increased by 26%, while those which were free fell by 44%. On the other hand, it is becoming more and more difficult to find authentic socialism. For example, Chinese regime has lost its pure socialism long time ago. Thus, the world is becoming non-ideological; the world is embracing ideology-neutral pragmatism.

    To conclude, the corona virus pandemic has given us the opportunity to look at ourselves; it has given us the opportunity to realize how vulnerable we are in front of the corona virus attack.

    Many more pandemics will come and challenge us. We need a world better prepared to fight the coming pandemics. It is high time that we slow down our greedy pursuit for GDP growth; it is about the time to stop a wasteful international ideological conflict in support of multibillion dollar interests behind Big Money and the Military industrial complex.

    It is therefore timely to find a system where we care for each other and where we share what we have .

    ***

    Note to readers: please click the share buttons above or below. Forward this article to your email lists. Crosspost on your blog site, internet forums. etc.

    Professor Joseph H. Chung is professor of economics and co- director of the Observatoire de l'Asie de l'Est (ODAE) of the Centre d'Études de l'Intégration et la Mondialisation (CEIM), Université du Québec à Montréal (UQAM). He is Research Associate of the Center of Research on Globalization (CRG). Growing Social and Wealth Inequality in America

    [Jul 21, 2020] Prof. Balloux's: SARS-CoV-2 behaves in most ways like a pandemic influenza strain

    Jul 21, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Anonymous , Jul 20 2020 1:50 utc | 55

    Reading Prof. Balloux's thread and I have to say:

    What? "Complications: Any life-threatening infection requires time to fully recover from and can lead to long-term sequelae. This is true for influenza and #COVID19, which have both been linked to a wide spectrum of long-term adverse consequences." The flu has long-term adverse consequences??

    What? What? "Vaccines: Vaccination against influenza began in the 1930s. The efficacy of flu vaccines is generally good." Is he talking about these flu vaccines that are frequently extremely ineffective, and prone to greater adverse reactions than other vaccines? Do they get some other flu vaccine at UCL?

    Wha... "Summary: #SARSCoV2 behaves in most ways like a pandemic influenza strain. The only major epidemiological difference between #COVID19 and flu pandemics is the age risk distribution, with influenza being highly dangerous to young children in addition to the elderly." This UCL that he's part of, is that some UCL that's located elsewhere in the galaxy other than the UCL in London?

    And he works at the Genetics Institute. Just to reassure everyone.

    [Jul 20, 2020] Ron Paul Exposes Big Holes In The COVID 'Spike' Narrative -

    Jul 20, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com

    Ron Paul Exposes Big Holes In The COVID 'Spike' Narrative 07/20/2020

    Authored by Ron Paul via The Ron Paul Institute for Peace & Prosperity,

    Motorcycle accidents ruled Covid deaths? In the rush to paint Florida as the epicenter of the "second wave" of the coronavirus outbreak, government officials and their allies in the mainstream media have stooped to ridiculous depths to maximize the death count. A television station this weekend looked into two highly unusual Covid deaths among victims in their 20s, and when they asked about co-morbidities they were told one victim had none, because his Covid death came in the form of a fatal motorcycle accident.

    Sadly, this is not an isolated incident. In fact the "spike" that has dominated the mainstream for the last couple of weeks is full of examples of such trickery.

    me title=

    https://imasdk.googleapis.com/js/core/bridge3.397.1_en.html#goog_608482903

    Washington state last week revised its Covid death numbers downward when it was revealed that anyone who passed away for any reason whatsoever who also had coronavirus was listed as a "Covid-19 death" even if the cause of death had nothing to do with Covid-19.

    In South Carolina, the state health agency admitted that the "spike" in Covid deaths was only the result of delayed reporting of suspected Covid deaths.

    An analysis of reported daily Covid deaths last week compared to actual day-of-death in Houston revealed that the recent "spike" consisted largely of deaths that occurred in April through June. Why delay reporting until now?

    We do know that based on this "spike" the Democrat mayor of Houston cancelled the convention of the Texas Republican Party. Mission accomplished?

    Doesn't it seem suspicious that so many states have experienced "delayed" reporting of deaths until Fauci and his gang of "experts" announced that we are in a new nightmare scenario?

    Last week in Florida – which is perhaps not coincidentally the location of the Republican Party's national convention – another scandal emerged when hundreds of Covid test centers reported 100 percent positive results. Obviously this would paint a far grimmer picture of the resurgence of the virus. Orlando Health, for example, reported a positivity rate of 98 percent – a shocking level – but a further investigation revealed a true positivity rate of only 9.4 percent. Those "anomalies" were repeated throughout the state.

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    "Cases" once meant individuals who displayed sufficient symptoms to be treated in medical facilities. But when the scaremongers needed a "second wave" they began reporting any positive test result as a "Covid case." No wonder we have a "spike."

    Politics demands that politicians be seen doing "something" rather than nothing, even if that something is more harmful than doing nothing at all. That is why Washington is so addicted to sanctions.

    The same has been true especially in Republican-controlled states in the US in response to the coronavirus. Faced with a virus that has killed about one-third as many people as the normal, seasonal flu virus in 2018, Texas Governor Greg Abbott has endorsed a partial shutdown of the economy resulting in millions tossed into the despair of unemployment. Then he arbitrarily shut down bars because massively increased testing showed more people have been exposed to the virus. And he mandated that people wear face masks. Neither shutting down bars (instead of restaurants or Walmarts) nor forcing people to wear masks will have any effect on the progression of the virus through society. But at least he looks like he's doing "something."

    We are facing the greatest assault on our civil liberties in our lifetimes. The virus is real, but the government reaction is political and totalitarian. As it falls apart, will more Americans start fighting for their liberty?

    [Jul 20, 2020] Goering though had a good understanding of the modern western world and the dymanics of COVID-19 epidemics

    High numbers of asymptomatic are a feel good propaganda thing. Most have no symptoms when they first become contagious, but the numbers that never develop symptoms are relatively low.
    Jul 20, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org
    Peter AU1 , Jul 20 2020 8:58 utc | 95

    Grieved

    Plenty of genuine people here that have developed their thoughts away from herd mentality. And most are different in some aspects.
    My thought is all free thinkers begin with a baseline or foundation and then expand from there in relation to their experiences. Baseline starting points differ, as does life experiences.
    For me, I guess being able to raise a family and see them able to go out in the world and start their own family is my baseline. This is overlapped with the historical saying - 'a good leader brings peace and prosperity to his people'.

    Goering though had a good understanding of the modern western world ...
    Göring: Why, of course, the people don't want war. Why would some poor slob on a farm want to risk his life in a war when the best that he can get out of it is to come back to his farm in one piece? Naturally, the common people don't want war; neither in Russia nor in England nor in America, nor for that matter in Germany. That is understood. But, after all, it is the leaders of the country who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it is a democracy or a fascist dictatorship or a Parliament or a Communist dictatorship.

    For most here, democracy is still the sacred cow, but even that is something I no longer worship. Democracy is controlled by whoever controls the media.
    For me, the baseline is family, as in father mother and children, and, a leadership capable of, or who's main interest is bringing peace and prosperity for the people..

    [Jul 20, 2020] Economists' superiority is a sociological construct that economists desire to maintain

    Jul 20, 2020 | crookedtimber.org

    This Paul Krugman column helped crystallize the weirdness of the ongoing economists versus epidemiologists spat, perhaps more accurately described as the 'some economists, especially those with libertarian politics, versus epidemiologists spat.' Different theories, in turn below the fold.

    steven t johnson 07.20.20 at 2:37 pm

    "1) The theory that economists actually are superior Certainly, epidemiologists' workhorse models have had mixed predictive success " The predictive power of the economists' models, or their guidance of government policies that have ended business cycles (for an example) by contrast has had presumably unmixed success? I believe it is misleading to phrase the point this way: The theory is that the laws of economics as expounded in the academy are laws of nature, a description of the anatomy of the final society, the endpoint of human history, if not human evolution. Thus, any unwelcome conclusions from epidemiological models must be rejected.

    "(2) The theory that economists' superiority is a sociological construct that economists desire to maintain." The word "sociological" may be written here, but the discussion seems to indicate that it actually means, psychological trait. In plain terms, it means the vanity of economists. Insofar as it is a sociological construct, it refers to things like the status ascribed to economists by those who employ them, who fund their institutions, who make sure the right kind of economic education is started in elementary schools and beyond, etc. In this view, critiquing the competence of epidemiologists is merely a tactic in servicing the constitutency that desires a different policy.

    The OP has vehemently asserted however such a view of the academy is criminal. And that it is the first priority of all decent people to fight such imitations of thought. The OP is as one with Jason Brennan on this, despite a trifling disagreement over manners or the lack of. Nonetheless I suggest the variation in economists in their distaste for epidemiologists roughly coincides with the variation in what kind of service they're selling and in the constituency they sell too. A Hanson who sells a radical critique of humanity will tack a different tack than another economist.

    "(3) The theory that economists and epidemiologists have different motivations or values both disciplines have likely systematic biases towards one notion of the broader welfare rather than another." This says that the economists are driven solely by disinterested commitments to independently chosen values and that particular interests have no role whatsoever. This says it is not even conceivable some aggressive economists are attacking epidemologists' competence to help sell the pre-determined policy -- predetermined by those who will benefit monetarily by it and who have the power to rule not formally guaranteed (and strenuously denied) to make policy independent from mere elections -- of reopening the economy no matter what.

    "(4) The theory that epidemiology challenges the basic ideological presuppositions of (some) economists The externalities of people's actions during coronavirus are extremely high, and the prospect of decentralized solutions for those externalities extremely low." This is a plea for the golden mean, maybe? The assumption that sophisticated von Hayek should be taken seriously strikes me as doubtful. (And, no, I'm not too sure about Coase either.)

    So it seems to me the problem of why some economists and fellow travelers like Brennan are aggressively impugning the competence of epidemiologists is because it helps promote favored policies of inaction. That is, that it's not much of a problem. The problem is why such transparent nonsense isn't dismissed for what it is. The OP's herculean diplomacy seems to me to deny this is a problem at all.

    [Jul 20, 2020] Media Mask-Mania, Or COVID-19 Groupthink -

    Jul 20, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com

    Media Mask-Mania, Or COVID-19 Groupthink by Tyler Durden Sun, 07/19/2020 - 23:30 Twitter Facebook Reddit Email Print

    Authored by Michael Lesher via Off-Guardian.org,

    I never thought I'd see the day when publicly wearing a muzzle would constitute a proof of virtue in the same country whose government, less than twenty years ago, rationalized the bloody invasion of Afghanistan as a way of saving women from veiling their faces .

    But then, I never thought I'd hear American liberals proudly denounce supporters of the US Constitution as a "death cult," nor that I'd actually start to find Donald Trump sounding almost reasonable.

    But at least there's one thing we can all be sure about: "mainstream" news media, busily cheerleading for the death of freedom, will continue to gush with absurdities, self-contradictions and victim-shaming memes in their propaganda war to Keep America Gagged. The Bill of Rights (in case you haven't noticed) is history; today, we demonstrate our patriotism by creeping around hiding our faces. Dissenters need not apply.

    If you think I'm exaggerating, I suspect you haven't been paying attention. Recently I had the poor judgment to turn on National Public Radio for about an hour, under the impression that I was going to learn something about the day's news.

    I could have saved myself the trouble. During the hour in question, I learned nothing at all about the presidential election campaign (now in its final months), nothing about the tens of millions of my fellow citizens whose jobs have been snatched away by government fiat, nothing about climate change, nuclear arms buildups, international refugees or growing worldwide poverty – nothing even about the intensification of air and water pollution authorized by recent federal regulation, although pollution kills an estimated 100,000 Americans every year .

    No – for a solid hour, I heard the following: that COVID19 – in reality, at most, a moderately serious flu virus – is the worst medical threat the United States has ever faced; that this "deadly" virus (the word "deadly" was repeated obsessively, even though the disease is fatal in a tiny percentage of cases) has been empowered by a conspiracy of Republican politicians serving the arch-demon Donald Trump; that recent data showing the rapid decline in deaths attributable to the virus may have been faked, because the numbers aren't what the "experts" want them to be; and that a massive increase in COVID19 tests – primarily among people between 20 and 40 years of age who are subjected to swabbing because their employers demand it, not because they're in any danger – cannot possibly have anything to do with a rise in the number of reported infections, and that anyone who dares to suggest otherwise is "putting lives at risk."

    But the real theme of the hour was masks, masks, masks: how to make them, how to wear them, their different types, who doesn't seem to have enough of them, and why muffling our faces (even though no such thing was ever demanded of us during dozens of past viral outbreaks) is absolutely, positively good for us all.

    I waited in vain for some mention of the fact that every single order requiring the wearing of muzzles in the US is probably unconstitutional , a matter that National Public Radio – which once prided itself on its legal affairs reporting – might have been expected to care about.

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    Nor did anyone mention that just a few months ago, the Center for Disease Control and Prevention was explicitly advising against a general mask-wearing regime , as was Anthony Fauci, the High Priest of COVID19.

    No, facts would only have complicated matters. After all, we already knew what good little boys and girls were expected to do with those muzzles. At the close of each weather forecast, just in case anyone had missed the point, the reporter said cheerily, "And when you go out – put on a mask." "And drink milk with every meal," I half expected him to add, but I guess self-conscious condescension would have spoiled the effect.

    Put on a mask.

    In well over half a century, I cannot remember a weather report that ended with a brisk piece of non-meteorological advice, let alone a patently silly one – after all, if these magical masks were to make any difference, their greatest usefulness would have been at the beginning of the outbreak, not on its heels.

    Yet throughout March, while police-state fever prompted the suspension of democracy in some 40 states and most of the US population was being hustled into virtual house arrest, the pro-incarceration crowd's loudest voices unanimously insisted that masks were of no practical value.

    For anyone who has forgotten, Fauci told 60 Minutes that :

    [t]here's no reason to be walking around with a mask. When you're in the middle of an outbreak, wearing a mask might make people feel a little better and it might even block a droplet, but it's not providing the perfect protection that people think it is. And often there are unintended consequences – people keep fiddling with the mask and they keep touching their face."

    That was how things stood when the epidemic was new and all stops were out. And now? Contemplating the lockdown-lovers' belated fetish for surgical gear, one can only imagine the US Navy ceremoniously issuing an air-raid warning at Pearl Harbor a hundred days or so after the Japanese attack had wiped out much of the fleet.

    But you've got to hand it to the mask-maniacs. No matter how many of their excuses for muzzling the population go the way of the Great Auk, they keep the new ones tumbling out so fast you can hardly keep track.

    Here's one peddled on July 14 in the Los Angeles Times : even though the masks won't really prevent infection, they may reduce the amount of the virus you breathe in – that is, just in case you happen to come across an infected person who somehow manages to breathe into your (masked) face from a very short distance and for an extended period. (No one cited in the article bothers to discuss how often such a scenario is likely to occur.) According to a Dr. Monica Gandhi:

    [t]here is this theory that facial masking reduces disease severity."

    In other words, you'll get COVID19 with or without a mask, but the effects will probably be milder if you muffle your face.

    But wait a minute – even if "this theory" is correct (note that it contradicts everything the propagandists have been telling us about masks for the last three months), wasn't it always the case that the overwhelming majority of those who catch COVID19 have very mild symptoms, or no symptoms at all?

    So what's the big advantage of the mask? The article is silent on that point – and Dr. Gandhi herself ultimately admits that her "theory" remains unproven. But that doesn't stop the Times from lambasting a few local California officials who have raised inconvenient questions about mandatory muzzling.

    "This anti-mask rhetoric is mind-blowing, dangerous, deadly and polarizing," the article quotes Dr. Peter Chin-Hong as responding. Why? Because masks prevent infection? No. Because they save lives? No. Criticizing the muzzle mandate is "deadly" because – wait for it – because:

    [t]here is no evidence that [wearing a mask] is dangerous."

    Well, actually, there is such evidence; Anthony Fauci admitted as much to 60 Minutes in March.

    But the main problem with this retort is that it misses the point: people are being forced to mask their faces in public without any evidence that it's dangerous not to.

    Dr. Chin-Hong's implicit confession that this is so knocks the stuffing out of the mandate – and the Times' rationale. But to say so openly is "dangerous, deadly [there's that favorite adjective again] and polarizing." It's no accident that the symbol of submission currently in vogue is one that covers the mouth. The real message of the mask-maniacs is that we have no right to say what we think.

    And speaking of "polarizing," what about the personal viciousness to which mask-mania so frequently descends? I have lost track of the number of videos circulated by so-called news outlets that depict frustrated shoppers losing their cool over being forced to dress like mummies.

    Apparently this is supposed to be cute – as in, "Get a load of that stupid, Trump-supporting bitch having a public meltdown." Myself, I feel sorry for these people; I share their exasperation, and I empathize with them over the invasion of their privacy.

    As for the propagandists who peddle Schadenfreude in support of governors-turned-dictators – I indict them as heartless hypocrites, who claim to value our collective welfare and prove it by publicly humiliating their victims. Would they take similar pleasure, I wonder, in mocking the reaction of a black shopper who'd just been called "nigger"?

    And it gets worse. In the upside-down world of COVID19 media values, even death is no protection from victim-shaming. Recently, American news organizations "reported" the death of an Ohio man who had the misfortune to die on July 4 of what they gleefully called "complications of COVID-19."

    More than two months earlier, the victim had posted a comment on social media saying he wasn't going to "buy a mask." The articles – which even named the deceased (a combat veteran) – practically salivated over the fact that he had had the audacity to go to a swimming pool in mid-June, where he may have contracted the virus. You see? screamed the reporters' moralizing subtext. The maskless, self-indulgent right-wing bastard got what he deserved!

    Just for the record, let me note that there are a number of things we don't know. We don't know whether the poor man actually wore a mask or not. (He wrote in late April that he didn't intend to buy one, but that's really not the same thing.) We don't know how he actually caught the virus. We don't know whether he could have been saved with better treatment; it's even possible he waited too long to seek medical help.

    Given his youth and the apparently lightning pace of his descent into serious illness, his death from COVID19 is so highly unusual that its medical significance amounts to another thing we don't know.

    Most important, we don't know whether wearing or not wearing a mask had anything at all to do with his death. (If he was infected while at a swimming pool, I doubt even the mask-maniacs would insist that he should have worn it in the water.)

    What we do know is that he was targeted for savage personal attacks after he died, first on social media and now in the press.

    "[P]eople have come out of the woodworks, posting nasty, hateful comments about a man they knew nothing about," one of his friends has said. "Most of it crossed the line into harassment. When reported to Facebook, nothing was taken down nor was there ANY action taken," he added, while "[t]hose that defended [him] faced consequences from Facebook in way of bans."

    Well, at least the pattern of the propaganda makes sense, in a way: slander the nonconformist and you can get away with murder; defend him, you're silenced.

    Even the New York Times' resident faux progressive, Michelle Goldberg, has taken up the cry. Another "Trump fan," she sniffed on July 14 , has become a "macabre cliché" by dying of a disease she blames him for contracting.

    I wonder whether Ms. Goldberg would be smirking about a woman who was raped some two months after posting a comment to the effect that "I'll go wherever I want and dress however I like." My guess is that the analogy hasn't occurred to her; she knows her job, and it's about propaganda, not consistency.

    And the propaganda's bottom line is as clear as it is grim. Forget about your personal liberties. Forget about the democracy you thought you were living in. The mask – the symbol of fear, of arbitrary rule, of the abolition of normal social life, of voiceless submission – isn't going away any time soon.

    Nor is the police state that sponsors it.

    "There's going to be no summertime lull with a big wave in the fall," says Eric Toner , one of the boffins of the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, a partner of the neoliberal American Enterprise Institute that has been instrumental in promoting lockdowns from the start.

    It's clear that we are having a significant resurgence of cases in the summer, and they'll get bigger. And it'll keep going until we lock things down again. "

    And how long before the cycle of incarceration really ends? "[S]everal years," Toner says blandly, adding the sinister afterthought that people who resist being muzzled "will get over it. It's just a question of how many people get sick and die before they get over it."

    Makes you feel kind of warm and protected, doesn't it? Thank heaven people like Toner know our needs so much better than we do.

    The media ubiquity of the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security is another ominous feature of the current wave of propaganda.

    Last October, the Center ran a coronavirus pandemic "simulation" in New York City – cosponsored by the World Economic Forum and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation – for an assembly of powerful people in business and government, after which its members openly speculated about the possible need for "censoring social media content" on the theory that "[m]isinformation and disinformation are likely to be serious threats during a public health emergency."

    These facts obviously bear on the organization's motives and credibility, at the very least. But you won't hear them mentioned when the Center's data are repeated as fact in mainstream media, nor when its members assure us that if we don't wear masks for the next two years we'll all drop dead.

    Is it unreasonable to hope that reporters might want to explore why "health security" is presumed to entail censorship? Or whether the huge investment of the Gates Foundation in vaccine development has any influence on its partner organization's bleak predictions for escaping the coronavirus without a new vaccine? Or whether, having insisted first on devastating lockdowns and now on worthless face masks, the Center will use its political leverage to demand mandatory vaccination when the time comes?

    Professor Lawrence Gostin is another worrisome presence in the media, including Michelle Goldberg's recent sanctimonious outburst in the New York Times – where, pretending to describe the consequences of the virus, she catalogs the devastation of the lockdowns instead:

    [A] record 5.4 million people lost their health insurance between February and May. A generation of American kids will have their educations derailed, and many parents who don't lose their jobs due to the economic crisis will see their careers ruined by the demands of child care

    [ ]

    The psychological consequences alone will be incalculable. Even before the coronavirus, researchers spoke of loneliness as its own epidemic in America. A March article in the medical journal JAMA Psychiatry attributed 162,000 deaths a year to the fallout of social isolation. Now people are being told that they can socialize only under the most stringent conditions. Much of what makes life sweet is lost to us, not for days or weeks, but months or years.

    As I said, this is a chillingly accurate summary of the consequences of the mass incarceration foisted on us by more than 40 state governors, most of them Democrats, beginning in early March – when each one, with a unilateral declaration of a "health emergency," seized quasi-dictatorial powers, shunted aside the Constitution and bankrupted the citizenry. Those "emergency" powers have not been relinquished to this day.

    But neither Goldberg nor her hero, Professor Gostin, offers a single word of criticism for any of those governors, and certainly not for the Democratic Party leadership that has backed this democracy-destroying, economy-wrecking madness at every step. For them, everything is the exclusive fault of one man: Donald Trump.

    Coming from Goldberg, that might be just another election-year screed against an incumbent the Times dislikes. But what about Gostin? Well, although Goldberg never mentions it, Professor Gostin just happens to be the author of the model version of the Emergency Health Powers Act , the adoption of which in all fifty states (if in somewhat different versions) made possible the coup the governors pulled off by claiming "emergencies" several months ago.

    It's worth remembering that Gostin's proposed bill was sharply criticized by the American Civil Liberties Union back in 2001 as "replete with civil liberties problems" and "a throwback to a time before the legal system recognized basic protections for fairness."

    In fact, some of its specific objections to the EHPA deserve quoting at length, in light of where the Act's reckless application has brought us today:

    1. It fails to include basic checks and balances. The Act would grant extraordinary emergency powers, but that kind of authority should never go unchecked. Public health authorities make mistakes, and politicians abuse their powers The lack of checks and balances could have serious consequences for individuals' freedom, privacy, and equality. The Act lets a governor declare a state of emergency unilaterally and without judicial oversight, fails to provide modern due process procedures for quarantine and other emergency powers and contains no checks on the power to order forced treatment and vaccination.

    2. It goes well beyond bioterrorism. The act includes an overbroad definition of "public health emergency" that clearly do[es] not justify quarantine, forced treatment, or any of the other broad emergency authorities that would be granted under the Act.

    3. It lacks privacy protections. The Act requires the disclosure of massive amounts of personally identifiable health information to public health authorities, without requiring basic privacy protections and fair information practices . That not only threatens to violate individuals' medical privacy but undermines public trust in government activities.

    It's not hard to see why Ms. Goldberg is reluctant to give us the accurate back story for her star witness. The ACLU's list of warnings about the potential abuses of the law Gostin drafted is a near-perfect précis of what has actually happened: unilateral declarations of an "emergency," state by state, where none really existed; the seizure by each governor of almost unlimited power to order quarantines and forced vaccinations; the elimination of "due process" restrictions on mass confinement; the dismantling of privacy protections along with basic rights.

    I don't intend to sing the praises of the ACLU, which – like so many other liberal institutions in the US – has been missing in action since the actual coup began last March. But no one can deny the prescience of its critique. And Goldberg knows her readers aren't stupid: once they are aware of the role Gostin played in orchestrating the overthrow of their freedoms, they're not likely to grant him the pied piper status Goldberg wants him to have.

    Why does she cite Gostin? First, to "prove" – like Eric Toner in another context – that the COVID19 outbreak, the current excuse for the denial of our liberties, will last another two years; amazingly, Goldberg claims this while insisting simultaneously that the same outbreak is practically over in New Zealand, Taiwan and Italy after just a few months.

    But she also needs him to explain, albeit in somewhat indirect language, why democracy isn't good for us.

    According to Gostin, the coronavirus has proved that "health system capacity alone is almost useless unless you have a government that can unleash that capacity promptly and consistently." Obviously, we can't do that if we have to bother with pesky constraints like representative government or the public will. And from Gostin's perspective, we've been dabbling in the utopianism of democracy for too long as it is: "It's going to take several years for us to be able to come out of all of the trauma that we've had," he warns.

    And I think that suggests the real message Goldberg and the other propagandists are keen on peddling. They didn't do this to us. It's not that we've been lied to and illegally confined. It's not that our state executives have defied their oaths of office. It's not that their media mouthpieces have offered us one swindle after another: lockdowns, business closings, job losses, muzzling, scare-mongering, the destruction (as Goldberg herself admits) of "much of what makes life sweet" – theater, cinema, public discussion, time shared with friends.

    The problem is us. We've been clinging to dreams of freedom – and that will cost us. The lockdown-lovers are going to punish us for our wrongheaded attachment to notions of individual rights, and they will punish us still more for continuing recalcitrance. But note this: they can only get away with it by selling us one more lie – namely, that what they're doing to us is really the work of a disease beyond anyone's control.

    "The coronavirus is a natural disaster," Goldberg writes.

    No, it isn't.

    The coronavirus is just another flu. The real disaster has been the work of human beings. Resisting it must be, too.

    [Jul 20, 2020] Some politically incorrect thought about the origin of the virus

    Jul 20, 2020 | thenewkremlinstooge.wordpress.com

    MARK CHAPMAN July 18, 2020 at 9:58 am

    I once thought the whole thing was a Big-Pharma scam to grab a shitload of cash. But Big Pharma – I don't think – would have engineered it to start in China, and it's not made-up;

    [Jul 15, 2020] Fauci has been wrong about everything...- Navarro

    Jul 15, 2020 | turcopolier.typepad.com

    "And when Fauci was telling the White House Coronavirus Task Force that there was only anecdotal evidence in support of hydroxychloroquine to fight the virus, I confronted him with scientific studies providing evidence of safety and efficacy. A recent Detroit hospital study showed a 50% reduction in the mortality rate when the medicine is used in early treatment.

    Now Fauci says a falling mortality rate doesn't matter when it is the single most important statistic to help guide the pace of our economic reopening. The lower the mortality rate, the faster and more we can open." Navarro in USA Today

    -------------

    "Laputa's population consists mainly of an educated elite, who are fond of mathematics, astronomy , music and technology, but fail to make practical use of their knowledge. Servants make up the rest of the population.

    The Laputans have mastered magnetic levitation. They also are very fond of astronomy, and discovered two moons of Mars. (This is 151 years earlier than the recognized discovery of the two moons of Mars by Asaph Hall in 1877.) However, they are unable to construct well-designed clothing or buildings, as they despise practical geometry as "vulgar and mechanick". The houses are ill-built, lacking any right angles, [6] and the clothes of Laputans, which are decorated with astrological symbols and musical figures, do not fit, as they take measurements with instruments such as quadrants and a compass rather than with tape measures . [7] They spend their time listening to the music of the spheres. They believe in astrology and worry constantly that the sun will go out." wiki on Gullivers Travels.

    --------------

    Ah, I see it now! Dr. Fauci is a Laputan seer! He is devoid of any real comprehension or respect for the ordinary humans trying to deal with actual pandemic problems rather than "the music of the spheres."

    Is he a Democratic Party operative? I doubt it. He is simply "out of it." pl

    https://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/todaysdebate/2020/07/14/anthony-fauci-wrong-with-me-peter-navarro-editorials-debates/5439374002/


    J , 15 July 2020 at 10:46 AM

    The first thing that should popped up like a red flag that Fauci was a few bricks of a shy load upstairs, was his 'luv' for Hillary.


    From 2013:

    https://theconservativetreehouse.files.wordpress.com/2020/03/sketchy-fauci-2.jpg

    nbsp; Mike46 , 15 July 2020 at 12:40 PM

    Fauci doesn't matter. Over the weekend the WH tried to strongarm parents to get on board with school reopening. They are fucking with the wrong interest group.

    Mark K Logan , 15 July 2020 at 12:47 PM

    There is a better, albeit a more difficult way to undermine Fauci. Educate the people that this issue has vast economic consequences and we must factor in those consequences when crafting an over-all policy. Fauci, I expect, will openly admit he is approaching the topic from a purely medical perspective...which is exactly what he's supposed to be doing.

    As is, Trump is leaves himself wide open to the obvious counter: Neither he nor his economic adviser have any medical expertise.

    Trump may be trapped in a zero-sum game mindset.

    Terence Gore , 15 July 2020 at 02:07 PM

    https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/04/bobby-kennedy-jr-claims-dr-fauci-gates-foundation-will-make-billions-coronavirus-vaccine/

    "Tony Fauci has many, many vaccine patents and there's one vaccine patent that he has that is a way of packaging a coronavirus with some other vaccine in a protein sheet and then delivering it through a vaccine he somehow ended up owning that patent Tony Fauci will be able to cash in . So Fauci's agency will collect half the royalties for that vaccine [related to the coronavirus]."

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T4-DMKNT7xI

    The founding of moderna on mrna medicine. At end of video talks about analogy of climbing Mt Everest and needed to have 1 big investor

    https://www.cnbc.com/2020/05/14/early-moderna-backer-on-core-investing-lesson-from-big-covid-19-bet.html

    "Sunderland co-founded the VC firm, known for making ambitious investments, after having led program-related investments for the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, which provided financial support to Moderna while she was there. Since 2010, Moderna has been working on developing messenger RNA (mRNA) that allows the body's cells to act like reprogrammed biological factories, producing antibodies needed to battle diseases, including viruses.

    "The nice thing about big bets is that they play out over time. ... We made an investment five years ago in Moderna, and mRNA was a big bet, and you see it playing out in terms of their ability to get a rapid vaccine for Covid. ... You have to take those big bets," Sunderland said."


    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8211291/U-S-government-gave-3-7million-grant-Wuhan-lab-experimented-coronavirus-source-bats.html


    https://www.ajmc.com/interviews/fauci-countless-lives-have-been-saved-but-a-vaccine-and-cure-remain-elusive

    Fauci interview

    "The other thing that is amazing in its evolution is the amount that we've learned about HIV pathogenesis, the reservoir, the potential for controlling the virus, either in the absence of antiretroviral [treatment] or in a modified regimen that takes away the need to have a single pill or multiple pills every single day. The thing that remains the holy grail of unaccomplished goals is the development of a highly effective, safe vaccine. And that is something that's not surprising because of the very special situation with HIV, that the body -- as much as we study pathogenesis and understand it so incredibly well -- the body does not make an adequate immune response against HIV, which is the reason why no one has yet spontaneously cleared the virus by their immune system. And so what we need to do, and where we're combination putting a lot of effort into, but also struggling with, is the issue of the development of a vaccine that would be effective enough to be able to be deployed.

    We have one situation that took place, well after that meeting in San Francisco, where a trial of a candidate vaccine -- in a trial named RV 144 that took place in Thailand -- showed a 31% efficacy, which gave us some great hints of correlates of immunity and are the basis for a number of subsequent trials, but still was not good enough to deploy. So we have a number of very large vaccine trials, going on now throughout the world, including a heavy concentration in southern Africa. But we also are pursuing another line of vaccine research, which is the attempt to present to the body, in the proper conformation with sequential immunizations, the capability of making broadly neutralizing antibodies. And if we're successful in that, then I think we have a really good chance of developing a vaccine that would have an efficacy and safety profile good enough to actually deploy it."

    I think over time mrna "vaccines" will change medicine. Are we opening Pandora's box? Possibly.

    [Jul 15, 2020] Errors in Florida virus positivity report- ... actual rate much lower- Wash Examiner

    Jul 15, 2020 | turcopolier.typepad.com

    "errors in Florida virus positivity report: ... actual rate much lower" Wash Examiner

    "The investigation into data from the Florida Department of Health, conducted by Fox 35 News , showed labs reporting a 100% positivity rate in testing, meaning that every single person who was tested was positive for the coronavirus. Several other labs had high positivity rates upward of 80%.

    One hospital, Orlando Health, responded to the investigation and confirmed that the report is inaccurate, saying that its positivity rate was 9.4% and not 98% as the report stated.

    Another hospital, Orlando Veteran's Medical Center, is listed in the report with a positivity rate of 76%, but the hospital says the actual number was 6%." Washington Examiner

    ------------

    Evidently there are over 300 facilities in Florida that have been reporting wildly exaggerated positivity rates on COVID-19 testing. This seems to have occurred because of guidance given by the state medical department that was just blindly, madly ignorant as to how to do arithmetic, not calculus - arithmetic. Hey, Florida medical bureaucrats, how about the idea of having a few other people check your work product for accuracy before you issue guidance?

    The Democrats, devoid of conscience when power is at stake, are having a wonderful time using worthless numbers from all over the country in their propaganda. In fact the only numbers that matter are the death and the hospitalization rates. Even these must be looked at carefully to know if deaths are falsely being attributed to COVID-19 and if people are being hospitalized with mild illnesses. pl

    https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/investigation-shows-errors-in-florida-virus-positivity-report-hospitals-say-actual-rate-much-lower


    nbsp; akaPatience , 15 July 2020 at 11:49 AM

    The elderly account for the majority of COVID-19 deaths. It was reported in USA Today a few months ago that Medicare reimbursement for pneumonia, a major cause of death, is $5,000. IF COVID-19 is claimed as the cause of death, Medicare reimburses $13,000. I wonder how many hospital administrators are opting for more than 2.5X the Medicare reimbursement by stating the official causes of death are the virus, especially when a positive COVID test result apparently isn't required and/or if COVID isn't the primary cause of death?

    BillWade , 15 July 2020 at 11:49 AM

    If these medical math idiots keep this up here in Florida I hope they are ready to cook their own meals 24/7 cause they are wrecking havoc on our restaurants, not to mention the lost incomes these hard working restaurant folks are experiencing.

    At least our county, Charlotte, voted yesterday to no mandatory mask wearing.

    nbsp; Fred , 15 July 2020 at 12:23 PM

    This is woke war, just like with little miss SJW who sabatagued Florida's Covid-19 dashboard. Some folks should go to jail for fraud, but we only fine and jail people for going to the beach now.

    Lesly , 15 July 2020 at 12:26 PM

    I don't think this is a DNC conspiracy. This is a S. Florida thing.

    Medical fraud is crazy high there. Scammers have used the cover of Florida's older demographic to bill state/federal authorities for services/products neither requested nor rendered for years, perhaps decades. My mother received a call from someone to confirm she would be receiving a medical machine in the 90s. Recently my father told me about two friends who waited over two hours to get tested. They got fed up and left, but not before they signed a form with their information. They received a call about a week later informing them they tested positive. Apparently testers are getting a nice government refund for their services.

    I don't think Japan shut down their economy and they have had minimal cases/deaths due to their habit of wearing masks. The Colorado governor is right if you don't have a medical reason to not wear a mask.

    BABAK MAKKINEJAD , 15 July 2020 at 12:50 PM

    From BBC 2018: it was sent to me by another friend and is interesting. Most probably, that epidemic completely passed you by. And yet: There were around 50,100 excess winter deaths in England and Wales in 2017-18 -- the highest since the winter of 1975-76, figures from the Office for National Statistics show.

    Where was the panic then?

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-46399090

    nbsp; Fred , 15 July 2020 at 12:55 PM

    Lesly,

    Thank goodness NY,NJ,MI and all the other states are fraud free. The Japanese did not start wearing masks because of corona viruses. Try tuberculous and its history in the islands.

    Eric Newhill , 15 July 2020 at 01:01 PM

    AkaPatience has it right. There are financial incentives to hospitals to include even a presumed diagnosis of CV-19. There are also financial incentives to cities and states to maximize case and death counts. CDC guidelines are wide open for a loose "interpretation" of what constitutes a CV-19 death. Those of us who actually look at the real data with the mission of understanding big insurance bottom lines (vents, ICU, etc. are very expensive encounters) see that a substantial proportion of CV-19 attributed hospitalizations and deaths are actually due to other causes and the CV-19 was either "presumed" or was present, but not the primary cause (e.g heart attack in a person with a history of cardiac issues).

    When we look at the so called "excess deaths" across the country we are not seeing a CV-19 driven phenomenon. Looking at CV-19 in isolated geographies, such as New York City, there was a small effect, but that has stopped. More importantly, when we look at years of life lost, we are not seeing anything of note, even in NYC; meaning that the deceased are people that were expected to be deceased within 12 months CV-19 or no CV-19 - though, admittedly, that picture won't be 100% clear until a retrospective assessment next year.

    BABAK MAKKINEJAD , 15 July 2020 at 01:28 PM

    An iconoclastic take on the pandemic, and the measures taken to contain it

    Some of the statements may be disputed today (this article was published about 4 weeks ago: see below), but many of the points made still stand. The author is scathing about the data and the science, and their misuse. He makes a number of obvious points about the use of [faulty] masks, among other things. Regarding children, I am not sure it is as clear-cut as he presents the facts to be.

    No doubt this will be debated for many years to come, as it takes 10 to 15 years -- perhaps longer -- to get over the economic shock suffered since March 2020!

    Out of curiosity, I have compiled a few figures, below, with countries that did not take drastic lockdown measures (eg: Sweden), and those that did, but a bit late (eg: France), and finally those that took them early on (eg: Vietnam). If you look at Sweden, the ratio with France is about 1 to 6, which mirrors the population figures (10m Swedes Vs 67m French people, and 5,500 dead in Sweden Vs 30,000 dead in France). In other words, the French had a complete lockdown and the Swedes did not, but the figures are comparable: on that basis, the Swedes were right and the French were wrong. But if you look at Vietnam -- an extreme case (of success) -- you have close to 100m people and zero deaths.

    My conclusion would be that draconian measures early on work, but they may not be a complete and general lockdown of the entire population (as done in the UK for 4 months or so); it may be the quarantine of sick people (or suspected cases) with systematic contact tracing. But what is for sure is that a complete lockdown introduced too late (eg: UK and to a lesser extent France, Italy and Spain) is of little benefit.

    The UK, thus, had the worst outcome: a complete lockdown that was introduced 10 to 20 days too late at least, and a huge shock to the economy, with 50,000 dead, which is a sad record in Europe.

    Germany is a mixed model up to a point, and has done far better than France or the UK, maybe because measures were taken earlier, and also the health-care system is better resourced and more resilient (c.9,000 dead out of >80 m people).

    ___________________________


    Sweden
    Coronavirus Cases:
    75,826
    Deaths:
    5,536
    Population 10.25 m

    Israel
    Coronavirus Cases:
    41,235
    Deaths:
    368
    Recovered:
    19,474
    Pop.: 8.9 m

    Germany
    Coronavirus Cases:
    200,436
    Deaths:
    9,139
    Recovered:
    185,100
    Pop.: 83 m

    France
    Coronavirus Cases:
    172,377
    Deaths:
    30,029
    Recovered:
    78,59
    Pop.: 67 m

    Vietnam
    >95 m population
    372 confirmed cases
    No deaths (zero)

    NZ
    Confirmed cases 1,545
    Recovered
    1,498
    Deaths
    22
    Population: 4.9 m

    South Korea
    Population: 62 m
    Coronavirus Cases:
    13,512
    Deaths:
    289
    Recovered:
    12,282
    _____________

    https://thewallwillfall.org/2020/06/05/lockdown-lunacy-the-thinking-persons-guide/amp/?__twitter_impression=true

    nbsp; turcopolier , 15 July 2020 at 02:07 PM

    Babak

    You assume that all these countries are not lying about the numbers. Do you have some way to prove that they are not?

    BABAK MAKKINEJAD , 15 July 2020 at 02:11 PM

    Col. Lang:

    I cannot prove a negative.

    I am more trusting of the numbers of New Zealand and Sweden and Michigan.

    nbsp; turcopolier , 15 July 2020 at 02:13 PM

    Babak

    It is an issue whether or not you can prove a negative. Why Michigan?

    BABAK MAKKINEJAD , 15 July 2020 at 02:18 PM

    The numbers from Michigan, Sweden, and France are internally consistent among one another - the ratios are close.

    BABAK MAKKINEJAD , 15 July 2020 at 02:37 PM

    There was a report of COVID-19 in Barcelona back in March of 2019.

    This would mean the number of infected people is far, far higher, hence the relative death rate must be far, far lower.

    Furthermore, we could be encountering different variants of the virus at different time periods and places.

    It could be that the variant in Vietnam was different than the one in Wuhan or in Italy.

    Furthermore, different races could have, collectively, different responses to the same pathogen; measles is not as deadly among Near Eastern children as among the Nordic children - for example.

    Eric Newhill , 15 July 2020 at 02:43 PM

    Lesly,
    You are absolutely correct. Florida is a fraud outlier. There was so much fraud on ACA insurance that at least one major insurance company will no longer offer ACA products in some of the more populous zip codes. A lot of the fraud was involving narcotics prescriptions and drug rehab centers (massive), but there was a wide variety of other forms of fraud as well. I hear the same from the Medicare Advantage teams.

    [Jul 14, 2020] C has it correct. Everything besides death rates is meaningless. Unfortunately, the deaths need to be genuine Covid deaths not just any death.

    Jul 14, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Bull Gator , Jul 14 2020 5:11 utc | 73

    I am a Biomedical Scientist with expertise in this area. Made antibodies and PCR tests for a living for 35 years, I did other stuff to but I did make some World Class Antibodies and other discoveries. My gut feeling is that all of these tests are tremendously flawed and not reliable in any way to make any kind of decision for either the patient or society. It is almost impossible to create a truly specific test and and it would take a considerable amount of time and effort to get one that could be performed on large numbers of samples. At least a year or more even with a Herculean effort. So the bottom line is it is all Bull Shit at best. Garbage in Garbage out is what you have. Would you base anything in your life on information that you know is inaccurate? You would have to be intoxicated, greedy or needing sex badly to go to that place. The Scum of humanity has pushed a large number of people to that state. I think the outcome is going to be very unpleasant for many.

    [Jul 10, 2020] Losing around forty thousand men killed and wounded in a single day, many of whom would succumb to their wounds or freeze to death shortly was not uncommon during WWI or WWII.

    Jul 10, 2020 | crookedtimber.org

    likbez 07.10.20 at 9:08 pm

    Your comment is awaiting moderation.

    Losing around forty thousand men killed and wounded in a single day, many of whom would succumb to their wounds or freeze to death shortly was not uncommon during WWI or WWII.

    They tried to defend their country, the economy, etc.

    There too many despicable cowards now. Especially among jingoistic US politicians.

    Operation Bagration - Wikipedia

    Between 22 June and 4 July 1944, Army Group Centre lost 25 divisions and 300,000 men

    Russian probably lost twice as much.

    [Jun 26, 2020] Dr. Karl Friston, made waves when he published his study mapping the real susceptibility of contracting Coronavirus. His suggests that 80% are not susceptible and challenge the rationale for a lockdown

    Jun 26, 2020 | www.unz.com

    Agent76 , says: Show Comment June 23, 2020 at 2:27 pm GMT

    Jun 22, 2020 CELEBRATED SCIENTIST: '80% NOT SUSCEPTIBLE TO COVID"

    Named the "most influential" brain scientist of our time, Dr. Karl Friston, made waves when he published his study mapping the real susceptibility of contracting Coronavirus. His results are staggering and challenge the rationale for a lockdown like no other.

    https://www.youtube.com/embed/3jKGD7XnbRc?feature=oembed

    Jun 15, 2020 The Collapse of the COVID-1984 Narrative

    Now that the major institutions pushing the COVID panic are now admitting that the virus is not an existential threat and the lockdowns were not necessary, what does this mean for the future of the COVID-1984 police state and the ushering in of the new "biosecurity" paradigm?

    https://www.youtube.com/embed/M3OOBXwtojo?feature=oembed

    [Jun 25, 2020] A summary on COVID-19 from Deap

    Notable quotes:
    "... Several nurses, e.g. in New York City, described an oftentimes fatal medical mismanagement of Covid patients due to questionable financial incentives or inappropriate medical protocols. ..."
    Jun 22, 2020 | turcopolier.typepad.com
    22 June 2020 A summary on COVID-19 from "Deap"

    "From an alleged media research and review organization: Trust, but verify. COVID-19 - what we now know today Overview According to the latest immunological and serological studies, the overall lethality of Covid-19 (IFR) is about 0.1% and thus in the range of a strong seasonal influenza (flu). In countries like the US, the UK, and also Sweden (without a lockdown), overall mortality since the beginning of the year is in the range of a strong influenza season; in countries like Germany, Austria and Switzerland, overall mortality is in the range of a mild influenza season. Even in global "hotspots", the risk of death for the general population of school and working age is typically in the range of a daily car ride to work. The risk was initially overestimated because many people with only mild or no symptoms were not taken into account. Up to 80% of all test-positive persons remain symptom-free.

    Even among 70-79 year olds, about 60% remain symptom-free. Over 95% of all persons develop at most moderate symptoms. Up to 60% of all persons may already have a certain cellular background immunity to Covid19 due to contact with previous coronaviruses (i.e. common cold viruses).

    The median or average age of the deceased in most countries (including Italy) is over 80 years and only about 4% of the deceased had no serious preconditions. The age and risk profile of deaths thus essentially corresponds to normal mortality. In many countries, up to two thirds of all extra deaths occurred in nursing homes, which do not benefit from a general lockdown. Moreover, in many cases it is not clear whether these people really died from Covid19 or from weeks of extreme stress and isolation. Up to 30% of all additional deaths may have been caused not by Covid19, but by the effects of the lockdown, panic and fear. For example, the treatment of heart attacks and strokes decreased by up to 60% because many patients no longer dared to go to hospital. Even in so-called "Covid19 deaths" it is often not clear whether they died from or with coronavirus (i.e. from underlying diseases) or if they were counted as "presumed cases" and not tested at all. However, official figures usually do not reflect this distinction. Many media reports of young and healthy people dying from Covid19 turned out to be false: many of these young people either did not die from Covid19, they had already been seriously ill (e.g. from undiagnosed leukaemia), or they were in fact 109 instead of 9 years old. T

    he claimed increase in Kawasaki disease in children also turned out to be false. Strong increases in regional mortality can occur if there is a collapse in the care of the elderly and sick as a result of infection or panic, or if there are additional risk factors such as severe air pollution. Questionable regulations for dealing with the deceased sometimes led to additional bottlenecks in funeral or cremation services. In countries such as Italy and Spain, and to some extent the UK and the US, hospital overloads due to strong flu waves are not unusual.

    Moreover, this year up to 15% of health care workers were put into quarantine, even if they developed no symptoms. The often shown exponential curves of "corona cases" are misleading, as the number of tests also increased exponentially. In most countries, the ratio of positive tests to tests overall (i.e. the positive rate) remained constant at 5% to 25% or increased only slightly. In many countries, the peak of the spread was already reached well before the lockdown.

    Countries without curfews and contact bans, such as Japan, South Korea, Belarus or Sweden, have not experienced a more negative course of events than other countries. Sweden was even praised by the WHO and now benefits from higher immunity compared to lockdown countries.

    The fear of a shortage of ventilators was unjustified. According to lung specialists, the invasive ventilation (intubation) of Covid19 patients, which is partly done out of fear of spreading the virus, is in fact often counterproductive and damaging to the lungs.

    Contrary to original assumptions, various studies have shown that there is no evidence of the virus spreading through aerosols (i.e. tiny particles floating in the air) or through smear infections (e.g. on door handles or smartphones). The main modes of transmission are direct contact and droplets produced when coughing or sneezing.

    There is also no scientific evidence for the effectiveness of face masks in healthy or asymptomatic individuals. On the contrary, experts warn that such masks interfere with normal breathing and may become "germ carriers". Leading doctors called them a "media hype" and "ridiculous". Many clinics in Europe and the US remained strongly underutilized or almost empty during the Covid19 peak and in some cases had to send staff home.

    Millions of surgeries and therapies were cancelled, including many cancer screenings and organ transplants. Several media were caught trying to dramatize the situation in hospitals, sometimes even with manipulative images and videos. In general, the unprofessional reporting of many media maximized fear and panic in the population. The virus test kits used internationally are prone to errors and can produce false positive and false negative results. Moreover, the official virus test was not clinically validated due to time pressure and may sometimes react positive to other coronaviruses.

    Numerous internationally renowned experts in the fields of virology, immunology and epidemiology consider the measures taken to be counterproductive and recommend rapid natural immunisation of the general population and protection of risk groups. At no time was there a medical reason for the closure of schools, as the risk of disease and transmission in children is extremely low.

    There is also no medical reason for small classes, masks or 'social distancing' rules in schools. The claim that only (severe) Covid-19 but not influenza may cause venous thrombosis and pulmonary (lung) embolism is not true, as it has been known for 50 years that severe influenza greatly increases the risk of thrombosis and embolism, too. Several medical experts described express coronavirus vaccines as unnecessary or even dangerous. Indeed, the vaccine against the so-called swine flu of 2009, for example, led to sometimes severe neurological damage and lawsuits in the millions. In the testing of new coronavirus vaccines, too, serious complications and failures have already occurred.

    A global influenza or corona pandemic can indeed extend over several seasons, but many studies of a "second wave" are based on very unrealistic assumptions, such as a constant risk of illness and death across all age groups. Several nurses, e.g. in New York City, described an oftentimes fatal medical mismanagement of Covid patients due to questionable financial incentives or inappropriate medical protocols.

    The number of people suffering from unemployment, depressions and domestic violence as a result of the measures has reached historic record values. Several experts predict that the measures will claim far more lives than the virus itself. According to the UN 1.6 billion people around the world are at immediate risk of losing their livelihood.

    NSA whistleblower Edward Snowden warned that the "corona crisis" will be used for the permanent expansion of global surveillance. Renowned virologist Pablo Goldschmidt spoke of a "global media terror" and "totalitarian measures".

    Leading British virologist Professor John Oxford spoke of a "media epidemic". More than 600 scientists have warned of an "unprecedented surveillance of society" through problematic apps for "contact tracing". In some countries, such "contact tracing" is already carried out directly by the secret service. In several parts of the world, the population is already being monitored by drones and facing serious police overreach. A 2019 WHO study on public health measures against pandemic influenza found that from a medical perspective, "contact tracing" is "not recommended in any circumstances". Nevertheless, contact tracing apps have already become partially mandatory in several countries." Deap


    turcopolier , 22 June 2020 at 03:54 PM

    Deap

    "an alleged media research and review organization" Who? I have been doing fatality % for Virginia and Alexandria on a daily basis, the number is consistently .02% on a developing cumulative basis. Hey, folks, suck it up! Move on!

    jerseycityjoan , 22 June 2020 at 04:57 PM
    If this is "alleged" then why should I trust it? Anybody can write anything on the Internet and make it sound official.

    This item sounds suspect, for example:

    "Several medical experts described express coronavirus vaccines as unnecessary or even dangerous. Indeed, the vaccine against the so-called swine flu of 2009, for example, led to sometimes severe neurological damage and lawsuits in the millions. In the testing of new coronavirus vaccines, too, serious complications and failures have already occurred."

    I thought we were eagerly awaiting a good vaccine. Just because developing and using a vaccine is not without risk and disappointment is no reason to jump to the conclusion that we should stop attempting to get an effective vaccine. If the swine flu vaccine of 2009 had been that prolematic the damage suits would have amounted in the multi-billions, not the millions.

    walrus , 22 June 2020 at 05:36 PM
    Deap,

    Professor John Oxford, whom you quote about a "media epidemic" certainly doesn't agree with your position.

    https://pandemic.internationalsos.com/2019-ncov/executive-summary

    As for your post, it completely misses the main point, even if you are correct about the mildness of the infection; that is the logistical consequences of millions of sick people : (a) not turning up for work, and (b) swamping and breaking the medical infrastructure.

    You need to understand that we have only 8.5 million cases and 400,000 deaths according to WHO. World population is over 5 billion. You fail to understand the potential scale of this thing.

    To put it another way; we are dealing with a small grassfire at present. The forest is as yet unbutton and unprotected.

    Terence Gore , 22 June 2020 at 05:45 PM
    https://swprs.org/a-swiss-doctor-on-covid-19/

    contains links to the claims

    voislav , 22 June 2020 at 07:05 PM
    There is a lot wrong with this article. A lot of vague, unsupported, and false statements, no links or anything. "Experts", "Leading doctors", etc., again, who are the people saying these things and what are their credentials? I won't go into all of it since that would be too long, but I'll address one thing.

    Regarding mortality rate, the statement "latest immunological and serological studies, the overall lethality of Covid-19 (IFR) is about 0.1%" is utter nonsense. Immunological and serological studies are not used to determine lethality, they look at antibody formation and corresponding viral load.

    0.1% number is just made up, current US death rate is 0.035% vs. overall population (so 120,000 deaths over 340 million people), Europe is slightly higher at 0.045%. For comparison, typical flu season is much less severe, it's 0.01% vs. overall population, bad flu season is 0.02%. So, this is already twice as bad as the worst flu seasons, and it still has ways to go.

    And yes, there is a discussion to be had on how deaths are attributed (COVID-caused vs. COVID-incidental), but that cuts both ways. Many people likely died before they were tested, especially amongst the older population.

    Upstater , 22 June 2020 at 07:33 PM
    There is considerable information presented, much of which I have not seen before. Key statements should have footnotes directing us to source material. Without references this is mostly hearsay.
    walrus , 22 June 2020 at 08:23 PM
    The content of this article is a cut and paste from a disreputable "swiss policy research institute" that has no credentials. While the original article has links, they lead to more hearsay.
    Randy , 22 June 2020 at 08:27 PM
    Article is a total load of crap, unfounded statements. I read some good stuff on SST but also some garbage which this article is, pure garbage.
    Jim , 22 June 2020 at 09:24 PM

    What is different now: cause of death as COVID-19 are affixed to death certificates when there is no actual medical confirmation.

    The CDC sent out a letter to the "medical community" months ago, to record deaths with COVID-19 when it might be, or could be, or someone feels it was, etc., along with when it is actually verified as the primary cause, and of course when it was present but not necessarily a cause of the cause of death.

    It will take a while to sort this out, if it ever is sorted out. Until then, death rates are inaccurate for this disease, period.

    The CDC's action/recommendation was and is very controversial, yet media hyenas rarely discuss it as their agenda is what it is.

    -30-

    J , 22 June 2020 at 10:30 PM
    Deap,

    ALL phones (android and apple) have contact tracing software embedded in the phone's core software tied to the bluetooth.

    drb , 22 June 2020 at 10:42 PM
    For those wo are interested, the IFR (the mortality rate for those who have antibodies) has been measured or calculated in 60+ papers. They are listed here below with links to the original papers

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1zC3kW1sMu0sjnT_vP1sh4zL0tF6fIHbA6fcG5RQdqSc/edit#gid=0

    a mortality of 0.3% is a very strong flu, like 1957 or 1968. However, we will never know the "true" mortality since so many states forced nursing homes to take in covid patients, creating artificially high mortality compared to other years.

    Also please see Ref. 25 in the following link, a letter sent to Merkel by two german doctors. No one with good vitamin D dies.

    https://articles.mercola.com/sites/articles/archive/2020/06/08/cnn-coronavirus-vitamin-d.aspx

    doug , 22 June 2020 at 11:06 PM
    Deap,
    Ioannidis, who has long been the most skeptical of Covid-19's seriousness, just published an analysis of IFR from a large number of countries.

    However, it's already killed .16% of all the residents of New York State. So the IFR there is at least .16% and that would require all of NY had been infected. Serologic studies show less than 20% have been infected. Most in the City with much fewer in outlying areas.

    IFR varies considerably between countries and regions. For instance it's lower in Calif (0.2% ish). than New York (> .6% ish). Ioannidis lists the median (not mean which is higher) IFR as .26%.

    This is indeed evidence that something, aside from the well known age and co-morbidities, strongly affects the lethality of Covid-19. It may be vitamin D deficiency, or partial cross-immunity from corona virus that cause a portion of common colds. And that likely means places like NY have higher IFRs than most other places.

    On the other hand lots of places like Fla. are opening up. Young people are crowding the bars and the positive test numbers are spiking to record levels. Since they are young they are very unlikely to die or even get seriously ill. And deaths are not increasing. At least for now. And I don't expect deaths in Fla. to be anywhere near NY.

    Yeah, Right , 23 June 2020 at 12:21 AM
    And yet.. and yet.. and yet..

    I keep having this nagging thought at the back of my mind, and it is elegent in its simplicity: those nations which insisted in taking this seriously from the very beginning have done very well, with few deaths, and are now resuming "normal services" while keeping the rest of the world at arms length.

    While those countries that essentially shrugged their shoulders and took half-measures are still struggling with no end in sight.

    How odd, hey?

    Yet I read this article and it reads for all the world like Deap has concluded that the latter group erred by being too harsh, not in being too slack.

    I live in a country with roughly 1/10th of the USA's population, and it has had less than 1/100th the number of deaths. And it is coming out of lockdown with nary an uptick in new infections.

    There would be very, very few people here who would conclude that Deap has the faintest idea what he is talking about.

    Mike46 , 23 June 2020 at 12:28 AM
    "The Case Fatality Rate (CFR) is the ratio between confirmed deaths and confirmed cases.
    During an outbreak of a pandemic the CFR is a poor measure of the mortality risk of the disease. We explain this in detail at OurWorldInData.org/Coronavirus." *

    Link to Chart: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/coronavirus-cfr?country=ITA~KOR~OWID_WRL~DEU~ISL~USA

    CFR for the US on June 22nd was 5.26%. The global CFR on June 22nd was 5.25%

    *Case fatality rate of COVID-19 (%) (Only observations with ≥100 cases)
    Variable time span Jan 19, 2020 – Jun 22, 2020
    Data published by European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC)
    Link https://github.com/owid/covid-19-data/tree/master/public/data

    Raw data on confirmed cases and deaths for all countries is sourced from the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC).

    Our complete COVID-19 dataset is a collection of the COVID-19 data maintained by Our World in Data. It is updated daily and includes data on confirmed cases, deaths, and testing.

    We have created a new description of all our data sources. You find it at our GitHub repository here. There you can download all of our data.


    Rod

    Terence Gore , 23 June 2020 at 01:02 AM
    https://swprs.org/studies-on-covid-19-lethality/

    https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.29.20083485v1

    https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.03.20089854v3

    https://pressroom.usc.edu/preliminary-results-of-usc-la-county-covid-19-study-released/

    https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.04.20090076v2

    just following random links

    https://www.cell.com/cell/fulltext/S0092-8674(20)30610-3

    https://ltccovid.org/2020/04/12/mortality-associated-with-covid-19-outbreaks-in-care-homes-early-international-evidence/

    Some of the information seems to be well sourced to me. Whether or not I can make heads or tails of it is a different story

    Deap , 23 June 2020 at 01:08 AM
    The Mercury News: NB: non-peer reviewed study at time of publication

    ".....The risk study by Dr. Rajiv Bhatia, clinical assistant professor of primary care and population health at Stanford, and Dr. Jeffrey Klauser, adjunct professor of epidemiology at UCLA, looked at publicly available case incidence data for the week ending May 30 in the 100 largest U.S. counties as states began to reopen.

    "The thing we are looking for is to start a discussion of risk," Bhatia said. "We're bombarded with data on death and cases."

    The study found a person in a typical medium to large U.S. county who has a single random contact with another person has, on average, a 1 in 3,836 chance of being infected without social distancing, hand-washing or mask-wearing.

    If that sounds like a tolerable risk, consider the odds of being hospitalized. The study found a 50-to-64-year-old person who has a single random contact has, on average, a 1 in 852,000 chance of being hospitalized or a 1 in 19.1 million chance of dying based on rates as of the last week of May.


    "We were surprised how low the relative risk was," Klausner said....."

    Mike46 , 23 June 2020 at 01:12 AM
    There is an old saying I heard many years ago - I think it was from Bob Frodle, my first boss. Don't recall the actual context of the conversation. Here it is: "Figures don't lie but liars can figure". It is even more relevant today.

    I was curious about the origin of this quotation. It's been around since at least 1854. I particularly enjoyed this one from a little later in an 1888 article on free trade from a Sacramento newspaper:

    "It was a highly protective measure. The cry of free trade was a false one, and was maliciously put forth by "the uncrowned king" and other Republican leaders. Figures would not lie, but liars will figure, and were doing so in this campaign. She said that not a mill would shut down or a hammer stop from the passage of the Mills bill. Too much money was being made by them."

    The Mills bill never became law, BTW.

    Mike46 , 23 June 2020 at 02:16 AM
    drb:

    Mercola has been called a charlatan.

    Wikipedia (I know it's easily manipulated) but you can verify this for yourself:

    "Mercola's medical claims have been criticized by the medical, scientific, regulatory and business communities. A 2006 BusinessWeek editorial stated his marketing practices relied on "slick promotion, clever use of information, and scare tactics."[4] In 2005, 2006, and 2011, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration warned Mercola and his company that they were making illegal claims of their products' ability to detect, prevent, and treat disease.[8] The medical watchdog site Quackwatch has criticized Mercola for making "unsubstantiated claims [that] clash with those of leading medical and public health organizations and many unsubstantiated recommendations for dietary supplements."[9] Of Mercola's marketing techniques, oncology surgeon David Gorski says it "mixes the boring, sensible health advice with pseudoscientific advice in such a way that it's hard for someone without a medical background to figure out which is which."[10]

    Sorry.

    DC , 23 June 2020 at 02:17 AM
    The article appears to be designed to get things back to normal so the stock market doesn't crash and portfolios of debt assets don't need to be written down from coming defaults.

    I think it should be considered that we won't get the economy back unless people feel safe.

    For anyone who says it's not real and you don't need to wear a mask, I say; "you go first, I'll hold your beer"!

    Eric Newhill , 23 June 2020 at 07:10 AM
    Dear,
    I agree with a lot of what the article says.

    Regarding the increases in new cases in some states;
    1. Primarily due to more testing. Most of the new cases are asymptomatic and are in people under 40 years old. Very little threat.
    2. The increase in hospitalizations in some states is a small number and is due to people who are in the hospital for elective surgeries (big backlog after three months of no elective surgeries permitted) and for labor and delivery. They are tested now upon being admitted. Yes, they are in the hospital and, yes, they tested positive, but they are in the hospital for reasons unrelated to C-19 and are asymptomatic.

    The people pushing this latter statistic as evidence of a "second wave" are real scum. IMO, they want to have the people too scared to go to the ballots so there can be vote tampering with mail-in ballots. I have no evidence for this particular claim. It's just my sense. Points 1 and 2 are from data.

    Eric Newhill , 23 June 2020 at 07:11 AM
    "Dear" should = "DEAP".

    I always forget that this computer has a hyperactive autocorrect

    mcohen , 23 June 2020 at 07:13 AM
    I dunno man.i dunno.this whole thing is off.what if a second new virus,not covid 19,but uses covid 19 antibodies as a pathway to do serious damage.a 1-2 knockout blow
    Weigh that up against over population.Yes,I do believe we are all living it right now.It has been spoken about and now 2020 it has started.
    Just imagine.Todays teens living in a future world where all the whales are dead.Just bones left in a museum.Too many people.
    The Chinese and Indians went hand to hand.That will become future combat.MAD is bad.unsustainable.Bring all the troops home,scrap the weapons.Change the rules of engagement.knives and hand to hand combat only
    English Outsider , 23 June 2020 at 07:48 AM
    Deap - I also am disappointed in the way the pandemic's been handled by most Western countries. Walrus tells us that by late last year virologists knew something nasty was brewing. Yet as late as mid-February of this year the responsible authority in Europe was assuring us that there was "low risk" to the general population. I assume the Health Authorities were asleep at the wheel in the US as well, because apart from Trump's limited ban on China travel - and that decision, I believe, taken in defiance of the then general consensus - the US also seems to have been late responding.

    The stats tell us little when it comes to national comparisons. Sweden's sometimes compared to other Scandinavian countries with lower death rates and this is instanced as showing failure of the Swedish approach. But this ignores the fact that Swedish care homes are larger than in the neighbouring countries and poorly run, so they were due for higher death rates in any case.

    In the UK there seems to be a policy of reporting cause of death as Covid when, say, that patient was due to die of an unrelated comorbidity. I think this is correct reporting because if I were due to die of cancer in a couple of years it'd still be Covid that killed me today, but it means that countries that don't report deaths in the same way seem to be doing better when they're not.

    Also in the UK we worsened the death rate by sending infected patients back to care homes. So UK comparisons don't help much in that respect either when it comes to looking at what the best policy is.

    For what they're worth the stats so far show the US not doing too badly when it comes to deaths per million. You ought to be doing a lot worse, given the high level of international travel and given that the conditions in the inner cities are ideal conditions for transmission. Perhaps, therefore, there's worse to come. My uninformed guess is that there probably is. In any case the US national stats tell us very little when it comes to making comparisons between this or that national policy. One cannot lump an entire continent together like that.

    But the stats are going to be argued about for ever. Away from all that there are two aspects I think are not sufficiently considered.

    1. I don't accept the "let it rip because they're due to die anyway" approach. That goes against normal principles of public health, particularly so in this case because we still know little about the virus.

    2. I don't think we've got our heads around the economic effects if no vaccine or effective treatment turns up.

    Whatever governments do the vulnerable are going to isolate anyway. I met a young woman recently who has a condition that means if she gets Covid she dies, no question. Of course she's going to take what precautions she can, and does.

    Millions of the vulnerable are in the same boat. The UK Prime Minister is in his fifties and nearly died of Covid. You can be quite sure that there are now plenty of the economically active of that age and older who saw that and who will now tend to keep away from gatherings where they might catch the disease too. The resultant changes in our patterns of consumption and our patterns of work will be profoundly disruptive to the already tottering economies of many Western countries.

    For those two reasons I believe there's a strong argument for going all out to eradicate the disease or to severely limit its spread. I think your view is that the crude national or State-wide lockdowns aren't the best way to tackle the problem and that I agree with wholeheartedly. But we should still be looking to be doing much more than we are to tackle it and, if possible, to prevent the disease entirely

    Poul , 23 June 2020 at 08:29 AM
    A feature of Sweden is that the politicians have very little to say in how a pandemic is handled.

    According to Swedish constitutional tradition since ca 1632 political leaders cannot interfere with the decisions of government agencies.

    So no matter what urges/fears a Swedish politician may have (in order to curry favour with the voters). It's a technocratic decision by experts on how the situation is to be handled.

    Such a practice could very well lead to better decisions than what we have seen in many other European countries.

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    The 122,000 deaths in the US so far is conclusive evidence that COVID-19 is no ordinary flu, which kills about 40,000 a year. And the toll will be much higher, since cases in many states are spiking.

    Posted by: JohnH | 23 June 2020 at 10:24 AM " Verify your Comment Previewing your Comment

    [Jun 23, 2020] Stanford Prof Median Infection Fatality Rate Of COVID-19 For Those Under-70 Is Just 0.04%

    Jun 23, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com

    Stanford Prof: Median Infection Fatality Rate Of COVID-19 For Those Under-70 Is Just 0.04% by Tyler Durden Mon, 06/22/2020 - 22:50 Authored by Daniel Payne via JustTheNews.com,

    A scientist known for his contrarian takes to dire COVID-19 predictions has released a paper claiming that antibody evidence suggests the median coronavirus infection fatality rate for those under 70 is just 0.04%.

    The estimate throws into sharp relief the lopsided mortality figures for the disease, which has claimed an inordinate number of elderly people across the planet while leaving younger individuals mostly unscathed.

    John Ioannidis, a professor of epidemiology and population health at Stanford University, argues in a paper published earlier this month that COVID-19 "seroprevalence studies," which measure infection rates using the presence of antibodies in blood samples, "typically show a much lower fatality than initially speculated in the earlier days of the pandemic."

    "It should be appreciated," he writes in the paper, "that [the fatality rate] is not a fixed physical constant and it can vary substantially across locations, depending on the population structure, the case-mix of infected and deceased individuals and other, local factors. "

    In the paper, which has not yet been peer-reviewed, Ioannidis surveyed 23 different seroprevalence studies and found that "among people <70 years old, infection fatality rates ranged from ... 0.00-0.23% with median of 0.04%."

    The median fatality rate of all cases, he writes, is 0.26%, significantly lower than some earlier estimates that suggested rates as high as over 3%.

    In the paper, Ioannidis acknowledges that "while COVID-19 is a formidable threat," the apparently low fatality rate compared to earlier estimates "is a welcome piece of evidence."

    "Decision-makers can use measures that will try to avert having the virus infect people and settings who are at high risk of severe outcomes," he writes.

    "These measures may be possible to be far more precise and tailored to specific high- risk individuals and settings than blind lockdown of the entire society."

    [Jun 19, 2020] Fake Science And Public Hysteria - The New Driving Force Of Politics

    Jun 18, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com
    Via InternationalMan.com,

    International Man : The Lancet recently retracted an anti-hydroxychloroquine study, which the media had used to attack Trump.

    Trump had admitted to taking hydroxychloroquine as a preventative measure against the coronavirus. The media then went into a frenzy. The talking heads often cited The Lancet study as proof hydroxychloroquine was dangerous.

    The bottom line is that bogus research made its way -- likely deliberately -- into one of the most prestigious peer-reviewed medical journals in the world. People then used this "science" as a political weapon.

    What is your take on this?

    Doug Casey : I'd say the whole charade is tragic, except that "tragic" has become the most overused word in the language today. It bears a short discussion.

    Look at the recent death of a small-time career criminal, George Floyd. It's as if "tragic" were part of his name. It's as if people no longer understand the meaning of the word. A tragedy used to mean that a heroic protagonist succumbed to a cosmic force. There are no heroes in the degraded melodrama, just villains, where a costumed thug murdered a street thug under the color of law.

    Sorry to go off on a tangent. But it's a timely instance of another word whose meaning has been twisted. It's Orwellian, like so many other things in our devolving society.

    Let's talk about something that's actually tragic: the corruption of science over the last couple of generations.

    I've subscribed to Scientific American , Discover, and New Scientist for many years. During this time, I've noticed a distinct change in their respective editorial policies. They've all been politicized, captured by the PC left. These popular magazines are nowhere near the quality they once were. But this is just symptomatic of a bigger problem.

    You might recall the 2018 hoax where three academics, disgusted with widespread incompetence and dishonesty in research, submitted absurd "spoof" papers to twenty leading journals. They were written in gobbledygook, full of made-up facts and flawed reasoning. But most, as I recall, were peer-reviewed and published.

    If you research the subject a bit, you come to the conclusion half the peer-reviewed papers -- absolutely in "soft" fields like psychology, sociology, political science, race and gender studies, etc. -- are unreadable, dishonest, useless, and pointless.

    Why might this be? If an academic wants to advance in today's university system, he has to publish research. It's Pareto's Law in action, the 80–20 rule. It's pretty reliable, 80% of this sort of thing is crap because it's written mainly to fabricate credentials, not advance knowledge.

    This is a bad thing.

    It's causing the average guy, who may not know anything about science but still has some respect for it, to lose that respect. That's because science has become politicized.

    You can see it with the conflicting information about COVID-19. Is it deadly or just another seasonal flu? Does it affect everyone, like the black death, or mainly the old and sick? Does almost everyone who contracts the virus get very sick or die or only a tiny percentage? Should you quarantine or live normally?

    So far, as near as I can tell, the great virus hysteria has gone from being the next black plague to basically a big nothing. It's not nearly as bad as the Asian Flu from the 50s or the Hong Kong Flu from the 60s. Forget about the Spanish Flu -- there's no comparison whatsoever. The main effect of COVID isn't medical; it's the hysteria that's destroyed the economy. And political actions are even more insane than those after 9/11.

    Politics thrives on hysteria. The politicization of everything is the real problem. And it's not just about the total disruption of society and multitrillion-dollar deficits. For instance, I've played poker with a bunch of guys in Aspen every Monday night for years. Now, even though the lockdown in town is easing, the group is breaking up because most of them insist that everyone wear a mask. I won't, nor will a couple of other guys. So, between that and a few guys who are now scared to socialize no matter what game over. It may also mean the end of a larger Friday business lunch group I belong to that's been around for decades.

    There are millions of similar small rips in the social fabric taking place everywhere now. And they're largely justified by "the science."

    The real problem is that the knock-on effects of the virus will last much, much longer than the trivial virus itself -- which will soon burn out and be forgotten. The political, economic, and social changes, however, will linger for years, as will attitudes toward "science."

    International Man : What are the implications of people corrupting the scientific process to launder their political propaganda to shape mainstream opinions?

    Doug Casey : You might think this is a new thing, but the left, in particular -- who have always been advocates of social engineering -- love using "science" to further their political agenda.

    The first important instance of this was Karl Marx and his notion of "scientific socialism" -- a totally bogus idea.

    Since he first promoted it over 150 years ago, the concept has become ingrained in the culture, especially academia. People have been taught to believe there's such a thing as "scientific socialism," and that it's not just inevitable, but desirable. In fact, it's pseudoscience. But that's just the first example of corruption of science in modern times.

    Keynesianism is another example. Keynesians believe that they can manipulate the economy as if it were a machine.

    A machine is a horrible analogy for the economy, however. It's not a machine or a factory where you can pull levers to make magic happen -- which is precisely what the Keynesians (who run the economic world today) think they can do.

    The economy is more like a rainforest, which is very complex. It can't be manipulated from outside by apparatchiks enforcing rules. And if you do try to manipulate a rainforest from outside, you're likely to destroy it.

    Keynesianism is a perfect example of scientism (that's the use of the vocabulary and trappings of science for inappropriate subjects). You can see scientism used everywhere in the humanities and "soft" sciences. This is usually to legitimize some type of state intervention.

    Sociology and psychology are basically about social engineering. They're not generally scientific so much as scientistic. They often try to put a scientific patina on forcing people to interact with each other in prescribed ways.

    But it goes way beyond just sociology and psychology. English departments are notorious for using leftist literary works to insinuate certain ideas in students. Economics departments use arcane math formulas to describe human action -- pure scientism, with lots of ideological baggage. Marx himself was primarily a historian. Many college degrees today are completely bogus and worthless. An example? There are degrees in gender studies.

    The trend is way out of control. Ridiculous scientific concepts that started with Marx are everywhere.

    The same people -- by that, I mean those with Marxist, socialist, and Keynesian outlooks -- are behind the global warming frenzy, which is full of pseudoscience, fudged numbers, and bogus statistics.

    The latest manifestation of all this, of course, is the COVID hysteria.

    But behind it all is state funding of science -- Big Science. It started in earnest after World War II.

    Government funding is authorized by politicians. They make decisions for political reasons. In order to qualify, you have to come up with results that are politically acceptable, which itself is the best reason for not having any government funding.

    But some might ask: Without the government, where would Big Science get the billions needed for giant projects?

    In fact, most of the capital that goes into scientific research from the state would still go into science; knowledge has value. But money would be allocated economically, not politically, thereby creating more wealth -- much more than today, when much is wasted on politically caused boondoggles. Most government science spending is necessarily misallocated.

    The increasingly political nature of science funding has served to discredit the idea of science itself.

    International Man : The Democrats liken themselves as the so-called "Party of Science." What do you think?

    Doug Casey : It's nonsense, but it's very clever marketing on their part.

    They get away with it because the Republicans are basically the party of business. And more importantly, the people who vote Republican tend to be traditionalist and religion-oriented.

    That's a problem because scientific thinkers tend to see religion as irrelevant, dangerous, or even laughable -- at best, as an inaccurate or bogus way to describe the world.

    Democrats, on the other hand, are notoriously secular and non-religious. Coincidentally, so are most scientists. That's resulted in some unfortunate confusion. Democrats, illogically, seem to believe that just because they're secular, they must be scientific.

    The fact is, however, that the Democrats are not the party of science.

    In fact, they're the party of pseudoscience, bogus science, and scientism. Science doesn't mix well with politics -- or religion.

    But Democrats are clever marketers, linking themselves with science to differentiate themselves from Republicans, the party of tradition and religion.

    When you think about tradition and religion, it can bring to mind flat earth theories, geocentric astronomy, Torquemada, the persecution of Galileo, and witch trials. Democrats love to paint themselves as rational advanced thinkers and Republicans as superstitious atavists.

    Of course, religion and science have been at each other's throats forever. Another reason I've always said the Dems are more the evil party and the Reps more the stupid party. But a pox on both their houses

    International Man : Events like this seem to be a prime reason why a growing number of people are losing confidence in previously credible institutions and the self-anointed "experts."

    What does this mean?

    Doug Casey : Tens of millions now have college degrees that they think mean something. In fact, they're worth less than a high school diploma was before World War 2. People go on to get PhDs, which, it's always been said, stands for "piled higher and deeper."

    Especially since World War 2, government has gotten vastly bigger and involved in everything. Huge mistake

    The government's role is simple -- to protect people from coercion: protection from domestic coercion, which implies the police force; protection from transnational coercion, which implies an army; and providing justice within the country, which implies a judicial system.

    The government shouldn't do anything else.

    But since it's now involved in absolutely everything, you need "experts" to decide what's to be done.

    We see this today with people like Dr. Anthony Fauci, who's nothing more than a lifelong bureaucrat. He's lived in the swamp his entire life, and he's a typical technocrat. He believes he knows what's best for you.

    People like Fauci have assumed tremendous power over other people and the way society works. He's a clever politician and has been effective at backslapping and backstabbing. And wheedling his way into a high bureaucratic position. The government is full of people like him.

    Another important thing about COVID is that they call it a "health crisis."

    That's untrue for several reasons. First, health is something that you take care of yourself. It's personal, not public. As wonderful and as advanced as medicine has become, it's of little use for maintaining your health.

    You maintain your health through proper diet, exercise, and good habits. Medicine is about repairing damage if you have a serious injury or illness. It overlaps, obviously, but is essentially very different from health care.

    Anyway, COVID has been dressed up as an excuse to not just destroy the economy, but in many ways, destroy society itself. Similar to global warming, Keynesianism, Marxism, and other forms of scientism.

    It's one of many signs of how society is degrading at an accelerating rate.

    I don't know what the next massive boondoggle is going to be after this is over. You might recall the police state pictured in the excellent movie "V for Vendetta" was brought into being because of a fake virus epidemic. Talk about life imitating art! If things keep going in this direction, the US will start looking like the old USSR.

    International Man : Society is degrading at an accelerating pace. What can people do to protect themselves?

    Doug Casey : Unfortunately, the whole world seems to worship democracy. Democracy, however, is really just mob rule dressed in a coat and tie. Worse, that trend is not only still in motion, but it's accelerating.

    What can you do to protect yourself? It's becoming a situation of sauve qui peut -- every man for himself. That's where gold comes in.

    I've always been a fan of gold -- always for savings and often as a speculation. It's been great, and gold bugs have done very well. It's gone from $35 to over $1,700. And it's going much higher.

    It's a great way to save money and build capital over time. At the moment, I'm speculating in gold mining stocks , which are extremely cheap. I expect the next mania to be in them.

    But I don't have any political solutions for people, except to stop looking to politics as the solution to problems. And stop acting like a bunch of chimpanzees looking for a leader.

    Politics is the problem, the cause of most of today's problems. It's not the solution.

    * * *

    Economically, politically, and socially, the United States seems to be headed down a path that's not only inconsistent with the founding principles of the country but accelerating quickly toward boundless decay. It's contributing to a growing wave of misguided socialist ideas. That is precisely why NY Times best selling author, Doug Casey just released this urgent new video titled The Most Dangerous Event of the 21st Century which outlines what comes next and what you need to do to be ready.

    Click here to watch it now .

    [Jun 19, 2020] I Warned About the COVID and Now I Feel Like a Fool

    Notable quotes:
    "... Anthony DiMauro is a freelance writer based in New York City. His work has appeared in ..."
    "... , Real Clear Media, and elsewhere. You can follow him on Twitter @AnthonyMDiMauro. ..."
    Jun 15, 2020 | www.theamericanconservative.com

    We do still need to worry about the coronavirus's spread. But how can we when the experts have completely forsaken our trust? Dr. Anthony Fauci (L), director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases speaks next to Response coordinator for White House Coronavirus Task Force Deborah Birx, during a meeting with US President Donald Trump and Louisiana Governor John Bel Edwards D-LA in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, DC on April 29, 2020. (Photo by MANDEL NGAN/AFP via Getty Images)

    Since the pandemic began, I've been described as a so-called "COVID warrior," which makes some sense. After all, I've defended the shutdowns of large gatherings. I've insisted that it's wise to temporarily close churches and postpone funerals and other ceremonies. I've argued that extreme caution is necessary -- that to do anything else would be to blatantly and selfishly ignore the scientific information at our disposal. I've held the opinion that, although it has caused irrevocable harm to the economy and caused millions of people to suffer, business owners who close up shop for fear of spreading contagion are in the right.

    Now I feel like a fool.

    By no means am I a coronavirus denier -- more than 100,000 and counting have died from the COVID. But with conflicting reports about everything from wearing masks to the spread of the virus through surfaces coming out of the World Health Organization and the CDC almost weekly, my head is spinning. Nothing seems to make sense anymore.

    For fear of spreading the virus, health experts have consistently recommended shutting down and avoiding public spaces, including schools , playgrounds , public pools , and public transportation . They've also advocated for limiting large gatherings and closing anything that might draw crowds. It's advice that's been repeated for months -- to the point that those ignoring it have been reviled and accused of experimenting with " human sacrifice ."

    That's because asymptomatic carriers of the virus, though they may feel all right themselves, can become mass spreaders of the deadly contagion, especially in large groups. This is why Michigan residents protesting their state's lockdown in Lansing were deserving of shame -- they likely caused mass immiseration and sickness, right?

    Wrong. Turns out, health officials didn't really believe any of that.

    Just last week, the WHO announced that it's extremely rare for asymptomatic spreading of the coronavirus to occur. If you feel fine, then you're probably not a grave threat to anyone, especially if you're wearing a mask and gloves. Then the WHO backtracked on that statement, ultimately arriving at the completely unhelpful determination that " this is a major unknown ." Health experts simply don't know to what extent the disease is transmitted by asymptomatic carriers -- yet they still feel confident that the risks of the coronavirus shouldn't impact our protesting of police brutality.

    One rightly wonders how, within a span of weeks, we went from shaming people for being out in the streets to shaming those who won't join the crowd .

    What's more, contact with infected animals and surfaces is unlikely to cause COVID-19 to spread, and chlorine kills the virus upon contact, so clean pools are also safe. But of course, many schools, playgrounds, pools, and businesses were forced to close.

    Livelihoods have been destroyed, children are paying a high price through a loss of time and key social-educational development, and mental health across the country is on the decline .

    And now some journalists from prominent publications -- the same ones that have been demanding oh-so-extreme caution -- are performing breathtaking gymnastics in an effort to backtrack, explaining that there's no evidence of outdoor coronavirus spread. Now, it's "prolonged indoor close contact" that we have to worry about.

    They may be right. Maybe protesters really shouldn't worry (though they probably should ). But that doesn't excuse what seems to be a disgusting hypocrisy that trampled on the livelihoods of more than 30 million Americans. Understandably, many are outraged and have lost all faith in the experts.

    Health advice can't shift with politics -- COVID-19, cancer, and the flu don't know party lines. The virus is either unmanageable or manageable. That's it.

    Now, with Trump aiming to restart his so-called "MAGA rallies," we'll inevitably have -- and already have had -- another round of tut-tutting from the media about how horribly irresponsible it is to gather in crowds. But who can possibly blame those who shrug these warnings off? MAGA rallies very well could spread COVID-19, but in the event they do, the George Floyd protests will be equally culpable. Expert credibility has been lost.

    Maybe we should, as many of my more classically liberal friends have been saying all along, allow people to make their own choices, take their own risks, open their own businesses back up, hold their own protests against injustice.

    Whatever the case, given the whiplash the public has experienced over these past few weeks, we certainly won't be running to health experts as readily as before. Certainly, social distancing practices have helped flatten the curve, but living your life based on the inconsistent messaging of the WHO and the CDC is a recipe for disaster. If a second wave does appear, it will be cautious individuals and community innovation that provides the solutions -- not those who have done nothing to earn our trust.

    Anthony DiMauro is a freelance writer based in New York City. His work has appeared in The National Interest , Real Clear Media, and elsewhere. You can follow him on Twitter @AnthonyMDiMauro.

    [Jun 18, 2020] Oxford Experts- -There Is No Scientific Evidence For COVID Two-Meter-Rule

    Jun 18, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com

    It's become a farce of historic proportions. As a general rule, the government has resisted any demands by businesses to reduce the government's arbitrary limit from 2 metres to 1 metre . This would have greatly helped businesses to avoid expensive health and safety compliance and reopen this summer.

    While the government and its science team dither back and forth, the economy continues to crater, and unemployment is spiralling.

    Meanwhile, scientists from the vaunted committee of experts known as 'SAGE' (Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies), are busy issuing warnings to ministers that the public will need to wear masks and also 'minimise their time together' if they sit closer than 2 metres apart.

    It's already well-known by now according to real data and the experience of European countries – that the virus was seasonal and has already 'left the building,' and that the only demographic who were ever at any serious risk were elderly persons with chronic comorbidities, and more specifically, those residing in care homes.

    Why are UK government officials still resisting relaxing social distancing measures? Has this become some sort of elaborate political face-saving exercise now, or is there a larger social engineering agenda in motion?

    The UK Telegraph reports...

    The two-metre rule has no basis in science, leading scientists have said as the Government comes under increasing pressure to drop the measure.

    Writing for The Telegraph , Professors Carl Heneghan and Tom Jefferson, from the University of Oxford, said there is little evidence to support the restriction and called for an end to the "formalised rules".

    The University of Dundee also said there was no indication that distancing at two metres is safer than one metre.

    The intervention comes as two Government ministers suggested on Monday that the rule is likely to be relaxed following a review commissioned by Boris Johnson, the Prime Minister.

    On Tuesday, shops experienced daily footfall drops of 41 percent compared to the same day last year, while enormous queues built up outside because of social distancing requirements.

    Examining the current evidence for the two-metre rule, Prof Heneghan and Prof Jefferson looked at 172 studies cited in a recent review in The Lancet and found just five had dealt explicitly with coronavirus infection in relation to distance. Only one mentioned coming within six feet of a patient, and that paper showed proximity had no impact.

    "Queueing outside shops, dodging each other once inside, and not getting too close to other people anywhere: social-distancing has become the norm," they wrote.

    "The two-metre rule, however, is also seriously impacting schools, pubs, restaurants and our ability to go about our daily lives.

    "Much of the evidence in this current outbreak informing policy is poor quality. Encouragement and hand-washing are what we need, not formalised rules."

    A University of Dundee study suggested that 78 per cent of the risk of infection happens below one metre and there is just an 11 per cent chance of any increased distance making a difference.

    Dr Mike Lonergan, a senior statistician and epidemiologist who reviewed 25 papers compiled for the World Health Organisation (WHO) said:

    "Our conclusion is that avoiding contact is very important and that a one-metre distance might be slightly better than just avoiding contact, but the difference is unlikely to be much. These data give no indication that two metres is better than one metre."

    Continue this story at The Telegraph...

    The hope remains that more real science and sober analysis will continue emerging which can hopefully influence the government to return to reality, and put the incredible COVID lockdown debacle behind it. But can they?


    [Jun 14, 2020] Podcast- Pandemic Profiteering - How Billionaires Are Looting American Taxpayers by Mnar Muhawesh Mnar Muhawesh

    Notable quotes:
    "... MintPress News ..."
    "... This program is 100 percent listener supported! You can join the hundreds of financial sponsors who make this show possible by becoming a member on our Patreon page . ..."
    Jun 09, 2020 | www.mintpressnews.com

    In this episode, we are joined by MintPress News senior staff writer, Alan MacLeod . MacLeod covers everything from socioeconomic inequality, the oligarch class in Western nations, U.S. foreign policy in the Global South, and press freedom. He is also the author of " Bad News From Venezuela: Twenty Years of Fake News and Misreporting and Propaganda in the Information Age: Still Manufacturing Consent. "

    https://www.buzzsprout.com/284746/4086824-podcast-pandemic-profiteering-how-billionaires-are-looting-american-taxpayers

    Since April, he has uncovered how COVID-19 came to be a boon for the ultra-wealthy , reporting that America's billionaires, including Jeff Bezos, Bill Gates, Warren Buffet, Michael Bloomberg and others, accrued more wealth in the first three weeks of the lockdown than they made in total prior to 1980. Billionaire wealth surged by $484 billion in just three months, while a record 40 million Americans filed for unemployment.

    This economic phenomenon, the largest radical transfer of wealth out of the hands of taxpayers and into the hands of billionaires, was the largest taxpayer bailout of the wealthy in American history.

    As MacLeod reported,

    In the last 30 years, U.S. billionaire wealth soared by over 1100 percent while median household wealth increased by barely five percent. In 1990, the total wealth held by America's billionaire class was $240 billion; today that number stands at $2.95 trillion. Thus, America's billionaires accrued more wealth in just the past three weeks than they made in total prior to 1980."

    While the pandemic and subsequent lockdown turned the world upside down for working-class people, forcing upon them school closures, long lines at the grocery store, empty shelves, panic buying, record unemployment, and miles-long bread lines, little media attention was given to the Billionaires buying islands and land where they could enjoy life in first-class bunkers built to withstand a nuclear war.

    If anything, the coronavirus has lifted the veil to expose the growing inequality in the United States, an unfortunate reality in the world's richest country.

    Macleod leaves us with a salient statistic, explaining that while Amazon owner Jeff Bezos makes $1 million every three minutes, "Amazon staff, directly employed by Bezos, also risk their lives for measly pay. One-third of all Amazon workers in Arizona, for example, are enrolled in the food stamps program, their wages so low that they cannot afford to pay for food."

    Alan MacLeod joins MintCast to explain all of this and how the coming economic crash that is expected to contract the economy by 40 percent will only advance the interests of America's ultra-wealthy and increase their wealth even further.

    America already faces a reality in which less than one thousand billionaires influence policies that ensure more tax obligations for the working class to the benefit of ultra-wealthy oligarchs. Corporate media ensures this reality by presenting billionaires in a positive light, often as philanthropists who run charitable organizations. Yet, in reality, they are little more than big fish eating off of the hard work of the working class.

    This program is 100 percent listener supported! You can join the hundreds of financial sponsors who make this show possible by becoming a member on our Patreon page .

    Subscribe to this podcast on iTunes , Spotify and SoundCloud . Please leave us a review and share this segmen t.

    Mnar Muhawesh is founder, CEO and editor in chief of MintPress News, and is also a regular speaker on responsible journalism, sexism, neoconservativism within the media and journalism start-ups.

    MintPress News is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 International License.

    [Jun 13, 2020] Stockman Calls Bullst On The Latest COVID-19 Fear-Mongering About Spikes In Texas, Arizona

    Jun 12, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com
    Authored by David Stockman via Contra Corner blog,

    Dr. Fauci and the Scarf Lady are not the only Virus Patrol miscreants spreading the Covid Hysteria and thereby empowering the authorities to keep suffocating everyday economic life and personal liberty in America.

    In fact, there is a whole camarilla of current and former health officials, purported disease experts, all-purpose talking heads and other Washington apparatchiks who continue to appear on mainstream media, peddling the hoary tale that coronavirus is some kind of horror flick monster: It purportedly just keeps springing from its Lockdown grave – whack-a-mole fashion – the instant officialdom relaxes its quarantine edicts.

    Call these people the "groomers" of Big Pharma, and their job is to keep public fears on the boil so that the demand for high-priced treatments, cures and preventative vaccines becomes overwhelming. And given that the Covid is now rapidly succumbing to the exhaustion of its infection cycle and the summertime sun, their exact current mission is one of bridging the gap.

    That is, finding and publicizing local outbreaks and "hot spots" during the months just ahead so that the Virus Patrol will remain in full control of policy and the narrative until the Covid makes its forecasted second wave rebound during next fall's flu season.

    After all, they desperately need these hot spots to keep the aggregate narrative alive because it is visibly collapsing by the day.

    Back in early May, for instance, the NYT breathlessly carried a leaked study from the Trump Administration that projected a massive surge of new infections and a near doubling of daily death rates by early June relative to levels than extant:

    As President Trump presses for states to reopen their economies, his administration is privately projecting a steady rise in the number of coronavirus cases and deaths over the next several weeks. The daily death toll will reach about 3,000 on June 1, according to an internal document obtained by The New York Times , a 70 percent increase from the current number of about 1,750 .

    The projections, based on government modeling pulled together by the Federal Emergency Management Agency, forecast about 200,000 new cases each day by the end of the month, up from about 25,000 cases a day currently.

    The numbers underscore a sobering reality: The United States has been hunkered down for the past seven weeks to try slowing the spread of the virus, but reopening the economy will make matters worse.

    Needless to say, that one went down the memory hole ages ago (i.e. around Memorial Day). As of June 10, in fact, actual daily averages for the month to date were:

    In other words, these Washington modelers (this one was prepared by FEMA) couldn't hit the broadside of a barn with the antiaircraft guns Chairman Kim uses to dispatch his adversaries. So to keep the Covid-Hysteria alive, they send out the hot spot "groomers".

    On of the most mendacious of these groomers is Dr. Scott Gottlieb, who was the Donald's first FDA commissioner and is an alleged pedigreed "conservative" with a berth at the American Enterprise Institute to burnish his numerous sinecures with Big Pharma.

    Gottlieb is also a CNBC regular, and yesterday, sitting astride a screen crawler which read "Texas reports second day of record hospitalizations", he was busy promulgating the "hot spot" news about two red states, whose merely semi-craven GOP governors have belatedly attempted to get their economies back in business:

    When you look at hotspot regions like Arizona and Texas , they have to be concerned, particularly areas around Houston right now. They could lose control of this very quickly," says @ScottGottliebMD on balancing re-opening with public health.

    We call bullshit!

    Gottlieb was peddling a pimple on the elephant's ass because, apparently, cable TV audiences generally and bubble vision's especially, were born yesterday. That is, they are infantile victims of recency and confirmation biases and will apparently believe anything served up in a context-free modality.

    The truth is, there is nothing worrisome whatsoever going on in Arizona and Texas beyond the fact that the coronavirus started its inexorable spread in these interior states later than on the East and Left coasts, and is therefore cresting slightly later, as well.

    But as of June 8, the count of infected cases and WITH Covid deaths in Arizona stood at 27,678 and 1,047, respectively. Those figures a hot spot do not make, nor do they offer any reason for not getting the state's boot-heel off the economy ASAP.

    Relative to the USA as a whole and the New York epicenter, Arizona's figures per 100,000 population compare as follows as of June 8:

    In other words, Arizona's mortality rate is less than half of the US average and only 11% of that for New York. So why is it a worrisome "hot spot" by the lights of Virus Patrol shills like Gottlieb?

    Indeed, the WITH-Covid mortality rate in Arizona stands at nearly rock bottom, clocking in at at just one-fifth to one-half of the mortality rates in much as European Christendom. To wit, current rates per 100,000 include:

    But when context doesn't matter, of course, any pimple can be depicted as a large boulder. Thus, the number of new cases in Arizona is allegedly soaring, suggesting that the state has jumped the gun letting its citizens out of house arrest too soon.

    In fact, during the first 8 days of June, Arizona reported 7,742 new cases – a figure which is sharply higher than the 2,189 new cases reported for the last eight days of April, for example.

    But that gain is entirely a function of the testing rate and then some. Thus, during the June 1 to June 8 span, the state reported 62,825 new tests, implying an infection rate of 12.3% .

    By contrast, during April 22 to April 30 the state reported only 15,185 new tests (one-fourth of the June figure), implying an infection rate of 14.4% .

    So the state is testing a lot more, as it has been instructed to do by Washington, and such accelerated testing is generating a falling infection rate!

    And that's not the half of it. By now there are more than enough antibody tests of different US populations to be reasonably certain that in a state like Arizona with a population of 7.38 million that there have been far more infected cases than the 27,678 cases reported through June 8.

    Generally, antibody tests show infection rates of 5-20% in the general population, which would imply total cases – most of which remained asymptomatic or resulted in mild illnesses – of between 370,000 and 1.5 million for Arizona.

    So, actually, higher reported cases daily may mean nothing at all as to the current status of the virus among the population. More likely, it actually means that what is already there is being slowly discovered after the fact ; it's stale, irrelevant old news, not an alarming new development, to say nothing of evidence of a hot spot.

    Indeed, the latter is a meaningless but loaded term, honed for TV talking points, but is incapable of conveying any meaningful information about context at all. That is, the real test is how does what's happening with the coronavirus now compare with year-in-and-year-out illness, hospitalization, disease and mortality trends?

    Self-evidently, you do not empower the state to put its citizens under house arrest and destroy the livelihoods of millions of workers and tens of thousands of small businesses on account of a bad run of seasonal illnesses that leaves more people than usual home in bed or even heading to the hospital for treatment.

    To the contrary, this whole Lockdown Nation thing is about the modern equivalent of the Black Death – the presence of a virulent killer that can takedown the young, the old, the healthy, the sick and all categories between with equal alacrity.

    But, again, there is nothing to support that Grim Reaper notion in the data, and most especially not the "hot spot" flavor of the week in Texas and Arizona.

    The mortality rate from all causes for Arizona for the four months from January through the end of April (latest available) is shown below.

    Naturally, the total mortality rate surmounts the cause of death attribution and coding issues; and it means that unless these total death rates are significantly elevated from the norm, then nothing unusual – or at least worthy of drastic quarantine policies–is actually going on.

    On a per 100,000 basis, the Arizona's total mortality rates for the first four months of the year have been as follows:

    The above does not indicate the Black Plague at loose. The tiny elevation in 2020 relative to the previous four years is just statistical noise!

    Moreover, there is no new signal coming out of this "noise" owing to the higher testing and infection rates being reported in recent days. Again, the evidence for that is in the state's own published data on hospitalization rates, among others.

    Between March 23 and June 1, Arizona consistently reported new WITH-Covid hospitalization cases of between 40 and 60 per day on a statewide basis.

    During June 3 through June 8, however, the number of new hospitalizations daily has dwindled to 34, 19, 17, 10, 4 and 5 , respectively.

    The last few days, in fact, have had the lowest new hospitalizations since before the Donald's malpracting doctors triggered the Covid Hysteria on March 13.

    So, hot spot my eye!

    In this connection, they also keep trotting out the hoary old claim that the hospitals are in danger of being overrun with new cases – per the crawler on the screen yesterday during Gottleib's appearance on bubble vision.

    Alas, it never happened previously in Arizona and is not remotely in danger of happening now. Even during the peak of new hospitalizations between April 20 and May 8, the utilization rate of hospital intensive care beds rose from 72% to 78% and has remained at that level ever since.

    Finally, it is worth noting that Arizona's WITH-Covid mortality data show the same dramatic skew toward the elderly, as is true with the rest of the country. Fully 77% of the Covid deaths in Arizona have been among the 65 and older population, which comprises just 17% of the state's overall population.

    That fact alone, of course, militates strongly against the across-the-board stay-at-home and general quarantine orders in the first place.

    The Arizona WITH-Covid mortality rate through June 9 breaks out as follows by age cohorts. That is to say, anyone under 55 years old driving to the Scottsdale Fashion Mall would have had a greater chance of being killed in an auto accident than being felled by the Covid:

    Deaths Per 100,000 population:

    With respect to Texas, it's the same story. There is no "hot spot", period.

    Its reported cases and deaths through June 8 are actually far lower than those for Arizona and in the sub-basement relative to the overall USA figures, to say nothing of the nursing-home based disaster-data reported for New York and New Jersey.

    That is, the number of infected cases in Texas amounts to 256 per 100,000 or 68% of the Arizona rate, 42% of the overall USA rate and just 13% of the rate of infected cases among the New York state population.

    Likewise, the WITH-Covid mortality rate through June 8 in Texas was 6.2 per 100,000. That's just 43% of the Arizona rate, 19% of the USA average and only 5% of the New York state rate .

    So Texas isn't remotely a "hot spot" or some kind of warning about reopening too soon, and is actually a thundering rebuke of the entire Lockdown Nation narrative.

    That is, Texas was late and tepid about the lockdown, and among the first to begin "reopening" in early May.

    Yet its reported infected case rate of 256 per 100,000 is just 10% of the real "hot spot" rate of 2,477 per 100,000 in the five boroughs of New York City; and its mortality rate of 6.2 per 100,000 population is just 3% of New York City's 196 per 100,000 rate.

    So for crying out loud, with that kind of yawning gap and rock bottom absolute level, what is this clown, Scott Gottlieb, doing on bubble vision warning about Covid dangers in Texas?

    Answer: He's grooming the sheeples in order to keep the Killer Covid narrative alive and the money and legal immunities flowing to the drug companies chasing cures and vaccines.

    It goes without saying, course, that the alleged surge in new cases reported in Texas during recent days is just as bogus as the claims about Arizona.

    Yes, new cases reported during June 1 to June 8 averaged 1,416 per day or about 61% higher than the rate of 877 per day reported for April 22 to April 30. Except, the number of new tests also rose by about 60% from 113,500 to 168,500, leaving the infected rate virtually unchanged at a very low 6.7% .

    Again, if you want to talk "hot spots", try New York City. The the infected rate per test has run north of 20% in the Bronx, for example.

    So the question recurs. Why are people like Scott Gottlieb out pimping the Killer Covid story in the face overwhelming evidence that it it nothing of the kind.

    Perhaps, it might be noted that Gottlieb went straight from medical school to various jobs at the FDA before becoming commissioner in 2017, and then heading out the revolving door to Pfizer's Board of Directors in May 2019.

    And, yes, here's the list of the top five firms being supported by billions from Washington in the race for a Covid vaccine, which may or may not happen, but whether safe or not will be of no never-mind to Big Pharma.

    After all, Washington has already indemnified them against lawsuits; pretty much guaranteed that they can name their charge per dose; and will be doing all it can to make getting a tap on the arm from one or more of the Big Pharma competitors a mandatory duty of citizenship.

    Call it what you will, but don't call it honest capitalism. And chalk it up as still another blow to the idea of limited government and personal liberty.

    The five companies are Moderna, a Massachusetts-based biotechnology firm, which Dr. Fauci said he expected would enter into the final phase of clinical trials next month; the combination of Oxford University and AstraZeneca, on a similar schedule; and three large pharmaceutical companies: Johnson & Johnson, Merck and Pfizer . Each is taking a somewhat different approach.

    Read more of Stockman's analysis here .

    [Jun 13, 2020] N.J. Businesses Defy Lockdown After Murphy Hypocritically Violates Own Order

    Critics said the Murphys were holding themselves to a different standard.
    Jun 13, 2020 | www.bloomberg.com

    On Thursday, a Republican lawmaker introduced legislation, dubbed "Murphy's Law," that would nullify any executive order the governor himself violates. Assemblyman Jay Webber noted that Murphy attended the rallies on Sunday, when outside gatherings were limited to no more than 25 people to curb the spread of the coronavirus. Two days later, Murphy raised the limit to 100 people and exempted political protests.

    "Executive orders should end for everyone when governors break their own rules for themselves," Webber said in a statement. The legislation, of course, has virtually no chance of being signed by Murphy, a Democrat who stood by his decision to demonstrate and on Thursday urged the like-minded to continue to do so peacefully, using masks and other virus precautions.

    But business owners and others are expressing their own frustration with the governor, with unsanctioned startups of indoor dining and other activities in a state whose death toll, 12,443, is second only to New York's. As Murphy, 62, in recent days has relaxed some restrictions put in place to slow the virus' spread, he has warned that cases will jump when more people come in contact with one another.

    A second U.S. coronavirus wave is emerging in states including Texas, Florida and California while New Jersey's cases have slowed. But throughout the Garden State, some say they're willing to risk a swifter return to typical operations -- albeit with some precautions.

    [Jun 12, 2020] We were lied to about coronavirus and the mass lockdowns. Here's the proof by Tucker Carlson

    Jun 12, 2020 | www.foxnews.com

    Millions of Americans remain subjected to unprecedented restrictions on their personal lives, their daily lives, their family's lives.

    The coronavirus lockdowns continue in many places. You may not know that because it gets no publicity, but it's true. And if you're living under it, you definitely know.

    As a result of this, tens of millions of people are now unemployed. A huge number of them have no prospects of working again. Many thousands of small businesses are closed and will never reopen. More Americans have become dependent on drugs and alcohol, seeing their marriages dissolve, and become clinically depressed.

    Some of them delayed their weddings. Others were banned by the government from burying their loved ones in funerals. Some Americans will die of cancer because they couldn't get cancer screenings, some unknown number have taken their own lives in despair. Others have flooded the streets to riot because bottled up rage and frustration take many forms.

    The cost of shutting down the United States and denying our citizens desperately needed contact with one another is hard to calculate. But the cost has been staggering.

    The people responsible for doing all of this,say they have no regrets about it. We faced a global calamity, they say. COVID-19 was the worst pandemic since the Spanish flu. That flu killed 50 million people.

    We had no choice. We did the right thing. That's what they're telling us. Is it true?

    The answer to that question matters, not just because the truth always matters, but because the credibility of our leaders is at stake here. This is the biggest decision they have made in our lifetimes. They were able to make it. They rule because we let them. Their power comes from us.

    As a matter of public health, we can say conclusively the lockdowns were not necessary.

    So the question, now and always is, are they worthy of that power? That's not a conversation they want to have. And right now, they don't have to have that conversation because all of us are distracted and mesmerized by the woke revolution underway outside.

    They just created a separate country in Seattle. Huh? We'll bring you the latest on that. But we do think it's worth four minutes taking a pause to assess whether or not they were in fact lying to us about the coronavirus and our response to it.

    And the short answer is this: Yes, they were definitely lying.

    As a matter of public health, we can say conclusively the lockdowns were not necessary. In fact, we can prove that. And here's the most powerful evidence: States that never locked down at all -- states where people were allowed to live like Americans and not cower indoors alone -- in the end turned out no worse than states that had mandatory quarantines. The state you probably live in.

    The states that locked down at first but were quick to reopen have not seen explosions of coronavirus cases. All of this is the opposite of what they said would happen with great confidence.

    The media predicted mass death at places like Lake of the Ozarks and Ocean City, Md. -- places where the middle class dares to vacation. But those deaths never happened. In the end, the Wuhan coronavirus turned out to be a dangerous disease, but a manageable disease, like so many others. Far more dangerous were the lockdowns themselves.

    For example, in New York, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Massachusetts, panicked and incompetent governors forced nursing homes to accept infected coronavirus patients, and as a result, many thousands died, and they died needlessly.

    This is all a remarkable story, but it's going almost entirely uncovered. The media would rather tell you why you need to hate your neighbor for the color of his skin. The media definitely don't want to revisit what they were saying just a few weeks ago, when they were acting as press agents for power-drunk Democratic politicians.

    We were all played. Corrupt politicians scared us into giving up control over the most basic questions in our lives. At the same time, they gave more power to their obedient followers, like Antifa, while keeping the rest of us trapped at home and censored online.

    Back then, news anchors were ordering you to stop asking questions and obey.

    Chris Cuomo, CNN anchor: All right, so while most Americans are staying inside -- or should be, right, if they're not out protesting like fools -- they're not happy about being told to stay home. Staying home saves lives.

    And the rest of us should be staying at home for our mothers and the people that we love, and to keep us farther apart, will ultimately bring us closer together in this cause.

    Our collective conscientious actions -- staying home.

    Oh, if you love your mother, you will do what I say. It turns out cable news anchors don't make very subtle propagandists.

    And then Memorial Day arrived in May, and some states started to reopen. Millions of grateful Americans headed outdoors for the first time in months, and the media attacked them for doing that. They called them killers.

    Swimming with your kids, they told us, was tantamount to mass murder.

    Claire McCaskill, MSNBC political analyst: Frankly, a lot of the people in those crowds -- they thought they were, you know, standing up for what the president believes in and that is not to care about the public safety part of this.

    Robyn Curnow, CNN host: Look at this. I mean, this is kind of crazy, considering we're in the middle of a global pandemic.

    I mean, as one person quipped, you know, that's curving the curve. That's not flattening it.

    Don Lemon, CNN anchor: Massive crowd of people crammed together, as if it were just an ordinary holiday weekend despite the risks of a virus that has killed more than 98,000 people.

    Boy that montage was the opposite of a MENSA meeting. Has that much dumbness been captured on tape ever?

    The last clip you saw was from May 25th. That was just over two weeks ago. "Ninety eight thousand people are dead. How dare you leave your house? You don't work in the media. You're not essential."

    But it didn't take long for that message to change completely. In fact, it took precisely five days.

    Here's the same brain dead news anchor you just saw less than a week later. He is no longer angry, you'll notice, about Americans going outside. As long as they are rioting and burning and not doing something sinful, like swimming with their children, he is delighted by it.

    Lemon: And let's not forget, if anyone is judging this -- I'm not judging this, I'm just wondering what is going on. Because we were supposed to figure out this experiment a long time ago. Our country was started because -- this is how: the Boston Tea Party. Rioting.

    So don't -- do not get it twisted and think that, oh, this is something that has never happened before. And then this is so terrible, and where are we in these savages and all of that. This is how this country was started.

    Yes, don't judge. This is how this country was started -- by looting CVS and setting fire to Wendy's. Of course, you took American History. You knew that.

    Andrew Cuomo 's brother must have been in the same history class because he had the same reaction.

    Chris Cuomo: America's major cities are filled with people demanding this country be more fair, more just.

    And please, show me where it says that protests are supposed to be polite and peaceful. Because I can show you that outraged citizens are the ones who have made America what she is and led to any major milestones.

    They are here to yell, criticize, blame, and shame.

    Citizens have no duty to check their outrage.

    Wow. So, one minute they were mass murderers for going outside. Now, they're Sam Adams. They're patriots. They're American heroes.

    If all of this seems like a pretty abrupt pivot, fret not. Rioting is not a health risk as long as it helps the Democratic Party's prospects in the November election . Rioting will not spread the coronavirus.

    Sounds implausible, but we can be certain of that, because last week, hundreds of self-described public health officials signed a letter saying so. They announced that the Black Lives Matter riots are a vital contribution to public health. In effect, they're an essential medical procedure.

    But that doesn't mean you get to go outside. You don't. Thanks to coronavirus, you do not have the right to resume your life, and if you complain about that, it's "white nationalism." That was their professional conclusion.

    Does a single American believe any of that? No, of course not. It is too stupid even for CNN to repeat, so they mostly ignored it. That's an ominous sign if you think about it. It means these people are done trying to convince you, even to fool you.

    They're not making arguments, they're issuing decrees. They think they can. They no longer believe they need your consent to make big decisions to run the country. Once the authority stops trying to change your mind, even by deceit, it means they've decided to use force -- and they have.

    Video

    During the lockdowns, people whose loved ones died were not allowed to have funerals for them. Think about that. It's hard to think of anything crueler, but it happened to a lot of people. They claimed it was necessary. It was not necessary. And we know that because now that a man has died whose death is politically useful to the Democratic Party , the authorities have given him three funerals and not a word about a health risk.

    Or consider King County, Wash -- that's where Seattle is. Restaurants in King County are operating at just 25 percent capacity. That's the law now. Nonessential businesses are allowed just 15 percent capacity. The effect of that is economic disaster. Most small businesses run on very small margins. They can't survive for long, and in fact, many have failed.

    What should they do? They should join Antifa, obviously, because in King County, Wash., Antifa can do whatever Antifa wants to do. They have taken over an entire six-block section of downtown Seattle, and that's fine with health authorities. There is no social distancing required. They're essential.

    Are you getting the picture? Is it adding up to a message? Yes, the message is we were played. We were all played. Corrupt politicians scared us into giving up control over the most basic questions in our lives. At the same time, they gave more power to their obedient followers, like Antifa, while keeping the rest of us trapped at home and censored online.

    In other words, they used a public health emergency to subvert democracy and install themselves as monarchs. How were they able to do this? The sad truth is, they did it because we let them do it. We believed them, therefore, we obeyed them.

    If there's anything good to come out of this disaster, it's that none of us will ever make that mistake again.

    Adapted from Tucker Carlson's monologue from " Tucker Carlson Tonight " on June 10, 2020.

    [Jun 11, 2020] We were lied to about coronavirus and the mass lockdowns. Here's the proof by Tucker Carlson

    Video Tucker: Our leaders used a health emergency to subvert democracy Jun. 11, 2020 - 10:32 - Corrupt politicians scared us into giving up control over our own lives.
    Jun 11, 2020 | www.foxnews.com

    Millions of Americans remain subjected to unprecedented restrictions on their personal lives, their daily lives, their family's lives.

    The coronavirus lockdowns continue in many places. You may not know that because it gets no publicity, but it's true. And if you're living under it, you definitely know.

    As a result of this, tens of millions of people are now unemployed. A huge number of them have no prospects of working again. Many thousands of small businesses are closed and will never reopen. More Americans have become dependent on drugs and alcohol, seeing their marriages dissolve, and become clinically depressed.

    Some of them delayed their weddings. Others were banned by the government from burying their loved ones in funerals. Some Americans will die of cancer because they couldn't get cancer screenings, some unknown number have taken their own lives in despair. Others have flooded the streets to riot because bottled up rage and frustration take many forms.

    The cost of shutting down the United States and denying our citizens desperately needed contact with one another is hard to calculate. But the cost has been staggering.

    The people responsible for doing all of this,say they have no regrets about it. We faced a global calamity, they say. COVID-19 was the worst pandemic since the Spanish flu. That flu killed 50 million people.

    We had no choice. We did the right thing. That's what they're telling us. Is it true?

    The answer to that question matters, not just because the truth always matters, but because the credibility of our leaders is at stake here. This is the biggest decision they have made in our lifetimes. They were able to make it. They rule because we let them. Their power comes from us.

    As a matter of public health, we can say conclusively the lockdowns were not necessary.

    So the question, now and always is, are they worthy of that power? That's not a conversation they want to have. And right now, they don't have to have that conversation because all of us are distracted and mesmerized by the woke revolution underway outside.

    They just created a separate country in Seattle. Huh? We'll bring you the latest on that. But we do think it's worth four minutes taking a pause to assess whether or not they were in fact lying to us about the coronavirus and our response to it.

    And the short answer is this: Yes, they were definitely lying.

    As a matter of public health, we can say conclusively the lockdowns were not necessary. In fact, we can prove that. And here's the most powerful evidence: States that never locked down at all -- states where people were allowed to live like Americans and not cower indoors alone -- in the end turned out no worse than states that had mandatory quarantines. The state you probably live in.

    The states that locked down at first but were quick to reopen have not seen explosions of coronavirus cases. All of this is the opposite of what they said would happen with great confidence.

    The media predicted mass death at places like Lake of the Ozarks and Ocean City, Md. -- places where the middle class dares to vacation. But those deaths never happened. In the end, the Wuhan coronavirus turned out to be a dangerous disease, but a manageable disease, like so many others. Far more dangerous were the lockdowns themselves.

    For example, in New York, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Massachusetts, panicked and incompetent governors forced nursing homes to accept infected coronavirus patients, and as a result, many thousands died, and they died needlessly.

    This is all a remarkable story, but it's going almost entirely uncovered. The media would rather tell you why you need to hate your neighbor for the color of his skin. The media definitely don't want to revisit what they were saying just a few weeks ago, when they were acting as press agents for power-drunk Democratic politicians.

    We were all played. Corrupt politicians scared us into giving up control over the most basic questions in our lives. At the same time, they gave more power to their obedient followers, like Antifa, while keeping the rest of us trapped at home and censored online.

    Back then, news anchors were ordering you to stop asking questions and obey.

    Chris Cuomo, CNN anchor: All right, so while most Americans are staying inside -- or should be, right, if they're not out protesting like fools -- they're not happy about being told to stay home. Staying home saves lives.

    And the rest of us should be staying at home for our mothers and the people that we love, and to keep us farther apart, will ultimately bring us closer together in this cause.

    Our collective conscientious actions -- staying home.

    Oh, if you love your mother, you will do what I say. It turns out cable news anchors don't make very subtle propagandists.

    And then Memorial Day arrived in May, and some states started to reopen. Millions of grateful Americans headed outdoors for the first time in months, and the media attacked them for doing that. They called them killers.

    Swimming with your kids, they told us, was tantamount to mass murder.

    Claire McCaskill, MSNBC political analyst: Frankly, a lot of the people in those crowds -- they thought they were, you know, standing up for what the president believes in and that is not to care about the public safety part of this.

    Robyn Curnow, CNN host: Look at this. I mean, this is kind of crazy, considering we're in the middle of a global pandemic.

    I mean, as one person quipped, you know, that's curving the curve. That's not flattening it.

    Don Lemon, CNN anchor: Massive crowd of people crammed together, as if it were just an ordinary holiday weekend despite the risks of a virus that has killed more than 98,000 people.

    Boy that montage was the opposite of a MENSA meeting. Has that much dumbness been captured on tape ever?

    The last clip you saw was from May 25th. That was just over two weeks ago. "Ninety eight thousand people are dead. How dare you leave your house? You don't work in the media. You're not essential."

    But it didn't take long for that message to change completely. In fact, it took precisely five days.

    Here's the same brain dead news anchor you just saw less than a week later. He is no longer angry, you'll notice, about Americans going outside. As long as they are rioting and burning and not doing something sinful, like swimming with their children, he is delighted by it.

    Lemon: And let's not forget, if anyone is judging this -- I'm not judging this, I'm just wondering what is going on. Because we were supposed to figure out this experiment a long time ago. Our country was started because -- this is how: the Boston Tea Party. Rioting.

    So don't -- do not get it twisted and think that, oh, this is something that has never happened before. And then this is so terrible, and where are we in these savages and all of that. This is how this country was started.

    Yes, don't judge. This is how this country was started -- by looting CVS and setting fire to Wendy's. Of course, you took American History. You knew that.

    Andrew Cuomo 's brother must have been in the same history class because he had the same reaction.

    Chris Cuomo: America's major cities are filled with people demanding this country be more fair, more just.

    And please, show me where it says that protests are supposed to be polite and peaceful. Because I can show you that outraged citizens are the ones who have made America what she is and led to any major milestones.

    They are here to yell, criticize, blame, and shame.

    Citizens have no duty to check their outrage.

    Wow. So, one minute they were mass murderers for going outside. Now, they're Sam Adams. They're patriots. They're American heroes.

    If all of this seems like a pretty abrupt pivot, fret not. Rioting is not a health risk as long as it helps the Democratic Party's prospects in the November election . Rioting will not spread the coronavirus.

    Sounds implausible, but we can be certain of that, because last week, hundreds of self-described public health officials signed a letter saying so. They announced that the Black Lives Matter riots are a vital contribution to public health. In effect, they're an essential medical procedure.

    But that doesn't mean you get to go outside. You don't. Thanks to coronavirus, you do not have the right to resume your life, and if you complain about that, it's "white nationalism." That was their professional conclusion.

    Does a single American believe any of that? No, of course not. It is too stupid even for CNN to repeat, so they mostly ignored it. That's an ominous sign if you think about it. It means these people are done trying to convince you, even to fool you.

    They're not making arguments, they're issuing decrees. They think they can. They no longer believe they need your consent to make big decisions to run the country. Once the authority stops trying to change your mind, even by deceit, it means they've decided to use force -- and they have.

    Video

    During the lockdowns, people whose loved ones died were not allowed to have funerals for them. Think about that. It's hard to think of anything crueler, but it happened to a lot of people. They claimed it was necessary. It was not necessary. And we know that because now that a man has died whose death is politically useful to the Democratic Party , the authorities have given him three funerals and not a word about a health risk.

    Or consider King County, Wash -- that's where Seattle is. Restaurants in King County are operating at just 25 percent capacity. That's the law now. Nonessential businesses are allowed just 15 percent capacity. The effect of that is economic disaster. Most small businesses run on very small margins. They can't survive for long, and in fact, many have failed.

    What should they do? They should join Antifa, obviously, because in King County, Wash., Antifa can do whatever Antifa wants to do. They have taken over an entire six-block section of downtown Seattle, and that's fine with health authorities. There is no social distancing required. They're essential.

    Are you getting the picture? Is it adding up to a message? Yes, the message is we were played. We were all played. Corrupt politicians scared us into giving up control over the most basic questions in our lives. At the same time, they gave more power to their obedient followers, like Antifa, while keeping the rest of us trapped at home and censored online.

    In other words, they used a public health emergency to subvert democracy and install themselves as monarchs. How were they able to do this? The sad truth is, they did it because we let them do it. We believed them, therefore, we obeyed them.

    If there's anything good to come out of this disaster, it's that none of us will ever make that mistake again.

    Adapted from Tucker Carlson's monologue from " Tucker Carlson Tonight " on June 10, 2020.

    CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM TUCKER CARLSON Tucker Carlson currently serves as the host of FOX News Channel's (FNC) Tucker Carlson Tonight (weekdays 8PM/ET). He joined the network in 2009 as a contributor.

    [Jun 10, 2020] Covid threat reactions which remain deeply embedded in many people's psyche was another example of rampant hysteria trumping facts. Common denominator: one's personal confrontation with mortality and existential fears.

    Jun 10, 2020 | turcopolier.typepad.com

    Deap , 08 June 2020 at 01:16 PM

    Covid threat reactions which remain deeply embedded in many people's psyche was another example of rampant hysteria trumping facts. (No pun intended, it is just a good serviceable word)

    Common denominator: one's personal confrontation with mortality and existential fears. Existential fears can never be taken away by outside forces, words, promises or even external changes. They are embedded deeply within us and each of us has to confront them solely on our own.

    At one time religious played a dominant role in responding and ameliorating existential fears. No longer. And this is what is now getting acted out in the covid hysteria and the BLM hysteria. There are too many lies and too many things avoided in this present blame scenario to be healing or functional at this time.

    But as long as the Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer types bow, kneel and "put on African garb" in appeasement - the need to make peace with one's own existential fears and one's own mortality is momentarily circumvented by their inauthentic side show. Black intellectuals laugh at this white preening. Black radicals just up the price for submission.

    We have let craziness lead to hot wars in the past, even within our own living memories. Because of existential fears tagging along with external fears. "Stopping communism which will destroy our way of life" - was that the only argument and was it ever valid?

    Maybe Marianne Williamson was more prescient that given credit in the DNC debates. She sensed a deep darkness in the US soul. Too bad she demanded it carry a partisan label. She failed her own better instincts when she did that.

    [Jun 10, 2020] Is the Coronavirus Scare a Psychological Operation

    Jun 10, 2020 | off-guardian.org

    overnments have used psychological warfare throughout history to manipulate public opinion, gain political advantage, and generate profits. Western governments have engaged in such tactics in the war on terrorism as well as in its predecessor, the war on communism.

    In both cases, state-sponsored terrorism and propaganda were used to distort the public's perception of the threats, leading to increased governmental control of society and huge financial benefits for corporations.

    It appears that the same kinds of effects are being seen as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic.

    Many of the features and outcomes seen in the war on terrorism and the war on communism are evident in this new "war on death."

    Therefore, it's reasonable to wonder if the extreme response to COVID-19, and its associated virus SARS-COV-2, could be another psychological operation against the public.

    Considering facts about the disease and the disproportionate response emphasizes the possibility.

    If COVID-19 has been co-opted for manipulation of the public, through hyping the threat and pushing exploitive solutions, who is behind it and who benefits?

    Let's first review what features and outcomes the "coronavirus scare' shares in common with the "red scare" that drove the perceived threat of communism and the "Muslim scare" behind the perceived threat of terrorism. Here are a dozen characteristics that these perceived threats share.

    Fear-based and globally directed Media saturation with bias toward fear Data manipulation and propaganda Censorship of opposing views Intelligence agency control of information Preceded by exercises mimicking the threat Series of claims made that are later proven false Response threatens democracy Large increase in wealth and power for a few; increase in social inequality Increased government control of the public and reduced individual freedoms Response kills far more than the original threat Evidence for manufactured events (see below)

    There are also differences between the COVID-19 pandemic response and the "wars" on communism and terrorism. One difference is that, for the virus, agencies dedicated to public health have taken the lead. Although the central characters that hyped the communism threat and the terrorism threat were sometimes the same people , they tended to represent military, diplomatic, or intelligence agencies.

    The primary actors driving the coronavirus lockdowns and associated control mechanisms are political leaders. However, the directives being acted upon come from the World Health Organization (WHO), an agency of the United Nations ostensibly responsible for international public health.

    Others controlling the coronavirus scare are national health agencies, most notably the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and the United Kingdom's National Health Service (NHS).

    Are these agencies acting solely in the interest of public health?

    The WHO

    The common impression is that the entire matter began in reaction to events in China but even that is not clear. For example, the virus is said to have originated in the city of Wuhan and the first, limited, lockdown occurred in that area from January to March.

    China has since said that it warned the WHO about the virus during the first week of January. However, it is known that U.S. intelligence agencies were aware of the potential outbreak even before that, in November 2019. A Chinese spokesman later suggested that the U.S. military might have brought the virus to Wuhan during the military games held there in October.

    The first instance of an entire country being locked down for the coronavirus was in Italy. This occurred on March 9 th based on advice from the Italian government's coronavirus adviser Walter Ricciardi , who said, "The situation risks going out of control and these measures are necessary to keep the spread at bay. "

    Ricciardi, a WHO committee member, later admitted that Italy had inflated the death counts from the virus, stating:

    "The way in which we code deaths in our country is very generous in the sense that all the people who die in hospitals with the coronavirus are deemed to be dying of the coronavirus."

    Many have noted the inordinate influence of billionaire Bill Gates on the activities and direction of the WHO. As of 2017, this influence was seen as troubling, with health advocates fearing that:

    because the Gates Foundation's money comes from investments in big business, it could serve as a Trojan horse for corporate interests to undermine WHO's role in setting standards and shaping health policies."

    Gates has been called a ruthless schemer by his Microsoft co-founder Paul Allen and Allen is not alone in that assessment.

    Despite engaging in a costly "public charm offensive," Gates is seen by many as a predatory and monopolistic opportunist hiding behind a false front of philanthropy. With regard to the coronavirus scare and Gates' stated goal of vaccinating the entire world population, however, people should be most concerned that he has worked diligently on mechanisms of population control .

    Of course, no one person controls the world yet so who is supposed to be running WHO, apart from Bill Gates? The face of the WHO is Dr. Tedros Adhanom, the director-general of the organization. Tedros has a poor history of ethics in leadership, with many accusations having been made against him including that he covered-up epidemics in the past.

    Alarms about Tedros began to go off immediately after his appointment in 2017, when he named Robert Mugabe, the former dictator of Zimbabwe, as a goodwill ambassador to the WHO. Mugabe's rule over Zimbabwe was dominated by " murder, bloodshed, torture , persecution of political opponents, intimidation and vote-rigging on a grand scale." This appointment indicated that Tedros' judgment of goodwill was dubious at best.

    A letter from a group of American doctors that same year described why Tedros has become known as " Dr. Cover Up ."

    They wrote:

    "Your silence about what is clearly a massive cholera epidemic in Sudan daily becomes more reprehensible. The inevitable history that will be written of this cholera epidemic will surely cast you in an unforgiving light."

    They added that Tedros was "fully complicit in the terrible suffering and dying that continues to spread in East Africa."

    Problems at WHO didn't start with Tedros, however.

    After the H1N1 pandemic of 2009, evidence came to light that the WHO had exaggerated the danger and had spread fear and confusion rather than helpful information. It was later learned that "Italy, Germany, France and the U.K. made secret agreements with pharmaceutical companies" that "obliged the countries to buy vaccinations only if the WHO raised the pandemic to a level 6."

    The WHO then proceeded to change its guidelines for defining a pandemic in order to accommodate those contracts, thereby increasing the public's fear despite the fact that the pandemic never became a serious threat.

    Although WHO has been praised for its work to reduce some illnesses like polio, it has also been found that drugs and vaccines recommended by WHO have been " found to be harmful and without significant clinical effect."

    A comprehensive view suggests that the WHO is more of a corporate interest agency than an organization committed to preserving public health. That's not surprising due to the fact that 80% of WHO's funding comes from "voluntary contributions" provided by private donors including pharmaceutical companies and industry groups like Bill Gates' Global Alliance for Vaccines and Immunization (GAVI).

    nd since the worldwide response to COVID-19 has been directed and coordinated by an organization that works on behalf of multi-national corporations that stand to benefit, the idea that the coronavirus scare could be a psychological operation seems plausible.

    The CDC

    In the US, the CDC is also heavily influenced by corporate and political interests. This became clear when, in 2016, a group of senior scientists within the CDC filed an ethics complaint against the agency making that exact claim. They wrote:

    It appears that our mission is being influenced and shaped by outside parties and rogue interests ."

    The scientists noted that, in order to pursue political objectives, "definitions were changed and data cooked" at CDC, even to the point of misrepresenting data to Congress.

    Like the WHO, the CDC has a history of pushing harmful vaccines. An example was covered in a 60 Minutes episode exposing the harm done by the Swine Flu vaccine in 1976 and CDC's urging that all Americans be injected with that harmful vaccine. The report revealed that the illness was hyped based on very questionable data and the vaccine caused neurological damage.

    The current Director of CDC is retired US Army doctor Robert Redfield, who is known for having led the Pentagon's disastrous response to HIV-AIDS in the 1980s.

    A devout catholic, Redfield saw AIDS as the product of an immoral society. For many years, he championed a much-hyped remedy that was discredited in tests. That debacle led to his removal from the job in 1994."

    Public health reporter Laurie Garrett remarked:

    "Redfield is about the worst person you could think of to be heading the CDC at this time. He lets his prejudices interfere with the science, which you cannot afford during a pandemic."

    The CDC is an agency within the department of Health and Human Services (HHS). Alex Azar, a lawyer and former pharmaceutical company executive, was appointed as Secretary of HHS in 2017. Azar has deep connections to the pharmaceutical industry and is known for having engaged in price gouging with his former employer.

    Azar is also known for leading the HHS response to the anthrax scare of 2001, the first known bioterrorism attack on the United States. The anthrax attacks were targeted against members of Congress and the media that were dissenting voices in the national discussion about the Patriot Act, the oppressive legislation introduced immediately after the 9/11 attacks.

    Although Muslims were first blamed through highly questionable evidence, it was ultimately found that the weaponized anthrax came from U.S. military laboratories .

    Azar was instrumental in defining the National Biodefense Strategy in 2018, working closely with John Bolton , Trump's National Security Advisor. Bolton, a neocon and member of the Project for a New American Century (PNAC), has a long history of pushing authoritarian policies and war.

    In the US the person most visibly in charge of the COVID-19 response is Anthony Fauci, who is the long-time director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID). Like Redfield, Dr. Fauci is a Catholic and has said that values he learned in his Jesuit education continue to guide him.

    After weeks of Fauci having led the coronavirus response in the US, it was learned that his NIAID had funded "gain of function" research at the Wuhan laboratory where the SARS-COV-2 virus is suspected of having originated.

    Fauci's response to questions about that inexplicable coincidence was simply to denounce "conspiracy theories" rather than addressing the questions directly, much as others did when questioned about 9/11 foreknowledge.

    Whether SARS-COV-2 was genetically engineered in a laboratory, like the NIAID-funded Wuhan lab, is a subject that has become of interest to many scientists.

    The Wuhan laboratory is not the only place the US supports work like this, however, as the Pentagon funds such labs in 25 countries across the world. Located in places such as Eastern Europe, the Middle East, South East Asia, and Africa, these labs isolate and manipulate viruses like the bat coronaviruses from which SARS-COV-2 originated. This bat-research program is further coordinated by a group called EcoHealth Alliance.

    The manipulation of viruses for gain of function at US funded labs is, like the origin of the weaponized anthrax at US labs, evidence that bioterrorism and pandemics can be manufactured events. This is another way in which the coronavirus scare could reflect the war on terrorism and war on communism, both of which were driven by manufactured terrorist events .

    It is remarkable that Fauci funded work to manipulate coronaviruses then became the voice of the coronavirus pandemic response while also working closely with Bill Gates' GAVI initiative. Fauci has boasted that NIAID and GAVI work together to push vaccines with "outright collaboration between us in setting the standard of what is needed."

    This makes it easier to see that a new pattern of hyped pandemics resulting in increased population control and global vaccinations is not only possible but would be a very lucrative business model.

    The NHS and Corporate Nations

    By now it's well known that the initial projections for deaths due to COVID-19 were massively overestimated and one academic paper was responsible for the panic. The lead author of that paper, Neil Ferguson of Imperial College, has since resigned in disgrace from his government advisory position. Much like the US government's explanation for destruction of the World Trade Center buildings, his estimates were based on computer models that cannot be shared with the public.

    As in the US, UK intelligence agencies have taken a leading role in managing the coronavirus scare. The terrorism expert who is expected to be the next chief of MI6 was selected to lead a new " biosecurity centre " to evaluate the coronavirus threat and "enable rapid intervention."

    Additionally, the UK intelligence agency known as Government Communication Headquarters (GCHQ) was granted powers over the NHS's computer systems . GCHQ is known for engaging in illegal activities related to population control mechanisms such as mass surveillance .

    Totalitarian outcomes are further enabled with billionaire Peter Thiel's CIA-initiated company Palantir managing the databases used by both the CDC and UK's NHS that drive COVID-19 decision making.

    For perspective, in 2009, Thiel said, "I no longer believe that freedom and democracy are compatible," providing another clue that public health and awareness are not the main priorities behind the coronavirus scare.

    The data behind the COVID-19 pandemic was never reliable, with test kits being inaccurate , government policies inflating the death counts , and the media focusing solely on fear-based predictions that are repeatedly proven false.

    Recently, scientists and government leaders from other countries, including Russia, Germany and Denmark , have begun speaking out about how the coronavirus threat has been exaggerated.

    The outcomes of the coronavirus scare have included huge windfalls for billionaires, financial institutions , and corporations. Legislation being passed in response to COVID-19 is largely beneficial to corporate interests. The outcomes for everyone else have been fear, unemployment, poverty, loss of freedoms, grave risks to democracy, and death.

    How this is possible is related to the fact that governments, and the nations they represent, are no longer what they were. In many ways, corporations have replaced governments as the drivers of public policy and, as with Peter Thiel's Palantir, the public's interest is not their concern. Meanwhile, over two dozen companies have become larger and more powerful than many national governments.

    As a result, governments are now false fronts for corporations and the decisions they make, for example to lockdown citizens and remake their economies, are driven by profit-based strategies indifferent to public interests.

    In summary, the features and outcomes of the coronavirus scare reflect those of previous psychological operations including the war on terrorism and its predecessor, the war on communism.

    The people and agencies driving the coronavirus scare have a history of unethical behaviors, including hyping pandemics to push vaccines, and appear to seek long-term profits through implementation of a highly controlled society. Therefore, the response to COVID-19, if not the virus itself, can be seen as a psychological operation used to drive those outcomes.

    [Jun 06, 2020] Why Does The New York Times Brazenly Deny The Obvious Zero Hedge

    Jun 06, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com

    by Tyler Durden Fri, 06/05/2020 - 22:00 Authored by Jeffrey Tucker via The American Institute for Economic research,

    Don't laugh derisively, as people do these days, but I've always admired the New York Times . First draft of history. Talent everywhere. Best production values. Even with its ideological spin, it can be scrupulous about facts. You can usually extract the truth with a decoder ring. Its outsized influence over the rest of the press makes it essential. I've relied on it for years. Even given everything, and I mean everything.

    Until now. It's just too much. Too much unreality, manipulation, propaganda, and flat out untruths that are immediately recognizable to anyone. I can't believe they think they can get away with this with credibility intact. I'm not speaking of the many great reporters, technicians, editors, production specialists, and the tens of thousands who make it all possible. I'm speaking of a very small coterie of people who stand guard over the paper's editorial mission of the moment and enforce it on the whole company, with no dissent allowed.

    Let's get right to the offending passage. It's not from the news or opinion section but the official editorial section and hence the official voice of the paper. The paragraph from June 2, 2020, reads as follows.

    Healing the wounds ripped open in recent days and months will not be easy. The pandemic has made Americans fearful of their neighbors, cut them off from their communities of faith, shut their outlets for exercise and recreation and culture and learning. Worst of all, it has separated Americans from their own livelihoods.

    Can you imagine? The pandemic is the cause!

    I would otherwise feel silly to have to point this out but for the utter absurdity of the claim. The pandemic didn't do this. It caused a temporary and mostly media-fueled panic that distracted officials from doing what they should have done, which is protect the vulnerable and otherwise let society function and medical workers deal with disease.

    Instead, the CDC and governors around the country, at the urging of bad computer-science models uninformed by any experience in viruses, shut down schools, churches, events, restaurants, gyms, theaters, sports, and further instructed people to stay in their homes, enforced sometimes even by SWAT teams. Jewish funerals were broken up by the police.

    It was brutal and egregious and it threw 40 million people out of work and bankrupted countless businesses. Nothing this terrible was attempted even during the Black Death. Maximum economic damage; minimum health advantages . It's not even possible to find evidence that the lockdowns saved lives at all .

    But to hear the New York Times tell the story, it was not the lockdown but the pandemic that did this. That's a level of ideological subterfuge that is almost impossible for a sane person to conjure up, simply because it is so obviously unbelievable.

    It's lockdown denialism.

    Why? From February 2020 and following, the New York Times had a story and they are continuing to stick to it. The story is that we are all going to die from this pandemic unless government shuts down society. It was a drum this paper beat every day.

    Consider what the top virus reporter Donald J. McNeil (B.A. Rhetoric, University of California, Berkeley) wrote on February 28, 2020, weeks before there was any talk of shutdowns in the U.S.:

    There are two ways to fight epidemics: the medieval and the modern.

    The modern way is to surrender to the power of the pathogens: Acknowledge that they are unstoppable and to try to soften the blow with 20th-century inventions, including new vaccines, antibiotics, hospital ventilators and thermal cameras searching for people with fevers.

    The medieval way, inherited from the era of the Black Death, is brutal: Close the borders, quarantine the ships, pen terrified citizens up inside their poisoned cities.

    For the first time in more than a century, the world has chosen to confront a new and terrifying virus with the iron fist instead of the latex glove.

    And yes, he recommends the medieval way. The article continues on to praise China's response and Cuba's to AIDS and says that this approach is natural to Trump and should be done in the United States. ( AIER called him out on this alarming column on March 4, 20202.)

    McNeil then went on to greater fame with a series of shocking podcasts for the NYT that put a voice and even more panic to the failed modeling of Neil Ferguson of the Imperial College London.

    This first appeared the day before his op-ed calling for global lockdown. The transcript includes this:

    I spend a lot of time thinking about whether I'm being too alarmist or whether I'm being not alarmist enough. And this is alarmist, but I think right now, it's justified. This one reminds me of what I have read about the 1918 Spanish influenza.

    Reminder: 675,000 Americans died in that pandemic. There were only 103 million people living in the U.S. at the time.

    He continues:

    I'm trying to bring a sense that if things don't change, a lot of us might die. If you have 300 relatively close friends and acquaintances, six of them would die in a 2.5 percent mortality situation.

    That's an astonishing claim that seems to forecast 8.25 million Americans will die. So far as I know, that is the most extreme claim made by anyone, four times as high as the Imperial College model.

    What should we do to prevent this?

    You can't leave. You can't see your families. All the flights are canceled. All the trains are canceled. All the highways are closed. You're going to stay in there. And you're locked in with a deadly disease. We can do it.

    So because this coronavirus "reminds" him of one he read about, he can say on the air that four million people could soon die, and therefore life itself should be cancelled. Because a reporter is "reminded" of something.

    This is the same newspaper that in 1957 urged people to stay calm during the Asian flu and trust medical providers – running all of one editorial on the topic. What a change! This was an amazing podcast -- amazingly irresponsible.

    McNeil was not finished yet. He was at it again on March 12, 2020, demanding that we not just close big events and schools but shut down everything and everyone "for months." He went back on the podcast twice more, then started riding the media circuit, including NPR . It was also the same. China did it right. We need to lock down or people you know, if you are one of the lucky survivors, will die.

    To say that the New York Times was invested in the scenario of "lock down or we die" is an understatement. It was as invested in this narrative as it was in the Russia-collaboration story or the Ukrainian-phone call impeachment, tales to which they dedicated hundreds of stories and many dozens of reporters. The virus was the third pitch to achieve their objective.

    Once in, there was no turning back, even after it became obvious that for the vast numbers of people this was hardly a disease at all, and that most of the deaths came from one city and mostly from nursing homes that were forced by law to take in COVID-19 patients.

    That the newspaper, a once venerable institution, has something to answer for is apparent. But instead of accepting moral culpability for having created a panic to fuel the overthrow of the American way of life, they turn on a dime to celebrate people who are not socially distancing in the streets to protest police brutality.

    To me, the protests on the streets were a welcome relief from the vicious lockdowns. To the New York Times , it seems like the lockdowns never happened. Down the Orwellian memory hole.

    In this paper's consistent editorializing, nothing is the fault of the lockdowns.

    Everything instead is the fault of Trump, who "tends to see only political opportunity in public fear and anger, as in his customary manner of contributing heat rather than light to the confrontations between protesters and authority."

    True about Trump but let us remember that the McNeil's first pro-lockdown article praised Trump as perfectly suited to bring about the lockdown, and the paper urged him to do just that, while only three months later washing their hands of the whole thing, as if had nothing to do with current sufferings much less the rage on the streets.

    And the rapid turnaround of this paper on street protests was stunning to behold. A month ago, people protesting lockdowns were written about as vicious disease spreaders who were denying good science. In the blink of an eye, the protesters against police brutality (the same police who enforced the lockdown) were transmogrified into bold embracers of First Amendment rights who posed no threat to public health.

    Not even the scary warnings about the coming "second wave" were enough to stop the paper from throwing out all its concern over "targeted layered containment" and "social distancing" in order to celebrate protests in the streets that they like.

    And they ask themselves why people are incredulous toward mainstream media today.

    The lockdowns wrecked the fundamentals of life in America. The New York Times today wants to pretend they either didn't happen, happened only in a limited way, or were just minor public health measures that worked beautifully to mitigate disease. And instead of having an editorial meltdown over these absurdities, preposterous forecasts, and extreme panic mongering that contributed to vast carnage, we seen an internal revolt over the publishing of a Tom Cotton editorial, a dispute over politics not facts.

    The record is there: this paper went all in back in February to demand the most authoritarian possible response to a virus about which we already knew enough back then to observe that this was nothing like the Spanish flu of 1918. They pretended otherwise, probably for ideological reasons, most likely.

    It was not the pandemic that blew up our lives, commercial networks, and health systems. It was the response to the virus that did that. The Times needs to learn that it cannot construct a fake version of reality just to avoid responsibility for what they've done. Are we really supposed to believe what they write now and in the future? This time, I hope, people will be smart and learn to consider the source.

    [May 30, 2020] Coronavirus Propaganda Mimics War Propaganda

    May 29, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com
    Authored by Jeff Deist via The Mises Institute,

    In the period leading up to the US invasion of Iraq in 2003, the Bush administration and its media accomplices waged a relentless propaganda campaign to win political support for what turned out to be one of the most disastrous foreign policy mistakes in American history.

    Nearly two decades later, with perhaps a million dead Iraqis and thousands of dead American soldiers, we are still paying for that mistake.

    Vice President Dick Cheney, Attorney General John Ashcroft, Assistant Attorney General John Yoo, and Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld, were key players behind the propaganda -- which we can define as purposeful use of information and misinformation to manipulate public opinion in favor of state action. Iraq and its president Saddam Hussein were the ostensible focus, but their greater goal was to make the case for a broader and open-ended "War on Terror." ​

    So they created a narrative using a mélange of half-truths, faintly plausible fabrications, and outright lies:

    And so forth.

    But the propaganda "worked" in the most meaningful sense: Congress voted nearly 3–1 in favor of military action against Iraq, and Gallup showed 72 percent of Americans supporting the invasion as it commenced in 2003. Media outlets across the spectrum such as the Washington Post cheered the war . National Review dutifully did its part, labeling Pat Buchanan, Ron Paul, Justin Raimondo, Lew Rockwell, and other outspoken opponents of the invasion as "unpatriotic conservatives."

    Tragically, the American people never placed the burden of proof squarely with the war cheerleaders to justify their absolutely crazed effort to remake the Middle East. In hindsight, this is obvious, but at the time propaganda did its job. Disinformation is part and parcel of the fog of war.

    What will hindsight make clear about our reaction to COVID-19 propaganda? Will we regret shutting down the economy as much as we ought to regret invading Iraq?

    The cast of characters is different, of course: Trump, desperately seeking "wartime president" status; Dr. Anthony Fauci; epidemiologist Neil Ferguson; state governors such as Cuomo, Whitmer, and Newsom; and a host of media acolytes just itching to force a new normal down our throats. Like the Iraq War architects, they use COVID-19 as justification to advance a preexisting agenda, namely, greater state control over our lives and our economy. Yet because too many Americans remain stubbornly attached to the old normal, a propaganda campaign is required.

    So we are faced with a blizzard of new "facts" almost every day, most of which turn out to be only mildly true, extremely dubious, or plainly false:

    Again, much of this is not true and not even intended to be true -- but rather to influence public behavior and opinions. And again, the overwhelming burden of proof should lie squarely with those advocating a lockdown of society, who would risk a modern Great Depression in response to a simple virus.

    How much damage will the lockdown cause? Economics aside, the sheer toll of this self-inflicted wound will be a matter for historians to document. That toll includes all the things Americans would have done without the shutdown in their personal and professional lives, representing a diminution of life itself. Can that be measured, or distilled into numerical terms? Probably not, but this group of researchers and academics argues that we have already suffered more than one million "lost years of life" due to the ravages of unemployment, missed healthcare, and general malaise.

    By the same token, how do we measure the blood and treasure lost in Iraq? How much PTSD will soldiers suffer? How many billions of dollars in future VA medical care will be required? How many children will grow up without fathers? And how many millions of lives are forever shattered in that cobbled-together political artifice in the Middle East?

    Propaganda kills, but it also works. Politicians of all stripes will benefit from the coronavirus; the American people will suffer. Perversely, one of the worst COVID propagandists -- the aforementioned Governor Andrew Cuomo of New York -- yesterday rang the bell as the New York Stock Exchange reopened to floor trading. He now admits that the models were wrong and that his lockdown did nothing to prevent the Empire State from suffering the highest per capita deaths from COVID. Like the architects of the Iraq War, he belongs on a criminal docket. But thanks to propaganda, he is hailed as presidential.

    [May 27, 2020] The CDC Slashed The COVID-19 Fatality Rate To A Fraction Of Earlier Estimate Used To Justify Lockdowns

    May 27, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com

    Authored by Ryan McMaken via The Mises Institute,

    Governments throughout the world and across the US justified extreme, draconian, undemocratic, and unconstitutional (in most US states) "lockdown" and stay-at-home orders on the grounds that the COVID-19 virus was exceptionally fatal.

    In March, the World Health Organization (WHO) was claiming that the fatality rate was a very high 3.4 percent .

    Yet as time went on, it became increasingly clear that such high estimates were essentially meaningless because researchers had no idea how many people were actually infected with the disease. Tests were largely being conducted on those with symptoms serious enough to end up in emergency rooms or doctor's offices.

    By late April, many researchers were publishing new studies showing that the number of people with the disease was actually much higher than was previously thought. Thus, it became clear that the percentage of people with the disease who died from it suddenly became much smaller.

    Now, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has released new estimates suggesting that the real fatality rate is around 0.26 percent.

    Specifically, the report concludes that the "symptomatic case fatality ratio" is 0.4 percent. But that's just symptomatic cases. In the same report, the CDC also claims that 35 percent of all cases are asymptomatic.

    Or, as the Washington Post reported this week:

    The agency offered a "current best estimate" of 0.4 percent. The agency also gave a best estimate that 35 percent of people infected never develop symptoms. Those numbers when put together would produce an infection fatality rate of 0.26, which is lower than many of the estimates produced by scientists and modelers to date."

    Of course, not all scientists have been wrong on this. Back in March, Stanford scientist John Ioannidis was much, much closer to the CDC's estimate than the WHO. The Wall Street Journal noted in April :

    In a March article for Stat News, Dr. Ioannidis argued that Covid-19 is far less deadly than modelers were assuming. He considered the experience of the Diamond Princess cruise ship, which was quarantined Feb. 4 in Japan. Nine of 700 infected passengers and crew died. Based on the demographics of the ship's population, Dr. Ioannidis estimated that the U.S. fatality rate could be as low as 0.025% to 0.625% and put the upper bound at 0.05% to 1% -- comparable to that of seasonal flu.

    Not that this will settle the matter.

    Proponents of destroying human rights and the rule of law in order to carry out lockdowns will continue to insist that "we didn't know" what the fatality rate was back in March. The lack of evidence, however, didn't stop proponents of lockdowns from implementing policies that destroyed the ability of families to earn a living, and which also created social conditions that caused child abuse and suicides to spike.

    But for more sane people, extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. Those who have claimed that lockdowns are "the only option" had virtually no evidence at all to support their position. Indeed, such extreme over-the-top measures such as the general lockdowns required an extreme level of high-quality, nearly irrefutable evidence that lockdowns would work and were necessary in the face of a disease with an extremely high fatality rate. But the only "data" the prolockdown people could offer was speculation and hyperbolic predictions of bodies piling up in the streets.

    But that became politically unimportant.

    The people who wanted lockdowns had gained the obeisance of powerful people in government institutions and in the media . So actual data, science, or respect for human rights suddenly became meaningless. All that mattered was getting those lockdowns. So the lockdown crowd destroyed the lives of millions in the developed world -- and more than a hundred million in the developing world -- to satisfy the hunches of a tiny handful of politicians and technocrats.

    [May 26, 2020] Any "nationwide" statistics for the virus without exclusion of the NY metropolitan area for the USA is big fat lie. At least it is clear that it distorts the picture for the rest of the country.

    May 26, 2020 | angrybearblog.com
    1. likbez , May 26, 2020 7:48 pm

      How does that affect this specifically? What we see is that the US has a slower decline in cases than these other nations.

      My point is the form of the curve in the USA was partially distorted by the NY metropolitan areas with its huge and very specific problems and demographics. This area accounts for around 40% of cases.

      Death per million normalize the number of death for the population of the whole county and that's it.

      But my pint is that the USA is not homogeneous country and will never be.

      In this sense any "nationwide" statistics for the virus without exclusion of the NY metropolitan area for the USA is big fat lie. At least it is clear that it distorts the picture for the rest of the country.

      We have core inflation which exclude food and energy, why we can't have death without NY metropolitan area?

      Another important point that the number of death as a statistics is another one big and fat lie. Or at least is very suspect. I would like to stress that only the difference between number of death for the particular period and average for several previous years has scientific value. Not the absolute number.

      And what is interesting that for March 2020 COVID-19 epidemic was a lives saver. Such an interesting paradox.

      There are essentially two outcomes of COVID-19 -- one in this pneumonia does not develop, and the second in which virus pneumonia develops.

      The only way to die from the virus is to die from virus pneumonia or complications (including organs failures due to the lack of oxygen).

      Everything else (including gunshot wounds 😉 belongs to "with COVID-19" category and in the USA constitutes probably 80% of reported COVID-19 deaths. In other words, most of deaths reported are very sick people with significant percentage already of the death bed.

      For people at the end of their life scan coronavirus is often the last straw that break the camel back, so to speak. Cutting this lifespan for several months or a couple of years at best.

      And there is nothing special for this role of coronavirus. Flu acts exactly the same way: pneumonia as a flu complication is one of the most common ways for the old sick people to meet the creator.

      Unfortunately we know very little about conditions in which pneumonia develops (there are probably some generic markers in play as well as sex and a couple of other metrics ) other that the main victims are obese (often morbidly obese), diabetics (which in the USA is almost synonym with obesity) and hypertonics (those are intersecting categories).

      Chances for everybody else to get this (very dangerous indeed) virus pneumonia are approx. 100-1000 times less.

    [May 26, 2020] Death normalized to population zise (aka death per million)

    May 26, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    S , May 26 2020 18:23 utc | 75

    Britain has had the second highest number of deaths from Covid-19 so far, 36.875 according to the current count.

    Relative to population, it is currently only the fifth:

       #  Country         Deaths /
                          million
                          people
    
       1  San Marino         1,251
       2  Belgium              808
       3  Andorra              658
       4  Spain                570
       5  United Kingdom       557
       6  Italy                546
       7  France               424
       8  Sweden               390
       9  Netherlands          335
      10  Ireland              326
      11  United States        298
          ...
          Russia                25
          ...
          China                  3
    

    [May 26, 2020] CDC Confirms Remarkably Low Death Rate - Media Chooses To Ignore COVID-19 Realities -

    May 26, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com

    For the first time, the CDC has attempted to offer a real estimate of the overall death rate for COVID-19, and under its most likely scenario, the number is 0.26%.

    Officials estimate a 0.4% fatality rate among those who are symptomatic and project a 35% rate of asymptomatic cases among those infected, which drops the overall infection fatality rate (IFR) to just 0.26% - almost exactly where Stanford researchers pegged it a month ago.

    We destroyed our entire country and suspended democracy all for a lie, and these people perpetrated the unscientific degree of panic. Will they ever admit the grave consequences of their error?

    sybaris , 3 minutes ago remove link

    I believe the CDC has lied from the start, and will continue to lie for one goal in mind, making certain enough people fall ill to make any vaccine regiment they cook up mandatory (because of the sudden realization of bad numbers) do not trust a word these people say, they are proven liars. Sars 1 circa 2003 had a cfr of 15%, sars-cov-2 is a variant of the first one, in a year the true cfr will actually be known, sure as hell won't be known now with this limited data set, and that is why this seemingly good news is extremely deceptive......

    FinkPloyd, 52 minutes ago

    Caveats:

    § Estimates only include onset dates between March 1, 2020 – March 31, 2020 to ensure cases have had sufficient time to observe the outcome (hospital admission or death).

    ¶ Estimates only include hospital admission dates between March 1, 2020 – March 31, 2020 to ensure cases have had sufficient time to observe the outcome (hospital discharge or death).

    ** Estimates only include death dates between March 1, 2020 – March 31, 2020 to ensure sufficient time for reporting.

    This Scenario represents a current best estimate about viral transmission and disease severity in the United States, with the same caveat: that the parameter values will change as more data become available.

    Are not predictions of the expected effects of COVID-19.

    Flynt2142ahh, 1 hour ago (Edited)

    Weak dumb decaden society ... where to start - Intellectually lazy media and public plus weak analysis skills across board coupled with a culture that likes a quick fix and fast takes - you get snow-pocalypses that turn into light dustings with school closures that you and I know are total BS... and now you get fake pandemics. In a society that needs to ask if you are glutten free or are you non binary... or for some strange reason these upright walking sapiens need to "save" a billion year old planet from what I am not entirely sure of - cuz the math of those models is crap too -whoops said the quiet part out loud.. (last i checked it was not climate that blew up the world trade back on 9/11 ) ... losing faith in humanity here... and those in the media carrying water for the chicoms & W.H.O need to relocate to the China and enjoy their version of freedom and liberty..

    TruthDetector, 1 hour ago (Edited)

    “ We destroyed our entire country and suspended democracy all for a lie, and these people perpetrated the unscientific degree of panic ( for this plannedemic ).

    Will they ever admit the grave consequences of their error?”

    I’ve got a dollar that says the only substantive thing we’ll ever hear from the Fake Stream Media (FSM) is...

    ...🦗🎶🦗Crickets🦗🎶🦗...

    Any one willing to wager $1 against my prediction?

    Patmos, 1 hour ago remove link

    So basically it should have been what’s been known since very early on:

    Isolate the elderly and the infirm, maybe recommend masks as part of that protection plan especially if you’re going to be around that vulnerable subset, so that if you got it you don’t give it to them.

    Instead we got:

    Be very afraid, because the Bill Gates funded WHO said so, and oh yeah also take this vaccine which helps pad Bill Gates’ coffers.

    [May 26, 2020] Our society is now easily propagandized with fear

    May 26, 2020 | turcopolier.typepad.com

    Jack , 24 May 2020 at 05:10 PM

    Tyler,

    I agree with your conclusion.

    I'm not sure it is the 14th amendment that is the proximate cause. I would argue that the 17th amendment did more for centralization which IMO inevitably has led to the symbiotic relationship between big business and big government. A veritable oligarchy.

    I'm also not certain that it has to do with ideology either as there's not been any opposition to this centralization by either the left or right. While I get that "socialism" is the boogeyman for the right, the reality is that the biggest socialists are the ostensibly "capitalist" Wall St financiers who have socialized their speculative losses at every turn. Why are the "right" so silent to this when the scale is so gargantuan?

    IMO, the problem is much more deep rooted. It is societal. The attitudes and proclivities of our society began a dramatic and steady shift over the last 50 years and it has only accelerated. Values have changed and we see it across the board from our politics to our economy.

    Over the last 50 years, for example, the majority of food production, processing and distribution became consolidated into a handful of large corporations. All aspects of it from agricultural inputs to processing and distribution. This consolidation along with close financial relationships between these corporations and the political system has enabled massive corporate welfare and cartelization. Trump for example, has pushed massive taxpayer payments to the large multinational agribusinesses to the tune of hundreds of billions. So this is not an ideological divide. Both the left and right have enabled this under the rubric of supporting the "small family farm".

    Market consolidation has taken place in practically every segment with one of the most insidious being the consolidation in media. Couple that with Citizens United and the financialization of economy where financial speculation is where the biggest "wealth" creation takes place and we can see the erosion in our societal value system. From business to politics it's all about immediate personal gain.

    Where in history can we find a dominant power that voluntarily dismantled it's productive capacity to ship it to an enemy state? All so that the financial and political elite could personally gain in the short term. This can all be traced back to the trend of centralization, IMO.

    The wars we have fought in the past decades as well as our large garrisons around the world at tremendous cost both financially and in lives have brought what national benefit? We've been in Afghanistan for 19 years to what end? Military spending continues to rise not because there's a strategy but because of the huge benefits to the vested class. The massive expenditures on various boondoggles engendered by the financial gains for the few in the revolving door.

    As blue peacock noted in another thread and I agree wholeheartedly is that our society is now easily propagandized with fear. Both 9/11 and the Wuhan virus exemplifies how easily Americans will voluntarily support increased authoritarianism. Take for example the Patriot Act, where with the exception of one senator, everyone voted for it without any qualms on its implications for constitutionally protected civil liberties. And that senator, Russ Feingold was a Democrat. The authoritarians are counting on this partisan and faux ideological divide among the citizenry.

    Where does this lead? IMO, more authoritarianism. The constitution cannot be a bulwark when citizens no longer have the will to sacrifice and defend its precepts.

    Tyler , 24 May 202 0 at 09:41 PM
    Jack,

    Someone described the current situation as the Inner (Democrat) and Outer (Republican) Parties coming to parity, with identity politics (IDPOL) being pushed so hard because its not really giving up any of the real power...

    [May 24, 2020] 'How Could the CDC Make That Mistake?' The government's disease-fighting agency is conflating viral and antibody tests, compromising a few crucial metrics that governors depend on to reopen their economies. Pennsylvania, Georgia, Texas, and other states are doing the same.

    Notable quotes:
    "... "According to CDC, the disease of obesity affects about 78 million Americans 1 and the ASMBS estimates about 24 million have severe or morbid obesity." ..."
    May 24, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Richard Steven Hack , May 24 2020 23:54 utc | 46

    And the government botching of this crisis continues...

    'How Could the CDC Make That Mistake?' The government's disease-fighting agency is conflating viral and antibody tests, compromising a few crucial metrics that governors depend on to reopen their economies. Pennsylvania, Georgia, Texas, and other states are doing the same.
    https://tinyurl.com/y92ea59f

    And overseas as well...

    'Politicised nature' of lockdown debate delays Imperial report
    https://tinyurl.com/y7csboom

    And of course, the effect of that...

    Nearly half of US states haven't contained their coronavirus outbreaks, a new study finds
    https://tinyurl.com/yc72pd8t

    And no, Sweden is not doing better...

    Just 7.3% of Stockholm had Covid-19 antibodies by end of April, study shows
    Official findings add to concerns about Sweden's laissez-faire strategy towards the pandemic
    https://tinyurl.com/yahnmb3a

    Finally, a large scale study on HCQ - 86,000 patients, with 15,000 receiving HCQ...

    Trump drug hydroxychloroquine raises death risk in Covid patients, study says
    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-52779309

    The color of coronavirus:
    COVID-19 deaths by race and ethnicity in the U.S.
    https://www.apmresearchlab.org/covid/deaths-by-race

    Blacks are *twice* as likely to get it as whites and Latinos. American Indians are *five times* more likely to get it. They conclude the best indicator is poverty.

    From The Lancet, a study of New York patients... Epidemiology, clinical course, and outcomes of critically ill adults with COVID-19 in New York City: a prospective cohort study https://tinyurl.com/yblmszsx

    Between March 2 and April 1, 2020, 1150 adults were admitted to both hospitals with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19, of which 257 (22%) were critically ill.

    The median age of patients was 62 years (IQR 51–72), 171 (67%) were men. 212 (82%) patients had at least one chronic illness, the most common of which were hypertension (162 [63%]) and diabetes (92 [36%]).

    119 (46%) patients had obesity.

    As of April 28, 2020, 101 (39%) patients had died and 94 (37%) remained hospitalised.

    203 (79%) patients received invasive mechanical ventilation for a median of 18 days (IQR 9–28), 170 (66%) of 257 patients received vasopressors and 79 (31%) received renal replacement therapy.

    The median time to in-hospital deterioration was 3 days (IQR 1–6).

    In the multivariable Cox model, older age (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1·31 [1·09–1·57] per 10-year increase), chronic cardiac disease (aHR 1·76 [1·08–2·86]), chronic pulmonary disease (aHR 2·94 [1·48–5·84]), higher concentrations of interleukin-6 (aHR 1·11 [95%CI 1·02–1·20] per decile increase), and higher concentrations of D-dimer (aHR 1·10 [1·01–1·19] per decile increase) were independently associated with in-hospital mortality.

    Note: 36% had diabetes; 46% were fat. Like I've said before, "diabetes" is a code word for "fat." And how many people in the US are fat and thus at risk? "According to CDC, the disease of obesity affects about 78 million Americans 1 and the ASMBS estimates about 24 million have severe or morbid obesity."

    So much for "let's just isolate the elderly"...so we can attend our baseball games this summer and stuff ourselves with crap food...

    [May 24, 2020] Preliminary Estimate of Excess Mortality During the COVID-19 Outbreak -- New York City, March 11 May 2, 2020 MMWR

    May 24, 2020 | www.cdc.gov

    During March 11–May 2, 2020, a total of 32,107 deaths were reported to DOHMH; of these deaths, 24,172 (95% confidence interval = 22,980–25,364) were found to be in excess of the seasonal expected baseline. Included in the 24,172 deaths were 13,831 (57%) laboratory-confirmed COVID-19–associated deaths and 5,048 (21%) probable COVID-19–associated deaths, leaving 5,293 (22%) excess deaths that were not identified as either laboratory-confirmed or probable COVID-19–associated deaths ( Figure ).

    [May 22, 2020] Washington officials admit to counting GUNSHOT DEATHS in Covid-19 tally, say virus death toll likely underreported despite lapses

    Yes, gunshot wounds are clearly the ffect of the new coronavirus.
    May 22, 2020 | www.rt.com

    Health officials in Washington state said they are reassessing their Covid-19 fatality data, warning of underreported deaths.

    Even after noting that five people who died of gunshot wounds were inexplicably included in the figures.

    [May 22, 2020] Mortality due to COVID-19 in the USA

    May 22, 2020 | www.unz.com

    TRM , says: Show Comment Next New Comment May 21, 2020 at 10:53 pm GMT

    Connecticut and North Carolina are missing some weeks in 2020 (5 weeks & 3 weeks respectively). Pennsylvania is also negative but not missing any weeks. Interesting, I'll have to look into that.

    The entire USA is about 4.5% higher than the 4 year average.

    In some online discussions some were suggesting using "excess deaths" to see what effect the covid-19 disease is having and I thought that would be a reasonable approach as it gets past the deaths "with/from" issue.

    State 2016-19-Av 2020 Diff
    -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -
    Entire USA 915946 956410 40464

    California 88731 91453 2722
    Florida 65372 68427 3055
    Georgia 26955 27649 694
    Illinois 35539 38088 2549
    Massachusetts 19074 21800 2726
    Michigan 31957 35598 3640
    New Jersey 24525 32600 8075
    New York State 33187 39267 6079
    New York City 17614 35524 17910
    Pennsylvania 44275 37383 -6892

    All the data is from this CDC page:
    https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/fluview/mortality.html

    The script and all related files are here if you want to kick the tires:
    https://www.dropbox.com/sh/fh9x5fngmfbeiiu/AAAH-OtOMqiY_R9qqG6YccCRa?dl=0

    The script generates data for all 50 states plus DC and New York City (CDC treats it separately from New York State).

    I follow the advice of Ken Thompson, "When in doubt use brute force". The script is nothing fancy and dumps to file a lot as that is how I like to debug.

    I will be doing up a Powershell script for this as well so the Windows folks can run it natively if they don't have WSL2 or a Linux system around.

    [May 21, 2020] The most recent CDC COVID-19 mortality data

    May 21, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Don Bacon , May 19 2020 18:05 utc | 134

    From the most recent CDC COVID-19 mortality data report, Feb 1 to May 16:
    > US deaths 62,515 [which are inflated, and yet comparable to annual flu deaths]
    > US deaths from all causes – 97% of expected deaths. [i.e. no 'excess' deaths] . . here
    > The media currently reports 90,694 deaths which they get from Johns Hopkins. That's an organization which ought to be examined. CDC data is not used by the media, but CDC doesn't have a great record either:
    > CDC estimates that, from October 1, 2019, through March 28, 2020, there have been 24,000 – 63,000 flu deaths . . here
    > For 2017-2018, the CDC first estimated 80,000 flu deaths, then later reduced the estimate (their word) to 61,000.
    > In the news now: San Diego County California public health first reported 194 Covid deaths out of a population of 3.3 million. After autopsies and testing of tissue, health department reported only 6 of the 194 actually died of Covid.
    > Meanwhile the lives of millions of people of all ages have been adversely affected.
    > But hey, the banks have more money.

    [May 18, 2020] Rages Listening To Virus Experts Has Led To Death Despair by Ron Paul

    Notable quotes:
    "... On April 21st the Washington Post savaged Georgia governor Brian Kemp's decision to begin opening his state after locking down for weeks. "Georgia leads the race to become America's No. 1 Death Destination," sneered the headline. ..."
    "... Milbank, who is obviously still getting paid while millions are out of work, sees his job as pushing the mainstream narrative that we must remain in fear and never question what "experts" like Dr. Fauci tell us. ..."
    "... in places that are opening, we're not seeing this spike in cases. ..."
    "... Shutting down the entire United States over a virus that looks to be less deadly than an average flu virus – particularly among those under 80 who are not already sick – has resulted in mass unemployment and economic destruction. More Americans may die from the wrong-headed efforts to fight the virus than from the virus itself. ..."
    "... Americans should pause and reflect on the lies they are being sold. Masks are just a form of psychological manipulation. Many reputable physicians and scientists have said they are worthless and potentially harmful. Lockdowns are meant to condition people to obey without question. ..."
    May 18, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com

    Authored by Ron Paul via The Ron Paul Institute for Peace & Prosperity,

    On April 21st the Washington Post savaged Georgia governor Brian Kemp's decision to begin opening his state after locking down for weeks. "Georgia leads the race to become America's No. 1 Death Destination," sneered the headline.

    The author, liberal pundit Dana Milbank, actually found the possibility of Georgians dying to be hilarious, suggesting that, "as a promotion, Georgia could offer ventilators to the first 100 hotel guests to register."

    Milbank, who is obviously still getting paid while millions are out of work, sees his job as pushing the mainstream narrative that we must remain in fear and never question what "experts" like Dr. Fauci tell us.

    Well it's been three weeks since Milbank's attack on Georgia and its governor, predicting widespread death which he found humorous. His predictions are about as worthless as his character. Not only has Georgia not seen "coronavirus burn through Georgia like nothing has since William Tecumseh Sherman," as Milbank laughed, but Covid cases, hospitalizations, and deaths have seen a steep decline since the governor began opening the state.

    Maybe getting out in the fresh air and sunshine should not have been prohibited in the first place!

    In fact, as we now have much more data, it is becoming increasingly clear that the US states and the countries that locked down the tightest also suffered the highest death rates. Ultra locked-down Italy suffered 495 Covid deaths per million while relatively non-locked down South Korea suffered only five deaths per million. The same is true in the US, where non lockdown states like South Dakota were relatively untouched by the virus while authoritarian-led Michigan, New York, and California have been hardest hit.

    In those hardest hit states, we are now seeing that most of the deaths occurred in senior care facilities – after the governors ordered patients sick with Covid to leave the hospitals and return to their facilities. There, they infected their fellow residents who were most likely to have the multiple co-morbidities and advanced age that turned the virus into a death sentence. Will these governors be made to answer for this callous disregard for life?

    Yesterday, Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar admitted the obvious:

    " We are seeing that in places that are opening, we're not seeing this spike in cases."

    So why not open everything? Because these petty tyrants cannot stand the idea of losing the ability to push people around.

    Shutting down the entire United States over a virus that looks to be less deadly than an average flu virus – particularly among those under 80 who are not already sick – has resulted in mass unemployment and economic destruction. More Americans may die from the wrong-headed efforts to fight the virus than from the virus itself.

    Americans should pause and reflect on the lies they are being sold. Masks are just a form of psychological manipulation. Many reputable physicians and scientists have said they are worthless and potentially harmful. Lockdowns are meant to condition people to obey without question.

    A nation of people who just do what they are told by the "experts" without question is a nation ripe for a descent into total tyranny.

    This is no empty warning – it's backed up by history. Time to stand up to all the petty tyrants from our hometowns to Washington DC. It is time to reclaim our freedom.

    [May 16, 2020] The obvious shortcomings of the USA government reaction: no distributions of free masks, no temperature checks, no oxymeter checks, no retrofitted busses and other transportation to have individual air supplies, no retrofitting air conditioners

    Highly recommended!
    Notable quotes:
    "... > How about we follow WHO's rule zero: test, test and test? ..."
    "... Why the USA did not implemented entry/exist temperature checks (even at airports) I do not understand. The richest nation in the world has the government which is probably the most inept and disfunctional ..."
    "... It looks like this is mainly the disease of megacities and industries with closely packed people (ships, meatpacking plants, Amazon warepuses) . And a large part of large cities infrastructure such as subways and air-conditioned building, hotels and shops are ideal environment for spreading of the virus. ..."
    "... Another interesting feature of this virus is that it simply revealed how unhealthy the USA population generally is. For example, the epidemic of obesity now is tightly intermixed with the epidemic of COVID-19. Within the limits of the neoliberal social system very little can be done about it: for profit medicine makes is more fragile and create multiple avenue of abusing people. ..."
    May 16, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    likbez , May 16, 2020 at 19:42

    @vk | May 16 2020 15:52 utc | 108

    > How about we follow WHO's rule zero: test, test and test?

    Do you understand the cost of each test? Some data suggest that it is between $50 and $100. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-15/coronavirus-tests-from-labcorp-quest-will-cost-50-to-100

    Do you understand that the current polymerase tests have 20-30% of false positives?

    So if everybody in the USA is tested around 60-80 million people in the USA would be deemed infected. I suspect that a very large percentage of "asymptomatics" are in reality false positives.

    We need to distinguish between the necessary measures and fearmongering. I suspect that in the case of polymerase test the mantra "test, test, test" is close to the latter. This is s rather expensive test and money probably can be better spend distributing masks to the population. That would instantly give a larger effect. The simple measure that in the USA was not done. Just for that Fauci should be fired and probably tried, IMHO.

    The same is probably true with the distribution of oxymeters too: people with lows reading need oxygen. As simple as that. That probably will cut hospitalizations in half.

    My impression is that temperature and oxymeter testing might be a proxy for polymerase testing and much cheaper: if oxygen saturation is less then 90% the person need to be isolated/treated with oxygen

    Why the USA did not implemented entry/exist temperature checks (even at airports) I do not understand. The richest nation in the world has the government which is probably the most inept and disfunctional

    It looks like this is mainly the disease of megacities and industries with closely packed people (ships, meatpacking plants, Amazon warepuses) . And a large part of large cities infrastructure such as subways and air-conditioned building, hotels and shops are ideal environment for spreading of the virus.

    Even reasonable prophylactic measures do not work that well in large cities. Slums and homeless are and will be hotspots.

    Even at work enforcing prophylactic measures is non trivial. You need to change mask each 2 hours when you are working inside. How many people will do that ?

    I think there is not way out other then clench your teeth and go forward adapting the behavior as new information about the virus emerge.

    For example individual supply of air in planes, trains and buses (which existed in old planes and some buses ) might be an important psychological (and with better filters medical) measure required.

    Also Cruise ships "experiments" suggest that only around 20% of population is susceptible to the virus. Even among Wuhan medics who started working with coronavirus patients without wearing protective equipment only around half got the disease. The simplistic assumption that 100% of people is susceptible is just a myth propagated by fearmongers for fun and profit.

    Another interesting feature of this virus is that it simply revealed how unhealthy the USA population generally is. For example, the epidemic of obesity now is tightly intermixed with the epidemic of COVID-19. Within the limits of the neoliberal social system very little can be done about it: for profit medicine makes is more fragile and create multiple avenue of abusing people.

    [May 16, 2020] Charlatans in US government is another hidden epidemic: meet Barbara Ferrer, The Social Justice Warrior With No Medical Background Leading LA's COVID Response

    This reminds be Bolsheviks in Soviet Russia
    May 16, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com
    she is truly sorry for the error, and the ensuing public furor she accidentally unleashed.

    ... ... ...

    As KABC's John Phillips shared on his radio show Wednesday, the good doctor's educational resume, according to a bio published at USC, where she was recently a panelist at a "Safe Schools" symposium, reveals she received her Ph.D. in Social Welfare from Brandeis University, a Master of Arts in Public Health from Boston University, a Master of Arts in Education from the University of Massachusetts, and a Bachelor of Arts in Community Studies from UC Santa Cruz.

    None of these disciplines are rooted in the sciences - rather, it appears the good doctor's "public health" background doesn't include any specialization in actual medical care, or epidemiology. This woman probably knows about as much as the discipline as the average Californian who has spent the last couple of months on Wikipedia.

    However, as the LA Times reports, Ferrer has somehow found her way into a role where she is the top public health officer in a county of 10 million people. Keep in mind, she has no actual medical background, but despite this, she's found herself in the middle of "every tough conversation about which businesses and institutions have to shut down, whether public and private hospitals are equipped and prepared to handle a possible surge" and what precautions individuals can take to protect their health.

    Her role for the county is essentially equivalent to that of Dr. Fauci at the White house. Except Dr. Ferrer isn't a doctor, she's a professional social justice warrior. However, as the LA Times reports, Ferrer has somehow found her way into a role where she is the top public health officer in a county of 10 million people. Keep in mind, she has no actual medical background, but despite this, she's found herself in the middle of "every tough conversation about which businesses and institutions have to shut down, whether public and private hospitals are equipped and prepared to handle a possible surge" and what precautions individuals can take to protect their health.

    Her role for the county is essentially equivalent to that of Dr. Fauci at the White house. Except Dr. Ferrer isn't a doctor, she's a professional social justice warrior.

    As Red State points out, when Dr. Ferrer was put in charge of solving the homelessness epidemic in LA County, her game plan 100% focused on "community outreach". "We need to start this work by speaking directly with those experiencing homelessness to better understand how to align our support," she said.

    That's right: Dr. Ferrer's one-size-fits-all plan for solving homelessness started with talking to a demographic group where those with severe mental health disorders and substance-abuse problems represent an overwhelming share of the population. Dr. Ferrer's approach to help improve the lives of the homeless was to talk to a bunch of schizophrenics and drug addicts about government policy, as Red State pointed out.

    Does this woman sound qualified to be one of a handful of people in the room making decisions that will impact the livelihoods and health of millions of people? If we lived in LA County, we certainly wouldn't be comfortable with that.

    [May 16, 2020] I know it does not fit the fear agenda but COVID-19 disruption present much higher threat to children then CODIV-19 itself.

    May 16, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    ted01 , May 16 2020 0:17 utc | 32

    Australia - deaths from Covid-19

    Total - 98 (15/05/2020)

    0-39 = 0
    40-49 = 1
    50-59 = 2
    60-69 = 11
    70-79 = 31
    80-89 = 34
    90+ = 19

    Australian Government Dept. of Health

    I know it does not fit the fear agenda.

    As the lockdown has been eased in most Australian states there have been zero announcements on additional protections for the elderly & infirm.

    Why are the Federal & state governments doing nothing but the most basic measures to ensure the safety of the elderly & infirm?

    fairleft , May 16 2020 2:37 utc | 37

    Yes, Ken Garoo @26, the fearmongers have blood on their hands, not just in the UK, and this is a massive life-and-death crisis. More evidence, from another unimpeachable source various MoA stalwarts will now have to claim is a hack:

    Unicef warns lockdown could kill more than Covid-19 as model predicts 1.2 million child deaths
    Subhead: 'Indiscriminate lockdowns' are an ineffective way to control Covid and could contribute to a 45 per cent rise in child mortality

    "...According to a stark report published in Lancet Global Health journal on Wednesday, almost 1.2 million children could die in the next six months due to the disruption to health services and food supplies caused by the coronavirus pandemic.

    "The modelling, by researchers at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Unicef, found that child mortality rates could rise by as much as 45 per cent due to coronavirus-related disruptions, while maternal deaths could increase by almost 39 per cent.

    "Dr [Stefan Peterson, chief of health at UNICEF] said these figures were in part a reflection of stringent restrictions in much of the world that prevent people leaving their homes without documentation, preventing them from accessing essential health care services. ...

    "...Covid is not a children's disease. Yes there are rare instances and we see them publicised across the media. But pneumonia, diarrhoea, measles, death in childbirth, these are the reasons we will see deaths rise."

    [May 16, 2020] Watch UK Chief Medic Confirms That COVID-19 Is Harmless To Vast Majority

    May 16, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com

    Authored by Catte Black via Off-Guardian.org,

    From the beginning of this crisis we have been pointing out that there are two mutually contradictory messages at the heart of the covid19 rollout , and, just as Orwell describes in 1984, a major point of the exercise seems to be to get people to believe both at the same time .

    1. 'BE AFRAID '

    The first message is that covid19 is terrifying, unique, an existential threat to the human race.

    This message is never sourced to much fact, because the facts about the virus don't really support it. If it cites anything solid it's the appallingly sloppy and discredited Imperial computer model, or some generic research into the pathology of severe infections or rare viral syndromes, which it tries to spin as being unique to covid19, even though it is not. But mostly it doesn't cite anything at all. Or really claim anything at all.

    It just tells people to be afraid. Very afraid. Of death, of uncertainty, of the 'virus', of other people, of 'fake news'.

    The fear being encouraged is not rooted in facts, and is therefore impervious to them.

    2. 'THERE IS NOTHING TO BE AFRAID OF '

    The second message is that covid19 is actually pretty harmless and no big deal.

    This message is rooted in a great deal of fact, because, as we have been pointing out since day one, pretty much all the data coming out about this virus supports exactly this conclusion.

    No official body has ever denied this, and most of them readily admit it. Regularly and unambiguously. Here and here and here and here .

    Chris Whitty above is only one of many and this is not even his first go (see here ) at explaining clearly that covid19 is only dangerous to a very very small minority of people, and that most who get it will be just fine.

    https://www.youtube.com/embed/adj8MCsZKlg

    Here's a slide from his talk on April 30th:

    Now, let's look at what he is saying in the above video, on May 11th [our emphasis]:

    [T]he great majority of people will not die from this and I'll just repeat something I said right at the beginning because I think it's worth reinforcing :

    Most people, a significant proportion of people, will not get this virus at all, at any point of the epidemic which is going to go on for a long period of time.

    Of those who do, some of them will get the virus without even knowing it, they will have the virus with no symptoms at all, asymptomatic carriage, and we know that happens.

    Of those who get symptoms, the great majority, probably 80%, will have a mild or moderate disease. Might be bad enough for them to have to go to bed for a few days, not bad enough for them to have to go to the doctor.

    An unfortunate minority will have to go as far as hospital, but the majority of those will just need oxygen and will then leave hospital.

    And then a minority of those will end up having to go to severe end critical care and some of those sadly will die.

    But that's a minority, it's 1% or possibly even less than 1% overall.

    And even in the highest risk group this is significantly less than 20%, ie. the great majority of people, even the very highest groups, if they catch this virus, will not die.

    And I really wanted to make that point really clearly

    It seems all the officials want 'to make that point really clearly', even while they behave as if it was not true.

    Why?

    There's plenty of room for speculation there, and we leave it to readers to get into that BTL.

    The motives, though, are less important than the basic and undeniable fact – the fear currently gripping the public mind is being simultaneously encouraged and acknowledged as unnecessary by the bodies overseeing the 'response'.

    And if enough people would wake up to the pea-and-thimble trick being pulled on them, then the most dangerous and far-reaching coup against human liberty we have ever seen would essentially be stopped in its tracks.

    [May 14, 2020] About the distinction "of COVID-19" and "with COVID-19"

    May 14, 2020 | crookedtimber.org

    Hidari 05.06.20 at 4:22 pm 9 ( 9 )

    @8

    The distinction between 'with' and 'of' is self-evident bullshit, if you just think about HIV and how it acts and what it does.

    You just need to think it through: how could you possibly tell the difference?

    Lots of semi-educated, semi-smart people are drawing this tenuous distinction vis a vis Covid-19 that they would not dare to do with any other disease ('Oh no the real cause of his illness was Kaposi sarcoma. It just happened to be an unfortunate coincidence that the patient was HIV positive as well'.)

    In any case, there was an actuary in a twitter thread I have now lost the addy for, who pointed out that actuaries make decisions about this 'distinction' all the time, it is literally their job. And the reality is that even for very old Covid-19 sufferers who die, they are still losing a non-trivial number of years in terms of their lifespan, maybe up to 8 or 9 years.

    hix 05.06.20 at 5:20 pm ( 10 )
    Just look at excess death rates – they are at least as bad as the covid numbers, there is no overcounting whatsoever going on in the UK. What is going on is very slow reporting of non hospital covid death.
    Anarcissie 05.06.20 at 5:37 pm ( 11 )
    @4 -- or more directly, https://existentialcomics.com/comic/259
    Jim Harrison 05.06.20 at 5:51 pm ( 12 )
    Just for the record, has the Department of Public Health ever taken the lead or even participated significantly in the establishment of a despotic regime? First they told us to eat more broccoli; and next thing you know, they're telling us we're going to be deloused.
    Alex 05.06.20 at 11:17 pm ( 13 )
    @Quentin The "dying with, not of" is pretty much moot given that all-cause mortality in England and Wales is twice normal. The Financial Times has a write up, but there's no way to explain that away as mislabeling existing deaths. There's a lot of people who live 50 years or more with high blood pressure or diabetes. They didn't just all die this month for no reason.
    Moz in Oz 05.07.20 at 12:04 am ( 14 )

    The UK is generous with its death figures

    But it does not test all deaths and only counts those who had a positive test result. I've seen more complaints about likely undercounting than overcounting.

    Vahid Friedrich 05.07.20 at 12:41 am ( 15 )
    Here is a great example of the freedom to work. https://www.10tv.com/article/reopened-restaurant-told-workers-dont-wear-face-masks-or-dont-work-2020-may
    Collin Street 05.07.20 at 2:13 am ( 16 )
    The UK is generous with its death figures: it counts those who die with Coronavirus, not those who die of it. That's a nice but important distinction.

    Not many car accidents in the respiratory ER, I thought.

    The distinction between "with" and "of" matters very much for chronic conditions. A lot of cancers are extremely slow-growing, for example; a 90-yo with early stage prostate cancer is statistically likely to die of something fast-acting -- a car accident, a lung infection -- years before the prostate cancer becomes a problem. The thing-that-kills-you has to be faster-acting than the thing-that-will-kill-you-if-you-live-long-enough. But COVID-19 is an acute condition, actually pretty fast-acting: there's not a huge lot that kills you faster than a lung infection. Major trauma? Septicemia, dehydration? If you're working at a meatworks and you have COVID-19 and you get decapitated, that's "with not of", but that looks to me like we're talking about tiny numbers, and you've just claimed that that's an important distinction.

    I don't think that that distinction is important. It's potentially non-zero, a source of error that might potentially be significant but on the face of it that potential is so small as to be ludicrous rather than important. You think otherwise, strongly enough to bother to write a comment: please, explain to me what lead you to think that. Show me I'm wrong.

    hix 05.07.20 at 9:18 am ( 17 )
    Regarding over/undercounting in general. There are just no standardiced rules for counting. Every nation, sometimes every region does it´s own thing, with a wild mix of aspects that under and overcount, or just delay reporting of some death. Overall overcounting (compared to excess death rates, there is no objective rule whom to count anyway) seems to be very rare, maybe Belgium?
    Here is a nice graphic tool with weekly excess mortality data, they sure look particular ugly in the UK:
    https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps#excess-mortality
    bianca steele 05.07.20 at 1:36 pm ( 18 )
    If the infection rate in big cities and institutions is as high as some studies have suggested (1/3 by some reports), counting "deaths by Covid-19" as "presumed deaths" + "positive tests at death" will obviously be inaccurate. There are other reasons to count asymptomatic infections.

    If people like the form of argument "basically P, but it's more complicated than that, for reason A, and B, and I think that's enough reasons, may as well just assert that P," I guess I'm not going to stop them. Maybe they're right and I'm wrong. It's not like anyone's willing to pay me to do it my way.

    Collin Street 05.07.20 at 2:40 pm ( 19 )
    If the infection rate in big cities and institutions is as high as some studies have suggested (1/3 by some reports), counting "deaths by Covid-19" as "presumed deaths" + "positive tests at death" will obviously be inaccurate

    I am forced to admit that I was approaching this problem with the perspective of the situation we have in australia, where the disease is still very rare.

    [which is to say much of what I said and implied is wrong, for which I apologise.]

    [May 14, 2020] The virus may mostly kill older people - but it's because of the co-morbidities which almost *half* of US adults suffer from it his most age groups

    May 14, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Richard Steven Hack , May 13 2020 9:14 utc | 216

    Here's Who's Dying From Covid-19 in the United States
    Data and new research reveal all age groups are at risk, from children to middle age and beyond
    https://tinyurl.com/y8ch67qk
    "We estimated that 45.4% of U.S. adults are at increased risk for complications from coronavirus disease because of cardiovascular disease, diabetes, respiratory disease, hypertension, or cancer," according to a new analysis from the CDC. Those at elevated risk include 19.8% of people age 18 to 29 and 80.7% for people over age 80.

    As I've pointed out before, the virus may mostly kill older people - but it's because of the co-morbidities which almost *half* of US adults suffer from. More than 25 million Americans have asthma. This is 7.7 percent of adults and 8.4 percent of children. Currently, there are about 6.2 million children under the age of 18 with asthma. Granted, most of them probably never will get this virus - but those who do...


    Separately, a new study of children with Covid-19 admitted to pediatric intensive care units in the United States and Canada concludes that while the overall severity of symptoms in the children was "far less than that documented in adults Covid-19 can result in a significant disease burden in children." According to the research, published in JAMA Pediatrics, 40 of the 48 children, ranging in age from four to 16, had underlying medical conditions. Two of them died, and three remain on ventilators. /BLOCKQUOTE> Assuming the three on ventilators die, that's five out of 48 - ten percent.

    So much for the "we can let the old people die" meme. No one wants to claim a willingness to let kids die to re-open the economy.

    [May 13, 2020] 92% Of Cook County COVID-19 Victims Had Pre-Existing Condition

    Notable quotes:
    "... The medical examiner's database showed COVID-19 as the primary cause of death for 2,303 people. Of those, 2,112 were shown to have at least one underlying condition as a secondary cause of death. Those conditions, also known as comorbidities, included hypertension, diabetes, obesity and heart disease. There were no secondary causes reported for 191 deaths. ..."
    "... For months, Illinois residents have lived in fear, a fear that has been exacerbated by a lack of transparency and open reporting from the state. ..."
    May 13, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com

    Authored by Ted Dabrowski and John Klingner via Wirepoints.org,

    A Wirepoints analysis of COVID-19 deaths from the Cook County Medical Examiner's office reveals that 92 percent of victims from the virus had pre-existing medical conditions.

    The medical examiner's database showed COVID-19 as the primary cause of death for 2,303 people. Of those, 2,112 were shown to have at least one underlying condition as a secondary cause of death. Those conditions, also known as comorbidities, included hypertension, diabetes, obesity and heart disease. There were no secondary causes reported for 191 deaths.

    ... ... ...

    Hypertension affected 1,070 victims, or more than 46 percent of all deaths. Diabetes impacted 973 victims, or 42 percent of the total. Pulmonary disease was part of 397 deaths, or 17 percent. And 215 of those deaths, about 9 percent, were accompanied by obesity or morbid obesity.

    Yet others had conditions including cancer and cardiovascular and kidney diseases. The numbers above add up to more than 100 percent because many victims had more than one pre-existing condition.

    ,,, ,,, ,,,

    What’s stark about the Cook comorbidity data is just how few young adults die from COVID-19 in the absence of some pre-existing condition. Just 3 of the 15 deaths in the 20-29 age bracket had no comorbidities. Same goes for the 30-39 and 40-49 age brackets, where just 26 of the 132 deaths were accompanied with no underlying causes.

    Even more, almost 50 percent of all Illinois deaths have been tied to long-term care facilities, the subject of an upcoming Wirepoints piece. That means nearly 1,600 deaths occurred outside the general public.

    For months, Illinois residents have lived in fear, a fear that has been exacerbated by a lack of transparency and open reporting from the state.

    [May 12, 2020] With politics (the November election), scapegoating, the economic depression and the fall of the Western Empire very much involved, finding impartial scientific COVID-19 information is near impossible

    May 12, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    VietnamVet , May 12 2020 0:29 utc | 56

    With politics (the November election), scapegoating, the economic depression and the fall of the Western Empire very much involved, finding impartial scientific COVID-19 information is near impossible. This site is the best you'll find but, no doubt, it and the comments are colored by our human biases.

    A factor never mentioned in corporate press is that healthcare in the USA is privatized. All that matters is profits. The only thing that would get any attention at all is a significant cluster of deaths. Three were reported in mid-2019 in a nursing home in Northern Virginia. The 68 Vaping deaths came and went when vitamin E acetate was identified as a possible culprit. With both, there was no exponential growth of illness and death like the coronavirus outbreak. In fact, clusters of deaths don't matter to the corporate elite. Boeing killed 346 people. The around 0.1% fatality rate of COVID-19 with a functional healthcare system is touted as justification for ending the lockdown. That will kill about a million and half Americans without mitigation. This is of no matter to the White House, Republicans and apparently corporate Democrats. Without spending the money and instituting national public health measures to test everyone, trace contacts and quarantine the infected in safe secure facilities; the pandemic will wax and wane and spread to every corner of North America. Lockdowns will keep popping up to prevent local hospitals from being overwhelmed by all the sick; rich, middle-class and mostly poor. America will be a very ill society for the foreseeable future.

    I wouldn't be surprised that a contagious former bat coronavirus made it into a human population earlier in 2019. A virulent form appeared in Wuhan China that swamped the city's hospitals and a third even more deadly mutation occurred in Lombardy, Italy. Any study that hinders the out of China propaganda will likely ignored by politicians and the media. They really want to hide the truth. To try keep things as they were.

    [May 10, 2020] Suspicion And Skepticism Are Vaccines For Deception

    May 10, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com

    Authored by Doug "Uncola" Lynn via TheBurningPlatform.com,

    "Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities. "

    - Voltaire

    I once read a definition of psychological depression as a result of anger and fatigue. That seems about right. Personally, I'm sick of COVID-19 dominating the headlines and I definitely have inner rage at the magic spell that's been cast over society. And it is a magic spell. Or an ill wind, if you prefer. Except tracking the source of a voodoo curse, or determining where a breeze began, might be easier than identifying the many variables of this planned-demic . Truly, the overwhelming information is difficult to process on any given day.

    Last week, I read an article describing how COVID-19 is a hoax propagandized by the media and, a few minutes later, I watched a video of a survival expert (whom I very much respect) chastise those who are not taking COVID-19 seriously as a genuine health threat.

    Then, I was informed of an acquaintance dying from coronavirus. I knew the man personally and the last time we spoke he was telling me about his new girlfriend. His death was deemed notable enough to have a write-up included into the COVID-19 series of a national newspaper; and that's how I learned he died – when someone sent me the link. I'll also say he was in his seventies and his blood pressure was so high his eyes were constantly bloodshot.

    So did he die with COVID-19 or from COVID-19? Yes, he did.

    Indeed, lots of variables to consider. And it's tricky because health policies are a matter of public concern AND private responsibility. It's why considering the variables requires balance and common sense. Yet, unsurprisingly, it's become obvious COVID-19 has been politicized by some and even commandeered by others for purposes of power consolidation and achieving authoritarian goals.

    Certainly, the virus doesn't need to be devastatingly lethal in order to accomplish the objectives of the globalists. At any given time, the ship of state progresses via (what I have designated as) the "Bulbous Bow of Confusion" , or, rather, competing narratives.

    Two physicians who own five urgent care locations in Kern County California recently posted a viral YouTube video citing their own COVID-19 data and calling for an end to the draconian lockdowns. Their names are Dr. Dan Erickson and Dr. Artin Massihi and the data they compiled acted as a "resistance wave" to countermand the official narrative put forth by ( as I've identified in past articles ) the likes of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), World Health Organization (WHO), The Gates Foundation, John Hopkins University, and UK's The Guardian.

    Yet, today, if you click on any previous articles where the doctors' viral videos were once posted you will see they've been taken down; and even their other videos queued in the threads of the articles have been transitioned into dead links by our benefactors at YouTube.

    Truly, censorship is the validation of ideas as the most powerful force on earth; because if you now search for the two doctors by name on YouTube, you will find a video stamped with the Washington Post logo describing "What Dan Erickson and Artin Massihi get wrong about coronavirus" .

    Meanwhile, The Guardian, whose entire Global Development section is underwritten by the Gates Foundation , describes how scientists have found more evidence that Coronavirus can travel on air pollution particles .

    Scary, huh?

    Especially, when considering how another Gates Foundation subsidiary , the World Health Organization (WHO), has warned the worst of the virus is still ahead and that "people will need to get used to a new way of living" .

    To be sure, the billionaires are committed. They can't go back now and this is why they are on full offense in the narrative war. It means no expense will be spared in the media onslaught until every person in the world fears COVID-19 being spread from cats and farts . It's also why various treatments are claimed to be ineffective and only the five innovations proposed by the New American King should be considered:

    [Bill Gates] said the innovations needed to come in five areas: treatments, vaccines, testing, contact tracing, and policies for reopening the economy.

    But what about Trump? He is still the U.S. President, right?

    In past postings, I've exhaustively considered Trump as a possible "movie" or "reality TV show". My article entitled "Personal Politics, Public Impeachment, Persuasion and Post-Apocalyptic Planning" also discussed how the Military Industrial Complex has NOT grown weaker in the decades since Eisenhower and Kennedy – and, in fact, cited the trend of its growing strength from Abe Lincoln through the creation of the Federal Reserve, and Woodrow Wilson, onward.

    I've additionally speculated in previous writings President Trump as one of the following:

    1.) The Real Deal – fighting the Dark Lords out of love of country

    2.) Being used by the Dark Powers unwittingly

    3.) A Judas Goat

    At this point in time, it appears the possibility of # 1 is fading, if not having been completely debunked as of this writing.

    So, given #'s 2 & 3 above, I've previously questioned if Trump was elected as a " bleeding of the brake lines " prior to the " big stop " (i.e. end of America).

    Therefore, what if the Trump Reality TV Show® was meant to demonstrate the sheer power of "The Controllers" and their ability to convert the globe into One World under Communism? And, furthermore, what if the 2016 Presidential Election was staged to illustrate to all nations the futility of resistance?

    Consider the waves that have crashed upon Trump's shores over the past four years: Russiagate/Mueller, Ukrainian Impeachment, and, now, COVID-19. Each of these consecutive waves were increasingly consequential from a historical perspective.

    Is the war to "drain-the-swamp" real? Because, if not, the battle lines have been made clear and the tech gods have cataloged our IP addresses.

    Which brings us back to Bill Gates: His digital fingerprints are all over the COVID-19 virus because, in the years prior, Gates worked to strategically monopolize global health including research , governance , and reporting . In addition, his dirty hands have reached into online data, U.S. intelligence, mainstream media, the GAVI Vaccine Alliance , and Microsoft's ID2020 digital ID initiative. Plus, the Gates Foundation has donated the most private money to the World Health Organization (WHO), subsidized the October 2019 "Event 201" pandemic exercise , and even sponsored an event that was labeled communist propaganda – the globally televised "Together at Home" elitist infomercial ;

    Since the United States recently suspended its payments to the WHO, the organization's biggest contributor is now the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. Another major contributor to the WHO is the GAVI Alliance (formerly the Global Alliance for Vaccines and Immunisation). Both of these organizations are also part of ID2020, an organization that is advocating for the use of vaccines to implement a global digital ID system using tattoos or microchips.

    And just as the company Gates founded (Microsoft) recently released, and then recalled, a "luciferian" advertisement starring "spirit-cooking" priestess Marina Abramović , the Gates' World Health Organization (WHO) mandates have allowed "heroes" to arrest mothers on playgrounds in front of their children .

    Honestly, it really does add an entirely fresh perspective on the words of Isaiah 5:20 :

    "Woe to those who call evil good, and good evil; Who put darkness for light, and light for darkness; Who put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!"

    Now, paradoxically, a new bioluminescent vaccine is making headlines. If you can believe this it's called "Luciferase" and it can store vaccination history through a new dye made available with MIT research funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation .

    Wow, that was fast, huh?

    Or was it planned? And for those who would say it was planned, would you call them "conspiracy theorists"? But, seriously, is it really conspiracy if it's all been published ?

    Because, over the decades, it has become quite evident that wealthy individuals, influential families, and powerful organizations and corporations have coopted nation-states in order to unite the globe. World War I delivered the League of Nations and World War II brought about the United Nations. Since then, the billionaire round-table groups have only grown more interconnected as Davos Men planned and the Bilderberg's conspired .

    The modern era has progressed by committee; and to the giant sucking sounds as predicted by former presidential candidate Ross Perot.

    In 2010, the Rockefeller Foundation and the Global Business Network drafted a document entitled " Scenarios for the Future of Technology and International Development " which outlined the following potential plans schemes through 2030: " Lock Step ", " Clever Together ", " Hack Attack ", and " Smart Scramble ".

    The first link below is a 54-page (2.29 MB sized) PDF file. Even if the Bill Gates' inspired MS Windows gives you a virus warning, just know the file can be viewed (or downloaded) with no issues. Or, if you would rather watch a one-hour, forty-two-minute video presentation, just click on link # 2 below:

    1.) PDF FILE: Scenarios for the Future of Technology and International Development

    2.) VIDEO (1:42:34): COVID – LOCKDOWN – GLOBAL BANKRUPTCY – the PLAN

    Note that on page 18 of the PDF (#1 above), the "Lock Step" scenario describes a 2012 pandemic leading to a global economic collapse followed by oppressive authoritarian controls:

    In 2012, the pandemic that the world had been anticipating for years finally hit. Unlike 2009's H1N1, this new influenza strain -- originating from wild geese -- was extremely virulent and deadly. Even the most pandemic-prepared nations were quickly overwhelmed when the virus streaked around the world The pandemic also had a deadly effect on economies: international mobility of both people and goods screeched to a halt, debilitating industries like tourism and breaking global supply chains. Even locally, normally bustling shops and office buildings sat empty for months, devoid of both employees and customers.

    . The United States' initial policy of "strongly discouraging" citizens from flying proved deadly in its leniency, accelerating the spread of the virus not just within the U.S. but across borders. However, a few countries did fare better -- China in particular. The Chinese government's quick imposition and enforcement of mandatory quarantine for all citizens, as well as its instant and near-hermetic sealing off of all borders, saved millions of lives, stopping the spread of the virus far earlier than in other countries and enabling a swifter post-pandemic recovery.

    China's government was not the only one that took extreme measures to protect its citizens from risk and exposure. During the pandemic, national leaders around the world flexed their authority and imposed airtight rules and restrictions, from the mandatory wearing of face masks to body-temperature checks at the entries to communal spaces like train stations and supermarkets. Even after the pandemic faded, this more authoritarian control and oversight of citizens and their activities stuck and even intensified. In order to protect themselves from the spread of increasingly global problems -- from pandemics and transnational terrorism to environmental crises and rising poverty -- leaders around the world took a firmer grip on power.

    At first, the notion of a more controlled world gained wide acceptance and approval. Citizens willingly gave up some of their sovereignty -- and their privacy -- to more paternalistic states in exchange for greater safety and stability. Citizens were more tolerant, and even eager, for top-down direction and oversight, and national leaders had more latitude to impose order in the ways they saw fit. In developed countries, this heightened oversight took many forms: biometric IDs for all citizens, for example, and tighter regulation of key industries whose stability was deemed vital to national interests.

    Sound familiar? Because this was the dialectic with which we were presented: " Herd Immunity® " (an Orwellian term befitting cattle) or " Continuous" COVID-19®. And what did American's chose? They picked " continuous ", Alex, for $1,200 per U.S. citizen. And as we Flattened the Curve ®, the CDC broadcasted concerns regarding second waves of coronaviruses as telescreens the world over warned of mutant strains of coronaviruses more contagious than the original .

    Yes. Both Coronavirus®, and Big Brother, Incorporated have marched forward unencumbered.

    But as people sheltered in their homes they saw "conservative" Never-Trumpers weaponize the ghost of Ronald Reagan against the Bad Orange Man® with a video entitled "Mourning in America" . It was too cute by half. Then, fortunately, as the world remained mystified by "covid toes" , the president tweeted back at the Never-Trump "losers" in the most ingenious and gratifying ways.

    And Trump is just getting warmed up. No doubt his Zoom® debates with Biden are bound to be hilarious. Unless Whistleblowergate Part Deux is the silver-bullet that will stop the Bad Orange Man® once and for all?

    (CNN) Dr. Rick Bright, the ousted director of the office involved in developing a coronavirus vaccine, formally filed an extensive whistleblower complaint Tuesday alleging his early warnings about the coronavirus were ignored and that his caution at a treatment favored by President Donald Trump led to his removal.

    For the Democrats, the future looks "Bright", no?

    In my previous article entitled "On Used Cars, Haircuts, and Buyers Beware" , I referenced "Hegelian Polemics" and therein linked an article entitled "Hegelian Dialectic: A Tool To Enslave Humanity" .

    What I found interesting in that article is how it identified "opposing sides" (i.e. opposites) as "capstones" on the bottom of the "pyramid" – with the top capstone (eye) as representative of the final action:

    The chess board is a well-known Masonic or Hegelian symbol, the black and white squares symbolize control through duality in the grand game of life in all aspects. Left or right, white or black people, conservative or liberal, democrat or republican, Christian or Muslim and so on. Through two opposing parties control is gained as both parties reach the same destination, which is order through guided conflict or chaos.

    Left (thesis) versus right (antithesis) equals middle ground or control (synthesis). The triangle and all seeing eye we see so often symbolizes the completion of the great work

    The pyramid is supported by the bottom opposing sides. The capstone at the top is established through controlled solution or middle ground.

    In my piece entitled "On Channel Surfing, Circus Acts, and Time Passages" , I discussed the 1927 movie "Metropolis" as a favorite of the occult. The words that appear on the screen at the end of that film are these:

    THE MEDIATOR BETWEEN THE HEAD AND HANDS MUST BE THE HEART!

    A 2010 article posted on TheVigilantCitizen.com speculated on the "mediator" as the electronic media which manipulates the plebes (workers) on behalf of the head (controllers).

    To be sure, the Modern Centralizers craft their new realities by means of the Orwellian Media. It's why they call it programming . And what better way to manipulate the emotions (hearts) of people than by fiction and fear?

    With that in mind, I now call your attention to the below video link of the opening ceremonies for the 2012 Olympics:

    The Complete London 2012 Opening Ceremony | London 2012 Olympic Games

    If one cares to click that link and view the segment shown between the 45 and 55 minute marks, they will see what appears to be a staged viral pandemic. The drama takes place beneath black pyramids malevolently towering over the stadium (and the crowd) and ends with the appearance of a giant, creepy-looking baby; or maybe a still-birth – it's hard to tell.

    At the 45 to 47 minute mark, we see kids in hospital beds surrounded by dancing nurses and doctors. At around the 47:30 mark, the medical staff/dancers put the kids to bed and with fingers over their months, urging silence. What appears to be a giant virus then appears center-stage at the around the 48 minute mark.

    Then, around the 49 minute mark, Harry Potter author J.K. Rowling reads from Peter Pan and says: "But in the two minutes before you go to sleep, it is real ". Next, shadowy virus-looking demons take the stage to chase the children, and dark horses towing a magician and a steel cage glide behind an oriental woman who is looking elsewhere as the pandemic commences.

    The 49:50 mark shows what appears to be a giant (British Prime Minister) Boris Johnson sick in bed.

    Finally, as the dark magicians cast their spells and the viruses dance, the nurses and doctors appear paralyzed and robotic – like puppets (50:45 to 51:45 mark) before Mary Poppins figures descend from the sky.

    In my research, I found another article by the Vigilant Citizen dated August 17, 2012 , and it had this to say back then regarding the opening ceremonies of the 2012 Olympics:

    The next important sequence of the ceremony paid tribute to the National Health Service (NHS) and Great Ormond Street Hospital (GOSH). The set combined sick kids on hospital beds with characters from English children's literature and had a very strange and dark undertone from the start, when it began with the theme from The Exorcist, which is, in case you don't know, a movie about a child possessed by the Devil. Odd choice.

    The sequence begins with children on hospital beds who get put to sleep by nurses. Then J.K. Rowling appears and reads a quote from Peter Pan alluding to Neverland, which becomes real in the "two minutes before you go to sleep". I couldn't say if that was done on purpose, but many elements of this set, mostly the mix of vulnerable children in a hospital with fairy tales and the concept of blurring the lines between reality and fiction, are all associated with mind control programming. Like the Wizard of Oz and Alice of Wonderland, the story of Peter Pan is heavily used in mind control programming as victims are told to escape to "Neverland" while inducing dissociation from reality.

    The same article also addressed the 2012 Olympic closing ceremonie s (video at this link) and showing a new world order rising like a phoenix; while referencing The Who, no less.

    At midnight, the Olympic cauldron and the petals representing each country are slowly extinguished, but the phoenix, representing the occult elite and the New World Order, stays lit above it. In other words, as the nations of the world slowly disappear, a New World Order will emerge. On that note, let's listen to The Who!

    Of course, listen to The Who rock band? Or the World Health Organization (WHO)? Coincidence or conspiracy? You're probably right.

    So, to summarize: 2012 was the same year the Rockefeller Foundation predicted the "Lock Step" pandemic scenario as the Olympic ceremonies that year showed opposing sides battling over children during the opening ceremonies and followed by the resolution in the closing ceremonies: A new phoenix rising from the ashes – like a new world order.

    Order out of chaos.

    Therefore, if COVID-19 was, indeed, a PLANdemic perpetrated by dark forces, was my aforementioned friend murdered by those who now want us to self-quarantine and wear masks for the safety of those being murdered? Most likely; because observing luciferian pedophiles through their symbols is like identifying hidden planets via the observed effects of gravitation, or studying game theory when the game is rigged.

    It's how we can identify who "they" are, but only for people willing to first acknowledge that "they" exist. Unfortunately, it's a wasted effort on most. One might as well don a tinfoil hat and chase shadows on a magic pony.

    Therefore, perhaps it's easier to digest the words of physician and former Presidential Candidate Ron Paul when it comes to explaining Coronavirus tyranny, forced vaccinations and 'Digital Certificates' :

    Proponents of mandatory vaccines and enhanced surveillance are trying to blackmail the American people by arguing that the lockdown cannot end unless we create a healthcare surveillance state and make vaccination mandatory. The growing number of Americans who are tired of not being able to go to work, school, or church, or even to take their children to a park because of government mandates should reject this "deal." Instead, they should demand an immediate end to the lockdowns and the restoration of individual responsibility for deciding how best to protect their health.

    Regrettably, it was supposed to be a season of graduation parties, weddings, and Fourth of July celebrations. But these have been displaced by lockdowns, social distancing, bodies in refrigerated trucks, fear, magic spells, and propaganda.

    Fox News Host Tucker Carlson has even recently bemoaned the New America's resemblance to communist China :

    Big companies partnering with the government to spy on you without your knowledge. Americans locked in their homes, banned from going to church, placated with sedatives like beer and weed. Anyone who speaks up is silenced. Political demonstrations are illegal. Organizers are arrested. Only opinions approved by unelected leaders are allowed on information platforms. Sound familiar? It sounds a lot like China. Of all the many ironies of this moment, so many of them bitter, the hardest to swallow is this: as we fight this virus, we are becoming far more like the country that spawned it. We're becoming more like China. It's horrifying.

    Those in power are the ones the our professional class seeks to protect, not the country. Freedom of conscience never endangers the public. It only threatens the powerful. It endangers their control. It hinders their ability to dictate election results, to loot the economy, to make policies based on whim for their own gain. No wonder our leaders have done such a poor job protecting us from China. They're on the same team.

    – Tucker Carlson Tonight: Tuesday, April 28, 2020

    Sadly, it appears Trump may be a crisis actor, like Anthony Fauci , and part of the plan from the start. The final details were solidified years ago – including the bioengineered PLANdemic.

    China is quite likely part of the plan, too, since One World Under Communism has become the desired destination of the billionaires; with millions dying along the way. For those who do survive, they'll be allowed to work , consume , and obey . Of course, many Americans will not cooperate with their planned demise and this is why The Central Planners will need a great big war.

    Both President Trump and his Secretary of State, Mike Pompeo, are tying Coronavirus to the "government laboratory in Wuhan" and now the Chinese are warning of possible armed conflict with the U.S. over the COVID-19 backlash ­.

    Most recently, in an Oval Office Press conference on May 6, 2020, Trump actually blamed China for Coronavirus while claiming it is the "worst attack we've ever had" :

    "This is worse than Pearl Harbor, this is worse than the World Trade Center. There's never been an attack like this.

    – President Donald Trump – May 6, 2020

    It means events could potentially occur as follows: As soon as rock-solid proof is revealed that China released the virus to take out Trump because our great president was winning the trade wars, then, the Orange-Haired Wonder will rally national support via sorrowful lamentations while standing tall on reality TV amidst the economic ruins.

    A bumbling first strike by the U.S. could allow a Sino-Russian alliance to seal America's fate once and for all; and most likely by nuclear means.

    Then any surviving sheeple will eagerly line up for the Bill Gates of Hell special: A free digital tattoo along with a bonus vaccination and bowl of soup.

    Welcome to the end of the rainbow. Orwell was right: we've always been at war with Eastasia and jackboots will stomp on human faces forever. Unless, that is, the digital drip-drops from Q-anon and our online commentaries change the future.

    Conclusion

    Those gathering at the round tables have been tremendously successful in our societal programming . Yet most of them are mere puppets to the inner rings of concentric power. The monsters that once lurked under our beds were set loose years ago and, today, they dress in drag and read to kids in libraries while others wear blue uniforms and arrest mothers for taking kids to playgrounds.

    And where are the men of action? Where are the lovers of liberty? In my area, they've been fishing. And grilling. And why not? Trump is in the White House while Nancy Pelosi is locked in her gourmet kitchen eating fancy ice cream. The stimulus checks are in the bank, the grocery stores are still open, and if the fish aren't biting, those who would stand up to tyranny can always grab a bucket of chicken through the KFC drive-thru on the way home. At least for now.

    As far as national lockdowns go, this has been the best one ever. So far.

    For obvious reasons, I've been thinking of the autistic livestock guru Temple Grandin and how she pioneered more humane methods of leading animals to slaughter. One of the methods was to have cattle march to their demise single file via tall shutes. That sort of isolation seems reminiscent of what's occurring in America now – with people staring at walls, muzzled by masks, and numbly following orders while remaining six-feet apart.

    How can people resist when they've been fooled? How can they fight back when they're frightened? And why have they placed their hope in safety instead of liberty ?

    Good questions.

    Real hope remains in the smart choices, right actions, and the prepping and survival decisions made every day by those awake and aware. But no matter what the future holds, may all reading this be surrounded by friends and loved ones who know Epstein didn't kill himself.

    [May 05, 2020] The real blame China has is not coverup but that the opposite: Overreaction When China ordered a province-wide Lockdown, it persuaded enough people that this was uniquely terrifying a virus as to merit extreme measures, setting stage for worldwide panic.

    May 05, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Hail , May 4 2020 19:14 utc | 10

    The real blame China has is not "coverup" but that the opposite: Overreaction When China ordered a province-wide Lockdown, it persuaded enough people that this was uniquely terrifying a virus as to merit extreme measures, setting stage for worldwide panic.

    What if they were wrong?

    We now know large declines in the transmission rate occurred BEFORE the lockdowns, meaning simple voluntary measures under a Swedish-style Stay Open scenario were enough:

    The coronavirus transmission rate ("R0") fell long before the Lockdown orders; What caused the decline?

    The other finding is that, one way or another, this flu-epidemic passes as all others have. It's actually good news, because it means the worst fears were wrong and we can re-open.

    [May 04, 2020] Fauci vs Atlas and Ioannides. Who will wear the dunce cap

    Notable quotes:
    "... Mnuchin said today that it is too early to say whether international travel will open back up before the end of the year ..."
    May 04, 2020 | turcopolier.typepad.com

    "The basis of reassuring the public about re-entry is repeating the facts about the threat and who it targets . By now, studies from Europe and the U.S . all suggest that the overall fatality rate is far lower than early estimates. And we know who to protect, because this disease – by the evidence – is not equally dangerous across the population. In Michigan's Oakland County , 75 percent of deaths were in those over 70 years old; 91 percent were in people over 60, similar to what was noted in New York . And younger, healthier people have virtually zero risk of death and little risk of serious disease; as I have noted before, under one percent of New York City's hospitalizations have been patients under 18 years of age, and less than one percent of deaths at any age are in the absence of underlying conditions.

    Here are specific and logical steps to end the lockdown and safely restore normal life:

    First , let's finally focus on protection for the most vulnerable -- that means nursing home patients, who are already living under controlled access. This would include strictly regulating all who enter and care for nursing home members by requiring testing and protective masks for all who interact with these highly vulnerable people. Specifically, nursing home workers should be tested for COVID-19 antibodies, and if negative, for virus to exclude infection, to ensure safety of senior residents. No COVID-19-positive patient can resume residence until definitively cleared by testing.

    We should continue to inform the public about what they have already successfully learned regarding the at-risk group. That means issuing rational guidelines advising the highest standards of hygiene and appropriate social distancing while interacting with elderly friends and family members at risk, including those with diabetes, obesity and other chronic conditions.

    Second , those with mild symptoms of the illness should strictly self-isolate for two weeks. It's not urgent to test them -- simply assume they have the infection. That includes confinement at home, having the highest concern for sanitization and wearing protective masks when others in their homes enter the same room." Dr. Scott Atlas in The Hill

    ---------------

    It should be mentioned that Dr. John Ioannides, a leading epidemiologist at Stanford agrees with Dr. Atlas.

    I saw Atlas on a news program a day or so ago. The anchor looked frightened by what Atlas was saying. This is understandable. The COVID panic is now so deeply embedded and pervasive that to question the rationale for the shut-down of the economy is equivalent to heresy in a theocratic state.

    IMO the road back economically is going to be slow and difficult. I hope I am wrong. pl

    https://thehill.com/opinion/healthcare/495833-how-to-open-society-using-medical-science-and-logic?fbclid=IwAR2nEYTdayVhhU47mmrIZ9FawIw9M6I2yTtOAyKhNvv0wLdSv_R4Xw6vhFI


    Diana Croissant , 04 May 2020 at 09:38 AM

    I hope you are wrong, too. I am tired of the drama and hysteria.

    Still, I do want the investigations into China's culpability for the
    result of their "accident" or of their planned upheaval of the rest of the world.

    I just want to trust some designated "expert" to tell us when when we can put away the masks and can take up hugging our friends and shaking hands while smiling and meeting new acquaintances. What is a church service without that and all the stories of Christs care and concern for the "untouchables" of the world?

    J , 04 May 2020 at 10:40 AM
    Colonel,

    Beijing is getting very nervous. Take a look at Reuter's report:

    Exclusive: Internal Chinese report warns Beijing faces Tiananmen-like global backlash over virus

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-china-sentiment-ex/exclusive-internal-chinese-report-warns-beijing-faces-tiananmen-like-global-backlash-over-virus-idUSKBN22G19C

    Seems the CCP's MSS's think-tank CICR compiled an Intelligence Report of their own warning of possible armed conflict with U.S..

    IMO it's hoped that our IC will realize that this virus doesn't jump ship into the human sphere on its own naturally without 'human tweaking in a lab' which then provides a bridge from which the virus could go from bats to the human sphere. And why would the CCP/MSS play such a dangerous game? -- Bio-weapons R&D.

    Eric Newhill , 04 May 2020 at 10:59 AM
    There can be little doubt that the fascist/socialist/anti-Trump elements in this country have seized upon the presence of the virus to attempt to destroy Trump's chances in November and to bring about greater state control of citizens. This immediately after the lame impeachment plot failed to remove Trump; which was right after the lame Russian collusion plot failed to remove Trump.

    I don't think it's paranoid to consider that China released the virus on the US at a time when President Trump is engaging in a major trade war with the Chinese, as a tactic in fighting that war.

    The Ionides/Atlas clinical perspective has been known to be correct - based on data - since March, yet the Democrat controlled states continue to double down on state control of their populations and destruction of their economies.

    The Left has become a collection of kamikazes. The elites can ride this out. They have money. They are hoping that when the economy is in ashes, all of the starving little people will come into their open arms.

    In 1968 another Asian virus, known as the Hong Kong flu, arrived in the US. It began killing Americans noticeably in 1969. As this was occurring, the Woodstock music festival was planned. The festival went off with now famous record crowd numbers during the peak of the virus. No one seemed to care. That virus ultimately killed 100,000 Americans (not Woodstock attendees); more than covid, even if you believe the artificially inflated covid figures. That was at a time when the population of the US was far less. So a far greater % died than covid.

    We've been here before folks. It's the reaction that is different this time. The reaction is driven by internal and external political objectives of massive importance for our future as a free society.

    Free people need to be able to make these decisions on their own. Give them clear information and let them decide their next move. Keep the government "experts" out of the decision making process. I believe that as the weather improves and the economic hardship increases, Americans will turn on the fascist/socialist elites and take their lives back. The vulnerable and the cowards will self-isolate. I further believe Americans will do what they need to to get the economy going again, buying American made only, patronizing small businesses beyond what they normally would and voting for pro-American candidates (i.e. the Democrats lose big time).

    Deap , 04 May 2020 at 11:11 AM
    What should we be doing every "flu season"?

    What have we done every flu season that has resulted in very similar numbers and population groups affected. How, in fact, is this one materially different.

    Barbara Ann , 04 May 2020 at 11:13 AM
    Mnuchin said today that it is too early to say whether international travel will open back up before the end of the year . Coincidentally, I also came across a Twitter poll of 15,000 people with the the following question & results:

    "Hypothetically, if everything opens up tomorrow when would you fly again?"

    - Immediately 25%
    - 2-3 months 20%
    - 3-6 months 26%
    - 1 year or more 29%

    Hardly scientific and I've no idea of the demographic or geographic spread of respondents, but it seems pretty clear many people remain fearful.

    https://twitter.com/chigrl/status/1257097868919406594

    David Solomon , 04 May 2020 at 11:18 AM
    Colonel Lang, As to economic recovery I suggest listening to this podcast with Nouriel Roubini.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/audio/2020-05-03/nouriel-roubini-sees-a-bad-recovery-and-a-depression-podcast

    TV , 04 May 2020 at 11:20 AM
    The Democrat-media hysteria HAS been deeply ingrained.
    The mass of people have - not surprisingly - turned out to be lambs (baby sheep).
    Each person is responsible for managing their own life - which includes risk.
    Unfortunately, the population of lambs has been trained over the years to look for mommy government to manage their risk - mandatory seat belt laws come to mind.
    Ben Franklin said it succinctly:
    "Those who would give up essential Liberty, to purchase a little temporary Safety, deserve neither Liberty nor Safety."
    PJ20 , 04 May 2020 at 11:30 AM
    There is widespread criticism of Ioannides two Covid studies, including the use of an unapproved antibody tests which is known to give false positives; statistical flaws, and recruiting volunteers for the sampling via Facebook, as well as the wife of a study co-author to call and recruit parents from her kids school.

    Here is an excerpt from an article on the controversy.

    ""My quick take is that something really odd is going on with Ioannidis," wrote Alexander Rubinsteyn, a geneticist and computational biologist at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, in an email to Undark. Rubinsteyn suggested that Ioannidis may simply be "so attached to being the iconoclast that defies conventional wisdom that he's unintentionally doing horrible science."

    He added: "Pretty much no one with statistical acumen believes these studies.""https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/23/coronavirus-antibody-studies-california-stanford

    Patrick Armstrong , 04 May 2020 at 11:48 AM
    Here's who Ioannidis is https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2010/11/lies-damned-lies-and-medical-science/308269/
    JJackson , 04 May 2020 at 11:57 AM
    In areas where the health system is not under stress this makes perfect sense. I would give the hugging, handshaking and church services a miss and maintain the social distancing at work and when out of the house as far as is practical. It needs to be done with lots of testing, contact tracing and case isolation. Knowledge and common sense on everyone's part will work. Limited local shutdown may be needed if cases start climbing in some areas.
    BillWade , 04 May 2020 at 12:22 PM
    Our restaurants open today in most of Florida. In spite of needing our hair attended to, we will eat out both lunch and dinner. Sadly, some of our restaurants are closing for good. My wife tells me that local Facebook is about evenly divided about going out now. I don't get it as these folks have been gathering in the supermarkets the whole time.
    turcopolier , 04 May 2020 at 12:40 PM
    All

    Explain to me what anti-body testing does for us as a population other than allow mapping the extent of infection.

    Eric Newhill , 04 May 2020 at 12:42 PM
    PJ20,
    Except the results of the Ionides study have been replicated several times now elsewhere in the country, including NYC.
    AK , 04 May 2020 at 12:46 PM
    Diana Croissant,

    "I just want to trust some designated 'expert' to tell us when when we can put away the masks and can take up hugging our friends and shaking hands while smiling and meeting new acquaintances. What is a church service without that and all the stories of Christs care and concern for the 'untouchables' of the world?"

    I think that "expert" you seek is going to have to be the person you see in the mirror every morning. The "designated experts" have no interest in encouraging you to go back to living a life you love. As Eric Newhill stated, it's going to be up to free-thinking adults to make those decisions for themselves. If you expect or hope for "experts" to protect you from yourself, then you have too much faith in "experts" and in government. Take sensible precautions as they relate to your own risk demographic and respect other people making those choices for themselves. Otherwise let's all get on living like Americans.

    ST Harris , 04 May 2020 at 12:55 PM
    Even in blissful 'pre rona' December the Fed's repo market had been sounding the alarms that a serious bubble recession was coming. Nothing apparently was fixed from the last wall street megadooshbaggery meltdown. See:

    https://www.housingwire.com/articles/wells-fargo-joins-chase-in-halting-helocs/

    This means that even those who built up real estate equity will have a difficult time short term liquifying that equity, which means that Chase, Wells Fargo, et al have a lot of pessimism about the US real estate market, the thing they have made so much money on last few years, and which they were supposed to have fixed.

    well pilgrims ;) not only is the economy enduring sudden searing pandemic pain, it is also feeling the beginning of a big bubble popping recession, which everybody in the financial world was already freaking about well before the rona arrived. Perhaps endless Fed QE can prop up equities markets through November, perhaps, but then it's all bets off into 2021 as numerous wall street debts scams will have to be deleveraged.

    Eric Newhill , 04 May 2020 at 01:21 PM
    Sir,
    In the spirit of fairness, anti-body testing would allow scientists to identify who has the anti-bodies and then track them to see if they become re-infected and, if so, at what level of severity. That would shed light on the "herd immunity" theory (i.e. is there such a thing and, if so, to what extent?).

    Otherwise, calls for "universal testing" are just sound bites born of confusion and panic, at best; another means of violating the rights of Americans at worst (e.g. making people wear yellow stars, carrying papers that allow them to enjoy full or truncated societal "privelges").

    The Twisted Genius , 04 May 2020 at 01:25 PM
    pl,

    Widespread antibody testing will show covid-19 is more contagious than a lot of diseases, but not not near as deadly as most people think. People will see they had it, didn't even know it and are now immune to it at least in the near term. Fear will be deflated. We will then have a known large segment of the population known to not capable of further spreading the virus and a ready supply of antibody serum as an effective treatment for those who do get infected. That will also diminish fear.

    Covid-19 and our response to it is as much a political issue as it is a public health issue. Trump was going to run on a booming economy. If he wants to get back to that strategy, he has to banish the fear of the virus. That will get everyone back to work so they can eat and pay rent, as well as continue to piss away their money on crap they don't need. Our economy depends on all that. If Trump is smart, he best get to stepping and institute a nationwide antibody testing program.

    Eric Newhill , 04 May 2020 at 01:26 PM
    And Fauci has already been awarded the dunce cap with his 1980s assertion that HIV was going kill us all. So I guess for his most recent action he gets the dunce cap with slide rule cluster.
    Deap , 04 May 2020 at 01:29 PM
    A cruise passenger interests website offered another informal poll - are you willing to cruise again: 64% said as much as in the past; 10% said they would cruise even more to help get the industry back on its feet. Therefore, in this obviously interested sample, 75% want the cruise industry to start up again. Yesterday. 25% will choose to wait or not cruise again.

    The cruise industry passenger base remains willing and loyal. In fact they are probably better trained in personal hygiene habits than most having had to deal with noro (aka tourista ) in the past and a typical URI complaint commonly called" cruise crud" that was most likely picked up on the air flight to get to the cruise port. The real numbers of disease and mortality overall within this industry do not support the screaming head llnes and lurid reporting.

    turcopolier , 04 May 2020 at 01:40 PM
    TTG

    It remains to be seen if one infection makes an individual immune for some time. IMO we should follow the Atlas/Ioannides formula. I noticed in re-reading "Sharpsburg," that Hunter McGuire appears therein.

    Deap , 04 May 2020 at 01:44 PM
    What does an anti-body test do? I just had one last week and awaiting the results - was a cruise passenger and international air passenger during the month of January in a later suspected area. (not Asia).

    Here is why I did the anti-body test: (Quest Labs - fee service, no RX- 99% accuracy - drawn blood vial test)

    1. Helps substantiate dates and areas of transmission that may not yet be in the data pool.

    2. Tracks the rates of asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic cases occurring among the "elderly", in order to see if there is an enhanced risk of not in this age group, if there are no underlying co-morbidities.

    3. Adds demographic data specific for the travel industry.

    4. Allows possible donation of anti-body serum for research and perhaps mitigation of those who are affected.

    5. Personal peace of mind -been there and done that. Freedom to move about.

    6. Provides baseline for duration of immunity; resilience of immunity or data showing re-infection can be possible.

    Primarily it is for data gathering to help stop the hysteria. That was worth the time, money and blood donation for me. We will never know the true extent of this virus, its impacts, its initial modeling accuracy until we start plugging facts into the "expert" hypotheticals.

    Taking one for the team is the way I see it. Will I now become a local Typhoid Mary and our house burned down if this data becomes known? Or will people stop walking out into the roadway in faux deference to my advanced age as I pass by, from our deliciously virtue signaling "progressive" population in blue state California.

    turcopolier , 04 May 2020 at 01:44 PM
    All

    Am I right or wrong in thinking that when the injected liquidity plus existing cash exceeds the amount of money that would haven been in the economy at this point then the currency will begin to inflate?

    turcopolier , 04 May 2020 at 01:47 PM
    Deap

    "Provides baseline for duration of immunity; resilience of immunity or data showing re-infection can be possible. Primarily it is for data gathering to help stop the hysteria." Yes

    Oilman2 , 04 May 2020 at 01:54 PM
    Colonel, you are NOT wrong. The oil business in America is going to take a very long time to recover. There are complete shutterings of businesses, bankruptcies and more - all while we were in the middle of a downturn. Personally, I just folded up my tent because my my active client list went from 21 to zero over this last month (and that includes intl clients).

    As the number one buyer of US steel, the oilpatch represents much more than people realize. We have also been the number one buyer of many other items - where sales have disappeared as company quietly and reluctantly face the reality of the current induced glut.

    I'm being forced to change livelihoods - interesting for me, as I am short of the age to get my SS check and too old to employ by most corporate masters....

    The Twisted Genius , 04 May 2020 at 02:06 PM
    pl,

    Yes, I noticed Hunter Holmes when I reread Chancellorsville this time. I knew nothing about him until you mentioned him a while back. He also founded what is now the VCU Medical Center and was president of the AMA for a time. There is a statue of him on the State Capitol grounds, but i haven't seen it yet.

    [May 04, 2020] Who and why spreads ridiculous rumors about coronavirus

    Highly recommended!
    Notable quotes:
    "... during such catastrophes, a large number of people find themselves in a state where they realize that they cannot control their lives. They don't know what will happen in the near future. The state of complete uncertainty makes people much more susceptible to conspiracy theories, and also makes them repost information that they doubt is true. People think: "What if it's true" - and try to warn others about the "impending danger". ..."
    "... Fake information is mostly launched because of a sense of concern. During a period of turmoil and uncertainty, the need to exchange texts increases at times ..."
    May 02, 2020 | vz.ru

    Fakes about coronavirus turn into modern folklore

    "During such disasters, a large number of people find themselves in a state where they realize that they cannot control their lives. They don't know what will happen in the near future. The state of complete uncertainty makes people much more susceptible to conspiracy theories," social anthropologist Anna Kirzyuk told VZGLYAD newspaper. She explained why the Internet is flooded with the most unthinkable fakes dedicated to COVID-19.

    This week, the Supreme court of Russia clarified the use of articles of the criminal code for spreading fake news and rumors about coronavirus. Criminal liability starts when dissemination of information create circumstances which pose a threat to the life and health of people. It occurs if the author knew about the falsity of the reports, but gave them credibility.

    A wave of false reports about coronavirus in Russia appeared in mid-March, and this flow continues to this day. On Thursday, the Prosecutor General's office recognized fake and demanded to block access to reports that the new coronavirus was allegedly created in the Novosibirsk scientific center "Vector" and later brought to China. Earlier, the prosecutors discovered the websites that sell fake medicines and remedies. Another vicious rumor that should entail criminal responsibility is that the patients was forced to pay for treatment. And the Moscow health Department recently denied information that patients with suspected coronavirus are allegedly forced to pay for treatment themselves if they were not hospitalized by an ambulance.

    On Tuesday, the Chairman of the Media Commission of the Public Chamber, Alexander Malkevich, launched the website CoronaFake to combat false information about COVID-19. Also, the "encyclopedia of coronavirus rumors and fakes" has been created and updated on the Internet, which is being developed by professional folklorists and anthropologists. Which might help to fight the rumors. But in a way number of rumors are inverse indicator of the trust to the government.

    About the nature of the appearance of fakes and their impact on daily life newspaper LOOK told one of the authors of the encyclopedia, social anthropologist, PhD, research fellow, school of modern Humanities research, Ranepa Anna Kiresuk.

    VIEW: Anna Andreyevna, at the beginning of the pandemic, there were many fakes about the coronavirus. Now the flow of these fakes is decreasing?

    Anna Kiresuk: The number of fake news about coronavirus probably is not becoming larger or smaller. small number of rumors always exist locally and surface spontaneously nationwide: the appeared periodically in the past and will appear periodically in the future. This probably will continue until the end of the pandemic, or at least the the and of the regime of self-isolation.

    VIEW: Why does the flow of fake news and rumors increase during various social disasters?

    A. K.: during such catastrophes, a large number of people find themselves in a state where they realize that they cannot control their lives. They don't know what will happen in the near future. The state of complete uncertainty makes people much more susceptible to conspiracy theories, and also makes them repost information that they doubt is true. People think: "What if it's true" - and try to warn others about the "impending danger".

    VIEW: Who is the main source of fakes?

    AK: There is no center, no malicious group of people who compose and launch fakes in social networks. It is also impossible to say that a specific person is to blame for the appearance of a fake. Let's say a person leaves a text or a post on a social network. Then this text can be transformed in the process of transmission, become overgrown with new details, and lose its authorship. For example, a person heard two women talking at a bus stop about hundreds of dead people in the local regional hospital, and the authorities allegedly hushed it up. Then he writes about it in some social network message, it begins to "walk" and acquire new details. Who is the author of this message? Women who spoke at the bus stop, the author of the first post in the social network, or those people who repost fake and add comments? It is impossible to talk about authorship here.

    VIEW: in other words, it is common for people, especially in crisis conditions, to exchange unreliable information?

    AK: Of course. There are no people who RUB their hands and think: "But I'm going to start a panic." Fake information is mostly launched because of a sense of concern. During a period of turmoil and uncertainty, the need to exchange texts increases at times .

    When there is a sense of the presence of an indefinite danger outside, whether it is a virus or possible harsh measures by the state, people have an urgent need to be a member of some circle of people who think in the same way, the cicle which provide some kind of mutual cocial support. Fake news are just perverted way to create such a circle.

    OPINION: But how fake rumors help to create such a circle?

    A. K.: Texts that circulate in groups of acquaintances, friends, and relatives somewhat strengthen the feeling that "we are together", "I am not alone", and "others think the same as me". This is a very important function of fake rumors and folklore in General. Launching a text in the public, a person virtually create a check of the correlation of his underanding of the situation and feelings with the understadnng and feelings of the group.

    For example, a person who calls on all citizens to lock their windows at night, because government helicopters will start spraying the virus disinfectant in Moscow. This rumor was popular in mid-March. The author of the message may doubt the reality of this news, but he wants to to get confirmation that he is wrong from his social circle (is somewhat perverted way), to make sure of his suspicions and understanding is right or wrong. He is interested in what his friends in Vkontakte or his colleagues from the work chat in WhatsApp will say about the rumor that he/she spreads. If other people swallow the fake line hook and thinker, he begin to believe that this news is real and his suspicions were not in vain.

    VIEW: In Addition to the "disinfection of the city using helicopters" are are any there other prominent. widespread rumors?

    A. K.: Yes there are. One example, is the rumor about bananas infected with coronavirus. In some regions of Russia, thanks to this rumor, the sales of bananas were reduced. Because many people believed in the validity of such a path infection with the coronavirus.

    There are also a lot of widely circulating rumors with pseudo-medical advice about the usefulness of drinking hot water, applying ginger or eating alkaline foods – there is a market for fake prophylactic methods and fake cures for the coronavirus becuase the danger of infection is real. So some believe that particular stupid actions can be a means of treating and preventing coronavirus. Thanks to the popularity of such pseudo-medical advice, the price of ginger in many cities has soared at times. People rushed to buy ginger, thinking that it protects against the coronavirus by boosting one's immune system.

    The distribution of such texts performs several very important psychological functions at once.

    1. First, it gives people the illusion of control: I know where the danger is coming from, and I can warn others.
    2. Secondly, the distribution of such texts allows a person to feel that he is not alone in feeling anxiety and anxiety. And, third, by distributing such texts, a person can increase their status in this group. The one who warned about the danger, the one-well done. He shares with others the knowledge that is available only to him, but vital for all.

    VIEW: Can we disitinushe beweem fake news about coronavirus and rumors? What is the difference, if any?

    AK: Rumors and fake news or "imporvized news" are identical social phenomena. For example, in some cities there are rumors about the imminent introduction of internal troops and the announcement of a curfew. People tell this rumor to each other in stores, at bus stops, and to their neighbors. At some point, one of the "carriers" infected with this rumor creates and posts a fake document that troops are being drawn to Moscow. He/she may do it as a joke, but at this point, the rumor becomes fake news and the person should face legal responsibility.

    VIEW: What is meant by a fake document? The this a post itself in the social network?

    AK: No. Fake document is a document printed on official letterhead with seals, signatures and other formal attributes, information about the imminent introduction of a curfew is set out. Links to the Ministry of internal Affairs and the mayor's office may be provided. This text may be drawn up on behalf of the Moscow government. Forged seal, signature, outgoing number, coat of arms of the Russian Federation. This is a fake news based on a rumor.

    VIEW: Which category of people are more susceptible to fake information?

    AK: Generally this is difficult to predict. We don't have the tools to predict how different social and educational strata would react. But there rumors and fake news which contains references to scientific and medical authorities or authorities make the text more reliable even for an educated audience.

    In the late 80's, French folklorist Jean-Noel Kapferer investigated the distribution of so-called Villejuif leaflets, which warned that a certain set of food additives (they were designated by numeric letter codes such as E221) is life-threatening and causes cancer. The document was allegedly drawn up on behalf of a clinic in the city of Villejuif, which specialized in the treatment of cancer. These leaflets were dropped into mailboxes and scattered in stores.

    Kapferer found out that thanks to the link to the Villejuif clinic, these leaflets were distributed even by educated people-doctors, teachers. A reference to authority makes the text more reliable.

    [May 03, 2020] The Inevitable Coronavirus Censorship Crisis is Here - Reporting by Matt Taibbi

    Notable quotes:
    "... There's a concerted effort on the part of influential people at the network that we at All In call Trump TV right now to peddle dangerous misinformation about the coronavirus Call it coronavirus trutherism. ..."
    "... Who needs to win elections when you can personally reestablish the social order every day on Twitter and Facebook? When you can scold, and scold, and scold. That's their future, and it's a satisfying one: a finger wagging in some vulgar proletarian's face, forever. ..."
    "... Get a Grippe, America: The flu is a much bigger threat than coronavirus, for now : Washington Post ..."
    "... Coronavirus is scary, but the flu is deadlier, more widespread : USA Today ..."
    "... Want to Protect Yourself From Coronavirus? Do the Same Things You Do Every Winter : Time ..."
    "... We should de-escalate the war on coronavirus ..."
    "... "Good hand-washing helps. Staying healthy and eating healthy will also help," says Dr. Sharon Nachman, a pediatric infectious disease specialist at New York's Stony Brook Children's Hospital. "The things we take for granted actually do work. It doesn't matter what the virus is. The routine things work ." ..."
    May 03, 2020 | taibbi.substack.com

    YouTube took down a widely-circulated video about coronavirus, citing a violation of "community guidelines ."

    The offenders were Drs. Dan Erickson and Artin Massahi, co-owners of an "Urgent Care" clinic in Bakersfield, California. They'd held a presentation in which they argued that widespread lockdowns were perhaps not necessary, according to data they were collecting and analyzing.

    "Millions of cases, small amounts of deaths," said Erickson , a vigorous, cheery-looking Norwegian-American who argued the numbers showed Covid-19 was similar to flu in mortality rate. "Does [that] necessitate shutdown, loss of jobs, destruction of oil companies, furloughing doctors ? I think the answer is going to be increasingly clear."

    The reaction of the medical community was severe. It was pointed out that the two men owned a clinic that was losing business thanks to the lockdown. The message boards of real E.R. doctors lit up with angry comments, scoffing at the doctors' dubious data collection methods and even their somewhat dramatic choice to dress in scrubs for their video presentation.

    The American Academy of Emergency Medicine (AAEM) and American College of Emergency Physicians (ACEP) scrambled to issue a joint statement to "emphatically condemn" the two doctors, who "do not speak for medical society" and had released "biased, non-peer reviewed data to advance their personal financial interests."

    As is now almost automatically the case in the media treatment of any controversy, the story was immediately packaged for "left" and "right" audiences by TV networks. Tucker Carlson on Fox backed up the doctors' claims, saying "these are serious people who've done this for a living for decades," and YouTube and Google have " officially banned dissent ."

    Meanwhile, over on Carlson's opposite-number channel, MSNBC, anchor Chris Hayes of the All In program reacted with fury to Carlson's monologue:

    There's a concerted effort on the part of influential people at the network that we at All In call Trump TV right now to peddle dangerous misinformation about the coronavirus Call it coronavirus trutherism.

    Hayes, an old acquaintance of mine, seethed at what he characterized as the gross indifference of Trump Republicans to the dangers of coronavirus. "At the beginning of this horrible period, the president, along with his lackeys, and propagandists, they all minimized what was coming," he said, sneering. "They said it was just like a cold or the flu."

    He angrily demanded that if Fox acolytes like Carlson believed so strongly that society should be reopened, they should go work in a meat processing plant. "Get in there if you think it's that bad. Go chop up some pork."

    The tone of the many media reactions to Erickson, Carlson, Trump, Georgia governor Brian Kemp, and others who've suggested lockdowns and strict shelter-in-place laws are either unnecessary or do more harm than good, fits with what writer Thomas Frank describes as a new " Utopia of Scolding ":

    Who needs to win elections when you can personally reestablish the social order every day on Twitter and Facebook? When you can scold, and scold, and scold. That's their future, and it's a satisfying one: a finger wagging in some vulgar proletarian's face, forever.

    In the Trump years the sector of society we used to describe as liberal America became a giant finger-wagging machine. The news media, academia, the Democratic Party, show-business celebrities and masses of blue-checked Twitter virtuosos became a kind of umbrella agreement society, united by loathing of Trump and fury toward anyone who dissented with their preoccupations.

    Because this Conventional Wisdom viewed itself as being solely concerned with the Only Important Thing, i.e. removing Trump, there was no longer any legitimate excuse for disagreeing with its takes on Russia, Julian Assange, Jill Stein, Joe Rogan, the 25th amendment, Ukraine, the use of the word "treason," the removal of Alex Jones, the movie Joker, or whatever else happened to be the #Resistance fixation of the day.

    When the Covid-19 crisis struck, the scolding utopia was no longer abstraction. The dream was reality! Pure communism had arrived! Failure to take elite advice was no longer just a deplorable faux pas . Not heeding experts was now murder. It could not be tolerated. Media coverage quickly became a single, floridly-written tirade against " expertise-deniers ." For instance, the Atlantic headline on Kemp's decision to end some shutdowns was, " Georgia's Experiment in Human Sacrifice ."

    At the outset of the crisis, America's biggest internet platforms – Facebook, Twitter, Google, LinkedIn, and Reddit – took an unprecedented step to combat "fraud and misinformation " by promising extensive cooperation in elevating "authoritative" news over less reputable sources.

    H.L. Mencken once said that in America, "the general average of intelligence, of knowledge, of competence, of integrity, of self-respect, of honor is so low that any man who knows his trade, does not fear ghosts, has read fifty good books, and practices the common decencies stands out as brilliantly as a wart on a bald head."

    We have a lot of dumb people in this country. But the difference between the stupidities cherished by the Idiocracy set ingesting fish cleaner, and the ones pushed in places like the Atlantic, is that the jackasses among the "expert" class compound their wrongness by being so sure of themselves that they force others to go along. In other words, to combat "ignorance," the scolders create a new and more virulent species of it: exclusive ignorance, forced ignorance, ignorance with staying power.

    The people who want to add a censorship regime to a health crisis are more dangerous and more stupid by leaps and bounds than a president who tells people to inject disinfectant . It's astonishing that they don't see this.


    Journalists are professional test-crammers. Our job is to get an assignment on Monday morning and by Tuesday evening act like we're authorities on intellectual piracy, the civil war in Yemen, Iowa caucus procedure, the coronavirus, whatever. We actually know jack: we speed-read, make a few phone calls, and in a snap people are inviting us on television to tell millions of people what to think about the complex issues of the world.

    When we come to a subject cold, the job is about consulting as many people who really know their stuff as quickly as possible and sussing out – often based on nothing more than hunches or impressions of the personalities involved – which set of explanations is most believable. Sportswriters who covered the Deflategate football scandal had to do this in order to explain the Ideal Gas Law , I had to do it to cover the subprime mortgage scandal, and reporters this past January and February had to do it when assigned to assess the coming coronavirus threat.

    It does not take that much work to go back and find that a significant portion of the medical and epidemiological establishment called this disaster wrong when they were polled by reporters back in the beginning of the year. Right-wingers are having a blast collecting the headlines , and they should, given the chest-pounding at places like MSNBC about others who "minimized the risk." Here's a brief sample:

    Get a Grippe, America: The flu is a much bigger threat than coronavirus, for now : Washington Post

    Coronavirus is scary, but the flu is deadlier, more widespread : USA Today

    Want to Protect Yourself From Coronavirus? Do the Same Things You Do Every Winter : Time

    Here's my personal favorite, from Wired on January 29 :

    We should de-escalate the war on coronavirus

    There are dozens of these stories and they nearly all contain the same elements, including an inevitable quote or series of quotes from experts telling us to calm the hell down. This is from the Time piece:

    "Good hand-washing helps. Staying healthy and eating healthy will also help," says Dr. Sharon Nachman, a pediatric infectious disease specialist at New York's Stony Brook Children's Hospital. "The things we take for granted actually do work. It doesn't matter what the virus is. The routine things work ."

    There's a reason why journalists should always keep their distance from priesthoods in any field. It's particularly in the nature of insular communities of subject matter experts to coalesce around orthodoxies that blind the very people in the loop who should be the most knowledgeable.

    "Experts" get things wrong for reasons that are innocent (they've all been taught the same incorrect thing in school) and less so (they have a financial or professional interest in denying the truth).

    On the less nefarious side, the entire community of pollsters in 2016 denounced as infamous the idea that Donald Trump could win the Republican nomination, let alone the general election. They believed that because they weren't paying attention to voters (their ostensible jobs), but also because they'd never seen anything similar. In a more suspicious example, if you asked a hundred Wall Street analysts in September 2008 what caused the financial crisis, probably no more than a handful would have mentioned fraud or malfeasance.

    Both of the above examples point out a central problem with trying to automate the fact-checking process the way the Internet platforms have of late, with their emphasis on "authoritative" opinions.

    "Authorities " by their nature are untrustworthy. Sometimes they have an interest in denying truths, and sometimes they actually try to define truth as being whatever they say it is. " Elevating authoritative content " over independent or less well-known sources is an algorithmic take on the journalistic obsession with credentialing that has been slowly destroying our business for decades.

    The WMD fiasco happened because journalists listened to people with military ranks and titles instead of demanding evidence and listening to their own instincts. The same thing happened with Russiagate, a story fueled by intelligence "experts" with grand titles who are now proven to have been wrong to a spectacular degree , if not actually criminally liable in pushing a fraud.

    We've become incapable of talking calmly about possible solutions because we've lost the ability to decouple scientific or policy discussions, or simple issues of fact, from a political argument. Reporting on the Covid-19 crisis has become the latest in a line of moral manias with Donald Trump in the middle.

    Instead of asking calmly if hydroxychloroquine works, or if the less restrictive Swedish crisis response has merit, or questioning why certain statistical assumptions about the seriousness of the crisis might have been off, we're denouncing the questions themselves as infamous. Or we're politicizing the framing of stories in a way that signals to readers what their take should be before they even digest the material. " Conservative Americans see coronavirus hope in Progressive Sweden ," reads a Politico headline, as if only conservatives should feel optimism in the possibility that a non-lockdown approach might have merit! Are we rooting for such an approach to not work?

    From everything I've heard, talking to doctors and reading the background material, the Bakersfield doctors are probably not the best sources. But the functional impact of removing their videos (in addition to giving them press they wouldn't otherwise have had) is to stamp out discussion of things that do actually need to be discussed, like when the damage to the economy and the effects of other crisis-related problems – domestic abuse, substance abuse, suicide, stroke, abuse of children, etc. – become as significant a threat to the public as the pandemic. We do actually have to talk about this. We can't not talk about it out of fear of being censored, or because we're confusing real harm with political harm.

    Turning ourselves into China for any reason is the definition of a cure being worse than the disease. The scolders who are being seduced by such thinking have to wake up, before we end up adding another disaster on top of the terrible one we're already facing.

    Patrick Lovell Apr 30 Like always, I agree and am moved deeply by most of your positions. I do however find the argument not entirely convincing. I've seen you down on Russiagate from the beginning and I've never felt like I understood why. I get the barrage without the evidence and what that means for the broader context but seriously, Washington's entire currency is lying. So too is Wall Street. But Putin's isn't? Trump's? Is it really that complicated?

    Trump was laundering real estate for bad guys for decades. It's his business model. Deutsche Bank was involved with fraud in every dimension and direction and Trump was a relatively small play all things considered, but the SOB knew what he was involved with and doing. He went so far as to claim the "Act of God" defense based on deuschbag Greenspan's insane lie that no one saw 2008 coming.

    Trump went so far as to sue DM for being a victim of predatory lending. Trump? Victim of Predatory Lending??!?!?! WTF?!?!? Given all of that and then some (Mercers, Bannon, etc.) are we to pretend it wasn't exactly what it looks like? Why wouldn't we? Because Clinton was on the other side? I really don't get that part at all.

    Matt Taibbi Apr 30 I'm sorry, but Russiagate wasn't about whether or not Trump or Putin were liars or bad people. It was a very specific set of allegations that have been proven now to be false: that Trump was being blackmailed by the Russian state, that the Russians coordinated with the Trump campaign in an election interference plot, that the Trump campaign traded sanctions for election aid, that Trump himself committed treason and was a compromised foreign agent, etc. This has all been investigated and discounted. In fact it appears now, from the investigation of IG Michael Horowitz, that the FBI knew relatively early on -- by late 2016 -- that there was no coordination or collusion going on between Russia and the Trump campaign. Yet smears and innuendo flowed for years from intelligence sources anyway. You don't have to be a Trump fan to be pissed that there was such an elaborate effort at spreading this false tale.
    Larry May 1 Matt, I disagree, perhaps, with your reference to Kemp and the other governors who opened their states. Don't you agree that their effort seems to be an attempt to prevent workers from claiming unemployment benefit and that, as such, their efforts should not be seen as motivated by a simple, freely determined skepticism about the merits of the science or even the biased journalism?

    I do applaud your general thesis, and would add for my part that one of the most interesting phenomena regarding the media response to coronavirus and scientific material in general is a seeming mass desire to settle matters once and for all rather than fostering an attitude that scientific activity is more than anything else a manifestly long-drawn out, labor intensive pursuit, that requires much time, almost always, before actionable insights can be formulated, much less acted upon.

    It is odd that, as you have noted so many times, a media so addicted to manufacturing themes that must be continually resuscitated, like Russia, do the exact opposite with science: as you note, pundits and reporters, when confronted with science, tend to cram and swot maniacally (under deadline, assuredly) in order to get as close to a definitive statement as possible as fast as possible, when the entire process is designed (though increasingly commercialized and siloed privatized science mitigates against this in important ways, whilst reinforcing it in others) only to provide "answers" of any sort extremely tentatively.

    This is perhaps one of the most annoying things about many Americans' expectations of scientific activity, which you see in medicine (and weather forecasting!) perhaps most of all: people frustrated with the underlying uncertainty of medical prognoses seem to expect cookie-cutter specific formulations virtually on the spot, and are angered when these are not forthcoming.

    I even know people who have taught philosophy of science who have never stepped foot in a lab or have the vaguest notion of how "knowledge" is produced there. This sort of thing adds fertile ground for themes development of potential misunderstandings amongst lay-people that raises the deleterious effects to another level. But I am digressing.

    My main question is about Kemp and the others, but if you could speak a little to flesh out your interesting comments on reporters and scientific subject matter, I would be most grateful. I love your work, Matt, keep up the good job!

    [May 01, 2020] the Imperial College Covid-19 Research Team, issued a report on March 16th that predicted up to 500,000 deaths in the UK and 2.2 million deaths in the US unless strict government measures were put in place

    May 01, 2020 | www.corbettreport.com

    . The work of two research groups was crucial in shaping the decision of the UK and US governments to implement wide-ranging lockdowns, and, in turn, governments around the world. The first group, the Imperial College Covid-19 Research Team, issued a report on March 16th that predicted up to 500,000 deaths in the UK and 2.2 million deaths in the US unless strict government measures were put in place.

    The second group, the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation in Bill Gates' home state of Washington, helped provide data that corroborated the White House's initial estimates of the virus' effects, estimates that have been repeatedly downgraded as the situation has progressed.

    Unsurprisingly, the Gates Foundation has injected substantial sums of money into both groups. This year alone, the Gates Foundation has already given $79 million to Imperial College, and in 2017 the Foundation announced a $279 million investment into the IHME to expand its work collecting health data and creating models.

    Anthony Fauci, meanwhile, has become the face of the US government's coronavirus response, echoing Bill Gates' assertion that the country will not "get back to normal" until "a good vaccine" can be found to insure the public's safety.

    ANTHONY FAUCI : If you want to get to pre-coronavirus . . . You know, that might not ever happen, in the sense of the fact that the threat is there. But I believe with the therapies that will be coming online, and with the fact that I feel confident that over a period of time we will get a good vaccine, that we will never have to get back to where we are right back now.

    SOURCE: Dr. Anthony Fauci on return to normalcy from pandemic

    [May 01, 2020] Where has the regular flu gone? The CDC reports unprecedented crash in non-COVID flu-positives, raising questions

    May 01, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Allen , Apr 30 2020 3:08 utc | 102

    Here's another point to ponder:

    Against the Corona Panic, Pt. VI: Where has the regular flu gone? The CDC reports unprecedented crash in non-COVID flu-positives, raising questions

    ...

    As the story of COVID 19 unfolds and demands every ounce of our attention another unique health event, anomalous and perhaps connected goes ignored. An event unprecedented in at least the last 20 years since these things have been detailed by the CDC, coinciding with the C19 event, the CDC quietly informed any who were paying attention that the common flu- both scourge and money-maker – has been disappeared from the United States.

    As the trend towards the usual gradual tapering began all of a sudden by Week 12 (March 21st) the 'flu positive' numbers dropped off a cliff. When one looks at the numbers from Week 10, 21.5%, to Week 12, 6.9%, we see an incredible drop off of 14.6% occurred. By Week 14 the 'flu positives' dropped to nearly non-existent – 0.8%. A quick glance to Week 9, 24.3%, and then down to Week 14's all time record low of 0.8% shows a drop off of 23.5%.

    It's important to note that while the 22,324 tests done in Week 14 represent a significant drop in tests done compared to earlier weeks in 2020 those numbers still represented the 2nd highest overall Week 14 test numbers done in the history of the CDC. Yet only 0.8% 'flu positives' this season when the average for the preceding 7 years was 12.5% for Week 14. Even given the circumstances this is a statistical anomaly that begs many questions.

    Questions that demand answers:

    How did such a terrible flu season suddenly disappear?

    In what column have those 'flu positives' been placed?

    What happened to all the other seasonal virii that afflict humans this time of the year?

    Where did they all go?

    After a 20 year run the CDC has stated that Flu View, it's flagship offering, will no longer be offering such meticulous reports as they shift their focus to Covid. It would seem that the CDC has decided after all these years the flu has finally run its course


    https://hailtoyou.wordpress.com/2020/04/29/against-the-corona-panic-pt-vi-where-has-the-regular-flu-gone-the-cdc-reports-unprecedented-crash-in-non-covid-flu-positives-raising-questions/

    Ric G , Apr 30 2020 3:28 utc | 105

    @Allen 102

    Exactly! Anyone who announces Covid deaths should also have to announce an adjacent column called normal flu/influenza/pneumonia, to see how these two columns flow together and to compare total figures.

    Otherwise, at best, they are disingenuous, and more probably, fraudsters and liars!

    [Apr 30, 2020] Tricky issues with mortality

    Apr 30, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Hmpf , Apr 30 2020 16:40 utc | 162

    @ vk | Apr 30 2020 16:22 utc | 160

    So, if a HIV patient suffers from and dies of a bacterial pneumonia (pneumococcus and others) because his immune system is down due his HIV infection, then he's said to have died of HIV. Correct?

    If another HIV patient acquires Covid-19 and suffers from a virological pneumonia and subsequently succumbs to it, then he has died of Covid-19? Did I get that right?

    How about a Covid-19 positive person getting killed in a fatal car accident? Covid-19 then? What about cancer patients in their terminal phase, which in most cases ends by some fatal organ failure?

    Why don't you stop making sh*t up just so it fits your narrative?

    [Apr 30, 2020] Dirty political games around coronavirus mortality

    Apr 30, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Allen , Apr 29 2020 16:41 utc | 1

    Let's take a quick look at how CNN (Cuomo New Network) propaganda works. For but one example:

    Here we get the apocalyptic, fear headline:

    Deaths spiked as Covid-19 spread in March and April, new analysis finds

    And then the story- on the side of your screen you will see a short interview with the ever-reliable and now regularly featured "expert" Dr. Gupta to lend even more credibility to this new "report."

    https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/27/health/deaths-spike-covid-spread/index.html

    And what does the report actually say? The essence of the report is found in the following comment by Dan Weinberger, the lead epidemiologist(?), (or does he just study infectious disease?) in the report:

    "Using data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the team found about 15,000 excess deaths from March 1 to April 4. During the same time, states reported 8,000 deaths from Covid-19. "That is close to double," Dan Weinberger, who studies the epidemiology of infectious diseases at Yale, told CNN.

    The team could not show whether the increased deaths were due to coronavirus, Weinberger said. But there are strong indications that they were. For instance, the team also looked at data on doctor visits.

    "What we see is that in many states, you see an increase in influenza-like illnesses, and then a week or two later, you see an increase in deaths due to pneumonia and influenza," Weinberger said. "It provides some confirmation that what we are seeing is related to coronavirus."

    The first thing that stands out is that while the headline is worded so as to suggest (yet elusively) a spike in deaths to Covid (meant to increase hysteria in the viewers- and improve ratings) the report clearly states- "that it could not show whether the increased deaths were due to coronavirus." Based on anecdotal evidence though, the report's author itself then goes on to assert that as they have seen more "influenza like" illnesses that these "must be" Covid cases- and why is that? Let's also keep in mind in the vast majority of these cases no testing is being done to confirm or deny Covid.

    Oddly deaths attributed to influenza (even as the CDC warned us in December we were in for a bad flu season) have completely stalled and deaths from pneumonia have dropped off significantly as well. Makes one wonder how all the flu and pneumonia deaths are being categorized.

    But the deceptions get even worse – as you can see there is an embedded link to the study itself- and when you click that link you will be directed here:

    https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.15.20066431v1.full.pdf

    The first item of note is who these authors get their funding from. As you can see the authors are awash in money from medical organizations that have deep ties to pharmaceutical companies. They are paid to do such studies.

    Let's also keep in mind that this is a pre-print study that is not peer-reviewed yet CNN (and WaPo) featured it and represented this as if the study was factual and beyond reproach.

    FUNDING:

    (Dan Weinberger) DMW acknowledges support from grants R01AI123208 and R01AI137093 from the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases/National Institutes of Health. VEP acknowledges support from grants R01AI112970 and R01AI137093 from the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases/National Institutes of Health. NGR acknowledges support from grant R35GM119582 from the National Institute of General Medical Sciences/National Institutes of Health and 1U01IP001122 from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). TC acknowledges support from R01AI146555 from the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases/National Institutes of Health. LS acknowledges support from the Carlsberg Foundation grant # CF20-0046. FWC acknowledges support from NICHD grant 1DP2HD091799-01.

    But it gets worse as stated in the next paragraph which precedes the study we can see the lead author of the study has direct conflicts of interest here through his connections to pharmaceutical companies that stand to profit handsomely from the entirety of the Covid business model:

    CONFLICTS OF INTEREST:

    DMW has received consulting fees from Pfizer, Merck, GSK, and Affinivax for topics unrelated to this manuscript and is Principal Investigator on a research grant from Pfizer on an unrelated topic. VEP has received reimbursement from Merck and Pfizer for travel expenses to Scientific Input Engagements unrelated to the topic of this manuscript.

    An intrepid reporter certainly should ask each of the authors to disclose their stock holdings and also examine the financial contributions received by The Yale School of Public Health where these authors work.

    So we are to trust a pre-print, non peer reviewed study by authors who have direct ties to the very companies that will profit from this? CNN believes we should- so are we to believe CNN?

    [Apr 29, 2020] It is possible to conclude that there is evidence of excess mortality in Portugal between March 1 and April 22, 2020 during the COVID-19 lockdown even using the usual baselines (mean, median).

    Apr 29, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Vasco da Gama , Apr 29 2020 20:26 utc | 40

    Just sharing a study made on Excess Mortality Estimation During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Preliminary Data from Portugal , it's conclusion:
    It is possible to conclude that there is evidence of excess mortality in Portugal between March 1 and April 22, 2020 during the COVID-19 lockdown even using the usual baselines (mean, median).

    By adopting baselines more consistent with the lockdown, the excess mortality becomes more evident, with estimated 2400 to 4000 potential excess deaths during this period.

    The observed excess of mortality is associated with older age groups (over age 65). The reduction of more than 191,000 daily hospital ED visits occurred between March 1 - April 22 may potentially be associated with 1291 or more deaths .

    Overall, these results point towards an excess mortality that is associated with and that is 3 to 5-fold higher than the official COVID-19 mortality.

    (my emphasis, Acta Médica Portuguesa, direct pdf link )

    It is interesting that the study chose to compare all-cause mortality but also against a different period of the year in an attempt to reflect the reduced movement under the lockdown more akin to the holiday period. The resulting increased excess-mortality give way for the authors hypothesis that this is explained by the reduction in visits to hospital.

    I will comment though that the authors' estimating method could never be made official for the purposes that those are used, and their assessment of "3 to 5-fold higher than the official COVID-19 mortality" is being on the side of the sensationalistic if they are suggesting that we could replace one with the other. Despite this it is a welcome study.

    [Apr 29, 2020] Now compare that to the worldwide death toll from coronavirus: 220,000. Let me say that again. Western aggressive wars to coronavirus: 5,000,000 : 220,000."

    Apr 29, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Blue Dotterel , Apr 29 2020 18:02 utc | 14

    Maybe some Craig Murray will provide a little perspective on COVid 19 and the ongoing genocide taking place in the ME https://www.craigmurray.org.uk/archives/2020/04/backing-the-wrong-horseman/#respond

    "For the purposes of argument, I am going to put an extremely conservative figure of 5 million on the number of people who died as a result of Western military intervention, direct or proxy, in the Middle East.

    Now compare that to the worldwide death toll from coronavirus: 220,000. Let me say that again.
    Western aggressive wars to coronavirus: 5,000,000 : 220,000."

    [Apr 29, 2020] Any death labeled cornivirus has been monetized.

    Apr 29, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Othello , Apr 29 2020 19:20 utc | 27

    This is one time I have to respectful disagree. The virus is certainly real but the hysteria is totally unjustified. I live in the city and state with supposedly the highest number of cornivirus death but yet you have hospitals and facilitysb designated for infected person are empty.....we have doctors and nurses being forced to label any death as cornivirus death..... and also any death labeled cornivirus has been monetized....

    [Apr 28, 2020] The Meditations, by a Roman emperor who died in a plague named after him, has much to say about how to face fear, pain, anxiety and loss by Donald Robertson

    Notable quotes:
    "... First of all, because Stoics believe that our true good resides in our own character and actions, they would frequently remind themselves to distinguish between what's "up to us" and what isn't. Modern Stoics tend to call this "the dichotomy of control" and many people find this distinction alone helpful in alleviating stress. What happens to me is never directly under my control, never completely ..."
    "... Marcus likes to ask himself, "What virtue has nature given me to deal with this situation?" That naturally leads to the question: "How do other people cope with similar challenges?" Stoics reflect on character strengths such as wisdom, patience and self-discipline, which potentially make them more resilient in the face of adversity. They try to exemplify these virtues and bring them to bear on the challenges they face in daily life, during a crisis like the pandemic. They learn from how other people cope. Even historical figures or fictional characters can serve as role models. ..."
    "... fear does us more harm than the things of which we're afraid. ..."
    "... Finally, during a pandemic, you may have to confront the risk, the possibility, of your own death. Since the day you were born, that's always been on the cards. Most of us find it easier to bury our heads in the sand. Avoidance is the No1 most popular coping strategy in the world. We live in denial of the self-evident fact that we all die eventually. ..."
    "... "All that comes to pass", he tells himself, even illness and death, should be as "familiar as the rose in spring and the fruit in autumn". Marcus Aurelius, through decades of training in Stoicism, in other words, had taught himself to face death with the steady calm of someone who has done so countless times already in the past. ..."
    Apr 25, 2020 | www.theguardian.com
    T he Roman emperor Marcus Aurelius Antoninus was the last famous Stoic philosopher of antiquity. During the last 14 years of his life he faced one of the worst plagues in European history. The Antonine Plague, named after him, was probably caused by a strain of the smallpox virus. It's estimated to have killed up to 5 million people, possibly including Marcus himself.

    ss="rich-link tone-feature--item rich-link--pillar-arts">

    ="rich-link__link u-faux-block-link__overlay" aria-label="'What it means to be an American': Abraham Lincoln and a nation divided" href="https://www.theguardian.com/books/2020/apr/11/abraham-lincoln-verge-book-ted-widmer-interview">

    From AD166 to around AD180, repeated outbreaks occurred throughout the known world. Roman historians describe the legions being devastated, and entire towns and villages being depopulated and going to ruin. Rome itself was particularly badly affected, carts leaving the city each day piled high with dead bodies.

    In the middle of this plague, Marcus wrote a book, known as The Meditations, which records the moral and psychological advice he gave himself at this time. He frequently applies Stoic philosophy to the challenges of coping with pain, illness, anxiety and loss. It's no stretch of the imagination to view The Meditations as a manual for developing precisely the mental resilience skills required to cope with a pandemic.

    First of all, because Stoics believe that our true good resides in our own character and actions, they would frequently remind themselves to distinguish between what's "up to us" and what isn't. Modern Stoics tend to call this "the dichotomy of control" and many people find this distinction alone helpful in alleviating stress. What happens to me is never directly under my control, never completely up to me, but my own thoughts and actions are – at least the voluntary ones. The pandemic isn't really under my control but the way I behave in response to it is.

    Much, if not all, of our thinking is also up to us. Hence, "It's not events that upset us but rather our opinions about them." More specifically, our judgment that something is really bad, awful or even catastrophic, causes our distress.

    This is one of the basic psychological principles of Stoicism. It's also the basic premise of modern cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT), the leading evidence-based form of psychotherapy. The pioneers of CBT, Albert Ellis and Aaron T Beck, both describe Stoicism as the philosophical inspiration for their approach. It's not the virus that makes us afraid but rather our opinions about it. Nor is it the inconsiderate actions of others, those ignoring social distancing recommendations, that make us angry so much as our opinions about them.

    Many people are struck, on reading The Meditations, by the fact that it opens with a chapter in which Marcus lists the qualities he most admires in other individuals, about 17 friends, members of his family and teachers. This is an extended example of one of the central practices of Stoicism.

    Marcus likes to ask himself, "What virtue has nature given me to deal with this situation?" That naturally leads to the question: "How do other people cope with similar challenges?" Stoics reflect on character strengths such as wisdom, patience and self-discipline, which potentially make them more resilient in the face of adversity. They try to exemplify these virtues and bring them to bear on the challenges they face in daily life, during a crisis like the pandemic. They learn from how other people cope. Even historical figures or fictional characters can serve as role models.

    With all of this in mind, it's easier to understand another common slogan of Stoicism: fear does us more harm than the things of which we're afraid. This applies to unhealthy emotions in general, which the Stoics term "passions" – from pathos , the source of our word "pathological". It's true, first of all, in a superficial sense. Even if you have a 99% chance, or more, of surviving the pandemic, worry and anxiety may be ruining your life and driving you crazy. In extreme cases some people may even take their own lives.

    In that respect, it's easy to see how fear can do us more harm than the things of which we're afraid because it can impinge on our physical health and quality of life. However, this saying also has a deeper meaning for Stoics. The virus can only harm your body – the worst it can do is kill you. However, fear penetrates into the moral core of our being. It can destroy your humanity if you let it. For the Stoics that's a fate worse than death.

    Finally, during a pandemic, you may have to confront the risk, the possibility, of your own death. Since the day you were born, that's always been on the cards. Most of us find it easier to bury our heads in the sand. Avoidance is the No1 most popular coping strategy in the world. We live in denial of the self-evident fact that we all die eventually. The Stoics believed that when we're confronted with our own mortality, and grasp its implications, that can change our perspective on life quite dramatically. Any one of us could die at any moment. Life doesn't go on forever.

    We're told this was what Marcus was thinking about on his deathbed. According to one historian, his circle of friends were distraught. Marcus calmly asked why they were weeping for him when, in fact, they should accept both sickness and death as inevitable, part of nature and the common lot of mankind. He returns to this theme many times throughout The Meditations.

    "All that comes to pass", he tells himself, even illness and death, should be as "familiar as the rose in spring and the fruit in autumn". Marcus Aurelius, through decades of training in Stoicism, in other words, had taught himself to face death with the steady calm of someone who has done so countless times already in the past.

    Donald Robertson is cognitive behavioural therapist and the author of several books on philosophy and psychotherapy, including Stoicism and the Art of Happiness and How to Think Like a Roman Emperor: The Stoic Philosophy of Marcus Aurelius

    [Apr 28, 2020] Dr. Erickson COVID-19 FULL Briefing (Bakersfield doctors dispute need for stay at home order)

    I recommend to watch this video in full.
    Some conclusions from those two doctors: Do we need "shelter in place" the answer is emphatical NO. Do no need business shut down -- the answer is emphatical NO.
    The virus has been proved to be significantly similar to seasonal flue epidemic of which we experience each year. Quarantining the sick is what should be done. Not healthy people.
    Apr 28, 2020 | www.youtube.com

    Audio Fixed Version: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sfiFo...
    THIS VIDEO IS BEING TAKEN DOWN FROM YOUTUBE! DOWNLOAD AN OFFLINE COPY & SHARE WHILE YOU STILL CAN! Download Link: https://mega.nz/file/v1pSHYzB#BS1cGFu...


    watto watson , 2 days ago

    How long is it going to take for people to realize that media reporters only job is to manipulate the truth to suit their own agenda !

    Matt Morris , 2 days ago

    These journalists are arguing with them! The so called "reporters" don't want to report the truth, they WANT to spread fear and chaos and drama. The media is complicit in the coup! The media IS the deep state coup!

    Karen Marshall , 3 days ago (edited)

    Finally light in the middle of pandemic darkness! High spread and low fatality. Thank you for paying attention to the SCIENTIFIC DATA Dr. Erickson and speaking the truth. Someone needed to say this in light of the twilight zone that is now our government leadership AND MEDIA HYPE! Dr. Faulci flat out ignored the biology of herd immunity in his recommendations to Donald Trump. He also ignored the fact that more than 97% recover from Covid without medical assistance let alone need a ventilator! He is culpable for a bankrupt America. We were never at risk for overwhelming our hospitals because most people recovered on their own at home. Thousands got Covid and recovered that the media never talked about. They are corrupt and complicit in a bankrupt America. Instead of saying 'better safe than sorry' and driving our country into bankruptcy how about saying 'better to have money than not' because now 26 million people have lost their jobs and have filed for unemployment. The ignorant ill informed fear mongers have damaged America which we will be feeling for a long time to come. Remember this--- and don't ever let them ever do that to you again. Karen Marshall RN BSN

    [Apr 28, 2020] The hospitals and ICUs are not full of people sick with COVID,

    Apr 28, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Perimetr , Apr 26 2020 15:54 utc | 7

    Dr. Dan Erickson of Accelerated Health Care talks about the impact of the coronavirus on Kern County , California (Bakersfield is 113 miles north of LA)

    The hospitals and ICUs are not full of people sick with COVID, although the models that predicted the healthcare system would be overwhelmed by now. The doctors don't feel the shutdown is justified by what they are seeing.

    [Apr 27, 2020] May I suggest you try drinking bleach to defeat the virus?

    Apr 27, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    b , Apr 25 2020 20:33 utc | 18

    @Hausmeister

    "All patients with Lupus (an autoimmune illness) get hydroxychloroquine as a preventive medical treatment and take it all the time. There is no single case known yet that such a person got covid-19."

    Only some 0.05% of people have Lupus. There is NO statistic available that shows that Lupus cases do not acquire Covid-19. None!

    "HCQ has to be given as early as possible. And it works in different and important ways:

    prevents the virus from replicating (in conjunction with Zinc); and

    protects hemoglobin."

    None of those alleged protections has a scientifically explained causation chain nor have there been any serious studies that prove what you claim.

    May I suggest you try drinking bleach to defeat the virus?

    Trump advertised that too.

    This selling of snake oil is dangerous.

    [Apr 26, 2020] Against the Corona Panic Pt. IV: What about New York City? A Case Study in Hysteria Pandemic vs. Virus Pandemic by Hail

    Apr 23, 2020 | hailtoyou.wordpress.com
    The "CoronaPanic" marches on. It consists of, is driven by, and/or is propped up by a combination of: Fiasco, farce, fascism, failure, fantasy, fanaticism, and a ferocious fit of feeling-over-thinking.

    While there is a flu pandemic going on, we now know it is a minor and rather unremarkable one. (Opinions differ on just how unremarkable; Dr. Knut Wittkowski, a hero of the hour, has recently suggested it looks a lot like the Swine Flu pandemic strain of 2009-10 in its true 'hit' potential.) The virus' impact is dwarfed by a parallel force which I will capitalize for effect. Think of it as: the flu pandemic vs. The Hysteria Pandemic. An abbreviated way to refer to the latter is "the CoronaPanic."

    The CoronaPanic is as a demonic entity that has forced its way into our reality. In this post, I want to show the difference of the immediate effects of the flu pandemic vs. The Hysteria Pandemic, as observable in New York City ( jump to the section on New York ).

    ____________

    A brief word on why I am writing this series of posts .

    Preceding this post in the series "Against the Corona Panic," are: Pt. I , and Pt. II , and Part III , all dealing with something a little different. There will be more.

    I believe the fight against the CoronaPanic is a duty for "those of us who can see." There remain cynics who continue to believe that the best thing to do is "beg the demonic force of the CoronaPanic for table scraps as it feasts on our national soul." I deal with this in Part II ("Say 'No' to jockeying for political advantage on the coattails of Corona Hysteria").

    The evidence we have continues to be against the pro-CoronaPanic side's alarmist predictions and apocalyptic views, as is observed reality everywhere, including/especially in the case of Sweden , the greatest hero of the hour we have. The continuous stream of good news never seems to actually make its way into discourse, which is well and truly surreal to observe.

    As one of the editors of OffGuardian , Kit Knightly, recently said :

    "The most peculiar thing about COVID19 so far has been that they are not hiding the data [ ] The data is right there, and yet it is separate from the narrative, which never references the data; the data never references the narrative. What you have to do is basically ignore everything the media says, and just look at the numbers, and where the numbers come from."

    Many of us realized this at about the height of the Panic, but the initiative had totally been lost to the Corona-extremists, who were enabled, if not led outright, by the media.

    Why is the media ignoring the data and pushing a largely-data-detached narrative of cherry-picked, " scary-looking, big, contexless numbers "? Maybe it's out of garden-variety ignorance; maybe it's that they know better but have caved into the group-hysteria and group-think; maybe it's out of a very cynical desire for the crisis to be as bad as possible so that they look good, even heroic, for reporting on it. I believe all of the above are true, and they partly explain the media's disgraceful role in promoting CoronaPanic, which is nicely depicted in this image:

    US Media during CoronaPanic of 2020 - Centers for the Spread of Mass Hysteria

    One way or another, to entrust the media with your Corona news is to entrust the henhouse to a team of foxes.

    If the media "throws a number at you," the simple act of asking basic, critical questions is often enough for the narrative to unravel in front of you. Which is what follows about New York City.

    The surprise . In the search for answers, you can/will find hidden stories, such as the one I am going to try to tell below, in which we can tentatively quantify the impact of the Panic vs. the impact of the virus. The surprise is that even in terms of immediate-term body count, the Panic is much worse than the virus, the cure much worse than the disease for the body-politic; the net-losers, almost everyone.

    _____________

    The Coronavirus in New York: Piercing the Numbers-Fog

    A commenter on the previous post (" 'Just the Flu' Vindicated ") asks:

    [W]hat do you make of the New York news release claiming 24000 deaths since March 1, which supposedly is 4 times normal. Is this true?
    (– MattinLA )

    Good question. Given the sensationalist way the media has covered the US hotspot of New York City, there is no better opportunity to look for context, to practice the art of critical inquiry, to ask basic questions.

    In an introductory section to the "Just the Flu Vindicated" post, I wrote about the media and the pro-CoronaPanic side (but I repeat myself!)'s " Scary-looking, Big, Contextless Numbers " tactic. The alarming-seeming numbers out of New York City are a good case study of this phenomenon. Twenty-four thousand!

    MattinLA asks whether it is "true" that there were 24,000 deaths up to April 22. I don't doubt that the 24,000 coronavirus-positive-deaths figure is true, in the sense that they have counted 24,000 bodies since March 1 which were positive for the virus. But this is not the same as 24,000 coronavirus- caused deaths, and in any case the number 24,000 itself needs context to have any real meaning.

    What does the "24,000 deaths" figure mean?

    As a first-off, bird's-eye-view, one-line response, I'd offer this:

    What a number like that (24,000) more likely shows is that the virus was/is widespread in the population at a given time that those 'positives' were logged on the death rolls.

    In statistics we run what is called a Null Hypothesis test. If we assume the virus has a <0.15% fatality rate in New York, can we use the data we have to definitely reject that "null hypothesis"? It looks unlikely. (cf.: Austrian researchers have found that in their country's case, the null-hypothesis that coronavirus-positives have been dying at the same rate as coronavirus-negatives in Austria could not be rejected; in other words, at the time of that study there was no firm statistical evidence for the virus being uniquely dangerous at all, in Austria at least.)

    Put another way: Given that we have data out of a lot of places now that all suggests a fatality-rate between 0.02% and 0.2% (which is, embarrassingly for the Panic-pushers, within the normal range for flu viruses), which of the following is more likely on why we have seen a high number of deaths in New York City (although a fairly counted true toll is not 24,000; see below). Is it:

    (a) that the virus in highly urban New York City spread more fully and sooner than it did in other places, and therefore has yielded more virus-positive deaths in roughly proportional terms to its spread, or

    (b) that the virus is much more deadly in New York City than the same strain of flu virus is in other places, including neighboring localities, or

    (c) that the data in NYC is right and the data most everywhere else is wrong; that only New York's (seeming, at-first-glance) death figures are "true." Most other countries, regions, cities, and testing authorities have either bungled their data, or are covering it up.

    One of those three must be true. To immediately assume (c), to run with (c), brooking no dissent on (c), is the mark of the true "Doomer," or CoronaCultist. The latter is someone so obsessed with the Panic that that they have effectively converted to a religion centered around it.

    I believe the media's default position is effectively a soft version of (c). They don't say this directly. It is implied.

    Few of the assumers of (c) stop to ask whether they have made a reasonable assumption. They start to love Corona in a perverse way. They start to their chains. Maybe it's useful to think of it in terms of a "Corona Stockholm Syndrome" (ironically, the Stockholmers themselves proved 'immune' from this syndrome; see also Sweden Vindicated ).

    ________________

    Now on to analyzing the "24,000 deaths" number itself. First we should establish the base population. Reports are that it applies to the NYC metro area, not to NYC proper. I assume they are using the NYC Metropolitan Statistical Area measure, population 20.3 million.

    The first question to ask is:

    How many deaths are normal for the same time period?

    This is to say, how many deaths are statistically expected for the period March 1 to April 22, for the NYC metro area, in a regular year (53 days of late winter, into early spring), absent a peak-flu-event? (and what about with a peak flu event?)

    The number of normal-expected deaths for the NYC-MSA is probably in the vicinity of 25,000 to 27,000 , if their death rate is in line with the national average. (If someone has the exact numbers of deaths for the same period in 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, and 2019, those would be useful. I can't imagine it will be far off 26,000.)

    If, in February and March, this flu virus achieved the level of penetration in NYC that it appears to have done, a lot of the normal/expected deaths in March and April would have been "corona-positive" at death. They would have died imminently anyway, in many cases on exactly the same day and the presence of the flu virus is coincidental and did not contribute to death.

    In other words, there is going to be overlap between the categories "normal deaths" and "coronavirus-positive deaths." How much overlap is hard to say, but we know from elsewhere that it is high. It could easily be half (as it was in Hamburg, Germany, when they started dividing between "deaths with" and "deaths from" this much-hyped virus), plausibly even more than half (as seen in early reports in Sweden, which estimated up to two-thirds were "deaths with"). For simplicity of calculation, let's say half.

    Deaths could, therefore, not have risen 4x above normal because of the virus. If total deaths did rise 4x above normal, putting total deaths for the period at 100,000+, something else caused most of the excess deaths, because there aren't nearly enough coronavirus-positive deaths to account for it . Epecially not when measuring deaths fairly (see paragraph above). This is the first hint that something dark may be going on here, the big surprise we find when we tug on the numbers: That the Panic has killed more people already than the virus.

    I haven't yet seen any official, all-cause-mortality data for NYC metro area for the CoronaPanic period. The New York Times published some graphs that appear to have been made by their staffers, manually adding all reported corona-positive deaths as marginal deaths onto a graph plotting a supposed historical-running-average; if so, that is dishonest but alas unsurprising for the way Corona discourse goes.

    _________________

    Conceptual categories for deaths during a peak-flu-event (and a Panic)

    Useful would be thinking in terms of four categories of deaths , conceptually, all of which we can theoretically calculate when the smoke clears, and as for now make estimates:

    1. Corona-positive Normal Deaths;
    2. Corona-negative Normal Deaths;
    3. Corona-positive Excess Deaths .sub-dividable into: (3a.) those dying of a respiratory disease (some very large share of which may be attributed to "COVID19" during the epidemic); (3b.) those dying of, or primarily of, other causes, with the virus playing an ambiguous role at most;
    4. Corona-negative Excess Deaths.

    The "24,000 corona-positive deaths" figure is distributed between categories (1) and (3). (1)+(2) must add to 26,000 (or whatever the exact number is of normal deaths absent a peak-flu-event temporary spike in deaths).

    The deaths in "(3a.)" are true victims of the viral flu epidemic. In this case, because there was a Panic, the theoretically fully calculable figure of (3) must be treated with caution. The less-calculable figure (3a.) is what we are really after.

    The deaths in "(4)" are unambiguous victims of the Panic. Reports are that hospitals in NYC have had record-low intakes, especially heart attack victims have dropped off. These deaths would not have occurred had a Panic been averted in mid-March. The Panic-pushers are responsible for these deaths.

    The weeks-long, pro-CoronaPanic stranglehold on the media (looking set to last months more), and the successful pushing of the hysteria ( see image above for an artistic reproduction) made many tens of thousands too scared to seek treatment when they needed urgent care.

    Some thousands of these unlucky, frightened people will have died of (treatable) ailments like heart attacks. These are clear cases of "4."

    [ Update (April 24):] Here is a graphical representation, found online, of the rise in "at-home deaths" in New York City. We know from much data elsewhere that coronavirus-attributable deaths very seldom occur at home, but are slow onset and victims are hospitalized first. It's likely that the entirety of this excess is to people in category "4," running hundreds a day for over a month:

    NYC - Deaths at Home

    The funny thing is, if someone dies in such circumstances -- the heart attack victim who doesn't seek help -- and ends up positive for the virus at death, he still goes up onto the bloodthirsty media's "Big Board of Corona Deaths." This is a kind of 'scam' and bogus data that led some on the anti-CoronaPanic side to use the the term "Scamdemic."

    The practice of over-counting corona victims is satirically shown here, a jab at the pro-CoronaPanic side, circulating by early-mid April:

    The Coronavirus Hysteria Pandemic - 2019 vs 2020 diagnoses

    Some nursing homes have also been abandoned by cowardly, panicking staff (ultimately driven to the Panic by the media), and in such places there have been cases of elderly residents dying from lack of care. These deaths, at least some of them, are attributable to the Panic, not the Virus, mostly sortable into category 3b or 4.

    What are best-guesses for the number of deaths in each category? If we have a known figure of 24,000 total Corona-Positive Deaths, and a figure of 26,000 Normal Deaths (recalling that these are overlapping), and if we have significant virus penetration/spread in the population which especially hit places like nursing homes where many are close to death in any case, the split may look something close to this:

    Total Deaths in New York City metro area for the period (est.) (proposed):

    1. Corona-positive Normal Deaths: 12,000
    2. Corona-negative Normal Deaths: 14,000
    3. Corona-positive Excess Deaths: 12,000 (some unnecessary and caused by the Panic; 5,000-10,000 true coronavirus-induced deaths?)
    4. Corona-negative Excess Deaths: ? (all unnecessary, collateral victims of the Panic)

    The (1)+(2) figure is 26,000 (the normal death rate), and here it is proposed 45% of normal-deaths were positive at death during the height of the epidemic, which may or may not run slightly ahead of the total-population penetration rate. It is reasonable to assume it runs ahead of the full-population rate because of spread within hospitals and other long-term care facilities with terminal patients whose time had come in March/April and would have come absent a flu-virus epidemic.

    As for (3) and (4). If a Panic is ongoing, or there is some other non-virus-related mechanism causing excess deaths (in other words, if "(4)" is above zero), "(3)" must be subdivided. The force driving "(4)" will also be spilling over into "(3)," hence the proposed (3a.) and (3b.), which are harder to calculate. Just because you are positive does not mean you get a serious disease; very few do. But you might well still die of something else (like those heart attack victims who stay hunkered down at home) while incidentally positive and be an excess death.

    To get a better handle on this problem, death certificate information would be useful. How many deaths were classified as "primary cause: respiratory disease"?

    [ MAJOR UPDATE (April 25): See a comment below . The numbers now released for deaths occurring through April 18, including average age for corona-positive vs. corona-negative deaths, place of death for corona-positive deaths, and deaths in New York City through April 18, corona-positive vs. corona-negative) offer strong corroboration for the contents of this post.]

    ______________

    New York City at the cusp of Herd Immunity

    If the number I propose there for "(1)" is correct, and such a large portion of corona-positive NYC metro area deaths have been in "people who were dying anyway" (suggested by, e.g., the report that half of corona-positive deaths have been to nursing home patients), this would mean the virus has reached a large share of the total population, something like 30% to 40% population penetration this writing. (= 6 to 8 million people in the metro area having had current or past contact with the virus), with terminal patients running ahead of that rate. If this is the case, we are once again down to the 0.1% fatality rate range for the virus itself.

    Here is the calculation derived from the above:

    <10,000 deaths in the NYC metro area fairly attributable to the direct effect of the virus
    divided by
    7 million people in the region whose bodies have had contact with the virus (@ 35% of metro area population of 20.3 million being either a past- or present-positive)
    _______________
    = ca. 0.1% fatality rate

    which is in line with the numbers out of just about every other large-area study since early April), and we are back to Just The Flu .

    If the virus penetration rate is that high, it is good news, as it means New York City's epidemic is already over , or very soon over, as they are at the cusp of Herd Immunity. It also suggests that the lockdowns were unnecessary and created a Panic that killed more than the virus ever could. A complete failure of policy, driven by a hostile media and cowardly or demagogic political leaders. If there are any responsible people left in charge, they need to take action to end the deadly and destructive Panic.

    ______________

    Just how deadly might the Great Hysteria Pandemic (as against the lesser virus pandemic) have been?

    On non-coronavirus- attributable excess deaths

    Recalling the four categories of deaths again:

    1. Corona-positive Normal Deaths;
    2. Corona-negative Normal Deaths;
    3. Corona-positive Excess Deaths sub-dividable into: (3a.) those dying of a respiratory disease (some very large share of which may be attributed to "COVID19" during the epidemic); (3b.) those dying of, or primarily of, other causes, with the virus playing an ambiguous role at most;
    4. Corona-negative Excess Deaths.

    What might be the totals for (4), corona-negative excess deaths, and (3b.), corona-positive excess deaths not caused by a respiratory disease? Put more directly: How many people have the lockdowns already killed in NYC?

    When we get final and confirmed total-mortality data for the NYC metro area, which may not be soon ( if someone has this, please leave a comment ), we can calculate (4) as follows:

    [Total Reported Deaths] minus (1) minus (2) minus (3) = (4).

    [ Update (April 24):] Recall this graph from above:

    NYC - Deaths at Home

    [ Update (April 24), cont.:] We see that excess deaths at home may have pushed up to 7,500, cumulative, by April 22, for NYC proper alone; this may need to be up to doubled for the NYC metro as a whole. Therefore 15,000 may be a ballpark-estimate for for "(4)," plus thousands more in (3b.), adding up to Panic-caused deaths at twice or three times the number of true, coronavirus-attributable deaths (or "3a" above). The lesson here is: It turns out that when a Panic is created, people take it seriously, and the outcomes can cause increased mortality in the immediate term .

    [ Update (April 25): See also how the above estimates all compare to the latest CDC data for all deaths through April 18. The latest data corroborates each of the findings of this post.

    ______________

    The same phenomenon of Panic-caused excess deaths, documented in the UK

    Figures out of the UK suggest "(4)+(3b.)" are at least as high as "(3a.)" in a high-panic place like New York City, and potentially pushing three times as high.

    Health authorities in the UK estimate there have been more than 2,500 excess heart attack deaths in London so far, "excess" meaning those that would normally be treatable and make full recoveries but have instead died. (That is, since the bizarre about-face by the UK government, in which the government caved in totally to the Doomers and pro-'Lockdown' extremists [see also: UK Imperial College study shown to be laughably wrong ]. In the words of anti-CoronaPanic expert Knut Wittkowski, the UK's cave-in was based on " one person's guesstimate " as other experts were sidelined or not consulted; a surreal episode and a disgrace to the Western tradition.)

    London's spike in total mortality, which drives the UK's excess-mortality spike, is therefore largely explained by people too afraid to to the hospital when they needed to and dying easily preventable deaths, a fact now admitted in the Guardian (a sign that the pro-Panic coalition is fraying at the seams?).

    The same holds true in New York.

    Possible demographic factors in non-coronavirus-attributable excess deaths

    A higher figure for "(4)" could partly indicate a low-trust population in the given area affected, one much less able to withstand any kind of stressor, less able to "come together," one that may have little in common with each other, perhaps mutually suspicious of one another.

    This general description certainly fits today's metro NYC. A large portion of New York, especially in the outer boroughs, is all but completely devoid of Americans; it was here that the Panic may have struck hard and the people least ready for how to deal with the e social stressor thereof, and hunkered down, distrusting all and easy victims of the media-driven Panic. This produced bodies for the media in their bid to appease their new god; an evil self-fulfilling prophecy.

    We also hear that as much as half of Stockholm's corona-positive deaths at one point were to Somali immigrants, and a fair portion to other immigrants, putting ethnic Swedes' total-fatality rate in Stockholm during the current flu epidemic at a very low level indeed, with deaths probably rounding to 0.0% based on the latest studies there. There may be something of an international pattern here.

    The No-Lockdown Swedes have avoided much of a "(4)," as have other populations of higher social trust and regimes that blunted the impact of the evil-beast of CoronaPanic.

    ______________

    The non-corona- attributable excess deaths: Whose fault?

    What causes a man to refuse to go to the hospital when he has a heart attack? What causes an immediate-term death of despair?

    It is no cosmic mystery that the cause here is the Panic itself, and so we must ask: Who caused the Panic?

    The CoronaPanic-pushers, large and small, in the media and elsewhere. The Corona opportunists, large and small, especially what I call the the Corona Coup d'Etat faction, which is to say many political leaders. (A great case has been made in OffGuardian today for the Corona Coup d'Etat Hypothesis ).

    (I wrote previously on the "Who is Responsible for the Corona Panic" question , March 26.)

    The surprising finding that has emerged, in clear view by mid-April, and clear in the New York City data, is that the Panic-pushers have already killed more people than the unremarkable flu virus ever will, at least in certain hotspots . This is humbling, and enough to make the anti-CoronaPanic side redouble its efforts that we may be liberated from this "mind virus," as each day it does more damage.

    The hard times for us the living are yet to come, and will tower over the short-term hit in Panic-caused deaths (The Mass Hysteria Pandemic) that was a focus of this post. More and more are seeing this as among the most extreme cases of "burning down the village in order to save it" in our times. Aggregate life-years and life-year-equivalents lost due to the the effects of the Panic will exceed those lost to the virus by hundreds fold , and plausibly even thousands fold. A complete defeat for the pro-CoronaPanic holdouts. May they see the light.

    None of this needed to be. May the guilty be disempowered and live out their days in shame; may the rest of us learn the right lessons that this never happen again.

    [Apr 26, 2020] Detlev Kr ger, who was the professor at Drosten at the Charit (Berlin Top Hospital) for 27 years: He says COVID-19 is comparable with a flu, regarding the danger.

    Apr 26, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    mk , Apr 25 2020 19:49 utc | 7

    Detlev Krüger, who was the professor at Drosten at the Charité (Berlin Top Hospital) for 27 years, has taken a stand (interesting that the German MSM seem not to be interested in his opinion):

    https://de.sputniknews.com/interviews/20200425326953541-corona-gefahr-virologe/

    He says COVID-19 is comparable with a flu, regarding the danger.

    ////- Und dieses Virus ist nicht gefährlicher als die anderen?

    - Ich sehe bisher keine höhere Gefährlichkeit zumindest im Vergleich mit solchen Killerviren wie Ebola oder dem Humanen Immundefizienzvirus.

    Ich halte es bisher noch nicht einmal für gefährlicher als bestimmte Varianten des Grippevirus.///

    He also advises people against masks.

    ///Das jetzt plötzlich von der Politik entdeckte Tragen von „Mund-Nasen-Schutz" halte ich dagegen für Aktionismus. Es sollte klar sein, dass man sich damit nicht schützen kann, weil man weiter die Umgebungsluft ungefiltert atmet. Es gibt hierbei lediglich einen gewissen Effekt, wenn man selbst infiziert und damit Virusausscheider ist. Der „Mund-Nasen-Schutz" gaukelt eine Sicherheit vor, die nicht existiert und er ist eher eine „Keimschleuder" für verschiedenste Krankheitserreger, wenn er unsauber wird. ///

    [Apr 25, 2020] The Data Is In... Stop The Panic End The Total Isolation by Scott Atlas

    Apr 24, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com
    Authored by Scott Atlas, M.D., op-ed via The Hill,

    The tragedy of the COVID-19 pandemic appears to be entering the containment phase. Tens of thousands of Americans have died , and Americans are now desperate for sensible policymakers who have the courage to ignore the panic and rely on facts. Leaders must examine accumulated data to see what has actually happened, rather than keep emphasizing hypothetical projections; combine that empirical evidence with fundamental principles of biology established for decades; and then thoughtfully restore the country to function.

    Five key facts are being ignored by those calling for continuing the near-total lockdown.

    Fact 1: The overwhelming majority of people do not have any significant risk of dying from COVID-19.

    The recent Stanford University antibody study now estimates that the fatality rate if infected is likely 0.1 to 0.2 percent, a risk far lower than previous World Health Organization estimates that were 20 to 30 times higher and that motivated isolation policies.

    In New York City, an epicenter of the pandemic with more than one-third of all U.S. deaths, the rate of death for people 18 to 45 years old is 0.01 percent, or 11 per 100,000 in the population. On the other hand, people aged 75 and over have a death rate 80 times that. For people under 18 years old, the rate of death is zero per 100,000.

    Of all fatal cases in New York state , two-thirds were in patients over 70 years of age; more than 95 percent were over 50 years of age; and about 90 percent of all fatal cases had an underlying illness. Of 6,570 confirmed COVID-19 deaths fully investigated for underlying conditions to date, 6,520, or 99.2 percent , had an underlying illness. If you do not already have an underlying chronic condition, your chances of dying are small, regardless of age. And young adults and children in normal health have almost no risk of any serious illness from COVID-19.

    Fact 2: Protecting older, at-risk people eliminates hospital overcrowding.

    We can learn about hospital utilization from data from New York City , the hotbed of COVID-19 with more than 34,600 hospitalizations to date. For those under 18 years of age, hospitalization from the virus is 0.01 percent per 100,000 people; for those 18 to 44 years old, hospitalization is 0.1 percent per 100,000. Even for people ages 65 to 74, only 1.7 percent were hospitalized. Of 4,103 confirmed COVID-19 patients with symptoms bad enough to seek medical care, Dr. Leora Horwitz of NYU Medical Center concluded "age is far and away the strongest risk factor for hospitalization." Even early WHO reports noted that 80 percent of all cases were mild, and more recent studies show a far more widespread rate of infection and lower rate of serious illness. Half of all people testing positive for infection have no symptoms at all. The vast majority of younger, otherwise healthy people do not need significant medical care if they catch this infection.

    Fact 3: Vital population immunity is prevented by total isolation policies, prolonging the problem.

    We know from decades of medical science that infection itself allows people to generate an immune response -- antibodies -- so that the infection is controlled throughout the population by " herd immunity ." Indeed, that is the main purpose of widespread immunization in other viral diseases -- to assist with population immunity. In this virus, we know that medical care is not even necessary for the vast majority of people who are infected. It is so mild that half of infected people are asymptomatic, shown in early data from the Diamond Princess ship, and then in Iceland and Italy . That has been falsely portrayed as a problem requiring mass isolation. In fact, infected people without severe illness are the immediately available vehicle for establishing widespread immunity. By transmitting the virus to others in the low-risk group who then generate antibodies, they block the network of pathways toward the most vulnerable people, ultimately ending the threat. Extending whole-population isolation would directly prevent that widespread immunity from developing.

    Fact 4: People are dying because other medical care is not getting done due to hypothetical projections.

    Critical health care for millions of Americans is being ignored and people are dying to accommodate "potential" COVID-19 patients and for fear of spreading the disease. Most states and many hospitals abruptly stopped "nonessential" procedures and surgery . That prevented diagnoses of life-threatening diseases, like cancer screening, biopsies of tumors now undiscovered and potentially deadly brain aneurysms. Treatments, including emergency care, for the most serious illnesses were also missed. Cancer patients deferred chemotherapy . An estimated 80 percent of brain surgery cases were skipped. Acute stroke and heart attack patients missed their only chances for treatment, some dying and many now facing permanent disability.

    Fact 5: We have a clearly defined population at risk who can be protected with targeted measures.

    The overwhelming evidence all over the world consistently shows that a clearly defined group -- older people and others with underlying conditions -- is more likely to have a serious illness requiring hospitalization and more likely to die from COVID-19. Knowing that, it is a commonsense, achievable goal to target isolation policy to that group, including strictly monitoring those who interact with them. Nursing home residents, the highest risk, should be the most straightforward to systematically protect from infected people, given that they already live in confined places with highly restricted entry.

    The appropriate policy, based on fundamental biology and the evidence already in hand, is to institute a more focused strategy like some outlined in the first place:

    This would allow the essential socializing to generate immunity among those with minimal risk of serious consequence, while saving lives, preventing overcrowding of hospitals and limiting the enormous harms compounded by continued total isolation. Let's stop underemphasizing empirical evidence while instead doubling down on hypothetical models. Facts matter.

    * * *

    Scott W. Atlas, MD, is the David and Joan Traitel Senior Fellow at Stanford University's Hoover Institution and the former chief of neuroradiology at Stanford University Medical Center.


    xxx

    You can lift the lockdown, but the psychological damage has already been done and it is irreversible. Our economy will never return to the free-wheeling, go for broke mentality of 4 months ago. That spirit is gone with the wind.

    xxx

    With all due respect to the MD author......answer this question.

    How many would be dead/dying WITHOUT any isolation at all?

    The Herd immunity concept is a cop out.......it was called Euthanasia back in the NAZI Germany day.

    Comparing Spanish Flu statistics to today is asinine. Your average MD in 1918 new nothing about virology and or public health....I will say it again....nothing.

    In orders of magnitude;

    Reinstate levels of all of the above to 1918 levels and Covid-19 would be absolutely savaging the world population.

    **** off back to the bar diner if that is your wish but dont come crying down the road because your alveoli are full of puss and you cant breathe just find a dark corner somewhere and die quietly in it.

    xxx

    Status of COVID-19

    As of 19 March 2020, COVID-19 is no longer considered to be a high consequence infectious disease (HCID) in the UK:

    https://www.gov.uk/guidance/high-consequence-infectious-diseases-hcid

    Guidance

    High consequence infectious diseases (HCID)

    Guidance and information about high consequence infectious diseases and their management in England.

    Contents

    1. Status of COVID-19
    2. Definition of HCID
    3. Classification of HCIDs
    4. List of high consequence infectious diseases
    5. HCIDs in the UK
    6. HCID risks by country
    7. Monthly summaries of global HCID events
    8. Infection prevention and control in healthcare settings
    9. Specialist advice for healthcare professionals
    10. Hospital management of confirmed HCID cases
    11. Travel health advice for HCIDs

    Status of COVID-19

    As of 19 March 2020, COVID-19 is no longer considered to be a high consequence infectious diseases (HCID) in the UK.

    The 4 nations public health HCID group made an interim recommendation in January 2020 to classify COVID-19 as an HCID. This was based on consideration of the UK HCID criteria about the virus and the disease with information available during the early stages of the outbreak. Now that more is known about COVID-19, the public health bodies in the UK have reviewed the most up to date information about COVID-19 against the UK HCID criteria. They have determined that several features have now changed; in particular, more information is available about mortality rates (low overall), and there is now greater clinical awareness and a specific and sensitive laboratory test, the availability of which continues to increase.

    The Advisory Committee on Dangerous Pathogens (ACDP) is also of the opinion that COVID-19 should no longer be classified as an HCID.

    The need to have a national, coordinated response remains, but this is being met by the government's COVID-19 response .

    Cases of COVID-19 are no longer managed by HCID treatment centres only. All healthcare workers managing possible and confirmed cases should follow the updated national infection and prevention (IPC) guidance for COVID-19 , which supersedes all previous IPC guidance for COVID-19. This guidance includes instructions about different personal protective equipment (PPE) ensembles that are appropriate for different clinical scenarios.

    Definition of HCID

    In the UK, a high consequence infectious disease (HCID) is defined according to the following criteria:

    • acute infectious disease
    • typically has a high case-fatality rate
    • may not have effective prophylaxis or treatment
    • often difficult to recognise and detect rapidly
    • ability to spread in the community and within healthcare settings
    • requires an enhanced individual, population and system response to ensure it is managed effectively, efficiently and safely

    Classification of HCIDs

    HCIDs are further divided into contact and airborne groups:

    • contact HCIDs are usually spread by direct contact with an infected patient or infected fluids, tissues and other materials, or by indirect contact with contaminated materials and fomites
    • airborne HCIDs are spread by respiratory droplets or aerosol transmission, in addition to contact routes of transmission

    List of high consequence infectious diseases

    A list of HCIDs has been agreed by a joint Public Health England (PHE) and NHS England HCID Programme:

    Contact HCID
    Airborne HCID

    Argentine haemorrhagic fever (Junin virus)
    Andes virus infection (hantavirus)

    Bolivian haemorrhagic fever (Machupo virus)
    Avian influenza A H7N9 and H5N1

    Crimean Congo haemorrhagic fever (CCHF)
    Avian influenza A H5N6 and H7N7

    Ebola virus disease (EVD)
    Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS)

    Lassa fever
    Monkeypox

    Lujo virus disease
    Nipah virus infection

    Marburg virus disease (MVD)
    Pneumonic plague (Yersinia pestis)

    Severe fever with thrombocytopaenia syndrome (SFTS)
    Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS)*

    *No cases reported since 2004, but SARS remains a notifiable disease under the International Health Regulations (2005), hence its inclusion here

    **Human to human transmission has not been described to date for avian influenza A(H5N6). Human to human transmission has been described for avian influenza A(H5N1), although this was not apparent until more than 30 human cases had been reported. Both A(H5N6) and A(H5N1) often cause severe illness and fatalities. Therefore, A(H5N6) has been included in the airborne HCID list despite not meeting all of the HCID criteria.

    The list of HCIDs will be kept under review and updated by PHE if new HCIDs emerge that are of relevance to the UK.

    HCIDs in the UK

    HCIDs, including viral haemorrhagic fevers (VHFs), are rare in the UK. When cases do occur, they tend to be sporadic and are typically associated with recent travel to an area where the infection is known to be endemic or where an outbreak is occurring. None of the HCIDs listed above are endemic in the UK, and the known animal reservoirs are not found in the UK.

    As of February 2020, 2019, the UK has experience of managing confirmed cases of Lassa fever, EVD, CCHF, MERS and monkeypox. The vast majority of these patients acquired their infections overseas, but rare incidents of secondary transmission of MERS and monkeypox have occurred in the UK.

    xxx

    Dumbest comment in the history of ZH, and that's saying a lot.

    In 1918, people weren't flying all over the world 24 hours a day, going to work on crowded trains, riding to their offices in crowded elevators, etc. Also, doctors were not as dumb as you suppose.

    Also, if hygiene is such a big factor, why is Bangladesh largely unaffected? Why is Belarus not dying en masse even though they've taken a "don't give a ****" stance since Day 1?

    The Flu of 1918 was far more deadly than this little cold. It had killed 10 million four months in.

    So go hide in your closet. I'll be outside playing and building up my immune system.

    xxx

    How many would be dead/dying WITHOUT any isolation at all?

    Much much less.

    Btw covid isn't the Spanish flu, get it out of your head.

    xxx

    What do you call ravaging? 2 million? Do we destroy the planet for 2 million?

    9 million died of hunger last year and we find that completely acceptable even though it's the most preventable cause of death out there.

    if we were truly concerned about people not dying we could fix that for less money and lively hoods than we have spent this year already and we're just getting started.

    I don't think you see what's coming in the form of global unrest, wars, famine, complete marshal law, ect. I reply to you respectfully and will listen to anything you have to say with an open mind.

    [Apr 24, 2020] This virus, the social distancing and all that hocus pocus is getting more and more bizarre by the day.

    Apr 24, 2020 | www.unz.com

    The Grim Joker , says: Show Comment April 23, 2020 at 6:52 pm GMT

    ... ... ...

    Yesterday's Action

    My bank now has traffic pylons outside the door. They ask the following questions if you want to enter:
    -Have you been out of the country ? Answer; How am I going to be out of the country when the airport is closed?
    -Do you have any symptoms ? Answer: If I had I would be at the hospital
    -Have you associated with anyone who has the symptoms? Answer: If I thought they did I would ask them to go to the hospital and so would I.
    -Sir! There is no need to be rude. Answer: Far from it. You are asking questions parrot fashion. Questions that do not make any sense.

    After getting MY money out of THEIR pockets I proceeded to the auto mechanic for front brakes.

    Joker: Am I allowed to come inside ?

    70 Year old Mechanic Unmasked : Sure, you are the only customer today. You can keep me company while I do the work. I cannot afford to lose customers.

    [Apr 24, 2020] 'Floating petri dishes of disease': How on earth are cruise liners STILL at sea, MONTHS after Covid-19 struck, killing dozens?

    Apr 24, 2020 | on.rt.com

    20 Apr, 2020 13:01 Get short URL 'Floating petri dishes of disease': How on earth are cruise liners STILL at sea, MONTHS after Covid-19 struck, killing dozens? The Ruby Princess cruise ship docked at Port Kembla in Wollongong, Australia, April 6, 2020 © AAP Image/Dean Lewins via REUTERS Follow RT on RT Stephen Corby is an Australian journalist who has written news, features and columns for major national newspapers there, and edited magazines including Top Gear Australia. More than 6,000 people are stuck at sea on ships, some of which set off as late as last month. Now there are criminal investigations and lawsuits underway, accusing blundering cruise firms of corporate manslaughter. Back in 2017, when humour was still a thing, American comedian Bill Burr made a caustic suggestion as to how we could prevent global environmental collapse, by "thinning out the herd" of humanity.

    "I would randomly sink cruise ships," he insisted, straight-faced. "You get 2,500 to 3,000 people to whack, and I think it's a good mix of people to get rid of."

    No-one is laughing about cruise ship passengers dying now, of course – at one stage a quarter of all coronavirus deaths in Australia, for example, came from a single ship, the Ruby Princess – but there is definitely something funny-peculiar about the fact that so many people were still ambling onto these giant, floating virus buffets in March, even after the Diamond Princess debacle in Japan.

    On February 1, this ship, owned by Carnival Cruises, was advised that a passenger who had recently disembarked in Hong Kong was being treated for Covid-19. It was almost two full days before the passengers and crew were informed of the danger, and two more days until they were quarantined in their cabins.

    While it is impossible to know how much the disease spread during that hiatus, as guests hung out in saunas and ate cheek by jowl, what we do know is that more than 700 people ended up infected. At one stage, the Diamond Princess accounted for more than half the world's cases outside of China.

    Read more Tourist on board coronavirus cruise ship 'Diamond Princess' becomes 1st British death from outbreak Tourist on board coronavirus cruise ship 'Diamond Princess' becomes 1st British death from outbreak

    Terrified passengers and staff were trapped on the ship – many in windowless cabins – as it remained docked in Yokohama for weeks, and 12 people eventually died.

    Then on March 5th, just four days after the final crew member was evacuated from the Diamond Princess, coronavirus tests were being dropped by helicopter onto its sister ship the Grand Princess, off the coast of California.

    Frighteningly, 21 of the first 46 people tested were positive, and President Trump was soon suggesting the entire ship should be prevented from disembarking. "I don't need to have the numbers double because of one ship," he said – and nearly 2,000 passengers were eventually quarantined on US military bases.

    And yet, despite a tidal wave of ominous stories about cruise ships becoming petri dishes for the virus, 2,647 people piled onto another Carnival ship, the Ruby Princess, in Sydney Harbour on March 8th, for what would become the most ill-fated voyage since the Titanic.

    That same day, the Centers for Disease Control in Atlanta issued a public advisory to "defer all cruise ship travel, worldwide." Carnival Cruise Line spokesman Roger Frizzell later pointed out that the company was under no legal obligation to follow that recommendation. "The advisory is not an edict," he said.

    Despite how aware the world was of the virus's infectiousness, Ruby's crew had just 12 hours to properly clean a vessel that would be as tall as a 70-storey building if parked vertically.

    Let's all do the corona conga

    One passenger, Stacie Hunt, 36, says she realised "things were serious" before they even got on the boat. "At the end of the day, we knew what was going on around the world. We knew how quickly it spread in ships," she said. "People just didn't care."

    The Ruby Princess sailed to New Zealand (one of its stops there, in Napier, left behind a cluster of 19 virus cases) and then raced back to Sydney three days ahead of schedule as global authorities began to crack down on ship arrivals.

    Despite the fact that doctors on board had already reported sick passengers to authorities, video later emerged of a conga line of kitchen staff dancing through a packed dining room on the last night of the voyage. Authorities would later announce that it was likely a "crew member working in the galley" had started the spread of the virus.

    Read more France launches probe into Covid-19 outbreak on its only aircraft carrier as 20 sailors remain in hospital, 1 in intensive care France launches probe into Covid-19 outbreak on its only aircraft carrier as 20 sailors remain in hospital, 1 in intensive care

    Cruise ships always arrive in Sydney Harbour at dawn, to make the most of its majesty, but the Ruby Princess docked at 2am on March 19th. Three ambulances were waiting on the dock to collect stricken passengers.

    The circumstances surrounding exactly how the rest of those on board were allowed to waltz off and board domestic and international flights – rather than being quarantined – is now the subject of a criminal investigation by the Australian police, alongside a Special Commission of Inquiry.

    More than 600 of the voyage's passengers have since been diagnosed with coronavirus, making it the biggest individual contributor to Australia's Covid-19 numbers, and 19 people have died.

    Passengers from the ship have also taken the virus to Canada, America and the UK, and lawsuits have been lodged in the US against the operator of the Ruby Princess, alleging officials took a "lackadaisical approach" to safety.

    Graeme Lake and his wife Karla took the cruise to celebrate her 75th birthday, but both contracted the virus during the trip and she later died. Graeme says passengers were never told they were at risk, and has vowed to seek justice for his beloved partner.

    "They made a point of not letting anyone know at all that anyone was sick," he told Australia's Seven Television. "Good as gold, we thought, it's fine."

    RT NSW Police personnel in personal protective equipment board the Ruby Princess during the Strike Force Bast raid of the cruise ship at Port Kembla, New South Wales, Australia, April 8, 2020, in this still image from video © Reuters Armageddon out of here

    Incredibly this week, while the boat – effectively a crime scene – is still quarantined off the coast of Australia, with more than 1,000 crew on board, including 140 active coronavirus cases, American Jan Swartz, the president of Carnival Cruises – which has seen its share price fall 75 percent this year – appeared in a video to announce that the company "remains optimistic that Emerald and Ruby Princess will still be able to offer roundtrip cruises from Seattle to Alaska in the late summer."

    Carnival has now finally cancelled all of its cruises through late June, and some through the end of the year. The company's chief experience officer declared: "The cruise space is as bad as it gets. It's armageddon."

    What does seem alarming is how long the company had known that armageddon was approaching, and the fact that it continued to put both its customers and its staff in harm's way. Aside from the Ruby, Diamond and Grand Princesses, at least seven more of the Carnival Line's ships have become virus hot spots, resulting in more than 1,500 positive infections and at least 39 fatalities.

    As of April 9, there were still more than 6,000 passengers at sea on various ships, and some of them may not be able to disembark until the end of April. Clearly, the death toll is yet to be finalised.

    Carnival's innovation chief, John Padgett, had been dealing with a manufacturer based in Wuhan and has said that he was made aware of the scale of the coronavirus outbreak in late January. "The biggest thing about that, it's a learning I don't think I'll ever forget is that we actually had insight into the global situation much earlier than most," Padgett revealed.

    And yet so little was done, not just by Carnival but the entire industry, as University of Chicago epidemiologist Katelyn Gostic points out: "The cruise ship response was definitely lagging behind expert opinion on how big the risks are," she told Washington Post. "It was sluggish decision-making, and they should have responded earlier."

    Also on rt.com Cruise ships ordered by US Coast Guard to remain at sea & prepare to treat coronavirus-stricken passengers themselves Carry on cruising?

    Cruising has sailed through tumultuous PR waters before, most notably with the capsizing of the Costa Concordia in Italy in 2012, which killed 32 people. A year later, passengers endured the so-called 'Poop Cruise' on the Carnival Triumph, after a fire on board led to the ship being stuck at sea for a week with overflowing toilets and hallways flooded with human waste.

    Despite the lingering stench, Carnival was offering cruises on the same ship just two months later.

    No-one died, then, of course, so surely the tsunami of bad publicity that has washed over cruise ships globally will prove more damaging this time around?

    The industry, which normally carries 30 million people a year, clearly does not think so, with Carnival offering bookings on cruises to Asia on its Diamond Princess as soon as October this year.

    Despite a Yahoo poll finding that 83 percent of Australians would not travel on a cruise ship again for fear of catching an infection, 17 percent still said they would. Another poll, on Cruise Critic, found that 75 percent of respondents planned to cruise "as much as" or "even more," as soon as ships start sailing again.

    Incredibly, future cruise sales have surged over the past month, with online portal CruiseCompete.com reporting a 40 percent increase in 2021 bookings compared to 2019.

    And even those people who have had to cancel cruises that would possibly have seen them infected are keen to get back on board, with as many as three quarters of cancellations taking a future credit of 125 percent of their cruise value rather than a 100 percent refund.

    Perhaps sinking a few ships, as Burr suggested, might be the only way to save people from themselves.

    Think your friends would be interested? Share this story!

    The statements, views and opinions expressed in this column are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of RT.

    oped

    [Apr 24, 2020] The public panic that abounds is not of natural origin. It is manufactured by the media and the deep state. The question arises, for what purpose.

    Apr 24, 2020 | www.unz.com

    James Robinson , says: Show Comment April 23, 2020 at 11:59 am GMT

    The public panic that abounds is not of natural origin. It is manufactured by the media and the deep state. The question arises, for what purpose. I suspect that that the US economy is undergoing a designed, controlled demolition in order to produce an uncontrolled demolition of the Chinese economy and thus forestall Chinese ascendancy.

    The little people in the US, as Leona Helmsly would have dubbed them, purchase mountains of Chinese manufactured goods and are really the cornerstone of the Chinese economy.

    The little people in the US will no longer be purchasing anything but absolute necessities like food as the engineered depression will leave them with pockets too empty for anything else.

    [Apr 23, 2020] Changes in United States Data following the new CDC guidelines on "Case" and "Death" definition

    Apr 23, 2020 | www.worldometers.info

    Following new CDC guidelines : " As of April 14, 2020, CDC case counts and death counts include both confirmed and probable cases and deaths . This change was made to reflect an interim COVID-19 position statement issued by the Council for State and Territorial Epidemiologists on April 5, 2020. The position statement included a case definition and made COVID-19 a nationally notifiable disease.

    A confirmed case or death is defined by meeting confirmatory laboratory evidence for COVID-19. A probable case or death is defined by i) meeting clinical criteria AND epidemiologic evidence with no confirmatory laboratory testing performed for COVID-19; or ii) meeting presumptive laboratory evidence AND either clinical criteria OR epidemiologic evidence; or iii) meeting vital records criteria with no confirmatory laboratory testing performed for COVID19" [ source ]

    [Apr 23, 2020] Almost 50% of CoVid deaths in Europe are as a result of the practice in richer Euro countries of confining the elderly to nursing homes

    Apr 23, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    LOL , Apr 23 2020 15:40 utc | 4

    Almost 50% of CoVid deaths in Europe are as a result of the practice in richer Euro countries of confining the elderly to nursing homes

    Bachman
    @ElonBachman
    Half of Europe's COVID-19 deaths are from nursing homes

    https://mobile.twitter.com/ElonBachman/status/1250745852202749954

    -----

    Branko Milanovic
    @BrankoMilan
    Why is nobody discussing truly staggering differences in death rates between Eastern and Western Europe? In the @FT graphs none of Eastern European countries is even included. The gap is just striking. (Worldometer, 22 April)

    https://mobile.twitter.com/BrankoMilan/status/1252812420357083137

    [Apr 23, 2020] The efficiency of lockdown in different circumstances

    Apr 23, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Alaric , Apr 22 2020 19:28 utc | 49

    I tend to think both B and some opponents of the lockdown are massively oversimplifying.

    It's dangerous to a small demographic and we mostly know who that is. The binary lockdown vs not lockdown mindset ignores the enormous specificity of the disease and variables in actions taken. A lockdown that poor people can't follow won't be effective and a lockdown that fails to protect elderly and especiallly nursing homes will see high deaths. An open approach that does these things might be more efficaous.

    The premise that the anti lockdown position is a bunch of ignorant, right wings nuts is readily dispelled by the large number of scientists who have spoken out against it.

    Again, the problem here is the various shades of grey and large number of variables. Some containment acts might not work and do more harm than good. Different places will have different results based on weather, density (spread rate), demographics, etc

    Then there is the changing narrative. Flatten the curve was about reducing strain on hospitals with only modest (at best) gains in lives. Now we compare Sweden and Norway say on deaths and not strain on hospital resources.

    The lockdown is doing a lot of economic, social, psychological harm especially in the US where we have no safety net, no healthcare and many poor. Closing schools will seriously hurt children. EG: 50% of NYC kids get assistance for breakfast and 72% get it for lunch. Those schools fulfill important social and care functions beyond schooling.

    There are many variables in this equation. Stop pretending otherwise.

    c1ue , Apr 22 2020 19:32 utc | 50

    Cheers, b, for standing up to the libertarian nonsense.

    I would still note that - at least in the US - the federal and state plan for nCOV management is unquestionably very poorly thought out.

    A few questions:

    1) While lockdowns in breakout areas like New York, New Jersey, Louisiana make sense - what is the plan for the rest of the country?

    In particular - Singapore has demonstrated that controlling initial nCOV penetration (travellers from Wuhan) - even subsequent secondary infection from other countries (Students returning home from Europe) is still not enough to prevent resurgence. Singapore is now headed for the worst results in Asia due to its 200K cheap offshore laborers in barracks.
    The same (actually, probably worse) conditions exist for fruit and produce harvesters and meat workers in the US, as well as Amazon and other delivery warehouses. Dark kitchens are likely to add to the mix.

    So - is the solution to lock down until there is a vaccine? For at least 7 months from now? Is it to have flareups and more lockdowns later? The uncertainty causes as much economic damage as anything else.

    2) The mortality data is also quite clear: the vast majority of affected are the 65+. What about having state and federal government planning - via say, Medicare - to provide food and support services and to quarantine/protect via isolation those vulnerable demographics? They're already widely financially supported via their Social Security paychecks; they're the least vulnerable to needing paychecks to eat - unlike a huge percentage of the rest of the population.

    3) The economic disruption is ginormous. Unemployment helps some - but it maxes out at 30 weeks.
    There are still huge numbers of business owners and others who are not eligible for unemployment.
    Are those people just having to lump it for the duration of nCOV protective measures? Which, as I noted above, is likely to be many months - not just 1 or 2?

    4) Testing. Why is testing not being heavily subsidized and/or price controlled? Both PCR for active and antibody?

    Lastly, even if the lockdowns were to magically end tomorrow - entire sectors are still going to be severely disrupted.
    The entire travel sector is toast for 2020.
    The sports and concert scene is also toast for 2020.
    Bars and nightclubs? Highly problematic.
    Restaurants? Also very problematic.
    Schools? We're going into summer now, but nCOV will still be a problem in September - and we won't have a vaccine then.
    The entire commercial/restaurant/school supply chain is hosed - how is that situation going to get resolved?

    The real problem the libertarians have isn't just that their rabid aversion to government is wrong headed - it is that the only way to try and get out of this nCOV situation without maximum economic and public health impact is via smart government policy.

    But at the same time, there is very little evidence of smart government policies - at any level - in the US.

    [Apr 23, 2020] It is entirely erroneous and risible to view any action of the state as "authoritarian"

    There is one size fits all measure. Quarantine is necessary in some places like NYC (and many other large cities). As well as for people over 65, and other who continue the high risk group (extremely obese, diabetics, with immune system problems, with cardiovascular problems, etc) It is less nessesary and justified in area will low population density. In those places mass gathering (say more then 10 people) can be prohibited and obligatory wearing of masks inside buildings and transports as well as places with high density outside like lines, but life can continue as usual
    Apr 23, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org
    Prof K , Apr 22 2020 19:04 utc | 34

    Yesterday James Corbett of The Corbett Report interviewed Kit Knightly of Off-Guardian about the corona crisis. At 18:30 minutes in Corbett finds it "disturbing" that some of the blogs who usually criticize governments, like Moon of Alabama, support the measures governments have taken to lower the speed of the novel coronavirus epidemic.

    Corbett then highlights a discussion on Twitter between me and the Off-Guardian account.

    It started with this:

    vanessa beeley @VanessaBeeley - 5:33 UTC · Apr 9, 2020

    #BillGates funded World Health Organisation advocate forced removal of family members fm homes if "tested" positive for #COVID19 even tho test is not proven reliable. So, govts hve corralled us in homes & will now unlawfully raid & extract citizens under poss. false pretext.

    I retweeted that and remarked:

    Moon of Alabama @MoonofA - 22:30 UTC · Apr 9, 2020
    China did this in phase 2 of the Wuhan quarantine because it was the only way to protect the families from their infected members. Without that policy Wuhan would not have ended the epidemic.
    Current test reliability is relativ high if test is immediate used when symptoms appear.

    OffGuardian retweeted my tweet and launched the discussion:

    ... ... ...

    Now back to the Off-Guardian and Corbett critique. My view on the epidemic was always based on science. You can follow how it developed through the list of posts attached to this one. As I watched how China defeated its outbreak I had hoped that other governments would take similar measures. With globally concerted action we could have completely erased this disease!

    But one slips into a pandemic with the governments one has, not with the ones one wishes for.

    Will our 'elites' use the crisis to further enrich themselves. Sure . Will they abuse some of the control measures? That is practically guaranteed. And it does not change a damned thing with regards to the pandemic.

    It is now too late to defeat it by eradicating its source. Social distancing measures like lock-downs are needed to keep the epidemic under control and to not overload our health care systems. Should the next outbreak wave be worse than the current one we will need even harsher measures than we currently have. I will support those because I know that they will save lives.

    If that makes me an 'authoritarian' in the view of some then let it be so.

    I for one find it more useful to tell people to make and wear masks than to post 'expert opinions' (scroll down) from PR-company sites which disagree with the scientific mainstream while their estimates of the total death toll have already been exceeded.

    --- It is entirely erroneous and risible to view any action of the state as "authoritarian."

    This infantile disorder is derivative of all liberal thought, which rests on a methodological individualism, the idea that society is nothing beyond the individuals which allegedly constitute it. Incidentally, left-wing anarchism shares the same theory of
    the state, regardless of its ostensibly social objectives. The state in both views is just an exogenous, evil "thing," which interferes unjustifiably in civil society and markets. Of course, this theory has no connection to reality at all if you are sane enough to accept the merits of public libraries, roads, water treatment, schools, healthcare, environmental protections, etc.

    The Marxist theory of the state is the correct one. The state emerges from class relationships, and enforces them through a variety of means. But, it is also a terrain of class struggle and a resume of the balance of class forces in society.

    The historical evolution of the state clearly expresses these realities, and working-class movements and left-wing parties have shaped the state and its institutions in important ways. Public health care systems are inextricable from the success of working-class struggles. The power of the coercive branches of the state are an expression of the weakness of the left. And so on.

    It follows that a working-class demand for stronger lockdown and quarantine measures in the interest of protecting lives and the very public institutions we need has nothing in common with "authoritarianism."

    Only an asshole capitalist who truly thinks, as the Governor of Texas put it, that "there are more important things than life," would say so.

    Let's be clear: the call for more meaningful and stronger directives and rules in the present is only coming from the left because it alone cares for the health and well being of fellow human beings. It is the right-wing assholes and capitalists who want to "return to normal" as soon as possible.

    Those warning of the authoritarianism of any lockdown measures are regurgitating the heart and soul of reactionary right-wing thought and capitalist interests.


    DontBelieveEitherPr. , Apr 22 2020 19:07 utc | 37

    Thanks again Bernhard.

    This whole charade exposes how many in the so called Alternative Media are unable to differentiate, to base their thinking on scientific methods, and just live and think in a bi-polar borderline black and white world.

    I applaud you for your stace, even more seeing the onslaught of hysterics you face.

    Most of the Alternative media are just as bad as MSM. Only mirrored.
    Only a differentiated, scientific, and neutral analytic stance like yours can be a solution. Neither the likes of Off-Guardian, nor CNN.

    IMO this divide stems from this:

    Our European (and German) stance of social democracy of freedom for the individual, as long as it does not harm others or the society as a whole
    vs.
    the anglo ideology of total freedom for the individual, not matter the costs for others.

    Many so called "progressives" from the likes of Off-Guardian are foreigners to the concept, that individual liberty has limits, when the well being of higher values (like the society as a whole, harm to others) is at risk.
    They are libertarians who put themselves over all others, but claim to be "progressive".

    In the context of an aglo-american society they well be "progressive" But only compared to the likes of Trump or Biden or Clinton.

    Russ , Apr 22 2020 18:58 utc | 30
    @JohnH | Apr 22 2020 18:47 utc | 20

    Mostly the protests are being instigated by the usual anti-government oligarchs who are terrorized that people might actually conclude that government has an important role to play in addressing problems.

    As far as public opposition to the police state lockdown coming almost only from MAGA types, this is yet another example of the complete abdication and worthlessness of "the left" which leaves a vacuum that's filled by right-populism.

    Just like with Brexit, just like with the American opportunity for a populist movement truly against Wall Street, corporate rule, the Pentagon, the police state.

    As we saw with Brexit, erstwhile "anti-globalists" ran home to globalist mama the moment the chips were down. Today we see the vastly more profound phenomenon of almost all self-alleged "anti-authoritarians" running home to police state mama.

    When everyone who ever claimed to hold human principles and who filled most of the ideological leadership space among the "alternative" set then not only abdicates but flips 180 degrees to embrace the very system they'd always claimed to oppose, that can do nothing but throw the whole space wide open to fascism.

    And if the people do embrace classical fascism, a major cause will be this revelation of the fraudulence of almost all who ever claimed to fight for an alternative.

    IMO we should just label them the pro-COVID crowd in any discussion of the matter.

    You're the one exulting in how the bug allegedly promises total apocalypse. The pro-COVID crowd are those propagating this mass terror campaign and those like you who have joyously embraced it.

    DontBelieveEitherPr. , Apr 22 2020 19:07 utc | 37
    Thanks again Bernhard.

    This whole charade exposes how many in the so called Alternative Media are unable to differentiate, to base their thinking on scientific methods, and just live and think in a bi-polar borderline black and white world.

    I applaud you for your stace, even more seeing the onslaught of hysterics you face.

    Most of the Alternative media are just as bad as MSM. Only mirrored.
    Only a differentiated, scientific, and neutral analytic stance like yours can be a solution. Neither the likes of Off-Guardian, nor CNN.

    IMO this divide stems from this:

    Our European (and German) stance of social democracy of freedom for the individual, as long as it does not harm others or the society as a whole
    vs.
    the anglo ideology of total freedom for the individual, not matter the costs for others.

    Many so called "progressives" from the likes of Off-Guardian are foreigners to the concept, that individual liberty has limits, when the well being of higher values (like the society as a whole, harm to others) is at risk.
    They are libertarians who put themselves over all others, but claim to be "progressive".

    In the context of an aglo-american society they well be "progressive" But only compared to the likes of Trump or Biden or Clinton.

    Kadath , Apr 22 2020 19:09 utc | 38
    With respect to your statement "Will they abuse some of the control measures? That is practically guaranteed", I feel I must point out when Bush brought in targeted killings he insisted that it would only be done against selected individuals and now, 18 years later the US has a committee of unelected military and intelligence officials rubber stamping secret kill lists that have resulted in at least 100,000 deaths, 80% of which were "collateral damage" of bystanders, no legal defense against inclusion on the list, no appeal, not even a public declaration of who is being pursued. I simply can not imagine a more irrespirable group to grant the power to seize and hold individuals, especially since the US is in the middle of a political/economic crisis before the pandemic. My specific concerns are.

    1. how long can an individual be held, what is the process for being released (do Doctor's have the power to release the patient? do Judges, military officers?) - I suspect it will be a long drawn out process taking at least 6-10 weeks requiring several different doctors and multiple tests, since the US has NO infrastructure setup for this process currently it will be subject to overloading and delays and rather than balancing the safety of society vs the rights of the individual it will simply crush the individual

    2. What facilities does the government even have for the internment of seized individuals? - The government has none, meaning it will be forced to construct WW-2 Japanese-style internment camps in isolated areas with minimum health care services and probably outbreaks of other diseases

    3. What treatment for the disease will individuals receive? (will they receive any?) - The US public doesn't have universal health care or even enough medical supplies for the public at large, the detainees will in all likelihood receive only nominal healthcare services, making them at high risk of other diseases. I suspect any camp setup by the US government to specifically treat sick individuals will have excessively high death rates

    4. What support will be provided for the family members or dependants of the detainees? - I think we all know the answer is zero, the US has gone to war against social services in the US for last 30 years and unlike all of the other wars the US has launched they've been hugely successful in destroying the safety net of society. What do you think will happened when previously detained individuals are released back into society to discover that their family lost their house or apartment or their children were taken into foster care


    You may claim that giving the government this power is the only way to defeat the Pandemic, but the simply truth is the government will not use it to defeat the Pandemic , rather they will use that power to enrich themselves and create only the barest façade of an effort to fight the pandemic and it will be so weak, so incompetently designed and ineffectively managed that it will make the Pandemic worse. Why should I believe that a government that has a bipartisan history of corruption, incompetency and failure going back 30 years will now unexpectedly succeed. They will fail.


    Blue Dotterel , Apr 22 2020 19:10 utc | 39
    Unfortunately, the science says there is not a vaccine for this corona virus or any other corona virus or even the common cold virus. The science says there are not even any perfectly effective vaccines for the flu. Developing one every year is something of a crap shoot.

    However, the science also says that this virus is unusually highly infective, even if the death toll is low relative to infected persons - possibly 0.1%. This is why I suggest an effective vaccine is highly unlikely to ever be developed for this virus

    There is really no evidence that the virus will ever be eradicated, unless mother nature helps us as it had done with the first SARS virus and the MERS virus. The way Sars Cov2 infects us suggests this will not be the case.

    So the argument between OFF Guard and Moon is moot. People are going suffer and occasionally die from the virus' infections if and until we develop a balanced "relationship" with it similar to the other four human corona viruses. The difference between the two arguments is the OG set up will kill more now, and b approach will kill more later. The advantage to b's point of view is that evolution might tame the virus into a less virulent strain through mutation of the virus and/or built up immunity in humans.

    The best approach is a holding pattern, not a complete futile lockdown, but not a do nothing herd immunity approach. Testing, learning more of the virus' nature, social distancing, wearing masks, developing/discovering drugs to mitigate the effects of the virus, research possible vaccines, open the economy in a measured manner, and develop politcal-economic policies that will equalize the distribution of wealth to defend against the high death toll and missery that mass unemployment will produce.

    Musburger , Apr 22 2020 19:22 utc | 43
    @28
    Russia detected 5,236 new coronavirus carriers yesterday. That is substantially less than yesterday. But this is not the story. It really should not matter that much how many new cases the Russians are able to dig up, because the big story is that according to Russia's own statistics upwards of 60% of those infected don't get sick and are asymptomatic:

    The 60% asymptomatic figure is pretty consistent with the Diamond Princess (46% I think) and Roosevelt numbers (something around 60%). The Stanford study of a 50 to 1 ratio of asymptomatic (98%) doesn't jibe with this. I believe the study was very flawed. Either the testing and/or the sample group.

    [Apr 23, 2020] 'Americans won't stand for it' Outrage and protests as mother arrested for letting children play in park

    Apr 23, 2020 | www.rt.com

    The case of a mother in Meridian, Idaho, who was arrested after police say she violated a city order by letting her children play in a playground has sparked a furious backlash and protests against Covid-19 restrictions. Sara Brady was arrested and charged with one count of misdemeanor trespassing, following the incident at Kleiner Park in Meridian on Tuesday.

    Video footage shows Brady being led away from the scene in handcuffs as several other women with young children plead with the police officers for an explanation for the arrest.

    "As a person, does this make sense to you? As a person, not as a police officer," one can be heard asking as the mother is perp-walked out of the park on the sunny afternoon.

    🚨 BREAKING 🚨 Mother arrested in Meridian, Idaho for letting kids play in parkThis has gotten out of controlStop arresting free Americans for being outside with their familiesRT!! pic.twitter.com/TUsbgat0D2

    -- Rogan O'Handley 🇺🇸 (@DC_Draino) April 22, 2020

    Meridian police say they made several attempts to encourage Brady to adhere to the rules and she did not comply with their requests. She was part of a group of families that was taking part in a "playdate protest" over Idaho's stay-at-home orders. She is now facing up to six months in jail and/or a US$1,000 fine.

    The arrest prompted a protest outside Meridian City Hall on Tuesday evening, where demonstrators voiced their concerns about how the incident was handled by the police and expressed their opposition to Idaho's Covid-19 measures.

    Restrictive lockdown measures limiting people's freedom of movement and sending unemployment rates to record highs have created tensions in many US states.

    Footage of Brady's arrest went viral on Twitter on Wednesday, with one video of the incident racking up more than one million views in two hours.

    "This has gotten out of control," activist Rogan O'Handley writes in one viral message. "Stop arresting free Americans for being outside with their families."

    [Apr 21, 2020] The Road Not Taken by Robert Frost

    One could say there are generally 2 honest standpoints on what is happening (ignoring the dishonest ones). On the surface these 2 groups appear to have diverging opinions based on essentially the same fear: What happens to the economy.
    One group fears the extreme actions taken by governments and institutions are causing far more damage to society and individuals in terms of economic damage, unemployment, eradication of democratic and personal rights and ultimately also deaths. These actions are seen as real and deliberate attacks on individuals and modern society.
    The other group senses the same fear, but the fear is so strong that cognitive dissonance kicks in to deny reality. One is simply not able to accept the implication of governments and institutions willingly crushing society. So the official virus doomsday line is internalized as the truth, instead of causing a revision of one's world view, even though the numbers show that it is an irrational standpoint.
    Apr 21, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org
    juliania , Apr 21 2020 15:46 utc | 62
    The Road Not Taken by Robert Frost

    Two roads diverged in a yellow wood,
    And sorry I could not travel both
    And be one traveler, long I stood
    And looked down one as far as I could
    To where it bent in the undergrowth;

    Then took the other, as just as fair,
    And having perhaps the better claim,
    Because it was grassy and wanted wear;
    Though as for that the passing there
    Had worn them really about the same,

    And both that morning equally lay
    In leaves no step had trodden black.
    Oh, I kept the first for another day!
    Yet knowing how way leads on to way,
    I doubted if I should ever come back.

    I shall be telling this with a sigh
    Somewhere ages and ages hence:
    Two roads diverged in a wood, and I -
    I took the one less traveled by,
    And that has made all the difference.

    [Apr 21, 2020] What will this do to the COVID death count? What will this also do to the excess mortality rate as people are fearful of getting immediate treatment for very serious life or death conditions?

    Apr 21, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Allen , Apr 20 2020 2:42 utc | 176

    Now over the last two weeks, the city's fire officials said more than 2,192 New York City residents died in their homes, compared to 453 during the same time period last year.

    On average there are 25 deaths in home per week in NYC- Tuesday, April 7th for example, there was 256. The reason? People are afraid to go to the hospitals, cardiologists are confirming this, lest they get infected with the "killer virus." This means when they are in the early stages of cardiac arrest, for example, they stay at home and some don't make it.

    NYC officials stated that they WILL NOT be conducting tests on these at home deaths nor will they be doing any diagnostics on the cadavers.

    NYC officials also confirmed that they will begin to count suspected COVID-19 deaths in addition to cases confirmed by a laboratory.

    Stephanie Buhle, a spokeswoman for the New York City's Health Department, confirmed the change in protocol.

    "The Office of the Chief Medical Examiner (OCME) and the NYC Health Department are working together to include into their reports deaths that may be linked to COVID but not lab confirmed that occur at home."

    NYC Mayor Bill de Blasio in his infinite wisdom acknowledged that the vast majority of deaths taking place at home were likely also due to COVID-19. No tests, no diagnosis but the mayor with his crystal ball stated:

    "We do want to know the truth about every death at home, but it's safe to assume that the vast majority are coronavirus related."

    That's his exact quote.

    What will this do to the COVID death count? What will this also do to the excess mortality rate as people are fearful of getting immediate treatment for very serious life or death conditions?

    [Apr 21, 2020] Barr Says DoJ Might Join Lawsuits Against States That Don't Reopen Fast Enough

    Apr 21, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com

    Now, AG Barr has taken Trump's embrace of the 'reopen now' movement to the next level by claiming the DoJ might join lawsuits filed by businesses and citizens against various states over the shutdown orders.

    "We have to give businesses more freedom to operate in a way that's reasonably safe," Barr said. "To the extent that governors don't and impinge on either civil rights or on the national commerce - our common market that we have here - then we'll have to address that."

    The move comes as more conservative groups reportedly heap pressure on the administration to do more to stop governors like Gavin Newsom from keeping their states closed until the summer, according to BBG.

    But the last thing states need right now is another reason to blame the White House for meddling in their reopening planning...

    One way the Justice Department might act against state or local officials is by joining lawsuits brought by citizens or businesses over restrictions, Barr said. He acknowledged that state governments are at "a sensitive stage," as they try to balance health and safety against pressure to reopen.But he said that "as lawsuits develop, as specific cases emerge in the states, we'll take a look at them."

    "We're looking carefully at a number of these rules that are being put into place," Barr said. "And if we think one goes too far, we initially try to jawbone the governors into rolling them back or adjusting them. And if they're not and people bring lawsuits, we file statement of interest and side with the plaintiffs."

    ...and Barr just gave it to them on a silver platter.

    Attorney General William Barr and Hugh Hewitt discussing the recent crisis. - YouTube

    [Apr 21, 2020] Warship has probably ~ 27 year old mean age, and higher health level (its the army after all) which has distorted mortality in the sample.

    Apr 21, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Passer by , Apr 20 2020 6:01 utc | 221

    Posted by: guidoamm | Apr 20 2020 5:46 utc | 218

    >>We now have very solid infection and mortality data from a sample of in excess of 15,000 individuals that were/are aboard 4 cruise ships and 1 war ship.

    Warship has probably ~ 27 year old mean age, and higher health level (its the army after all) which has distorted mortality in the sample.

    Criuse ships report closer to 1 percent.


    Passer by , Apr 20 2020 6:16 utc | 224

    Posted by: guidoamm | Apr 20 2020 5:46 utc | 218

    Now that i checked -

    Diamond Princess + Grand Princess + MS Zaandam cruise ships death rate is 2 %, far higher than 0,1 %.

    I don't remember countries building 10 new hospitals in a city due to flu. So it looks like death rate is higher than the flu, even when estimated via the cruise ship data.

    guidoamm , Apr 20 2020 6:23 utc | 225
    Diamond princess 4 fatalities
    Grand Princess 1 fatality
    Zaandam 4 fatalities
    Ruby Princess 4 fatalities
    Theodore Roosevelt 1 fatality

    Total 15 dead over 5 ships

    Out of more than 15000 passengers, crew and sailors, how do you work out a mortality of 1%?

    Passer by , Apr 20 2020 6:59 utc | 231
    Posted by: guidoamm | Apr 20 2020 6:23 utc | 225

    Mortality is estimated per population infected.

    US AirCraft Carrier Rusvelt has ~ 28 year old sailors mean age, mostly young and strong military people, i would not take that sample seriously.

    According to Worldometers - Cruise Ships:

    Diamond Princess infected 712 dead 13

    Grand Princess infected 103 dead 3

    MS Zaandam infected 9 dead 2

    Per Wiki:
    Ruby Princess Infected 662 Dead 19

    Total: 1486 infected, 37 dead

    Death Rate Cruise Ships 2,5 (way higher that flu - which is 0,1)

    Peter AU1 , Apr 20 2020 7:15 utc | 236
    Diamond Princess 13 fatalities.

    Grand Princess Crius " cruise from San Francisco to Mexico and back on Grand Princess between 11 and 21 February" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_on_cruise_ships#Grand_Princess

    Ruby Princess. Left on 8th cut short on 15th due to several cases appeareing.

    Military ships hardly a cross section of a population.

    Diamond Princess though is a reasonable model Passengers all kept on the ship for some time.
    approx 20% infection rate. 2% death rate amongst those that contacted it.

    [Apr 21, 2020] Stanford University epidemiologist John Ioannidis calls out media for panicking the public over COVID-1

    Apr 21, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    fairleft , Apr 20 2020 0:46 utc | 144

    Read Ioannidis, everyone, and calm down:
    Stanford University epidemiologist John Ioannidis calls out media for panicking the public over COVID-19

    fairleft , Apr 20 2020 4:37 utc | 203

    There's a descent into hysteria and anger here. You all _really_ need to read that John Ioannidis article I posted above. He's not an "Off-Guardian nut job." He's a professor of epidemiology at Stanford University. He and other experts reviewed all the currently available data (with some common-sense restrictions) and made a report I've also linked to. The report indicates that Covid-19 is not very dangerous to under-65s in good health, with possible exception of people in a horrible health care situation.

    As for dying 'from' rather than 'with', that's also not some wacky theory pushed by some "Off-Guardian nut job." No, it's promoted by Oxford University, _that_ Oxford University, and I've cited their report repeatedly. Global Covid-19 Case Fatality Rates , is from the The Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine at the University of Oxford. The report states, emphasis in original:

    "Recording the numbers of those who die with Coronavirus will inflate the CFR as opposed to those that died from Coronavirus, which will deflate the CFR."

    The report later adds: "It is now essential to understand whether individuals are dying with or from the disease. Understanding this issue is critical. If, for instance, 80% of those over 80 die with the disease then the CFR would be near 3% in this age group as opposed to 15%. Cause of death information from death certificates is often inaccurate and incomplete, particularly for conditions such as pneumonia. These factors would act to lower the IFR."

    Now, these Stanford and Oxford University epidemiologists might be wrong. Or they might be right. Still much uncertainty. But treating the people you disagree with in _this_ context as conspiracy-addled nut cases tells me that you have an excessive commitment to 'winning' and not to getting this thing right.

    fairleft , Apr 20 2020 0:59 utc | 148
    by: Jackrabbit | Apr 20 2020 0:20 utc | 139

    What do you mean by "minimizing"? It's simply a fact, based on the increasingly strong statistical data, that Covid-19 is not very dangerous for under-65s in good health. But no one should deny (I'm not) that the US disaster capitalism health care system puts millions in danger. This is clear in the stats. There's a huge difference in Covid mortality rates in the US and Western Europe:

    "Individuals with age <65 account for 5%-9% of all COVID-19 deaths in the 8 European epicenters, and approach 30% in three US hotbed locations. People <65 years old had 34- to 73-fold lower risk than those ≥65 years old in the European countries and 13- to 15-fold lower risk in New York City, Louisiana and Michigan. The absolute risk of COVID-19 death ranged from 1.7 per million for people <65 years old in Germany to 79 per million in New York City. The absolute risk of COVID-19 death for people ≥80 years old ranged from approximately 1/6,000 in Germany to 1/420 in Spain."

    Source: https://t.co/32FiNJo9Vc?amp=1

    And, compared to Europe, there are (many?) more Americans with poor diets and health, greatly raising the % of vulnerable in the under-65s. But the world is not the US. Maybe the Covid-19 response should be nuanced. One size probably does not fit all.

    David F , Apr 20 2020 1:26 utc | 154
    fairleft @144

    I read the link. I think his information is a little dated.

    It was written april 10th, there were 100,000 deaths at that time, 9 days later there are 165,000 deaths.

    His selection of areas to study seems odd at best.

    (Belgium, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, and Switzerland), three states (Louisiana, Michigan, and Washington), and one city (New York)

    "Flattening the curve to avoid overwhelming the health system is conceptually sound -- in theory," he wrote in a paper in March."

    Again, a paper he wrote in march, before shit hit the fan.

    He seems pretty dismissive of anything that doesn't align with his perception. All in all not very convincing.

    uncle tungsten , Apr 20 2020 3:40 utc | 187
    Richard Steven Hack #146
    Posted by: fairleft | Apr 20 2020 0:46 utc | 144 Read Ioannidis, everyone, and calm down:

    As I said before, he needs to get out of his office and talk to the doctors on the front lines. If he doesn't, he's an idiot talking from an ivory tower - or he has an agenda. Do you know what his agenda is?

    Maybe his agenda is encapsulated here:

    #FireFauci Should be the Rallying Cry for a Generation

    But then maybe not. Ioannidis could be a fine scientist with a clear comprehension of the trajectory of viral outbreaks. Perhaps there is room for the meeting of minds of the risk assessment science and the epidemiologists but I believe they have been in collaboration for many decades and have a sense of each others methodologies.

    There is always the possibility that the political sense of risk management is dramatically different from the sense that Risk scientists and Epidemiological scientists possess.

    I note this is a Presidential election year where the choice might be driven by any one of the following each with a weighting that a political machine might attribute:
    Get the deaths over with asap
    Get the economy up and running asap
    Blame the 'other' country (it worked for the dems and Clinton)
    Blame Fauci / epidemiology / WHO / DHHS / Bill Gates
    Reinstate TR Captain who 'saved' his crew in defiance of the Navy Brass (as metaphore for self)
    What could Biden do or say that would be of any comprehensible value to anyone but Trump
    Smash the DNC as they already look like imbeciles
    Go for a majority in both houses and to hell with the human cost
    Do nothing and keep up the shutdown gives the democrazies more scope to attack

    Supposedly someone in the DNC machinery has a strategy but I see it isn't Bernie Sanders.

    [Apr 21, 2020] Overreaction: local police could fine people sitting with fishing rods on lake/river banks at their discretion

    Apr 21, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    Piotr Berman , Apr 20 2020 1:07 utc | 151

    Decent news from Poland: government "relaxed" lockdown, entry to forests and parks is allowed again. Covering of mouth and nose in public is obligatory, except for those working in agriculture. At least there will be no collapse there. No word if fishing is allowed again... that was very messy -- local police could fine people sitting with fishing rods on lake/river banks at their discretion. Presidential elections scheduled for May are not rescheduled, but it seems that it will be a postal vote. Will they microwave the ballots or cook the results?

    [Apr 21, 2020] Biting critique of Fauci and other experts who insisted on full scale "containment measures" without any discrimination between vulnerable groups and vulnerable states

    Apr 21, 2020 | www.lewrockwell.com

    It is becoming clearer with each passing day that the death toll from the Wuhan virus is not rising exponentially as the "experts" predicted but only modestly in some places while levelling off or even declining almost everywhere else in the country -- as well as the world . The incidence of infection borders on nil in the hot and humid countries, where the number of deaths remains in the double or very low triple digits four months after the virus emerged from the Wuhan province of China.

    Common sense alone indicates that the number of deaths will ultimately be nowhere near the 2 million without "mitigation" or a best case 100,000 to 240,000 with "mitigation" as predicted by "Tony and Deborah" at the White House press briefings that have fueled nationwide panic. Tony and Deb have since revised their "models" downward to predict 40,000 to 178,000 deaths. And that prediction has already been lowered again as the IMHE model Tony and Deb have been touting during the briefings now "predicts" 81,766 deaths by August 4. That prediction would require some 18,000 people to die every month between now and then, even though at 10,000 deaths since February 29 -- a number consistent with a heavy flu season -- we appear to have reached the peak and a decline is already evident .

    At some point, Tony and Deb will be "predicting" precisely what has already happened, as we saw with the "models" that first predicted Hillary Clinton was certain to win the Presidency. And when the final death toll fails even to approach what they first predicted in order to panic the whole country into a nationwide lockdown never before seen in human history, they will make the unprovable, non-falsifiable, junk science claim that "mitigation worked."

    But it is becoming increasingly clear that "mitigation" has done nothing but cause a pointless, catastrophic disruption of social and economic life. This seems to delight the lying media and their Democrat partners, who are striving to keep fear alive, avoid or minimize any good news about the numbers, overstate the burden on local hospitals (without any unedited video or other reliable evidence), argue against curative treatment by hydroxychloroquine or otherwise, get everybody into masks after months of "expert" advice that masks are ineffective, and generally prolong the economic damage and loss of civil liberties for months to come.

    As the actual numbers belie the pseudo-scientific prophecies of doom, however, the lockdown of America that began with Democrat governors and mayors now exhibits a curious and hardly coincidental fissure along party lines. As of today, nine states, all headed by Republican governors, refuse to join the lockdown regime and now provide embarrassing counterfactuals demonstrating that officially mandated lockdowns were never necessary and have probably made the situation worse by preventing the development of "herd immunity" to this virus, like all the others, from the normal interaction of large populations.

    https://www.youtube.com/embed/lGC5sGdz4kg?wmode=transparent

    The following are the nine states that have refused to impose lockdowns. All of them have minimal death tolls from the Wuhan virus, including the populous South Carolina, and five of them have not enacted even local lockdowns:

    [Data as of this writing on April 6 at 9 p.m.]

    Gov. Asa Hutchinson of Arkansas told the Fake News New York Times what we have been saying on these pages since the stupid lockdowns began: "the typical stay-at-home order was a misleading 'illusion' because it includes so many exemptions allowing people to go out in public, such as for groceries or exercise ordering people to stay at home would simply leave thousands jobless."

    The Times demands to know why these nine states have seceded from the United States of Mitigation: "Holdout States Resist Calls for Stay-at-Home Orders: 'What Are You Waiting For?' screams the indignant headline. Editorial desperation leaps from the page, for the Fake News combine as a whole knows that these nine Republican-led holdout states are all counterfactual to the panic narrative, and that what they are waiting for is the rest of the country to discover that they have been had by the cheerleaders of "mitigation," who live in luxury and job security while the masses suffer. First and foremost, Deb and Tony, intimate associates of Bill Gates, whose "models" keep lowering predictions to catch up with the growing embarrassment of the real numbers.

    Another embarrassing counterfactual is the Commonwealth of Virginia, now being suffocated by Democrat Governor Ralph ("Infanticide") Northam's absurd executive orders, which have ruined the state's economy while attempting to place its entire population under a fake quarantine that does nothing but create instant unemployment and bankruptcy. The Northam lockdown will remain in effect until June 10 unless Northam calculates he cannot get away with prolonging his virus-themed dictatorship past Trump's new control date of April 30. Yet, as of the week of March 28, the Virginia Department of Health "has received report of 1,352 pneumonia and influenza-associated deaths," including five pediatric deaths, during the 2019-20 flu season, while purported deaths from the Wuhan virus and related pneumonia stand at 54 as of today at 9 p.m., with no pediatric deaths.

    Based on the example of Virginia alone, which provides an all-but-irrefutable counterfactual, it is time to call this fiasco what it is: Coronagate. In my view, Coronagate will go down as the single biggest fraud in the fraud-ridden history of American politics -- outside of the fraudulent inducement of America's belated entry into World War I, which sacrificed 116,000 American lives to an epochal disaster that destroyed the last remnants of Christendom, guaranteed World War II, and led to the rise of the Third Reich and the Soviet Union.

    Meanwhile, the White House press briefings have devolved into a black comedy with the same script every day: Trump recites a litany of statistics on the number of COVID-19 tests performed, the mass production and distribution of ventilators and N95 respirators, surgical masks, surgical gowns and surgical gloves; praises the captains of industry for pitching in with massive contributions of product; and lauds the branches of the military for their massive logistical operations, including the building of entire hospitals that remain almost empty.

    Pence then delivers another sermon on how to "slow the spread in 30 days." Then Deb drones on about her ever-evolving models, followed by a very hoarse Tony, who croaks the same statements he made the day before about "the curve" and "mitigation, mitigation, mitigation" while assiduously avoiding any suggestion that the "pandemic" could be over any time soon or that there could be any proven effective treatment.

    Then it's the media jackals' turn. Day after day these morons jabber at Trump with accusations disguised as questions: Why has governor so-and-so or such-and-such hospital not received enough test kits/ventilators/masks/gowns/gloves/breath mints?

    ... ... ...

    At today's briefing, one reporter attempted to elicit from Fauci a declaration that, no matter what Trump might think, America cannot "return to normal" without a vaccine whose development is, conveniently enough for the media-DNC complex, at least a year away. Fauci's meandering response was a dog whistle that, if he has anything to say about it, the country will remain under some level of lockdown until there is a largely ineffective or even harmful vaccine, like the one he advocated for the swine flu of 2009.

    The Fake News media are laboring to elevate Fauci, a star in the Leftist galaxy whose center is Bill Gates, to the status of Recovery Czar whose "medical opinion" will determine the fate of the nation

    [Apr 21, 2020] Why The Shutdown Must End by David Denning

    Apr 20, 2020 | www.zerohedge.com
    Authored by David Denning via LewRockwell.com,

    The shutdown of the American economy should end as soon as possible. We have reached the point where fear and panic have precluded logic and facts. The damage from our overreaction to the Covid-19 pandemic is likely to prove greater than the death toll from the disease itself. The virus is not containable, and our attempt to achieve the unachievable grows more costly every day.

    Covid-19 is not proving as deadly as first imagined. Last March 16, a group of researchers at Imperial College in London predicted 510,000 deaths in the UK and 2.2 million in the US. Within ten days, these early estimates were revised downward by more than an order of magnitude. As I write, the best estimate of ultimate deaths from Covid-19 in the US is about 60,000, the same as the 61,000 people who died from influenza during the winter of 2017-2018. Yet we continue to suffer from a shutdown whose imposition was justified by a fallacious model prediction.

    The spread of the coronavirus is both inevitable and necessary. It is necessary because, in the absence of a vaccine, the only way to counteract the disease is to build immunity in the population. A person who contracts the infection and recovers is immune. They can no longer become ill or spread the disease. Infection and recovery is the most effective vaccination possible.

    Last March 3, the World Health Organization estimated the mortality rate from Covid-19 to be 3.4 percent. We now know that this early estimate was much too high because testing was limited to individuals exhibiting severe symptoms. Subsequently, more extensive testing has found that half the infected population is entirely asymptomatic, and that the corresponding mortality rate is in the neighborhood of 0.1 percent. Thus 99.9 percent of the people who get the disease further the goal of building immunity in the population. Although this is an inconvenience for those who are affected, these infections accomplish an ultimate good.

    The whole idea behind shutdowns and quarantines is not to reduce cumulative mortality, but to "flatten the curve" so that our health care facilities are not overwhelmed. Individuals who need intensive care may be saved by this strategy but the net mortality reduction is likely to be small. Shutdowns and quarantines will prolong the course of the pandemic. When social distancing ends, as it must eventually, the disease will simply resume its inevitable course through the population. Flattening the curve does not reduce the area under the curve.

    Where did we get the idea that some businesses and occupations are "non-essential?"

    In a market economy, every job is essential. And every job is certainly essential to the person who depends on it for their livelihood. In the midst of a pandemic it's sensible to ban mass gatherings of hundreds and thousands of people. But local governments are now imposing restrictions that make little sense. Parks and golf courses have been closed. The imposition of evening curfews is baffling. Every government official with totalitarian instincts now has the moral justification to impose arbitrary and senseless curtailments on freedom of movement and association.

    Ironically, in the midst of a supposed epidemic, hospitals all over the nation are closing down for a lack of patients. Why? Because government officials ordered them to cancel all elective medical procedures so they could be prepared to receive a crush of Covid-19 patients that never arrived. In the last four weeks, we've lost 22 million jobs . In our panic over the Covid-19 pandemic, we seem to have forgotten that a robust economy supports health care, education, fire and police protection, and the construction and maintenance of critical infrastructure that maintains human civilization. The toll from the artificial induction of poverty may ultimately exceed lives lost to the disease.

    In 2011, researchers at Columbia University found that poverty contributes to 133,000 premature deaths annually in the US. Our stop-gap solution, massive government spending, is no panacea. Prosperity comes from production, not spending, borrowing, and taxing. If we don't reverse course in a matter of days, we're on our way to national suicide.

    [Apr 21, 2020] Two important results in Switzerland and Germany show that it is the elimination of large gatherings together with mask wearing and social distancing that have had the main impact on reducing the infectivity of covid-19, not the lockdowns

    Apr 21, 2020 | www.moonofalabama.org

    BM , Apr 20 2020 11:09 utc | 263

    Two important results in Switzerland and Germany show that it is the elimination of large gatherings together with mask wearing and social distancing that have had the main impact on reducing the infectivity of covid-19, not the lockdowns (which appear to have had relatively minor effects so far, according to these two results). Any measures have a built-in delay of 8 to 10 days before their effects, due to the incubation periods of successive infections.

    (in German)

    [Apr 20, 2020] The Unseen Death Toll of Covid-19 Measures

    Apr 20, 2020 | ronpaulinstitute.org

    The accumulating death toll from Covid-19 can be seen minute-by-minute on cable news channels. But there's another death toll few seem to care much about: the number of poverty-related deaths being set in motion by deliberately plunging millions of Americans into poverty and despair.

    In the first three weeks since governors began shutting down commerce in their states, 17 million Americans filed for unemployment, and according to one survey , one quarter of Americans have lost their jobs or watched their paychecks cut. Goldman Sachs predicts that the economy will shrink 34 percent in the second quarter, with unemployment leaping to 15 percent.

    Until the Covid-19 economic shut-down, the poverty rate in the United States had dropped to its lowest in 17 years. What does that mean for public health? A 2011 Columbia University study funded by the National Institutes of Health estimated that 4.5 percent of all deaths in the United States are related to poverty. Over the last four years, 2.47 million Americans had been lifted out of that condition, meaning 7,700 fewer poverty-related deaths each year.

    It's a good bet these gains have been completely wiped out, and it's anyone's guess how many tens o